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Katie Jonsson
IR 21’
Dylan Junkin
IR 21’
Will Buchanan
CS 21’
Sally Egan
IR + MCS 22’
ElectionWatch
138 Interviews
Sponsor Problem Statement:
US allies and partners need a
tool to improve the resiliency of
their information environment
and to protect the integrity of
their political elections from
outside interference.
Current Problem Statement:
SOCPAC PsyOps analysts need an
open-source tool to improve the
transparency of the information
environment and track the Chinese
Communist Party’s political influence
campaigns.
We interviewed 138 people across government,
industry, and academia
71 Interviews 38 Interviews 29 Interviews
“Disinformation is
the next wave of
confrontation
between
authoritarian
regimes and the
United States.”
Senior Official,
Cyber Command
But, we had a false start and tackled the
solution before the problem
VALUE PROP
Identify,
attribute,
map, and
respond
BENEFICIARIES
● SOCPAC
● Cyber
Command
● Social media
platforms
● Southeast
Asian
governments
● Focused on solution rather than
problem
● Trouble finding analysts. Too
many ‘high level’ interviews
“We need to identify
malign influence in
elections”
“We need a tool to
directly combat false
information coming from
China and Russia”
-Senior U.S. Government Officials
So we restarted and tried to understand the
problem
Week 1 Week 5 Week 9+
Too focused on solution
instead of problem
Morale
New Strategy: Find the subject matter experts
while we schedule to meet with our
beneficiaries!
Learning how and why adversaries spread information
Adversaries promote
their own image and
undermine democracy,
using inauthentic and
authentic tactics.
“Policy decisions are made at the
highest levels. This allows
[adversaries] to give broad goals
but no specific implementation
requirements.”
- Glenn Tiffert, Hoover Institution
15
Subject Matter
Experts
Media
Messaging
Academia
Social
Media
Politics
Business
Rest of
Society
Rest of
Society
Adversary
Government
Week 1 Week 5 Week 9+
Too focused on solution
instead of problem
Pivot!
We pivoted after learning that influence campaigns target
non-election events and contain truthful elements
We understood the
problem, but not
who owns it
What’s Next?
Election disinformation → political influence
Identifying our Beneficiary
Insights:
Overlapping network of
responsibility
Differing approaches
SOCPAC is the Center
of the Spiderweb
Special Operations Command Pacific
Psychological Operations Analysts
State
Department
National
Security Council
Intelligence
Agencies
CIA, FBI, NSA
J39: Information Operations
Psychological Operations
Analysts
J3: Operations
SOCPA
C
INDOPACOM
Department of Defense
CYBERCOM
We mapped out the workflow of J39 analysts
monitoring and countering influence
Attribute
“Where did it come from?”
Pain Point: Data sharing
between classification
levels
Goal: Finding the nation/group
behind the narrative
Identify
“Have we been attacked?
Goal: Spotting narratives
targeting US and allies before
they gain traction
Pain Point: Identifying
narratives on social media
Respond
“What should we do about it?”
Pain Point: Counter
messaging is too slow
Goal: Publishing truthful
messages via embassies to
counter the threat
We made an MVP to speed up counter messaging
KEY PARTNERS
● Policy and Security
specialists at
Facebook, Twitter,
Google, BlackBird,
Primer,ai
● SOCPAC
● Cyber Command
● Southeast Asian
governments
● Cyber policy
research initiatives
(DFRL, SIO)
● Civil Society
● Ambassadors and
PAOs at US
Embassies
● Global Engagement
Center
● State Department
7th Floor (S, P, or R)
KEY RESOURCES
● Twitter APIs
● Election security experts with
understanding of targeting tactics
● Mass link/photo/post
scanning/tracking algorithm
● Student engineers
KEY ACTIVITIES
● Identify and map Chinese to increase
political transparency and allow faster
ingestion of large quantities of data data
MISSION ACHIEVEMENT/IMPACT FACTORS
● Improved transparency on social media platforms regarding disinformation and
influence campaigns
● Ensure allies in Southeast Asia are aware of current Chinese influence
DEPLOYMENT
BUY-IN &
SUPPORT
MISSION BUDGET/COST
● Fixed: software design and engineering,
● Variable: content moderators, cooperation with technology/social
media companies
Once Mission-Fit was achieved, we shifted to deployment
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
Create pre-
approved
messages so
analysts can
respond quicker
BENEFICIARIES
J-39
Psychological
Operations
Analysts
Potential deployment plan in Southeast Asia
Testing our tool where the adversary is testing their tactics
Demo with Special
Operations analysts
Initial testing with US
Embassies in region
Engage with foreign
governments and
society
Demo with Special
Operations analysts
13
After pursuing counter messaging for weeks,
we learned it needs a policy solution, not a
tech solution
“Not sure anyone
can solve
bureaucratic
problems. Getting
messaging out is
strategic, but this
seems like an
impossible task”
US Embassies
Policy Directives
Messaging
We can add value through
counter-messaging!Morale
Week 1 Week 5 Week 9+
Counter messaging was
unrealistic. We asked
ourselves: Where can we
add value?
Went back to analyst
workflow to find pain
points to address
Too focused on solution
instead of problem
Pivot!
Pivoted from sending counter messages
to identifying narratives
15
Respond Identify
“Our biggest challenge is the
initial assessment of
disinformation… Everything
we have requires having
keywords in order to be
searching for information.”
-SOCPAC Analyst
Our final MVP helps analysts identify narratives earlier
“The concept we are talking
about is unique... at the moment
we have nothing that mirrors its
functions…”
- SOCPAC Analyst
Identify narratives and
accounts before they
generate significant
attention
What’s Next?
138
Here is where we are now
We can add value through
counter-messaging!
Too focused on solution
instead of problem
Pivot!
We are building our narrative tracking
tool and we have support
● Developing partnerships
● Seeking initial grant
funding
● Addressing data access
and competitors
We are applying for H4X Funding
The team is pursuing H4X
funding and will be hiring
software engineers this
summer
A big thank you to Major Morton, Lt. Col Liebreich, MG Hager, MG
Braga, Capt. Brunson, Lt. Col Waters, Reece Smyth, Robert Locke, Nini
Moorhead, Daniel Bardenstein, Valeria Rincon, and the teaching team.
The team can be contacted at:
djunkin@stanford.edu
kjonsson@stanford.edu
wbuchan@stanford.edu
egansj18@stanford.edu
Appendix
Reduces time to identify narratives
Runs in background 24/7
Dynamic ability to add/delete actors
Unclassified and open-source
Coordination across analysts
Our MVP addresses key challenges and
integrates with existing workflow:

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Track Political Narratives Before Attention

  • 1. Katie Jonsson IR 21’ Dylan Junkin IR 21’ Will Buchanan CS 21’ Sally Egan IR + MCS 22’ ElectionWatch 138 Interviews Sponsor Problem Statement: US allies and partners need a tool to improve the resiliency of their information environment and to protect the integrity of their political elections from outside interference. Current Problem Statement: SOCPAC PsyOps analysts need an open-source tool to improve the transparency of the information environment and track the Chinese Communist Party’s political influence campaigns.
  • 2. We interviewed 138 people across government, industry, and academia 71 Interviews 38 Interviews 29 Interviews
  • 3. “Disinformation is the next wave of confrontation between authoritarian regimes and the United States.” Senior Official, Cyber Command
  • 4. But, we had a false start and tackled the solution before the problem VALUE PROP Identify, attribute, map, and respond BENEFICIARIES ● SOCPAC ● Cyber Command ● Social media platforms ● Southeast Asian governments ● Focused on solution rather than problem ● Trouble finding analysts. Too many ‘high level’ interviews “We need to identify malign influence in elections” “We need a tool to directly combat false information coming from China and Russia” -Senior U.S. Government Officials
  • 5. So we restarted and tried to understand the problem Week 1 Week 5 Week 9+ Too focused on solution instead of problem Morale New Strategy: Find the subject matter experts while we schedule to meet with our beneficiaries!
  • 6. Learning how and why adversaries spread information Adversaries promote their own image and undermine democracy, using inauthentic and authentic tactics. “Policy decisions are made at the highest levels. This allows [adversaries] to give broad goals but no specific implementation requirements.” - Glenn Tiffert, Hoover Institution 15 Subject Matter Experts Media Messaging Academia Social Media Politics Business Rest of Society Rest of Society Adversary Government
  • 7. Week 1 Week 5 Week 9+ Too focused on solution instead of problem Pivot! We pivoted after learning that influence campaigns target non-election events and contain truthful elements We understood the problem, but not who owns it What’s Next? Election disinformation → political influence
  • 8. Identifying our Beneficiary Insights: Overlapping network of responsibility Differing approaches SOCPAC is the Center of the Spiderweb Special Operations Command Pacific Psychological Operations Analysts State Department National Security Council Intelligence Agencies CIA, FBI, NSA J39: Information Operations Psychological Operations Analysts J3: Operations SOCPA C INDOPACOM Department of Defense CYBERCOM
  • 9. We mapped out the workflow of J39 analysts monitoring and countering influence Attribute “Where did it come from?” Pain Point: Data sharing between classification levels Goal: Finding the nation/group behind the narrative Identify “Have we been attacked? Goal: Spotting narratives targeting US and allies before they gain traction Pain Point: Identifying narratives on social media Respond “What should we do about it?” Pain Point: Counter messaging is too slow Goal: Publishing truthful messages via embassies to counter the threat
  • 10. We made an MVP to speed up counter messaging
  • 11. KEY PARTNERS ● Policy and Security specialists at Facebook, Twitter, Google, BlackBird, Primer,ai ● SOCPAC ● Cyber Command ● Southeast Asian governments ● Cyber policy research initiatives (DFRL, SIO) ● Civil Society ● Ambassadors and PAOs at US Embassies ● Global Engagement Center ● State Department 7th Floor (S, P, or R) KEY RESOURCES ● Twitter APIs ● Election security experts with understanding of targeting tactics ● Mass link/photo/post scanning/tracking algorithm ● Student engineers KEY ACTIVITIES ● Identify and map Chinese to increase political transparency and allow faster ingestion of large quantities of data data MISSION ACHIEVEMENT/IMPACT FACTORS ● Improved transparency on social media platforms regarding disinformation and influence campaigns ● Ensure allies in Southeast Asia are aware of current Chinese influence DEPLOYMENT BUY-IN & SUPPORT MISSION BUDGET/COST ● Fixed: software design and engineering, ● Variable: content moderators, cooperation with technology/social media companies Once Mission-Fit was achieved, we shifted to deployment VALUE PROPOSITIONS Create pre- approved messages so analysts can respond quicker BENEFICIARIES J-39 Psychological Operations Analysts
  • 12. Potential deployment plan in Southeast Asia Testing our tool where the adversary is testing their tactics Demo with Special Operations analysts Initial testing with US Embassies in region Engage with foreign governments and society Demo with Special Operations analysts
  • 13. 13 After pursuing counter messaging for weeks, we learned it needs a policy solution, not a tech solution “Not sure anyone can solve bureaucratic problems. Getting messaging out is strategic, but this seems like an impossible task” US Embassies Policy Directives Messaging
  • 14. We can add value through counter-messaging!Morale Week 1 Week 5 Week 9+ Counter messaging was unrealistic. We asked ourselves: Where can we add value? Went back to analyst workflow to find pain points to address Too focused on solution instead of problem Pivot!
  • 15. Pivoted from sending counter messages to identifying narratives 15 Respond Identify “Our biggest challenge is the initial assessment of disinformation… Everything we have requires having keywords in order to be searching for information.” -SOCPAC Analyst
  • 16. Our final MVP helps analysts identify narratives earlier “The concept we are talking about is unique... at the moment we have nothing that mirrors its functions…” - SOCPAC Analyst
  • 17. Identify narratives and accounts before they generate significant attention What’s Next? 138 Here is where we are now We can add value through counter-messaging! Too focused on solution instead of problem Pivot!
  • 18. We are building our narrative tracking tool and we have support ● Developing partnerships ● Seeking initial grant funding ● Addressing data access and competitors
  • 19. We are applying for H4X Funding The team is pursuing H4X funding and will be hiring software engineers this summer A big thank you to Major Morton, Lt. Col Liebreich, MG Hager, MG Braga, Capt. Brunson, Lt. Col Waters, Reece Smyth, Robert Locke, Nini Moorhead, Daniel Bardenstein, Valeria Rincon, and the teaching team. The team can be contacted at: djunkin@stanford.edu kjonsson@stanford.edu wbuchan@stanford.edu egansj18@stanford.edu
  • 21. Reduces time to identify narratives Runs in background 24/7 Dynamic ability to add/delete actors Unclassified and open-source Coordination across analysts Our MVP addresses key challenges and integrates with existing workflow: