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Lean Startups
                    From Idea to Traction:
                    Tricks & Traps for
                    Maximizing Success

                                     Steve Barsh
                            steve@barsh.com * +1.215.888.2101
                                         @sbarsh

                                      Jeff Deville
                          jeffdeville@gmail.com * +1.484.278.1852
                                        @jeffdeville


                                            1
                                                    Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.




Monday, February 18, 13
Observations

        •     Don’t understand key
              assumptions
        •     Don’t de-risk before
             •     Building the product
             •     Pitching
        •     Don’t use out-of-box
              techniques
        •     Ask for money too early
        •     Look for validation from
              investors

                                          2   Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.




Monday, February 18, 13
3 – 7 Key Assumptions




                                    3   Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.




Monday, February 18, 13
De-Risking Goals

         •      Convert assumptions into
                knowledge
               •     At lowest cost

               •     As quickly as possible

         •      Decrease assumptions
                to increase value

         •      Consume intellectual capital
                before outside capital

         •      Succeed or fail quickly
                                              4   Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.




Monday, February 18, 13
Stop Waving, Start Pointing!




                            5   Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.




Monday, February 18, 13
Experiment


                                              •     Hypotheses
                                              •     Prove or Disprove
                                                   •     Build -- Release,
                                                         measure, learn,
                                                         iterate
                                                   •     Research
                                              •     Valid proxies



                              6
                                  Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.




Monday, February 18, 13
Example of Experimentation to De-risk Key Assumptions

                          ✓ Used when full guest details don’t flow through the supply chain
                          ✓ Like “checking in” for a flight or cruise
                          ✓ Collects all guest arrival and contact details
                          ✓ Coordinates a smooth arrival




                                                   7    Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.

Monday, February 18, 13
Things to think about

                1. Don't debate, A/B test. (applies to software,
                   messaging / positioning (e.g., Adwords))
                2. Innovate in real time
                3. Get an unfair advantage (mentors, advisors, Board,
                   LinkedIn, University, wherever you can)
                4. Ask for advice, not money. (1 mouth, 2 ears)
                5. What are you learning?
                6. What are your key assumptions?
                7. What can you prove with $0?
                8. Minimum viable product (MVP) -- get things to
                   users.
                                        8   Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved.




Monday, February 18, 13

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Steve Barsh on De-Risking and Key Assumptions for Wharton Biz Plan Competition Community Feb 2013

  • 1. Lean Startups From Idea to Traction: Tricks & Traps for Maximizing Success Steve Barsh steve@barsh.com * +1.215.888.2101 @sbarsh Jeff Deville jeffdeville@gmail.com * +1.484.278.1852 @jeffdeville 1 Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved. Monday, February 18, 13
  • 2. Observations • Don’t understand key assumptions • Don’t de-risk before • Building the product • Pitching • Don’t use out-of-box techniques • Ask for money too early • Look for validation from investors 2 Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved. Monday, February 18, 13
  • 3. 3 – 7 Key Assumptions 3 Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved. Monday, February 18, 13
  • 4. De-Risking Goals • Convert assumptions into knowledge • At lowest cost • As quickly as possible • Decrease assumptions to increase value • Consume intellectual capital before outside capital • Succeed or fail quickly 4 Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved. Monday, February 18, 13
  • 5. Stop Waving, Start Pointing! 5 Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved. Monday, February 18, 13
  • 6. Experiment • Hypotheses • Prove or Disprove • Build -- Release, measure, learn, iterate • Research • Valid proxies 6 Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved. Monday, February 18, 13
  • 7. Example of Experimentation to De-risk Key Assumptions ✓ Used when full guest details don’t flow through the supply chain ✓ Like “checking in” for a flight or cruise ✓ Collects all guest arrival and contact details ✓ Coordinates a smooth arrival 7 Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved. Monday, February 18, 13
  • 8. Things to think about 1. Don't debate, A/B test. (applies to software, messaging / positioning (e.g., Adwords)) 2. Innovate in real time 3. Get an unfair advantage (mentors, advisors, Board, LinkedIn, University, wherever you can) 4. Ask for advice, not money. (1 mouth, 2 ears) 5. What are you learning? 6. What are your key assumptions? 7. What can you prove with $0? 8. Minimum viable product (MVP) -- get things to users. 8 Copyright © 2009-2013 by Steve Barsh & Jeff Deville. All Rights Reserved. Monday, February 18, 13