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Convergence Analytics



       I have been writing about Marketing Applications for the last 25 years since my early
days as a direct marketer and have spent the better part of the last two decades morphing that
understanding first to web and digital marketing and for the last few years to mobile and
convergence marketing. Much of this content and data comes from a soon-to-be published
report from a partnership between Incisive Media ClickZ and Evectyv Marketing where I am a
partner.

When the Wright Brothers built their flying machine, they took a cluster of existing technologies,
combined them in an innovative manner and came up with something long-sought and never-
before-achieved. They called it an airplane.

So what do we call all of this? 'Intelligence' or 'Analytics' can appear as very similar terms but
they are not. What’s the difference between Business Analytics and Business Intelligence? The
correct answer is: everybody has an opinion, but nobody knows, and you shouldn’t care.

Do we call this Marketing Analytics, Marketing Intelligence, Customer Intelligence? Or maybe
Business Analytics, Business Intelligence or Intelligence? And, how has Social and Mobile
changed our challenge

Having worked in the industry over twenty years, I can confidently say that everybody has a
different notion of what ANY particular term associated with analytics means.

For example, when SAP says ―business analytics‖ instead of ―business intelligence‖, it’s
intended to indicate that business analytics is an umbrella term including data warehousing,
business intelligence, enterprise information management, enterprise performance management,
analytic applications, and governance, risk, and compliance.

But other vendors (such as SAS) use ―business analytics‖ to indicate some level of
vertical/horizontal domain knowledge tied with statistical or predictive analytics.
At the end of the day, there three requirements worth differentiating:

The problems in nomenclature typically arise because ― intelligence‖ is commonly used to refer
both of these, according to the context, thus confusing everyone.

In particular, as the IT infrastructure inevitably changes over time, analysts and vendors
(especially new entrants) become uncomfortable with what increasingly strikes them as a ―dated‖
term, and want to change it for a newer term that they think will differentiate their
coverage/products (when I joined the industry, it was called ―decision support systems‖ –


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When people introduce a new term, they inevitably dismiss the old one as ―just technology
driven‖ and ―backward looking‖, while the new term is ―business oriented‖ and ―actionable‖.

The very first use of what we now mostly call business intelligence was in 1951, with the advent
of the first commercial computer ever, dubbed LEO for Lyons Electronic Office, powered by
over 6,000 vacuum tubes. And it was already about ―meeting business needs through actionable
information‖, in this case deciding the number of cakes and sandwiches to make for the next day,
based on the previous demand in J. Lyons Co. tea shops in the UK.

       So, enter Convergence Analytics: that's our name for the confluence of digital marketing,
big data, cloud computing, APIs and sophisticated presentation-layer capabilities. The rush is on
for every company that ever measured anything for marketers (and many that never have) to
claim they've got what it takes to provide the best single-view into all marketing data.

       Think of convergence analytics as the marketing equivalent of "one ring to rule them all":
many application vendors are claiming that within a single application, by connecting data from
multiple sources, the marketer can gain a 360 degree view of the customers. This has long been a
request from the market, and now application vendors are able to combine technologies in an
attempt to meet that request.

       Convergence Analytics still in its infancy as a discipline. But according to our survey
results, there are a multitude of players in the market already, and many of them are pulling
together data sources from web usage, call centers, CRM, campaign data, demographics,
competitive data, and anything that gets captured off a click, keyword, mobile tap, or any
number of other customer touch points. They're also using advanced data gathering and data
regularization strategies to create a dashboard-like experience for the marketer.

       For some, this will sound like "business intelligence" (BI) recycled and molded into a
more shapely, marketer-friendly package. And to an extent they would be correct. Some entrants
in the market are calling themselves "BI for marketers" and their DNA is in the quant arena
where power users build cubes and drilldowns in tools like Cognos and Hyperion. Others are
coming from a web analytics background, adding more data streams to their traditional
clickstream. Some have been combining data sets for years under the "predictive analytics" flag.
And some are starting in fresh, with new applications and new approaches to solving the data-

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correlation dilemma for marketers.

       The goal, as always, is to drive web marketing to deliver on its promise: and that promise
has always been wrapped in the notion that, because it is measureable, it is therefore
fundamentally more effective than older, more traditional marketing efforts. Digital marketing
has always thrived on its ability to allow the marketer to learn quickly about how well their
messaging is working in something close to real time. And the assumption has also been that the
marketer, armed with more up-to-date and detailed information about content performance, can
then optimize those marketing effort in a virtuous cycle of improvement leading to a more
demonstrable Return on Marketing Investment.

       Perhaps the most salient factor in Convergence Analytics today is the speed at which
companies from every sector ar converging on it; and the similarity of the problems they seek to
solve. In a phrase, it seems that everybody is measuring everything: and telling the world.

       How close are we getting to that goal of a single view for all the data? Who are the
players? Of what should the buyer beware? This report will help provide guidance for marketers
and business executives who want to better understand the trends and highlights of this emerging
market.

       Our report is based on survey responses from over a hundred different vendors and over
five hundred digital marketing practitioners. A few key findings are as follows:




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Major Data Points: Marketers

82% of marketers are measuring Multi-channel data ("MC").

37.5% say MC means web, social and mobile only

35.6% say MC means web, mobile, social, marketing spend, sales, back-office data, off-line
channels (store, TV, radio, print).

About half say they require "real time" data, but there is little consensus on what "real time"
means.

60% say they are either using a Business Intelligence tool now or plan to soon.

Over 90% use web analytics tools but only 57% are using it for multichannel optimization; while
40% use other tools to perform this work.

Company size of Respondents were evenly split between $1-$10m and above $10m.

---

Major data points: Vendors

Many marketing services companies considered themselves vendors, even if they did not appear
to have a branded software offering in the market.

70% say they collect real time data, but there is little consensus on what real time means.

70% say they offer a dashboard; however, 45% say data cannot be queried through their
dashboard; and 30% say they have no direct access to a datamart or database

75% say they "join" information from a variety of sources but only 56% use APIs or software
connectors

55% say they have an analysis layer (software/algorithm)

32% say they have predictive algorithms


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50% say they have automated "extract, transform, load" capability

35% have no self-service component in their offering while fully 84% offer professional services
to their customers.




       Foundations (Underlying Technologies): Analytics or Intelligence?

       Marketing analytics is probably as old as the first time anyone put up a bigger sign than
the one they had before. Digital analytics is born of what was once universally called ―web
analytics‖, itself the grown-up version of log-file analysis. Log-files are still gathered by every
server today but they have been surpassed in utility by a combination of web-user tracking
technologies focused on html-embedded javascript commonly known as ―tagging‖.

       Until recently, tagging itself was considered the sine qua non of customer analytics (at
least as it related to the web). The intense focus on web marketing produced an explosion of
digital measurement, much of it based on tagging. The names that were made famous in the web
analytics era include Omniture, Webtrends, Coremetrics and more recently and most famously,
Google Analytics. With Google Analytics, digital customer measurement became almost a
household word (especially if that household contained a marketer).

       Siloed in older parts of the organization have long been non-web-based customer
databases that included CRM (a descendent of the Rolodex), direct mail customer lists, point-of-
sale analytics, and survey data. Many of these, until the last few years, required massive on-site
computing power and specialists dedicated to making sure iron boxes stayed cool and more
specialists to ask the iron boxes questions the iron boxes could answer.

