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DISCONNECTED YOUTH? THE IMPACT OF SOCIOECONOMIC AND EDUCATIONAL FACTORS ON
YOUTH POLITICAL ENGAGEMENT IN BRITAIN?
Network Youth and Participation Project, ‘Political
Participation of Young People’ Workshop 21st and
22nd June 2013, Istanbul Bilgi University

Matt Henn & Nick Foard
Nottingham Trent University
matt.henn@ntu.ac.uk
nick.foard@ntu.ac.uk
27/09/2013

Economic and Social Research Council award RES-000-22-4450
UK Electoral turnout trends since 1945
90

85
80
75
70

71,4

65
60
55

50

27/09/2013

2
UK Electoral turnout trends since 1945
90

85
80
75
70

71,4

65
60

59,4

55

50

27/09/2013

3
UK Electoral turnout trends since 1945
90

85
80
75
70

71,4

65
60

59,4

55

50

27/09/2013

4
Young people’s electoral turnout trends
1987-2010
70

68

66

65
61

60
55
50
45

44

40
39

35

37

30
1987
27/09/2013

1992

1997

2001

2005

2010
5
General Election 2010: a turning point in youth
voting?
1. University tuition fees at the top of the campaigning agenda

2. Election – opportunity to instigate change through voting

3. Televised leadership debates

27/09/2013

6
27/09/2013

7
Project Aims

1.

Examine young people’s orientation to the political process

2.

Determine the extent to which there is a diversity of political
outlooks, shaped by key variables (such as gender, ethnicity,
social class and educational career)

27/09/2013

8
Data collection methods

• National study of 1,025 young people (18 year olds) using an
online survey (fieldwork 20th April to 4th May 2011)

• Fourteen online focus groups with 86 young people who
opted not to vote at the 2010 General Election

27/09/2013

9
Dependent variables
• Political interest

• Confidence in knowledge and understanding of the democratic process
• Political power and influence
• Attitudes to
i)

electoral process and

ii)

value of elections

• Perception of effectiveness of political parties and professional politicians
• Trust in political parties and professional politicians
27/09/2013

10
Table 1: Political Engagement (%)
Some or
more

None at
all

How much interest do you generally have in
politics?

63

12

How interested were you in the general
election that was held on May 6th last year?

64

14

27/09/2013

14
In your opinion, what is the single most
important issue to you at the moment?
18%

Higher Education tuition fees

12%

Job prospects for young people

11%

Economy / recession

8%

Student fees / debt

5%

Cuts in education funding

4%

Unemployment / Factory Closures

4%

Finance / money
Race relations / immigration

4%

The way the country is governed

3%

Government spending cuts

3%

Taxation

2%

Health care

2%

Defence / foreign affairs / terrorism

2%

15
Table 2: Influences on political interest
amongst young people
B

Interest

Beta

Sig.

Constant
Male

.213

.106

.001

BME

.059

.019

.535

Having qualifications

.121

.058

.061

In full-time education

.523

.242

.000

Managerial / professional

27/09/2013

-.671

.000

.320

.158

.000

16
27/09/2013

17
Table 3: Confidence in personal knowledge and
understanding of politics
B

Internal efficacy

Beta

Sig.

Constant
Male

.407

.202

.000

BME

-.110

-.035

.275

Having qualifications

.142

.067

.036

In full-time education

.393

.181

.000

Managerial / professional

27/09/2013

-.631

.000

.184

.091

.005

18
27/09/2013

19
Table 4: Confidence in the political system

B

External Efficacy

Beta

Sig.

Constant
Male

.011

.005

.880

BME

-.282

-.092

.010

Having qualifications

.081

.039

.278

In full-time education

.190

.088

.017

Managerial / professional

27/09/2013

-.210

.026

.119

.059

.103

20
27/09/2013

21
Faith in the electoral process

• Elections help to keep politicians accountable for the
promises they make (agree 43% : 31%)

• Elections give voters an opportunity to tell politicians what
they think is really important (agree 53% : 18%)

• Having regular elections forces politicians to listen carefully
to public opinion (agree 50% : 20%)

27/09/2013

22
Table 5: Faith in the electoral process

B

Elections

Beta

Sig.

Constant
Male

.112

.056

.087

BME

.205

.067

.042

Having qualifications

.157

.075

.022

In full-time education

.248

.116

.001

Managerial / professional

27/09/2013

-.374

.000

.065

.032

.323

23
27/09/2013

24
Table 6: Perceptions of the “value” of elections

B

Value of elections

Beta

Sig.

Constant
Male

.065

.032

.322

BME

-.162

-.052

.107

Having qualifications

.091

.044

.179

In full-time education

.292

.136

.000

Managerial / professional

27/09/2013

-.378

.000

.258

.129

.000

25
27/09/2013

26
Perception of the effectiveness of political
parties and politicians
• Political parties are effective organisations for changing the lives of
people for the better (agree 21% : 31%)

• My member of parliament tries hard to look after the interests of
people in my constituency (agree 24% : 17%)

• Parties generally do a good job in finding suitable people to run for
parliament (agree 22% : 29%)

• Political parties do a good job of listening to young people's concerns,
and then responding to them positively (agree 12% : 51%)
27/09/2013

30
Table 7: Effectiveness of political parties and
politicians
B

Effectiveness of parties

Beta

Sig.

