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How to Fail Less
 Business Models and
Customer Development

     Steve Blank
  www.steveblank.com
      @sgblank
As Smart As You Are
Most of You Will Fail
This Talk is How to Fail Less
Agenda

1.   What we used to believe / What we now know
2.   Business Models and Customer Development
3.   Customer Development Details
4.   Examples
What We Used to Believe

        Strategy
All I Need to Do is Execute the Plan
All I Need to Do is Execute the Plan
All I Need to Do is Make the Forecast
All I Need to Do is Make the Forecast
What We Now Know

     Strategy
Planning comes before the plan
Business Models
Business Models
Search          Execution

           Business Model   Operating Plan +
Strategy
            Hypotheses      Financial Model
What We Used to Believe

        Process
We Built Startups by
Managing Processes

  Product Management
            +
  Waterfall Engineering
Product Introduction Model



 Concept/    Product   Alpha/Beta   Launch/
Seed Round    Dev.        Test      1st Ship
Product Introduction Model



 Concept/    Product   Alpha/Beta   Launch/
Seed Round    Dev.        Test      1st Ship
Waterfall / Product Management
                                    Execution on Two “Knowns”



                                 Requirements
                                                                 Product Features: known
                                            Design

                                                Implementation


                                                         Verification

   Customer Problem: known                                       Maintenance




Source: Eric Ries
http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com
Waterfall / Product Management
                                    Execution on Two “Knowns”



                                 Requirements
                                                                 Product Features: known
                                            Design

                                                Implementation


                                                         Verification

   Customer Problem: known                                       Maintenance




Source: Eric Ries
http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com
What We Now Know

     Strategy
More startups fail from
a lack of customers than from a
failure of product development
Customer Development
  A Search Strategy
Search             Execution

Strategy    Business Model
                                 Operating Plan +
              Hypotheses
                                 Financial Model


Process       Customer &       Product Management
                               & Agile Development
           Agile Development
What We Used to Believe

      Organization
Hire and Build a
Functional Organization
What We Now Know

    Organization
Founders run a
 Customer Development Team

No sales, marketing and business
          development
Search                      Execution

 Strategy     Business Model
                                           Operating Plan +
                Hypotheses
                                           Financial Model

             Customer Development,        Product Management
 Process
               Agile Development     Agile or Waterfall Development


                 Customer             Functional Organization
Organization
             Development Team,            by Department
               Founder-driven
Search
Strategy     Business Model
               Hypotheses



Process
           Customer Development,
             Agile Development




Organization
          Customer Development
           Team, Founder-driven
Search                      Execution

Strategy     Business Model
                                         Operating Plan +
               Hypotheses
                                         Financial Model




Process    Customer Development,        Product Management
             Agile Development     Agile or Waterfall Development




Organization
           Customer Development        Functional Organization
            Team, Founder-driven           by Department
Part 2

 Business Models and
Customer Development
What’s A Startup?
A temporary organization
      designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
       business model
A temporary organization
      designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
       business model
A temporary organization
      designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
       business model
A temporary organization
      designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
       business model
A temporary organization
      designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
        business model
A Startup aims to become a
          company
What’s a Business Model?
But,
Realize They’re Hypotheses
Business Model Canvas

              building
               block                                 building
                                                                       building
                               building               block
                                                                        block
                  building      block
building           block
 block



                                                     building
                               building               block
               building         block                                   building
                block                                                    block




  building          building              building          building
   block             block                 block             block
9 Guesses


                            Guess
Guess    Guess
                                     Guess

                  Guess
        Guess               Guess



        Guess                Guess
Turning Hypotheses Into Facts
The Four Steps – The Startup Path


        Customer Development
Customer Development

Test the Problem, Then the Solution
Customer Development

  The Minimum Viable Product
Customer Development

       The Pivot
Customer Development is
how you search for the model
Customer Discovery
Web/Mobile Versus Physical


                   Customer            Customer
                   Discovery           Validation



                               Pivot




•Web/Mobile startups run faster
•Different process steps for web vs. physical
•Customer Relationships are radically different
Customer Validation
Customer
                 Validation


Step 1: Get Ready to Sell
Customer
                 Validation




Step 2: Sell to EarlyVangelists
Customer
                Validation




Step 3: Develop Positioning
Customer
               Validation




Step 4: Pivot or Proceed
Part 3

How Does this Really Work?
Pivot Example
    Robotic Weeding
Talked 75 Customers in 8 Weeks
Our initial plan




                   Confidential
20 interviews, 6 site visits…
                                We got OUR Boots dirty
Mowing
Interviewed:
• Golf: Stanford Golf course
• Parks: Stanford Grounds Supervisor, head of maintenance and
    lead operator (has crew of 6)
• Toro dealer (large mower manufacturer)
• User of back-yard mowing system
• Maintenance Services for City of Los Altos
• Colony Landscaping (Mowing service for stadiums)


Weeding
Visited two farms in Salinas Valley to better understand problem

Interviewed:
• Bolthouse Farms, Large Agri-Industry in Bakersfield
• White Farms, Large Peanut farmer in Georgia
• REFCO Farms, large grower in Salinas Valley
• Rincon Farms, large grower in Salinas Valley
• Small Organic Corn/Soy grower in Nebraska
• Heirloom Organics, small owner/operator, Santa Cruz Mts
• Two small organic farmers at farmers market
• Ag Services of Salinas, Fertilizer applicator
Business Plan
       Autonomous Vehicles for Mowing & Weeding


                    - Innovation                                Dealers sell, installs   Mowing
- Dealers           - Customer           We reduce              and supports             - Owners of
(Mowing and Ag)     Education            operating cost         customer                 public or
- Vehicle OEMs      - Dealer training    - Labor reduction                               commercially
(John                                    - Better utilization   Co. trains               used green
Deere, Toro, Jaco                        of assets (eg mow      dealers, supports        spaces (e.g. golf
bsen, etc)                               or weed at nights)     dealers                  courses)
                                         - Improved                                      - Landscaping
- Research labs     Engineers on         performance (less       - Mowing Dealers
                                                                                         service provider
                    Autonomous           rework, food            - Ag Dealers
                    vehicles, GPS, pat   safety)                                         Weeding
                    h-planning                                                           - Farmers with
                                                                                         manual weeding
                                                                                         operations


Dealer discount                                     Asset sale
COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin                     Our revenue stream derives from selling the
Heavy R&D investment                                equipment
Found weeding in organic crops is HUGE
      problem; 50 - 75% of costs

                        Crews of 100s-1000

                        Back-breaking task

                        (Ilegal) labor harder to get

                        1-5 weedings per year/field

                        $250-3,500 per acre and
                        increasing

                        Food contamination risk
Decision to make – mowing vs weeding



Application     If ROI is < 1   Labor costs     Autonomous             TAM
                yr they will    significant?    would solve
                    buy                          problem?

