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                         Fundamental Analysis &
                         Analyst Recommendations
                         World Top Agriculture Related Co.

                          December 2012




                                                                                                           Q M S Advisors
                                                                                                               .   .

                               Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Valuation Measures I/II
                                                       Market Capitalization & Asset Liability data                                                         Total Revenue                                              EBITDA                                     Earnings Per Share                                    Price/Earnings ratio                       Rev. Growth            EBITDA Growth

                                               Market                        Total                         Minority    Cash and Enterprise                 Est. Tot.                                                                                                                                                      Est. P/E                                  Est.        Est.                   Est. Est.               S&P LT                     Moody's LT
                                        Capitalization (in mio    Daily    Common Total Debt Preferred     Interest   Equivalents Value      Tot. Rev. -   Rev. - Tr.    Est. Tot.   Est. Tot.              Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA -              Est. EPS -   Est. EPS -   Est. EPS -   P/E Ratio -    Ratio - Tr.     Est. P/E     Est. P/E    Revenue     Revenue Est. EBITDA      EBITDA    Est. EBITDA    Credit    S&P LT Credit    Credit    Moody's LT Credit
                               Currency          USD)          Volume (M) Shares (M) (USD)   Stock (USD)    (USD)       (USD)     (USD)         LFY          12M        Rev. - 2013 Rev. - 2014 EBITDA - LFY Tr. 12M          2013          2014      EPS - LFY     Tr. 12M       2013         2014          LFY           12M         Ratio - 2013 Ratio - 2014 Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Margin -      Rating -    Rating Date     Rating      Rating Date
S&P 500 INDEX                  USD          12998604                                                                             1833.863                                 1092         1092          201                      211          211                      98.24        103.78       103.78        14.34          14.34         13.58        13.58                                                        19.03
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr               EUR           2451695                                                                             5502.121                                 4614         4614          781                      787          787                      182.85       301.63       301.63        23.38          15.38         14.17        14.17                                                        21.23
NIKKEI 225                     JPY           2167153                                                                             171.1571                                  215          215          22                         23          23                       4.67         6.62         6.62          0.30          0.23           0.21        0.21                                                          0.13
FTSE 100 INDEX                 GBP           2588755                                                                             11418.23                                 9505         9505         1559                      1647         1647                     624.07       815.31       815.31        23.81          21.13         18.22        18.22                                                        26.10
SWISS MARKET INDEX             CHF           912219                                                                              10433.67                                 3938         3938          839                      803          803                      364.78       522.86       522.86        21.23          18.78         14.81        14.81                                                        22.56
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX        CAD           1655760                                                                             16782.33                                 7800         7800         1912                      1949         1949                     809.04       853.46       853.46        15.29          15.29         14.50        14.50                                                        25.34
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX              AUD           1243037                                                                             6114.367                                 2909         2909          653                      695          695                      269.75       343.28       343.28        17.88          15.04         14.05        14.05                                                        24.18
HANG SENG INDEX                HKD           1639686                                                                             3134.31                                  1449         1449          346                      361          361                      252.13       246.53       246.53         1.44          1.54           1.48        1.48                                                          3.09
MSCI EM                        USD           7288679                                                                             1376.785                                  979          979          183                      180          180                      81.25        87.05        87.05         12.26          12.70         11.44        11.44                                                        18.84


WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LTD       SGD            16475           8008       6401         17          0           1           7        25.47      36561         37091         38072       43387         1581         1777         539          539          0.21         0.16         0.14         0.17         10.58          10.64         12.25        9.98        38.58       21.03        30.41       32.12        3.92          -             -               -            -
TIGER BRANDS LTD               ZAr            6142             55         181         0           0           0           0        6.32        2558         2558          2915         3221          442         442          497          497          1.88         1.91         2.06         2.33          1.90          1.92           1.76        1.56         1.24        1.27        0.85         0.90        1.95          -             -               -            -
TATE & LYLE PLC                GBp            5742             95         466         2           0           0           1        6.45        4943         5089          5197         5373          704         608            -            -          0.83         0.92         0.91         0.97         21.53          21.71         21.76        20.26       21.66        8.13        8.43         3.41       19.13        BBB       15.07.2011        Baa3         08.04.2009
SUEDZUCKER AG                  EUR            7211             55         189         3           0           1           1        10.28       9064         9815          9935         9923         1331         1634         446          446          2.47         4.30         3.72         3.26         11.47          12.21         13.26        15.15       17.49        8.73        40.53       -5.52       21.58        BBB+      05.06.2012            -            -
SINAR MAS AGRO RES & TECH      IDR            2034             10        2872         0           0           0           0        2.44        3300         3014            -            -           282         350            -            -            -          0.07           -            -           0.00             -             -           -          0.01        0.00        0.00         0.00        0.00          -             -               -            -
SMITHFIELD FOODS INC           USD            3289             634        157         2           0           0           0        5.07       13094         13091         13205       13760          975         935          193          193          2.59         2.30         1.85         2.28          9.57          9.57          11.90        9.67         7.31        3.98       -15.65       10.73        7.14         BB       27.03.2012         B1          18.07.2012
SANDERSON FARMS INC            USD            1102             159        22          0           0           0           0        1.23        1978         2298          2368         2483         -122         125            29          29         -5.47         1.23         2.24         1.31         38.99          38.99         21.44        36.53        2.73       10.01          -           -          5.43          -             -               -            -
RUCHI SOYA INDUSTRIES LTD      INR             363             42         333         1           0           0           1        0.90        5392         5392            -            -           218         218            -            -          0.05         0.05           -            -           0.42          0.42             -           -          1.20        0.52        2.10         0.54        0.07          -             -               -            -
PILGRIM'S PRIDE CORP           USD            1720             252        221         1           0           0           0        2.83        7536         7761          7848         8054         -138         361            30          30         -2.17         0.28         0.48         0.54         23.58          23.58         13.83        12.34        9.50        0.30          -           -          4.65          B       16.08.2011        Caa1         28.06.2011
MARFRIG ALIMENTOS SA           BRL            2008            1393        346         6           -           0           2        6.93       10514         11062         11490       12650          852         1007         231          231         -1.03         -0.46        0.09         0.15            -              -          30.73        18.15       18.17       25.29        8.68          -          4.37         B+       01.09.2010            -            -
MOLINOS RIO DE LA PLATA S.A.   ARS            1060              8         250         1           0           0           0        1.99        2656         3272            -            -           56           98            -            -          0.23         0.06           -            -          15.35          15.37            -           -          3.18        7.02       -14.40        0.64        0.62          -             -               -            -
MEWAH INTERNATIONAL INC        SGD             555             524       1507         0           0           0           0        0.76        3654         3654          3418         3539          22           22            64          64          0.02         0.02         0.02         0.02         10.75          10.09         12.04        10.03       21.64          -        -63.39         -          0.50          -             -               -            -
MAPLE LEAF FOODS INC           CAD            1545             31         140         1           0           0           0        2.69         5K            5K           5K           5K           392         360          119          119          1.01         0.83         0.94         1.14         13.45          13.45         11.85        9.73        -1.51        -0.95       5.55         5.12        7.34          -             -               -            -
M DIAS BRANCO SA               BRL            3791             48         113         0           0           0           0        4.01        1399         1625          1627         1810          231         292            73          73          1.55         1.91         1.90         2.30          8.42             -           8.44        6.98         9.18          -         1.54         7.04        8.63          -             -               -            -
L.D.C. SA                      EUR             804              0          8          0           0           0           0        0.84        3597         3622          3668         3773          219         219          227          227          9.13         9.79        10.01        10.40         13.05          13.05         12.76        12.29       11.14       13.27        4.23        12.85        7.91          -             -               -            -
JBS SA                         BRL            8686            3010       2964         9           0           0           3        16.41      29689         34005         34032       36050         1476         1606         555          555         -0.04         0.08         0.17         0.25         17.40         135.34          8.14        5.53         5.88       15.30        -6.03         -          2.40         BB       16.07.2010         B1          21.10.2008
INCITEC PIVOT LTD              AUD            5357            6530       1629         2           0           0           0        6.70        3655         3655          3887         4116          976         976          333          333          0.28         0.33         0.25         0.30         10.51          12.44         13.48        11.46       -1.31       32.70        3.96        24.43       27.89        BBB       12.10.2009        Baa3         04.12.2009
HORMEL FOODS CORP              USD            8055             440        263         0           0           0           1        7.54        8231         8231          8607         8945          845         845          218          218          1.86         1.86         1.94         2.09         16.47          16.47         15.79        14.63        4.25        6.02        0.69         6.85       10.27          A       31.05.2001         A2          31.05.2001
GRUMA S.A.B.-B                 MXN            1630             139        564         1           0           0           0        2.87        4441         4990          4949         5216          380         430          116          116          0.08         0.23         0.17         0.24          0.96             -           1.30        0.94         1.90        0.98        3.00         0.58        0.66         BB       14.03.2012         WR          15.10.2007
FAUJI FERTILIZER COMPANY LTD   PKR            1490             159       1272         0           0           0           0        1.71        1155         1201           722          749          509         453          303          303          0.19         0.18         0.16         0.16          0.07          0.07           0.08        0.08         0.27        0.27        0.77         0.36        0.39          -             -               -            -
FAUJI FERTILIZER BIN QASIM     PKR             351             316        934         0           0           0           0        0.50         581          507            -            -           179         109            -            -          0.12         0.06         0.06         0.07          0.06          0.06           0.07        0.06         0.30        0.63        0.59         0.36        0.22          -             -               -            -
EBRO FOODS SA                  EUR            2741             34         150         1           0           0           0        3.21        2339         2563          2660         2740          351         395          392          392          1.29         1.39         1.32         1.42         16.65          17.47         17.53        16.22        7.78        -4.67       5.58        -6.16       19.96          -             -               -            -
DEAN FOODS CO                  USD            3147            1084        184         4           0           0           0        6.53       13055         12779         12740       13188          691         912          214          214          0.78         1.31         1.26         1.29         12.97          12.97         13.48        13.16        7.69        0.65        -2.15       -5.21        7.14         B+       02.12.2010       B2       *-   08.08.2012
CHAMBAL FERTILISERS & CHEM     INR             490            1336        416         1           0           0           0        1.12        1350         1350          1316         1397          156         156          153          153          0.07         0.07         0.15         0.16          0.31          0.31           0.14        0.13         0.58        0.46        0.30         0.22        0.21          -             -               -            -
CHINA GREEN AGRICULTURE INC    USD              98             55         27          0           0           0           0        0.04         218          204            -            -           60           59            -            -          1.56         1.48           -            -           2.36          2.36             -           -         21.04       61.90        25.19       49.43       29.12          -             -               -            -
DEAN FOODS CO                  USD            3147            1084        184         4           0           0           0        6.53       13055         12779         12740       13188          691         912          214          214          0.78         1.31         1.26         1.29         12.97          12.97         13.48        13.16        7.69        0.65        -2.15       -5.21        7.14         B+       02.12.2010       B2       *-   08.08.2012
SINAR MAS AGRO RES & TECH      IDR            2034             10        2872         0           0           0           0        2.44        3300         3014            -            -           282         350            -            -            -          0.07           -            -           0.00             -             -           -          0.01        0.00        0.00         0.00        0.00          -             -               -            -
GRUMA S.A.B.-B                 MXN            1630             139        564         1           0           0           0        2.87        4441         4990          4949         5216          380         430          116          116          0.08         0.23         0.17         0.24          0.96             -           1.30        0.94         1.90        0.98        3.00         0.58        0.66         BB       14.03.2012         WR          15.10.2007
AARHUSKARLSHAMN AB             SEK            1639              6         41          1           0           0           0        2.12        2516         2590          2618         2762          190         198            55          55            -          2.33         2.38         2.87          2.59             -           2.53        2.10         1.92        1.02        0.07         2.15        1.15          -             -               -            -
PETRA FOODS LTD                SGD            1379              6         611         0           0           0           0        1.65        1392         1264          1279         1350          105         108          106          106          0.08         0.08         0.08         0.08         18.49          18.42         20.06        18.46        7.11        8.39        15.71       15.84        6.99          -             -               -            -
BRF - BRASIL FOODS SA          BRL            16615           2563        869         4           -           0           1        19.85      12350         13198         13449       14767         1383         1159         417          417          0.75         0.21         0.46         0.96         44.48          25.66         19.80        9.49         6.41       18.24        11.55       25.41        4.36        BBB-      04.04.2012        Baa3         31.05.2012
BUNGE LTD                      USD            10678            266        144         4           1           0           1        19.06      58743         62274         63883       68727         1701         1655         627          627          5.83         5.62         6.26         7.66         13.00          13.00         11.66        9.54        28.52       15.26        21.85       13.15        2.66        BBB-      10.06.2010            -            -
INDUSTRIAS BACHOCO-SER B       MXN            1295             42         600         0           0           0           0        1.16        2137         2866          3053         3219          57          209          250          250            -          0.20         0.24         0.13          0.82             -           0.70        1.27         0.94        1.32        -5.91       -1.33        0.56          -             -               -            -
ADECOAGRO SA                   USD            1105             48         121         0           0           0           0        1.32         548          515           611          785          159         131            -            -          0.48         -0.25        0.43         0.64            -              -          21.29        14.28       28.58          -           -           -         22.36          -             -               -            -
ASSOCIATED BRITISH FOODS PLC   GBp            18300            122        792         2           0           1           1        20.62      19613         19613         20604       21832         2507         2507         1373         1373         1.30         1.13         1.49         1.64         32.86          28.54         24.78        22.62       17.17       20.52        33.35       21.58       20.46          -             -               -            -
AARHUSKARLSHAMN AB             SEK            1639              6         41          1           0           0           0        2.12        2516         2590          2618         2762          190         198            55          55            -          2.33         2.38         2.87          2.59             -           2.53        2.10         1.92        1.02        0.07         2.15        1.15          -             -               -            -
YUNNAN YUNTIANHUA CO-A         CNY            1347            8755        694         2           0           0           0        3.94        1616         1622          5626         5239          292           -            -            -          0.04         -0.09        -0.08        0.08            -              -             -         4.13         6.62        1.95        2.75         1.47          -           -             -               -            -
CHINA BLUECHEMICAL LTD - H     HKD            2831            4867       4610         0           0           0           0        2.19        1259         1290          1440         1639          458         431            -            -          0.05         0.05         0.06         0.06          1.20          1.27           1.10        1.02         5.43        2.73        6.19         2.12        4.31          -             -               -            -
SINOFERT HOLDINGS LTD          HKD            1532           14360       7023         1           0           0           0        1.94        4733         5258          5249         5549          152         177            -            -          0.01         0.01         0.02         0.02          1.69             -           1.47        1.28         3.27        2.13        10.01        0.19        0.44          -             -               -            -
FUJI OIL CO LTD                JPY            1234             236        86          0           0           0           0        1.61        2882         2822          2891         2986          267         259            -            -          1.20         1.07         1.29         1.43          0.16             -           0.13        0.12         0.08        0.04        -0.19        0.06        0.11          -             -               -            -
TAIWAN FERTILIZER CO LTD       TWD            2424            4818        980         0           0           0           0        2.37         583          577           602          601          23            4            38          38          0.12         0.08         0.12         0.13          1.03             -           0.68        0.67         0.61        0.19        -1.27        0.09        0.02          -             -               -            -
SHANDONG KINGENTA ECOLOGIC-A   CNY            1516             431        700         0           0           0           0        1.58        1225         1461          1642         2148          98          112            -            -          0.10         0.12         0.13         0.17          2.96             -           2.62        2.08         6.29          -         6.01          -          1.23          -             -               -            -
SHENZHEN NOPOSION AGROCHEM-A   CNY             406            1003        354         0           0           0           0        0.37         249          248           262          341          18            -            24          24          0.03         0.04         0.05         0.07          4.39             -           3.62        2.67         1.08          -         -2.98        3.64          -           -             -               -            -
HENAN SHUANGHUI INVESTMENT-A   CNY            10224            556        606         0           0           0           0        9.94        6027         6712          7115         8686          151           -          354          354            -          0.32         0.45         0.59          4.64             -           3.28        2.55         0.57        2.05        -7.99        0.17          -           -             -               -            -
LUXI CHEMICAL GROUP CO LT-A    CNY             859            2849       1465         1           0           0           0        1.96        1493         1657            -            -           240           -            -            -          0.04         0.04         0.07         0.09          2.24             -           1.30        1.05         3.47        3.14        10.74        3.35          -           -             -               -            -
QINGHAI SALT LAKE INDUSTRY-A   CNY            5999            2200       1591         2           0           0           0        8.20        1014         1070          1195         1456          509           -            -            -            -          0.19         0.26         0.33          3.17             -           2.33        1.86         2.54        9.20        2.85         2.39          -           -             -               -            -
HUBEI YIHUA CHEMICAL INDUS-A   CNY            1376            5619        777         3           0           0           1        4.11        2847         3050          3076         3553          477           -            -            -            -          0.12         0.20         0.24          2.00             -           1.25        1.05         8.66        4.95        4.93         5.40          -           -             -               -            -
LIAONING HUAJIN TONGDA CHE-A   CNY            1132            3191       1201         2           0           0           0        3.76        5721         5307          5916         7176          485           -            -            -          0.11         -0.03        0.11         0.12            -              -           1.39        1.25         9.53       20.29        5.64          -            -           -             -               -            -




                                                                                                                                                                                       Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Valuation Measures II/II
                                        Price to Book Ratio                     Price to Sales Ratio                     Price to Cash Flow Ratio                                 Enterprise Value to EBITDA Ratio                    Price to Earnings Ratio                    Estimated Dividend Yield               Target
                               2012   2013     2014      2015   2016   2012   2013      2014      2015   2016   2012      2013        2014        2015        2016        2012        2013      2014     2015        2016    2012     2013     2014      2015    2016    2012    2013      2014     2015    2016    2012      %D to Spot
S&P 500 INDEX                  2.07   2.07     1.90      1.73   2.07   1.29   1.29      1.24      1.19   1.29   9.35      9.35        8.77        8.55        9.35        8.71        8.71      8.15     7.55        8.71    13.58    13.58    12.28     11.00   13.58   2.25     2.25     2.44     2.63    2.25    1604.5       13.9%
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr               1.14   1.14     1.08      1.02   1.14   0.71   0.71      0.70      0.68   0.71   5.21      5.21        4.99        4.62        5.21        6.99        6.99      6.73     6.36        6.99    10.93    10.93    10.06     9.11    10.93   4.18     4.18     4.59     4.94    4.18    2734.7       7.5%
NIKKEI 225                     1.15   1.15     1.08      1.01   1.15   0.53   0.53      0.50      0.50   0.53   6.88      6.88        6.19        5.86        6.88        7.52        7.52      6.81     6.40        7.52    17.27    17.27    14.47     11.54   17.27   2.20     2.20     2.21     2.52    2.20    9805.9       4.4%
FTSE 100 INDEX                 1.62   1.62     1.50      1.39   1.62   0.98   0.98      0.96      0.93   0.98   7.61      7.61        6.96        5.60        7.61        6.93        6.93      6.47     6.06        6.93    11.38    11.38    10.45     9.54    11.38   4.04     4.04     4.28     4.59    4.04    6362.7       9.7%
SWISS MARKET INDEX             2.16   2.16     2.02      1.88   2.16   1.83   1.83      1.73      1.64   1.83   11.93    11.93       10.40        9.20        11.93       12.99       12.99     11.99    11.16       12.99   13.76    13.76    12.51     11.35   13.76   3.50     3.50     3.80     4.18    3.50    7314.0       9.4%
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX        1.68   1.68     1.55      1.45   1.68   1.58   1.58      1.47      1.37   1.58   8.65      8.65        7.65        7.08        8.65        8.61        8.61      7.45     6.81        8.61    14.40    14.40    12.55     11.39   14.40   3.05     3.05     3.21     3.28    3.05   14215.3       16.4%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX              1.67   1.67     1.58      1.49   1.67   1.59   1.59      1.48      1.41   1.59   9.83      9.83        8.91        6.65        9.83        8.80        8.80      7.78     7.16        8.80    13.46    13.46    11.99     10.98   13.46   4.87     4.87     5.24     5.64    4.87    4732.9       7.0%
HANG SENG INDEX                1.41   1.41     1.30      1.20   1.41   1.95   1.95      1.80      1.67   1.95   7.51      7.51        7.00        6.66        7.51        8.68        8.68      7.88     7.23        8.68    11.44    11.44    10.52     9.58    11.44   3.39     3.39     3.62     3.95    3.39   23289.2       6.5%
MSCI EM                        1.51   1.51     1.37      1.24   1.51   1.02   1.02      0.94      0.88   1.02   7.13      7.13        6.48        5.16        7.13        7.63        7.63      6.81     6.24        7.63    11.44    11.44    10.02     9.05    11.44   2.87     2.87     3.05     3.42    2.87    1138.7       14.3%


WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LTD       1.24   1.16     1.08      1.00   1.00   0.39   0.35      0.31      0.28   0.27   8.47     11.06       12.88        9.65                    12.05       14.04     12.09    10.97       9.38     9.91    14.98    12.21     10.96   9.91    2.37     1.59     1.90     2.17    2.33     3.36        6.6%
TIGER BRANDS LTD               3.91   3.39     3.02      2.71          2.42   2.11      1.91      1.67   1.46   15.61    13.37       12.18       11.40        11.45       13.94       12.73     11.50    10.48               17.17    15.58    13.80     12.31   10.74   3.00     3.29     3.70     4.13    4.66   28207.78      -1.0%
TATE & LYLE PLC                3.37   3.06     2.71      2.40   2.16   1.19   1.10      1.07      1.04   1.06   10.84    11.54        9.68        9.10        8.07        8.93        8.65      8.24     7.85        7.52    13.86    13.60    12.66     11.73   10.76   3.25     3.38     3.56     3.77    4.03    765.36       -0.5%
SUEDZUCKER AG                  1.79   1.55     1.43      1.31   1.08   0.81   0.73      0.73      0.73   0.74   9.53      6.62        6.97        7.29        6.46        7.77        6.46      6.76     7.09        6.81    15.32    10.22    11.69     12.33   12.31   2.33     2.83     2.78     2.78    2.81    33.22        13.1%
SINAR MAS AGRO RES & TECH
SMITHFIELD FOODS INC           0.94   0.93     0.84      0.76          0.25   0.25      0.24      0.24          6.43      6.24        5.74        4.77                    4.80        6.30      5.65     5.09                 8.30    11.90    9.67      8.90            0.00     0.00     0.00                     21.50        -2.3%
SANDERSON FARMS INC            2.00   1.96     1.97      1.73          0.56   0.47      0.44      0.45                                                                                7.98      10.88    5.66                         21.44    36.53     10.45           1.40     1.46     1.57     1.70            46.83        -2.3%
RUCHI SOYA INDUSTRIES LTD                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         0.49     0.49                     60.00        -1.2%
PILGRIM'S PRIDE CORP           2.14   1.73     2.51                    0.23   0.22      0.21      0.22                                                                                7.75      7.15     5.20                         13.83    12.34     5.77            0.00     0.00     0.00                      6.70        0.9%
MARFRIG ALIMENTOS SA           0.87   1.09     1.09      1.05   0.85   0.19   0.17      0.16      0.15   0.14   16.79     5.36        4.68        3.68        2.89        9.59        7.43      6.36     5.45        4.69             63.97    37.78     18.46   6.87    1.06     0.27     0.56     1.51    2.48    12.39        2.5%
MOLINOS RIO DE LA PLATA S.A.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        15.00        -26.5%
MEWAH INTERNATIONAL INC        0.99   0.97     0.92      0.83          0.13   0.13      0.13      0.11                   16.00        7.83        6.03                    11.88       11.86     10.29    8.38                11.87    14.72    12.27     9.68            2.72     1.90     1.90     2.99             0.42        -6.2%
MAPLE LEAF FOODS INC           1.65   1.66     1.45      1.24          0.32   0.31      0.30      0.30          5.03      6.00        5.05        4.31                    6.51        6.66      5.68     5.09                11.33    11.77    9.66      8.27            1.46     1.46     1.46     1.46            13.93        27.1%
M DIAS BRANCO SA               4.06   3.44     2.95      2.69          2.78   2.33      2.09      2.00   1.79   22.01    17.65       14.75       13.64        11.99       16.73       13.29     11.54    10.63       8.97    23.09    17.57    14.53     13.58   10.59   0.97     1.38     1.65     1.80    2.30    68.67        -1.3%
L.D.C. SA                      1.01   0.94     0.88      0.82          0.23   0.22      0.21      0.21          4.97      4.39        4.13        4.00                    4.03        3.68      3.44     3.25                11.03    9.85     9.48      8.89            2.46     2.58     2.68     2.81            91.05        19.8%
JBS SA                         0.81   0.86     0.81      0.77   0.71   0.30   0.26      0.24      0.22   0.21            20.13        7.46        6.31        5.81        10.73       8.24      6.78     6.18        5.65    145.24   16.94    11.51     9.43    9.46             1.21     1.93     2.62    2.13     7.45        22.1%
INCITEC PIVOT LTD              1.33   1.22     1.17      1.10   1.04   1.33   1.38      1.30      1.22   1.28   10.06     8.87        7.95        7.61        7.27        8.45        7.83      7.07     6.64        6.77    12.70    12.91    10.98     10.00   10.40   3.30     4.00     4.44     4.83    5.17     3.47        10.1%
HORMEL FOODS CORP              2.90   2.58     2.32                    0.97   0.94      0.90                    13.24    15.21       12.13                                8.69        8.40      7.77                         16.48    15.79    14.63                     1.95     2.07     2.21                     31.33        2.3%
GRUMA S.A.B.-B                 1.72   1.42     1.23      1.11   1.15   0.39   0.33      0.31      0.29   0.28   6.85      7.38        5.69        5.11                    8.31        6.72      5.93     5.41        5.19     4.62    16.93    12.23     10.68   11.21            0.27     1.06     2.52            42.68        13.7%
FAUJI FERTILIZER COMPANY LTD   7.14                                           2.06      1.99                              7.23        7.53                                            5.64      5.79                          6.67    7.40     7.47      7.82            13.50   12.99    13.49     11.51           130.47       15.8%
FAUJI FERTILIZER BIN QASIM     2.50                                    0.61                                                                                                                                                   3.36    6.56     5.39                      26.94    9.56    14.88     14.89           42.98        19.1%
EBRO FOODS SA                  1.37   1.26     1.22      1.16          1.15   1.03      1.00      0.98   0.96   10.97     9.70        9.37        8.93                    9.09        8.18      7.69     7.35        7.10    15.05    13.52    12.51     11.84   10.65   4.51     3.75     4.04     4.26    5.31    16.52        20.3%
DEAN FOODS CO                         6.27     8.32      3.25          0.24   0.25      0.24      0.23   0.23   7.20      5.63        5.62        5.72                    8.75        7.53      7.57     7.09                23.47    13.48    13.16     11.18   9.76    0.00     0.00     0.00                     20.53        20.8%
CHAMBAL FERTILISERS & CHEM     1.54   1.41     1.24                    0.42   0.37      0.35                    4.35      3.91        3.68                                7.35        7.32      7.05                          8.32    8.00     7.44                      3.00     3.06     3.17                     80.38        22.4%
CHINA GREEN AGRICULTURE INC
DEAN FOODS CO                         6.27     8.32      3.25          0.24   0.25      0.24      0.23   0.23   7.20      5.63        5.62        5.72                    8.75        7.53      7.57     7.09                23.47    13.48    13.16     11.18   9.76    0.00     0.00     0.00                     20.53        20.8%
SINAR MAS AGRO RES & TECH
GRUMA S.A.B.-B                 1.72   1.42     1.23      1.11   1.15   0.39   0.33      0.31      0.29   0.28   6.85      7.38        5.69        5.11                    8.31        6.72      5.93     5.41        5.19     4.62    16.93    12.23     10.68   11.21            0.27     1.06     2.52            42.68        13.7%
AARHUSKARLSHAMN AB             3.16   2.76     2.41      2.11          0.66   0.63      0.59      0.56   0.57   14.04    11.50       10.54        9.40                    10.96       10.36     9.10     8.30        7.31    18.87    16.81    13.95     12.22           1.80     1.92     2.16     2.35            283.67       6.6%
PETRA FOODS LTD                4.01   4.20     3.77      3.40          0.78   0.88      0.84      0.76          15.05    15.57       15.05       12.54                    16.04       15.54     14.67    13.42               22.13    24.53    22.57     19.13           1.82     1.77     1.91     2.04             2.25        -18.7%
BRF - BRASIL FOODS SA          2.39   2.35     2.18      2.02   1.94   1.34   1.24      1.13      1.02   0.96   14.36    17.01       12.66       10.37        9.27        13.00       15.97     10.92    8.92        7.81    19.99    41.21    19.75     14.65   12.35   1.23     0.88     1.39     1.87    2.25    40.82        3.0%
BUNGE LTD                      0.86   0.92     0.86      0.79          0.19   0.17      0.16      0.16   0.16   11.34                 5.43        7.27                    11.10       9.71      8.21     7.94        7.66    12.48    11.66    9.54      8.76    7.69    1.34     1.37     1.52     1.63    1.92    81.33        11.3%
INDUSTRIAS BACHOCO-SER B                                               0.61   0.42      0.40                                                                              21.30       4.65      6.32     4.79        4.48             9.04     16.48                                                                33.73        20.4%
ADECOAGRO SA                   1.04   0.99     0.92      0.85   0.77   2.04   1.81      1.41      1.27   1.04   14.23    14.02        8.51        6.20        5.12        8.78        9.08      5.87     5.24        3.74    19.26    21.29    14.28     12.34   8.47             0.00     0.00     0.99            13.74        50.8%
ASSOCIATED BRITISH FOODS PLC   1.87   1.75     1.61      1.48   1.27   0.93   0.89      0.84      0.79   0.74   11.19     9.94        9.50        8.28        7.12        8.93        8.38      7.87     7.27        6.63    16.77    15.48    14.13     12.87   11.67   1.90     2.08     2.26     2.56    2.93   1426.18       -1.2%
AARHUSKARLSHAMN AB             3.16   2.76     2.41      2.11          0.66   0.63      0.59      0.56   0.57   14.04    11.50       10.54        9.40                    10.96       10.36     9.10     8.30        7.31    18.87    16.81    13.95     12.22           1.80     1.92     2.16     2.35            283.67       6.6%
YUNNAN YUNTIANHUA CO-A         1.28                                    0.86   0.24      0.26      0.71                                                                    12.33       17.91     12.74    13.37               36.75             25.72    604.50           0.79     0.91     1.57     0.17             6.20        -48.7%
CHINA BLUECHEMICAL LTD - H     1.43   1.30     1.17      1.05          1.82   1.58      1.39      1.34          5.58      5.01        5.15        5.33                    4.58        4.32      3.90     3.77                 8.73    8.55     7.87      7.54            3.77     4.16     4.55     4.86             6.75        41.8%
SINOFERT HOLDINGS LTD          0.70   0.69     0.65      0.61          0.26   0.23      0.22      0.21                    6.79        5.90        5.66                    9.49        10.77     9.37     8.21                 8.99    11.41    9.91      8.18            1.77     1.40     1.62     1.92             1.91        12.9%
FUJI OIL CO LTD                0.97   0.91     0.85      0.79   0.77   0.42   0.43      0.41      0.40   0.41   5.62      5.41        5.02        4.78                    5.83        5.45      5.18     4.91        5.30    11.84    10.95    9.85      8.94    10.26   2.07     2.09     2.20     2.39    2.94   1250.00       8.0%
TAIWAN FERTILIZER CO LTD       1.38   1.38     1.31      1.24          4.32   4.03      4.04      3.18          17.60    18.21       18.25       17.57                    41.40       28.94     26.29    15.43               21.33    19.90    19.43     14.19           3.48     3.53     3.73     4.70            82.54        14.6%
SHANDONG KINGENTA ECOLOGIC-A   3.03   2.64     2.21      1.84          1.25   0.92      0.71      0.58                   20.52       31.57       17.81                    16.65       12.75     9.67     7.43                20.06    16.30    12.94     9.88                     1.26     1.71     2.15
SHENZHEN NOPOSION AGROCHEM-A   1.94   1.96     1.79      1.60          1.56   1.55      1.19      0.95          19.39     9.97       41.06       41.06                    12.47       15.12     11.19    8.92                19.07    22.52    16.62     15.17           1.58
HENAN SHUANGHUI INVESTMENT-A   8.60   3.46     3.08      2.71          1.79   1.44      1.18      0.97          28.68    18.55       13.82       10.99                    38.36       16.31     12.67    10.10               43.53    20.45    15.85     12.60           1.90     1.54     2.47     3.32            85.00        46.9%
LUXI CHEMICAL GROUP CO LT-A    1.55                                    0.43                                     5.62                                                      7.58                                               12.17    8.11     6.52
QINGHAI SALT LAKE INDUSTRY-A   5.67   2.36     2.01      1.72          5.20   5.02      4.12      3.34          14.06     8.19        9.49        7.06                    13.13       13.53     10.51    8.05                12.28    14.53    11.55     10.49           0.00     0.94     1.31     1.50            34.47        46.8%
HUBEI YIHUA CHEMICAL INDUS-A   1.83   1.10     0.98      0.86          0.56   0.45      0.39      0.35          3.39      4.13        2.73        2.51                    9.40        7.97      7.18     6.69                 9.24    7.79     6.52      6.77            1.75     0.94     1.08     1.18            14.23        49.2%
LIAONING HUAJIN TONGDA CHE-A                                           0.22   0.19      0.16      0.15                                                                                                                        9.78    8.67     7.80      5.64




                                                                                                                        Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
26.11.2012




Wilmar International Ltd
Wilmar International Ltd. is an agribusiness company. The Company is involved                                         Price/Volume
in oil palm cultivation, edible oils refining, oilseeds crushing, consumer pack
                                                                                                                       7                                                                                           90.0 M
edible oils processing and merchandising, specialty fats, oleochemicals and                                                                                                                                        80.0 M
                                                                                                                       6
biodiesel manufacturing, and grains processing and merchandising. Wilmar also                                                                                                                                      70.0 M
manufactures and distributes fertilizers and owns a fleet of vessels.                                                  5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   60.0 M
                                                                                                                       4                                                                                           50.0 M
                     Valuation Analysis                                                                                3                                                                                           40.0 M
Latest Fiscal Year:                                                                                       12/2011                                                                                                  30.0 M
                                                                                                                       2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   20.0 M
LTM as of:                                                                                                   12/yy     1                                                                                           10.0 M
52-Week High (15.02.2012)                                                                                      6.05
                                                                                                                       0                                                                                          .0 M
52-Week Low (13.09.2012)                                                                                       2.99    m-11        j-11   j-11   a-11   s-11   o-11   n-11   d-11   j-12     f-12 m-12    a-12 m-12
Daily Volume                                                                                          8'008'000.00
                  Current Price (11/dd/yy)                                                                     3.15                   Market Data
  52-Week High % Change                                                                                   -47.93%   Dividend Yield                                                                                         -
  52-Week Low % Change                                                                                       5.35%  Beta                                                                                                0.99
  % 52 Week Price Range High/Low                                                                             5.23%  Equity Float                                                                                    2'313.63
Shares Out 26.11.2012                                                                                     6'396.0   Short Int                                                                                              -
                    Market Capitalization                                                                20'147.52  1 Yr Total Return                                                                               -35.95%
Total Debt                                                                                               20'888.94  YTD Return                                                                                      -36.20%
Preferred Stock                                                                                                0.0  Adjusted BETA                                                                                     0.995
Minority Interest                                                                                           878.2   Analyst Recs                                                                                          28
Cash and Equivalents                                                                                     8'232.07   Consensus Rating                                                                                   2.821
Enterprise Value                                                                                         31'148.49            Average Daily Trading Volume
              Relative Stock Price Performance                                                                      Average Volume 5 Day                                                                           9'658'600
WIL SP EQUITY YTD Change                                                                                          - Average Volume 30 Day                                                                         12'515'130
WIL SP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE                                                                                        - Average Volume 3 Month                                                                        12'157'540
                                                               Fiscal Year Ended                                           LTM-4Q            LTM           FY+1          FY+2              FQ+1          FQ+2
                                31.12.2007       31.12.2008       31.12.2009          31.12.2010      31.12.2011            12/yy           12/yy        12/12 Y     12/13 Y     12/12 Q4 03/13 Q1
    Total Revenue                   16'466.2         29'145.2         23'885.1            30'377.5        44'710.0         30'377.5        44'710.0      46'557.8     53'058.5    12'211.3  11'852.5
    TEV/Revenue                         1.74x            0.57x            1.60x               1.48x           1.00x            5.36x           4.16x         0.66x        0.61x           -         -
       EBITDA                          833.6          1'969.8          2'424.9             1'409.2         1'933.4          1'409.2         2'329.5       2'218.4      2'576.1       659.0     555.0
     TEV/EBITDA                        34.28x            8.46x          15.75x              31.95x          23.14x           31.91x          19.21x        14.04x       12.09x      12.47x    12.13x
     Net Income                        580.4          1'531.0          1'882.0             1'324.0         1'600.8          1'324.0         1'600.8       1'101.7      1'357.3       378.0     245.0
          P/E                          29.28x            8.10x          15.52x              21.19x          15.43x           21.19x          15.49x        14.98x       12.21x      12.21x    12.32x
                                                    Profitability                                                                                               S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA                                                                                                    1'933.39    Long-Term Rating Date                                                                                  -
EBIT                                                                                                      1'454.82    Long-Term Rating                                                                                       -
Operating Margin                                                                                             3.25%    Long-Term Outlook                                                                                      -
Pretax Margin                                                                                                4.65%    Short-Term Rating Date                                                                                 -
Return on Assets                                                                                             3.17%    Short-Term Rating                                                                                      -
Return on Common Equity                                                                                      9.62%    Credit Ratios
Return on Capital                                                                                            5.23%    EBITDA/Interest Exp.                                                                               3.74
Asset Turnover                                                                                               1.12%    (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp.                                                                       0.73
Margin Analysis                                                                                                       Net Debt/EBITDA                                                                                    6.37
Gross Margin                                                                                                  8.7%    Total Debt/EBITDA                                                                                  9.67
EBITDA Margin                                                                                                 4.8%    Reference
EBIT Margin                                                                                                   3.6%    Total Debt/Equity                                                                              156.2%
Net Income Margin                                                                                             3.6%    Total Debt/Capital                                                                              59.4%
Structure                                                                                                             Asset Turnover                                                                                   1.12
Current Ratio                                                                                                 1.07    Net Fixed Asset Turnover                                                                         5.95
Quick Ratio                                                                                                   0.53    Accounts receivable turnover-days                                                               33.52
Debt to Assets                                                                                             52.70%     Inventory Days                                                                                  64.27
Tot Debt to Common Equity                                                                                 156.24%     Accounts Payable Turnover Day                                                                   15.88
Accounts Receivable Turnover                                                                                10.92     Cash Conversion Cycle                                                                           75.67
Inventory Turnover                                                                                            5.69
Price/ Cash Flow                                                                                                       Sales/Revenue/Turnover

 90.00                                                                                                                50'000.0
 80.00                                                                                                                45'000.0
 70.00                                                                                                                40'000.0
                                                                                                                      35'000.0
 60.00
                                                                                                                      30'000.0
 50.00
                                                                                                                      25'000.0
 40.00
                                                                                                                      20'000.0
 30.00                                                                                                                15'000.0
 20.00                                                                                                                10'000.0
 10.00                                                                                                                 5'000.0
  0.00
                                                                                                                             0.0
  02.01.2009       02.07.2009       02.01.2010    02.07.2010      02.01.2011       02.07.2011    02.01.2012                         1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011




                                                                Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
26.11.2012




Wilmar International Ltd
Holdings By:        All

            Holder Name                    Portfolio Name                 Source                Amt Held       % Out    Latest Chg        File Dt          Inst Type
PPB GROUP BHD                       n/a                                             Co File    1'172'614'755    18.32             -        06.03.2012          Corporation
GLOBAL COCOA HOLDING                n/a                                             Co File      356'399'775     5.57             -        06.03.2012                Other
WILMAR INTL HOLDINGS                n/a                                             Co File      354'961'795     5.54             -        06.03.2012                  n/a
LONGHLIN ASIA LTD                   n/a                                             Co File      336'009'921     5.25             -        06.03.2012                  n/a
ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLA                n/a                                             Co File      335'625'280     5.24             -        06.03.2012          Corporation
CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN                n/a                                              EXCH        317'267'061     4.96      (7'808'000)     23.02.2011   Investment Advisor
FIREFLY LTD                         n/a                                             Co File      294'801'479      4.6             -        06.03.2012                  n/a
BOLNEY ENTERPRISES L                n/a                                             Co File      294'801'372      4.6             -        06.03.2012                  n/a
HARPOLE RESOURCES LT                n/a                                             Co File      256'211'778        4             -        06.03.2012                  n/a
NOBLESPIRIT CORP                    n/a                                             Co File      242'600'000     3.79             -        06.03.2012                  n/a
HPR INVESTMENTS LTD                 n/a                                             Co File      230'461'271      3.6             -        06.03.2012                  n/a
HONG LEE HOLDINGS PT                n/a                                             Co File      179'204'971      2.8             -        06.03.2012                  n/a
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C                Multiple Portfolios                            MF-AGG         88'990'316     1.39         120'000      01.05.2012   Investment Advisor
CAPITAL WORLD INVEST                Multiple Portfolios                            MF-AGG         85'920'000     1.34    (10'305'000)      31.03.2012   Investment Advisor
BONOTO INVESTMENTS L                n/a                                             Co File       51'267'514      0.8             -        06.03.2012                  n/a
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO                Multiple Portfolios                            MF-AGG         36'537'000     0.57    (80'996'000)      31.03.2012   Investment Advisor
YONG TEO KIM                        n/a                                             Co File       33'852'274     0.53             -        21.01.2012                  n/a
NATALON CO LTD                      n/a                                             Co File       33'760'355     0.53             -        06.03.2012                  n/a
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS                Multiple Portfolios                            MF-AGG         31'973'000      0.5             -        02.05.2012   Investment Advisor
DALEX INVESTMENTS LT                n/a                                             Co File       30'405'900     0.47             -        06.03.2012          Corporation




            Firm Name                          Analyst               Recommendation            Weighting       Change   Target Price       Date              Date

Standard Chartered                     ADRIAN FOULGER                               in-line              3         D               5        12 month           30.04.2012
HSBC                                   THILAN WICKRAMASINGHE                       neutral               3         U               5     Not Provided          26.04.2012
Morgan Stanley                         CHARLES C SPENCER                   Overwt/In-Line                5         M               6        12 month           20.04.2012
OSK (Asia) Securities                  ALVIN TAI                                   neutral               3         M               5        12 month           16.04.2012
Phillip Securities                     LEE KOK JOO                                 neutral               3         U               5        12 month           13.04.2012
BNP Paribas Equity Research            MICHAEL GREENALL                               hold               3         M               5        12 month           12.04.2012
TA Securities Holdings Berhad          JAMES RATNAM                                   hold               3         M               6     Not Provided          12.04.2012
UOB Kay Hian                           TEAM COVERAGE                                   buy               5         M               6     Not Provided          10.04.2012
JPMorgan                               YING-JIAN CHAN                         overweight                 5         M               6         6 month           09.04.2012
Nomura                                 TANUJ SHORI                                 neutral               3         M               6     Not Provided          09.04.2012
Jefferies                              ARYA SEN                             underperform                 1         M               4        12 month           14.03.2012
Euro Pacific Capital Inc               STEVE WILDER                                    buy               5         N               6        12 month           13.03.2012
OCBC Investment Research               CAREY WONG                                     hold               3         M               5        12 month           12.03.2012
DBS Vickers                            BEN SANTOSO                                     buy               5         M               6        12 month           06.03.2012
Kim Eng Securities                     ROHAN SUPPIAH                                    sell             1         M               5        12 month           28.02.2012
Deutsche Bank                          ELTRICIA LI CHING FOONG                         buy               5         M               6        12 month           27.02.2012
Goldman Sachs                          PATRICK TIAH                        neutral/neutral               3         D               5        12 month           26.02.2012
Credit Suisse                          TAN TING MIN                           outperform                 5         M               6     Not Provided          23.02.2012
Macquarie                              CONRAD WERNER                               neutral               3         D               5        12 month           23.02.2012
CIMB                                   IVY NG                                      neutral               3         D               5        12 month           23.02.2012
AmResearch Sdn Bhd                     GAN HUEY LING                                  hold               3         D               6        12 month           23.02.2012
DMG & Partners Securities              TEAM COVERAGE                               neutral               3         D               5        12 month           23.02.2012
IIFL                                   ZUO LI                                           sell             1         M               4        12 month           23.02.2012
RBS                                    JOHN DANIEL RACHMAT                            hold               3         D               5        12 month           22.02.2012
Religare Capital Markets               VINCENT FERNANDO                                buy               5         M               6        12 month           06.02.2012
Affin Securities Sdn Bhd               ONG KENG WEE                              not rated        #N/A N/A         M        #N/A N/A     Not Provided          02.02.2012
EVA Dimensions                         TEAM COVERAGE                                    sell             1         M        #N/A N/A     Not Provided          30.11.2011
Frontier Investment & Capital Advisors PRIYO MAYENGBAM                                 buy               5         M               8        12 month           13.05.2010




                                                      Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
26.11.2012




Tiger Brands Ltd
Tiger Brands Limited manufactures, processes and distributes food products which                                     Price/Volume
include milling and baking, confectioneries, general foods, edible oils and
                                                                                                                      35000                                                                                       4.0 M
derivatives. The Group also owns a South African pharmaceutical manufacturer and
                                                                                                                      30000                                                                                       3.5 M
distributor.
                                                                                                                      25000                                                                                       3.0 M
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2.5 M
                                                                                                                      20000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2.0 M
                     Valuation Analysis                                                                               15000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1.5 M
Latest Fiscal Year:                                                                                      09/2012      10000                                                                                       1.0 M
LTM as of:                                                                                                  01/yy       5000                                                                                      .5 M
52-Week High (04.05.2012)                                                                               29'321.00
                                                                                                                           0                                                                                      .0 M
52-Week Low (15.12.2011)                                                                                23'051.00          m-11       j-11    j-11   a-11    s-11   o-11   n-11   d-11   j-12   f-12 m-12 a-12 m-12
Daily Volume                                                                                            55'299.00
                 Current Price (11/dd/yy)                                                                   28481                    Market Data
  52-Week High % Change                                                                                    -2.86%  Dividend Yield                                                                                    2.98
  52-Week Low % Change                                                                                    23.56%   Beta                                                                                              0.80
  % 52 Week Price Range High/Low                                                                          84.85%   Equity Float                                                                                   126.62
Shares Out 04.10.2012                                                                                       191.2  Short Int                                                                                            -
                    Market Capitalization                                                               54'454.54  1 Yr Total Return                                                                              27.50%
Total Debt                                                                                               1'552.80  YTD Return                                                                                     17.20%
Preferred Stock                                                                                               0.0  Adjusted BETA                                                                                   0.799
Minority Interest                                                                                           392.7  Analyst Recs                                                                                        14
Cash and Equivalents                                                                                      371.10   Consensus Rating                                                                                 2.714
Enterprise Value                                                                                        56'028.94            Average Daily Trading Volume
             Relative Stock Price Performance                                                                      Average Volume 5 Day                                                                           375'457
TBS SJ EQUITY YTD Change                                                                                         - Average Volume 30 Day                                                                          464'252
TBS SJ EQUITY YTD % CHANGE                                                                                       - Average Volume 3 Month                                                                         506'561
                                                              Fiscal Year Ended                                        LTM-4Q                LTM            FY+1           FY+2          FQ+1         FQ+2
                                30.09.2008       30.09.2009       30.09.2010      30.09.2011         30.09.2012         01/yy            01/yy           09/13 Y     09/14 Y                -           -
   Total Revenue                    18'954.0         20'430.4         19'316.0        20'430.2           22'677.0                 -                  -   25'847.2     28'553.9                   -           -
   TEV/Revenue                           1.35x           1.31x            1.88x           2.06x              2.25x                -                  -       2.17x        1.93x                  -           -
      EBITDA                          2'994.8         3'468.7          3'446.9         3'646.0            3'919.4                 -                  -    4'402.3      4'874.0                   -           -
    TEV/EBITDA                           8.52x           7.73x          10.53x          11.54x             13.01x                 -                  -     12.73x       11.50x                   -           -
    Net Income                        2'273.7         2'485.5          2'192.3         2'583.9            2'718.2                 -                  -    2'967.8      3'368.7                   -           -
         P/E                             9.02x         10.70x           13.61x          13.33x             16.17x                 -                  -     15.58x       13.80x                   -           -
                                                    Profitability                                                                                               S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA                                                                                                   3'919.40    Long-Term Rating Date                                                                                -
EBIT                                                                                                     3'474.30    Long-Term Rating                                                                                     -
Operating Margin                                                                                          15.32%     Long-Term Outlook                                                                                    -
Pretax Margin                                                                                             16.65%     Short-Term Rating Date                                                                               -
Return on Assets                                                                                          15.97%     Short-Term Rating                                                                                    -
Return on Common Equity                                                                                   25.69%     Credit Ratios
Return on Capital                                                                                         22.49%     EBITDA/Interest Exp.                                                                           20.52
Asset Turnover                                                                                              1.33%    (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp.                                                                   18.01
Margin Analysis                                                                                                      Net Debt/EBITDA                                                                                 0.30
Gross Margin                                                                                               36.2%     Total Debt/EBITDA                                                                               0.40
EBITDA Margin                                                                                              17.3%     Reference
EBIT Margin                                                                                                15.3%     Total Debt/Equity                                                                             13.7%
Net Income Margin                                                                                          12.0%     Total Debt/Capital                                                                            11.7%
Structure                                                                                                            Asset Turnover                                                                                 1.33
Current Ratio                                                                                                1.49    Net Fixed Asset Turnover                                                                       6.79
Quick Ratio                                                                                                  0.07    Accounts receivable turnover-days                                                                  -
Debt to Assets                                                                                             8.70%     Inventory Days                                                                                84.69
Tot Debt to Common Equity                                                                                 13.74%     Accounts Payable Turnover Day                                                                 68.27
Accounts Receivable Turnover                                                                                    -    Cash Conversion Cycle                                                                         95.47
Inventory Turnover                                                                                           4.32
Price/ Cash Flow                                                                                                      Sales/Revenue/Turnover

 16.00                                                                                                               25'000.0
 14.00
                                                                                                                     20'000.0
 12.00

 10.00                                                                                                               15'000.0
  8.00
                                                                                                                     10'000.0
  6.00

  4.00                                                                                                                5'000.0
  2.00

  0.00
                                                                                                                          0.0
  03.10.2008       03.04.2009      03.10.2009    03.04.2010   03.10.2010   03.04.2011   03.10.2011      03.04.2012              2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011




                                                                Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
26.11.2012




Tiger Brands Ltd
Holdings By:           All

            Holder Name             Portfolio Name                Source              Amt Held        % Out    Latest Chg        File Dt          Inst Type
PUBLIC INVESTMENT CO         n/a                                           Research    20'018'986       10.5             -        06.01.2012          Government
LAZARD ASSET MANAGEM         n/a                                           Research    11'630'077        6.1             -        06.01.2012   Investment Advisor
TIGER CONSUMER BRAND         n/a                                           Research    10'295'478        5.4             -        06.01.2012                   n/a
VANGUARD GROUP INC           Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG       6'110'168        3.2        217'804       31.03.2012   Investment Advisor
FIRST STATE INVESTME         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG       4'237'384       2.22        258'145       31.01.2012   Investment Advisor
INVESTEC FUND GROUP          Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG       3'687'460       1.93        532'291       31.12.2011   Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG       2'605'342       1.37             -        02.05.2012   Investment Advisor
ALLAN GRAY UNIT TRUS         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG       2'365'800       1.24       (591'136)      31.12.2011   Investment Advisor
FIDELITY MANAGEMENT          Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG       2'338'479       1.23        379'111       31.03.2012   Investment Advisor
DWS INVESTMENT S A           Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG       1'377'698       0.72             -        29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
CORONATION FUND MANA         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG       1'307'994       0.69       (490'728)      31.12.2011   Investment Advisor
JPMORGAN ASSET MANAG         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG       1'057'911       0.55          15'557      20.01.2012   Investment Advisor
FRANKLIN RESOURCES I         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG         943'219       0.49        558'520       31.12.2011   Investment Advisor
FIRST STATE INVESTME         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG         881'243       0.46          29'881      31.01.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
MOMENTUM                     Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG         854'312       0.45          37'145      31.12.2011   Investment Advisor
MONTGOMERY ASSET MAN         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG         746'545       0.39          61'000      29.02.2012   Investment Advisor
ABSA FUND MANAGERS L         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG         503'972       0.26             -        31.12.2011   Investment Advisor
MASSACHUSETTS FINANC         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG         468'681       0.25           2'706      31.03.2012   Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG         452'412       0.24          (3'654)     01.05.2012   Investment Advisor
HARRIS TRUST & SAVIN         Multiple Portfolios                           MF-AGG         431'100       0.23        104'500       30.12.2011          Unclassified




              Firm Name                Analyst               Recommendation           Weighting       Change   Target Price       Date               Date

Investec                     ANTHONY GEARD                                   hold                 3       M          30'000     Not Provided           26.04.2012
Afrifocus Securities         TANUJA CHITRE                                    sell                1       D        #N/A N/A     Not Provided           29.03.2012
Deutsche Bank                WARREN GOLDBLUM                                 hold                 3       D          27'000        12 month            14.03.2012
Morgan Stanley               VIKHYAT SHARMA                       Underwt/In-Line                 1       D          24'000        12 month            01.03.2012
EVA Dimensions               TEAM COVERAGE                            overweight                  5       U        #N/A N/A     Not Provided           08.02.2012
HSBC                         MICHELE OLIVIER                         underweight                  1       D          25'200     Not Provided           06.02.2012
Avior Research               JITEN BECHOO                                    hold                 3       N          28'637     Not Provided           25.01.2012
Credit Suisse                MUKHTAR MUSTAPHA                       underperform                  1       M          21'800     Not Provided           24.01.2012
SBG Securities               BRENDAN GRUNDLINGH                               sell                1       M          21'000        12 month            20.01.2012




                                              Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
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Fundamental Analysis & Financial Analyst Recommandations - Agriculture…

