SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 56
Baixar para ler offline
The emergence of China:
                     New frontiers in outbound M&A
                     November 2009




Global Chinese Services Group
Contents


2    Foreword

4    Executive summary and methodology

6    China outbound M&A overview
15   China outbound M&A activity into Australia
21   China outbound M&A activity into the US



     Sector focus
27   Automotive
32   Oil and Gas
38   Financial Services
43   Mining



48   Deloitte Global Chinese Services Group overview

50   Deloitte contacts




                           The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A   1
Foreword


     China has truly stepped onto the world stage            Looking forward, Chinese outbound M&A activity
     following the turmoil that afflicted the global         looks likely to continue to move from strength
     financial system in the second half of last year.       to strength over 2010, driven by a largely-
     Nowhere is this more prevalent than in the              unchanged appetite for deal-making in China, as
     Chinese outbound M&A market, where activity             well as relatively attractive valuations for overseas
     remained solid over the first three quarters of         assets. At the same time, Chinese acquirers are
     2009, despite dire market conditions. Indeed,           increasingly examining assets in Europe and
     outbound deal volumes over Q1-Q3 2009                   South America, evidenced by the May 2009
     accounted for 10 percent of overall Chinese M&A         announcement that the China Development Bank
     activity, as well as close to one-quarter of M&A        will lend US$10 billion to Petrobras, the state-
     investment – in comparison, foreign acquisitions        owned Brazilian oil company, in exchange for a
     in 2007 comprised just 8.5 percent over all M&A         guaranteed supply of oil over the next decade.
     volumes and 21 percent of values.                       Furthermore, Chinese authorities are also working
                                                             to strengthen ties with the EU, in order to drive
     With outbound deal activity playing an                  tighter economic integration with the trading
     increasingly important role in determining              bloc as well as gain market economy status,
     the direction of China's overall M&A market,            recognition of which will most likely boost Chinese
     acquisitions of foreign assets have become              acquisitions of European businesses in the future.
     increasingly sophisticated, as well as controversial.
     It therefore comes as no surprise that one-quarter      In order to shed some light on other deal
     of China's 20 largest outbound transactions have        drivers, as well as discuss any potential hurdles
     been announced over the previous three quarters,        that Chinese firms are likely to encounter in the
     with a number of them, such as Yanzhou Coal             future, Deloitte’s Global Chinese Services Group,
     Mining’s US$2.6 billion bid for Australia’s Felix       together with mergermarket, has produced The
     Resources, encountering regulatory delays.              emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound
                                                             M&A, a thought-leadership report which looks to
     At the same time, China’s sovereign wealth              fully illuminate potential Chinese acquirers on the
     fund is also beginning to leave its mark, directly      ins-and-outs of purchasing foreign assets.
     accounting for two multi-billion dollar acquisitions
     since the beginning of 2007 – the US$3 billion
     acquisition of a minority stake in US buyout
     house Blackstone, as well as the US$1.5 billion
     17.2 percent stake purchase in Canada’s Teck
     Resources, announced in July 2009. Public capital
     is also increasingly being utilized to fund outbound
     acquisitions, with the China Development Bank
     recently loaning the state-owned China National
     Petroleum Corporation US$30 billion in order to
     swell its outbound M&A war-chest.




2
The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A   3
Executive summary
and methodology

     Outbound M&A overview                                all outbound M&A transactions and valuations
     Chinese outbound M&A flows (incorporating all        have been for North American targets. These
     outbound acquisitions stemming from buyers           proportions rose substantially when looking at
     located in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan         outbound purchases for the Q1-Q3 2009 period,
     and Macau and targeting businesses situated          to 32 percent and 70 percent, respectively.
     outside China) rebounded over the first three
     quarters of 2009, with quarterly volumes             Sector focus
     expanding from just 10 announced transactions        Energy, Mining & Utilities transactions continue
     in Q1 to 26 in Q3. Likewise, quarterly deal values   to dominate Chinese M&A purchases abroad.
     rose over the same timeframe from US$1.3 billion     Since the beginning of 2003, acquisitions in the
     to US$8.9 billion.                                   sector have accounted for 29 percent of total
                                                          outbound deal flow by volume and a massive
     Chinese acquisitions abroad are steadily rising in   65 percent of total deal valuations. Over Q1-Q3
     value: 20.8 percent of all disclosed Chinese M&A     2009, these proportions increased to 40 percent
     transactions over 2003 to Q3 2009 were valued        and 93 percent, respectively.
     at US$250 million or greater – a proportion
     which rose by 1.6 percentage points over the first   Deal rationale and obstacles
     three-quarters of 2009.                              One factor influencing outbound deal flow stems
                                                          from the fact that Chinese monetary authorities
     Private equity buyouts from China seem to            are encouraging state-owned enterprises (SOEs)
     focus on portfolio companies located in the          to acquire Energy, Mining & Utilities assets
     Industrials sector: 28 percent of all China-based    abroad in order to utilize some of the economy’s
     private equity acquisitions over the 2003-Q3         massive foreign exchange reserves and diversify
     2009 timeframe by both deal volume and value         away from low-yielding US dollar-denominated
     were conducted in this space. Meanwhile, over        government securities, as well as secure mining
     one-third (37 percent) of this activity by deal      and energy resources to satisfy the country’s
     volume targeted businesses in South Asia, while      growing appetite for manufacturing inputs.
     one-fifth of private equity activity by value was
     invested in Australasian businesses.                 Chinese SOEs are also looking to expand
                                                          inorganically so that they can achieve significant
     Outbound M&A activity into Australia                 economies of scale, which will ultimately allow
     Chinese acquisitions into Australia totaled some     them to achieve market share abroad and
     58 transactions worth a total of US$9.3 billion      strengthen their bottom line.
     over the 2003-Q3 2009 period. The majority of
     this deal flow was centered on the acquisition       China’s post-merger integration (PMI) track
     of Australian Energy, Mining & Utilities assets,     record is developing, however, with obvious
     which accounted for some 67 percent of overall       corollaries for the long-term success of outbound
     deal volumes over the timeframe, as well as          transactions.
     86 percent of total valuations. Furthermore,
     the predominance of Energy, Mining & Utilities       The impact of M&A regulations
     purchases has risen over the first three quarters    Comprehensive revisions to China’s regulatory
     of 2009, with 75 percent of all deal volumes and     regime, implemented in the summer of 2008
     99 percent of all valuations being attributable to   and 2009, signal that such Chinese business
     acquisitions in the space.                           policies are now comparable to the EU or North
                                                          America. At the same time, issues of regulatory
     Outbound M&A activity into the US                    reciprocity are unlikely to arise in the near future
     Chinese acquisitions overseas tend to be focused     as the major antitrust regimes are aware of the
     on assets located in North America. Since            huge adverse impact such a charge would have
     2003, roughly one-quarter and one-third of           on future M&A flows.