Mowing of           Yes.            Yes              Yes          Adjusted up to
               Professionally                                          xxx
large fields        run
               organizations
Weeding in     Agri Industry:      YES! for                       TAM increased
                    YES!        organic crops   Not necessarily   to $2.6 B (Total
Agriculture                                                           organic)
                  Large           They are       Key need is
               Growers: Yes       spending      weed vs. crop     Target Market
                                  $500/ac!      differentiation      (organic
                  Small                                             specialty)
               Growers: No                                          162 M/yr
                                                                  18%/yr growth
Autonomous vehiclesWEEDING

                   - Innovation                            Dealers sell, installs   - Low density
- Ag Dealers       - Customer          We reduce           and supports             vegetable
- Ag Service       Education           operating cost      customer                 growers
providers          - Dealer training   - Labor reduction                            - High density
                                       (100 to 1)          Co. trains dealers,      vegetable
- Research labs                        - Reduced risk of   supports dealers         growers
                                       contamination                                - Thinning
                                       - Mitigate labor                             operations
                   Engineers on        availability         - Ag Dealers
                                                                                    - Conventional
                   Machine Vision      concerns             - Ag Service
                                                                                    vegetables
                   Two problems:                            providers
                   - Identification
                   - Elimination



Dealer discount                                  Asset sale
COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin                  Our revenue stream derives from selling the
Heavy R&D investment                             equipment
1 Week – 1 CarrotBot




        Confidential
CarrotBot

• Machine Vision data
  collection platform
  – Monochrome & Color
    Cameras
  – Laser-line sweep (depth
    measurement)
  – Encoders
                                  CarrotBot 1.0
    (position/velocity)
  – Onboard data acquisition
    & power
The Business Plan Canvas Updated

                 •Technology                            •Farming
                 Design                                 conventions.
                 •Marketing                             •Demo, demo, a
                 •Demo and                              nd demo!!
                 customer             •Cost             •Proximity is       •Organic
•Research Labs   feedback                               paramount           Farmers
                                      Reduction
•Equipment                                                                  •Weeding
                                      •Remove labor
Manufacturers                                                               Service
                                      force pains
•Distribution                                                               Providers
                                      •Eliminate bio-
Network                                                                     •Conventional
                                      waste hazards
•Service         •IP – Patents                                              Farmers
Providers        •Video                                 •Dealers
                 Classifier Files                       •Direct Service
                 •Robust                                •Indirect Service
                 Technology                             • … then Dealers


                                                                 •Asset Sale
                       Value-Driven                              •Direct Service with
                                                                 equipment rental
                                                                 •… then Asset Sale
Visit Highlights




                     Carrot vs. Weeds
Due to small root systems, carrots have no chance against weeds
Visit Highlights




Organic Broccoli, closely
cultivated. Weeds close to plants
are hand-picked
Visit Highlights




State of the Art in Weeding Technology for Organic Crops
Customer Hypothesis
Pre-Test
                                               Large
                                              Growers
             Us            Dealer
                                              Industrial
                                               Growers

                                        Hypothesis Confirmed
                                        • Growers interested in own equipment
                           Industrial   • Industrial (10,000s of acres)
                            Growers     • Large (1,000s of acres)
 Post-Test                              • Willing to pay $100k for one unit
                             Large
                            Growers     • Smaller growers (100s of acres) usually
       Us         Dealer                subcontract the labor services or rent
                            Service     equipment
                           Providers
                                        • All purchases through local dealers
                           Equipment           •Customer service is essential
                             Rental
Customer Map #1 – Industrial Growers
Example: Bolthouse Farms – Large Industrial Carrot Producer – 8K acres/yr

       End User       • Equipment Operator




      Influencer      • Local Farm Mgr
                        • Cliff Kirkpatrick, visited



    Recommender       • Director, Ag Technology              Equipment Operator
                        • Justin Grove, interviewed



       Decision       • VP, Growing Operations
        Maker



       Approver       • CFO, CEO (Jeff Dunn)

                                                               Cliff, Farm Mgr
Customer Map #2 – Service Providers
Example: Ag Services – Service Provider, Salinas Valley


  End User         • Equipment Operator




  Influencer        • Grower




Recommender        • Service Mgr

                                       Me (left), Marty (middle, Service Mgr), Doug
                                                      (right, Grower)

Decision Maker     • ?? (service mgr’s boss)
 & Approver
The Business Plan Canvas Updated

                 •Technology                            •Farming
                 Design                                 conventions.
                 •Marketing                             •Demo, demo,        •Mid/Large
                 •Demo and                              and demo!!          Organic Farmers
                 customer             •Cost             •Proximity is       •Agricultural
•Research Labs   feedback                               paramount
                                      Reduction                             corporations
•Equipment
                                      •Remove labor                         •Weeding Service
Manufacturers
                                      force pains                           Providers
•Distribution
                                      •Eliminate bio-
Network
•Service         •IP – Patents
                                      waste hazards                         •Mid/Large
Providers        •Video                                 •Direct Service     Conventional
                 Classifier Files                       •Indirect Service   Farmers
                 •Robust                                • … then Dealers
                 Technology

                                                               •Direct Service with
                                                               equipment rental
                       Value-Driven                            •($1,500/d; 120d/yr )
                                                               •Low density: $1,500/d
                                                               •High density: $6,000/d
World Ag Expo interviews:
the need is real and wide spread
                     • 10+ interviews at show
                            – Everyone confirmed the need
                            – Robocrop, UK based, crude
                              competitor sells for $171 K

                     • Revenue Stream
                            – Mid to small growers prefer a
                              service
                            – Large growers prefer to buy, but
                              OK with service until technology
                              is proven
                            – Charging for labor cost saved is
                              OK, as we provide other benefits
                              (food safety, labor availability)


             Confidential
The Business Plan Canvas Updated

                 •Technology                              •Farming
                 Design                                   conventions.
                 •Marketing                               •Demo, demo, a      •Mid/Large
•Research Labs   •Demo and                                nd demo!!           Organic Farmers
•Equipment       customer               •Cost             •Proximity is       •Agricultural
Manufacturer     feedback               Reduction         paramount           corporations
•Distribution                           •Remove labor                         •Weeding Service
Network                                 force pains                           Providers
•Service                                •Eliminate bio-
Providers
                 •IP – Patents
                                        waste hazards                         •Mid/Large
•2 or 3 Key
                 •Video                                   •Direct Service     Conventional
Farms
                 Classifier Files                         •Indirect Service   Farmers
                 •Robust                                  • … then Dealers
                 Technology

                 Value-Driven                                    •Direct Service with
                 • R&D                                           equipment rental
                 • Bill of Materials                             •Low density: $1,500/d
                 • Training & Service                            •High density: $6,000/d
                 • Sales
Autonomous weeding - Final


                    - Innovation                             Direct                 - Low density
- Ag Service        - Customer          We reduce            - Provide high         vegetable
providers           Education           operating cost       quality service at     growers
                    - Dealer training   - Labor reduction    competitive price      - High density
- Research                              (100 to 1)                                  vegetable
Institutes (eg UC                       - Reduced risk of                           growers
Davis, Laser                            contamination                               - Thinning
Zentrum                                 - Mitigate labor                            operations
Hannover)           Engineers on        availability          Direct
                                                                                    - Conventional
                    Machine Vision      concerns              - Alliance with
                                                                                    vegetables
- 3-4 key farms     Two problems:                             service providers
                    - Identification                          - Eventually sell
                    - Elimination                             through dealers



Costs for service provision                       Service provision
COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin                   - Charge by the acre with modifier according to
Heavy R&D investment                              weed density
                                                  - Eventually move to asset sale
Business Plan
                   Autonomous Vehicles for Mowing


                     - Innovation                                 Dealers sell, installs   Mowing
- Dealers (Mowing    - Customer            We reduce              and supports             - Owners of
and Ag)              Education             operating cost         customer                 public or
- Vehicle OEMs (John - Dealer training     - Labor reduction                               commercially
Deere, Toro, Jacobse                       - Better utilization   Co. trains dealers,      used green
n, etc)                                    of assets (eg mow      supports dealers         spaces (e.g. golf
                                           or weed at nights)                              courses)
- Research labs                            - Improved                                      - Landscaping
                      Engineers on         performance (less       - Mowing Dealers
                                                                                           service provider
                      Autonomous           rework, food            - Ag Dealers
                      vehicles, GPS, pat   safety)                                         Weeding
                      h-planning                                                           - Farmers with
                                                                                           manual weeding
                                                                                           operations


Dealer discount                                       Asset sale
COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin                       Our revenue stream derives from selling the
Heavy R&D investment                                  equipment
How Does This Really Work?

NSF Lean LaunchPad Class
10 Weeks From an Idea to a Business
Graphene Frontiers
We are a nanotechnology materials
company with a proprietary process for
producing high quality, low cost, large
area graphene films at commercial scale
Background: Graphene Applications
                “Wonder Material” Graphene
• Nano Material Subject of 2010 Nobel Prize in Physics
• 2D Carbon: Strong, Flexible, Conductive, Transparent
• Enables Next Generation Thin, Flexible Devices




 Flexible Transparent                            Thin, Flexible
                        Touch Screen, Displays
      Electrodes                                  Solar Cells
Problem: Lab Scale Not Enough
    Graphene Production Must Scale Up to
   Commercial Levels before Integration into
    Consumer Products Becomes a Reality…
Solution: Scalable Production Process
Our Patent-Pending APCVD
Graphene Production Process:
•Operates at ambient
pressure, reducing cost enabling
flexible design
•Industrial scale, continuous roll-to-
roll production possible
•Graphene sheet size limited only by
CVD furnace dimensions
•Same or better quality vis-à-vis
LPCVD graphene
•Graphene growth at 900-1000
°C, lower than other methods
Market: Size and Growth
 Nascent Graphene Market is Ready to Explode:
 Commercial Scale Production will be Catalyst
  •   Thin, Flexible Displays
  •   Solar Thin Film
  •   Touch Screens                                                  Thin, Flexible Display
  •   Thermal Management for Electronics   Thermal Management                $8.2B
  •   Basic Materials and Research
                                                  $6.4B
  •   Microscopy (TEM) Sample Supports
                                                          GF TAM:
                                                            $1.2B

                                                                    Research/
                      Market for                    Thin Film Solar Mat’l/Other
                      Graphene                           $4.6B        $1.4B
                      Films/Sheets

        $52M
                                     Graphene Frontiers Process & Product Offering
                                       • GF APCVD Process will Accelerate Graphene Adoption Curve

        2012                                                      2016
Team: Graphene Frontiers
EL:Zhengtang Luo, PhD – Chief Science Officer
10+ years experience in synthesis of carbon
nanomaterials and product development for applications
in the area of materials chemistry, chemical separation
and electronic devices.

Mentor: Mike Patterson – CEO
Experienced entrepreneurial leader, manager, and
trusted adviser to startups and Fortune 500 companies,
providing expertise in growth strategy and international
operations. Patterson is an Executive MBA candidate
(Entrepreneurial Management, April 2012) at the
Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.


PI: A.T. Charlie Johnson, PhD – Founder, Scientific Advisory Board
Known internationally for his work in graphene electronics and carbon nanotube electronics. IP from his lab on
DNA-carbon nanotube devices for use in an electronic nose system pursued by Nanosense. An author of over
130 peer-reviewed articles, Johnson holds two issued patents, with 18 other patents submitted.
Recap
• Graphene technology will change the world...

• …but not until it is available in commercial volumes

• We believe that APCVD is the best path to industrial scale

• Whoever meets this challenge will be first mover in a fast

  growing market with multi-billion dollar potential

• We are the right team with the right technology to do it
What’s Next: Strategy and Roadmap
              1H 2012                       2012                        2013+

                                  Commercial Roll-to-             Application
Phase        4” Scale-Up         Roll Design & Prototype         Development


Product/    TEM Grids                Process Licensing      Intellectual Property
            Materials Business                             Thin, Flexible Displays
Revenue

            12” x 12” Sheet           Roll-to-Roll Mfg.       Application R&D
Milestone   Production                 Industrial Scale            Team

                                                               “World Leader in
                                              Perfect
                                                                CVD Graphene
Activity       Scale-Up Sheet Size            Continuous
                                              Process            Innovation”

            Increase Area     Increase Throughput    New Applications
What’s Next: Secure Partnerships + Investment
  Distribution   Active Customer    Manufacturing
   Partners       Conversations       Partners




                                   Seed Investment
                                      Needed
Enter I-Corps: Beginning Hypotheses


Here’s What We Thought:
  – Graphene can be used for just about anything
  – All of the big manufacturers are just waiting for our
    product
  – The market for graphene will explode in 2012
  – We will become the world’s largest graphene
    manufacturer
So Here’s What We Did…

• Research to identify target companies: Build the list

   – Web, industry/research reports, personal network,
     “Who else should we talk to?”

• Calls to personal/professional/alumni network: “Do you
  know anyone…?”

• Intros, warm calls, cold calls, cold calls, more calls
So Here’s What We Did…
• Google AdWords Campaign + Survey Monkey

    – 3 days, 8,555 Impressions, 34 people clicking through to our site, ZERO
      contacts/closes. Retrospect: What were we trying to learn???

• Serendipity: Casual conversation turns to Graphene Frontiers at alumni event:


                           “That’s terrific! You know, I work at DuPont. Here’s my
                           card… send me your deck and let me know how I can
                           help.”
                           –Tom Connelly, Chief Innovation Officer, DuPont
So Here’s What We Did…
• 48 Companies Engaged, 70+ Conversations:
  – Lockheed Martin, GrafTech, Inventables, alphaMOS, FirstNano, Pannam Imaging,
    FujiFilm, Solutia, Dontech, Tramonto Circuits, Adamant Technologies, Intel, XG
    Sciences, Graphene Technologies, Densitron, Hotatouch, Touch International,
    Magic Touch, NJY Technology, Pangea Ventures, Display Search, Dow, DuPont, 3M,
    Corning, BASF, WL Gore, Morgan AM&T, Plextronics, SPI Supplies, New Metals and
    Chemicals, G.E., Innovalight, Siemens, Nelson-Miller, Essilor USA, Nexans, E-ink,
    Gamma Dynamics, Plastic Logic, Cabot Corporation, Thin Diamond, Knighthawk
    Engineering, Kopietz Consulting, DISPLAX, NineSigma, Evaporated Coatings,
    LiquaVista


• 80 LLL Posts, 61 Comments/Responses
  – 79% comments positive or factual, 21% “Constructive”
So Here’s What We Learned…
• Atmospheric pressure production is key value-add
   – Not “high-quality”, not single-layer

• Many big companies are on the sidelines doing limited
  product dev, waiting for a proven production method
• We need to focus on scaling up (bigger & faster)
• We need a partner to break into consumer electronics
• Cost matters, but not as much as we thought
So Here’s What We Learned…
• TEM grids are viable, near term but small market
   – Will rely on distribution partner

• Displays will be next big thing
   – Focus on flexible/foldable thin displays

   – May require partnership with OEMs or sub-contractors

• Extensive product characterization is next step
   – Transparency, haze, sheet resistance for displays (3M, Dow, DuPont)

   – Minimize layers and contamination for TEM (SPI, Halcyon)
•   R&D                                             • Warranty
• Earlyvangelists                                                                                        •   Defense
                        •   Scale up system design                          • Service/Maint.
• (Customer/Partner)                                                                                     •   MEMS
                        •   Graphene production        Material               Agree
• Equipment Mfg                                                                                          •   Chem/Bio Detect.
                        •   IP creation/licensing      • Thermal Conduct.   • Joint Marketing
• Universities                                                                                           •   Researchers
                        •   Internal application       • Elect. Conduct     • Branding
• Downstream                                                                                             •   Optoelectronics
                            development                • Strength
  fabrication                                                                                            •   Transparent
  companies                                            • “Semiconductor”                                     Conduct. (Touch)
• Suppliers             •   IP* (Patent/License)       • Flexible                                        •   Solar Cell Electrodes
                        •   Team/Expertise             • Transparent                                     •   Thermal Mgmt
                        •   Credibility/Rep                                 •   Distributor              •   Supercapacitor
                                                     Process
                        •   CVD Equipment                                   •   Direct Sales             •   Battery
                                                     • Low Cost
                        •   Inputs (gas/foil)                               •   Online                   •   TEM support
                                                     • Higher Quality
                        •   Lab space                                       •   License                  •   Polymer/Composite
                                                     • Large Area
                        •   Website                                         •   Partner/JV               •   CVD Equip Mfg
                                                     • “Industrializable”
                        •   Design/Engineering                              •   Bundle
                                                     • Flexible Mfg

                       • Team                                                      •   Material Sales    •   Add’l IP
                       • Lab space                                                 •   License/Royalty   •   Applications
                       • Capital equipment                                         •   Equipment Sales   •   SBIR
                                                                                   •   Consulting        •   Angel
                                                                                   •   Maintenance       •   VC
                                                                                   •   Design            •   Ben Franklin
The Business Model Canvas


• Lead Customer
                              • R&D                                                 • Warranty
• Equipment Mfg                                         Material
                              • Scale up system                                     • Service/Maint.
• Universities                                          • Thermal Conduct.                                          •   Defense
                                design                                                Agree
• Downstream                                            • Elect. Conduct                                            •   MEMS
                              • Graphene product.                                   • Joint Marketing
  fabrication                                           • Strength                                                  •   Chem/Bio Sensor
                              • IP creation/                                        • Branding
  companies                                             • “Semiconductor”                                           •   Researchers
                                licensing                                           • Education
• Suppliers                                             • Flexible                                                  •   Optoelectronics
                              • Internal app. dev.      • Transparent                                               •   Transparent
                                                                                                                        Conduct. (Touch)
                                                        Process                                                     •   Solar Cell
                                                        • Low Cost                                                      Electrodes
                                                        • Higher Quality                                            •   Thermal Mgmt
                             •   IP* (Patent/License)   • Large Area                                                •   Supercapacitor
                                                                                    •   Distributor
                             •   Team/Expertise         • “Industrializable”                                        •   Battery
                                                                                    •   Direct Sales
                             •   Credibility/Rep        • Flexible Mfg                                              •   TEM support
                                                                                    •   Online
                             •   CVD Equipment                                                                      •   Polymer/Compos.
                                                                                    •   License
                             •   Inputs (gas/foil)                                                                  •   CVD Equip Mfg
                                                                                    •   Partner/JV
                             •   Lab space                                          •   Bundle
                             •   Website
                             •   Design/Engineering



                  •   Team
                  •   Lab space                                            •   Material Sales           •   Maintenance
                  •   Capital equipment                                    •   License/Royalty          •   Design
                  •   Direct Sales/Travel                                  •   Equipment Sales          •   Add’l IP
                                                                           •   Consulting               •   Applications
The Business Model Canvas


Equipment Mfg          Scale up          Low Cost             Education              Thermal Mgmt
                                                                                     Solutions

Universities           Customization
                                         Higher Quality       Service/Maint.
                                                                                     Transparent
                       Production                                                    Conduct.
Downstream                               Large Area                                  (Touch)
fabrication
companies
                                                                                     Chem/Bio
                                         “Industrializable”
                       IP                                     License                Sensor

                       CVD Equipment                          Direct Sales

                       Facilities/Lab



                                                                        License/Royalty
  Capital equipment          Personnel
                                                                        Material Sales
 Direct Sales/Travel         Lab space
The Business Model Canvas


Equipment Mfg          Scale up          Low Cost             Education              Thermal Mgmt
                                                                                     Solutions

Universities           Customization
                                         Higher Quality       Service/Maint.
                                                                                     Transparent
                       Production                                                    Conduct.
Downstream                               Large Area                                  (Touch)
fabrication
companies
                                                                                     Chem/Bio
                                         “Industrializable”
                       IP                                     License                Sensor

                       CVD Equipment                          Direct Sales

                       Facilities/Lab



                                                                        License/Royalty
  Capital equipment          Personnel
                                                                        Material Sales
 Direct Sales/Travel         Lab space
The Business Model Canvas


Equipment Mfg          Scale up          Low Cost               Education              Thermal Mgmt
                                                                                       Solutions

Universities           Customization
                                         Higher Quality         Service/Maint.
                                                                                       Transparent
                       Production                                                      Conduct.
Downstream                               Large Area                                    (Touch)
fabrication
companies
                                                                                       Chem/Bio
                                         “Industrializable”
                       IP                                       License                Sensor

                       CVD Equipment                            Direct Sales

                       Facilities/Lab



                                                                          License/Royalty
  Capital equipment          Personnel                Intermediate
                                                      product
                                                                          Material Sales
 Direct Sales/Travel         Lab space
Graphene Frontiers Business Model Canvas – PRIOR VERSION (10.18)


                        Scale up
Equipment Mfg                             Low Cost               Education              Thermal Mgmt
                                                                                        Solutions
                        Customization
                                                                 Service/Maint.
Universities                              Higher Quality                                     Transparent
                                                                 Collaborative R             Conduct.
                        Production                               &D                          (Touch)
Downstream                                Large Area
fabrication                                                                          Membrane
companies                                                                            switches
                                          “Industrializable”
                        IP                                       License                       Replace ITO
                        CVD Equipment                            Direct Sales

                        Facilities/Lab                                                      Chem/Bio
                                                                                            Sensor


                                                                           License/Royalty
  Capital equipment           Personnel                Intermediate
                                                       product
                                                                           Material Sales
  Direct Sales/Travel         Lab space
This Week:
Split, then Pivot
Graphene Frontiers Business Model Canvas “A”


 Research               Transfer Process                       Academic Papers
 Groups                 Optimization       Atomically Thin
                                           and Robust                            Electron
                                                                Trade Shows      Microscopists
 TEM
 Equipment                                 Higher Quality
 Mfg.
                                           “Clean”


                        IP

                        CVD Equipment

                        Facilities/Lab




  “Free”                                                Revenue Sharing
  (Selling Byproduct)                                   w/Distributor
Graphene Frontiers Business Model Canvas “B”


                        Scale up
Equipment                                 Foldable /             Education             Flexible
Mfg                                       Bendable                                     Transparent
                        Customization
                                                                 Service/Maint.        Conductor
Universities                              Higher Quality         Collaborative
                                                                 R&D
Downstream                                Large Area
Fabrication
Companies
                                          “Industrializable”
                        IP                                       License
                                          Low Cost
                        CVD Equipment

                        Facilities/Lab



                                                       Intermediate        License/Royalty
  Capital Equipment           Personnel                product

  Direct Sales/Travel         Lab space
Graphene Frontiers Business Model Canvas “B”


                        Scale up
Equipment                                 Foldable /             Education             Flexible
Mfg                                       Bendable                                     Transparent
                        Customization
                                                                 Service/Maint.        Conductor
Universities                              Higher Quality         Collaborative
                                                                 R&D
Downstream                                Large Area
Fabrication
Companies
                                          “Industrializable”
                        IP                                       License
                                          Low Cost
                        CVD Equipment

                        Facilities/Lab



                                                       Intermediate        License/Royalty
  Capital Equipment           Personnel                product

  Direct Sales/Travel         Lab space
How to Build A Startup

             Idea
        Business Model
       Size Opportunity
    Customer Development
How to Build A Startup


        Business   Size of the   Customer    Customer
Idea    Model(s)   Opportunity   Discovery   Validation
How to Build A Startup


        Size of the
         Business     Size of the
                       Business     Customer    Customer
Idea    Opportunity
         Model(s)     Opportunity
                       Model(s)     Discovery   Validation




       Theory                        Practice
How to Build A Startup


       Size of the
        Business     Size of the
                      Business     Customer    Customer
Idea   Opportunity
        Model(s)     Opportunity
                      Model(s)     Discovery   Validation
How to Build A Startup


              Size of the
               Business      Size of the
                              Business     Customer    Customer
Idea          Opportunity
               Model(s)      Opportunity
                              Model(s)     Discovery   Validation




       • First test the problem
       • Next test the solution
How to Build A Startup


       Size of the
        Business     Size of the
                      Business     Customer    Customer
Idea   Opportunity
        Model(s)     Opportunity
                      Model(s)     Discovery   Validation
Why Do We Do This?
Make Your Lives Extraordinary
Additional Resources

• I-Corps class summary:
http://steveblank.com/2012/03/26/the-national-science-
foundation-innovation-corps-what-america-does-best/
• I-Corps team presentations:
http://www.slideshare.net/sblank/tagged/i-corps
• Resources for startups: http://steveblank.com/tools-and-
blogs-for-entrepreneurs/
• Books for startups: http://steveblank.com/books-for-
startups/
• Additional resources: http://steveblank.com/slides/

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Tec 050312

  • 1. How to Fail Less Business Models and Customer Development Steve Blank www.steveblank.com @sgblank
  • 2. As Smart As You Are Most of You Will Fail
  • 3. This Talk is How to Fail Less
  • 4. Agenda 1. What we used to believe / What we now know 2. Business Models and Customer Development 3. Customer Development Details 4. Examples
  • 5. What We Used to Believe Strategy
  • 6. All I Need to Do is Execute the Plan
  • 7. All I Need to Do is Execute the Plan
  • 8. All I Need to Do is Make the Forecast
  • 9. All I Need to Do is Make the Forecast
  • 10. What We Now Know Strategy
  • 14. Search Execution Business Model Operating Plan + Strategy Hypotheses Financial Model
  • 15. What We Used to Believe Process
  • 16. We Built Startups by Managing Processes Product Management + Waterfall Engineering
  • 17. Product Introduction Model Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship
  • 18. Product Introduction Model Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship
  • 19. Waterfall / Product Management Execution on Two “Knowns” Requirements Product Features: known Design Implementation Verification Customer Problem: known Maintenance Source: Eric Ries http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com
  • 20. Waterfall / Product Management Execution on Two “Knowns” Requirements Product Features: known Design Implementation Verification Customer Problem: known Maintenance Source: Eric Ries http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com
  • 21. What We Now Know Strategy
  • 22. More startups fail from a lack of customers than from a failure of product development
  • 23. Customer Development A Search Strategy
  • 24. Search Execution Strategy Business Model Operating Plan + Hypotheses Financial Model Process Customer & Product Management & Agile Development Agile Development
  • 25. What We Used to Believe Organization
  • 26. Hire and Build a Functional Organization
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. What We Now Know Organization
  • 30. Founders run a Customer Development Team No sales, marketing and business development
  • 31. Search Execution Strategy Business Model Operating Plan + Hypotheses Financial Model Customer Development, Product Management Process Agile Development Agile or Waterfall Development Customer Functional Organization Organization Development Team, by Department Founder-driven
  • 32. Search Strategy Business Model Hypotheses Process Customer Development, Agile Development Organization Customer Development Team, Founder-driven
  • 33. Search Execution Strategy Business Model Operating Plan + Hypotheses Financial Model Process Customer Development, Product Management Agile Development Agile or Waterfall Development Organization Customer Development Functional Organization Team, Founder-driven by Department
  • 34. Part 2 Business Models and Customer Development
  • 36. A temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model
  • 37. A temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model
  • 38. A temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model
  • 39. A temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model
  • 40. A temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model A Startup aims to become a company
  • 42.
  • 44. Business Model Canvas building block building building building block block building block building block block building building block building block building block block building building building building block block block block
  • 45. 9 Guesses Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess
  • 47.
  • 48. The Four Steps – The Startup Path Customer Development
  • 49.
  • 50. Customer Development Test the Problem, Then the Solution
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53. Customer Development The Minimum Viable Product
  • 54.
  • 55. Customer Development The Pivot
  • 56.
  • 57. Customer Development is how you search for the model
  • 59. Web/Mobile Versus Physical Customer Customer Discovery Validation Pivot •Web/Mobile startups run faster •Different process steps for web vs. physical •Customer Relationships are radically different
  • 60.
  • 62. Customer Validation Step 1: Get Ready to Sell
  • 63. Customer Validation Step 2: Sell to EarlyVangelists
  • 64. Customer Validation Step 3: Develop Positioning
  • 65. Customer Validation Step 4: Pivot or Proceed
  • 66. Part 3 How Does this Really Work?
  • 67. Pivot Example Robotic Weeding Talked 75 Customers in 8 Weeks
  • 68. Our initial plan Confidential
  • 69. 20 interviews, 6 site visits… We got OUR Boots dirty Mowing Interviewed: • Golf: Stanford Golf course • Parks: Stanford Grounds Supervisor, head of maintenance and lead operator (has crew of 6) • Toro dealer (large mower manufacturer) • User of back-yard mowing system • Maintenance Services for City of Los Altos • Colony Landscaping (Mowing service for stadiums) Weeding Visited two farms in Salinas Valley to better understand problem Interviewed: • Bolthouse Farms, Large Agri-Industry in Bakersfield • White Farms, Large Peanut farmer in Georgia • REFCO Farms, large grower in Salinas Valley • Rincon Farms, large grower in Salinas Valley • Small Organic Corn/Soy grower in Nebraska • Heirloom Organics, small owner/operator, Santa Cruz Mts • Two small organic farmers at farmers market • Ag Services of Salinas, Fertilizer applicator
  • 70. Business Plan Autonomous Vehicles for Mowing & Weeding - Innovation Dealers sell, installs Mowing - Dealers - Customer We reduce and supports - Owners of (Mowing and Ag) Education operating cost customer public or - Vehicle OEMs - Dealer training - Labor reduction commercially (John - Better utilization Co. trains used green Deere, Toro, Jaco of assets (eg mow dealers, supports spaces (e.g. golf bsen, etc) or weed at nights) dealers courses) - Improved - Landscaping - Research labs Engineers on performance (less - Mowing Dealers service provider Autonomous rework, food - Ag Dealers vehicles, GPS, pat safety) Weeding h-planning - Farmers with manual weeding operations Dealer discount Asset sale COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin Our revenue stream derives from selling the Heavy R&D investment equipment
  • 71. Found weeding in organic crops is HUGE problem; 50 - 75% of costs Crews of 100s-1000 Back-breaking task (Ilegal) labor harder to get 1-5 weedings per year/field $250-3,500 per acre and increasing Food contamination risk
  • 72. Decision to make – mowing vs weeding Application If ROI is < 1 Labor costs Autonomous TAM yr they will significant? would solve buy problem? Mowing of Yes. Yes Yes Adjusted up to Professionally xxx large fields run organizations Weeding in Agri Industry: YES! for TAM increased YES! organic crops Not necessarily to $2.6 B (Total Agriculture organic) Large They are Key need is Growers: Yes spending weed vs. crop Target Market $500/ac! differentiation (organic Small specialty) Growers: No 162 M/yr 18%/yr growth
  • 73. Autonomous vehiclesWEEDING - Innovation Dealers sell, installs - Low density - Ag Dealers - Customer We reduce and supports vegetable - Ag Service Education operating cost customer growers providers - Dealer training - Labor reduction - High density (100 to 1) Co. trains dealers, vegetable - Research labs - Reduced risk of supports dealers growers contamination - Thinning - Mitigate labor operations Engineers on availability - Ag Dealers - Conventional Machine Vision concerns - Ag Service vegetables Two problems: providers - Identification - Elimination Dealer discount Asset sale COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin Our revenue stream derives from selling the Heavy R&D investment equipment
  • 74. 1 Week – 1 CarrotBot Confidential
  • 75. CarrotBot • Machine Vision data collection platform – Monochrome & Color Cameras – Laser-line sweep (depth measurement) – Encoders CarrotBot 1.0 (position/velocity) – Onboard data acquisition & power
  • 76. The Business Plan Canvas Updated •Technology •Farming Design conventions. •Marketing •Demo, demo, a •Demo and nd demo!! customer •Cost •Proximity is •Organic •Research Labs feedback paramount Farmers Reduction •Equipment •Weeding •Remove labor Manufacturers Service force pains •Distribution Providers •Eliminate bio- Network •Conventional waste hazards •Service •IP – Patents Farmers Providers •Video •Dealers Classifier Files •Direct Service •Robust •Indirect Service Technology • … then Dealers •Asset Sale Value-Driven •Direct Service with equipment rental •… then Asset Sale
  • 77. Visit Highlights Carrot vs. Weeds Due to small root systems, carrots have no chance against weeds
  • 78. Visit Highlights Organic Broccoli, closely cultivated. Weeds close to plants are hand-picked
  • 79. Visit Highlights State of the Art in Weeding Technology for Organic Crops
  • 80. Customer Hypothesis Pre-Test Large Growers Us Dealer Industrial Growers Hypothesis Confirmed • Growers interested in own equipment Industrial • Industrial (10,000s of acres) Growers • Large (1,000s of acres) Post-Test • Willing to pay $100k for one unit Large Growers • Smaller growers (100s of acres) usually Us Dealer subcontract the labor services or rent Service equipment Providers • All purchases through local dealers Equipment •Customer service is essential Rental
  • 81. Customer Map #1 – Industrial Growers Example: Bolthouse Farms – Large Industrial Carrot Producer – 8K acres/yr End User • Equipment Operator Influencer • Local Farm Mgr • Cliff Kirkpatrick, visited Recommender • Director, Ag Technology Equipment Operator • Justin Grove, interviewed Decision • VP, Growing Operations Maker Approver • CFO, CEO (Jeff Dunn) Cliff, Farm Mgr
  • 82. Customer Map #2 – Service Providers Example: Ag Services – Service Provider, Salinas Valley End User • Equipment Operator Influencer • Grower Recommender • Service Mgr Me (left), Marty (middle, Service Mgr), Doug (right, Grower) Decision Maker • ?? (service mgr’s boss) & Approver
  • 83. The Business Plan Canvas Updated •Technology •Farming Design conventions. •Marketing •Demo, demo, •Mid/Large •Demo and and demo!! Organic Farmers customer •Cost •Proximity is •Agricultural •Research Labs feedback paramount Reduction corporations •Equipment •Remove labor •Weeding Service Manufacturers force pains Providers •Distribution •Eliminate bio- Network •Service •IP – Patents waste hazards •Mid/Large Providers •Video •Direct Service Conventional Classifier Files •Indirect Service Farmers •Robust • … then Dealers Technology •Direct Service with equipment rental Value-Driven •($1,500/d; 120d/yr ) •Low density: $1,500/d •High density: $6,000/d
  • 84. World Ag Expo interviews: the need is real and wide spread • 10+ interviews at show – Everyone confirmed the need – Robocrop, UK based, crude competitor sells for $171 K • Revenue Stream – Mid to small growers prefer a service – Large growers prefer to buy, but OK with service until technology is proven – Charging for labor cost saved is OK, as we provide other benefits (food safety, labor availability) Confidential
  • 85. The Business Plan Canvas Updated •Technology •Farming Design conventions. •Marketing •Demo, demo, a •Mid/Large •Research Labs •Demo and nd demo!! Organic Farmers •Equipment customer •Cost •Proximity is •Agricultural Manufacturer feedback Reduction paramount corporations •Distribution •Remove labor •Weeding Service Network force pains Providers •Service •Eliminate bio- Providers •IP – Patents waste hazards •Mid/Large •2 or 3 Key •Video •Direct Service Conventional Farms Classifier Files •Indirect Service Farmers •Robust • … then Dealers Technology Value-Driven •Direct Service with • R&D equipment rental • Bill of Materials •Low density: $1,500/d • Training & Service •High density: $6,000/d • Sales
  • 86. Autonomous weeding - Final - Innovation Direct - Low density - Ag Service - Customer We reduce - Provide high vegetable providers Education operating cost quality service at growers - Dealer training - Labor reduction competitive price - High density - Research (100 to 1) vegetable Institutes (eg UC - Reduced risk of growers Davis, Laser contamination - Thinning Zentrum - Mitigate labor operations Hannover) Engineers on availability Direct - Conventional Machine Vision concerns - Alliance with vegetables - 3-4 key farms Two problems: service providers - Identification - Eventually sell - Elimination through dealers Costs for service provision Service provision COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin - Charge by the acre with modifier according to Heavy R&D investment weed density - Eventually move to asset sale
  • 87. Business Plan Autonomous Vehicles for Mowing - Innovation Dealers sell, installs Mowing - Dealers (Mowing - Customer We reduce and supports - Owners of and Ag) Education operating cost customer public or - Vehicle OEMs (John - Dealer training - Labor reduction commercially Deere, Toro, Jacobse - Better utilization Co. trains dealers, used green n, etc) of assets (eg mow supports dealers spaces (e.g. golf or weed at nights) courses) - Research labs - Improved - Landscaping Engineers on performance (less - Mowing Dealers service provider Autonomous rework, food - Ag Dealers vehicles, GPS, pat safety) Weeding h-planning - Farmers with manual weeding operations Dealer discount Asset sale COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin Our revenue stream derives from selling the Heavy R&D investment equipment
  • 88. How Does This Really Work? NSF Lean LaunchPad Class 10 Weeks From an Idea to a Business
  • 89. Graphene Frontiers We are a nanotechnology materials company with a proprietary process for producing high quality, low cost, large area graphene films at commercial scale
  • 90. Background: Graphene Applications “Wonder Material” Graphene • Nano Material Subject of 2010 Nobel Prize in Physics • 2D Carbon: Strong, Flexible, Conductive, Transparent • Enables Next Generation Thin, Flexible Devices Flexible Transparent Thin, Flexible Touch Screen, Displays Electrodes Solar Cells
  • 91. Problem: Lab Scale Not Enough Graphene Production Must Scale Up to Commercial Levels before Integration into Consumer Products Becomes a Reality…
  • 92. Solution: Scalable Production Process Our Patent-Pending APCVD Graphene Production Process: •Operates at ambient pressure, reducing cost enabling flexible design •Industrial scale, continuous roll-to- roll production possible •Graphene sheet size limited only by CVD furnace dimensions •Same or better quality vis-à-vis LPCVD graphene •Graphene growth at 900-1000 °C, lower than other methods
  • 93. Market: Size and Growth Nascent Graphene Market is Ready to Explode: Commercial Scale Production will be Catalyst • Thin, Flexible Displays • Solar Thin Film • Touch Screens Thin, Flexible Display • Thermal Management for Electronics Thermal Management $8.2B • Basic Materials and Research $6.4B • Microscopy (TEM) Sample Supports GF TAM: $1.2B Research/ Market for Thin Film Solar Mat’l/Other Graphene $4.6B $1.4B Films/Sheets $52M Graphene Frontiers Process & Product Offering • GF APCVD Process will Accelerate Graphene Adoption Curve 2012 2016
  • 94. Team: Graphene Frontiers EL:Zhengtang Luo, PhD – Chief Science Officer 10+ years experience in synthesis of carbon nanomaterials and product development for applications in the area of materials chemistry, chemical separation and electronic devices. Mentor: Mike Patterson – CEO Experienced entrepreneurial leader, manager, and trusted adviser to startups and Fortune 500 companies, providing expertise in growth strategy and international operations. Patterson is an Executive MBA candidate (Entrepreneurial Management, April 2012) at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. PI: A.T. Charlie Johnson, PhD – Founder, Scientific Advisory Board Known internationally for his work in graphene electronics and carbon nanotube electronics. IP from his lab on DNA-carbon nanotube devices for use in an electronic nose system pursued by Nanosense. An author of over 130 peer-reviewed articles, Johnson holds two issued patents, with 18 other patents submitted.
  • 95. Recap • Graphene technology will change the world... • …but not until it is available in commercial volumes • We believe that APCVD is the best path to industrial scale • Whoever meets this challenge will be first mover in a fast growing market with multi-billion dollar potential • We are the right team with the right technology to do it
  • 96. What’s Next: Strategy and Roadmap 1H 2012 2012 2013+ Commercial Roll-to- Application Phase 4” Scale-Up Roll Design & Prototype Development Product/ TEM Grids Process Licensing Intellectual Property Materials Business Thin, Flexible Displays Revenue 12” x 12” Sheet Roll-to-Roll Mfg. Application R&D Milestone Production Industrial Scale Team “World Leader in Perfect CVD Graphene Activity Scale-Up Sheet Size Continuous Process Innovation” Increase Area Increase Throughput New Applications
  • 97. What’s Next: Secure Partnerships + Investment Distribution Active Customer Manufacturing Partners Conversations Partners Seed Investment Needed
  • 98. Enter I-Corps: Beginning Hypotheses Here’s What We Thought: – Graphene can be used for just about anything – All of the big manufacturers are just waiting for our product – The market for graphene will explode in 2012 – We will become the world’s largest graphene manufacturer
  • 99. So Here’s What We Did… • Research to identify target companies: Build the list – Web, industry/research reports, personal network, “Who else should we talk to?” • Calls to personal/professional/alumni network: “Do you know anyone…?” • Intros, warm calls, cold calls, cold calls, more calls
  • 100. So Here’s What We Did… • Google AdWords Campaign + Survey Monkey – 3 days, 8,555 Impressions, 34 people clicking through to our site, ZERO contacts/closes. Retrospect: What were we trying to learn??? • Serendipity: Casual conversation turns to Graphene Frontiers at alumni event: “That’s terrific! You know, I work at DuPont. Here’s my card… send me your deck and let me know how I can help.” –Tom Connelly, Chief Innovation Officer, DuPont
  • 101. So Here’s What We Did… • 48 Companies Engaged, 70+ Conversations: – Lockheed Martin, GrafTech, Inventables, alphaMOS, FirstNano, Pannam Imaging, FujiFilm, Solutia, Dontech, Tramonto Circuits, Adamant Technologies, Intel, XG Sciences, Graphene Technologies, Densitron, Hotatouch, Touch International, Magic Touch, NJY Technology, Pangea Ventures, Display Search, Dow, DuPont, 3M, Corning, BASF, WL Gore, Morgan AM&T, Plextronics, SPI Supplies, New Metals and Chemicals, G.E., Innovalight, Siemens, Nelson-Miller, Essilor USA, Nexans, E-ink, Gamma Dynamics, Plastic Logic, Cabot Corporation, Thin Diamond, Knighthawk Engineering, Kopietz Consulting, DISPLAX, NineSigma, Evaporated Coatings, LiquaVista • 80 LLL Posts, 61 Comments/Responses – 79% comments positive or factual, 21% “Constructive”
  • 102. So Here’s What We Learned… • Atmospheric pressure production is key value-add – Not “high-quality”, not single-layer • Many big companies are on the sidelines doing limited product dev, waiting for a proven production method • We need to focus on scaling up (bigger & faster) • We need a partner to break into consumer electronics • Cost matters, but not as much as we thought
  • 103. So Here’s What We Learned… • TEM grids are viable, near term but small market – Will rely on distribution partner • Displays will be next big thing – Focus on flexible/foldable thin displays – May require partnership with OEMs or sub-contractors • Extensive product characterization is next step – Transparency, haze, sheet resistance for displays (3M, Dow, DuPont) – Minimize layers and contamination for TEM (SPI, Halcyon)
  • 104. R&D • Warranty • Earlyvangelists • Defense • Scale up system design • Service/Maint. • (Customer/Partner) • MEMS • Graphene production Material Agree • Equipment Mfg • Chem/Bio Detect. • IP creation/licensing • Thermal Conduct. • Joint Marketing • Universities • Researchers • Internal application • Elect. Conduct • Branding • Downstream • Optoelectronics development • Strength fabrication • Transparent companies • “Semiconductor” Conduct. (Touch) • Suppliers • IP* (Patent/License) • Flexible • Solar Cell Electrodes • Team/Expertise • Transparent • Thermal Mgmt • Credibility/Rep • Distributor • Supercapacitor Process • CVD Equipment • Direct Sales • Battery • Low Cost • Inputs (gas/foil) • Online • TEM support • Higher Quality • Lab space • License • Polymer/Composite • Large Area • Website • Partner/JV • CVD Equip Mfg • “Industrializable” • Design/Engineering • Bundle • Flexible Mfg • Team • Material Sales • Add’l IP • Lab space • License/Royalty • Applications • Capital equipment • Equipment Sales • SBIR • Consulting • Angel • Maintenance • VC • Design • Ben Franklin
  • 105. The Business Model Canvas • Lead Customer • R&D • Warranty • Equipment Mfg Material • Scale up system • Service/Maint. • Universities • Thermal Conduct. • Defense design Agree • Downstream • Elect. Conduct • MEMS • Graphene product. • Joint Marketing fabrication • Strength • Chem/Bio Sensor • IP creation/ • Branding companies • “Semiconductor” • Researchers licensing • Education • Suppliers • Flexible • Optoelectronics • Internal app. dev. • Transparent • Transparent Conduct. (Touch) Process • Solar Cell • Low Cost Electrodes • Higher Quality • Thermal Mgmt • IP* (Patent/License) • Large Area • Supercapacitor • Distributor • Team/Expertise • “Industrializable” • Battery • Direct Sales • Credibility/Rep • Flexible Mfg • TEM support • Online • CVD Equipment • Polymer/Compos. • License • Inputs (gas/foil) • CVD Equip Mfg • Partner/JV • Lab space • Bundle • Website • Design/Engineering • Team • Lab space • Material Sales • Maintenance • Capital equipment • License/Royalty • Design • Direct Sales/Travel • Equipment Sales • Add’l IP • Consulting • Applications
  • 106. The Business Model Canvas Equipment Mfg Scale up Low Cost Education Thermal Mgmt Solutions Universities Customization Higher Quality Service/Maint. Transparent Production Conduct. Downstream Large Area (Touch) fabrication companies Chem/Bio “Industrializable” IP License Sensor CVD Equipment Direct Sales Facilities/Lab License/Royalty Capital equipment Personnel Material Sales Direct Sales/Travel Lab space
  • 107. The Business Model Canvas Equipment Mfg Scale up Low Cost Education Thermal Mgmt Solutions Universities Customization Higher Quality Service/Maint. Transparent Production Conduct. Downstream Large Area (Touch) fabrication companies Chem/Bio “Industrializable” IP License Sensor CVD Equipment Direct Sales Facilities/Lab License/Royalty Capital equipment Personnel Material Sales Direct Sales/Travel Lab space
  • 108. The Business Model Canvas Equipment Mfg Scale up Low Cost Education Thermal Mgmt Solutions Universities Customization Higher Quality Service/Maint. Transparent Production Conduct. Downstream Large Area (Touch) fabrication companies Chem/Bio “Industrializable” IP License Sensor CVD Equipment Direct Sales Facilities/Lab License/Royalty Capital equipment Personnel Intermediate product Material Sales Direct Sales/Travel Lab space
  • 109. Graphene Frontiers Business Model Canvas – PRIOR VERSION (10.18) Scale up Equipment Mfg Low Cost Education Thermal Mgmt Solutions Customization Service/Maint. Universities Higher Quality Transparent Collaborative R Conduct. Production &D (Touch) Downstream Large Area fabrication Membrane companies switches “Industrializable” IP License Replace ITO CVD Equipment Direct Sales Facilities/Lab Chem/Bio Sensor License/Royalty Capital equipment Personnel Intermediate product Material Sales Direct Sales/Travel Lab space
  • 111. Graphene Frontiers Business Model Canvas “A” Research Transfer Process Academic Papers Groups Optimization Atomically Thin and Robust Electron Trade Shows Microscopists TEM Equipment Higher Quality Mfg. “Clean” IP CVD Equipment Facilities/Lab “Free” Revenue Sharing (Selling Byproduct) w/Distributor
  • 112. Graphene Frontiers Business Model Canvas “B” Scale up Equipment Foldable / Education Flexible Mfg Bendable Transparent Customization Service/Maint. Conductor Universities Higher Quality Collaborative R&D Downstream Large Area Fabrication Companies “Industrializable” IP License Low Cost CVD Equipment Facilities/Lab Intermediate License/Royalty Capital Equipment Personnel product Direct Sales/Travel Lab space
  • 113. Graphene Frontiers Business Model Canvas “B” Scale up Equipment Foldable / Education Flexible Mfg Bendable Transparent Customization Service/Maint. Conductor Universities Higher Quality Collaborative R&D Downstream Large Area Fabrication Companies “Industrializable” IP License Low Cost CVD Equipment Facilities/Lab Intermediate License/Royalty Capital Equipment Personnel product Direct Sales/Travel Lab space
  • 114. How to Build A Startup Idea Business Model Size Opportunity Customer Development
  • 115. How to Build A Startup Business Size of the Customer Customer Idea Model(s) Opportunity Discovery Validation
  • 116. How to Build A Startup Size of the Business Size of the Business Customer Customer Idea Opportunity Model(s) Opportunity Model(s) Discovery Validation Theory Practice
  • 117. How to Build A Startup Size of the Business Size of the Business Customer Customer Idea Opportunity Model(s) Opportunity Model(s) Discovery Validation
  • 118. How to Build A Startup Size of the Business Size of the Business Customer Customer Idea Opportunity Model(s) Opportunity Model(s) Discovery Validation • First test the problem • Next test the solution
  • 119. How to Build A Startup Size of the Business Size of the Business Customer Customer Idea Opportunity Model(s) Opportunity Model(s) Discovery Validation
  • 120. Why Do We Do This?
  • 121.
  • 122. Make Your Lives Extraordinary
  • 123. Additional Resources • I-Corps class summary: http://steveblank.com/2012/03/26/the-national-science- foundation-innovation-corps-what-america-does-best/ • I-Corps team presentations: http://www.slideshare.net/sblank/tagged/i-corps • Resources for startups: http://steveblank.com/tools-and- blogs-for-entrepreneurs/ • Books for startups: http://steveblank.com/books-for- startups/ • Additional resources: http://steveblank.com/slides/

Notas do Editor

  1. 320 SBIR Phase 2 companiesGot $500K50% from academiaMix of technologies20% of you will get phase 2b20% of those will succeed13 of you will succeedMost of you think you are in execution modeMost will be a few years old – thinking they are in execution~25 will be a lot olderNot all in the audience will be founders, some will be employeesGraphene Frontiers is the perfect exampleStart with their slidesEmphasize that this process not just works for software but anything with customer/market riskFix the serendipitous DOW meetingGroun flour pharma as a backup
  2. The Background: Graphene is an amazing material that will improve and disrupt entire industries, including electronics and clean energy
  3. Problem statement: None of these things will happen unless and until graphene can be produced in large quantities – Commercial Scale
  4. Solution: We can do this. Our technology offers the best path forward to enable commercial scale production of graphene films at low cost.
  5. Market Opportunity: We believe that there is significant demand for graphene, but the market will not develop and companies will not design products that incorporate graphene until a reliable source is identified
  6. Rock Stars.
  7. We may have been overconfident.
  8. So here’s the plan.
  9. We’re now ready to raise money to scale up and develop our continuous manufacturing prototype, and we have several heavy hitters who are waiting to see us succeed…
  10. We may have been overconfident.
  11. We:--Made a target list--asked for introductions and referrals--worked our networks--made a BUNCH of calls
  12. --Not successful: AdWords--Very successful: Luck!!
  13. The numbers
  14. The Payoff:--What we thought was important wasn’t important to our potential customers and partners--The market *will not grow* until someone can prove that they can supply graphene--The source must be reliable, and the cost must be within reason**WE NEED TO DEMONSTRATE SCALE**
  15. We can make money TODAY with TEM Grids and material sales… distributors are clamoring for our stuffWe have work to do to meet display requirementsBig companies are willing to help us get there
  16. Version 1: Crazy, right?? We realized that we had work to do, so we completely revamped our slide before we presented it to our classmates by…
  17. …using a cleaner template and underlining a few words. We settled on this as Graphene Frontiers Canvas #1 and thought that we would WOW the audience with how much detail we had and how broad our scope and opportunity was.We projected this on the screen and were promptly booed off the stage. Sooo….. v2 was born:
  18. Lesson #1: Focus.We narrowed our scope to the three applications we believed were most promising and set out to test our assumptions
  19. We were a bit too hesitant to fail fast and close doors, but we did recognize early on that we were probably not going to become “the Alcoa of nanocarbon”
  20. We also heard from customers that we would need to integrate into existing production lines… high volume manufacturers may be reluctant to buy vast quantities of material… they probably want to license and make their own.We also learned that ITO and silver nanowires were the competition for touch screen and displays, but we were beginning to quantify the differentiators
  21. We heard that collaborative R&amp;D would be a necessity—we will need to help companies use our material in their product development.Membrane switches—a new opportunity we evaluated, was quickly ruled out.
  22. The big week:Near term opportunity: TEM GridsMedium term opportunity: Thin, flexible displays
  23. Canvas A: TEM GridsWe’re partnering with SPI, a microscopy supply distributor, and have developed a Minimum Viable Product that is undergoing beta testing and evaluation.We will provide them with graphene on copper foil (a byproduct of our work to scale up production), and they will transfer to the grids, QC, package, market, sell, etc. and we have agree in principle on a revenue sharing deal
  24. Canvas “B”: Flexible transparent conductors for Displays
  25. We learned that we needed to partner with manufacturers to incorporate graphene into product development, and *SCALE UP IS CRITICAL*Cost is not as important as we thought earlier,: We don’t need to beat ITO, we need to do what it can’t do (flexible, impervious to oxygen, etc.)