       Moore's law played no small role in deprecating the in-house server farm. As processor
speed got cheaper, it became possible for server-farm-specialists to rent out virtual server space,
and then virtual functioning software, to whomever could come up with a small monthly fee.
Software companies retired their CD presses and, relying on the enhanced broadband networks
that now encircle the globe, have made call-and-response via browser interfaces as routine as


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corn flakes for breakfast. The results have been dramatic. Rare is the business today that does not
pay someone for some remote processing and/or remote storage. For mid-sized businesses and
many large ones, outsourced software or ―Software as a Service (SAAS)‖ has become the rule
with rare exception. Old, un-wired databases are getting hooked up or getting siphoned dry. The
market for in-house software has shrunken to a fraction of its former size.

       At the same time, everyone has taken for granted that understanding data is now a visual
experience. No one considers poring over long lines of numbers. The visor and the sharpened
pencil have given way to the ―user interface‖; the ledger to the dashboard; careful matching of
puzzle-pieces to the custom report.

       Finally, social media has run like a fever through marketing departments globally. While
much misunderstood as a marketing tool and while its business impact is difficult to ascertain
even with measurement, social media is so prevalent that it wins a place at the table because of
sheer bulk. Much as you cannot have a zoo without an elephant, you really can't have digital
marketing these days without social media.

       History of Marketing Analytics
       Really, the history of marketing analytics begins with Direct Marketing--a form of
customer outreach that dates back several centuries and which, in a mature form, was the
template for, and was the basis of metrics for what we know today as either Web Analytics,
Digital Analytics and most recently, Mobile and Convergence Analytics.
       While early references to the discovery of written appeals to the public date back to the
days of cuneiform, we can begin with a couple of instances somewhat closer to our own
historical times.
       In what has been called the first direct advertising booklet, William Penn in the year 1681
published in England "Some Account of the Province of Pennsilvania (sp.) in America", which
was meant to encourage immigration to the colony. He followed it up with several more, and
even included maps of Philadelphia and the surrounding countryside. Pennsylvania is one of the
most populous states in the nation, and so clearly Mr. Penn would have been able to claim
campaign success at least over the long term.

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       In 1872, Montgomery Ward issued its first mail-order catalog; Sears soon published his
own; and what followed was an enormous catalog industry that thrives today both in paper and
on line. Where shipping was once almost the sole province of the U.S. Post Office--everything
from post cards to threshing machines were sent via post--today delivery can take many different
forms, including, for media at least, a completely digital form (via download). But whatever the
delivery mechanism, the paradigm has remained the same since the days of Montgomery Ward:
you can directly order goods from your own home (via a catalog sent directly to you) and have
them delivered without your ever having to "go shopping".
       In the digital marketplace, our ―sale‖ is not always as easy to define as it would be if we
were publishing mere catalogs of goods. Today the digital marketplace is host to as many
business functions as can be imagined: from true catalog sales to brand-awareness efforts to
indirect or complex sales processes to self-service offerings; as well as media sites that sell
advertising much as print publications still do today. What remains true to the direct marketing
paradigm is the notion of a one-to-one relationship between company and customer; and an
enduring mark of success is how well the customer feels connected to the brand behind the direct
marketing effort whether on line or via an off line effort.
       Clearly the concept of "direct" marketing or selling has always included
disintermediation--the removal of barriers between producer and consumer--or the "middle-man"
as some might call it. But another key artifact of the catalog-ordering process has also come
down to us today in a digitized form, and that is customer-behavior tracking. Even in the earliest
instances, every catalog order had a record; every buyer had a history. Today, digital marketers
seek to obtain insights from the same kinds of data that began to be available in the days of
buggy-whips and coal-stoves.
       Many credit the term "direct marketing" to Lester Wunderman, who, according to
Wikipedia, "identified, named and defined" it in the mid-nineteen-sixties. Wunderman is also
credited with the creation of the first 1-800 number, and such loyalty programs as the Columbia
Record Club and American Express Customer Rewards.
       For many years until the advent of the web, direct marketing had been associated almost
entirely with direct mail. Long darkened in the shadow of Advertising--both print and television-

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-direct marketing was considered decidedly unglamorous. Rather than "Who's Behind Those
Foster Grants" in a major magazine spread, it was a postcard for a questionable hair-removal
product; or a coupon for a can of deviled ham. The apotheosis of web-based ―advertising‖
completely changed this—such that at least the electronic version of direct marketing came to
outstrip and even begin to transform its heretofore more glamorous cousins in the world of print
and broadcast.
       The explosion of digital media would have been quite transformative enough on its own.
But what has given it staying power for the enterprise is the same thing that distinguished direct
marketing: measurability. And here we find the roots of Convergence Analytics. The web and its
electronic counterparts—email, social and apps—are expected, as a key component of their
overall value, to deliver detailed customer intelligence.
       To the extent that this has succeeded or failed tells the story of the digital analytics
marketplace.


       Tracking the Digital Customer
       Arguably the first commonly-used digital behavior tracking tool was a product created by
WebTrends called Log Analyzer in the late 1990s. It was able to parse the log (activity) files of
web servers; and it was able to report such things as ―hits‖ to the server and ―browser type‖ of
the user and which pages were served and how often. It was enough to whet the marketer’s
appetite and made marketers aware of ―web analytics‖ generally. Another early entrant was
KeyLime, which allowed marketers to view, perhaps for the first time, ―real-time‖ activity on its
web site pages in a dashboard format.
       What became apparent to data analysts as they reviewed results from log files was that
there were in fact substantial discrepancies between server activity and user activity. While
―hits‖ became almost a byword for ―popularity‖, analysts knew that server activity was far from
an accurate indicator of actual browser activity and user behavior. Demand for better accuracy
and granularity encouraged the creation of a paradigm now in use almost universally in digital
analytics. Commonly this is known as ―page tagging‖. Page tagging requires the placement of
snippets of javascript into the html (usually in the header) of every page to be tracked; and it is

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coupled with a ―web beacon‖ or single pixel graphic file on the same page. When the invisible
graphic file (or ―beacon‖ loads into the browser, it creates a ―call‖ to execute the javascript, and
the javascript performs the function of tracking the page load and, often, activity within the page.
This created a much more accurate way of measurement—because tracking only takes place
when the page actually loads into a browser.
       The companies that made this market grow included Omniture (now Adobe),
WebTrends, WebSideStory (now Adobe) and CoreMetrics (now IBM), among others.
       The tagging paradigm remains the standard today. The market still offers products that
track log files and server behavior; and there are significant products that measure user behavior
via panels of users and algorithmic extrapolation, including Comscore and the well-known
Nielsen company of broadcast television fame. These products have the significant advantage of
allowing customers to benchmark against competitors, but the actual metrics are in general not as
detailed or customized as those available with a tool that measures one’s own site in depth in a
customized, fully-tagged manner.


       Enter Games (ADD Zynga and the vast amounts of data – how “games drove technology
– bandwidth, CPU and Data storage)


       Enter Mobile Analytics
Much like Direct Marketing discussed above, and unlike web analytics, Mobile analytics
represents a one to one relationship with ―the customer‖, and the goals, while the same as direct
and digital marketing which are to ultimately increase conversions, are driven by user actions
with a small screen or multiple screens.