4
The future                                              •	 Only	true	merger	and	acquisition	deals	will	
Outbound Energy, Mining & Utilities transactions,          be collated. Transactions to be included will
primarily focusing on Australian assets, are likely        usually involve a controlling stake in a company
to continue into 2010. However, such transactions          being transferred between two different
are not going to get easier with time, with large          parties. Where the stake acquired is less than
Chinese bids for foreign assets in this space are          30 percent (10 percent in Asia-Pacific), the deal
likely to be met with increasing resistance.               will only be included if its value is greater than
                                                           US$100 million.
Chinese bidders will start returning to bid for         •	 Transactions	such	as	restructurings	were	
assets in the Financial Services sector. While it is       shareholders’ interests in total remain the
largely accepted that some Chinese bidders made            same will not be collated. Mergermarket does
have undertaken poorly planned investments into            not track property deals, Letters of intent,
Western financial institutions in the past, pending        Memorandums of understandings, Head of
financial sector reforms in the EU and North               agreement and Non-binding agreements.
America will no doubt create lucrative investment       •	 All	US$	symbols	refer	to	US	dollars	unless	
opportunities.                                             otherwise stated.
                                                        •	 The	report	includes	deals	from	the	below	
From a country perspective, China's vigorous               locations:
investment into US businesses is expected to                   - Mainland China (China);
continue over the next 12 months with buyers                   - Hong Kong;
eyeing assets in a bid to boost their technological            - Taiwan;
prowess. The most notable example of such a                    - Macau.
trend was undoubtedly Lenvovo’s US$1.75 billion         •	 According	to	mergermarket	and	for	the	
acquisition of IBM’s personal computer division,           purposes of this report, an outbound
announced at the end of 2004. Anecdotal                    transaction is defined as a deal in which the
evidence suggests that the jury is still out on the        bidder is predominantly located in Mainland
deal, with Lenovo recently reporting better-than-          China, Hong Kong, Macau or Taiwan and the
expected first quarter 2009 results after a difficult      target business is predominantly located in any
period following the acquisition.                          other country aside from mainland China, Hong
                                                           Kong, Macau or Taiwan.
Overall, the prognosis for Chinese outbound             •	 For	the	purposes	of	this	report,	regional	splits	
M&A activity is fundamentally strong, despite              are defined as follows:
significant operational and political barriers to              - Germanic – Germany, Switzerland and
deal flow continuing to hamper transactions.                     Austria;
Looking forward, it is increasingly likely that                - Iberia – Spain and Portugal;
outbound values and volumes will eventually                    - Australasia – Australia and New Zealand;
overcome such obstacles, ultimately resulting in               - Benelux – The Netherlands, Belgium and
the expansion of this particular market.                       - Luxembourg.
                                                        •	 Any	mention	to	the	term	‘2003-Q3	2009’	
Methodology                                                throughout the report indicates that the
•	 Historical	data	includes	all	mergermarket-              period in question runs from 01/01/2003 to
   recorded transactions for the period                    30/09/2009. Similarly, any mention to the
   01/01/2003 to 30/09/2009.                               term	‘Q1-Q3	2009’	indicates	that	the	period	in	
•	 Transactions	with	a	deal	value	of	greater	than	         question runs from 01/01/2009 to 30/09/2009.
   US$5 million are included. If the consideration      •	 All	data	quoted	is	proprietary	mergermarket	
   is undisclosed, mergermarket will include deals         data unless otherwise stated.
   on the basis of a reported or estimated value of
   over US$5 million. If the value is not disclosed,
   mergermarket will record a transaction if the
   target’s turnover is greater than US$10 million.

                                                                                       The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A   5
China outbound M&A overview




Lawrence Chia, Head of Deloitte China M&A Services &
Global Chinese Services Group Co-Chairman remains
optimistic on Chinese outbound M&A prospects, suggesting
that strong home-grown deal drivers could overcome Chinese
businesses’ concerns of overseas regulatory obstacles in the
foreseeable future
6
M&A trends of outbound cross-border M&A activity from China
              30                                                                                                                                            25,000



              25
                                                                                                                                                            20,000


              20




                                                                                                                                                                     Deal value (US$m)
                                                                                                                                                            15,000
Deal volume




              15

                                                                                                                                                            10,000
              10


                                                                                                                                                            5,000
               5



               0                                                                                                                                            0
                   Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
                   2003 2003 2003 2003 2004 2004 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009


                     Deal volume          Deal value (US$m)
Source: mergermarket




Outbound M&A activity from China has                                                           being conducted, Chinese outbound M&A flows
increased significantly in recent times, coinciding                                            remained relatively resilient, with the volume of
with the rapid development of the wider                                                        cross-border acquisitions falling 28 percent over
economy and the increasing presence of China                                                   the H2 2008-H1 2009 period compared to the
on the world stage. Indeed, between 2003                                                       same timeframe a year previously. In contrast,
and the end of Q3 2009, Chinese businesses                                                     global M&A volumes dropped by 36 percent. Chia
undertook 437 outbound acquisitions, worth                                                     believes that this relative robustness is attributable
a total of US$116.8 billion – with the bulk of                                                 to the fact that the wider Chinese economy
these (some 241 transactions worth US$75.3                                                     remained somewhat insulated to the fall out from
billion) having taken place over the past                                                      the financial crisis, perhaps due to the massive
two-and-three-quarter years.                                                                   government capital injection that followed the
                                                                                               collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008.
More recently, Lawrence Chia, Head of Deloitte
China M&A Services & Global Chinese Services                                                   At the same time, Chia points out that factors
Group Co-Chairman, notes that outbound Chinese                                                 other than opportunistic bottom-fishing have
M&A deal flow has risen rapidly over the first                                                 also driven outbound cross-border deal-making.
three quarters of the year, with Chinese purchases                                             State-sanctioned acquisitions are one such driver,
overseas having numbered 61 deals worth US$21.2                                                with Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs)
billion, the majority of them coming to market in                                              being offered large loans or credit agreements
Q3 2009. Some 26 deals worth US$8.9 billion were                                               at preferential rates in order to purchase foreign
announced over this period, with the numbers                                                   assets (China Development Bank’s [CDB] recent
significantly boosted by the US$2.6 billion debt-                                              US$30 billion loan to China National Petroleum
inclusive buy of Felix Resources, the Australian                                               Corp to enhance its acquisition war-chest is just one
miner, by Yanzhou Coal, its Chinese counterpart.                                               example). Such support, Chia believes, comes as the
                                                                                               authorities look to diversify the country’s US$2.13
While the global credit crisis resulted in a large                                             trillion of foreign exchange reserves, around 65
decline in the number of M&A transactions                                                      percent of which is currently invested in low-yielding


                                                                                                                                               The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A   7
Deal size split by volume                                                                                                               dollar-denominated securities according to UBS.
              90
                                                                                          9
                                                                                                                    6
                                                                                                                                        At the same time, Chia also notes that Chinese
              80
                                                                                         11                         9
                                                                                                                                        SOEs are conducting outbound M&A acquisitions
              70                                                                                                                        as they look to grow their business in order to
                                                                           9                                        13
                                                                           4
                                                                                         14                                             prevent takeover bids from larger domestic rivals.
              60
                                                                           7
                                                                                                                               7        “Buying assets overseas is a sign of strength”, he
                                                                                                                               4
Deal volume




                                                             4
              50
                                                             4                                                                 6        says. “In addition, such businesses do not have to
              40
                                          4
                                          2                  8             25            36
                                                                                                                    35
                                                                                                                                        return cash to any stakeholders and are therefore
                                          6
              30
                                                                                                                               23       in a position to finance such acquisitions”.
                                                             18
                     2                    21
              20     3                                                     11                                       9
                                                                                         13                                    9        It is interesting to note that over the whole period,
                    12                                       11
              10                          4
                                                                           16                                       16                  Hong Kong accounted for the largest proportion
                     4                                                                    9                                    12
               0
                     4
                                          8                  8
                                                                                                                                        of outbound acquisitions by bidder country,
                   2003                  2004               2005          2006          2007                       2008    Q1-Q3 2009   brokering 217 deals compared to 174 outbound
                    Not disclosed    <US$15m           US$15m - US$100m   US$101m - US$250m         US$251m - US$500m      >US$500m     purchases by Chinese businesses and 37 by
Source: mergermarket                                                                                                                    Taiwanese companies. However, in terms of deal
                                                                                                                                        valuations, Chinese acquirers have spent US$85.1
Sector split of cross-border M&A activity                                                                                               billion buying overseas, in contrast to the US$28
from China 2003-Q3 2009: volume                                                                                                         billion and US$3.7 billion invested by Hong Kong
                                               2% 2%
                                                       1%         1%                                                                    and Taiwanese firms respectively.
                                         2%
                                    3%

                            6%                                                                Energy, Mining & Utilities                The Q2 2009 US$8.8 billion acquisition of Addax
                                                                                 29%
                                                                                              Industrials
                                                                                              TMT
                                                                                                                                        by Sinopec highlights the prominence of the
                    7%
                                                                                              Consumer                                  large-cap deal in the China outbound space.
                                                                                              Financial Services
                                                                                              Business Services
                                                                                                                                        Despite the austere economic climate, over
                                                                                              Transportation                            the first three quarters of 2009, 11 percent of
                                                                                              Pharma, Medical & Biotech
                                                                                              Agriculture                               acquisitions were valued at more than US$500
                    12%                                                                       Leisure
                                                                                              Construction
                                                                                                                                        million, a four-percentage point rise over FY2008
                                                                                              Real Estate                               figures. However, at the other end of the scale,
                                                                          19%
                                                                                                                                        small-cap deal flow – those transactions valued
                                                                                                                                        at less than US$15 million – also jumped five
                                          16%
                                                                                                                                        percentage points over the same time period.
Source: mergermarket
                                                                                                                                        However, while Chia acknowledges that recent
   Sector split of cross-border M&A activity                                                                                            outbound transactions have increasingly fallen
   from China 2003-Q3 2009: value                                                                                                       into the large-cap space, he does not believe that
                                                1%
                                                     1%   <1%
                                      1%
                                     1%                0%
                                                            <1%
                                                                                                                                        mega-cap (US$1 billion+) transactions will really
                                          4%                                                                                            take off, explaining that Chinese bidders now
                               6%
                                                                                              Energy, Mining & Utilities
                                                                                                                                        realize that such deals are simply too unwieldy and
                                                                                              Financial Services                        difficult to manage effectively – especially when
                                                                                              TMT
                      7%
                                                                                              Industrials
                                                                                                                                        looking at acquisitions in the Energy, Mining &
                                                                                              Consumer
                                                                                              Business Services
                                                                                                                                        Utilities space.
                                                                                              Construction
                                                                                              Pharma, Medical & Biotech

                   13%                                                                        Real Estate
                                                                                                                                        Sector splits
                                                                                              Transportation
                                                                                                                                        Energy, Mining & Utilities transactions
                                                                                              Leisure

                                                                                  66%
                                                                                              Agriculture                               unsurprisingly dominated Chinese acquisitions
                                                                                                                                        over the 2003-Q3 2009 period, accounting
                                                                                                                                        for 29 percent of all outbound transactions by
                                                                                                                                        volume and 66 percent by value. Other industries
Source: mergermarket                                                                                                                    which attracted notable investment include the

8
Industrials sector, which had a 19 percent share in    Sector split of cross-border M&A activity
terms of volume, but just 6 percent by value, while    from China Q1-Q3 2009: volume
the TMT space witnessed 16 percent of overall                                             2%
                                                                                               2%

deal volumes and 7 percent of values.                                          6%



                                                                        8%                                                    Energy, Mining & Utilities
Looking at outbound M&A activity over 2009                                                                                    Industrials
                                                                                                                              TMT
alone, it is clear just how much importance China                                                                             Consumer
                                                                                                                       41%
ascribes to securing raw materials in order to fuel                                                                           Financial Services
                                                                                                                              Business Services
                                                                 10%
its booming manufacturing base. The proportion                                                                                Leisure
                                                                                                                              Agriculture
of Energy, Mining & Utilities-focused acquisitions
abroad over the three quarters of 2009 alone
makes up some 41 percent of the total number of
deals – a rise of 12 percentage points compared                        15%


to similar figures for the past six-and-three-
quarter-year period. Furthermore, the country                                                   16%
spent some US$19.5 billion acquiring such foreign      Source: mergermarket
assets, accounting for a massive 93 percent of the
total spent overseas in the first three quarters of    Sector split of cross-border M&A activity
the year.                                              from China Q1-Q3 2009: value
                                                                                          1% <1%
                                                                                     1%
                                                                               2%                     <1%
Looking forward, Chia suggests that the                                         2%                       <1%


dominance of Energy, Mining & Utilities
transactions is likely to continue into 2010.                                                                                 Energy, Mining & Utilities
                                                                                                                              Financial Services

However, he does not believe that such                                                                                        TMT
                                                                                                                              Industrials
transactions are going to get easier with time,                                                                               Business Services

saying that, “Large Chinese bids for foreign assets                                                                           Consumer
                                                                                                                              Leisure

in this space are likely to meet with increasing                                                                              Agriculture


resistance. Chinese bidders will progressively need
to learn how to divorce any political undertones
from their offers if they want their bids to
succeed”.
                                                                                                     93%
At the same time, Chia feels that Chinese bidders      Source: mergermarket
will start returning to bid for assets in the
Financial Services sector. “While some market
commentators believe that entities such as the
state sovereign wealth fund China Investment
Corporation (CIC) burnt their fingers last time        Large Chinese bids for foreign assets in
they invested in western financial institutions, the
imminent swathe of reforms that are about to
                                                       the Energy, Mining & Utilities space are
impact European and North American banks will
no doubt create lucrative investment opportunities
                                                       likely to meet with increasing resistance
and they are making these investments for the          in the future
strategic long-term”.                                  Lawrence Chia
                                                       Head of Deloitte China M&A Services & Global Chinese Services Group Co-Chairman
Another potential driver of outbound Financial
Services transactions derives from the fact that
state-owned Chinese banks are increasingly
creating partnerships abroad in order to support
future deal financings between prospective

                                                                                                    The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A   9
Geographic split of outbound cross-border M&A activity                                                      Chinese acquirers and local sellers. Chia cites
from China 2003-Q3 2009: volume                                                                             Industrial and Commercial Bank of China’s (ICBC)
                                                      <1%
                                                            <1%                                             20 percent stake buy in South Africa’s Standard
                                    2% 2%
                                            2%              <1%                  North America              Bank for US$5.4 billion in early 2007 as a good
                          2%
                               2%                                                South East Asia
                                                                                 Australasia
                                                                                                            example of such a practice, with future Chinese
                     3%                                              24%         South Asia                 buyers looking to make purchases in Africa being
                 3%                                                              UK & Ireland
             3%                                                                  Germanic
                                                                                                            able to secure local deal financing terms off the
           3%
                                                                                 Central & South America    back of this relationship.
                                                                                 Japan
                                                                                 Africa
           4%                                                                    Central & Eastern Europe
                                                                                 North Asia
                                                                                                            Other sectors that Chia believes will see a rise in
                                                                                 Central Asia               outbound deal flow over 2010 and beyond include
            5%
                                                                           16%
                                                                                 Benelux
                                                                                 Nordic
                                                                                                            the Agriculture and Renewable Energy, both of
                                                                                 France                     which are likely to witness increased activity as
                  6%                                                             Italy
                                                                                 Middle East
                                                                                                            Chinese firms search for suitable businesses to
                               8%
                                                                                 Iberia                     sate their rising appetite for both clean energy and
                                                                                 South Eastern Europe
Source: mergermarket
                                                        14%
                                                                                                            agricultural produce.

Geographic split of outbound cross-border M&A activity                                                      Country splits
from China 2003-Q3 2009: value                                                                              North America-based businesses have been
                                        1%
                                             1%
                                                  <1%       <1%
                                                             <1%
                                                                                                            the preferred target of Chinese acquirers over
                                   1%
                                                              <1%                                           the 2003-Q3 2009 period, with some 106
                                 2%1%                                            North America
                          2%
                               2%
                                                                                 UK & Ireland               acquisitions, accounting for 24 percent of the
                     4%
                                                                     28%
                                                                                 South East Asia
                                                                                 Australasia
                                                                                                            total, being announced. Meanwhile, South East
               4%                                                                Africa                     Asian and Australasian businesses have also
                                                                                 Central & Eastern Europe
                                                                                 Nordic                     found favor with the Chinese buyers, accounting
          8%
                                                                                 Central Asia
                                                                                 South Asia
                                                                                                            for 16 percent and 14 percent of outbound
                                                                                 France                     acquisitions by volume respectively.
                                                                                 Central & South America
                                                                                 Middle East

            8%
                                                                                 North Asia
                                                                                 Germanic
                                                                                                            Chia remarked that acquisitions of Australian
                                                                                 Italy                      Energy, Mining & Utilities assets are likely to
                                                                                 Japan
                                                                    20%          Benelux                    continue unabated in the near future. This is
                          8%                                                     South Eastern Europe
                                                                                 Iberia
                                                                                                            chiefly because Australian commodities, such as
                                             9%
                                                                                                            coal, are of superior quality while transportation
Source: mergermarket
                                                                                                            costs involved with shipping aggregates from
Geographic split of outbound cross-border M&A activity                                                      Australia to China are lower than from Canada
from China Q1-Q3 2009: volume                                                                               and South America.
                                       2%
                                                 1%
                                     2% 2%

                          3%
                               2%                                                                           Chia further claims that the country’s love affair
                     3%
                                                                                 North America
                                                                                                            with US businesses will continue over the next
                3%                                                        33%
                                                                                 Australasia                12 months with buyers eyeing assets in a bid
                                                                                 South East Asia

            3%                                                                   Japan                      to boost their technological prowess. At the
                                                                                 Central & South America
                                                                                 UK & Ireland
                                                                                                            same time, Chinese buys in the US may also be
          5%                                                                     Nordic                     encouraged by the state as it looks to diversify
                                                                                 Benelux
                                                                                 Africa                     its massive US dollar reserves away from currency
           10%
                                                                                 South Asia
                                                                                 Central Asia
                                                                                                            holdings into less volatile assets.
                                                                                 North Asia
                                                                                 Central & Eastern Europe
                                                                                                            North America also ranks as the top recipient
                                                                                                            of outbound M&A investments from China by
                                                      31%                                                   value, with Chinese bidders spending some
Source: mergermarket                                                                                        US$32.2 billion (28 percent of the total) over the

10
2003-Q3 2009 period. Acquirers also splashed           Geographic split of outbound cross-border M&A activity
out a further US$23.5 billion and US$10.5 billion      from China Q1-Q3 2009: value
                                                                                                                                   <1%
buying UK & Ireland as well as South East Asian                                                               1%        <1%
                                                                                                                                   <1%
                                                                                                                                   <1%
assets respectively.                                                                                           4%                  <1%
                                                                                                     4%


While Chinese acquisitions of African assets have                                                                                                                            North America
                                                                                                                                                                             Australasia
received many column inches in the world’s                                                                                                                                   Central Asia

financial press of late, Chia doesn’t expect this to                               20%                                                                                       UK & Ireland
                                                                                                                                                                             South East Asia

translate into a sustained trend over the longer                                                                                                                             North Asia
                                                                                                                                                                             Japan
term. “There are profitable M&A opportunities                                                                                                                                Central & Eastern Europe

in Africa but doing a deal there is difficult due                                                                                                                            South Asia
                                                                                                                                                                             Africa

to the lack of infrastructure”, he explained.
Following the failure of CNPC’s US$460 million                                                                                                           70%

bid for the Verenex Energy, the Canadian-listed
Oil & Gas Exploration company with interests in
Libya, in September 2009, Chia also points out             Source: mergermarket
that political intransigence plays an important
role. CNPC walked away from the deal after             Private equity M&A trends of outbound cross-border
Libya’s National Oil Company – who had the             M&A activity from China
right of first refusal – purchased the business                                                                                                                                                                          1,000
                                                                     7
itself and is currently negotiating a lower                                                                                                                                                                              900
valuation for the business.                                          6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         800

                                                                     5                                                                                                                                                   700
Private equity




                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Deal value (US$m)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         600
China Outbound private equity acquisitions
                                                       Deal volume




                                                                     4

have numbered some 59 transactions worth                                                                                                                                                                                 500

US$5.2 billion over the 2003-Q3 2009 period,                         3                                                                                                                                                   400

accounting for 13 percent of overall outbound                        2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         300

transactions and 4.4 percent of total valuations.                                                                                                                                                                        200

The vast majority of these private equity bids                       1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         100
originated from Hong Kong-based private                              0                                                                                                                                                   0
equity firms, indicating that despite its massive                        Q1   Q2   Q3    Q4    Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2    Q3   Q4    Q1   Q2   Q3    Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4       Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1
                                                                         2003 2003 2003 2003 2004 2004 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Q2   Q3


economic clout, Chinese private equity firms                               Deal volume        Deal value (US$m)
                                                       Source: mergermarket
have yet to actively target companies in overseas
markets.                                               Sector split of cross-border private equity M&A activity
                                                       from China 2003-Q3 2009: volume
Buyouts of foreign businesses by Chinese private                                                              4%
                                                                                                                   2% 2%

equity houses have fallen off over the course of                                                     4%


2009, with just three such deals having taken                                                 5%                                                                             Industrials
                                                                                                                                                          29%
place in the first three quarters of this year.                                                                                                                              Technology, Media & Telecommunications (TMT)

                                                                                    5%                                                                                       Financial Services
Quarterly deal flow was at its highest point in Q1                                                                                                                           Business Services

2008 when seven transactions were undertaken –                                                                                                                               Consumer

however, in terms of quarterly valuations, activity                                7%
                                                                                                                                                                             Pharma, Medical & Biotech
                                                                                                                                                                             Construction
peaked in Q1 2006 following the US$887 million                                                                                                                               Energy, Mining & Utilities

MBO of Waco International, the South African                                                                                                                                 Leisure
                                                                                                                                                                             Agriculture
company engaged in commercial and industrial                                             12%                                                                                 Transportation
service businesses, backed by CCMP Capital Asia,                                                                                                        16%

the Hong Kong-based private equity firm.
                                                                                                                    14%


Chinese financial investors have most targeted         Source: mergermarket


                                                                                                                             The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A                                             11
Sector split of cross-border private equity M&A activity                                                                companies in the Industrials sector, with
from China 2003-Q3 2009: value                                                                                          acquisitions in this particular space accounting
                                           1%
                                                1%                                                                      for more than one-quarter (29 percent) of all
                                      2%
                                4%                                                                                      outbound private equity activity in terms of both
                      8%                                                                                                deal volume and deal value.
                                                                         Industrials

                                                                  29%    Construction
                                                                         Consumer                                       Looking at geographic breakdowns, South
           10%                                                           Financial Services                             Asian assets attracted the lion’s share (37
                                                                         Business Services
                                                                         Technology, Media & Telecommunications (TMT)
                                                                                                                        percent) of private equity investment in terms
                                                                         Transportation                                 of deal volumes over the period while North
                                                                         Pharma, Medical & Biotech
                                                                                                                        America and South East Asia were also notable
                                                                         Energy, Mining & Utilities
           12%
                                                                         Leisure
                                                                                                                        destinations for Chinese cross-border private
                                                                                                                        equity activity, together accounting for 28
                                                            20%
                                                                                                                        percent of the market. Meanwhile, in contrast
                                13%
                                                                                                                        outbound private equity valuations have been
Source: mergermarket                                                                                                    centered in Australasia, Africa and South East
                                                                                                                        Asia, with a total of US$2.7 billion having been
Geographic split of cross-border private equity M&A activity                                                            invested in them collectively.
from China 2003-Q3 2009: volume
                                2%
                                  2% 2% 2%                                                                              Despite the rather subdued level of deal making
                           4%                                                                                           from Chinese financial investors, Chia remains
                     4%
                                                                         South Asia                                     optimistic that home-grown – especially
                5%
                                                                         North America
                                                                         South East Asia
                                                                                                                        mainland-Chinese – private equity groups will
                                                                   37%   Australasia                                    mature over the next 12 months, pointing
                                                                         North Asia
                                                                         UK & Ireland                                   towards the massive amounts of capital that is
                                                                         Japan
                                                                         Central & Eastern Europe
                                                                                                                        rapidly becoming available to fund deals. “The
          14%
                                                                         Africa                                         propensity to save in China is of the world’s
                                                                         Benelux
                                                                         Italy                                          highest, meaning that vast amounts of capital
                                                                                                                        are increasingly being made available for the
                                                                                                                        country’s alternative investment community”,
                          14%                                                                                           explains Chia. “Such capital pools are only
                                                     14%
                                                                                                                        going to get bigger, particularly since a lower
Source: mergermarket                                                                                                    proportion of China’s population has access to
                                                                                                                        a bank account vis-à-vis other economies of
Geographic split of cross-border private equity M&A activity                                                            the same size. As a result, many state-owned
from China 2003-Q3 2009: value                                                                                          financial institutions, such as CDB, are creating
                                 3%
                                      3% 1%                                                                             private equity funds to invest abroad, such as its
                      8%                                   19%                                                          China-Africa Fund, which will aim to raise US$5
                                                                         Australasia
                                                                                                                        billion to invest and support Chinese enterprises in
                                                                         Africa
                                                                         South East Asia                                Africa”. However, Chia concedes it is questionable
                                                                         North America
            8%
                                                                         South Asia
                                                                                                                        whether domestic financial investors will initially
                                                                         UK & Ireland
                                                                                                                        want to cut their teeth on complex cross-border
                                                                         Italy
                                                                         North Asia                                     acquisitions.
                                                                   18%   Benelux
          10%                                                            Central & Eastern Europe




                          14%
                                                 16%



Source: mergermarket


12
Top 20 China outbound deals
 Ranking    Announced Status   Target company                Target      Target country     Bidder company                    Bidder      Seller company Seller           Deal
            date                                             sector                                                           location                   country          value
                                                                                                                                                                          (US$m)
 1          Feb-08         C   Rio Tinto Plc (12.00          Mining      United Kingdom     Alcoa Inc; Aluminum               China                                       14,000
                               percent stake)                                               Corporation of China
                                                                                            (Chinalco)
 2          Jun-09         C   Addax Petroleum               Energy      Canada             Sinopec International             China                                       8,800
                               Corporation                                                  Petroleum Exploration and
                                                                                            Production Corporation
 3          Oct-07         C   Standard Bank Group     Financial         South Africa       Industrial and Commercial         China                                       5,413
                               Limited (20.00 percent  Services                             Bank of China Limited
                               stake)
 4          Jul-06         C   Rosneft Oil Company OAO Energy            Russia             BP Plc; China National            China       Rosneftegaz         Russia      5,345
                               (7.58 percent stake)                                         Petroleum Corporation;
                                                                                            Petroliam Nasional Berhad
 5          Aug-05         C   PetroKazakhstan Inc           Energy      Canada             CNPC International Limited        China                                       3,932
 6          Jul-08         C   Awilco Offshore ASA           Energy      Norway             China Oilfield Services Limited   China                                       3,777
 7          Jun-06         C   OAO Udmurtneft                Energy      Russia             China Petroleum & Chemical        China       TNK-BP Holding      Russia      3,500
                                                                                            Corporation                                   OAO
 8          Mar-08         C   Tuas Power Limited            Energy      Singapore          SinoSing Power Pte Ltd            China       Temasek Holdings    Singapore   3,103
                                                                                                                                          Pte Ltd
 9          May-07         C   Blackstone Group              Financial   USA                China Investment Corporation China                                            3,000
                               Holdings LLC (Minority        Services
                               Stake)
 10         Jul-07         C   Barclays Plc (3.10 percent    Financial   United Kingdom     China Development Bank            China                                       2,980
                               stake)                        Services
 11         Aug-09         P   Felix Resources Limited       Mining      Australia          Yanzhou Coal Mining               China                                       2,564
                               (formerly AuIron Energy                                      Company Ltd
                               Limited ACN)
 12         Aug-04         C   National Grid Transco         Utilities   United Kingdom     Cheung Kong Infrastructure Hong Kong          National Grid Plc   United      2,494
                               plc (North England            (other)                        Holdings Limited; Li Ka Shing                                     Kingdom
                               distribution network)                                        (Overseas) Foundation;
                                                                                            United Utilities Plc
 13         Jan-06         C   South Atlantic Petroleum Energy           Nigeria            China National Offshore Oil Hong Kong         South Atlantic      Nigeria     2,268
                               (OML 130) (45.00 percent                                     Corporation Ltd                               Petroleum Ltd.
                               stake)
 14         Oct-06         C   Argymak Trans Service      Energy         Kazakhstan         CITIC Group                       China       CITIC Canada        Canada      1,910
                               LLP; Karazhanbasmunai,                                                                                     Petroleum Limited
                               JSC; Tulpar Munai Services                                                                                 (formerly Nations
                               LLP                                                                                                        Energy Company
                                                                                                                                          Limited)
 15         Sep-08         C   Tanganyika Oil Company        Energy      Canada             China Petroleum & Chemical        China                                       1,813
                               Ltd.                                                         Corporation
 16         Dec-04         C   IBM Corporation (Personal     Computer:   USA                Lenovo Group Limited              Hong Kong   IBM Corporation     USA         1,750
                               Computing Division)           Hardware
 17         Aug-09         P   ASOC (Mackay River and        Energy      Canada             PetroChina Company Limited China              Athabasca Oil       Canada      1,740
                               Dover oil sands projects)                                                                                  Sands Corp
                               (60.00 percent stake)
 18         Jul-09         P   Teck Resources Limited        Mining      Canada             Fullbloom Investment        China                                             1,508
                               (17.20 percent stake)                                        Corporation
 19         Apr-09         C   OZ Minerals (certain assets   Mining      Australia          China Minmetals Non-Ferrous China             OZ Minerals         Australia   1,386
                               excluding Prominent Hill                                     Metals Co Ltd                                 Limited (formerly
                               and Martabe)                                                                                               known as Oxiana
                                                                                                                                          Limited)
 20         Jan-05         C   Marionnaud Parfumeries        Consumer:   France             A.S.Watson & Co Ltd               Hong Kong                                   1,181
                               SA                            Other
P= pending, C= completed
Source: mergermarket

Top 20 China outbound deals and outlook                                                   exploration and production company, by Sinopec, China's largest
The largest Chinese outbound acquisition to take place since the                          producer and supplier of oil products and major petrochemical
beginning of 2003 saw a consortium consisting of Alcoa and                                products. The bid was offered at a 47 percent premium to Addax’s
Chinalco, the US and Chinese aluminum producers respectively,                             share price one month prior to the announcement – one of the
acquire a 12 percent stake in Rio Tinto, the UK-listed miner,                             reasons why 92.67 percent of the target’s shareholders ultimately
for US$14 billion. The deal was completed in early 2008 and                               tendered their shares to the bid. The bid premium – considered to
was conducted primarily to protect the two bidders from rising                            be on the high side by market commentators – also kept potential
aluminum prices if rival BHP Billiton’s bid to acquire Rio Tinto                          rivals away from Addax as it was rumored that the Korean
was successful.                                                                           National Oil Company was also lining up Addax in its crosshairs.

Second on the list was the US$8.8 billion inclusive of net-debt                           The third-largest outbound transaction emanating from China
acquisition of Addax Petroleum, the Canadian oil and gas                                  saw ICBC, the Chinese bank, snap up a 20 percent stake in South

                                                                                                                The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A             13
Africa’s Standard Bank, a deal – as mentioned       the US and Europe as the Chinese regulatory
                                  earlier – which Chia believes could have been       regime was not considered up to par. The recent
                                  motivated by the Chinese government’s desire to     shake-ups are a response to this and now I believe
                                  help future acquirers looking to invest in Africa   that the Chinese regulatory framework is now very
                                  secure better deal financing terms from friendly    much in line with international best practices”.
                                  local lenders.
                                                                                      Chia pours cold water on the idea that China’s
                                  The largest foreign buy conducted by a Hong         rejection of Coca-Cola’s bid for Huiyuan Juice, as
                                  Kong bidder saw a consortium of Cheung              well as the recent trade spat between China and
                                  Kong Infrastructure Holdings, the Hong Kong         the US could lead to increased protectionism.
                                  infrastructure company, United Utilities, the UK    “Local drivers influencing Chinese acquisitions
                                  water, electricity, and natural gas utility, and    abroad are, in themselves, compelling reasons
                                  the Li Ka Shing Foundation, acquire the North       for Chinese firms to buy foreign assets,
                                  England gas distribution network, from National     regardless of the strict regulatory regimes in
                                  Grid Transco, the UK natural gas transmission and   place overseas”. Delving further, he says, “I think
                                  distribution company, for US$2.5 billion back in    a sense of perspective is required here. It must
                                  2005. The consortium fought off competition         be remembered that just prior to their bid for
                                  from private equity firm Terra Firma, strategic     Huiyuan, Coca-Cola attempted to buy a similar-
                                  player Scottish and Southern Energy, as well as     sized Australian soft drinks manufacturer in a
                                  Macquarie Bank and A billion Amro.                  deal which was ultimately rejected by Australian
                                                                                      antitrust authorities due to concerns over the new
                                  Looking forward, Chia remains positive on           entity’s market share. As a result, I do not think
                                  the outbound M&A market, especially when            there is any basis for reciprocity to occur and the
                                  discussing recent revisions to China’s antitrust    regimes in Washington, Ottawa and Brussels, I
                                  regime and its impact on outbound deal              believe, are aware of this”.
                                  opportunities. On this particular topic, he notes
                                  that comprehensive revisions, implemented in the    Chia does however admit that China’s post
                                  summer of 2008 and 2009, signal that Chinese        merger integration track record is developing.
                                  business policies are now comparable to the EU or   “Chinese bidders should learn how to implement
                                  North America. “Previous high-profile outbound      a cross-border M&A acquisition”, he said, “they
                                  acquisitions by Chinese bidders were, more often    have recognized that it is a key success factor for
                                  than not, sniffed at by regulatory agencies in      cross-border M&A transactions and this applies
                                                                                      to handling both regulatory agencies as well as
                                                                                      target stakeholders”.


Local drivers influencing Chinese
acquisitions abroad are, in themselves,
compelling reasons for Chinese firms to
buy foreign assets, regardless of the strict
regulatory regimes in place overseas
Lawrence Chia
Head of Deloitte China M&A Services & Global Chinese Services Group Co-Chairman




14
China outbound M&A
activity into Australia




Keith Jones, Managing Partner of Deloitte's Western
Australia Region & Australia Chinese Services Group Leader,
highlights China’s appetite for Australian commodities as a
continued driver of outbound M&A acquisitions into the
country – yet warns that Australian regulatory bodies will
begin to monitor such transactions closely
                                  The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A   15
M&A trends of outbound cross-border M&A activity from China into Australia

                                                                                                                                                                3,500
                   6

                                                                                                                                                                3,000
                   5

                                                                                                                                                                2,500
                   4




                                                                                                                                                                        Deal value (US$m)
                                                                                                                                                                2,000
     Deal volume




                   3
                                                                                                                                                                1,500

                   2
                                                                                                                                                                1,000


                   1                                                                                                                                            500


                   0                                                                                                                                            0
                       Q1    Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1    Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3
                       2003 2003 2003 2003 2004 2004 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009


                            Deal volume          Deal value (US$m)

      Source: mergermarket




      Australia’s vast amount of natural resources                                             private equity buying into Australia. Nonetheless,
      has underpinned a flurry of M&A transactions                                             SOEs still dominate inbound investment activity”.
      undertaken by Chinese firms in a bid to                                                  The average size of acquisitions in the Australian
      meet the raw material demands of a rapidly                                               market (US$195 million over the period) is just
      expanding economy. As a result, M&A activity                                             over half the US$321 million mean value of all
      has steadily climbed from just five acquisitions,                                        Chinese outbound M&A transactions since 2003,
      collectively valued at US$1.4 billion, in 2003, to                                       However, a few large-cap Australian Mining
      12 transactions, worth US$1.8 billion, in 2008.                                          transactions conducted in the first three quarters
      And 2009 is shaping up to witness even greater                                           of 2009 bolstered this figure to US$390 million,
      levels of deal flow with 16 transactions, worth                                          more than 90 percent the US$433 million average
      a combined US$5.5 billion, having already been                                           deal value for all Chinese outbound acquisitions
      announced over the first three quarters, making                                          over the same timeframe.
      Australia the top foreign market by country for
      Chinese firms sourcing assets abroad over the                                            On a broader level, cross-border acquirers are also
      period.                                                                                  paying comparatively more for Australian assets
                                                                                               in recent months due to the strong recovery of
      Cross-border M&A from China has overwhelmingly                                           the Australian dollar, which has risen by around
      targeted Australian Energy, Mining & Utilities                                           a quarter against the Chinese Yuan since early
      assets, for which Chinese acquirers have a                                               March 2009. Concurrently, unit prices for subsoil
      seemingly undiminished appetite. “Typically,                                             commodities have rebounded strongly over the
      transactions are strategic deals carried out by                                          same period, further heightening valuations for
      Chinese SOEs with an agreement for the output                                            Australian Energy, Mining & Utilities assets.
      or resource being produced”, says Keith Jones,
      Managing Partner of Deloitte's Western Australia                                         On this issue Jones comments, “Chinese
      Region & Australia Chinese Services Group Leader.                                        acquisition activity is also being encouraged
      He adds, “However, of late, we have seen more                                            by businesses’ desire to diversify their foreign

16
exchange holdings away from US dollars and               Deal size split by volume
into buying into real assets in other markets. This
                                                                      16
strategy also supports the state’s longer-term aims                                                                                                                  2
of securing resources for the future growth of the                    14

economy”. Moreover, rising global prices for hard                                                                                                                    2
                                                                      12
commodities and energy make assets in these                                                                                                            2
                                                                                                                                                                     3
niches comparatively more attractive.                                 10
                                                        Deal volume




                                                                                                                                                       1

                                                                       8
                                                                                                                         1
Looking at deal sizes, since the beginning of 2003,                                                                                                                  4
                                                                       6                                                                               6
Chinese acquisitions worth more than US$500                                                                              3              5

million have accounted for just 9 percent of all                       4
                                                                            1
                                                                                                          2
                                                                            1                                                                                        3
buys in Australia, with fully 86 percent of deal flow                                       1
                                                                                                                         2
                                                                       2    2                             2                             2
falling into the mid-market (US$5 million-US$500                                            1
                                                                                                                         2
                                                                                                                                                       3
                                                                                                                                                                     2
                                                                            1               1             1                             1
million) space. 5 percent of deal valuations were                      0
                                                                           2003            2004          2005           2006          2007            2008        2009 YTD
not disclosed.
                                                                           Not disclosed   <US$15m   US$15m - US$100m   US$101m - US$250m    US$251m - US$500m   >US$500m

                                                         Source: mergermarket
Sector splits
Chinese acquisitions of Australian businesses have
focused almost exclusively on buys in the Energy,
Mining & Utilities sector. Such purchases account
for more than two-thirds of the overall market
by deal volume and a massive 89 percent of deal
value – equating to some 39 transactions worth           Chinese acquisition activity is being
US$9.3 billion. This focus becomes clearer even
when looking at 2009 figures alone. 82 percent
                                                         encouraged by businesses’ desire to
of overall Chinese purchases into Australia were         diversify their foreign exchange holdings
purchases of Energy, Mining & Utilities assets,
accounting for 99 percent of total deal values into      away from US dollars and into buying
the country.
                                                         into real assets in other markets
However, while M&A drivers in traditional                Keith Jones
investment hubs in Australia may sustain deal            Managing Partner of Deloitte's WA Region & Australia CSG Leader
flow looking ahead, Jones comments that investor
rationale may be shifting. “We anticipate Chinese
acquirers to be driven by the profit imperative as
well as the need for resources”, he said, adding
that “we also foresee growth in a different type
of investor driven by more traditional investment/
growth strategies”. Accordingly, China may
increasingly deploy capital towards other national
industries going forward, with Jones suggesting
the Foods niche, some soft commodities such
as beef and timber and, in the longer term, Real
Estate, to be likely targets.




                                                                                                       The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A                 17
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A
The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

Baltic dry index paper as predictor of economic activity and stock returns
Baltic dry index paper as predictor of economic activity and stock returnsBaltic dry index paper as predictor of economic activity and stock returns
Baltic dry index paper as predictor of economic activity and stock returnsneiracar
 
Cycle monitor-18 q3
Cycle monitor-18 q3Cycle monitor-18 q3
Cycle monitor-18 q3Clayton Jew
 
C&W-Marketbeat-U.S. Industrial-Q3-2018 #CRE #REALESTATE
C&W-Marketbeat-U.S. Industrial-Q3-2018 #CRE #REALESTATEC&W-Marketbeat-U.S. Industrial-Q3-2018 #CRE #REALESTATE
C&W-Marketbeat-U.S. Industrial-Q3-2018 #CRE #REALESTATEGuy Masse
 
C&W Marketbeat - Canadian Industrial Report- Q2-2014
C&W Marketbeat - Canadian Industrial Report- Q2-2014 C&W Marketbeat - Canadian Industrial Report- Q2-2014
C&W Marketbeat - Canadian Industrial Report- Q2-2014 Guy Masse
 
Wto Global And Inflation In China 2000
Wto Global And Inflation  In China 2000Wto Global And Inflation  In China 2000
Wto Global And Inflation In China 2000mkalina
 
Credit Policy Of Rbi
Credit Policy Of RbiCredit Policy Of Rbi
Credit Policy Of RbiNirmal Pandya
 
Understanding the US-China Trade Relationship
Understanding the US-China Trade Relationship Understanding the US-China Trade Relationship
Understanding the US-China Trade Relationship Peachy Essay
 
china at the world stage
china at the world stagechina at the world stage
china at the world stageTarik Smajlovic
 
Fmi prévisions avril 2016
Fmi prévisions avril 2016Fmi prévisions avril 2016
Fmi prévisions avril 2016Daniel BASTIEN
 
Trump100 days- Implications for the Property Markets
Trump100 days-  Implications for the Property Markets Trump100 days-  Implications for the Property Markets
Trump100 days- Implications for the Property Markets Guy Masse
 
Monetary Policy Feb 11
Monetary Policy Feb 11Monetary Policy Feb 11
Monetary Policy Feb 11mattbentley34
 
2004 jetro white paper on international trade and foreign direct investment b...
2004 jetro white paper on international trade and foreign direct investment b...2004 jetro white paper on international trade and foreign direct investment b...
2004 jetro white paper on international trade and foreign direct investment b...Pim Piepers
 
Springhill group home loans briefs
Springhill group home loans  briefsSpringhill group home loans  briefs
Springhill group home loans briefsharleybough
 
Threats of trade war between china and usa
Threats of trade war between china and usaThreats of trade war between china and usa
Threats of trade war between china and usaM S Siddiqui
 
Emerging markets in asia pacific
Emerging markets in asia pacificEmerging markets in asia pacific
Emerging markets in asia pacificGuy Masse
 
February Economic Update
February Economic UpdateFebruary Economic Update
February Economic UpdateNysejob
 

Mais procurados (20)

Baltic dry index paper as predictor of economic activity and stock returns
Baltic dry index paper as predictor of economic activity and stock returnsBaltic dry index paper as predictor of economic activity and stock returns
Baltic dry index paper as predictor of economic activity and stock returns
 
Cycle monitor-18 q3
Cycle monitor-18 q3Cycle monitor-18 q3
Cycle monitor-18 q3
 
C&W-Marketbeat-U.S. Industrial-Q3-2018 #CRE #REALESTATE
C&W-Marketbeat-U.S. Industrial-Q3-2018 #CRE #REALESTATEC&W-Marketbeat-U.S. Industrial-Q3-2018 #CRE #REALESTATE
C&W-Marketbeat-U.S. Industrial-Q3-2018 #CRE #REALESTATE
 
C&W Marketbeat - Canadian Industrial Report- Q2-2014
C&W Marketbeat - Canadian Industrial Report- Q2-2014 C&W Marketbeat - Canadian Industrial Report- Q2-2014
C&W Marketbeat - Canadian Industrial Report- Q2-2014
 
Wto Global And Inflation In China 2000
Wto Global And Inflation  In China 2000Wto Global And Inflation  In China 2000
Wto Global And Inflation In China 2000
 
Credit Policy Of Rbi
Credit Policy Of RbiCredit Policy Of Rbi
Credit Policy Of Rbi
 
Fmi dettes monde
Fmi dettes mondeFmi dettes monde
Fmi dettes monde
 
Understanding the US-China Trade Relationship
Understanding the US-China Trade Relationship Understanding the US-China Trade Relationship
Understanding the US-China Trade Relationship
 
Dp5151
Dp5151Dp5151
Dp5151
 
china at the world stage
china at the world stagechina at the world stage
china at the world stage
 
Fmi prévisions avril 2016
Fmi prévisions avril 2016Fmi prévisions avril 2016
Fmi prévisions avril 2016
 
Trump100 days- Implications for the Property Markets
Trump100 days-  Implications for the Property Markets Trump100 days-  Implications for the Property Markets
Trump100 days- Implications for the Property Markets
 
Oil Revenues and Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia
Oil Revenues and Economic Growth in Saudi ArabiaOil Revenues and Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia
Oil Revenues and Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia
 
Monetary Policy Feb 11
Monetary Policy Feb 11Monetary Policy Feb 11
Monetary Policy Feb 11
 
Monetary Policy
Monetary PolicyMonetary Policy
Monetary Policy
 
2004 jetro white paper on international trade and foreign direct investment b...
2004 jetro white paper on international trade and foreign direct investment b...2004 jetro white paper on international trade and foreign direct investment b...
2004 jetro white paper on international trade and foreign direct investment b...
 
Springhill group home loans briefs
Springhill group home loans  briefsSpringhill group home loans  briefs
Springhill group home loans briefs
 
Threats of trade war between china and usa
Threats of trade war between china and usaThreats of trade war between china and usa
Threats of trade war between china and usa
 
Emerging markets in asia pacific
Emerging markets in asia pacificEmerging markets in asia pacific
Emerging markets in asia pacific
 
February Economic Update
February Economic UpdateFebruary Economic Update
February Economic Update
 

Semelhante a The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A

China's Chemical Industry - Flying Blind
China's Chemical Industry - Flying BlindChina's Chemical Industry - Flying Blind
China's Chemical Industry - Flying BlindUlrich Deutschmann
 
Global shippinganalyticsmonthly
Global shippinganalyticsmonthlyGlobal shippinganalyticsmonthly
Global shippinganalyticsmonthlyWilson Costa
 
Rio Tinto Credit Suisse 24 Sept 09
Rio Tinto Credit Suisse 24 Sept 09Rio Tinto Credit Suisse 24 Sept 09
Rio Tinto Credit Suisse 24 Sept 09Rio Tinto plc
 
Global Context for Mining
Global Context for MiningGlobal Context for Mining
Global Context for MiningRichardSchodde
 
Economic Analysis Of Infrastructure Of INDIA
Economic Analysis Of Infrastructure Of INDIAEconomic Analysis Of Infrastructure Of INDIA
Economic Analysis Of Infrastructure Of INDIANikhil Chhabra
 
Paper on Inter-Asian Trade (delivered on 291009 in Bangkok, at the Thai Ports...
Paper on Inter-Asian Trade (delivered on 291009 in Bangkok, at the Thai Ports...Paper on Inter-Asian Trade (delivered on 291009 in Bangkok, at the Thai Ports...
Paper on Inter-Asian Trade (delivered on 291009 in Bangkok, at the Thai Ports...China Intelligence Online
 
Mining & Metals 2017: A tentative return to form
Mining & Metals 2017: A tentative return to formMining & Metals 2017: A tentative return to form
Mining & Metals 2017: A tentative return to formWhite & Case
 
Cross-border mergers and acquisitions: building momentum - International Busi...
Cross-border mergers and acquisitions: building momentum - International Busi...Cross-border mergers and acquisitions: building momentum - International Busi...
Cross-border mergers and acquisitions: building momentum - International Busi...Grant Thornton
 
Global capital market_new
Global capital market_newGlobal capital market_new
Global capital market_newPragya Sinha
 
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_Eng
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_EngMerrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_Eng
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_EngMichael Buckley
 
Merrill North Asia Newsletter English
Merrill North Asia Newsletter EnglishMerrill North Asia Newsletter English
Merrill North Asia Newsletter Englishjokeung
 
China-Europe Commercial Collaboration Association (CECCA) newsletter on comp...
 China-Europe Commercial Collaboration Association (CECCA) newsletter on comp... China-Europe Commercial Collaboration Association (CECCA) newsletter on comp...
China-Europe Commercial Collaboration Association (CECCA) newsletter on comp...Shu-Chien Chen
 
Cecca newsletter issue 13 aug&amp;sept (fina...
Cecca newsletter issue 13 aug&amp;sept (fina...Cecca newsletter issue 13 aug&amp;sept (fina...
Cecca newsletter issue 13 aug&amp;sept (fina...André Mendes 安德烈
 
M&A in a changing world: Opportunities amidst disruption
M&A in a changing world: Opportunities amidst disruptionM&A in a changing world: Opportunities amidst disruption
M&A in a changing world: Opportunities amidst disruptionThe Economist Media Businesses
 
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016PwC España
 

Semelhante a The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A (20)

China's Chemical Industry - Flying Blind
China's Chemical Industry - Flying BlindChina's Chemical Industry - Flying Blind
China's Chemical Industry - Flying Blind
 
Global shippinganalyticsmonthly
Global shippinganalyticsmonthlyGlobal shippinganalyticsmonthly
Global shippinganalyticsmonthly
 
Rio Tinto Credit Suisse 24 Sept 09
Rio Tinto Credit Suisse 24 Sept 09Rio Tinto Credit Suisse 24 Sept 09
Rio Tinto Credit Suisse 24 Sept 09
 
Global & Regional M&A Report 2019
Global & Regional M&A Report 2019Global & Regional M&A Report 2019
Global & Regional M&A Report 2019
 
Global Context for Mining
Global Context for MiningGlobal Context for Mining
Global Context for Mining
 
Economic Analysis Of Infrastructure Of INDIA
Economic Analysis Of Infrastructure Of INDIAEconomic Analysis Of Infrastructure Of INDIA
Economic Analysis Of Infrastructure Of INDIA
 
Paper on Inter-Asian Trade (delivered on 291009 in Bangkok, at the Thai Ports...
Paper on Inter-Asian Trade (delivered on 291009 in Bangkok, at the Thai Ports...Paper on Inter-Asian Trade (delivered on 291009 in Bangkok, at the Thai Ports...
Paper on Inter-Asian Trade (delivered on 291009 in Bangkok, at the Thai Ports...
 