  • 1. This material does not constitute investment advice and should not be viewed as a current or past recommendation or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Fundamental Analysis & Analyst Recommendations World Top Agriculture Related Co. December 2012 Q M S Advisors . . Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 2. Valuation Measures I/II Market Capitalization & Asset Liability data Total Revenue EBITDA Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings ratio Rev. Growth EBITDA Growth Market Total Minority Cash and Enterprise Est. Tot. Est. P/E Est. Est. Est. Est. S&P LT Moody's LT Capitalization (in mio Daily Common Total Debt Preferred Interest Equivalents Value Tot. Rev. - Rev. - Tr. Est. Tot. Est. Tot. Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA - Est. EPS - Est. EPS - Est. EPS - P/E Ratio - Ratio - Tr. Est. P/E Est. P/E Revenue Revenue Est. EBITDA EBITDA Est. EBITDA Credit S&P LT Credit Credit Moody's LT Credit Currency USD) Volume (M) Shares (M) (USD) Stock (USD) (USD) (USD) (USD) LFY 12M Rev. - 2013 Rev. - 2014 EBITDA - LFY Tr. 12M 2013 2014 EPS - LFY Tr. 12M 2013 2014 LFY 12M Ratio - 2013 Ratio - 2014 Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Margin - Rating - Rating Date Rating Rating Date S&P 500 INDEX USD 12998604 1833.863 1092 1092 201 211 211 98.24 103.78 103.78 14.34 14.34 13.58 13.58 19.03 Euro Stoxx 50 Pr EUR 2451695 5502.121 4614 4614 781 787 787 182.85 301.63 301.63 23.38 15.38 14.17 14.17 21.23 NIKKEI 225 JPY 2167153 171.1571 215 215 22 23 23 4.67 6.62 6.62 0.30 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.13 FTSE 100 INDEX GBP 2588755 11418.23 9505 9505 1559 1647 1647 624.07 815.31 815.31 23.81 21.13 18.22 18.22 26.10 SWISS MARKET INDEX CHF 912219 10433.67 3938 3938 839 803 803 364.78 522.86 522.86 21.23 18.78 14.81 14.81 22.56 S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX CAD 1655760 16782.33 7800 7800 1912 1949 1949 809.04 853.46 853.46 15.29 15.29 14.50 14.50 25.34 S&P/ASX 200 INDEX AUD 1243037 6114.367 2909 2909 653 695 695 269.75 343.28 343.28 17.88 15.04 14.05 14.05 24.18 HANG SENG INDEX HKD 1639686 3134.31 1449 1449 346 361 361 252.13 246.53 246.53 1.44 1.54 1.48 1.48 3.09 MSCI EM USD 7288679 1376.785 979 979 183 180 180 81.25 87.05 87.05 12.26 12.70 11.44 11.44 18.84 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LTD SGD 16475 8008 6401 17 0 1 7 25.47 36561 37091 38072 43387 1581 1777 539 539 0.21 0.16 0.14 0.17 10.58 10.64 12.25 9.98 38.58 21.03 30.41 32.12 3.92 - - - - TIGER BRANDS LTD ZAr 6142 55 181 0 0 0 0 6.32 2558 2558 2915 3221 442 442 497 497 1.88 1.91 2.06 2.33 1.90 1.92 1.76 1.56 1.24 1.27 0.85 0.90 1.95 - - - - TATE & LYLE PLC GBp 5742 95 466 2 0 0 1 6.45 4943 5089 5197 5373 704 608 - - 0.83 0.92 0.91 0.97 21.53 21.71 21.76 20.26 21.66 8.13 8.43 3.41 19.13 BBB 15.07.2011 Baa3 08.04.2009 SUEDZUCKER AG EUR 7211 55 189 3 0 1 1 10.28 9064 9815 9935 9923 1331 1634 446 446 2.47 4.30 3.72 3.26 11.47 12.21 13.26 15.15 17.49 8.73 40.53 -5.52 21.58 BBB+ 05.06.2012 - - SINAR MAS AGRO RES & TECH IDR 2034 10 2872 0 0 0 0 2.44 3300 3014 - - 282 350 - - - 0.07 - - 0.00 - - - 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - - - SMITHFIELD FOODS INC USD 3289 634 157 2 0 0 0 5.07 13094 13091 13205 13760 975 935 193 193 2.59 2.30 1.85 2.28 9.57 9.57 11.90 9.67 7.31 3.98 -15.65 10.73 7.14 BB 27.03.2012 B1 18.07.2012 SANDERSON FARMS INC USD 1102 159 22 0 0 0 0 1.23 1978 2298 2368 2483 -122 125 29 29 -5.47 1.23 2.24 1.31 38.99 38.99 21.44 36.53 2.73 10.01 - - 5.43 - - - - RUCHI SOYA INDUSTRIES LTD INR 363 42 333 1 0 0 1 0.90 5392 5392 - - 218 218 - - 0.05 0.05 - - 0.42 0.42 - - 1.20 0.52 2.10 0.54 0.07 - - - - PILGRIM'S PRIDE CORP USD 1720 252 221 1 0 0 0 2.83 7536 7761 7848 8054 -138 361 30 30 -2.17 0.28 0.48 0.54 23.58 23.58 13.83 12.34 9.50 0.30 - - 4.65 B 16.08.2011 Caa1 28.06.2011 MARFRIG ALIMENTOS SA BRL 2008 1393 346 6 - 0 2 6.93 10514 11062 11490 12650 852 1007 231 231 -1.03 -0.46 0.09 0.15 - - 30.73 18.15 18.17 25.29 8.68 - 4.37 B+ 01.09.2010 - - MOLINOS RIO DE LA PLATA S.A. ARS 1060 8 250 1 0 0 0 1.99 2656 3272 - - 56 98 - - 0.23 0.06 - - 15.35 15.37 - - 3.18 7.02 -14.40 0.64 0.62 - - - - MEWAH INTERNATIONAL INC SGD 555 524 1507 0 0 0 0 0.76 3654 3654 3418 3539 22 22 64 64 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 10.75 10.09 12.04 10.03 21.64 - -63.39 - 0.50 - - - - MAPLE LEAF FOODS INC CAD 1545 31 140 1 0 0 0 2.69 5K 5K 5K 5K 392 360 119 119 1.01 0.83 0.94 1.14 13.45 13.45 11.85 9.73 -1.51 -0.95 5.55 5.12 7.34 - - - - M DIAS BRANCO SA BRL 3791 48 113 0 0 0 0 4.01 1399 1625 1627 1810 231 292 73 73 1.55 1.91 1.90 2.30 8.42 - 8.44 6.98 9.18 - 1.54 7.04 8.63 - - - - L.D.C. SA EUR 804 0 8 0 0 0 0 0.84 3597 3622 3668 3773 219 219 227 227 9.13 9.79 10.01 10.40 13.05 13.05 12.76 12.29 11.14 13.27 4.23 12.85 7.91 - - - - JBS SA BRL 8686 3010 2964 9 0 0 3 16.41 29689 34005 34032 36050 1476 1606 555 555 -0.04 0.08 0.17 0.25 17.40 135.34 8.14 5.53 5.88 15.30 -6.03 - 2.40 BB 16.07.2010 B1 21.10.2008 INCITEC PIVOT LTD AUD 5357 6530 1629 2 0 0 0 6.70 3655 3655 3887 4116 976 976 333 333 0.28 0.33 0.25 0.30 10.51 12.44 13.48 11.46 -1.31 32.70 3.96 24.43 27.89 BBB 12.10.2009 Baa3 04.12.2009 HORMEL FOODS CORP USD 8055 440 263 0 0 0 1 7.54 8231 8231 8607 8945 845 845 218 218 1.86 1.86 1.94 2.09 16.47 16.47 15.79 14.63 4.25 6.02 0.69 6.85 10.27 A 31.05.2001 A2 31.05.2001 GRUMA S.A.B.-B MXN 1630 139 564 1 0 0 0 2.87 4441 4990 4949 5216 380 430 116 116 0.08 0.23 0.17 0.24 0.96 - 1.30 0.94 1.90 0.98 3.00 0.58 0.66 BB 14.03.2012 WR 15.10.2007 FAUJI FERTILIZER COMPANY LTD PKR 1490 159 1272 0 0 0 0 1.71 1155 1201 722 749 509 453 303 303 0.19 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.27 0.27 0.77 0.36 0.39 - - - - FAUJI FERTILIZER BIN QASIM PKR 351 316 934 0 0 0 0 0.50 581 507 - - 179 109 - - 0.12 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.30 0.63 0.59 0.36 0.22 - - - - EBRO FOODS SA EUR 2741 34 150 1 0 0 0 3.21 2339 2563 2660 2740 351 395 392 392 1.29 1.39 1.32 1.42 16.65 17.47 17.53 16.22 7.78 -4.67 5.58 -6.16 19.96 - - - - DEAN FOODS CO USD 3147 1084 184 4 0 0 0 6.53 13055 12779 12740 13188 691 912 214 214 0.78 1.31 1.26 1.29 12.97 12.97 13.48 13.16 7.69 0.65 -2.15 -5.21 7.14 B+ 02.12.2010 B2 *- 08.08.2012 CHAMBAL FERTILISERS & CHEM INR 490 1336 416 1 0 0 0 1.12 1350 1350 1316 1397 156 156 153 153 0.07 0.07 0.15 0.16 0.31 0.31 0.14 0.13 0.58 0.46 0.30 0.22 0.21 - - - - CHINA GREEN AGRICULTURE INC USD 98 55 27 0 0 0 0 0.04 218 204 - - 60 59 - - 1.56 1.48 - - 2.36 2.36 - - 21.04 61.90 25.19 49.43 29.12 - - - - DEAN FOODS CO USD 3147 1084 184 4 0 0 0 6.53 13055 12779 12740 13188 691 912 214 214 0.78 1.31 1.26 1.29 12.97 12.97 13.48 13.16 7.69 0.65 -2.15 -5.21 7.14 B+ 02.12.2010 B2 *- 08.08.2012 SINAR MAS AGRO RES & TECH IDR 2034 10 2872 0 0 0 0 2.44 3300 3014 - - 282 350 - - - 0.07 - - 0.00 - - - 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - - - GRUMA S.A.B.-B MXN 1630 139 564 1 0 0 0 2.87 4441 4990 4949 5216 380 430 116 116 0.08 0.23 0.17 0.24 0.96 - 1.30 0.94 1.90 0.98 3.00 0.58 0.66 BB 14.03.2012 WR 15.10.2007 AARHUSKARLSHAMN AB SEK 1639 6 41 1 0 0 0 2.12 2516 2590 2618 2762 190 198 55 55 - 2.33 2.38 2.87 2.59 - 2.53 2.10 1.92 1.02 0.07 2.15 1.15 - - - - PETRA FOODS LTD SGD 1379 6 611 0 0 0 0 1.65 1392 1264 1279 1350 105 108 106 106 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 18.49 18.42 20.06 18.46 7.11 8.39 15.71 15.84 6.99 - - - - BRF - BRASIL FOODS SA BRL 16615 2563 869 4 - 0 1 19.85 12350 13198 13449 14767 1383 1159 417 417 0.75 0.21 0.46 0.96 44.48 25.66 19.80 9.49 6.41 18.24 11.55 25.41 4.36 BBB- 04.04.2012 Baa3 31.05.2012 BUNGE LTD USD 10678 266 144 4 1 0 1 19.06 58743 62274 63883 68727 1701 1655 627 627 5.83 5.62 6.26 7.66 13.00 13.00 11.66 9.54 28.52 15.26 21.85 13.15 2.66 BBB- 10.06.2010 - - INDUSTRIAS BACHOCO-SER B MXN 1295 42 600 0 0 0 0 1.16 2137 2866 3053 3219 57 209 250 250 - 0.20 0.24 0.13 0.82 - 0.70 1.27 0.94 1.32 -5.91 -1.33 0.56 - - - - ADECOAGRO SA USD 1105 48 121 0 0 0 0 1.32 548 515 611 785 159 131 - - 0.48 -0.25 0.43 0.64 - - 21.29 14.28 28.58 - - - 22.36 - - - - ASSOCIATED BRITISH FOODS PLC GBp 18300 122 792 2 0 1 1 20.62 19613 19613 20604 21832 2507 2507 1373 1373 1.30 1.13 1.49 1.64 32.86 28.54 24.78 22.62 17.17 20.52 33.35 21.58 20.46 - - - - AARHUSKARLSHAMN AB SEK 1639 6 41 1 0 0 0 2.12 2516 2590 2618 2762 190 198 55 55 - 2.33 2.38 2.87 2.59 - 2.53 2.10 1.92 1.02 0.07 2.15 1.15 - - - - YUNNAN YUNTIANHUA CO-A CNY 1347 8755 694 2 0 0 0 3.94 1616 1622 5626 5239 292 - - - 0.04 -0.09 -0.08 0.08 - - - 4.13 6.62 1.95 2.75 1.47 - - - - - CHINA BLUECHEMICAL LTD - H HKD 2831 4867 4610 0 0 0 0 2.19 1259 1290 1440 1639 458 431 - - 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 1.20 1.27 1.10 1.02 5.43 2.73 6.19 2.12 4.31 - - - - SINOFERT HOLDINGS LTD HKD 1532 14360 7023 1 0 0 0 1.94 4733 5258 5249 5549 152 177 - - 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 1.69 - 1.47 1.28 3.27 2.13 10.01 0.19 0.44 - - - - FUJI OIL CO LTD JPY 1234 236 86 0 0 0 0 1.61 2882 2822 2891 2986 267 259 - - 1.20 1.07 1.29 1.43 0.16 - 0.13 0.12 0.08 0.04 -0.19 0.06 0.11 - - - - TAIWAN FERTILIZER CO LTD TWD 2424 4818 980 0 0 0 0 2.37 583 577 602 601 23 4 38 38 0.12 0.08 0.12 0.13 1.03 - 0.68 0.67 0.61 0.19 -1.27 0.09 0.02 - - - - SHANDONG KINGENTA ECOLOGIC-A CNY 1516 431 700 0 0 0 0 1.58 1225 1461 1642 2148 98 112 - - 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.17 2.96 - 2.62 2.08 6.29 - 6.01 - 1.23 - - - - SHENZHEN NOPOSION AGROCHEM-A CNY 406 1003 354 0 0 0 0 0.37 249 248 262 341 18 - 24 24 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.07 4.39 - 3.62 2.67 1.08 - -2.98 3.64 - - - - - HENAN SHUANGHUI INVESTMENT-A CNY 10224 556 606 0 0 0 0 9.94 6027 6712 7115 8686 151 - 354 354 - 0.32 0.45 0.59 4.64 - 3.28 2.55 0.57 2.05 -7.99 0.17 - - - - - LUXI CHEMICAL GROUP CO LT-A CNY 859 2849 1465 1 0 0 0 1.96 1493 1657 - - 240 - - - 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.09 2.24 - 1.30 1.05 3.47 3.14 10.74 3.35 - - - - - QINGHAI SALT LAKE INDUSTRY-A CNY 5999 2200 1591 2 0 0 0 8.20 1014 1070 1195 1456 509 - - - - 0.19 0.26 0.33 3.17 - 2.33 1.86 2.54 9.20 2.85 2.39 - - - - - HUBEI YIHUA CHEMICAL INDUS-A CNY 1376 5619 777 3 0 0 1 4.11 2847 3050 3076 3553 477 - - - - 0.12 0.20 0.24 2.00 - 1.25 1.05 8.66 4.95 4.93 5.40 - - - - - LIAONING HUAJIN TONGDA CHE-A CNY 1132 3191 1201 2 0 0 0 3.76 5721 5307 5916 7176 485 - - - 0.11 -0.03 0.11 0.12 - - 1.39 1.25 9.53 20.29 5.64 - - - - - - Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 3. Valuation Measures II/II Price to Book Ratio Price to Sales Ratio Price to Cash Flow Ratio Enterprise Value to EBITDA Ratio Price to Earnings Ratio Estimated Dividend Yield Target 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 %D to Spot S&P 500 INDEX 2.07 2.07 1.90 1.73 2.07 1.29 1.29 1.24 1.19 1.29 9.35 9.35 8.77 8.55 9.35 8.71 8.71 8.15 7.55 8.71 13.58 13.58 12.28 11.00 13.58 2.25 2.25 2.44 2.63 2.25 1604.5 13.9% Euro Stoxx 50 Pr 1.14 1.14 1.08 1.02 1.14 0.71 0.71 0.70 0.68 0.71 5.21 5.21 4.99 4.62 5.21 6.99 6.99 6.73 6.36 6.99 10.93 10.93 10.06 9.11 10.93 4.18 4.18 4.59 4.94 4.18 2734.7 7.5% NIKKEI 225 1.15 1.15 1.08 1.01 1.15 0.53 0.53 0.50 0.50 0.53 6.88 6.88 6.19 5.86 6.88 7.52 7.52 6.81 6.40 7.52 17.27 17.27 14.47 11.54 17.27 2.20 2.20 2.21 2.52 2.20 9805.9 4.4% FTSE 100 INDEX 1.62 1.62 1.50 1.39 1.62 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.93 0.98 7.61 7.61 6.96 5.60 7.61 6.93 6.93 6.47 6.06 6.93 11.38 11.38 10.45 9.54 11.38 4.04 4.04 4.28 4.59 4.04 6362.7 9.7% SWISS MARKET INDEX 2.16 2.16 2.02 1.88 2.16 1.83 1.83 1.73 1.64 1.83 11.93 11.93 10.40 9.20 11.93 12.99 12.99 11.99 11.16 12.99 13.76 13.76 12.51 11.35 13.76 3.50 3.50 3.80 4.18 3.50 7314.0 9.4% S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX 1.68 1.68 1.55 1.45 1.68 1.58 1.58 1.47 1.37 1.58 8.65 8.65 7.65 7.08 8.65 8.61 8.61 7.45 6.81 8.61 14.40 14.40 12.55 11.39 14.40 3.05 3.05 3.21 3.28 3.05 14215.3 16.4% S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 1.67 1.67 1.58 1.49 1.67 1.59 1.59 1.48 1.41 1.59 9.83 9.83 8.91 6.65 9.83 8.80 8.80 7.78 7.16 8.80 13.46 13.46 11.99 10.98 13.46 4.87 4.87 5.24 5.64 4.87 4732.9 7.0% HANG SENG INDEX 1.41 1.41 1.30 1.20 1.41 1.95 1.95 1.80 1.67 1.95 7.51 7.51 7.00 6.66 7.51 8.68 8.68 7.88 7.23 8.68 11.44 11.44 10.52 9.58 11.44 3.39 3.39 3.62 3.95 3.39 23289.2 6.5% MSCI EM 1.51 1.51 1.37 1.24 1.51 1.02 1.02 0.94 0.88 1.02 7.13 7.13 6.48 5.16 7.13 7.63 7.63 6.81 6.24 7.63 11.44 11.44 10.02 9.05 11.44 2.87 2.87 3.05 3.42 2.87 1138.7 14.3% WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LTD 1.24 1.16 1.08 1.00 1.00 0.39 0.35 0.31 0.28 0.27 8.47 11.06 12.88 9.65 12.05 14.04 12.09 10.97 9.38 9.91 14.98 12.21 10.96 9.91 2.37 1.59 1.90 2.17 2.33 3.36 6.6% TIGER BRANDS LTD 3.91 3.39 3.02 2.71 2.42 2.11 1.91 1.67 1.46 15.61 13.37 12.18 11.40 11.45 13.94 12.73 11.50 10.48 17.17 15.58 13.80 12.31 10.74 3.00 3.29 3.70 4.13 4.66 28207.78 -1.0% TATE & LYLE PLC 3.37 3.06 2.71 2.40 2.16 1.19 1.10 1.07 1.04 1.06 10.84 11.54 9.68 9.10 8.07 8.93 8.65 8.24 7.85 7.52 13.86 13.60 12.66 11.73 10.76 3.25 3.38 3.56 3.77 4.03 765.36 -0.5% SUEDZUCKER AG 1.79 1.55 1.43 1.31 1.08 0.81 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.74 9.53 6.62 6.97 7.29 6.46 7.77 6.46 6.76 7.09 6.81 15.32 10.22 11.69 12.33 12.31 2.33 2.83 2.78 2.78 2.81 33.22 13.1% SINAR MAS AGRO RES & TECH SMITHFIELD FOODS INC 0.94 0.93 0.84 0.76 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.24 6.43 6.24 5.74 4.77 4.80 6.30 5.65 5.09 8.30 11.90 9.67 8.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.50 -2.3% SANDERSON FARMS INC 2.00 1.96 1.97 1.73 0.56 0.47 0.44 0.45 7.98 10.88 5.66 21.44 36.53 10.45 1.40 1.46 1.57 1.70 46.83 -2.3% RUCHI SOYA INDUSTRIES LTD 0.49 0.49 60.00 -1.2% PILGRIM'S PRIDE CORP 2.14 1.73 2.51 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.22 7.75 7.15 5.20 13.83 12.34 5.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.70 0.9% MARFRIG ALIMENTOS SA 0.87 1.09 1.09 1.05 0.85 0.19 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.14 16.79 5.36 4.68 3.68 2.89 9.59 7.43 6.36 5.45 4.69 63.97 37.78 18.46 6.87 1.06 0.27 0.56 1.51 2.48 12.39 2.5% MOLINOS RIO DE LA PLATA S.A. 15.00 -26.5% MEWAH INTERNATIONAL INC 0.99 0.97 0.92 0.83 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.11 16.00 7.83 6.03 11.88 11.86 10.29 8.38 11.87 14.72 12.27 9.68 2.72 1.90 1.90 2.99 0.42 -6.2% MAPLE LEAF FOODS INC 1.65 1.66 1.45 1.24 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.30 5.03 6.00 5.05 4.31 6.51 6.66 5.68 5.09 11.33 11.77 9.66 8.27 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.46 13.93 27.1% M DIAS BRANCO SA 4.06 3.44 2.95 2.69 2.78 2.33 2.09 2.00 1.79 22.01 17.65 14.75 13.64 11.99 16.73 13.29 11.54 10.63 8.97 23.09 17.57 14.53 13.58 10.59 0.97 1.38 1.65 1.80 2.30 68.67 -1.3% L.D.C. SA 1.01 0.94 0.88 0.82 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.21 4.97 4.39 4.13 4.00 4.03 3.68 3.44 3.25 11.03 9.85 9.48 8.89 2.46 2.58 2.68 2.81 91.05 19.8% JBS SA 0.81 0.86 0.81 0.77 0.71 0.30 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.21 20.13 7.46 6.31 5.81 10.73 8.24 6.78 6.18 5.65 145.24 16.94 11.51 9.43 9.46 1.21 1.93 2.62 2.13 7.45 22.1% INCITEC PIVOT LTD 1.33 1.22 1.17 1.10 1.04 1.33 1.38 1.30 1.22 1.28 10.06 8.87 7.95 7.61 7.27 8.45 7.83 7.07 6.64 6.77 12.70 12.91 10.98 10.00 10.40 3.30 4.00 4.44 4.83 5.17 3.47 10.1% HORMEL FOODS CORP 2.90 2.58 2.32 0.97 0.94 0.90 13.24 15.21 12.13 8.69 8.40 7.77 16.48 15.79 14.63 1.95 2.07 2.21 31.33 2.3% GRUMA S.A.B.-B 1.72 1.42 1.23 1.11 1.15 0.39 0.33 0.31 0.29 0.28 6.85 7.38 5.69 5.11 8.31 6.72 5.93 5.41 5.19 4.62 16.93 12.23 10.68 11.21 0.27 1.06 2.52 42.68 13.7% FAUJI FERTILIZER COMPANY LTD 7.14 2.06 1.99 7.23 7.53 5.64 5.79 6.67 7.40 7.47 7.82 13.50 12.99 13.49 11.51 130.47 15.8% FAUJI FERTILIZER BIN QASIM 2.50 0.61 3.36 6.56 5.39 26.94 9.56 14.88 14.89 42.98 19.1% EBRO FOODS SA 1.37 1.26 1.22 1.16 1.15 1.03 1.00 0.98 0.96 10.97 9.70 9.37 8.93 9.09 8.18 7.69 7.35 7.10 15.05 13.52 12.51 11.84 10.65 4.51 3.75 4.04 4.26 5.31 16.52 20.3% DEAN FOODS CO 6.27 8.32 3.25 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 7.20 5.63 5.62 5.72 8.75 7.53 7.57 7.09 23.47 13.48 13.16 11.18 9.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.53 20.8% CHAMBAL FERTILISERS & CHEM 1.54 1.41 1.24 0.42 0.37 0.35 4.35 3.91 3.68 7.35 7.32 7.05 8.32 8.00 7.44 3.00 3.06 3.17 80.38 22.4% CHINA GREEN AGRICULTURE INC DEAN FOODS CO 6.27 8.32 3.25 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 7.20 5.63 5.62 5.72 8.75 7.53 7.57 7.09 23.47 13.48 13.16 11.18 9.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.53 20.8% SINAR MAS AGRO RES & TECH GRUMA S.A.B.-B 1.72 1.42 1.23 1.11 1.15 0.39 0.33 0.31 0.29 0.28 6.85 7.38 5.69 5.11 8.31 6.72 5.93 5.41 5.19 4.62 16.93 12.23 10.68 11.21 0.27 1.06 2.52 42.68 13.7% AARHUSKARLSHAMN AB 3.16 2.76 2.41 2.11 0.66 0.63 0.59 0.56 0.57 14.04 11.50 10.54 9.40 10.96 10.36 9.10 8.30 7.31 18.87 16.81 13.95 12.22 1.80 1.92 2.16 2.35 283.67 6.6% PETRA FOODS LTD 4.01 4.20 3.77 3.40 0.78 0.88 0.84 0.76 15.05 15.57 15.05 12.54 16.04 15.54 14.67 13.42 22.13 24.53 22.57 19.13 1.82 1.77 1.91 2.04 2.25 -18.7% BRF - BRASIL FOODS SA 2.39 2.35 2.18 2.02 1.94 1.34 1.24 1.13 1.02 0.96 14.36 17.01 12.66 10.37 9.27 13.00 15.97 10.92 8.92 7.81 19.99 41.21 19.75 14.65 12.35 1.23 0.88 1.39 1.87 2.25 40.82 3.0% BUNGE LTD 0.86 0.92 0.86 0.79 0.19 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 11.34 5.43 7.27 11.10 9.71 8.21 7.94 7.66 12.48 11.66 9.54 8.76 7.69 1.34 1.37 1.52 1.63 1.92 81.33 11.3% INDUSTRIAS BACHOCO-SER B 0.61 0.42 0.40 21.30 4.65 6.32 4.79 4.48 9.04 16.48 33.73 20.4% ADECOAGRO SA 1.04 0.99 0.92 0.85 0.77 2.04 1.81 1.41 1.27 1.04 14.23 14.02 8.51 6.20 5.12 8.78 9.08 5.87 5.24 3.74 19.26 21.29 14.28 12.34 8.47 0.00 0.00 0.99 13.74 50.8% ASSOCIATED BRITISH FOODS PLC 1.87 1.75 1.61 1.48 1.27 0.93 0.89 0.84 0.79 0.74 11.19 9.94 9.50 8.28 7.12 8.93 8.38 7.87 7.27 6.63 16.77 15.48 14.13 12.87 11.67 1.90 2.08 2.26 2.56 2.93 1426.18 -1.2% AARHUSKARLSHAMN AB 3.16 2.76 2.41 2.11 0.66 0.63 0.59 0.56 0.57 14.04 11.50 10.54 9.40 10.96 10.36 9.10 8.30 7.31 18.87 16.81 13.95 12.22 1.80 1.92 2.16 2.35 283.67 6.6% YUNNAN YUNTIANHUA CO-A 1.28 0.86 0.24 0.26 0.71 12.33 17.91 12.74 13.37 36.75 25.72 604.50 0.79 0.91 1.57 0.17 6.20 -48.7% CHINA BLUECHEMICAL LTD - H 1.43 1.30 1.17 1.05 1.82 1.58 1.39 1.34 5.58 5.01 5.15 5.33 4.58 4.32 3.90 3.77 8.73 8.55 7.87 7.54 3.77 4.16 4.55 4.86 6.75 41.8% SINOFERT HOLDINGS LTD 0.70 0.69 0.65 0.61 0.26 0.23 0.22 0.21 6.79 5.90 5.66 9.49 10.77 9.37 8.21 8.99 11.41 9.91 8.18 1.77 1.40 1.62 1.92 1.91 12.9% FUJI OIL CO LTD 0.97 0.91 0.85 0.79 0.77 0.42 0.43 0.41 0.40 0.41 5.62 5.41 5.02 4.78 5.83 5.45 5.18 4.91 5.30 11.84 10.95 9.85 8.94 10.26 2.07 2.09 2.20 2.39 2.94 1250.00 8.0% TAIWAN FERTILIZER CO LTD 1.38 1.38 1.31 1.24 4.32 4.03 4.04 3.18 17.60 18.21 18.25 17.57 41.40 28.94 26.29 15.43 21.33 19.90 19.43 14.19 3.48 3.53 3.73 4.70 82.54 14.6% SHANDONG KINGENTA ECOLOGIC-A 3.03 2.64 2.21 1.84 1.25 0.92 0.71 0.58 20.52 31.57 17.81 16.65 12.75 9.67 7.43 20.06 16.30 12.94 9.88 1.26 1.71 2.15 SHENZHEN NOPOSION AGROCHEM-A 1.94 1.96 1.79 1.60 1.56 1.55 1.19 0.95 19.39 9.97 41.06 41.06 12.47 15.12 11.19 8.92 19.07 22.52 16.62 15.17 1.58 HENAN SHUANGHUI INVESTMENT-A 8.60 3.46 3.08 2.71 1.79 1.44 1.18 0.97 28.68 18.55 13.82 10.99 38.36 16.31 12.67 10.10 43.53 20.45 15.85 12.60 1.90 1.54 2.47 3.32 85.00 46.9% LUXI CHEMICAL GROUP CO LT-A 1.55 0.43 5.62 7.58 12.17 8.11 6.52 QINGHAI SALT LAKE INDUSTRY-A 5.67 2.36 2.01 1.72 5.20 5.02 4.12 3.34 14.06 8.19 9.49 7.06 13.13 13.53 10.51 8.05 12.28 14.53 11.55 10.49 0.00 0.94 1.31 1.50 34.47 46.8% HUBEI YIHUA CHEMICAL INDUS-A 1.83 1.10 0.98 0.86 0.56 0.45 0.39 0.35 3.39 4.13 2.73 2.51 9.40 7.97 7.18 6.69 9.24 7.79 6.52 6.77 1.75 0.94 1.08 1.18 14.23 49.2% LIAONING HUAJIN TONGDA CHE-A 0.22 0.19 0.16 0.15 9.78 8.67 7.80 5.64 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 4. 26.11.2012 Wilmar International Ltd Wilmar International Ltd. is an agribusiness company. The Company is involved Price/Volume in oil palm cultivation, edible oils refining, oilseeds crushing, consumer pack 7 90.0 M edible oils processing and merchandising, specialty fats, oleochemicals and 80.0 M 6 biodiesel manufacturing, and grains processing and merchandising. Wilmar also 70.0 M manufactures and distributes fertilizers and owns a fleet of vessels. 5 60.0 M 4 50.0 M Valuation Analysis 3 40.0 M Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2011 30.0 M 2 20.0 M LTM as of: 12/yy 1 10.0 M 52-Week High (15.02.2012) 6.05 0 .0 M 52-Week Low (13.09.2012) 2.99 m-11 j-11 j-11 a-11 s-11 o-11 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12 m-12 a-12 m-12 Daily Volume 8'008'000.00 Current Price (11/dd/yy) 3.15 Market Data 52-Week High % Change -47.93% Dividend Yield - 52-Week Low % Change 5.35% Beta 0.99 % 52 Week Price Range High/Low 5.23% Equity Float 2'313.63 Shares Out 26.11.2012 6'396.0 Short Int - Market Capitalization 20'147.52 1 Yr Total Return -35.95% Total Debt 20'888.94 YTD Return -36.20% Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 0.995 Minority Interest 878.2 Analyst Recs 28 Cash and Equivalents 8'232.07 Consensus Rating 2.821 Enterprise Value 31'148.49 Average Daily Trading Volume Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 9'658'600 WIL SP EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 12'515'130 WIL SP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 12'157'540 Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2 31.12.2007 31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 12/yy 12/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 12/12 Q4 03/13 Q1 Total Revenue 16'466.2 29'145.2 23'885.1 30'377.5 44'710.0 30'377.5 44'710.0 46'557.8 53'058.5 12'211.3 11'852.5 TEV/Revenue 1.74x 0.57x 1.60x 1.48x 1.00x 5.36x 4.16x 0.66x 0.61x - - EBITDA 833.6 1'969.8 2'424.9 1'409.2 1'933.4 1'409.2 2'329.5 2'218.4 2'576.1 659.0 555.0 TEV/EBITDA 34.28x 8.46x 15.75x 31.95x 23.14x 31.91x 19.21x 14.04x 12.09x 12.47x 12.13x Net Income 580.4 1'531.0 1'882.0 1'324.0 1'600.8 1'324.0 1'600.8 1'101.7 1'357.3 378.0 245.0 P/E 29.28x 8.10x 15.52x 21.19x 15.43x 21.19x 15.49x 14.98x 12.21x 12.21x 12.32x Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings EBITDA 1'933.39 Long-Term Rating Date - EBIT 1'454.82 Long-Term Rating - Operating Margin 3.25% Long-Term Outlook - Pretax Margin 4.65% Short-Term Rating Date - Return on Assets 3.17% Short-Term Rating - Return on Common Equity 9.62% Credit Ratios Return on Capital 5.23% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 3.74 Asset Turnover 1.12% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 0.73 Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA 6.37 Gross Margin 8.7% Total Debt/EBITDA 9.67 EBITDA Margin 4.8% Reference EBIT Margin 3.6% Total Debt/Equity 156.2% Net Income Margin 3.6% Total Debt/Capital 59.4% Structure Asset Turnover 1.12 Current Ratio 1.07 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 5.95 Quick Ratio 0.53 Accounts receivable turnover-days 33.52 Debt to Assets 52.70% Inventory Days 64.27 Tot Debt to Common Equity 156.24% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 15.88 Accounts Receivable Turnover 10.92 Cash Conversion Cycle 75.67 Inventory Turnover 5.69 Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover 90.00 50'000.0 80.00 45'000.0 70.00 40'000.0 35'000.0 60.00 30'000.0 50.00 25'000.0 40.00 20'000.0 30.00 15'000.0 20.00 10'000.0 10.00 5'000.0 0.00 0.0 02.01.2009 02.07.2009 02.01.2010 02.07.2010 02.01.2011 02.07.2011 02.01.2012 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 5. 