Constant
Male

-.037

-.018

.622

BME

.022

.007

.853

Having qualifications

.225

.107

.004

In full-time education

.164

.076

.045

Managerial / professional

27/09/2013

-.238

.012

.001

.001

.987

31
27/09/2013

34
Table 8: Trust in political parties and politicians (%)
Agree

Disagree

There is often a big difference between what a party promises it
will do and what it actually does when it wins an election

75

3

In general, political parties are more interested in winning
elections that in governing afterwards

65

9

The main political parties in Britain don't offer voters real choices
in elections because their policies are pretty much all the same

40

18

Political parties do more to divide the country than unite it

47

12

In elections, political parties don't tell people about the really
important problems facing the country

48

16

Governments don't really care what young people like me think

54

14

Those elected to parliament soon lose touch with people

62

6

Parties are only interested in people's votes, not in their opinions

65

8

27/09/2013

35
Table 9: Trust in political parties and
politicians
B

Trust in parties

Beta

Sig.

Constant
Male

.110

.055

.139

BME

-.276

-.087

.018

Having qualifications

.117

.056

.132

In full-time education

-.014

-.007

.860

Managerial / professional

27/09/2013

-.140

.137

.105

.052

.162

36
Table 10: The impact of socio-economic factors on
young people’s political (dis)engagement in Britain

Education

X

X

SEC

X

X

X

X
X

X

Effectiveness
of parties

X

Qualifications

27/09/2013

X

Value of
elections

X

Ethnicity

Trust in
parties

X

Faith in electoral
process

Confidence in
knowledge/
understanding of
politics

X

Political
power(lessness)

Interest in
politics
Gender

X
X

X

X
38
Conclusion
• Contrary to the common stereotype of a politically apathetic
generation, young people are interested in politics, and have faith in
the democratic process.
• The political system and the established parties and politicians that
dominate it, are together failing to provide the stimuli necessary to
encourage young people to engage with formal politics…
• Their recent experience of their first general election in 2010 has left
them feeling somewhat disheartened.
• Our study has revealed a considerable aversion to formal, professional
politics and to the political classes who are charged with conducting
politics on their behalf.
• But things are more complex – there is no uniform pattern…
• And all we can say with certainty is that there is no quick fix when it
comes to reversing the decline in youth political participation
27/09/2013

40
Does it matter if young
people don’t vote?

27/09/2013

41

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The impact of socioeconomic factors on youth political engagement

  • 1. DISCONNECTED YOUTH? THE IMPACT OF SOCIOECONOMIC AND EDUCATIONAL FACTORS ON YOUTH POLITICAL ENGAGEMENT IN BRITAIN? Network Youth and Participation Project, ‘Political Participation of Young People’ Workshop 21st and 22nd June 2013, Istanbul Bilgi University Matt Henn & Nick Foard Nottingham Trent University matt.henn@ntu.ac.uk nick.foard@ntu.ac.uk 27/09/2013 Economic and Social Research Council award RES-000-22-4450
  • 2. UK Electoral turnout trends since 1945 90 85 80 75 70 71,4 65 60 55 50 27/09/2013 2
  • 3. UK Electoral turnout trends since 1945 90 85 80 75 70 71,4 65 60 59,4 55 50 27/09/2013 3
  • 4. UK Electoral turnout trends since 1945 90 85 80 75 70 71,4 65 60 59,4 55 50 27/09/2013 4
  • 5. Young people’s electoral turnout trends 1987-2010 70 68 66 65 61 60 55 50 45 44 40 39 35 37 30 1987 27/09/2013 1992 1997 2001 2005 2010 5
  • 6. General Election 2010: a turning point in youth voting? 1. University tuition fees at the top of the campaigning agenda 2. Election – opportunity to instigate change through voting 3. Televised leadership debates 27/09/2013 6
  • 8. Project Aims 1. Examine young people’s orientation to the political process 2. Determine the extent to which there is a diversity of political outlooks, shaped by key variables (such as gender, ethnicity, social class and educational career) 27/09/2013 8
  • 9. Data collection methods • National study of 1,025 young people (18 year olds) using an online survey (fieldwork 20th April to 4th May 2011) • Fourteen online focus groups with 86 young people who opted not to vote at the 2010 General Election 27/09/2013 9
  • 10. Dependent variables • Political interest • Confidence in knowledge and understanding of the democratic process • Political power and influence • Attitudes to i) electoral process and ii) value of elections • Perception of effectiveness of political parties and professional politicians • Trust in political parties and professional politicians 27/09/2013 10
  • 11. Table 1: Political Engagement (%) Some or more None at all How much interest do you generally have in politics? 63 12 How interested were you in the general election that was held on May 6th last year? 64 14 27/09/2013 14
  • 12. In your opinion, what is the single most important issue to you at the moment? 18% Higher Education tuition fees 12% Job prospects for young people 11% Economy / recession 8% Student fees / debt 5% Cuts in education funding 4% Unemployment / Factory Closures 4% Finance / money Race relations / immigration 4% The way the country is governed 3% Government spending cuts 3% Taxation 2% Health care 2% Defence / foreign affairs / terrorism 2% 15
  • 13. Table 2: Influences on political interest amongst young people B Interest Beta Sig. Constant Male .213 .106 .001 BME .059 .019 .535 Having qualifications .121 .058 .061 In full-time education .523 .242 .000 Managerial / professional 27/09/2013 -.671 .000 .320 .158 .000 16
  • 15. Table 3: Confidence in personal knowledge and understanding of politics B Internal efficacy Beta Sig. Constant Male .407 .202 .000 BME -.110 -.035 .275 Having qualifications .142 .067 .036 In full-time education .393 .181 .000 Managerial / professional 27/09/2013 -.631 .000 .184 .091 .005 18
  • 17. Table 4: Confidence in the political system B External Efficacy Beta Sig. Constant Male .011 .005 .880 BME -.282 -.092 .010 Having qualifications .081 .039 .278 In full-time education .190 .088 .017 Managerial / professional 27/09/2013 -.210 .026 .119 .059 .103 20
  • 19. Faith in the electoral process • Elections help to keep politicians accountable for the promises they make (agree 43% : 31%) • Elections give voters an opportunity to tell politicians what they think is really important (agree 53% : 18%) • Having regular elections forces politicians to listen carefully to public opinion (agree 50% : 20%) 27/09/2013 22
  • 20. Table 5: Faith in the electoral process B Elections Beta Sig. Constant Male .112 .056 .087 BME .205 .067 .042 Having qualifications .157 .075 .022 In full-time education .248 .116 .001 Managerial / professional 27/09/2013 -.374 .000 .065 .032 .323 23
  • 22. Table 6: Perceptions of the “value” of elections B Value of elections Beta Sig. Constant Male .065 .032 .322 BME -.162 -.052 .107 Having qualifications .091 .044 .179 In full-time education .292 .136 .000 Managerial / professional 27/09/2013 -.378 .000 .258 .129 .000 25
  • 24. Perception of the effectiveness of political parties and politicians • Political parties are effective organisations for changing the lives of people for the better (agree 21% : 31%) • My member of parliament tries hard to look after the interests of people in my constituency (agree 24% : 17%) • Parties generally do a good job in finding suitable people to run for parliament (agree 22% : 29%) • Political parties do a good job of listening to young people's concerns, and then responding to them positively (agree 12% : 51%) 27/09/2013 30
  • 25. Table 7: Effectiveness of political parties and politicians B Effectiveness of parties Beta Sig. Constant Male -.037 -.018 .622 BME .022 .007 .853 Having qualifications .225 .107 .004 In full-time education .164 .076 .045 Managerial / professional 27/09/2013 -.238 .012 .001 .001 .987 31
  • 27. Table 8: Trust in political parties and politicians (%) Agree Disagree There is often a big difference between what a party promises it will do and what it actually does when it wins an election 75 3 In general, political parties are more interested in winning elections that in governing afterwards 65 9 The main political parties in Britain don't offer voters real choices in elections because their policies are pretty much all the same 40 18 Political parties do more to divide the country than unite it 47 12 In elections, political parties don't tell people about the really important problems facing the country 48 16 Governments don't really care what young people like me think 54 14 Those elected to parliament soon lose touch with people 62 6 Parties are only interested in people's votes, not in their opinions 65 8 27/09/2013 35
  • 28. Table 9: Trust in political parties and politicians B Trust in parties Beta Sig. Constant Male .110 .055 .139 BME -.276 -.087 .018 Having qualifications .117 .056 .132 In full-time education -.014 -.007 .860 Managerial / professional 27/09/2013 -.140 .137 .105 .052 .162 36
  • 29. Table 10: The impact of socio-economic factors on young people’s political (dis)engagement in Britain Education X X SEC X X X X X X Effectiveness of parties X Qualifications 27/09/2013 X Value of elections X Ethnicity Trust in parties X Faith in electoral process Confidence in knowledge/ understanding of politics X Political power(lessness) Interest in politics Gender X X X X 38
  • 30. Conclusion • Contrary to the common stereotype of a politically apathetic generation, young people are interested in politics, and have faith in the democratic process. • The political system and the established parties and politicians that dominate it, are together failing to provide the stimuli necessary to encourage young people to engage with formal politics… • Their recent experience of their first general election in 2010 has left them feeling somewhat disheartened. • Our study has revealed a considerable aversion to formal, professional politics and to the political classes who are charged with conducting politics on their behalf. • But things are more complex – there is no uniform pattern… • And all we can say with certainty is that there is no quick fix when it comes to reversing the decline in youth political participation 27/09/2013 40
  • 31. Does it matter if young people don’t vote? 27/09/2013 41