(ADD- LTV, Mobile Fist, Small screen, lots of data, and industry growth)




       The Search for ROI

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       There would be little reason for tracking user behavior if no action were associated with
the findings. And while too many practitioners today settle for simply knowing ―what’s going
on‖ and have no process for taking direct action based on what the data tells them, the market in
general has long been focused on utilizing digital analytics to demonstrate a return on
investment. In fact, without this goal, the cost of purchasing and implementing digital analytics
solutions could never be justified.
       In general, digital analytics has failed to deliver sufficient ROI to justify its continuation
in an unmodified form.
       It would be easy enough to point a finger at the application vendors and say they have not
provided the solution. But this would be to ignore the behavior of practitioners as part of the
problem. To be more precise, it would be to ignore the lack of an ROI-focused process on the
part of practitioners in which the applications would play a more productive role.
       While the purpose of this paper is not to inculcate a new process for digital ROI, it is
within our purview to suggest what such a process might look like. Even as we move to
Convergence Analytics—where many more silos of information get measured and displayed
than in digital analytics—it is safe to say that without an action plan based on discovery, there’s
not much reason to engage in measurement at all.
       Consider the time-honored goal that long-predates digital marketing: sending the right
message to the right person at the right time. The output of this process is supposed to be greater
throughput of goods and services. The only way this paradigm can be approached is with
information about user-behavior (in old-fashioned direct marketing, this often would have been
characterized as ―response rate‖).
       The desire remains the same today even in a far more complex digital marketing
environment: right message, right person, right time.
       While the subjects of goal definition and actionability deserve more space than we can
allow, we can touch upon the surface of it in order to suggest the reason why analytics continues
to hold promise even as it has often proven disappointing. Suffice to say that if the following
processes were taken up by organizations involved in digital measurement, then ROI would be
much more achievable than currently surmised.

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       Briefly, there are two phases to a digital marketing action place involving analytics.
       First, let’s mention goal definition. What kind of content are you measuring? And what is
the goal of publishing that content (whether on the web, via social media, mobile, or in an app)?


       Type: Brand or Media Goal: Overall Time Spent Interacting with Content
       Type: eCommerce Goal: Direct Sale
       Type: Lead Generation Goal: Contact Information; Direct Contact; Inbound
Marketing
       Type: Self-Service Goal: Rapid Access to Information


       The above goals are guidelines to defining when a ―conversion‖ or ―desired action‖ will
have taken place.
       The frequency with which content drives a desired action equals its success as a
marketing tool.
       Second, let’s describe a five-step virtuous cycle of improvement that can drive better
performance through the use of marketing data.


       Step 1: Define Goals (determine content type and expected outcomes)
       Step 2: Collect Data
       Step 3: Analyze Findings
       Step 4: Adjust Content)
       Step 5: Measure Again and Compare
       And since this is a cycle of improvement, it should be an embedded process that
continually seeks improvement in content performance.
       Convergence Analytics will require the same approach. How many organizations are
ready to invest in the above activities in a meaningful way? The ones that do, will find their
digital marketing performance much enhanced; and as they measure across channels, the same
will apply.
       Why Convergence Analytics?

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       It is fair to ask the question: if digital analytics has not succeeded as well as it might have
in delivering ROI, why would we now be moving towards an even more complex measurement
paradigm?
       There are at least three ways to approach the answer.
       First and probably most importantly, it is that marketers (rightfully) still believe in the
power of information to transform their ability to succeed. Some have actually achieved this,
with the right tools and the right expertise and the right focus. So while the broader market has
not achieved all it might have hoped from digital analytics, there are enough actual success
stories to keep the market in motion.
       Second is that technology improvements are driving innovations in marketing analytics.
As we mentioned in the Executive Summary, a combination of access to much more data than
before; sophisticated algorithms and digital data connectors; inexpensive cloud computing; and
modular application construction tools that supply display layers for end users with relative ease;
all these are contributing to a preponderance of offerings, from every corner of the measurement
universe, towards the same goal. Simply put, Convergence Analytics is happening because it can
happen.
       Third is that the customer, believing still in the power of data, now also believes in the
power of more data – ―Big Data‖. The cry for seeing data from multiple channels has reached a
sufficient pitch that application vendors are either launching new offerings, adding features to
existing offerings, or taking their existing offering and pitching it afresh to marketers. Ultimately
the vendors are meeting the customers on the field of Convergence Analytics: where streams
from multiple data sources are overlaid in meaningful ways such that a marketer can see the
relationship of trends and pinpoint cause and effect (in other words: Campaign A launched just
before a spike in Metric B; therefore Campaign A plausibly caused that spike).
       And while each offering in Convergence Analytics pitches differently, and even as there
are a range of offerings with a range of capabilities, they all offer a similar promise: more data
from more channels displayed more effectively. The expectation is that with more dimensional
data streams, more insights can be gained.
       And if a process is in place to define and take action, then Convergence Analytics holds a

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world of promise.


        Predictive Analytics
        Many applications either include or are in the business of including what are called
"Predictive Analytics" features. It's a bit of a misnomer, because there isn't really much
"prediction" going on, at least not in the way that the lady at the county fair can see your future
in the bottom of a teacup. What is really happening is that an algorithm is reviewing your
content, then for either a single user or a class of users, determining their characteristics based on
behavior, demographics, creditworthiness, purchase history, estimated lifetime value and more;
and determining which of your stored content should be shown to that individual at a particular
juncture in their interaction with your digitial properties. The "prediction", if there is one, is that
this scientific approach will yield a higher conversion rate and a better ROI than a random
sample. The extent to which the predictive layer delivers a higher conversion rate as compared to
a random display of data is the measure of its success.
        Many see this as the keystone in the arch of customer relations. For if the marketer can
construct a strong enough support mechanism for proper messaging, then the entire structure can
be completed and held together by the power of actionability. At its best, actionable algorithms
can make sure the immense force generated by the data structure is held in place and energized,
much the way a keystone holds in place a mighty arch that bears the weight of the entire
enterprise.
        Actionability is certainly not a mainstream capability yet. There are prediction engines in
play today, but no clear winners. As the technology matures, and as more data sources get
deployed against more channels, we may begin to see the keystone being lowered into place.
        That said, there are large enterprises devoting large sums of money and a great deal of
technology to build their own predictive response mechanisms. These industry-leading
enterprises will continue to hold an advantage. But the advent of Convergence Analytics will
allow mid-sized companies to begin to enjoy perhaps not all of the success of the very big
players, but better success at analtyics than they now currently get.



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       Multichannel Environment
       Today's multi-channel/device environment makes analysis and visualization
exponentially more complex and difficult. Rather than concentrating on one stream of data, now
data must be extracted from multiple channels and then deployed against multiple channels.
There are so many data intersections that it becomes more of a three-dimensional matrix than a
linear progression.
       The channels the Convergence Analytics applications deploy against include: web, email,
CRM, ERP, offline marketing (direct marketing), business intelligence resources, social media,
online advertising, mobile apps, games and more.
       What may be most fascinating about the channel variety is that not only are they all being
addressed; but that applications that once focused on measuring just one of those channels are
now often making a claim to measure all the other channels too.
       With the advent of multiple tools converging on convergence, we are beginning to see a
paradigm emerge where the goal is a single view of all data in real time; a "one ring to rule them
all" paradigm. And the application vendors converging on this paradigm are coming from every
channel.




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        Product/Service Mix


        One of the more interesting findings from our survey was to see how many service-
oriented companies filled out the part of the survey intended for vendors. These included digital
agencies, marketing companies and analysts who all saw themselves as vendors because their
customers in some way purchase digital analytics from them.
        This suggests a much larger issue we have observed, and that is the very gray area
between what constitutes a software or SAAS offering and what constitutes a professional
service offering. Much of this lack of clarity is integral to the notion of "software as a service" in
and of itself.
        In the older world of software-in-a-box, the lines were very clear. The vendor sent you a
disk and you installed the software. Perhaps there was a VAR involved that helped you set it up;
and the software company had a help desk. But with the advent of broadband, cheap storage and
rapid processing, it became possible to offer software on line. In a networked world, the model
has few detractors if any. It empowers both the vendor by letting them control and adjust the
offering much more closely, and the user by allowing them to stop worrying about running
software and "keeping current‖. Today, you can hardly find boxed software on the shelf. Truly
the advantages are many, and rather evenly distributed between vendor and customer.
        But in a business-to-business environment we are forced to ask what is the nature of the
vendor itself, and should the buyer see it as a product or a service or an amalgam of parts that
includes third party experts? The answer to this question is important because it determines the
ultimate value and ROI associated with the offering.
        Simply put, product vendors need to offer services to help users understand the
technology, goals and new processes. When people, process and technology is new, there is little
often limited similarity between one customer and the next. This means that each implementation
requires a services component in order to deliver value. There’s no such thing, ―press the button



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and get answers‖. If the vendors do not, or cannot offer services, it is best to find a services
partner.




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       Evolving Channels and Roles


       Historically, analytics vendors have created products known as "point solutions". An
instructive corollary to this name is the notion of "pain point"; a term that defines a particular
problem that presumably can be solved by a particular tool.
       For instance, the marketer responsible for "the web site" experiences a pain point at the
juncture where they need to receive data about the site's business success but had no way to get
it. Hence, a "web analytics" solution and a ready customer base.
       The same would have held true for the mobile marketer, email marketer, the social media
marketer, the SEO specialist, the advertising campaign manager. Entire industries have sprung
up around satisfying the needs of these marketers. Typically these marketers would operate at
least semi-independently of one another, and would almost certainly make separate purchases to
fix their own "pain point". Typically there is little co-operation between silos.
       Convergence Analytics races to a single solution for all organizational silos and blurs
application functions, as well as buyer roles and responsibilities.
       The marketing analytics application market has been defined by a number of categories
such as:


       Web Analytics
       Mobile Analytics
       Social Analytics

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       A/B Testing
       SEO
       Email
       Predictive Analytics
       Ad Network Analytics
       Competitive Analytics (Benchmarking)
       Business Intelligence
       Content Management Systems
       But now application vendors from all the above sectors are making efforts to measure
results from several different sources both on line and off line; and so the categories have begun
to disintegrate. However, the buyer remains mostly in place as before.
       This creates a challenge for the vendor. Who is the buyer now? Who is experiencing that
"pain point" where all data needs measuring but isn't? By rolling up all of the capabilities into a
single offering, vendors must be careful not to cut themselves off from their customer base. They
will need to address the needs of all the organizational pain points; but those different parts of
the organization don't necessarily come together in one area of responsibility--making it harder
for the vendor to gain buy in for their product.
       In working to serve more and more parts of the organization, the incoming Convergence
Analytics tools find some entrenched players already deeply embedded inside the larger
enterprises. These solutions include such venerable marques as SAP, IBM, SAS, Axiom, Merkle
and Unica. History has shown that large, entrenched organizations can be dislodged by smaller,
newer, more agile solutions; and in the current environment it's really an oceanic wave of
solutions all crashing upon the same shore at the same time. The force of it will certainly change
the market, but there is no clarity yet on who amongst the current players will win the day.
       Much of the battle is to be fought around the success of a given competitor's key
differentiators. In other words, whoever positions themselves best and also has a serviceable
offering, will begin to outpace the others and be seen as the market leader. But the trouble today
is that there is not enough differentiation in what Convergence Analytics vendors are saying
about themselves or the market. From nearly every part of the product spectrum come similar

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claims: that the combination of data connectors, common keys and sophisticated display layers
creates a new kind of offering. In this light, many are still searching for their key differentiator:
what makes them different or better than several others in the same space?


       Enter the world of the Data Scientist


       Historically the difference between success and mediocrity in analysis has been less
about picking the very best tool than it has been about combining a capable tool with superior
services and expertise. Many solutions today, with their complex data connections and multi-
channel/device capabilities, require perhaps even more attention to experts than ever.


       Professional services has always been a critical part of success in digital marketing, even
as application vendors tend to emphasize the relative ease and completeness of their tool.
Marketers, as customers and practitioners, have always known this to be the case. In the
Convergence Analytics market, they should continue to expect a need for professional services
and perhaps see the trend accelerate.


       But now Data Scientist (ADD MORE about the role of DS)


        It may even be the case that the winners will be the companies that either provide the
best customer service themselves; or form strong partnerships with technology implementation
partners; or create a developer environment such that their technology becomes a "standard".


       Process


       In addition, the prevalence of services requires the implementation of a set of processes
and best practices that remain not established as yet in the marketplace. These processes include
those associated with the phrase "you can't manage what you can't measure"; and the
establishment of such practices like proper KPI definition, agile analysis of results, content

                                                  19
Convergence Analytics

adjustment and testing. More often than not, these key process elements are in short supply,
especially in a complete cycle.
       Making sure organizations can adequately leverage the tools and put them to work will
probably be amongst the tasks confronting any vendor hoping to come out in front of the pack.
This will be especially the case in the market comprising SMB companies--a vast number of
large companies not amongst the Fortune 500. The very largest companies often enough have the
depth and breadth to be able to supply their own expertise. But smaller companies--by no means
"small businesses"--usually cannot. This need will be met by professional services either from
the vendors, or vendor partners, or third parties such as analytics consulting companies, digital
agencies, or individual experts. But whoever delivers it, it's likely to be a main component of any
and every successful data analysis operation.


       Roles in Marketing


       While it's true that the technology is racing well ahead of our collective ability to
socialize and even understand it, there are stirrings on the buyer side as to role definition. This is
especially true at the most senior levels of marketing, specifically at what has been called the
position of Chief Marketing Officer. Some have said that the role of CMO is "dead". While this
is hyperbolic, it may be true that the role has changed enough to warrant its renaming. Some of
the nomenclature in play includes terms such as Chief Data Officer, Chief Analytics Officer,
Chief Product Officer, Chief Content Officer; Chief Revenue Officer; and even Chief
Information Officer.
       This represents a sea change in the role of marketing--where marketing has begun to
spread its digitally measurable influence throughout the organization in a way that seems a
natural outcome of the basic principle of marketing; and that is to maximize shareholder value
through increasing the velocity of customer acceptance for the shareholders' products.
       As marketing has become more measurable, its visibility has grown and so has its
responsibility. The natural progression of this has resulted in marketing measurement
applications to go through substantial transformations as well. And in doing so, they begin to

                                                  20
Convergence Analytics

position themselves for measuring more and more of the organization's data; with marketing at
the hub.
       Vendors from nearly every sector mentioned above have developed the capability to
build connectors to several data sources, combine them into a consolidated form, and allow the
marketer a more well-rounded view of the factors affecting actual ROI. This has proved to blur
the lines between roles in the organization--as the above discussion of the role of the CMO
suggests.
       For instance, in an environment where every tool measures everything, whose role
expands? Does the web site manager take over more of the mobile aspect? Does SEO move into
Ad management? Does email move more into social media responsibility? Or, perhaps the Sales
department taking more responsibility in the marketing cloud? Or perhaps its the Content
Managers taking control of all of it. The tools can help them--but are they ready to manage it?
       So the blurring of tool capabilities has created an environment where the clear divisions
between organizational responsibilities have begun to erode; thus eroding the surface of the
sellable market. And the combination of convergence of messaging, convergence of capability,
and convergence of organizational roles will represent significant challenges for participants
from every corner of the data analysis community.


       To Conclude: Recommendations


       As everything is changing, it is critical to focus on focus on the following –

               1) New technology platforms – My strong advice is to start with best-of-breed
                   ―point solutions‖ that address a specific need. For Mobile apps I would look to
                   firms which understand and have some strong experience with both a Mobile
                   Environment AND the use of ―big data‖.

               2) Clear definition of evolving roles and responsibilities – As I’ve discussed the
                   roles are clearly changing as new technology platforms help transform the
                   enterprise. It is critical to embrace this dynamic and look for new ―out of the

                                                21
Convergence Analytics

                box‖ ways to define success for individuals. Consider titles and roles of new
                experts that have titles like Data Scientist to best take advantage of the world
                of Big Data.

             3) And, once you have identified the ROI goals of the business, identified the
                platform and people, it is also critical to build new agile processes around
                your platform and people.




                                             22

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Kontagent .5

  • 1. Convergence Analytics I have been writing about Marketing Applications for the last 25 years since my early days as a direct marketer and have spent the better part of the last two decades morphing that understanding first to web and digital marketing and for the last few years to mobile and convergence marketing. Much of this content and data comes from a soon-to-be published report from a partnership between Incisive Media ClickZ and Evectyv Marketing where I am a partner. When the Wright Brothers built their flying machine, they took a cluster of existing technologies, combined them in an innovative manner and came up with something long-sought and never- before-achieved. They called it an airplane. So what do we call all of this? 'Intelligence' or 'Analytics' can appear as very similar terms but they are not. What’s the difference between Business Analytics and Business Intelligence? The correct answer is: everybody has an opinion, but nobody knows, and you shouldn’t care. Do we call this Marketing Analytics, Marketing Intelligence, Customer Intelligence? Or maybe Business Analytics, Business Intelligence or Intelligence? And, how has Social and Mobile changed our challenge Having worked in the industry over twenty years, I can confidently say that everybody has a different notion of what ANY particular term associated with analytics means. For example, when SAP says ―business analytics‖ instead of ―business intelligence‖, it’s intended to indicate that business analytics is an umbrella term including data warehousing, business intelligence, enterprise information management, enterprise performance management, analytic applications, and governance, risk, and compliance. But other vendors (such as SAS) use ―business analytics‖ to indicate some level of vertical/horizontal domain knowledge tied with statistical or predictive analytics. At the end of the day, there three requirements worth differentiating: The problems in nomenclature typically arise because ― intelligence‖ is commonly used to refer both of these, according to the context, thus confusing everyone. In particular, as the IT infrastructure inevitably changes over time, analysts and vendors (especially new entrants) become uncomfortable with what increasingly strikes them as a ―dated‖ term, and want to change it for a newer term that they think will differentiate their coverage/products (when I joined the industry, it was called ―decision support systems‖ – 1
  • 2. Convergence Analytics When people introduce a new term, they inevitably dismiss the old one as ―just technology driven‖ and ―backward looking‖, while the new term is ―business oriented‖ and ―actionable‖. The very first use of what we now mostly call business intelligence was in 1951, with the advent of the first commercial computer ever, dubbed LEO for Lyons Electronic Office, powered by over 6,000 vacuum tubes. And it was already about ―meeting business needs through actionable information‖, in this case deciding the number of cakes and sandwiches to make for the next day, based on the previous demand in J. Lyons Co. tea shops in the UK. So, enter Convergence Analytics: that's our name for the confluence of digital marketing, big data, cloud computing, APIs and sophisticated presentation-layer capabilities. The rush is on for every company that ever measured anything for marketers (and many that never have) to claim they've got what it takes to provide the best single-view into all marketing data. Think of convergence analytics as the marketing equivalent of "one ring to rule them all": many application vendors are claiming that within a single application, by connecting data from multiple sources, the marketer can gain a 360 degree view of the customers. This has long been a request from the market, and now application vendors are able to combine technologies in an attempt to meet that request. Convergence Analytics still in its infancy as a discipline. But according to our survey results, there are a multitude of players in the market already, and many of them are pulling together data sources from web usage, call centers, CRM, campaign data, demographics, competitive data, and anything that gets captured off a click, keyword, mobile tap, or any number of other customer touch points. They're also using advanced data gathering and data regularization strategies to create a dashboard-like experience for the marketer. For some, this will sound like "business intelligence" (BI) recycled and molded into a more shapely, marketer-friendly package. And to an extent they would be correct. Some entrants in the market are calling themselves "BI for marketers" and their DNA is in the quant arena where power users build cubes and drilldowns in tools like Cognos and Hyperion. Others are coming from a web analytics background, adding more data streams to their traditional clickstream. Some have been combining data sets for years under the "predictive analytics" flag. And some are starting in fresh, with new applications and new approaches to solving the data- 2
  • 3. Convergence Analytics correlation dilemma for marketers. The goal, as always, is to drive web marketing to deliver on its promise: and that promise has always been wrapped in the notion that, because it is measureable, it is therefore fundamentally more effective than older, more traditional marketing efforts. Digital marketing has always thrived on its ability to allow the marketer to learn quickly about how well their messaging is working in something close to real time. And the assumption has also been that the marketer, armed with more up-to-date and detailed information about content performance, can then optimize those marketing effort in a virtuous cycle of improvement leading to a more demonstrable Return on Marketing Investment. Perhaps the most salient factor in Convergence Analytics today is the speed at which companies from every sector ar converging on it; and the similarity of the problems they seek to solve. In a phrase, it seems that everybody is measuring everything: and telling the world. How close are we getting to that goal of a single view for all the data? Who are the players? Of what should the buyer beware? This report will help provide guidance for marketers and business executives who want to better understand the trends and highlights of this emerging market. Our report is based on survey responses from over a hundred different vendors and over five hundred digital marketing practitioners. A few key findings are as follows: 3
  • 4. Convergence Analytics Major Data Points: Marketers 82% of marketers are measuring Multi-channel data ("MC"). 37.5% say MC means web, social and mobile only 35.6% say MC means web, mobile, social, marketing spend, sales, back-office data, off-line channels (store, TV, radio, print). About half say they require "real time" data, but there is little consensus on what "real time" means. 60% say they are either using a Business Intelligence tool now or plan to soon. Over 90% use web analytics tools but only 57% are using it for multichannel optimization; while 40% use other tools to perform this work. Company size of Respondents were evenly split between $1-$10m and above $10m. --- Major data points: Vendors Many marketing services companies considered themselves vendors, even if they did not appear to have a branded software offering in the market. 70% say they collect real time data, but there is little consensus on what real time means. 70% say they offer a dashboard; however, 45% say data cannot be queried through their dashboard; and 30% say they have no direct access to a datamart or database 75% say they "join" information from a variety of sources but only 56% use APIs or software connectors 55% say they have an analysis layer (software/algorithm) 32% say they have predictive algorithms 4
  • 5. Convergence Analytics 50% say they have automated "extract, transform, load" capability 35% have no self-service component in their offering while fully 84% offer professional services to their customers. Foundations (Underlying Technologies): Analytics or Intelligence? Marketing analytics is probably as old as the first time anyone put up a bigger sign than the one they had before. Digital analytics is born of what was once universally called ―web analytics‖, itself the grown-up version of log-file analysis. Log-files are still gathered by every server today but they have been surpassed in utility by a combination of web-user tracking technologies focused on html-embedded javascript commonly known as ―tagging‖. Until recently, tagging itself was considered the sine qua non of customer analytics (at least as it related to the web). The intense focus on web marketing produced an explosion of digital measurement, much of it based on tagging. The names that were made famous in the web analytics era include Omniture, Webtrends, Coremetrics and more recently and most famously, Google Analytics. With Google Analytics, digital customer measurement became almost a household word (especially if that household contained a marketer). Siloed in older parts of the organization have long been non-web-based customer databases that included CRM (a descendent of the Rolodex), direct mail customer lists, point-of- sale analytics, and survey data. Many of these, until the last few years, required massive on-site computing power and specialists dedicated to making sure iron boxes stayed cool and more specialists to ask the iron boxes questions the iron boxes could answer. Moore's law played no small role in deprecating the in-house server farm. As processor speed got cheaper, it became possible for server-farm-specialists to rent out virtual server space, and then virtual functioning software, to whomever could come up with a small monthly fee. Software companies retired their CD presses and, relying on the enhanced broadband networks that now encircle the globe, have made call-and-response via browser interfaces as routine as 5
  • 6. Convergence Analytics corn flakes for breakfast. The results have been dramatic. Rare is the business today that does not pay someone for some remote processing and/or remote storage. For mid-sized businesses and many large ones, outsourced software or ―Software as a Service (SAAS)‖ has become the rule with rare exception. Old, un-wired databases are getting hooked up or getting siphoned dry. The market for in-house software has shrunken to a fraction of its former size. At the same time, everyone has taken for granted that understanding data is now a visual experience. No one considers poring over long lines of numbers. The visor and the sharpened pencil have given way to the ―user interface‖; the ledger to the dashboard; careful matching of puzzle-pieces to the custom report. Finally, social media has run like a fever through marketing departments globally. While much misunderstood as a marketing tool and while its business impact is difficult to ascertain even with measurement, social media is so prevalent that it wins a place at the table because of sheer bulk. Much as you cannot have a zoo without an elephant, you really can't have digital marketing these days without social media. History of Marketing Analytics Really, the history of marketing analytics begins with Direct Marketing--a form of customer outreach that dates back several centuries and which, in a mature form, was the template for, and was the basis of metrics for what we know today as either Web Analytics, Digital Analytics and most recently, Mobile and Convergence Analytics. While early references to the discovery of written appeals to the public date back to the days of cuneiform, we can begin with a couple of instances somewhat closer to our own historical times. In what has been called the first direct advertising booklet, William Penn in the year 1681 published in England "Some Account of the Province of Pennsilvania (sp.) in America", which was meant to encourage immigration to the colony. He followed it up with several more, and even included maps of Philadelphia and the surrounding countryside. Pennsylvania is one of the most populous states in the nation, and so clearly Mr. Penn would have been able to claim campaign success at least over the long term. 6
  • 7. Convergence Analytics In 1872, Montgomery Ward issued its first mail-order catalog; Sears soon published his own; and what followed was an enormous catalog industry that thrives today both in paper and on line. Where shipping was once almost the sole province of the U.S. Post Office--everything from post cards to threshing machines were sent via post--today delivery can take many different forms, including, for media at least, a completely digital form (via download). But whatever the delivery mechanism, the paradigm has remained the same since the days of Montgomery Ward: you can directly order goods from your own home (via a catalog sent directly to you) and have them delivered without your ever having to "go shopping". In the digital marketplace, our ―sale‖ is not always as easy to define as it would be if we were publishing mere catalogs of goods. Today the digital marketplace is host to as many business functions as can be imagined: from true catalog sales to brand-awareness efforts to indirect or complex sales processes to self-service offerings; as well as media sites that sell advertising much as print publications still do today. What remains true to the direct marketing paradigm is the notion of a one-to-one relationship between company and customer; and an enduring mark of success is how well the customer feels connected to the brand behind the direct marketing effort whether on line or via an off line effort. Clearly the concept of "direct" marketing or selling has always included disintermediation--the removal of barriers between producer and consumer--or the "middle-man" as some might call it. But another key artifact of the catalog-ordering process has also come down to us today in a digitized form, and that is customer-behavior tracking. Even in the earliest instances, every catalog order had a record; every buyer had a history. Today, digital marketers seek to obtain insights from the same kinds of data that began to be available in the days of buggy-whips and coal-stoves. Many credit the term "direct marketing" to Lester Wunderman, who, according to Wikipedia, "identified, named and defined" it in the mid-nineteen-sixties. Wunderman is also credited with the creation of the first 1-800 number, and such loyalty programs as the Columbia Record Club and American Express Customer Rewards. For many years until the advent of the web, direct marketing had been associated almost entirely with direct mail. Long darkened in the shadow of Advertising--both print and television- 7
  • 8. Convergence Analytics -direct marketing was considered decidedly unglamorous. Rather than "Who's Behind Those Foster Grants" in a major magazine spread, it was a postcard for a questionable hair-removal product; or a coupon for a can of deviled ham. The apotheosis of web-based ―advertising‖ completely changed this—such that at least the electronic version of direct marketing came to outstrip and even begin to transform its heretofore more glamorous cousins in the world of print and broadcast. The explosion of digital media would have been quite transformative enough on its own. But what has given it staying power for the enterprise is the same thing that distinguished direct marketing: measurability. And here we find the roots of Convergence Analytics. The web and its electronic counterparts—email, social and apps—are expected, as a key component of their overall value, to deliver detailed customer intelligence. To the extent that this has succeeded or failed tells the story of the digital analytics marketplace. Tracking the Digital Customer Arguably the first commonly-used digital behavior tracking tool was a product created by WebTrends called Log Analyzer in the late 1990s. It was able to parse the log (activity) files of web servers; and it was able to report such things as ―hits‖ to the server and ―browser type‖ of the user and which pages were served and how often. It was enough to whet the marketer’s appetite and made marketers aware of ―web analytics‖ generally. Another early entrant was KeyLime, which allowed marketers to view, perhaps for the first time, ―real-time‖ activity on its web site pages in a dashboard format. What became apparent to data analysts as they reviewed results from log files was that there were in fact substantial discrepancies between server activity and user activity. While ―hits‖ became almost a byword for ―popularity‖, analysts knew that server activity was far from an accurate indicator of actual browser activity and user behavior. Demand for better accuracy and granularity encouraged the creation of a paradigm now in use almost universally in digital analytics. Commonly this is known as ―page tagging‖. Page tagging requires the placement of snippets of javascript into the html (usually in the header) of every page to be tracked; and it is 8
  • 9. Convergence Analytics coupled with a ―web beacon‖ or single pixel graphic file on the same page. When the invisible graphic file (or ―beacon‖ loads into the browser, it creates a ―call‖ to execute the javascript, and the javascript performs the function of tracking the page load and, often, activity within the page. This created a much more accurate way of measurement—because tracking only takes place when the page actually loads into a browser. The companies that made this market grow included Omniture (now Adobe), WebTrends, WebSideStory (now Adobe) and CoreMetrics (now IBM), among others. The tagging paradigm remains the standard today. The market still offers products that track log files and server behavior; and there are significant products that measure user behavior via panels of users and algorithmic extrapolation, including Comscore and the well-known Nielsen company of broadcast television fame. These products have the significant advantage of allowing customers to benchmark against competitors, but the actual metrics are in general not as detailed or customized as those available with a tool that measures one’s own site in depth in a customized, fully-tagged manner. Enter Games (ADD Zynga and the vast amounts of data – how “games drove technology – bandwidth, CPU and Data storage) Enter Mobile Analytics Much like Direct Marketing discussed above, and unlike web analytics, Mobile analytics represents a one to one relationship with ―the customer‖, and the goals, while the same as direct and digital marketing which are to ultimately increase conversions, are driven by user actions with a small screen or multiple screens. (ADD- LTV, Mobile Fist, Small screen, lots of data, and industry growth) The Search for ROI 9
  • 10. Convergence Analytics There would be little reason for tracking user behavior if no action were associated with the findings. And while too many practitioners today settle for simply knowing ―what’s going on‖ and have no process for taking direct action based on what the data tells them, the market in general has long been focused on utilizing digital analytics to demonstrate a return on investment. In fact, without this goal, the cost of purchasing and implementing digital analytics solutions could never be justified. In general, digital analytics has failed to deliver sufficient ROI to justify its continuation in an unmodified form. It would be easy enough to point a finger at the application vendors and say they have not provided the solution. But this would be to ignore the behavior of practitioners as part of the problem. To be more precise, it would be to ignore the lack of an ROI-focused process on the part of practitioners in which the applications would play a more productive role. While the purpose of this paper is not to inculcate a new process for digital ROI, it is within our purview to suggest what such a process might look like. Even as we move to Convergence Analytics—where many more silos of information get measured and displayed than in digital analytics—it is safe to say that without an action plan based on discovery, there’s not much reason to engage in measurement at all. Consider the time-honored goal that long-predates digital marketing: sending the right message to the right person at the right time. The output of this process is supposed to be greater throughput of goods and services. The only way this paradigm can be approached is with information about user-behavior (in old-fashioned direct marketing, this often would have been characterized as ―response rate‖). The desire remains the same today even in a far more complex digital marketing environment: right message, right person, right time. While the subjects of goal definition and actionability deserve more space than we can allow, we can touch upon the surface of it in order to suggest the reason why analytics continues to hold promise even as it has often proven disappointing. Suffice to say that if the following processes were taken up by organizations involved in digital measurement, then ROI would be much more achievable than currently surmised. 10
  • 11. Convergence Analytics Briefly, there are two phases to a digital marketing action place involving analytics. First, let’s mention goal definition. What kind of content are you measuring? And what is the goal of publishing that content (whether on the web, via social media, mobile, or in an app)? Type: Brand or Media Goal: Overall Time Spent Interacting with Content Type: eCommerce Goal: Direct Sale Type: Lead Generation Goal: Contact Information; Direct Contact; Inbound Marketing Type: Self-Service Goal: Rapid Access to Information The above goals are guidelines to defining when a ―conversion‖ or ―desired action‖ will have taken place. The frequency with which content drives a desired action equals its success as a marketing tool. Second, let’s describe a five-step virtuous cycle of improvement that can drive better performance through the use of marketing data. Step 1: Define Goals (determine content type and expected outcomes) Step 2: Collect Data Step 3: Analyze Findings Step 4: Adjust Content) Step 5: Measure Again and Compare And since this is a cycle of improvement, it should be an embedded process that continually seeks improvement in content performance. Convergence Analytics will require the same approach. How many organizations are ready to invest in the above activities in a meaningful way? The ones that do, will find their digital marketing performance much enhanced; and as they measure across channels, the same will apply. Why Convergence Analytics? 11
  • 12. Convergence Analytics It is fair to ask the question: if digital analytics has not succeeded as well as it might have in delivering ROI, why would we now be moving towards an even more complex measurement paradigm? There are at least three ways to approach the answer. First and probably most importantly, it is that marketers (rightfully) still believe in the power of information to transform their ability to succeed. Some have actually achieved this, with the right tools and the right expertise and the right focus. So while the broader market has not achieved all it might have hoped from digital analytics, there are enough actual success stories to keep the market in motion. Second is that technology improvements are driving innovations in marketing analytics. As we mentioned in the Executive Summary, a combination of access to much more data than before; sophisticated algorithms and digital data connectors; inexpensive cloud computing; and modular application construction tools that supply display layers for end users with relative ease; all these are contributing to a preponderance of offerings, from every corner of the measurement universe, towards the same goal. Simply put, Convergence Analytics is happening because it can happen. Third is that the customer, believing still in the power of data, now also believes in the power of more data – ―Big Data‖. The cry for seeing data from multiple channels has reached a sufficient pitch that application vendors are either launching new offerings, adding features to existing offerings, or taking their existing offering and pitching it afresh to marketers. Ultimately the vendors are meeting the customers on the field of Convergence Analytics: where streams from multiple data sources are overlaid in meaningful ways such that a marketer can see the relationship of trends and pinpoint cause and effect (in other words: Campaign A launched just before a spike in Metric B; therefore Campaign A plausibly caused that spike). And while each offering in Convergence Analytics pitches differently, and even as there are a range of offerings with a range of capabilities, they all offer a similar promise: more data from more channels displayed more effectively. The expectation is that with more dimensional data streams, more insights can be gained. And if a process is in place to define and take action, then Convergence Analytics holds a 12
  • 13. Convergence Analytics world of promise. Predictive Analytics Many applications either include or are in the business of including what are called "Predictive Analytics" features. It's a bit of a misnomer, because there isn't really much "prediction" going on, at least not in the way that the lady at the county fair can see your future in the bottom of a teacup. What is really happening is that an algorithm is reviewing your content, then for either a single user or a class of users, determining their characteristics based on behavior, demographics, creditworthiness, purchase history, estimated lifetime value and more; and determining which of your stored content should be shown to that individual at a particular juncture in their interaction with your digitial properties. The "prediction", if there is one, is that this scientific approach will yield a higher conversion rate and a better ROI than a random sample. The extent to which the predictive layer delivers a higher conversion rate as compared to a random display of data is the measure of its success. Many see this as the keystone in the arch of customer relations. For if the marketer can construct a strong enough support mechanism for proper messaging, then the entire structure can be completed and held together by the power of actionability. At its best, actionable algorithms can make sure the immense force generated by the data structure is held in place and energized, much the way a keystone holds in place a mighty arch that bears the weight of the entire enterprise. Actionability is certainly not a mainstream capability yet. There are prediction engines in play today, but no clear winners. As the technology matures, and as more data sources get deployed against more channels, we may begin to see the keystone being lowered into place. That said, there are large enterprises devoting large sums of money and a great deal of technology to build their own predictive response mechanisms. These industry-leading enterprises will continue to hold an advantage. But the advent of Convergence Analytics will allow mid-sized companies to begin to enjoy perhaps not all of the success of the very big players, but better success at analtyics than they now currently get. 13
  • 14. Convergence Analytics Multichannel Environment Today's multi-channel/device environment makes analysis and visualization exponentially more complex and difficult. Rather than concentrating on one stream of data, now data must be extracted from multiple channels and then deployed against multiple channels. There are so many data intersections that it becomes more of a three-dimensional matrix than a linear progression. The channels the Convergence Analytics applications deploy against include: web, email, CRM, ERP, offline marketing (direct marketing), business intelligence resources, social media, online advertising, mobile apps, games and more. What may be most fascinating about the channel variety is that not only are they all being addressed; but that applications that once focused on measuring just one of those channels are now often making a claim to measure all the other channels too. With the advent of multiple tools converging on convergence, we are beginning to see a paradigm emerge where the goal is a single view of all data in real time; a "one ring to rule them all" paradigm. And the application vendors converging on this paradigm are coming from every channel. 14
  • 15. Convergence Analytics Product/Service Mix One of the more interesting findings from our survey was to see how many service- oriented companies filled out the part of the survey intended for vendors. These included digital agencies, marketing companies and analysts who all saw themselves as vendors because their customers in some way purchase digital analytics from them. This suggests a much larger issue we have observed, and that is the very gray area between what constitutes a software or SAAS offering and what constitutes a professional service offering. Much of this lack of clarity is integral to the notion of "software as a service" in and of itself. In the older world of software-in-a-box, the lines were very clear. The vendor sent you a disk and you installed the software. Perhaps there was a VAR involved that helped you set it up; and the software company had a help desk. But with the advent of broadband, cheap storage and rapid processing, it became possible to offer software on line. In a networked world, the model has few detractors if any. It empowers both the vendor by letting them control and adjust the offering much more closely, and the user by allowing them to stop worrying about running software and "keeping current‖. Today, you can hardly find boxed software on the shelf. Truly the advantages are many, and rather evenly distributed between vendor and customer. But in a business-to-business environment we are forced to ask what is the nature of the vendor itself, and should the buyer see it as a product or a service or an amalgam of parts that includes third party experts? The answer to this question is important because it determines the ultimate value and ROI associated with the offering. Simply put, product vendors need to offer services to help users understand the technology, goals and new processes. When people, process and technology is new, there is little often limited similarity between one customer and the next. This means that each implementation requires a services component in order to deliver value. There’s no such thing, ―press the button 15
  • 16. Convergence Analytics and get answers‖. If the vendors do not, or cannot offer services, it is best to find a services partner. 16
  • 17. Convergence Analytics Evolving Channels and Roles Historically, analytics vendors have created products known as "point solutions". An instructive corollary to this name is the notion of "pain point"; a term that defines a particular problem that presumably can be solved by a particular tool. For instance, the marketer responsible for "the web site" experiences a pain point at the juncture where they need to receive data about the site's business success but had no way to get it. Hence, a "web analytics" solution and a ready customer base. The same would have held true for the mobile marketer, email marketer, the social media marketer, the SEO specialist, the advertising campaign manager. Entire industries have sprung up around satisfying the needs of these marketers. Typically these marketers would operate at least semi-independently of one another, and would almost certainly make separate purchases to fix their own "pain point". Typically there is little co-operation between silos. Convergence Analytics races to a single solution for all organizational silos and blurs application functions, as well as buyer roles and responsibilities. The marketing analytics application market has been defined by a number of categories such as: Web Analytics Mobile Analytics Social Analytics 17
  • 18. Convergence Analytics A/B Testing SEO Email Predictive Analytics Ad Network Analytics Competitive Analytics (Benchmarking) Business Intelligence Content Management Systems But now application vendors from all the above sectors are making efforts to measure results from several different sources both on line and off line; and so the categories have begun to disintegrate. However, the buyer remains mostly in place as before. This creates a challenge for the vendor. Who is the buyer now? Who is experiencing that "pain point" where all data needs measuring but isn't? By rolling up all of the capabilities into a single offering, vendors must be careful not to cut themselves off from their customer base. They will need to address the needs of all the organizational pain points; but those different parts of the organization don't necessarily come together in one area of responsibility--making it harder for the vendor to gain buy in for their product. In working to serve more and more parts of the organization, the incoming Convergence Analytics tools find some entrenched players already deeply embedded inside the larger enterprises. These solutions include such venerable marques as SAP, IBM, SAS, Axiom, Merkle and Unica. History has shown that large, entrenched organizations can be dislodged by smaller, newer, more agile solutions; and in the current environment it's really an oceanic wave of solutions all crashing upon the same shore at the same time. The force of it will certainly change the market, but there is no clarity yet on who amongst the current players will win the day. Much of the battle is to be fought around the success of a given competitor's key differentiators. In other words, whoever positions themselves best and also has a serviceable offering, will begin to outpace the others and be seen as the market leader. But the trouble today is that there is not enough differentiation in what Convergence Analytics vendors are saying about themselves or the market. From nearly every part of the product spectrum come similar 18
  • 19. Convergence Analytics claims: that the combination of data connectors, common keys and sophisticated display layers creates a new kind of offering. In this light, many are still searching for their key differentiator: what makes them different or better than several others in the same space? Enter the world of the Data Scientist Historically the difference between success and mediocrity in analysis has been less about picking the very best tool than it has been about combining a capable tool with superior services and expertise. Many solutions today, with their complex data connections and multi- channel/device capabilities, require perhaps even more attention to experts than ever. Professional services has always been a critical part of success in digital marketing, even as application vendors tend to emphasize the relative ease and completeness of their tool. Marketers, as customers and practitioners, have always known this to be the case. In the Convergence Analytics market, they should continue to expect a need for professional services and perhaps see the trend accelerate. But now Data Scientist (ADD MORE about the role of DS) It may even be the case that the winners will be the companies that either provide the best customer service themselves; or form strong partnerships with technology implementation partners; or create a developer environment such that their technology becomes a "standard". Process In addition, the prevalence of services requires the implementation of a set of processes and best practices that remain not established as yet in the marketplace. These processes include those associated with the phrase "you can't manage what you can't measure"; and the establishment of such practices like proper KPI definition, agile analysis of results, content 19
  • 20. Convergence Analytics adjustment and testing. More often than not, these key process elements are in short supply, especially in a complete cycle. Making sure organizations can adequately leverage the tools and put them to work will probably be amongst the tasks confronting any vendor hoping to come out in front of the pack. This will be especially the case in the market comprising SMB companies--a vast number of large companies not amongst the Fortune 500. The very largest companies often enough have the depth and breadth to be able to supply their own expertise. But smaller companies--by no means "small businesses"--usually cannot. This need will be met by professional services either from the vendors, or vendor partners, or third parties such as analytics consulting companies, digital agencies, or individual experts. But whoever delivers it, it's likely to be a main component of any and every successful data analysis operation. Roles in Marketing While it's true that the technology is racing well ahead of our collective ability to socialize and even understand it, there are stirrings on the buyer side as to role definition. This is especially true at the most senior levels of marketing, specifically at what has been called the position of Chief Marketing Officer. Some have said that the role of CMO is "dead". While this is hyperbolic, it may be true that the role has changed enough to warrant its renaming. Some of the nomenclature in play includes terms such as Chief Data Officer, Chief Analytics Officer, Chief Product Officer, Chief Content Officer; Chief Revenue Officer; and even Chief Information Officer. This represents a sea change in the role of marketing--where marketing has begun to spread its digitally measurable influence throughout the organization in a way that seems a natural outcome of the basic principle of marketing; and that is to maximize shareholder value through increasing the velocity of customer acceptance for the shareholders' products. As marketing has become more measurable, its visibility has grown and so has its responsibility. The natural progression of this has resulted in marketing measurement applications to go through substantial transformations as well. And in doing so, they begin to 20
  • 21. Convergence Analytics position themselves for measuring more and more of the organization's data; with marketing at the hub. Vendors from nearly every sector mentioned above have developed the capability to build connectors to several data sources, combine them into a consolidated form, and allow the marketer a more well-rounded view of the factors affecting actual ROI. This has proved to blur the lines between roles in the organization--as the above discussion of the role of the CMO suggests. For instance, in an environment where every tool measures everything, whose role expands? Does the web site manager take over more of the mobile aspect? Does SEO move into Ad management? Does email move more into social media responsibility? Or, perhaps the Sales department taking more responsibility in the marketing cloud? Or perhaps its the Content Managers taking control of all of it. The tools can help them--but are they ready to manage it? So the blurring of tool capabilities has created an environment where the clear divisions between organizational responsibilities have begun to erode; thus eroding the surface of the sellable market. And the combination of convergence of messaging, convergence of capability, and convergence of organizational roles will represent significant challenges for participants from every corner of the data analysis community. To Conclude: Recommendations As everything is changing, it is critical to focus on focus on the following – 1) New technology platforms – My strong advice is to start with best-of-breed ―point solutions‖ that address a specific need. For Mobile apps I would look to firms which understand and have some strong experience with both a Mobile Environment AND the use of ―big data‖. 2) Clear definition of evolving roles and responsibilities – As I’ve discussed the roles are clearly changing as new technology platforms help transform the enterprise. It is critical to embrace this dynamic and look for new ―out of the 21
  • 22. Convergence Analytics box‖ ways to define success for individuals. Consider titles and roles of new experts that have titles like Data Scientist to best take advantage of the world of Big Data. 3) And, once you have identified the ROI goals of the business, identified the platform and people, it is also critical to build new agile processes around your platform and people. 22