26.11.2012 Wilmar International Ltd Holdings By: All Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type PPB GROUP BHD n/a Co File 1'172'614'755 18.32 - 06.03.2012 Corporation GLOBAL COCOA HOLDING n/a Co File 356'399'775 5.57 - 06.03.2012 Other WILMAR INTL HOLDINGS n/a Co File 354'961'795 5.54 - 06.03.2012 n/a LONGHLIN ASIA LTD n/a Co File 336'009'921 5.25 - 06.03.2012 n/a ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLA n/a Co File 335'625'280 5.24 - 06.03.2012 Corporation CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN n/a EXCH 317'267'061 4.96 (7'808'000) 23.02.2011 Investment Advisor FIREFLY LTD n/a Co File 294'801'479 4.6 - 06.03.2012 n/a BOLNEY ENTERPRISES L n/a Co File 294'801'372 4.6 - 06.03.2012 n/a HARPOLE RESOURCES LT n/a Co File 256'211'778 4 - 06.03.2012 n/a NOBLESPIRIT CORP n/a Co File 242'600'000 3.79 - 06.03.2012 n/a HPR INVESTMENTS LTD n/a Co File 230'461'271 3.6 - 06.03.2012 n/a HONG LEE HOLDINGS PT n/a Co File 179'204'971 2.8 - 06.03.2012 n/a VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 88'990'316 1.39 120'000 01.05.2012 Investment Advisor CAPITAL WORLD INVEST Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 85'920'000 1.34 (10'305'000) 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor BONOTO INVESTMENTS L n/a Co File 51'267'514 0.8 - 06.03.2012 n/a CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 36'537'000 0.57 (80'996'000) 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor YONG TEO KIM n/a Co File 33'852'274 0.53 - 21.01.2012 n/a NATALON CO LTD n/a Co File 33'760'355 0.53 - 06.03.2012 n/a BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 31'973'000 0.5 - 02.05.2012 Investment Advisor DALEX INVESTMENTS LT n/a Co File 30'405'900 0.47 - 06.03.2012 Corporation Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date Standard Chartered ADRIAN FOULGER in-line 3 D 5 12 month 30.04.2012 HSBC THILAN WICKRAMASINGHE neutral 3 U 5 Not Provided 26.04.2012 Morgan Stanley CHARLES C SPENCER Overwt/In-Line 5 M 6 12 month 20.04.2012 OSK (Asia) Securities ALVIN TAI neutral 3 M 5 12 month 16.04.2012 Phillip Securities LEE KOK JOO neutral 3 U 5 12 month 13.04.2012 BNP Paribas Equity Research MICHAEL GREENALL hold 3 M 5 12 month 12.04.2012 TA Securities Holdings Berhad JAMES RATNAM hold 3 M 6 Not Provided 12.04.2012 UOB Kay Hian TEAM COVERAGE buy 5 M 6 Not Provided 10.04.2012 JPMorgan YING-JIAN CHAN overweight 5 M 6 6 month 09.04.2012 Nomura TANUJ SHORI neutral 3 M 6 Not Provided 09.04.2012 Jefferies ARYA SEN underperform 1 M 4 12 month 14.03.2012 Euro Pacific Capital Inc STEVE WILDER buy 5 N 6 12 month 13.03.2012 OCBC Investment Research CAREY WONG hold 3 M 5 12 month 12.03.2012 DBS Vickers BEN SANTOSO buy 5 M 6 12 month 06.03.2012 Kim Eng Securities ROHAN SUPPIAH sell 1 M 5 12 month 28.02.2012 Deutsche Bank ELTRICIA LI CHING FOONG buy 5 M 6 12 month 27.02.2012 Goldman Sachs PATRICK TIAH neutral/neutral 3 D 5 12 month 26.02.2012 Credit Suisse TAN TING MIN outperform 5 M 6 Not Provided 23.02.2012 Macquarie CONRAD WERNER neutral 3 D 5 12 month 23.02.2012 CIMB IVY NG neutral 3 D 5 12 month 23.02.2012 AmResearch Sdn Bhd GAN HUEY LING hold 3 D 6 12 month 23.02.2012 DMG & Partners Securities TEAM COVERAGE neutral 3 D 5 12 month 23.02.2012 IIFL ZUO LI sell 1 M 4 12 month 23.02.2012 RBS JOHN DANIEL RACHMAT hold 3 D 5 12 month 22.02.2012 Religare Capital Markets VINCENT FERNANDO buy 5 M 6 12 month 06.02.2012 Affin Securities Sdn Bhd ONG KENG WEE not rated #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 02.02.2012 EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE sell 1 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 30.11.2011 Frontier Investment & Capital Advisors PRIYO MAYENGBAM buy 5 M 8 12 month 13.05.2010 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 6. 26.11.2012 Tiger Brands Ltd Tiger Brands Limited manufactures, processes and distributes food products which Price/Volume include milling and baking, confectioneries, general foods, edible oils and 35000 4.0 M derivatives. The Group also owns a South African pharmaceutical manufacturer and 30000 3.5 M distributor. 25000 3.0 M 2.5 M 20000 2.0 M Valuation Analysis 15000 1.5 M Latest Fiscal Year: 09/2012 10000 1.0 M LTM as of: 01/yy 5000 .5 M 52-Week High (04.05.2012) 29'321.00 0 .0 M 52-Week Low (15.12.2011) 23'051.00 m-11 j-11 j-11 a-11 s-11 o-11 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12 m-12 a-12 m-12 Daily Volume 55'299.00 Current Price (11/dd/yy) 28481 Market Data 52-Week High % Change -2.86% Dividend Yield 2.98 52-Week Low % Change 23.56% Beta 0.80 % 52 Week Price Range High/Low 84.85% Equity Float 126.62 Shares Out 04.10.2012 191.2 Short Int - Market Capitalization 54'454.54 1 Yr Total Return 27.50% Total Debt 1'552.80 YTD Return 17.20% Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 0.799 Minority Interest 392.7 Analyst Recs 14 Cash and Equivalents 371.10 Consensus Rating 2.714 Enterprise Value 56'028.94 Average Daily Trading Volume Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 375'457 TBS SJ EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 464'252 TBS SJ EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 506'561 Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2 30.09.2008 30.09.2009 30.09.2010 30.09.2011 30.09.2012 01/yy 01/yy 09/13 Y 09/14 Y - - Total Revenue 18'954.0 20'430.4 19'316.0 20'430.2 22'677.0 - - 25'847.2 28'553.9 - - TEV/Revenue 1.35x 1.31x 1.88x 2.06x 2.25x - - 2.17x 1.93x - - EBITDA 2'994.8 3'468.7 3'446.9 3'646.0 3'919.4 - - 4'402.3 4'874.0 - - TEV/EBITDA 8.52x 7.73x 10.53x 11.54x 13.01x - - 12.73x 11.50x - - Net Income 2'273.7 2'485.5 2'192.3 2'583.9 2'718.2 - - 2'967.8 3'368.7 - - P/E 9.02x 10.70x 13.61x 13.33x 16.17x - - 15.58x 13.80x - - Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings EBITDA 3'919.40 Long-Term Rating Date - EBIT 3'474.30 Long-Term Rating - Operating Margin 15.32% Long-Term Outlook - Pretax Margin 16.65% Short-Term Rating Date - Return on Assets 15.97% Short-Term Rating - Return on Common Equity 25.69% Credit Ratios Return on Capital 22.49% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 20.52 Asset Turnover 1.33% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 18.01 Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA 0.30 Gross Margin 36.2% Total Debt/EBITDA 0.40 EBITDA Margin 17.3% Reference EBIT Margin 15.3% Total Debt/Equity 13.7% Net Income Margin 12.0% Total Debt/Capital 11.7% Structure Asset Turnover 1.33 Current Ratio 1.49 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 6.79 Quick Ratio 0.07 Accounts receivable turnover-days - Debt to Assets 8.70% Inventory Days 84.69 Tot Debt to Common Equity 13.74% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 68.27 Accounts Receivable Turnover - Cash Conversion Cycle 95.47 Inventory Turnover 4.32 Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover 16.00 25'000.0 14.00 20'000.0 12.00 10.00 15'000.0 8.00 10'000.0 6.00 4.00 5'000.0 2.00 0.00 0.0 03.10.2008 03.04.2009 03.10.2009 03.04.2010 03.10.2010 03.04.2011 03.10.2011 03.04.2012 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 7. 26.11.2012 Tiger Brands Ltd Holdings By: All Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type PUBLIC INVESTMENT CO n/a Research 20'018'986 10.5 - 06.01.2012 Government LAZARD ASSET MANAGEM n/a Research 11'630'077 6.1 - 06.01.2012 Investment Advisor TIGER CONSUMER BRAND n/a Research 10'295'478 5.4 - 06.01.2012 n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'110'168 3.2 217'804 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor FIRST STATE INVESTME Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'237'384 2.22 258'145 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor INVESTEC FUND GROUP Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'687'460 1.93 532'291 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'605'342 1.37 - 02.05.2012 Investment Advisor ALLAN GRAY UNIT TRUS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'365'800 1.24 (591'136) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor FIDELITY MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'338'479 1.23 379'111 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor DWS INVESTMENT S A Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'377'698 0.72 - 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager CORONATION FUND MANA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'307'994 0.69 (490'728) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor JPMORGAN ASSET MANAG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'057'911 0.55 15'557 20.01.2012 Investment Advisor FRANKLIN RESOURCES I Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 943'219 0.49 558'520 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor FIRST STATE INVESTME Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 881'243 0.46 29'881 31.01.2012 Mutual Fund Manager MOMENTUM Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 854'312 0.45 37'145 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor MONTGOMERY ASSET MAN Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 746'545 0.39 61'000 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor ABSA FUND MANAGERS L Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 503'972 0.26 - 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor MASSACHUSETTS FINANC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 468'681 0.25 2'706 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 452'412 0.24 (3'654) 01.05.2012 Investment Advisor HARRIS TRUST & SAVIN Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 431'100 0.23 104'500 30.12.2011 Unclassified Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date Investec ANTHONY GEARD hold 3 M 30'000 Not Provided 26.04.2012 Afrifocus Securities TANUJA CHITRE sell 1 D #N/A N/A Not Provided 29.03.2012 Deutsche Bank WARREN GOLDBLUM hold 3 D 27'000 12 month 14.03.2012 Morgan Stanley VIKHYAT SHARMA Underwt/In-Line 1 D 24'000 12 month 01.03.2012 EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE overweight 5 U #N/A N/A Not Provided 08.02.2012 HSBC MICHELE OLIVIER underweight 1 D 25'200 Not Provided 06.02.2012 Avior Research JITEN BECHOO hold 3 N 28'637 Not Provided 25.01.2012 Credit Suisse MUKHTAR MUSTAPHA underperform 1 M 21'800 Not Provided 24.01.2012 SBG Securities BRENDAN GRUNDLINGH sell 1 M 21'000 12 month 20.01.2012 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |