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ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT ATLAS 2010




13 OCTOBER, 2010

GLOBAL FOOTPRINT NETWORK
AUTHORS:
Brad Ewing
David Moore
Steven Goldfinger
Anna Oursler
Anders Reed
Mathis Wackernagel


Designers:
Nora Padula
Anna Oursler
Brad Ewing


Suggested Citation:
Ewing B., D. Moore, S. Goldfinger, A. Oursler, A. Reed, and M.
Wackernagel. 2010. The Ecological Footprint Atlas 2010. Oakland: Global
Footprint Network.


The Ecological Footprint Atlas 2010 builds on previous versions of the Atlas
from 2008 and 2009.


The designations employed and the presentation of materials in the The
Ecological Footprint Atlas 2010 do not imply the expression of any
opinion whatsoever on the part of Global Footprint Network or its partner
organizations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city, or
area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or
boundaries.
For further information, please contact:
Global Footprint Network
312 Clay Street, Suite 300
Oakland, CA 94607-3510 USA
Phone: +1.510.839.8879
E-mail: data@footprintnetwork.org
Website: http://www.footprintnetwork.org

Published in October 2010 by Global Footprint Network,
Oakland, California, United States of America.

© text and graphics: 2010 Global Footprint Network. All
rights reserved. Any reproduction in full or in part of this pub-
lication must mention the title and credit the aforementioned
publisher as the copyright owner.
Table of Contents
 Foreword                                                                                       5

     Rethinking Wealth in a Resource-Constrained World /5
     The Role of Metrics /5
     Seizing the Opportunity /6

 National Footprint Accounts                                                                    8
     Ecological Footprint and Biocapacity /8
     History of the Ecological Footprint, Biocapacity, and the National Footprint Accounts /9
     Linking the National Footprint Accounts with Ecosystem Services /10

 Calculation Methodology: National Footprint Accounts                                          11
     Ecological Footprint Assessment /11
     Consumption, Production, and Trade /12
     Land Area Types of the National Footprint Accounts /13
         Cropland

         Grazing land

         Forest for timber and fuelwood

         Fishing ground

         Built-up land

         Forest for carbon dioxide uptake

     Normalizing Bioproductive Areas – From Hectares to Global Hectares /14
 Methodology Updates between the 2008 and 2010 Edition of National
 Footprint Accounts                                                                            15
 	     General Updates /15
 	     Cropland Updates /15
 	     Grazing Land/Livestock Updates /15
 	     Fishing Grounds Updates /16
 	     Forest Land Updates /16
 	     Carbon Uptake Land Updates /16
 	     Land Cover Updates /16

 Global Results from the National Footprint Accounts                                           18
The Global Context /18
     Human Development and the Ecological Footprint /21
     Factors in Determining Biocapacity and Ecological Footprint /23
         Population

         Affluence: Consumption Per Person

         Technology: Resource and Waste Intensity

     Ecological Footprint of Income Groups /26
     Ecological Footprint by Land Use Type and Income Group /27
     World Maps /32

Regional Results from the National Footprint Accounts                                       39
     Africa /40
     Asia /48
     Europe /56
     Latin America and the Carribean /64
     North America /72
     Oceania /80

Account Templates and Guidebook                                                             88
     What information is in the Guidebook? /88

Limitations of the Ecological Footprint Method                                              90
     Limitations of Scope: What the Footprint Does Not Measure /90
     Limitations of Current Methodology and Data: What the Footprint Does Not Measure Well /90
     Potential Errors in Implementation /91
     Interpreting the Footprint: What the Results Mean /92

Quality Assurance Procedures for Raw Data and Results                                       93
     Country-Specific Adaptations of the National Footprint Accounts /93
     Missing Data /93
Standards and National Footprint Accounts Committees                94
     Regular Review /94
     Future Standardization Plans /94
     Ecological Footprint Standards Committee /94
     National Footprint Accounts Review Committee /94

Progress on the Research Agenda To Improve the National Footprint
Accounts                                                            95
     Detailed Written Documentation /95
     Trade /95
     Equivalence Factors /96
     Nuclear Footprint /96
     Carbon Footprint /96
     Emissions from Non-Fossil Fuels and Gas Flaring /96
     Fisheries Yields /96
     Constant Yield Calculations /96
     Policy Linkages and Institutional Context /97

Research Collaborations                                             98

Frequently Asked Questions                                         100

Glossary                                                           103

References                                                         107

Sources for the National Footprint Accounts                        110

Global Footprint Network Partner Organizations                     111

Acknowledgements                                                   111
List of Abbreviations
BC			           Biological capacity
CO2			          Carbon dioxide
CLC			          CORINE Land Cover		
COICOP		        Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose
CORINE		        Coordinate Information on the Environment
DG ENV		        Directorate General Environment of the European Commission
EC			           European Commission
EE-MRIO		       Environmentally Extended Multi-Region Input-Output (analysis/model)
EEA			          European Environment Agency
EF			           Ecological Footprint
EFC			          Ecological Footprint of consumption
EFE			          Ecological Footprint of exports
EFI			          Ecological Footprint of imports
EFP			          Ecological Footprint of production
EQF			          Equivalence Factor
EXIOPOL		       Environmental Accouting Framework Using Externality Data and Input-Output Tools for 		
			             Policy Analysis
GAEZ			         Global-Agro Ecological Zones
GDP			          Gross Domestic Product
GFN			          Global Footprint Network						
GNI			          Gross National Income
GTAP			         Global Trade Analysis Project
HANPP		         Human Appropriation of Net Primary Production
HDR			          Human Development Report
HDI			          Human Development Index
HS			           Harmonized System Commodity Classification
IEA			          International Energy Agency
IFPRI			        International Food Policy Research Institute
IO			           Input-Output Analysis (analysis/table)
IPCC			         Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
ISEAL			        International Social and Environmental Accreditation and Labelling
LCA			          Life Cycle Assessment
MFA			          Materal Flow Analysis/Accounting
NAMEA		         National Accounting Matrix including Environmental Accounts
NFA			          National Footprint Accounts
NPP			          Net Primary Production
OECD			         Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development
PIOT			         Physical Input-Output Table
PPR			          Primary Production Rate			
SCP			          Sustainable Consumption and Production
SEEA			         System of Economic and Environmental Accounts
SITC			         Standard Industrial Trade Classification
SNA			          System of National Accounts		
UN COMTRADE	    United Nations database on the trade of commodities	
UN FAO		        United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization
YF			           Yield factor
Foreword                                                                  and services that promote well-being without draining resources
                                                                          will play a key role in this effort. Cities, regions, or countries that
Rethinking Wealth in a Resource-Constrained                               are not able to provide a high quality of life on a low Footprint
World                                                                     will be at a disadvantage in a resource-constrained future.
Access to ecosystem services will become an ever more critical            Without significant change, countries that depend extensively upon
factor for economic success and resilience in the 21st century. The       ecological resources from abroad will become particularly vulnerable
reason is simple: current trends are moving us closer to a new era        to supply chain disruptions, and to rising costs for greenhouse gas
of peak energy and climate change. These effects will combine with        emissions and waste disposal. At the same time, countries and states
food shortages, biodiversity loss, depleted fisheries, soil erosion and   with sufficient ecological reserves to balance their own consumption
freshwater stress to create a global supply-demand crunch of essential    or even export resources will be at a competitive advantage. This
resources. Humanity is already in “overshoot,” using more resources       also holds true for cities and communities such as BedZed in the
than Earth can renew. Overshoot can persist for some time, since          UK and Masdar in the UAE, which can operate on small Ecological
the human economy can deplete stocks and fill waste sinks. But            Footprints, and are more likely to be able to maintain or even improve
eventually, this overshoot will be felt more widely, making apparent      the well-being of their residents. For this reason, Ecuador in 2009
the emergence of a “peak everything” world (Heinberg 2007).               has made it a national goal to move out of its ecological deficit.
In spite of the economic shock waves since October 2008, most
                                                                          The political challenge is to demonstrate that this is not an
economic recovery efforts are cementing the past resource trends.
                                                                          “inconvenient truth” to be resisted, but rather a critical issue that
The massive stimulus efforts of OECD countries were not used to
                                                                          demands bold action in the direct self-interest of nations and
decrease economies’ structural dependence on resource throughput
                                                                          cities. It is a case of pure economics: Prosperity and well-being will
and ecological services. In addition, demand for resources continues to
                                                                          not be possible without preserving access to the basic ecological
increase in other large economies, including China, India and Brazil.
                                                                          resources and services that sustain our economy, and all of life.
Unabated overshoot could have dramatic consequences for all those
economies. Further degradation of the Earth’s capacity to generate
resources, continuing accumulation of greenhouse gases and other          The Role of Metrics
wastes, make likely shortage, or even collapse, of critical ecosystems.
                                                                          Without a way of comparing the demand on ecological services to
But this path is not unavoidable. The good news is that local solutions   the available supply, it is easy for policy makers to ignore the threat
need not wait for a global consensus. While the current climate           of overshoot, and remain entangled in ideological debates over the
debate assumes that those who act first may be at a competitive           “affordability of sustainability”. Clear metrics can help change these
disadvantage, the opposite is often true. Acting aggressively now         ideological debates into discussions based on empirical facts. This
to implement sustainable solutions will reward the pioneers               will lead to an understanding of what the real risks are, and facilitate
with lower resource costs, greater resiliency in the face of supply       building consensus over the actions needed to address them.
chain perturbations and better positioning to take advantage
of opportunities presented by a rapidly changing economy.                 The Ecological Footprint was developed over 15 years ago to
                                                                          help provide just such a metric. Since that time, it has become an
Many opinion leaders are trapped in the misconception that                increasingly mature and robust way of capturing human demand
advancing sustainability is detrimental to the economy, an                on nature. But its evolution is not yet complete. With growing
expense that will only be affordable at some later date. Rather, in       recognition of the value of this metric and its adoption by more
a time of global overshoot, investing in aggressive sustainability        governments and businesses, it has become clear that development
policies will become an ever more significant competitiveness             of the Ecological Footprint needs to be significantly accelerated.
driver. Countries putting off change until later will be
unprepared for the challenges of a “peak everything” world.               In 2003, Global Footprint Network was established to address this
                                                                          need. In addition to improving the scientific rigor and transparency
Resource accounting is therefore as vital to the self-interest of         of the Ecological Footprint methodology, this international NGO
any country, state, or city as is financial accounting. In an age of      works to promote a sustainable economy by making ecological limits
growing resource scarcity, the wealth of nations increasingly will be     central to decision-making. The organization’s mission is to assure
defined in terms of who has ecological assets, and who does not.          human well-being by ending overshoot, decreasing pressure on
Adjusting economies and their infrastructure to this new economic         critical ecosystems so they remain robust while continuing to provide
“truth” will take time, making it urgent to begin as quickly as           humanity with essential ecological services. Global Footprint Network
possible. Strategies will need to be simultaneously put in place to       works to achieve this mission by advancing the Ecological Footprint
better manage and protect ecological reserves while minimizing or         in collaboration with approximately 100 partner organizations
reducing a nation’s demand on ecosystem services — its “Ecological        that comprise the network. It coordinates research, develops
Footprint”. Stimulating and supporting technological innovations          methodological standards, and provides decision makers with extensive


                                                                          5
resource accounts to help the human economy operate within the                          including planning for a low-carbon future;
Earth’s ecological limits. At the heart of this effort are the National           •	    Further innovation that maintains or improves quality of
Footprint Accounts, which provide a detailed accounting of ecological                   life while reducing dependence on ecological capacity.
resource demand and supply for all nations with populations over 1
                                                                             •	    Leverage trade opportunities to:
million. Results of the 2010 Edition of the Accounts are summarized
in this report, and some of their implications are explored. As you               •	    Create a strong trade position for exports by
will notice, the 2010 Accounts feature a number of improvements                         better understanding who has ecological reserves
aimed at making the results more accurate. Some of the improvements                     and who does not, and what the trends are;
emerged from our research collaborations with countries from                      •	    Minimize and prioritize external resource needs.
around the world. Others responded to issues raised by major reviews         •	    Create a baseline for setting goals and monitoring progress
as the one from DG Environment of the European Commission                          toward lasting and sustainable economic development. Guide
(2008) or President Sarkozy’s Stiglitz Commission (2009).                          investment in infrastructure that is both efficient in its use
Global Footprint Network and its partners alone cannot                             of resources, and resilient if supply disruptions materialize.
bring about the shift to a sustainable economy. All the key                  •	    Provide a complementary metric to GDP that can help lead
stakeholders—especially nations, international agencies, regions                   to a new way of gauging human progress and development.
and companies—need to engage, for it is they who are at ever-
increasing risk if they cannot monitor their ecological performance.        Seizing the Opportunity
One thing is clear: As natural capital becomes scarcer than financial
                                                                            In a new era of resource constraints, new tools are needed for
capital, good governance will depend on resource accounts such
                                                                            securing economic success and resilience. The good news is that
as the Ecological Footprint as much as it depends on Gross
                                                                            with Ecological Footprint accounting, we now can track something
Domestic Product (GDP) and other financial accounts.
                                                                            we did not see before—the extent to which we are overdrawing our
In an increasingly resource-constrained world, it is a government’s         ecological accounts, and how far we are away from rebalancing this
fiduciary responsibility to know how much ecological capacity it has        budget. This information provides a hopeful perspective, suggesting
and how much it is using. Global Footprint Network, therefore, is           that even working with what we have now, it is well within our
working to have national governments institutionalize the Ecological        ability to secure long-term well-being for all of society. In addition,
Footprint metric, and use it as an indicator for planning and policy        future-proofing our economies and refocusing our investment
decisions in parallel with financial indicators such as GDP. While          efforts can have tremendous payback. Sustainability doesn’t simply
this particular effort focuses on nations and their administrations,        mean robust ecosystems, it ensures a long-term revenue stream
the goal will not be achievable without active participation                for pioneer investors, those with the foresight to plan and make
by the business sector, civil society and academic institutions.            changes now to prepare for future resource constraints. In fact, if
Therefore, the Network is working with these entities as well.              we reverse population trends, improve resource efficiency measures,
Use of the Footprint by National Governments                                sufficiently reduce consumption and better manage our ecological
                                                                            assets to increase yields, then demand will no longer exceed supply.
As an initial step in working with a national government, Global            If we end overshoot, resource constraints by definition disappear.
Footprint Network invites the country to collaboratively review the
underlying data in its National Footprint Accounts for accuracy and         This is the message Global Footprint Network is committed to
completeness. This due diligence helps ensure that the Footprint            promoting. The Ecological Footprint communicates the challenges
results for that country are valid and reliable, and also increases         of a resource-constrained world. At the same time, it invites
the reliability and robustness of the Footprint methodology for             people to participate and figure out solutions themselves. They
all nations. The verified national results can then be put to use by        can set themselves targets that people and organizations can both
the government for a wide variety of purposes, including to:                understand and invest in. Showing how such targets serve those
                                                                            pioneer nations’ and cities’ self-interest has a catalytic effect.
 •	    Create an enhanced understanding of the country’s                    By preparing oneself for a resource constrained world, one also
       Ecological Footprint and biocapacity. Specifically, this can:        makes the global community more resilient to potential outfalls
      •	    Identify resource constraints and dependencies;                 of overshoot. Let’s take advantage of this double dividend.
      •	    Recognize resource opportunities (e.g. forests).
 •	    Explore policy creation to:                                          Mathis Wackernagel, PhD
      •	    Protect national interests and leverage                         President
            existing opportunities;                                         Global Footprint Network
                                                                            Revised in October 2010
      •	    Bring the economy in line with global limits,



