Emerging topics discussed in the Aging track of the Future Agenda, exploring what the key topics in aging will be by 2025. This will be updated after the AARP workshop on 2 October.

1. The
Future
of
Aging
|
The
Emerging
View
Insights
from
Mul0ple
Expert
Discussions
Around
the
World

2. Context
Global
aging
and
demographic
shi=s
were
key
themes
to
emerge
from
the
first
Future
Agenda
program.
Since
then,
the
topic
has
grown
in
recogni0on,
focus
and
concern
for
a
wide
range
of
individuals,
organiza0ons
and
governments.

3. Future
Agenda
The
Future
Agenda
is
the
world’s
largest
open
foresight
program
that
accesses
mul0ple
views
of
the
next
decade
so
all
can
be
beJer
informed
and
s0mulate
innova0on.

4. Looking
Forwards
Organisa0ons
increasingly
want
to
iden0fy
and
understand
both
the
an0cipated
and
unexpected
changes
so
that
they
can
be
beJer
prepared
for
the
future.

5. Future
Agenda
1.0
Top
Insights
for
2020
From
the
2010
program,
52
key
insights
on
the
next
decade
were
shared
widely
and
have
been
extensively
used
by
organiza0ons
around
the
world.
Aging
was
a
key
issue
to
emerge
in
2010
and
has
grown
since.

6. Future
Agenda
in
Numbers
The
first
Future
Agenda
program
engaged
a
wide
range
of
views
in
25
countries.
Future
Agenda
2.0
has
doubled
the
face-­‐to-­‐face
interac0on
and
significantly
raised
online
sharing,
debate
and
discussion.
Future
Agenda
1.0
1
HOST
16
TOPICS
25
COUNTRIES
50
WORKSHOPS
1500
ORGANISATIONS
Future
Agenda
2.0
50
HOSTS
25
TOPICS
40
COUNTRIES
100
WORKSHOPS
2500
ORGANISATIONS

7. Future
Agenda
2.0
Topics
The
second
version
of
the
Future
Agenda
program
is
taking
place
during
2015
and
has
been
addressing
21
topics
via
100
events
in
50
ci0es
in
40
countries
in
partnership
with
around
50
core
hosts.
Ageing
CiOes
Company
ConnecOvity
Data
EducaOon
Energy
Food
Government
Health
Learning
Loyalty
Payments
Privacy
Resources
Transport
Travel
Water
Wealth
Work

8. Aging2.0
Partnership
Discussions
on
the
future
of
aging
were
undertaken
in
partnership
with
Aging2.0.
Dedicated
events
focused
on
aging
plus
insights
from
topics
such
as
the
future
of
data,
health
and
work
have
all
added
more
views
to
the
mix.
Ini0al
Perspec0ves
Q4
2014
Global
Discussions
Q1/2
2015
Insight
Synthesis
Q3
2015
Sharing
Output
Q4
2015

9. Future
of
Aging
Events
Four
future
of
aging
events
were
held
in
Hong
Kong,
Sydney,
London
and
Palo
Alto,
CA.
These
were
hosted
by
The
Jade
Club,
AMP,
Saga
plc
and
the
Stanford
Center
on
Longevity.
A
fi=h
event
will
be
hosted
by
AARP
in
Washington
DC
on
Oct
2nd
2015.

10. The
Future
of
Aging
|
The
Emerging
View
This
document
provides
an
overview
of
what
we
heard
from
mul0ple
expert
voices
around
the
world
–
on
the
future
of
aging,
how
it
is
changing,
what
is
driving
this
change
and
how
it
may
evolve
over
the
next
decade.

11. Four
Key
Themes
Across
the
the
discussions
so
far,
issues
related
to
aging
seem
to
be
touching
upon
and
connec0ng
with
four
underlying,
and
interwoven,
themes
with
different
emphasis
in
different
countries.
Agelessness
Working
Longer
Aging
in
Community
Care
for
the
Aging

12. Agelessness

13. Agelessness
Culture
catches
up
with
demographics
and
age-­‐based
limita0ons
fade.
New
opportuni0es
for
older
people
to
par0cipate
in
society
emerge,
although
many
are
only
available
to
the
healthy
and
wealthy,
crea0ng
a
new
set
of
challenges.

14. Lifespan
Limits
On
a
global
scale,
life
expectancies
in
developed
regions
are
con0nuing
to
rise
in
the
21st
century
and,
although
most
people
assume
that
there
are
biological
limits
on
life
span,
so
far
there
is
liJle
evidence
that
we
are
approaching
them.

15. Culture
ShiT
The
culture
that
guides
people
through
life
today
is
a
culture
that
evolved
around
shorter
lives.
The
urgent
challenge
now
is
to
create
cultures
that
support
people
through
ten
and
more
decades
of
life.

16. Re-­‐defining
Purpose
Life-­‐plans
will
need
to
recognise
lengthy
‘old-­‐age’,
driving
a
search
for
purpose
into
and
beyond
the
tradi0onal,
but
arbitrary,
no0on
of
re0rement.

17. The
Bigger
Opportunity
Predic0ons
about
economic
disaster
change
to
discussions
of
economic
growth
if
people
remain
produc0ve
into
advanced
ages.
We
are
experiencing
one
of
the
greatest
opportuni0es
to
improve
quality
of
life
at
all
ages.

18. MulO-­‐GeneraOonal
Travel
Many
elect
to
travel
together
as
mul0-­‐genera0on
groups
of
both
families
and
mixed
friends.
They
look
for
vaca0ons
that
keep
everyone
happy
and,
as
such,
stress
many
systems
based
on
delivering
segmented
experiences.

19. Life-­‐long
Learning
Educa0on
is
a
high
priority
for
all
na0ons
to
remain
compe00ve
in
a
global
market
place:
It
is
increasingly
available
on
line.
Widespread
internet
access
allows
governments
to
make
life-­‐long
learning
available
for
those
who
want
it.

20. The
GeneraOon
Divide
The
perspec0ve
gap
grows
between
the
expecta0ons
of
the
young,
who
are
increasingly
global
in
their
outlook,
and
the
more
tradi0onal
views
of
more
senior
and
experienced
colleagues.

21. Intra
and
Inter-­‐generaOonal
Harmony
Mutually
nega0ve
stereotypes
between
young
and
old
are
are
offset
by
a
growing
interest
in
youth
serving
the
elderly.
The
wisdom
of
elders
is
again
respected
and
sought
by
younger
genera0ons.

22. Unequal
Futures
New
technologies,
new
economic
opportuni0es
and
new
lifestyle
choices
for
older
people
will
be
very
unevenly
distributed,
leading
to
extreme
inequali0es
within
and
between
ageing
popula0ons.

23. DisrupOve
Voices,
DisrupOve
Impacts
Senior
ac0vism
will
grow
with
the
demographic.
Policy
will
increasingly
reflect
the
will
of
older
people:
especially
in
housing/communi0es,
health
and
employment,
leading
to
intergenera0onal
tensions
over
choices
made.

24. Working
Longer

25. Working
Longer
For
those
who
have
inadequate
re0rement
savings,
the
most
obvious
solu0on
is
to
work
longer.
One
major
poten0al
barrier,
however,
is
that
employers
remain
ambivalent
about
older
workers.

26. Infeasible
ReOrement
For
many,
re0rement
at
age
65
is
economically
infeasible.
The
reality
is
that
few
workers
can
fund
a
30
year
re0rement
with
a
40
year
career.
Neither
can
socie0es.

27. Cost
of
Older
Workers
The
cost
of
older
workers
is
a
real
issue
for
employers.
Offering
bridge
jobs
or
flexible
work
arrangements
such
as
flex
hours
and
part-­‐0me
work
will
allow
employers
to
retain
the
exper0se
of
older
workers
while
reducing
costs.

28. Societal
Benefit
85%
of
Americans
aged
65-­‐69
report
no
health-­‐based
limita0ons
on
paid
work
or
housework.
Similar
trends
are
evident
in
Europe.
Socie0es
that
find
ways
to
tap
older
peoples’
contribu0ons
will
benefit
greatly.

29. Wisdom
Workers
Focus
is
on
enabling
reinven0on
stemming
from
opportuni0es
created
by
non-­‐linear
career
paths
and
innova0on
networks,
giving
rise
to
the
‘wisdom
worker’
-­‐
where
experience
is
the
cri0cal
addi0on
to
skills
and
intelligence.

30. ‘Bleisure’
and
‘SabbaOcaOon’
Travel
con0nues
to
evolve
in
line
with
changing
work
paJerns
and
career
aspira0ons;
being
able
to
work-­‐away,
take
longer
breaks
off-­‐grid,
and
even
job-­‐share
and
job-­‐switch,
become
significant
drivers
of
future
travel
offers.

