IT System for Development of National Economy in the 21st Century
1. IT system for development of
national economy in the 21st
century
Dr.oec. Aldis Bulis
E-mail: aldis.bulis@gmail.com, mob. 25934522
Mārtiņš Dudelis
University of Latvia
2. Problems
For government For companies For society
Declining
number of tax
payers
Declining
number of
customers
Declining volume
of social
transfers
Volume of
incomes from
taxes
Declining
number of
employees
Fair from
imigrants
3. Objective
• To reach faster growth (e.g. to reach 5% GDP growth).
• To provide sustainable development.
• To provide bigger budget for national security.
4. Questions to be answerd
How to break negative trend?
How about links / causalities between different
indicators?
What to do for sustaining factors of production?
How to develop country, cities, countryside, regions
How to generate GDP growth? (parametri, kā veidojas
IKP)
Where is compromise between privacy and state control
and intervention?
Which acitivities bring better results?
How about government reaction regarding negative
trends? Dilatory or overdue reaction?
What to do with brawnfields?
Give answers for investors - how much free land Latvia
has, forests etc.
5. Input
Export volume (Mill EUR) LR CSP
GDP growth (Mill EUR) LR CSP
Unemployment (persons) LR CSP
Profit of companies (Mill EUR) Lursoft
Turnover of companies (Mill EUR) Lursoft
EU funds (Mill EUR)
Other investments (Mill EUR) LR FM, raim.gov.lv
Government income (from taxes,
Mill EUR, which taxes?)
LR FM, LB
Party membership (Yes/No) CVK, Politicans at the national and
municipal level
National level Data set
Municipal level Data set, www.lps.lv
Factors of production Labour force, capital, technology,
natural resources (list of significant
products of production)
National interests Criteria for system (promotion of
national values, faster GDP
growth), Latvija 2030, indicators
Approach for model:
1.National factors of production.
2.Values.
3.National interests.
6. Output Trends, regression models
Thesis tested
Tool for planning
Tool for decision making
Assessments
To find cleavleges
Recommendations
Tool for spatial planning
Volumes and spatial distribution of factors of production -
shows spotlines
Monitoring
To identify problems, problem points
7. Problems in developing model
• Factors of production (Labour force, capital, technology, natural
resources / list of significant products of production – forest, water
resources, mineral resources, agriculture etc.) → IT solutions and
opportunities to put these data on the map.
Macroeconomic analysis (Excel and expertize) vs. Spatial planning (IT
system and expertize)
• National interests
• Criteria for system (promotion of national values, faster GDP growth),
Latvija 2030, indicators → need for consensus (5% GDP growth;
values – language, cultural and historical heritage)
8. Factors of production
Factor of production Industry (economic output)
Forest Wood and articles of wood
Agriculture Prepared foodstuffs
Etc. Etc
Factors of production→Entrepreneurship→Economic output
9. Functions in IT system
• Assessment and monitoring system
• Income generation system
• Entrepreneurship and export improvment system
• Political system
• Values’s promotion system
• National security system
• Real time open source macroeconomic data system