                                                                        6
7
National Footprint Accounts                                                     we need robust natural capital accounts (Dietz and Neumayer
                                                                                2007). These Accounts must be able to assess both human demand
In recent years, much of the discussion on finite global resources              on ecological assets, as well as the ability of these assets to meet this
has focused on the depletion of non-renewable resources, such                   demand. We cannot make meaningful decisions about where we need
as petroleum. However, it is increasingly evident that renewable                to go before we know where we stand. Just as national governments
resources, and the ecosystem services they provide, are also at great           currently use gross domestic product (GDP) as a benchmark to gauge
or even greater risk (UNEP 2007, WRI 2007, UNDP 2008, UNEP                      economic performance, natural capital accounts allow governments
2007, World Bank 2000, Millennium Ecosystem Assessment 2005).                   to gauge their ecological performance (Stiglitz Report, 2009). The
Global economies depend on the biosphere for a steady supply of the             National Footprint Accounts provide such accounting, allowing a
basic requirements for life: food, energy, fiber, waste sinks, and other        direct comparison of demand on and supply of ecological assets that
life-support services. Any depletion of these services is particularly          identify when limits have been transgressed. The National Footprint
risky since human demand for them is still growing, which can                   Accounts utilize global datasets to measure the biocapacity and
accelerate the rate at which natural assets are liquidated. Out of this         Ecological Footprint of 240 countries, territories, and regions from
concern, the sustainability proposition emerges. Sustainability is a            1961 to 2007. Results in the National Footprint Accounts consist
simple idea. It is based on the recognition that when resources are             of more than 800,000 data points that are calculated utilizing more
consumed faster than they are renewed, or wastes emitted faster                 than 50 million source data points from databases such as UN
than they are absorbed, the resources are depleted and eventually               FAOSTAT, UN Comtrade, and OECD International Energy Agency.
exhausted, and wastes are no longer sequestered and converted back
into resources fast enough to prevent accumulation in the biosphere.            Ecological Footprint and Biocapacity
The elimination of essential renewable resources is fundamentally               The Ecological Footprint is a measure of the demand human
problematic, as substitution can be expensive or impossible, especially         activity puts on the biosphere. More precisely, it measures the
when the problem is global in scale. When humanity’s ecological                 amount of biologically productive land and water area required
demands in terms of resource consumption and waste absorption                   to produce all the resources an individual, population, or activity
exceed what nature can supply, this ecological “overshoot” is a                 consumes, and to absorb the waste they generate, given prevailing
critical threat to society’s well-being. Just as constant erosion of            technology and resource management practices. This area can then
business capital weakens an enterprise, ecological overshoot erodes             be compared with biological capacity (biocapacity), the amount of
the planet’s “natural capital”, our ultimate means of livelihood.               productive area that is available to generate these resources and to
                                                                                absorb the waste. If a land or water area provides more than one of
The debate over how to make the human enterprise sustainable
                                                                                these services it is only counted once, so as not to exaggerate the
has accelerated since the widely cited Brundtland Report from
                                                                                amount of productive area actually available. Land and water area is
the UN World Commission on Environment and Development
                                                                                scaled according to its biological productivity. This scaling makes it
was released over two decades ago (UN 1987). The Commission
                                                                                possible to compare ecosystems with differing bioproductivity and
defined sustainable development as that which “meets the needs of
                                                                                in different areas of the world in the same unit, a global hectare. A
the present without compromising the ability of future generations
                                                                                global hectare represents a hectare with world average productivity.
to meet their own needs” (UN 1987). This definition recognized
that the goal of rewarding lives for all people on the planet requires          Ecological Footprint and biocapacity accounting is based
that ecosystems be able to continuously supply the resources and                on six fundamental assumptions (Wackernagel 2002):
waste absorption services necessary for society to flourish.
                                                                                 1.	 The majority of the resources people or activities
For sustainable development to go from concept to action, it                         consume and the wastes they generate can be tracked.
needs to become specific and accountable. The “ability of future
                                                                                 2.	 Most of these resource and waste flows can be measured
generations to meet their own needs” cannot be directly measured
                                                                                     in terms of the biologically productive area necessary to
because we cannot know how many people there will be in future
                                                                                     maintain them. Resource and waste flows that cannot be
generations, and what their needs will be. But some of the underlying
                                                                                     measured in terms of biologically productive area are excluded
conditions that must be met if this development is to become a
                                                                                     from the assessment, leading to a systematic underestimate
reality can be specified. If possibilities for future generations are not
                                                                                     of the total demand these flows place on ecosystems.
to be diminished, the most fundamental condition is that we not
erode, but rather protect, the ecological wealth of the biosphere.               3.	 By scaling each area in proportion to its bioproductivity,
                                                                                     different types of areas can be converted into the common
With natural capital at the foundation of every value chain, tracking
                                                                                     unit of average bioproductivity, the global hectare. This
the health of ecological assets is critical for sustainable development.
                                                                                     unit is used to express both Footprint and biocapacity.
Regardless of whether the goal is to maintain existing assets, or to
ensure that the loss of one form of assets is compensated by another,            4.	 Because a global hectare of demand represents a particular use



                                                                            8
that excludes any other use tracked by the Footprint, and all     The Footprint has been applied in a wide variety of ways. It can
       global hectares in any single year represent the same amount of   provide a global perspective on the current extent of ecological
       bioproductivity, they can be summed. Together, they represent     overshoot, as well as a more localized perspective on city and
       the aggregate demand or Ecological Footprint. In the same way,    regional resource issues. Global and national accounts have been
       each hectare of productive area can be scaled according to its    reported in headlines worldwide, and over 100 cities or regions
       bioproductivity and then added up to calculate biocapacity.       have assessed their Ecological Footprint. In the United States, for
                                                                         example, Sonoma County, California’s Footprint project “Time
 5.	 As both are expressed in global hectares, human demand (as
                                                                         to Lighten Up” inspired every city in the county to join the
     measured by Ecological Footprint accounts) can be directly
                                                                         Climate Saver Initiative of the International Council for Local
     compared to global, regional, national, or local biocapacity.
                                                                         Environmental Initiatives (ICLEI) (Redefining Progress 2002).
 6.	 Area demanded can exceed the area available. If demand
                                                                         At the national level, by 2003 Wales had adopted the Ecological
     on a particular ecosystem exceeds that ecosystem’s
                                                                         Footprint as its headline indicator for sustainability. The Swiss
     regenerative capacity, the ecological assets are being
                                                                         government has incorporated the Footprint into the nation’s
     diminished. For example, people can temporarily demand
                                                                         sustainable development plan. Japan includes the Footprint
     resources from forests or fisheries faster than they can
                                                                         as a measure in its Environmental Plan. Among NGOs,
     be renewed, but the consequences are smaller stocks
                                                                         WWF International, one of the world’s most influential
     in that ecosystem. When the human demand exceeds
                                                                         conservation organizations, uses the Ecological Footprint in its
     available biocapacity, this is referred to as overshoot.
                                                                         communication and policy work for advancing conservation
Ecological Footprint Analysis tracks the regenerative capacity of        and sustainability. WWF recently established a target of
an ecosystem in terms of historical flows of natural resources.          bringing humanity out of overshoot by 2050, and is actively
A “flow” corresponds to an amount per time unit, for instance,           pursuing this goal through its “One Planet” programs.
the number of tonnes of roundwood grown in a given area over
                                                                         Country-level Footprint assessments have been completed for
a one-year period. A “stock” is the standing balance of resources
                                                                         many countries, with some countries analyzed multiple times
at any specific time, for instance, the tonnes of roundwood
                                                                         under different methods (Wackernagel and Rees 1996, Bicknell
available for harvest in a hectare of forest at the end of a given
                                                                         et al. 1998, Fricker 1998, Simpson et al. 2000, van Vuuren and
year. The National Footprint Accounts capture flows rather than
                                                                         Smeets 2000, Ferng 2001, Haberl et al. 2001, Lenzen and Murray
stocks, and thus do not specify when overshoot will result in the
                                                                         2001, 2003, McDonald and Patterson 2004, Monfreda et al. 2004,
total depletion of accumulated resources in an ecosystem.
                                                                         Bagliani et al. 2005, Medved 2006, Venetoulis and Talberth 2007,
Humanity is using the regenerative capacity of the Earth each            World Wildlife Fund for Nature, Global Footprint Network, and
year—the flow of resources—while at the same time eating into            Zoological Society of London 2006). Since UN agencies collect
the standing stock of resources that has been building over time         and publish national data sets and advance the standardization of
and accumulating waste in the environment. This process reduces          such reporting across the world, and these data sets form the basis
our ability to harvest resources at the same rate in the future and      of the National Footprint Accounts, country-level calculations
leads to ecological overshoot and possible ecosystem collapse.           are more directly comparable than assessments at other scales. For
                                                                         instance, only country-level statistics systematically document
History of the Ecological Footprint, Biocapacity,                        production, imports, and export. Therefore, the national Ecological
and the National Footprint Accounts                                      Footprint results serve as the basis of all other Footprint analyses .
The Ecological Footprint concept was created by Mathis Wackernagel       With a growing number of government agencies, organizations and
and William Rees at the University of British Columbia in the            communities adopting the Ecological Footprint as a core indicator
early 1990’s (Wackernagel 1991, Rees 1992, Wackernagel 1994,             of sustainable resource use, and the number of Ecological Footprint
Rees 1996, Wackernagel and Rees 1996). Responding to then-               practitioners around the world increasing, different approaches
current debates surrounding carrying capacity (e.g., Meadows             to conducting Footprint studies could lead to fragmentation
1972, Ehrlich 1982, Tiezzi 1984, 1996, Brown and Kane 1994),             and divergence of the methodology. This would reduce the
Ecological Footprint accounting was designed to represent human          ability of the Footprint to produce consistent and comparable
consumption of biological resources and generation of wastes in          results across applications, and could generate confusion.
terms of appropriated ecosystem area, which could then be compared
to the biosphere’s productive capacity in a given year. In focusing      The value of the Footprint as a sustainability metric depends not
only on bioproductive area and on resources presently extracted and      only on the scientific integrity of the methodology, but also on
wastes presently generated, the method provided a focused historical     consistent application of this methodology across analyses. It also
assessment of human demand on the biosphere and the biosphere’s          depends on results of analyses being communicated in a manner that
ability to meet those specific demands (Wackernagel et al 1999a).        does not distort or misrepresent findings. To address these needs,



                                                                         9
Global Footprint Network initiated a consensus, committee-based          A third framework to analyzing and valuing ecosystem services
process for ongoing scientific review of the methodology, and for        is the System of Integrated Environmental and Economic
the development of standards governing Footprint applications.           Accounting (SEEA). The SEEA categorizes valuation methods
                                                                         into four types: “(1) real costs incurred due to legally binding
The National Footprint Accounts Review Committee supports
                                                                         avoidance, compensation or, restoration obligations; (2)
continual improvement of the scientific basis of the National
                                                                         expenditure voluntarily undertaken to avoid or limit damage;
Footprint Accounts. The Ecological Footprint Standards Committee,
                                                                         (3) people’s “revealed” preferences for obtaining specified
comprised of representatives from Global Footprint Network Partner
                                                                         environmental services or amenities; and (4) people’s “stated”
Organizations and representing academia, government, NGOs,
                                                                         or hypothetical preferences as elicited through contingent
and consulting firms, issued the Ecological Footprint Standards 2009
                                                                         valuation (that is, willingness to pay or willingness to accept
(Global Footprint Network, 2009). The Standards build on the
                                                                         enquiries)” (SEEA 2003).
Ecological Footprint Standards 2006 and are designed to ensure that
Footprint assessments are produced consistently and according            Human well-being requires, in part, the material consumption
to community-proposed best practices. They aim to ensure that            of provisioning services provided by the ecosystem. The
assessments are conducted and communicated in a way that is              figure below provides an overview of the biodiversity-
accurate and transparent, by providing standards and guidelines          supported ecosystem services that improve human well-
on such issues as use of source data, derivation of conversion           being. The biocapacity indicator within the National
factors, establishment of study boundaries, and communication            Footprint Accounts quantifies some of the flows within the
of findings. The Standards are applicable to all Footprint studies,      provisioning services, including food, fiber, and timber.
including sub-national populations, products, and organizations.         Land explicitly set aside to uptake carbon dioxide emissions
                                                                         could also be measured within the National Footprint
Linking the National Footprint Accounts with                             Accounts and would provide a regulating ecosystem service.
Ecosystem Services
The notion that the human economy is a subset of the
surrounding ecology is integral to identifying the economic                                                             Human well-being
                                                                                                            Security, material needs, health, social relations, etc.
linkages between nature, human activities, and biodiversity.
Various initiatives are currently underway to analyze the
economic benefits of biodiversity and weigh the costs of                                                Provisioning
                                                                              Ecosystem Services




                                                                                                       Food, fiber, timber,
effective policies against resulting deceleration of biodiversity                                    medicines, water, air, etc.

loss. One of the more ambitious projects is the Millennium                                                                                                 Cultural
                                                                                                                                                 Ecotourism, spiritual, ethics, etc.
Ecosystem Assessment, which categorizes three types of
                                                                                                         Regulating
ecosystem services: (1) provisioning (e.g. of food, fresh                                          Climate, flood protection, etc.

water, wood and fiber, fuel, etc.), (2) regulating (e.g. climate                                                                                        Supporting
                                                                                                                                                       Habitat provision,
regulation, flood regulation, disease regulation, water                                                                                             ecosystem processes, etc.

purification, etc.), and (3) cultural (e.g. aesthetic, spiritual,
educational, recreational, etc.) (MA 2005). In this context,
the biocapacity and Ecological Footprint indicators focus                                                                          Biodiversity
on the biomass-based flows of the ecosystem’s provisioning                 Species richness, species rarity, biomass density, primary productivity, and genetic diversity

services and the waste uptake of its regulating services.
Examples of the services quantified in the National Footprint
Accounts include provisioning of food, fiber, and timber,
and uptake of carbon dioxide by forests and oceans.
The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB)
is another ambitious project that reviews the science and
economics of ecosystems and biodiversity and includes a
valuation framework to improve policy decision-making. This
TEEB 2009 report for policymakers identified five important
dimensions of biodiversity in the context of the supporting,
regulating, provisioning, and cultural ecosystem services they
provide for human well-being: (1) species richness, (2) species
rarity, (3) biomass density, (4) primary productivity, and (5)
genetic diversity (TEEB 2009).


                                                                    10
Calculation Methodology: National                                          expressing all results in a common unit, biocapacity and Footprints
                                                                           can be directly compared across land use types and countries.
Footprint Accounts
                                                                           Demand for resource production and waste assimilation are
The National Footprint Accounts track countries’ use of ecological         translated into global hectares by dividing the total amount of
services and resources as well as the biocapacity available in each        a resource consumed by the yield per hectare, or dividing the
country. As with any resource accounts, they are static, quantitative      waste emitted by the absorptive capacity per hectare. Yields are
descriptions of outcomes, for any given year in the past for which         calculated based on various international statistics, primarily those
data exist. The detailed calculation methodology of the most               from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization
updated Accounts are described in Calculation Methodology for              (FAO ResourceSTAT Statistical Databases). Yields are mutually
the National Footprint Accounts, 2010 Edition (Ewing et al. 2010).         exclusive: If two crops are grown at the same time on the same
The implementation of the National Footprint Accounts through              hectare, one portion of the hectare is assigned to one crop, and the
database-supported templates is described in the Guidebook to              remainder to the other. This avoids double counting. This follows
the National Footprint Accounts 2010 (Kitzes et al. 2010).                 the same logic as measuring the size of a farm: Each hectare is only
The National Footprint Accounts aim to:                                    counted once, even though it might provide multiple services.

 •	    Provide a scientifically robust and transparent                     The Ecological Footprint, in its most basic form,
       calculation of the demands placed by different nations              is calculated by the following equation:
       on the regenerative capacity of the biosphere;
                                                                                                               DANNUAL
 •	    Build a reliable and consistent method that                                                      EF =
                                                                                                               Y ANNUAL
       allows for international comparisons of nations’
       demands on global regenerative capacity;
 •	    Produce information in a format that is useful for developing       where D is the annual demand of a product and Y is the annual yield
       policies and strategies for living within biophysical limits; and   of the same product. Yield is expressed in global hectares. The way
                                                                           global hectares are calculated is explained in more detail below after
 •	    Generate a core dataset that can be used as the basis               the various area types are introduced. But in essence, global hectares
       of sub-national Ecological Footprint analyses, such as              are estimated with the help of two factors: the yield factors (that
       those for provinces, states, businesses, or products.               compare national average yield per hectare to world average yield in
The National Footprint Accounts, 2010 Edition calculate the                the same land category) and the equivalence factors (which capture the
Ecological Footprint and biocapacity for 240 countries, territories,       relative productivity among the various land and sea area types).
and regions, from 1961 to 2007. Of these 240 countries,                    Therefore, the formula of the Ecological Footprint becomes:
territories, and regions, 153 were covered consistently by the UN
statistical system and other source datasets. Data for the latter
countries, territories, and regions are included in this report.                                            P
                                                                                                    EF =      ⋅ YF ⋅ EQF
                                                                                                           YN
Ecological Footprint Assessment
The National Footprint Accounts, 2010 Edition track human demand
                                                                           where P is the amount of a product harvested or waste emitted (equal
for ecological services in terms of six major land use types (cropland,
                                                                           to DANNUAL above), YN is the national average yield for P, and YF
grazing land, forest land, carbon Footprint, fishing grounds, and built-
                                                                           and EQF are the yield factor and equivalence factor, respectively,
up land). With the exception of built-up land and forest for carbon
                                                                           for the country and land use type in question. The yield factor is
dioxide uptake, the Ecological Footprint of each major land use type
                                                                           the ratio of national-to world-average yields. It is calculated as the
is calculated by summing the contributions of a variety of specific
                                                                           annual availability of usable products and varies by country and year.
products. Built-up land reflects the bioproductivity compromised by
                                                                           Equivalence factors trasnlate the area supplied or demanded of a
infrastructure and hydropower. Forest land for carbon dioxide uptake
                                                                           specific land use type (e.g. world average cropland, grazing land, etc.)
represents the waste absorption of a world average hectare of forest
                                                                           into units of world average biologically productive area: global hectares
needed to absorb human induced carbon dioxide emissions, after
                                                                           and varies by land use type and year.
having considered the ocean sequestration capacity.
                                                                           Annual demand for manufactured or derivative products (e.g.
The Ecological Footprint calculates the combined demand for
                                                                           flour or wood pulp), is converted into primary product equivalents
ecological resources wherever they are located and presents them as
                                                                           (e.g. wheat or roundwood) through the use of extraction rates.
the global average area needed to support a specific human activity.
                                                                           These quantities of primary product equivalents are then translated
This quantity is expressed in units of global hectares, defined as
                                                                           into an Ecological Footprint. The Ecological Footprint also
hectares of bioproductive area with world average bioproductivity. By
                                                                           embodies the energy required for the manufacturing process.


                                                                           11
Consumption, Production, and Trade                                         The National Footprint Accounts, 2010 Edition track the
                                                                           embodied Ecological Footprint of over 700 categories of
The National Footprint Accounts calculate the Footprint of a
                                                                           traded crop, forest, livestock, and fish products. The embodied
population from a number of perspectives. Most commonly reported
                                                                           carbon dioxide emissions in 625 categories of products is used
is the Ecological Footprint of consumption of a population, typically
                                                                           with trade flows from the United Nation’s COMTRADE
just called Ecological Footprint. The Ecological Footprint of
                                                                           database (UN Commodity Trade Statistics Database 2007) to
consumption for a given country measures the biocapacity demanded
                                                                           calculate the embodied carbon Footprint in traded goods.
by the final consumption of all the residents of the country. This
includes their household consumption as well as their collective           Throughout the National Footprint Accounts, the embodied
consumption, such as schools, roads, fire brigades, etc., which serve      Footprint of trade is calculated assuming world average Footprint
the household, but may not be directly paid for by the households.         intensities for all products. Using world-average efficiencies for
                                                                           all traded goods is an overestimate of the Footprint of exports for
In contrast, a country’s primary production Ecological Footprint is
                                                                           countries with higher-than-average production efficiency. In turn,
the sum of the Footprints for all resources harvested and all waste
                                                                           it underestimates that country’s Footprint of consumption. For
generated within the country’s geographical borders. This includes
                                                                           countries with below-average transformation efficiencies for secondary
all the area within a country necessary for supporting the actual
                                                                           products, the opposite is true: An underestimate of the embodied
harvest of primary products (cropland, grazing land, forest land,
                                                                           Footprint of exports yields an exaggerated Footprint of consumption.
and fishing grounds), the country’s infrastructure and hydropower
(built-up land), and the area needed to absorb fossil fuel carbon          The Footprint intensity of any primary product is by
dioxide emissions generated within the country (carbon Footprint).         definition the same anywhere in the world since it is expressed
The difference between the production and consumption Footprint is         in global hectares. However, the embodied Footprint of
trade, shown by the following equation:                                    secondary products will depend on transformation efficiencies
                                                                           (“extraction rates”), and these vary between countries.
                                                                           Biocapacity Assessment
                       EF C = EF P  EF I − EF E
                                                                           A national biocapacity calculation starts with the total amount of
                                                                           bioproductive land available. “Bioproductive” refers to land and water
where EFC is the Ecological Footprint of consumption, EFP is               that supports significant photosynthetic activity and accumulation
the Ecological Footprint of production, and EFI and EFE are the            of biomass, ignoring barren areas of low, dispersed productivity.
Footprints of imported and exported commodity flows, respectively.         This is not to say that areas such as the Sahara Desert, Antarctica, or
In order to measure the Footprint of imports and exports, one              Alpine mountaintops do not support life; their production is simply
needs to know both the amounts traded as well as the embodied              too widespread to be directly harvestable by humans. Biocapacity
resources (including carbon dioxide emissions) in all categories.          is an aggregated measure of the amount of land available, weighted
The embodied Footprint is measured as the number of global                 by the productivity of that land. It represents the ability of the
hectares required to make a tonne per year of a given product.             biosphere to produce crops, livestock (pasture), timber products
                                                                           (forest), and fish, as well as to uptake carbon dioxide in forests. It
                                                                           also includes how much of this regenerative capacity is occupied by
       EFC        =   EFP       +     EF I       -     EFE                 infrastructure (built-up land). In short, it measures the ability of
                                                                           available terrestrial and aquatic areas to provide ecological services.
                                         Global biocapacity
                                                                           A country’s biocapacity for any land use type is calculated as
                                    (direct and indirect demand)

        Exports       Imports
                                                                                                      BC = A ⋅ YF ⋅ EQF


              Economic System                  Consumption                 where BC is the biocapacity, A is the area available for a given land
                                                                           use type, and YF and EQF are the yield factor and equivalence factor,
      Production                CO2 Uptake
       (Harvest)                (Emissions)                                respectively, for the country land use type in question. The yield
                                                                           factor is the ratio of national to world average yields. It is calculated
      Domestic Biocapacity                   Global Biocapacity            as the annual availability of usable products and varies by country
        (direct demand)                      (indirect demand)
                                                                           and year. Equivalence factors translate the area supplied or demanded
                                                                           of a specific land use type (e.g. world average cropland, grazing land,
                                                                           etc.) into units of world average biologically productive area (global
                                                                           hectares) and varies by land use type and year.



                                                                      12
Land Area Types of the National Footprint                                                                with the amount of feed required for the livestock produced in
Accounts                                                                                                 that year, with the remainder of feed demand assumed to come
                                                                                                         from grazing land. Since the yield of grazing land represents the
The National Footprint Accounts include six main land use
                                                                                                         amount of above-ground primary production available in a year,
types: cropland, grazing land, fishing ground, forests for
                                                                                                         overshoot is not physically possible over extended periods of
timber and fuelwood, forests for carbon dioxide uptake,
                                                                                                         time for this land use type. For this reason, a country’s grazing
and built-up land. For all land use types there is a demand
                                                                                                         land Footprint of production is capped at its biocapacity.
on the area, as well as a supply of such an area.
In 2007, the area of biologically productive land and water on                                           Forest for timber and fuelwood
Earth was approximately 11.9 billion hectares. World biocapacity                                         The forest Footprint is calculated based on the amount of lumber,
is also 11.9 billion global hectares, since the total number of                                          pulp, timber products, and fuelwood consumed by a country on
average hectares equals the total number of actual hectares. But the                                     a yearly basis. FAO ResourceSTAT places the total area of world
relative area of each land type expressed in global hectares differs                                     forests at 3.9 billion hectares (FAO ResourceSTAT Statistical
from the distribution in actual hectares as shown in Figure 1.                                           Database 2007). Estimates of timber productivity are derived from
In 2007, the world had 3.9 billion global hectares of cropland                                           the UNEC and FAO “Temperate and Boreal Forest Resource
biocapacity as compared to 1.6 billion hectares of cropland area                                         Assessment,” the FAO “Global Fiber Supply Model” and the
(Figure 1). This difference is due to the relatively high productivity                                   Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (UNEC, 2000, FAO
of cropland compared to other land use types. This is not surprising                                     2000, FAO 1998, IPCC 2006), and give a world average yield of
since cropland typically uses the most suitable and productive land                                      1.81 m3 of harvestable underbark per hectare per year. These sources
areas, unless they have been urbanized. Thus, cropland affords more                                      also provide information on plantation type, coverage, timber
biologically productive services to humans than the same physical area                                   yield, and areas of protected and economically inaccessible forest.
of other land use types.                                                                                 Fishing ground
                   12000
                                                                                                         The fishing grounds Footprint is calculated using estimates of the
                   10000                                                                Built-up Land    maximum sustainable catch for a variety of fish species (Gulland
 Area (millions)




                    8000                                                                Forest Land      1971). The sustainable catch estimates are converted into an
                                                                                        Fishing Ground
                                                                                                         equivalent mass of primary production based on the various species’
                    6000
                                                                                                         trophic levels. This estimate of maximum harvestable primary
                                                                                        Grazing Land
                    4000                                                                                 production is then divided amongst the continental shelf areas of
                                                                                        Cropland
                                                                                                         the world. Globally, there were 2.4 billion hectares of continental
                    2000
                                                                                                         shelf and 433 million hectares of inland water areas in 2007 (World
                       0                                                                                 Resources Institute and FAO ResourceSTAT Statistical Database
                                 Hectares                  Global hectares                               2007). The fishing grounds Footprint is calculated based on the
                      Figure 1. Relative Area of Land Use Types Worldwide                                estimated primary production required to support the fish caught.
                      in Global Hectares and Hectares, 2007
                                                                                                         This primary production requirement (PPR) is calculated from
Cropland
               The above graph will be used on the following pages of the 2010 Atlas:                    the average trophic level of the species in question. Fish that feed
                       Chapter: Current Methodology, 2010 Edition National Footprint Accounts            higher on the food chain (at higher trophic levels) require more
Cropland is the(Page 13): Global bioproductive area,land use types
                 most bioproductive of all the 2007                                                      primary production input and as such are associated with a higher
and consists of areas used to produce food and fiber for                                                 Footprint of consumption. The National Footprint Accounts
human consumption, feed for livestock, oil crops, and rubber.                                            include primary production requirement estimates for 1,439
Worldwide in 2007 there were 1.6 billion hectares designated as                                          different marine species and more than 268 freshwater species.
cropland (FAO ResourceSTAT Statistical Database 2007); the
National Footprint Accounts calculate the cropland Footprint                                             Built-up land
according to the production quantities of 164 different crop                                             The built-up land Footprint is calculated based on the area of land
categories. Cropland Footprint calculations do not take into                                             covered by human infrastructure — transportation, housing, industrial
account the extent to which farming techniques or unsustainable                                          structures, and reservoirs for hydropower. Built-up land occupied
agricultural practices cause long-term degradation of soil.                                              167 million hectares of land worldwide in 2007, according to satellite
Grazing land                                                                                             imaging and research data sets (FAO 2005 and IIASA Global Agro-
                                                                                                         Ecological Zones 2000). It is assumed that built-up land occupies
Globally in 2007, there were 3.4 billion hectares of land classified as                                  what was previously cropland. This assumption is based on the theory
grazing land. Grazing land is used to raise livestock for meat, dairy,                                   that human settlements are generally situated in highly fertile areas.
hide, and wool products. The grazing land Footprint is calculated                                        For lack of data on the types of land inundated, all hydroelectric
by comparing the amount of livestock feed available in a country                                         dams are assumed to flood land with global average productivity.

                                                                                                         13
Forest for carbon dioxide uptake
                                                                                                                                  Grazing    Fishing
                                                                                  Yield                    Cropland      Forest    Land     Grounds
Carbon dioxide emissions, primarily from burning fossil fuels, are the
only waste product included in the National Footprint Accounts. On                World Average              1.0         1.0       1.0           1.0
the demand side, the carbon Footprint is calculated as the amount                 Algeria                    0.3          0.4      0.7           0.9
of forest land required to absorb given carbon emissions. It is the               Germany                    2.2         4.1       2.2           3.0
largest portion of humanity’s current Footprint – in some countries               Hungary                    1.1         2.6       1.9           0.0
though, it is a minor contribution to their overall Footprint.                    Japan                      1.3         1.4       2.2           0.8
                                                                                  Jordan                     1.1         1.5       0.4           0.7
The first step in calculating the carbon Footprint is to sum the                   New Zealand               0.7         2.0       2.5           1.0
atmospheric emissions of carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels,                 Zambia                    0.2         0.2       1.5           0.0
land use change (deforestation, for example), and emissions from
the international transport of passengers and freight. This total is
                                                                                Table 1: Sample Yield Factors for Selected Countries, 2007.
the amount of anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide released
into the global atmosphere in a given year. Second, after subtracting
the amount of carbon dioxide absorbed by the world’s oceans each
                                                                                Equivalence factors translate a specific land use type (i.e. world
year from the anthropogenic total, the remaining carbon dioxide is
                                                                                average cropland, pasture, forest, fishing ground) into a universal
translated into the amount of bioproductive forest that would be
                                                                                unit of biologically productive area, a global hectare. In 2007, for
needed to store it that year. Since timber harvest leads to a release of
                                                                                example, cropland had an equivalence factor of 2.51 (Table 2),
the stocked carbon, using forest land for carbon uptake and using
                                                                                indicating that world-average cropland productivity was more than
it for timber or fuel-wood provision are considered to be mutually
                                                                                double the average productivity for all land combined. This same
exclusive activities (see forest area for timber and fuelwood).
                                                                                year, grazing land had an equivalence factor of 0.46, showing that
                                                                                grazing land was, on average, half as productive as the world-average
Normalizing Bioproductive Areas – From
Hectares to Global Hectares                                                     bioproductive hectare. The equivalence factor for built-up land is
                                                                                set equal to that for cropland. Equivalence factors are calculated
Ecological Footprint results are expressed in a single measurement unit,        for every year, and are identical for every country in a given year.
the global hectare. To achieve this, Ecological Footprint accounting
scales different types of areas to account for productivity differences          Area Type                                    Equivalence Factor
among land and water use types. Equivalence factors and yield                                                         [global hectares per hectare]
factors are used to convert actual areas of different land use types (in         Cropland                                                        2.51
hectares) into their global hectare equivalents. Equivalence and yield           Forest                                                          1.26
factors are applied to both Footprint and biocapacity calculations.              Grazing Land                                                    0.46
Yield factors account for differences in productivity of a given land            Marine  Inland Water                                           0.37
use type between a country and the global average in this area type.             Built-up Land                                                   2.51
A hectare of grazing land in New Zealand, for example, produces
more grass on average than a world average grazing land hectare.                Table 2: Equivalence Factors, 2007.
Inversely, a hectare of grazing land in Jordan produces less. Hence,
the New Zealand hectare is potentially capable of supporting more
meat production than the global average hectare of grazing land.
These differences are driven by natural factors, such as precipitation or
soil quality, as well as by management practices. To account for these
differences, the yield factor compares the production of a specific land
use type in a country to a world average hectare of the same land use
type. Each country and each year has its own set of yield factors. For
example, Table 1 shows that New Zealand’s grazing land is on average
2.5 times as productive as world average grazing land. The yield factor
for built-up land is assumed to be equal that for cropland since urban
areas are typically built on or near the most productive cropland areas.




                                                                           14
Methodology Updates between the                                              and food aid shipments. Food aid for cropland, livestock, and fish is
                                                                             now reported separately from other trade, necessitating the addition
2008 and 2010 Edition of National                                            of several worksheets to explicitly calculate the embodied Footprint
Footprint Accounts                                                           of food aid flows. Since food aid quantities are reported only for
A formal process is in place to assure continuous improvement of the         aggregate categories, the composition of each country’s domestic
National Footprint Accounts (NFA) methodology. Coordinated by                production is used to determine the intensity of food aid exports.
Global Footprint Network, this process is supported by its partners          In the NFA 2008, a world average un-harvested percentage was
and by the National Footprint Accounts Committee, as well as other           applied to each country’s consumption quantity. This means
stakeholders.                                                                unharvested crops were added as a universal “tax” to consumed
There have been three primary motivations for revisions to the               crops. This led to each country’s cropland Footprint of production
calculation method of the National Footprint Accounts: (1) to adapt          not necessarily equaling its cropland biocapacity as it should, as
to changes in the organization of the source data, (2) to respond to         well as a slight mismatch between production, trade quantities and
issues raised in outside reviews (e.g. Stiglitz Commission, European         consumption.
Commission reports, etc.), and (3) to increase the specificity and           In the NFA 2010, a country specific un-harvested cropland percentage
accuracy of the NFA calculations. Many of the changes in the latter          has been calculated, and applied to the yield factor calculation, as
category focus on incorporating country specific information in              modifiers to the respective yields. Specifically, the sum of the land area
determining the Footprint intensities of traded goods.                       harvested for each item in the FAO data base (reported per item with
This section describes each of the calculation method changes                production) was subtracted from the total area for each land use type
implemented since the 2010 Edition of the National Footprint                 as reported by the FAO. This leads to a globally consistent Footprint/
Accounts.                                                                    ton for crop products, consistent with products of other land use
                                                                             types, while maintaining the constraint that each country’s cropland
General Updates                                                              EFp is equal to its BC. The effect is that a larger national un-harvested
                                                                             area percentage appears as a lower biocapacity rather than a higher
Since the release of the 2008 NFA, there have been substantial
                                                                             EFp.
revisions to some of the FAO datasets the NFA rely on. For example,
the product classifications have changed, and in some instances the
                                                                             Grazing Land/Livestock Updates
extended HS codes used previously have been replaced entirely by the
FAO’s own system of commodity classification.                                The biggest change in the grazing land and livestock sections is the
                                                                             modification of export intensities to reflect a country’s domestic
In many of the datasets used to calculate the NFA Belgium and                feed mix. Previously, all traded livestock products were assumed to
Luxembourg are reported as an aggregate for most of the time series,         embody world average cropland and grazing land demand. In the
and are only reported separately after 2000. In past editions, we have       2009 Edition of the NFA, these intensities are modified according
scaled the 2000 values for the two countries according to the change         to domestic mix and intensity of feed to estimate a country specific
in their combined Footprint and biocapacity to approximate a time            Footprint intensity of livestock. The exports intensity for livestock
series for each prior to 2000. In the 2009 and 2010 Edition of the           and livestock products is then calculated as the weighted average
NFA we have split the reported production and trade amounts in the           of production and imports intensities. This assumes that countries
raw data where Belgium and Luxembourg are reported as an aggregate,          process some of the livestock that is imported, and export a product
using the ratio of their quantities in the earliest year where the two are   derived from these imports - as opposed to all imports being
reported separately. This is probably more accurate, since the split for     consumed within the country (e.g. sausage). Ideally imports would
each product is unaffected by the ratios of other products in the same       be country specific as well, but as of yet are not calculated similarly.
land use category.
                                                                             There have also been several smaller changes:
In the NFA 2010, a source data cleaning algorithm was implemented
to reduce (1) spikes and troughs and (2) inconsistent reporting of           The list of livestock for which feed demand is calculated has
source data sets. The algorithm involved interpolation to fill in data       been expanded, providing a more comprehensive picture of
gaps and to exclude data points that are far out of the expected data        each country’s livestock populations and feed intensity.
range.                                                                       In the 2009 edition, the feed intensity for all livestock products
                                                                             were considered to be the weight of feed required for the weight
Cropland Updates                                                             of product. These ratios were obtained from published data
The product lists for crop production and trade have been changed to         sources. For the 2010 edition, feed intensities were calculated
match changes in the categories reported in FAOSTAT.                         by accounting for the feed intake requirements and life span of
                                                                             different livestock animals. These feed intensities for animals were
Previously, the FAO TradeSTAT database reported the sum of trade
                                                                             then allocated to the products that come from the animals.


                                                                             15
The aggregate crop amounts used to determine residue feed                     included using where possible, regional rather than global averages
availability are now explicitly calculated from production                    for countries where explicit NAI estimates are lacking. The global
quantities of each aggregate category’s constituent crop products.            average NAI is now calculated from national figures, rather than
This eliminates some potential for double-counting.                           being reported independently. This has brought greater consistency
                                                                              between countries’ forest biocapacity and Footprint estimates.
A conversion factor between wet and dry weight for cropped grass
feed has been removed after a review of reported yields in the                Carbon Uptake Land Updates
ProdSTAT database indicated that no such conversion is necessary.
                                                                              In the NFA 2010, there were five substantial revisions
It is worth noting that the removal of the “Other Wooded Land”                to the carbon Footprint calculations:
category described below affects the grazing land Footprint by
reducing many countries’ grazing land Footprints of production.                •	    Use of CO2 intensity of total primary energy supply,
This is due to the fact that the current calculation method does                     rather than only heat and electricity generation;
not allow EFp for grazing to exceed biocapacity in the Footprint               •	    Calculation of country-specific CO2 intensities for energy
algorithm (assuming that this is physically not possible).                           supply, as a weighted average of production and imports;
In the NFA 2010, three additional revisions                                    •	    Inclusion of electricity trade using IEA data;
were made to the Accounts:
                                                                               •	    Allocation of international transport emissions (“bunker
 •	    Expansion of livestock feed commodities to include                            fuels”) according to each country’s imports as a fraction of
       fish and other animal products fed to livestock;                              total global trade in units of mass (in the 2009 edition this
 •	    Inclusion of livestock and fish food aid shipments; and                       was a “tax” applied to each country’s production); and

 •	    Revision of the livestock constants for live weight                     •	    Calculation of embodied energy values for the 625
       and total feed requirement that are used to calculate                         UN COMTRADE commodities were estimated using
       the Footprint of trade due to a mismatch between                              data fromthe University of Bath Inventory of Carbon
       annual feed and total feed requirement.                                       and Energy, Thormark 2002, Interfacultaire Vakgroep
                                                                                     Energie en Milieukunde Energy Analysis Program
Fishing Grounds Updates                                                              1999, EAP, and a collection of data from SEI-York.
The FAO FishSTAT database does not report trade in fish                       In the NFA 2009, there were two minor adjustments to the
commodities prior to 1976. In the NFA 2008, trade in fish                     carbon Footprint calculation: the CO2 intensity time series
commodities prior to 1976 was simply omitted. In the 2009                     estimation has been imputed by following the % change in
Edition of the NFA, we have used COMTRADE data to extrapolate                 the most closely correlated countries, and the list of traded
these trade flows back to the start of our time series (1961).                commodities is now somewhat more comprehensive.
The list of fish species considered in the Footprint of                       Intensities of The Total Primary Energy Supply prior to 1971
production calculation has grown somewhat, as the number                      have been recalculated, using the change in intensity for those
of reported species has grown, and estimates of average                       individual countries that do have historical data available as a
trophic level have been collected for more species.                           proxy for the change in global intensity. The algorithm used for
                                                                              the 2010 accounts was thus: for each country missing a complete
The exports yield for each fish commodity is calculated as the
                                                                              time series, we took the 3 most closely correlated countries (in
weighted average of domestic catch and imports. The catch
                                                                              terms of % change in the parts of the time series that overlapped)
intensity for each commodity is now based on the effective
                                                                              and used the average % change in these to extrapolate back.
trophic level across a country’s catch of several species, rather
than global constants based on the trophic levels of individual               Traded goods which are reported in units other than mass
species. The formula for effective trophic level has also been                (e.g. number or volume) are now included in the embodied
revised to reflect the exponential relation between fish trophic              carbon import and export calculations, since for these items
levels and Footprint intensities (see guidebook for details).                 a traded mass is usually provided as a secondary measure.
In the NFA 2010, fishmeal and fish oil production and trade, and of           Land Cover Updates
aquaculture, were included and the fish commodity extraction rates
were revised to include species-specific extraction rates for all species.    In the NFA 2010, CORINE Land Cover 2006 was included and
                                                                              the CORINE Land Cover and NFA correspondence was revised.
Forest Land Updates                                                           In the NFA 2009, the following revisions were made:
The calculation of national net annual increments (NAI) was refined
                                                                              For European countries, the 2008 Edition of the NFA used
for the 2009 Edition of the National Footprint Accounts. Refinement


                                                                         16
the CLC 2000 dataset for areas under various land cover.
     In the 2009 Edition, CLC data for 1990 has been added,
     with areas interpolated between 1990 and 2000. For years
     outside this range, the change in area reported in the FAO
     data has been used to scale the CLC reported areas.
     The equivalence factor calculation has been improved slightly.
     In previous editions, the equivalence factors shifted abruptly
     between 1991 and 1992, primarily due to a difference in various
     land cover areas reported by the USSR and those reported by
     former Soviet countries. To address this, the 1991 USSR areas
     have been scaled to match the aggregate areas reported by all
     former Soviet countries in 1992. The percent change in reported
     USSR areas is then applied to the USSR 1991 estimate to create
     a consistent time series. In addition, the distribution of GAEZ
     suitability indices in the USSR was calculated, based on the
     distributions reported for the former Soviet Republics. This leads
Ecological Footprint (in number of of Earths)




                                                1.5            National Footprint Accounts 2010
                                                               National Footprint Accounts 2009


                                                1.0




                                                0.5




                                                0.0
                                                 1960   1965    1970   1975   1980   1985   1990   1995   2000   2005

                                                          Figure 2. Comparison of global results

     to greater inter-annual consistency in the equivalence factors.
     The land cover category “Other Wooded Land,” previously
     included as a subcategory of grazing land, has been removed.
     This category is no longer reported in any available FAO dataset,
     and in at least some cases it appears to be double counting
     areas already reported in other FAO land use categories.




                                                                                                                        17
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Ecological footprint atlas_2010

  • 1. ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT ATLAS 2010 13 OCTOBER, 2010 GLOBAL FOOTPRINT NETWORK
  • 2. AUTHORS: Brad Ewing David Moore Steven Goldfinger Anna Oursler Anders Reed Mathis Wackernagel Designers: Nora Padula Anna Oursler Brad Ewing Suggested Citation: Ewing B., D. Moore, S. Goldfinger, A. Oursler, A. Reed, and M. Wackernagel. 2010. The Ecological Footprint Atlas 2010. Oakland: Global Footprint Network. The Ecological Footprint Atlas 2010 builds on previous versions of the Atlas from 2008 and 2009. The designations employed and the presentation of materials in the The Ecological Footprint Atlas 2010 do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of Global Footprint Network or its partner organizations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city, or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. For further information, please contact: Global Footprint Network 312 Clay Street, Suite 300 Oakland, CA 94607-3510 USA Phone: +1.510.839.8879 E-mail: data@footprintnetwork.org Website: http://www.footprintnetwork.org Published in October 2010 by Global Footprint Network, Oakland, California, United States of America. © text and graphics: 2010 Global Footprint Network. All rights reserved. Any reproduction in full or in part of this pub- lication must mention the title and credit the aforementioned publisher as the copyright owner.
  • 3. Table of Contents Foreword 5 Rethinking Wealth in a Resource-Constrained World /5 The Role of Metrics /5 Seizing the Opportunity /6 National Footprint Accounts 8 Ecological Footprint and Biocapacity /8 History of the Ecological Footprint, Biocapacity, and the National Footprint Accounts /9 Linking the National Footprint Accounts with Ecosystem Services /10 Calculation Methodology: National Footprint Accounts 11 Ecological Footprint Assessment /11 Consumption, Production, and Trade /12 Land Area Types of the National Footprint Accounts /13 Cropland Grazing land Forest for timber and fuelwood Fishing ground Built-up land Forest for carbon dioxide uptake Normalizing Bioproductive Areas – From Hectares to Global Hectares /14 Methodology Updates between the 2008 and 2010 Edition of National Footprint Accounts 15 General Updates /15 Cropland Updates /15 Grazing Land/Livestock Updates /15 Fishing Grounds Updates /16 Forest Land Updates /16 Carbon Uptake Land Updates /16 Land Cover Updates /16 Global Results from the National Footprint Accounts 18
  • 4. The Global Context /18 Human Development and the Ecological Footprint /21 Factors in Determining Biocapacity and Ecological Footprint /23 Population Affluence: Consumption Per Person Technology: Resource and Waste Intensity Ecological Footprint of Income Groups /26 Ecological Footprint by Land Use Type and Income Group /27 World Maps /32 Regional Results from the National Footprint Accounts 39 Africa /40 Asia /48 Europe /56 Latin America and the Carribean /64 North America /72 Oceania /80 Account Templates and Guidebook 88 What information is in the Guidebook? /88 Limitations of the Ecological Footprint Method 90 Limitations of Scope: What the Footprint Does Not Measure /90 Limitations of Current Methodology and Data: What the Footprint Does Not Measure Well /90 Potential Errors in Implementation /91 Interpreting the Footprint: What the Results Mean /92 Quality Assurance Procedures for Raw Data and Results 93 Country-Specific Adaptations of the National Footprint Accounts /93 Missing Data /93
  • 5. Standards and National Footprint Accounts Committees 94 Regular Review /94 Future Standardization Plans /94 Ecological Footprint Standards Committee /94 National Footprint Accounts Review Committee /94 Progress on the Research Agenda To Improve the National Footprint Accounts 95 Detailed Written Documentation /95 Trade /95 Equivalence Factors /96 Nuclear Footprint /96 Carbon Footprint /96 Emissions from Non-Fossil Fuels and Gas Flaring /96 Fisheries Yields /96 Constant Yield Calculations /96 Policy Linkages and Institutional Context /97 Research Collaborations 98 Frequently Asked Questions 100 Glossary 103 References 107 Sources for the National Footprint Accounts 110 Global Footprint Network Partner Organizations 111 Acknowledgements 111
  • 6. List of Abbreviations BC Biological capacity CO2 Carbon dioxide CLC CORINE Land Cover COICOP Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose CORINE Coordinate Information on the Environment DG ENV Directorate General Environment of the European Commission EC European Commission EE-MRIO Environmentally Extended Multi-Region Input-Output (analysis/model) EEA European Environment Agency EF Ecological Footprint EFC Ecological Footprint of consumption EFE Ecological Footprint of exports EFI Ecological Footprint of imports EFP Ecological Footprint of production EQF Equivalence Factor EXIOPOL Environmental Accouting Framework Using Externality Data and Input-Output Tools for Policy Analysis GAEZ Global-Agro Ecological Zones GDP Gross Domestic Product GFN Global Footprint Network GNI Gross National Income GTAP Global Trade Analysis Project HANPP Human Appropriation of Net Primary Production HDR Human Development Report HDI Human Development Index HS Harmonized System Commodity Classification IEA International Energy Agency IFPRI International Food Policy Research Institute IO Input-Output Analysis (analysis/table) IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ISEAL International Social and Environmental Accreditation and Labelling LCA Life Cycle Assessment MFA Materal Flow Analysis/Accounting NAMEA National Accounting Matrix including Environmental Accounts NFA National Footprint Accounts NPP Net Primary Production OECD Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development PIOT Physical Input-Output Table PPR Primary Production Rate SCP Sustainable Consumption and Production SEEA System of Economic and Environmental Accounts SITC Standard Industrial Trade Classification SNA System of National Accounts UN COMTRADE United Nations database on the trade of commodities UN FAO United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization YF Yield factor
  • 7. Foreword and services that promote well-being without draining resources will play a key role in this effort. Cities, regions, or countries that Rethinking Wealth in a Resource-Constrained are not able to provide a high quality of life on a low Footprint World will be at a disadvantage in a resource-constrained future. Access to ecosystem services will become an ever more critical Without significant change, countries that depend extensively upon factor for economic success and resilience in the 21st century. The ecological resources from abroad will become particularly vulnerable reason is simple: current trends are moving us closer to a new era to supply chain disruptions, and to rising costs for greenhouse gas of peak energy and climate change. These effects will combine with emissions and waste disposal. At the same time, countries and states food shortages, biodiversity loss, depleted fisheries, soil erosion and with sufficient ecological reserves to balance their own consumption freshwater stress to create a global supply-demand crunch of essential or even export resources will be at a competitive advantage. This resources. Humanity is already in “overshoot,” using more resources also holds true for cities and communities such as BedZed in the than Earth can renew. Overshoot can persist for some time, since UK and Masdar in the UAE, which can operate on small Ecological the human economy can deplete stocks and fill waste sinks. But Footprints, and are more likely to be able to maintain or even improve eventually, this overshoot will be felt more widely, making apparent the well-being of their residents. For this reason, Ecuador in 2009 the emergence of a “peak everything” world (Heinberg 2007). has made it a national goal to move out of its ecological deficit. In spite of the economic shock waves since October 2008, most The political challenge is to demonstrate that this is not an economic recovery efforts are cementing the past resource trends. “inconvenient truth” to be resisted, but rather a critical issue that The massive stimulus efforts of OECD countries were not used to demands bold action in the direct self-interest of nations and decrease economies’ structural dependence on resource throughput cities. It is a case of pure economics: Prosperity and well-being will and ecological services. In addition, demand for resources continues to not be possible without preserving access to the basic ecological increase in other large economies, including China, India and Brazil. resources and services that sustain our economy, and all of life. Unabated overshoot could have dramatic consequences for all those economies. Further degradation of the Earth’s capacity to generate resources, continuing accumulation of greenhouse gases and other The Role of Metrics wastes, make likely shortage, or even collapse, of critical ecosystems. Without a way of comparing the demand on ecological services to But this path is not unavoidable. The good news is that local solutions the available supply, it is easy for policy makers to ignore the threat need not wait for a global consensus. While the current climate of overshoot, and remain entangled in ideological debates over the debate assumes that those who act first may be at a competitive “affordability of sustainability”. Clear metrics can help change these disadvantage, the opposite is often true. Acting aggressively now ideological debates into discussions based on empirical facts. This to implement sustainable solutions will reward the pioneers will lead to an understanding of what the real risks are, and facilitate with lower resource costs, greater resiliency in the face of supply building consensus over the actions needed to address them. chain perturbations and better positioning to take advantage of opportunities presented by a rapidly changing economy. The Ecological Footprint was developed over 15 years ago to help provide just such a metric. Since that time, it has become an Many opinion leaders are trapped in the misconception that increasingly mature and robust way of capturing human demand advancing sustainability is detrimental to the economy, an on nature. But its evolution is not yet complete. With growing expense that will only be affordable at some later date. Rather, in recognition of the value of this metric and its adoption by more a time of global overshoot, investing in aggressive sustainability governments and businesses, it has become clear that development policies will become an ever more significant competitiveness of the Ecological Footprint needs to be significantly accelerated. driver. Countries putting off change until later will be unprepared for the challenges of a “peak everything” world. In 2003, Global Footprint Network was established to address this need. In addition to improving the scientific rigor and transparency Resource accounting is therefore as vital to the self-interest of of the Ecological Footprint methodology, this international NGO any country, state, or city as is financial accounting. In an age of works to promote a sustainable economy by making ecological limits growing resource scarcity, the wealth of nations increasingly will be central to decision-making. The organization’s mission is to assure defined in terms of who has ecological assets, and who does not. human well-being by ending overshoot, decreasing pressure on Adjusting economies and their infrastructure to this new economic critical ecosystems so they remain robust while continuing to provide “truth” will take time, making it urgent to begin as quickly as humanity with essential ecological services. Global Footprint Network possible. Strategies will need to be simultaneously put in place to works to achieve this mission by advancing the Ecological Footprint better manage and protect ecological reserves while minimizing or in collaboration with approximately 100 partner organizations reducing a nation’s demand on ecosystem services — its “Ecological that comprise the network. It coordinates research, develops Footprint”. Stimulating and supporting technological innovations methodological standards, and provides decision makers with extensive 5
  • 8. resource accounts to help the human economy operate within the including planning for a low-carbon future; Earth’s ecological limits. At the heart of this effort are the National • Further innovation that maintains or improves quality of Footprint Accounts, which provide a detailed accounting of ecological life while reducing dependence on ecological capacity. resource demand and supply for all nations with populations over 1 • Leverage trade opportunities to: million. Results of the 2010 Edition of the Accounts are summarized in this report, and some of their implications are explored. As you • Create a strong trade position for exports by will notice, the 2010 Accounts feature a number of improvements better understanding who has ecological reserves aimed at making the results more accurate. Some of the improvements and who does not, and what the trends are; emerged from our research collaborations with countries from • Minimize and prioritize external resource needs. around the world. Others responded to issues raised by major reviews • Create a baseline for setting goals and monitoring progress as the one from DG Environment of the European Commission toward lasting and sustainable economic development. Guide (2008) or President Sarkozy’s Stiglitz Commission (2009). investment in infrastructure that is both efficient in its use Global Footprint Network and its partners alone cannot of resources, and resilient if supply disruptions materialize. bring about the shift to a sustainable economy. All the key • Provide a complementary metric to GDP that can help lead stakeholders—especially nations, international agencies, regions to a new way of gauging human progress and development. and companies—need to engage, for it is they who are at ever- increasing risk if they cannot monitor their ecological performance. Seizing the Opportunity One thing is clear: As natural capital becomes scarcer than financial In a new era of resource constraints, new tools are needed for capital, good governance will depend on resource accounts such securing economic success and resilience. The good news is that as the Ecological Footprint as much as it depends on Gross with Ecological Footprint accounting, we now can track something Domestic Product (GDP) and other financial accounts. we did not see before—the extent to which we are overdrawing our In an increasingly resource-constrained world, it is a government’s ecological accounts, and how far we are away from rebalancing this fiduciary responsibility to know how much ecological capacity it has budget. This information provides a hopeful perspective, suggesting and how much it is using. Global Footprint Network, therefore, is that even working with what we have now, it is well within our working to have national governments institutionalize the Ecological ability to secure long-term well-being for all of society. In addition, Footprint metric, and use it as an indicator for planning and policy future-proofing our economies and refocusing our investment decisions in parallel with financial indicators such as GDP. While efforts can have tremendous payback. Sustainability doesn’t simply this particular effort focuses on nations and their administrations, mean robust ecosystems, it ensures a long-term revenue stream the goal will not be achievable without active participation for pioneer investors, those with the foresight to plan and make by the business sector, civil society and academic institutions. changes now to prepare for future resource constraints. In fact, if Therefore, the Network is working with these entities as well. we reverse population trends, improve resource efficiency measures, Use of the Footprint by National Governments sufficiently reduce consumption and better manage our ecological assets to increase yields, then demand will no longer exceed supply. As an initial step in working with a national government, Global If we end overshoot, resource constraints by definition disappear. Footprint Network invites the country to collaboratively review the underlying data in its National Footprint Accounts for accuracy and This is the message Global Footprint Network is committed to completeness. This due diligence helps ensure that the Footprint promoting. The Ecological Footprint communicates the challenges results for that country are valid and reliable, and also increases of a resource-constrained world. At the same time, it invites the reliability and robustness of the Footprint methodology for people to participate and figure out solutions themselves. They all nations. The verified national results can then be put to use by can set themselves targets that people and organizations can both the government for a wide variety of purposes, including to: understand and invest in. Showing how such targets serve those pioneer nations’ and cities’ self-interest has a catalytic effect. • Create an enhanced understanding of the country’s By preparing oneself for a resource constrained world, one also Ecological Footprint and biocapacity. Specifically, this can: makes the global community more resilient to potential outfalls • Identify resource constraints and dependencies; of overshoot. Let’s take advantage of this double dividend. • Recognize resource opportunities (e.g. forests). • Explore policy creation to: Mathis Wackernagel, PhD • Protect national interests and leverage President existing opportunities; Global Footprint Network Revised in October 2010 • Bring the economy in line with global limits, 6
  • 9. 7
  • 10. National Footprint Accounts we need robust natural capital accounts (Dietz and Neumayer 2007). These Accounts must be able to assess both human demand In recent years, much of the discussion on finite global resources on ecological assets, as well as the ability of these assets to meet this has focused on the depletion of non-renewable resources, such demand. We cannot make meaningful decisions about where we need as petroleum. However, it is increasingly evident that renewable to go before we know where we stand. Just as national governments resources, and the ecosystem services they provide, are also at great currently use gross domestic product (GDP) as a benchmark to gauge or even greater risk (UNEP 2007, WRI 2007, UNDP 2008, UNEP economic performance, natural capital accounts allow governments 2007, World Bank 2000, Millennium Ecosystem Assessment 2005). to gauge their ecological performance (Stiglitz Report, 2009). The Global economies depend on the biosphere for a steady supply of the National Footprint Accounts provide such accounting, allowing a basic requirements for life: food, energy, fiber, waste sinks, and other direct comparison of demand on and supply of ecological assets that life-support services. Any depletion of these services is particularly identify when limits have been transgressed. The National Footprint risky since human demand for them is still growing, which can Accounts utilize global datasets to measure the biocapacity and accelerate the rate at which natural assets are liquidated. Out of this Ecological Footprint of 240 countries, territories, and regions from concern, the sustainability proposition emerges. Sustainability is a 1961 to 2007. Results in the National Footprint Accounts consist simple idea. It is based on the recognition that when resources are of more than 800,000 data points that are calculated utilizing more consumed faster than they are renewed, or wastes emitted faster than 50 million source data points from databases such as UN than they are absorbed, the resources are depleted and eventually FAOSTAT, UN Comtrade, and OECD International Energy Agency. exhausted, and wastes are no longer sequestered and converted back into resources fast enough to prevent accumulation in the biosphere. Ecological Footprint and Biocapacity The elimination of essential renewable resources is fundamentally The Ecological Footprint is a measure of the demand human problematic, as substitution can be expensive or impossible, especially activity puts on the biosphere. More precisely, it measures the when the problem is global in scale. When humanity’s ecological amount of biologically productive land and water area required demands in terms of resource consumption and waste absorption to produce all the resources an individual, population, or activity exceed what nature can supply, this ecological “overshoot” is a consumes, and to absorb the waste they generate, given prevailing critical threat to society’s well-being. Just as constant erosion of technology and resource management practices. This area can then business capital weakens an enterprise, ecological overshoot erodes be compared with biological capacity (biocapacity), the amount of the planet’s “natural capital”, our ultimate means of livelihood. productive area that is available to generate these resources and to absorb the waste. If a land or water area provides more than one of The debate over how to make the human enterprise sustainable these services it is only counted once, so as not to exaggerate the has accelerated since the widely cited Brundtland Report from amount of productive area actually available. Land and water area is the UN World Commission on Environment and Development scaled according to its biological productivity. This scaling makes it was released over two decades ago (UN 1987). The Commission possible to compare ecosystems with differing bioproductivity and defined sustainable development as that which “meets the needs of in different areas of the world in the same unit, a global hectare. A the present without compromising the ability of future generations global hectare represents a hectare with world average productivity. to meet their own needs” (UN 1987). This definition recognized that the goal of rewarding lives for all people on the planet requires Ecological Footprint and biocapacity accounting is based that ecosystems be able to continuously supply the resources and on six fundamental assumptions (Wackernagel 2002): waste absorption services necessary for society to flourish. 1. The majority of the resources people or activities For sustainable development to go from concept to action, it consume and the wastes they generate can be tracked. needs to become specific and accountable. The “ability of future 2. Most of these resource and waste flows can be measured generations to meet their own needs” cannot be directly measured in terms of the biologically productive area necessary to because we cannot know how many people there will be in future maintain them. Resource and waste flows that cannot be generations, and what their needs will be. But some of the underlying measured in terms of biologically productive area are excluded conditions that must be met if this development is to become a from the assessment, leading to a systematic underestimate reality can be specified. If possibilities for future generations are not of the total demand these flows place on ecosystems. to be diminished, the most fundamental condition is that we not erode, but rather protect, the ecological wealth of the biosphere. 3. By scaling each area in proportion to its bioproductivity, different types of areas can be converted into the common With natural capital at the foundation of every value chain, tracking unit of average bioproductivity, the global hectare. This the health of ecological assets is critical for sustainable development. unit is used to express both Footprint and biocapacity. Regardless of whether the goal is to maintain existing assets, or to ensure that the loss of one form of assets is compensated by another, 4. Because a global hectare of demand represents a particular use 8
  • 11. that excludes any other use tracked by the Footprint, and all The Footprint has been applied in a wide variety of ways. It can global hectares in any single year represent the same amount of provide a global perspective on the current extent of ecological bioproductivity, they can be summed. Together, they represent overshoot, as well as a more localized perspective on city and the aggregate demand or Ecological Footprint. In the same way, regional resource issues. Global and national accounts have been each hectare of productive area can be scaled according to its reported in headlines worldwide, and over 100 cities or regions bioproductivity and then added up to calculate biocapacity. have assessed their Ecological Footprint. In the United States, for example, Sonoma County, California’s Footprint project “Time 5. As both are expressed in global hectares, human demand (as to Lighten Up” inspired every city in the county to join the measured by Ecological Footprint accounts) can be directly Climate Saver Initiative of the International Council for Local compared to global, regional, national, or local biocapacity. Environmental Initiatives (ICLEI) (Redefining Progress 2002). 6. Area demanded can exceed the area available. If demand At the national level, by 2003 Wales had adopted the Ecological on a particular ecosystem exceeds that ecosystem’s Footprint as its headline indicator for sustainability. The Swiss regenerative capacity, the ecological assets are being government has incorporated the Footprint into the nation’s diminished. For example, people can temporarily demand sustainable development plan. Japan includes the Footprint resources from forests or fisheries faster than they can as a measure in its Environmental Plan. Among NGOs, be renewed, but the consequences are smaller stocks WWF International, one of the world’s most influential in that ecosystem. When the human demand exceeds conservation organizations, uses the Ecological Footprint in its available biocapacity, this is referred to as overshoot. communication and policy work for advancing conservation Ecological Footprint Analysis tracks the regenerative capacity of and sustainability. WWF recently established a target of an ecosystem in terms of historical flows of natural resources. bringing humanity out of overshoot by 2050, and is actively A “flow” corresponds to an amount per time unit, for instance, pursuing this goal through its “One Planet” programs. the number of tonnes of roundwood grown in a given area over Country-level Footprint assessments have been completed for a one-year period. A “stock” is the standing balance of resources many countries, with some countries analyzed multiple times at any specific time, for instance, the tonnes of roundwood under different methods (Wackernagel and Rees 1996, Bicknell available for harvest in a hectare of forest at the end of a given et al. 1998, Fricker 1998, Simpson et al. 2000, van Vuuren and year. The National Footprint Accounts capture flows rather than Smeets 2000, Ferng 2001, Haberl et al. 2001, Lenzen and Murray stocks, and thus do not specify when overshoot will result in the 2001, 2003, McDonald and Patterson 2004, Monfreda et al. 2004, total depletion of accumulated resources in an ecosystem. Bagliani et al. 2005, Medved 2006, Venetoulis and Talberth 2007, Humanity is using the regenerative capacity of the Earth each World Wildlife Fund for Nature, Global Footprint Network, and year—the flow of resources—while at the same time eating into Zoological Society of London 2006). Since UN agencies collect the standing stock of resources that has been building over time and publish national data sets and advance the standardization of and accumulating waste in the environment. This process reduces such reporting across the world, and these data sets form the basis our ability to harvest resources at the same rate in the future and of the National Footprint Accounts, country-level calculations leads to ecological overshoot and possible ecosystem collapse. are more directly comparable than assessments at other scales. For instance, only country-level statistics systematically document History of the Ecological Footprint, Biocapacity, production, imports, and export. Therefore, the national Ecological and the National Footprint Accounts Footprint results serve as the basis of all other Footprint analyses . The Ecological Footprint concept was created by Mathis Wackernagel With a growing number of government agencies, organizations and and William Rees at the University of British Columbia in the communities adopting the Ecological Footprint as a core indicator early 1990’s (Wackernagel 1991, Rees 1992, Wackernagel 1994, of sustainable resource use, and the number of Ecological Footprint Rees 1996, Wackernagel and Rees 1996). Responding to then- practitioners around the world increasing, different approaches current debates surrounding carrying capacity (e.g., Meadows to conducting Footprint studies could lead to fragmentation 1972, Ehrlich 1982, Tiezzi 1984, 1996, Brown and Kane 1994), and divergence of the methodology. This would reduce the Ecological Footprint accounting was designed to represent human ability of the Footprint to produce consistent and comparable consumption of biological resources and generation of wastes in results across applications, and could generate confusion. terms of appropriated ecosystem area, which could then be compared to the biosphere’s productive capacity in a given year. In focusing The value of the Footprint as a sustainability metric depends not only on bioproductive area and on resources presently extracted and only on the scientific integrity of the methodology, but also on wastes presently generated, the method provided a focused historical consistent application of this methodology across analyses. It also assessment of human demand on the biosphere and the biosphere’s depends on results of analyses being communicated in a manner that ability to meet those specific demands (Wackernagel et al 1999a). does not distort or misrepresent findings. To address these needs, 9
  • 12. Global Footprint Network initiated a consensus, committee-based A third framework to analyzing and valuing ecosystem services process for ongoing scientific review of the methodology, and for is the System of Integrated Environmental and Economic the development of standards governing Footprint applications. Accounting (SEEA). The SEEA categorizes valuation methods into four types: “(1) real costs incurred due to legally binding The National Footprint Accounts Review Committee supports avoidance, compensation or, restoration obligations; (2) continual improvement of the scientific basis of the National expenditure voluntarily undertaken to avoid or limit damage; Footprint Accounts. The Ecological Footprint Standards Committee, (3) people’s “revealed” preferences for obtaining specified comprised of representatives from Global Footprint Network Partner environmental services or amenities; and (4) people’s “stated” Organizations and representing academia, government, NGOs, or hypothetical preferences as elicited through contingent and consulting firms, issued the Ecological Footprint Standards 2009 valuation (that is, willingness to pay or willingness to accept (Global Footprint Network, 2009). The Standards build on the enquiries)” (SEEA 2003). Ecological Footprint Standards 2006 and are designed to ensure that Footprint assessments are produced consistently and according Human well-being requires, in part, the material consumption to community-proposed best practices. They aim to ensure that of provisioning services provided by the ecosystem. The assessments are conducted and communicated in a way that is figure below provides an overview of the biodiversity- accurate and transparent, by providing standards and guidelines supported ecosystem services that improve human well- on such issues as use of source data, derivation of conversion being. The biocapacity indicator within the National factors, establishment of study boundaries, and communication Footprint Accounts quantifies some of the flows within the of findings. The Standards are applicable to all Footprint studies, provisioning services, including food, fiber, and timber. including sub-national populations, products, and organizations. Land explicitly set aside to uptake carbon dioxide emissions could also be measured within the National Footprint Linking the National Footprint Accounts with Accounts and would provide a regulating ecosystem service. Ecosystem Services The notion that the human economy is a subset of the surrounding ecology is integral to identifying the economic Human well-being Security, material needs, health, social relations, etc. linkages between nature, human activities, and biodiversity. Various initiatives are currently underway to analyze the economic benefits of biodiversity and weigh the costs of Provisioning Ecosystem Services Food, fiber, timber, effective policies against resulting deceleration of biodiversity medicines, water, air, etc. loss. One of the more ambitious projects is the Millennium Cultural Ecotourism, spiritual, ethics, etc. Ecosystem Assessment, which categorizes three types of Regulating ecosystem services: (1) provisioning (e.g. of food, fresh Climate, flood protection, etc. water, wood and fiber, fuel, etc.), (2) regulating (e.g. climate Supporting Habitat provision, regulation, flood regulation, disease regulation, water ecosystem processes, etc. purification, etc.), and (3) cultural (e.g. aesthetic, spiritual, educational, recreational, etc.) (MA 2005). In this context, the biocapacity and Ecological Footprint indicators focus Biodiversity on the biomass-based flows of the ecosystem’s provisioning Species richness, species rarity, biomass density, primary productivity, and genetic diversity services and the waste uptake of its regulating services. Examples of the services quantified in the National Footprint Accounts include provisioning of food, fiber, and timber, and uptake of carbon dioxide by forests and oceans. The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB) is another ambitious project that reviews the science and economics of ecosystems and biodiversity and includes a valuation framework to improve policy decision-making. This TEEB 2009 report for policymakers identified five important dimensions of biodiversity in the context of the supporting, regulating, provisioning, and cultural ecosystem services they provide for human well-being: (1) species richness, (2) species rarity, (3) biomass density, (4) primary productivity, and (5) genetic diversity (TEEB 2009). 10
  • 13. Calculation Methodology: National expressing all results in a common unit, biocapacity and Footprints can be directly compared across land use types and countries. Footprint Accounts Demand for resource production and waste assimilation are The National Footprint Accounts track countries’ use of ecological translated into global hectares by dividing the total amount of services and resources as well as the biocapacity available in each a resource consumed by the yield per hectare, or dividing the country. As with any resource accounts, they are static, quantitative waste emitted by the absorptive capacity per hectare. Yields are descriptions of outcomes, for any given year in the past for which calculated based on various international statistics, primarily those data exist. The detailed calculation methodology of the most from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization updated Accounts are described in Calculation Methodology for (FAO ResourceSTAT Statistical Databases). Yields are mutually the National Footprint Accounts, 2010 Edition (Ewing et al. 2010). exclusive: If two crops are grown at the same time on the same The implementation of the National Footprint Accounts through hectare, one portion of the hectare is assigned to one crop, and the database-supported templates is described in the Guidebook to remainder to the other. This avoids double counting. This follows the National Footprint Accounts 2010 (Kitzes et al. 2010). the same logic as measuring the size of a farm: Each hectare is only The National Footprint Accounts aim to: counted once, even though it might provide multiple services. • Provide a scientifically robust and transparent The Ecological Footprint, in its most basic form, calculation of the demands placed by different nations is calculated by the following equation: on the regenerative capacity of the biosphere; DANNUAL • Build a reliable and consistent method that EF = Y ANNUAL allows for international comparisons of nations’ demands on global regenerative capacity; • Produce information in a format that is useful for developing where D is the annual demand of a product and Y is the annual yield policies and strategies for living within biophysical limits; and of the same product. Yield is expressed in global hectares. The way global hectares are calculated is explained in more detail below after • Generate a core dataset that can be used as the basis the various area types are introduced. But in essence, global hectares of sub-national Ecological Footprint analyses, such as are estimated with the help of two factors: the yield factors (that those for provinces, states, businesses, or products. compare national average yield per hectare to world average yield in The National Footprint Accounts, 2010 Edition calculate the the same land category) and the equivalence factors (which capture the Ecological Footprint and biocapacity for 240 countries, territories, relative productivity among the various land and sea area types). and regions, from 1961 to 2007. Of these 240 countries, Therefore, the formula of the Ecological Footprint becomes: territories, and regions, 153 were covered consistently by the UN statistical system and other source datasets. Data for the latter countries, territories, and regions are included in this report. P EF = ⋅ YF ⋅ EQF YN Ecological Footprint Assessment The National Footprint Accounts, 2010 Edition track human demand where P is the amount of a product harvested or waste emitted (equal for ecological services in terms of six major land use types (cropland, to DANNUAL above), YN is the national average yield for P, and YF grazing land, forest land, carbon Footprint, fishing grounds, and built- and EQF are the yield factor and equivalence factor, respectively, up land). With the exception of built-up land and forest for carbon for the country and land use type in question. The yield factor is dioxide uptake, the Ecological Footprint of each major land use type the ratio of national-to world-average yields. It is calculated as the is calculated by summing the contributions of a variety of specific annual availability of usable products and varies by country and year. products. Built-up land reflects the bioproductivity compromised by Equivalence factors trasnlate the area supplied or demanded of a infrastructure and hydropower. Forest land for carbon dioxide uptake specific land use type (e.g. world average cropland, grazing land, etc.) represents the waste absorption of a world average hectare of forest into units of world average biologically productive area: global hectares needed to absorb human induced carbon dioxide emissions, after and varies by land use type and year. having considered the ocean sequestration capacity. Annual demand for manufactured or derivative products (e.g. The Ecological Footprint calculates the combined demand for flour or wood pulp), is converted into primary product equivalents ecological resources wherever they are located and presents them as (e.g. wheat or roundwood) through the use of extraction rates. the global average area needed to support a specific human activity. These quantities of primary product equivalents are then translated This quantity is expressed in units of global hectares, defined as into an Ecological Footprint. The Ecological Footprint also hectares of bioproductive area with world average bioproductivity. By embodies the energy required for the manufacturing process. 11
  • 14. Consumption, Production, and Trade The National Footprint Accounts, 2010 Edition track the embodied Ecological Footprint of over 700 categories of The National Footprint Accounts calculate the Footprint of a traded crop, forest, livestock, and fish products. The embodied population from a number of perspectives. Most commonly reported carbon dioxide emissions in 625 categories of products is used is the Ecological Footprint of consumption of a population, typically with trade flows from the United Nation’s COMTRADE just called Ecological Footprint. The Ecological Footprint of database (UN Commodity Trade Statistics Database 2007) to consumption for a given country measures the biocapacity demanded calculate the embodied carbon Footprint in traded goods. by the final consumption of all the residents of the country. This includes their household consumption as well as their collective Throughout the National Footprint Accounts, the embodied consumption, such as schools, roads, fire brigades, etc., which serve Footprint of trade is calculated assuming world average Footprint the household, but may not be directly paid for by the households. intensities for all products. Using world-average efficiencies for all traded goods is an overestimate of the Footprint of exports for In contrast, a country’s primary production Ecological Footprint is countries with higher-than-average production efficiency. In turn, the sum of the Footprints for all resources harvested and all waste it underestimates that country’s Footprint of consumption. For generated within the country’s geographical borders. This includes countries with below-average transformation efficiencies for secondary all the area within a country necessary for supporting the actual products, the opposite is true: An underestimate of the embodied harvest of primary products (cropland, grazing land, forest land, Footprint of exports yields an exaggerated Footprint of consumption. and fishing grounds), the country’s infrastructure and hydropower (built-up land), and the area needed to absorb fossil fuel carbon The Footprint intensity of any primary product is by dioxide emissions generated within the country (carbon Footprint). definition the same anywhere in the world since it is expressed The difference between the production and consumption Footprint is in global hectares. However, the embodied Footprint of trade, shown by the following equation: secondary products will depend on transformation efficiencies (“extraction rates”), and these vary between countries. Biocapacity Assessment EF C = EF P  EF I − EF E A national biocapacity calculation starts with the total amount of bioproductive land available. “Bioproductive” refers to land and water where EFC is the Ecological Footprint of consumption, EFP is that supports significant photosynthetic activity and accumulation the Ecological Footprint of production, and EFI and EFE are the of biomass, ignoring barren areas of low, dispersed productivity. Footprints of imported and exported commodity flows, respectively. This is not to say that areas such as the Sahara Desert, Antarctica, or In order to measure the Footprint of imports and exports, one Alpine mountaintops do not support life; their production is simply needs to know both the amounts traded as well as the embodied too widespread to be directly harvestable by humans. Biocapacity resources (including carbon dioxide emissions) in all categories. is an aggregated measure of the amount of land available, weighted The embodied Footprint is measured as the number of global by the productivity of that land. It represents the ability of the hectares required to make a tonne per year of a given product. biosphere to produce crops, livestock (pasture), timber products (forest), and fish, as well as to uptake carbon dioxide in forests. It also includes how much of this regenerative capacity is occupied by EFC = EFP + EF I - EFE infrastructure (built-up land). In short, it measures the ability of available terrestrial and aquatic areas to provide ecological services. Global biocapacity A country’s biocapacity for any land use type is calculated as (direct and indirect demand) Exports Imports BC = A ⋅ YF ⋅ EQF Economic System Consumption where BC is the biocapacity, A is the area available for a given land use type, and YF and EQF are the yield factor and equivalence factor, Production CO2 Uptake (Harvest) (Emissions) respectively, for the country land use type in question. The yield factor is the ratio of national to world average yields. It is calculated Domestic Biocapacity Global Biocapacity as the annual availability of usable products and varies by country (direct demand) (indirect demand) and year. Equivalence factors translate the area supplied or demanded of a specific land use type (e.g. world average cropland, grazing land, etc.) into units of world average biologically productive area (global hectares) and varies by land use type and year. 12
  • 15. Land Area Types of the National Footprint with the amount of feed required for the livestock produced in Accounts that year, with the remainder of feed demand assumed to come from grazing land. Since the yield of grazing land represents the The National Footprint Accounts include six main land use amount of above-ground primary production available in a year, types: cropland, grazing land, fishing ground, forests for overshoot is not physically possible over extended periods of timber and fuelwood, forests for carbon dioxide uptake, time for this land use type. For this reason, a country’s grazing and built-up land. For all land use types there is a demand land Footprint of production is capped at its biocapacity. on the area, as well as a supply of such an area. In 2007, the area of biologically productive land and water on Forest for timber and fuelwood Earth was approximately 11.9 billion hectares. World biocapacity The forest Footprint is calculated based on the amount of lumber, is also 11.9 billion global hectares, since the total number of pulp, timber products, and fuelwood consumed by a country on average hectares equals the total number of actual hectares. But the a yearly basis. FAO ResourceSTAT places the total area of world relative area of each land type expressed in global hectares differs forests at 3.9 billion hectares (FAO ResourceSTAT Statistical from the distribution in actual hectares as shown in Figure 1. Database 2007). Estimates of timber productivity are derived from In 2007, the world had 3.9 billion global hectares of cropland the UNEC and FAO “Temperate and Boreal Forest Resource biocapacity as compared to 1.6 billion hectares of cropland area Assessment,” the FAO “Global Fiber Supply Model” and the (Figure 1). This difference is due to the relatively high productivity Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (UNEC, 2000, FAO of cropland compared to other land use types. This is not surprising 2000, FAO 1998, IPCC 2006), and give a world average yield of since cropland typically uses the most suitable and productive land 1.81 m3 of harvestable underbark per hectare per year. These sources areas, unless they have been urbanized. Thus, cropland affords more also provide information on plantation type, coverage, timber biologically productive services to humans than the same physical area yield, and areas of protected and economically inaccessible forest. of other land use types. Fishing ground 12000 The fishing grounds Footprint is calculated using estimates of the 10000 Built-up Land maximum sustainable catch for a variety of fish species (Gulland Area (millions) 8000 Forest Land 1971). The sustainable catch estimates are converted into an Fishing Ground equivalent mass of primary production based on the various species’ 6000 trophic levels. This estimate of maximum harvestable primary Grazing Land 4000 production is then divided amongst the continental shelf areas of Cropland the world. Globally, there were 2.4 billion hectares of continental 2000 shelf and 433 million hectares of inland water areas in 2007 (World 0 Resources Institute and FAO ResourceSTAT Statistical Database Hectares Global hectares 2007). The fishing grounds Footprint is calculated based on the Figure 1. Relative Area of Land Use Types Worldwide estimated primary production required to support the fish caught. in Global Hectares and Hectares, 2007 This primary production requirement (PPR) is calculated from Cropland The above graph will be used on the following pages of the 2010 Atlas: the average trophic level of the species in question. Fish that feed Chapter: Current Methodology, 2010 Edition National Footprint Accounts higher on the food chain (at higher trophic levels) require more Cropland is the(Page 13): Global bioproductive area,land use types most bioproductive of all the 2007 primary production input and as such are associated with a higher and consists of areas used to produce food and fiber for Footprint of consumption. The National Footprint Accounts human consumption, feed for livestock, oil crops, and rubber. include primary production requirement estimates for 1,439 Worldwide in 2007 there were 1.6 billion hectares designated as different marine species and more than 268 freshwater species. cropland (FAO ResourceSTAT Statistical Database 2007); the National Footprint Accounts calculate the cropland Footprint Built-up land according to the production quantities of 164 different crop The built-up land Footprint is calculated based on the area of land categories. Cropland Footprint calculations do not take into covered by human infrastructure — transportation, housing, industrial account the extent to which farming techniques or unsustainable structures, and reservoirs for hydropower. Built-up land occupied agricultural practices cause long-term degradation of soil. 167 million hectares of land worldwide in 2007, according to satellite Grazing land imaging and research data sets (FAO 2005 and IIASA Global Agro- Ecological Zones 2000). It is assumed that built-up land occupies Globally in 2007, there were 3.4 billion hectares of land classified as what was previously cropland. This assumption is based on the theory grazing land. Grazing land is used to raise livestock for meat, dairy, that human settlements are generally situated in highly fertile areas. hide, and wool products. The grazing land Footprint is calculated For lack of data on the types of land inundated, all hydroelectric by comparing the amount of livestock feed available in a country dams are assumed to flood land with global average productivity. 13
  • 16. Forest for carbon dioxide uptake Grazing Fishing Yield Cropland Forest Land Grounds Carbon dioxide emissions, primarily from burning fossil fuels, are the only waste product included in the National Footprint Accounts. On World Average 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 the demand side, the carbon Footprint is calculated as the amount Algeria 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 of forest land required to absorb given carbon emissions. It is the Germany 2.2 4.1 2.2 3.0 largest portion of humanity’s current Footprint – in some countries Hungary 1.1 2.6 1.9 0.0 though, it is a minor contribution to their overall Footprint. Japan 1.3 1.4 2.2 0.8 Jordan 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.7 The first step in calculating the carbon Footprint is to sum the New Zealand 0.7 2.0 2.5 1.0 atmospheric emissions of carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels, Zambia 0.2 0.2 1.5 0.0 land use change (deforestation, for example), and emissions from the international transport of passengers and freight. This total is Table 1: Sample Yield Factors for Selected Countries, 2007. the amount of anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide released into the global atmosphere in a given year. Second, after subtracting the amount of carbon dioxide absorbed by the world’s oceans each Equivalence factors translate a specific land use type (i.e. world year from the anthropogenic total, the remaining carbon dioxide is average cropland, pasture, forest, fishing ground) into a universal translated into the amount of bioproductive forest that would be unit of biologically productive area, a global hectare. In 2007, for needed to store it that year. Since timber harvest leads to a release of example, cropland had an equivalence factor of 2.51 (Table 2), the stocked carbon, using forest land for carbon uptake and using indicating that world-average cropland productivity was more than it for timber or fuel-wood provision are considered to be mutually double the average productivity for all land combined. This same exclusive activities (see forest area for timber and fuelwood). year, grazing land had an equivalence factor of 0.46, showing that grazing land was, on average, half as productive as the world-average Normalizing Bioproductive Areas – From Hectares to Global Hectares bioproductive hectare. The equivalence factor for built-up land is set equal to that for cropland. Equivalence factors are calculated Ecological Footprint results are expressed in a single measurement unit, for every year, and are identical for every country in a given year. the global hectare. To achieve this, Ecological Footprint accounting scales different types of areas to account for productivity differences Area Type Equivalence Factor among land and water use types. Equivalence factors and yield [global hectares per hectare] factors are used to convert actual areas of different land use types (in Cropland 2.51 hectares) into their global hectare equivalents. Equivalence and yield Forest 1.26 factors are applied to both Footprint and biocapacity calculations. Grazing Land 0.46 Yield factors account for differences in productivity of a given land Marine Inland Water 0.37 use type between a country and the global average in this area type. Built-up Land 2.51 A hectare of grazing land in New Zealand, for example, produces more grass on average than a world average grazing land hectare. Table 2: Equivalence Factors, 2007. Inversely, a hectare of grazing land in Jordan produces less. Hence, the New Zealand hectare is potentially capable of supporting more meat production than the global average hectare of grazing land. These differences are driven by natural factors, such as precipitation or soil quality, as well as by management practices. To account for these differences, the yield factor compares the production of a specific land use type in a country to a world average hectare of the same land use type. Each country and each year has its own set of yield factors. For example, Table 1 shows that New Zealand’s grazing land is on average 2.5 times as productive as world average grazing land. The yield factor for built-up land is assumed to be equal that for cropland since urban areas are typically built on or near the most productive cropland areas. 14
  • 17. Methodology Updates between the and food aid shipments. Food aid for cropland, livestock, and fish is now reported separately from other trade, necessitating the addition 2008 and 2010 Edition of National of several worksheets to explicitly calculate the embodied Footprint Footprint Accounts of food aid flows. Since food aid quantities are reported only for A formal process is in place to assure continuous improvement of the aggregate categories, the composition of each country’s domestic National Footprint Accounts (NFA) methodology. Coordinated by production is used to determine the intensity of food aid exports. Global Footprint Network, this process is supported by its partners In the NFA 2008, a world average un-harvested percentage was and by the National Footprint Accounts Committee, as well as other applied to each country’s consumption quantity. This means stakeholders. unharvested crops were added as a universal “tax” to consumed There have been three primary motivations for revisions to the crops. This led to each country’s cropland Footprint of production calculation method of the National Footprint Accounts: (1) to adapt not necessarily equaling its cropland biocapacity as it should, as to changes in the organization of the source data, (2) to respond to well as a slight mismatch between production, trade quantities and issues raised in outside reviews (e.g. Stiglitz Commission, European consumption. Commission reports, etc.), and (3) to increase the specificity and In the NFA 2010, a country specific un-harvested cropland percentage accuracy of the NFA calculations. Many of the changes in the latter has been calculated, and applied to the yield factor calculation, as category focus on incorporating country specific information in modifiers to the respective yields. Specifically, the sum of the land area determining the Footprint intensities of traded goods. harvested for each item in the FAO data base (reported per item with This section describes each of the calculation method changes production) was subtracted from the total area for each land use type implemented since the 2010 Edition of the National Footprint as reported by the FAO. This leads to a globally consistent Footprint/ Accounts. ton for crop products, consistent with products of other land use types, while maintaining the constraint that each country’s cropland General Updates EFp is equal to its BC. The effect is that a larger national un-harvested area percentage appears as a lower biocapacity rather than a higher Since the release of the 2008 NFA, there have been substantial EFp. revisions to some of the FAO datasets the NFA rely on. For example, the product classifications have changed, and in some instances the Grazing Land/Livestock Updates extended HS codes used previously have been replaced entirely by the FAO’s own system of commodity classification. The biggest change in the grazing land and livestock sections is the modification of export intensities to reflect a country’s domestic In many of the datasets used to calculate the NFA Belgium and feed mix. Previously, all traded livestock products were assumed to Luxembourg are reported as an aggregate for most of the time series, embody world average cropland and grazing land demand. In the and are only reported separately after 2000. In past editions, we have 2009 Edition of the NFA, these intensities are modified according scaled the 2000 values for the two countries according to the change to domestic mix and intensity of feed to estimate a country specific in their combined Footprint and biocapacity to approximate a time Footprint intensity of livestock. The exports intensity for livestock series for each prior to 2000. In the 2009 and 2010 Edition of the and livestock products is then calculated as the weighted average NFA we have split the reported production and trade amounts in the of production and imports intensities. This assumes that countries raw data where Belgium and Luxembourg are reported as an aggregate, process some of the livestock that is imported, and export a product using the ratio of their quantities in the earliest year where the two are derived from these imports - as opposed to all imports being reported separately. This is probably more accurate, since the split for consumed within the country (e.g. sausage). Ideally imports would each product is unaffected by the ratios of other products in the same be country specific as well, but as of yet are not calculated similarly. land use category. There have also been several smaller changes: In the NFA 2010, a source data cleaning algorithm was implemented to reduce (1) spikes and troughs and (2) inconsistent reporting of The list of livestock for which feed demand is calculated has source data sets. The algorithm involved interpolation to fill in data been expanded, providing a more comprehensive picture of gaps and to exclude data points that are far out of the expected data each country’s livestock populations and feed intensity. range. In the 2009 edition, the feed intensity for all livestock products were considered to be the weight of feed required for the weight Cropland Updates of product. These ratios were obtained from published data The product lists for crop production and trade have been changed to sources. For the 2010 edition, feed intensities were calculated match changes in the categories reported in FAOSTAT. by accounting for the feed intake requirements and life span of different livestock animals. These feed intensities for animals were Previously, the FAO TradeSTAT database reported the sum of trade then allocated to the products that come from the animals. 15
  • 18. The aggregate crop amounts used to determine residue feed included using where possible, regional rather than global averages availability are now explicitly calculated from production for countries where explicit NAI estimates are lacking. The global quantities of each aggregate category’s constituent crop products. average NAI is now calculated from national figures, rather than This eliminates some potential for double-counting. being reported independently. This has brought greater consistency between countries’ forest biocapacity and Footprint estimates. A conversion factor between wet and dry weight for cropped grass feed has been removed after a review of reported yields in the Carbon Uptake Land Updates ProdSTAT database indicated that no such conversion is necessary. In the NFA 2010, there were five substantial revisions It is worth noting that the removal of the “Other Wooded Land” to the carbon Footprint calculations: category described below affects the grazing land Footprint by reducing many countries’ grazing land Footprints of production. • Use of CO2 intensity of total primary energy supply, This is due to the fact that the current calculation method does rather than only heat and electricity generation; not allow EFp for grazing to exceed biocapacity in the Footprint • Calculation of country-specific CO2 intensities for energy algorithm (assuming that this is physically not possible). supply, as a weighted average of production and imports; In the NFA 2010, three additional revisions • Inclusion of electricity trade using IEA data; were made to the Accounts: • Allocation of international transport emissions (“bunker • Expansion of livestock feed commodities to include fuels”) according to each country’s imports as a fraction of fish and other animal products fed to livestock; total global trade in units of mass (in the 2009 edition this • Inclusion of livestock and fish food aid shipments; and was a “tax” applied to each country’s production); and • Revision of the livestock constants for live weight • Calculation of embodied energy values for the 625 and total feed requirement that are used to calculate UN COMTRADE commodities were estimated using the Footprint of trade due to a mismatch between data fromthe University of Bath Inventory of Carbon annual feed and total feed requirement. and Energy, Thormark 2002, Interfacultaire Vakgroep Energie en Milieukunde Energy Analysis Program Fishing Grounds Updates 1999, EAP, and a collection of data from SEI-York. The FAO FishSTAT database does not report trade in fish In the NFA 2009, there were two minor adjustments to the commodities prior to 1976. In the NFA 2008, trade in fish carbon Footprint calculation: the CO2 intensity time series commodities prior to 1976 was simply omitted. In the 2009 estimation has been imputed by following the % change in Edition of the NFA, we have used COMTRADE data to extrapolate the most closely correlated countries, and the list of traded these trade flows back to the start of our time series (1961). commodities is now somewhat more comprehensive. The list of fish species considered in the Footprint of Intensities of The Total Primary Energy Supply prior to 1971 production calculation has grown somewhat, as the number have been recalculated, using the change in intensity for those of reported species has grown, and estimates of average individual countries that do have historical data available as a trophic level have been collected for more species. proxy for the change in global intensity. The algorithm used for the 2010 accounts was thus: for each country missing a complete The exports yield for each fish commodity is calculated as the time series, we took the 3 most closely correlated countries (in weighted average of domestic catch and imports. The catch terms of % change in the parts of the time series that overlapped) intensity for each commodity is now based on the effective and used the average % change in these to extrapolate back. trophic level across a country’s catch of several species, rather than global constants based on the trophic levels of individual Traded goods which are reported in units other than mass species. The formula for effective trophic level has also been (e.g. number or volume) are now included in the embodied revised to reflect the exponential relation between fish trophic carbon import and export calculations, since for these items levels and Footprint intensities (see guidebook for details). a traded mass is usually provided as a secondary measure. In the NFA 2010, fishmeal and fish oil production and trade, and of Land Cover Updates aquaculture, were included and the fish commodity extraction rates were revised to include species-specific extraction rates for all species. In the NFA 2010, CORINE Land Cover 2006 was included and the CORINE Land Cover and NFA correspondence was revised. Forest Land Updates In the NFA 2009, the following revisions were made: The calculation of national net annual increments (NAI) was refined For European countries, the 2008 Edition of the NFA used for the 2009 Edition of the National Footprint Accounts. Refinement 16
  • 19. the CLC 2000 dataset for areas under various land cover. In the 2009 Edition, CLC data for 1990 has been added, with areas interpolated between 1990 and 2000. For years outside this range, the change in area reported in the FAO data has been used to scale the CLC reported areas. The equivalence factor calculation has been improved slightly. In previous editions, the equivalence factors shifted abruptly between 1991 and 1992, primarily due to a difference in various land cover areas reported by the USSR and those reported by former Soviet countries. To address this, the 1991 USSR areas have been scaled to match the aggregate areas reported by all former Soviet countries in 1992. The percent change in reported USSR areas is then applied to the USSR 1991 estimate to create a consistent time series. In addition, the distribution of GAEZ suitability indices in the USSR was calculated, based on the distributions reported for the former Soviet Republics. This leads Ecological Footprint (in number of of Earths) 1.5 National Footprint Accounts 2010 National Footprint Accounts 2009 1.0 0.5 0.0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Figure 2. Comparison of global results to greater inter-annual consistency in the equivalence factors. The land cover category “Other Wooded Land,” previously included as a subcategory of grazing land, has been removed. This category is no longer reported in any available FAO dataset, and in at least some cases it appears to be double counting areas already reported in other FAO land use categories. 17