31. Age
Diversified
Workforces
The
demographic
changes
underway
are
fundamentally
altering
virtually
all
aspects
of
life
as
we
know
it.
Workforces
are
becoming
older
and
more
age
diversified
than
ever
in
history.

32. SupporOng
the
Ageing
Workforce
As
major
economies
suffer
from
increasing
dependency
ra0os,
the
challenge
of
suppor0ng
an
increasingly
older
workforce
demands
rethinking
of
life-­‐long
learning
and
broader
acceptance
of
the
cost
of
part-­‐0me
flexible
jobs.

33. Senior-­‐preneurship
Flourishes
Products
and
services
aimed
at
the
ageing
popula0on
will
proliferate.
But
seniors
will
also
be
ac0vely
involved
in
innova0on
themselves,
developing
new
economic
opportuni0es
for
all,
both
within
and
beyond
the
ageing
space.

34. Cross-­‐generaOonal
CollaboraOon
Tapping
into
the
exper0se
of
part-­‐0me
older
workers
and
the
re0red
is
supported
both
by
the
elderly,
who
seek
to
remain
ac0ve
and
make
a
difference,
and
the
young
who
can
help
share
and
apply
their
knowledge.

35. Increased
Wellbeing
Both
paid
and
unpaid
work
are
associated
with
enhanced
well-­‐being,
delayed
disability,
decreased
mortality
risk,
and
onset
of
fewer
diseases
and
associated
func0onal
impairments.

36. Aging
in
Community

37. Aging
in
Community
Individuals,
families
as
well
as
healthcare
payers
desire
to
keep
older
people
living
healthy
and
independent
loner.
This
requires
upgraded
infrastructure,
transporta0on
systems
and
thoughkul
products
and
services.

38. AdapOng
for
Ageing
PopulaOons
In
developed
countries,
80%
of
older
people
will
live
in
ci0es
by
2050,
while
ci0es
in
developing
countries
will
house
25%
of
the
older
popula0on.
Planners
are
adap0ng
urban
environments
to
support
healthy
ageing
of
popula0ons.

39. Changing
Travel
MoOvaOons
Demographic
shi=s
and
technology
developments
influence
when
and
why
we
need
to
travel.
Mo0va0ons
for
work
and
leisure
mobility
blur,
and
dynamic
pricing
and
the
sharing
economy
deliver
greater
efficiency
in
the
system.

40. Triple-­‐Access
SoluOons
Focus
should
be
upon
developing
a
balanced
triple-­‐access
system
of
transport,
physical
proximity
and
digital
connec0vity
system
that
may
transcend
the
tradi0onal
remits
of
government
departments.

41. Autonomous
Vehicles
Led
by
urban
delivery
pods
and
long
distance
trucks,
the
rise
of
automa0cally
driven
vehicles
leads
to
the
reinven0on
of
the
travel
experience
around
infotainment.

42. Mainstreaming
of
Design
for
Ageing
Consumer
products
increasingly
incorporate
the
perspec0ve
of
older
users
into
the
design
process
–
and
in
so
doing,
make
them
simpler
and
easier
to
use
for
all.

43. Living
Longer
-­‐
Not
Lonelier
In
some
countries
we
shape
a
more
connected
world
in
which
older
people
feel
significant
and
worth
something.
Physical
solu0ons
such
as
co-­‐located
care
homes
and
crèches
recreate
historical
connec0ons
between
the
ageing
and
wider
society.

44. In
Need
of
Belonging
Small
communi0es
exist
in
mega
ci0es
to
provide
a
sense
of
community
and
social
wellbeing.
Looking
ahead,
the
more
responsive
ci0es
will
seek
to
enable
communi0es
to
mould
their
neighbourhoods.

45. Commodifying
InOmacy
Increasing
isola0on
drives
adop0on
of
innova0ve
products
(such
as
social
robots),
new
services
and
business
models
that
help
people
meet
physical
and
emo0onal
needs
for
connec0on.

46. Care
for
the
Aging

47. Care
for
the
Aging
As
the
popula0on
ages,
the
healthcare
sector
changes
the
way
in
which
it
delivers
support,
with
more
coordina0on
among
service
providers
and
more
in-­‐home
care.
There
is
also
a
frank
conversa0on
about
people’s
“right
to
die”.

48. Visualising
Future
Needs
Predic0ve
analysis,
gene0c
profiling
and
credit
systems
combine
to
give
us
sight
of
our
personal
future
care
needs.
We
adjust
behaviours;
we
are
aware
of
long-­‐term
impacts
of
our
ac0ons
and
take
ownership
of
personal
care
budgets.

49. HolisiOc
Health
Planning
There
will
be
a
wholesale
shi=
in
health
focus
from
short-­‐term
problem-­‐
solving
to
long-­‐term,
healthy-­‐life
planning
and
management,
with
GPs
(ini0ally)
shi=ing
their
role
to
become
whole-­‐life
health
coaches.

50. Life
Worth
Living
We
shi=
the
system
from
one
focused
on
care
with
the
needs
of
the
ins0tu0on
a
priority
to
one
focused
on
enhancing
quality
of
life
and
dignity.
There
is
a
rise
in
pallia0ve
care
and
societal
par0cipa0on
giving
more
meaning
to
later
life.

51. Parent
Care
A
greater
recogni0on
of
the
social
and
economic
benefits
of
family
caregivers.
Organisa0ons
develop
programs
and
support
for
their
working
caregivers
looking
a=er
their
parents
as
well
as
their
children.

52. Caregiver
Marketplaces
Recogni0on
of
the
trillion
dollar
informal
caregiver
economy
drives
new
solu0ons
aimed
at
educa0ng,
suppor0ng
and
empowering
family
caregivers.

53. Living
While
Dying
We
will
see
policy,
product
and
service
innova0ons
in
the
field
of
end-­‐of-­‐life
planning.
Businesses
and
professions
will
come
to
recognise
the
need
to
provide
more
(end-­‐of)
life-­‐style
choices
to
individuals
and
consumers.

54. The
Healthcare
Debt
Time-­‐Bomb
The
rising
cost
of
healthcare
results
in
ra0oning
and
the
end
of
universal
healthcare.
Individual
health
budgets,
preven0on
technology,
migra0on
and
working
longer
all
increase
as
new
approaches
seek
to
improve
efficiency.

55. Welfare
Reboot
As
increasing
inequality
in
Europe
leads
to
social
unrest,
healthcare
and
welfare
systems
are
stressed
and
rethought.
Ideological
views
are
replaced
by
pragma0c
solu0ons
that
recognise
the
fundamentals
for
an
ageing
popula0on.

56. HalOng
Alzheimer's
Stopping
mental
degrada0on
from
Alzheimer’s
makes
quality
ageing
more
possible
by
improving
cogni0on
and
slowing
the
rate
of
decline

57. Mass
Medical
Tourism
Medical
tourism
goes
main-­‐stream
as
low-­‐cost
cardiac
surgery
and
broader
healthcare
provision
join
den0stry
and
cosme0c
surgery
to
have
global
impact

58. Looking
Ahead
Rather
than
move
forward
by
happenstance,
we
need
strategic
thinking
about
how
to
best
use
added
decades
of
life.
Helping
individuals
and
na0ons
visualize
and
prepare
is
essen0al
to
ensure
that
longer
lives
are
high
quality.

59. Some
QuesOons

60. Some
QuesOons
From
these
discussions
on
and
around
the
future
of
aging,
there
seems
to
be
a
number
of
key
ques0ons
to
be
addressed
by
governments,
companies
and
individuals
–
some
global
and
some
more
local
or
regional
in
focus.
1. Will
we
find
and
agree
common
approaches
for
aging
globally,
or
will
regional
and
na0onal
priori0es
be
the
norm
for
coopera0on
for
the
next
decade?
2. Will
society
integrate
across
the
genera0ons
to
take
advantage
of
each
others’
contribu0ons,
or
will
intergenera0onal
harmony
fall
prey
to
discrimina0on,
rent-­‐seeking
and
prejudice?
3. What
impact
will
the
growing
number
of
older
voters
have
on
the
poli0cal
landscape?
How
will
they
allocate
resources
between
programs
to
support
today’s
older
people
versus
inves0ng
in
tomorrow’s
genera0ons?
4. What
approaches
for
integrated,
intergenera0onal
community-­‐living
will
successfully
scale?
5. What
models
of
engagement
will
allow
companies
to
benefit
from
the
skills
and
experience
of
older
workers
while
respec0ng
the
changing
physical
and
social
needs
of
older
workers?

61. Future
Agenda
84
Brook
Street
London
W1K
5EH
+44
203
0088
141
futureagenda.org
The
world’s
leading
open
foresight
program
What
do
you
think?
Join
In
|
Add
your
views
into
the
mix
www.futureagenda.org
Track
Facilitator
–
Aging:
Stephen
Johnston,
Aging2.0
(stephen@aging2.com)