Mining & Metals 2017: A tentative return to form
Mining & Metals 2017: A tentative return to formMining & Metals 2017: A tentative return to form
Mining & Metals 2017: A tentative return to form
 
Cross-border mergers and acquisitions: building momentum - International Busi...
Cross-border mergers and acquisitions: building momentum - International Busi...Cross-border mergers and acquisitions: building momentum - International Busi...
Cross-border mergers and acquisitions: building momentum - International Busi...
 
FMG
FMGFMG
FMG
 
Global capital market_new
Global capital market_newGlobal capital market_new
Global capital market_new
 
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_Eng
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_EngMerrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_Eng
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_Eng
 
Merrill North Asia Newsletter English
Merrill North Asia Newsletter EnglishMerrill North Asia Newsletter English
Merrill North Asia Newsletter English
 
China-Europe Commercial Collaboration Association (CECCA) newsletter on comp...
 China-Europe Commercial Collaboration Association (CECCA) newsletter on comp... China-Europe Commercial Collaboration Association (CECCA) newsletter on comp...
China-Europe Commercial Collaboration Association (CECCA) newsletter on comp...
 
Cecca newsletter issue 13 aug&amp;sept (fina...
Cecca newsletter issue 13 aug&amp;sept (fina...Cecca newsletter issue 13 aug&amp;sept (fina...
Cecca newsletter issue 13 aug&amp;sept (fina...
 
Playing the Long Game: China's Investment in Africa
Playing the Long Game: China's Investment in AfricaPlaying the Long Game: China's Investment in Africa
Playing the Long Game: China's Investment in Africa
 
M&A Q1-Q3 2018
M&A Q1-Q3 2018M&A Q1-Q3 2018
M&A Q1-Q3 2018
 
Mergermarket financialleaguetablereport.h12018
Mergermarket financialleaguetablereport.h12018Mergermarket financialleaguetablereport.h12018
Mergermarket financialleaguetablereport.h12018
 
M&A in a changing world: Opportunities amidst disruption
M&A in a changing world: Opportunities amidst disruptionM&A in a changing world: Opportunities amidst disruption
M&A in a changing world: Opportunities amidst disruption
 
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016
 

The Emergence Of China New Frontiers In Outbound M&amp;A

  • 1. The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A November 2009 Global Chinese Services Group
  • 2.
  • 3. Contents 2 Foreword 4 Executive summary and methodology 6 China outbound M&A overview 15 China outbound M&A activity into Australia 21 China outbound M&A activity into the US Sector focus 27 Automotive 32 Oil and Gas 38 Financial Services 43 Mining 48 Deloitte Global Chinese Services Group overview 50 Deloitte contacts The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A 1
  • 4. Foreword China has truly stepped onto the world stage Looking forward, Chinese outbound M&A activity following the turmoil that afflicted the global looks likely to continue to move from strength financial system in the second half of last year. to strength over 2010, driven by a largely- Nowhere is this more prevalent than in the unchanged appetite for deal-making in China, as Chinese outbound M&A market, where activity well as relatively attractive valuations for overseas remained solid over the first three quarters of assets. At the same time, Chinese acquirers are 2009, despite dire market conditions. Indeed, increasingly examining assets in Europe and outbound deal volumes over Q1-Q3 2009 South America, evidenced by the May 2009 accounted for 10 percent of overall Chinese M&A announcement that the China Development Bank activity, as well as close to one-quarter of M&A will lend US$10 billion to Petrobras, the state- investment – in comparison, foreign acquisitions owned Brazilian oil company, in exchange for a in 2007 comprised just 8.5 percent over all M&A guaranteed supply of oil over the next decade. volumes and 21 percent of values. Furthermore, Chinese authorities are also working to strengthen ties with the EU, in order to drive With outbound deal activity playing an tighter economic integration with the trading increasingly important role in determining bloc as well as gain market economy status, the direction of China's overall M&A market, recognition of which will most likely boost Chinese acquisitions of foreign assets have become acquisitions of European businesses in the future. increasingly sophisticated, as well as controversial. It therefore comes as no surprise that one-quarter In order to shed some light on other deal of China's 20 largest outbound transactions have drivers, as well as discuss any potential hurdles been announced over the previous three quarters, that Chinese firms are likely to encounter in the with a number of them, such as Yanzhou Coal future, Deloitte’s Global Chinese Services Group, Mining’s US$2.6 billion bid for Australia’s Felix together with mergermarket, has produced The Resources, encountering regulatory delays. emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A, a thought-leadership report which looks to At the same time, China’s sovereign wealth fully illuminate potential Chinese acquirers on the fund is also beginning to leave its mark, directly ins-and-outs of purchasing foreign assets. accounting for two multi-billion dollar acquisitions since the beginning of 2007 – the US$3 billion acquisition of a minority stake in US buyout house Blackstone, as well as the US$1.5 billion 17.2 percent stake purchase in Canada’s Teck Resources, announced in July 2009. Public capital is also increasingly being utilized to fund outbound acquisitions, with the China Development Bank recently loaning the state-owned China National Petroleum Corporation US$30 billion in order to swell its outbound M&A war-chest. 2
  • 5. The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A 3
  • 6. Executive summary and methodology Outbound M&A overview all outbound M&A transactions and valuations Chinese outbound M&A flows (incorporating all have been for North American targets. These outbound acquisitions stemming from buyers proportions rose substantially when looking at located in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan outbound purchases for the Q1-Q3 2009 period, and Macau and targeting businesses situated to 32 percent and 70 percent, respectively. outside China) rebounded over the first three quarters of 2009, with quarterly volumes Sector focus expanding from just 10 announced transactions Energy, Mining & Utilities transactions continue in Q1 to 26 in Q3. Likewise, quarterly deal values to dominate Chinese M&A purchases abroad. rose over the same timeframe from US$1.3 billion Since the beginning of 2003, acquisitions in the to US$8.9 billion. sector have accounted for 29 percent of total outbound deal flow by volume and a massive Chinese acquisitions abroad are steadily rising in 65 percent of total deal valuations. Over Q1-Q3 value: 20.8 percent of all disclosed Chinese M&A 2009, these proportions increased to 40 percent transactions over 2003 to Q3 2009 were valued and 93 percent, respectively. at US$250 million or greater – a proportion which rose by 1.6 percentage points over the first Deal rationale and obstacles three-quarters of 2009. One factor influencing outbound deal flow stems from the fact that Chinese monetary authorities Private equity buyouts from China seem to are encouraging state-owned enterprises (SOEs) focus on portfolio companies located in the to acquire Energy, Mining & Utilities assets Industrials sector: 28 percent of all China-based abroad in order to utilize some of the economy’s private equity acquisitions over the 2003-Q3 massive foreign exchange reserves and diversify 2009 timeframe by both deal volume and value away from low-yielding US dollar-denominated were conducted in this space. Meanwhile, over government securities, as well as secure mining one-third (37 percent) of this activity by deal and energy resources to satisfy the country’s volume targeted businesses in South Asia, while growing appetite for manufacturing inputs. one-fifth of private equity activity by value was invested in Australasian businesses. Chinese SOEs are also looking to expand inorganically so that they can achieve significant Outbound M&A activity into Australia economies of scale, which will ultimately allow Chinese acquisitions into Australia totaled some them to achieve market share abroad and 58 transactions worth a total of US$9.3 billion strengthen their bottom line. over the 2003-Q3 2009 period. The majority of this deal flow was centered on the acquisition China’s post-merger integration (PMI) track of Australian Energy, Mining & Utilities assets, record is developing, however, with obvious which accounted for some 67 percent of overall corollaries for the long-term success of outbound deal volumes over the timeframe, as well as transactions. 86 percent of total valuations. Furthermore, the predominance of Energy, Mining & Utilities The impact of M&A regulations purchases has risen over the first three quarters Comprehensive revisions to China’s regulatory of 2009, with 75 percent of all deal volumes and regime, implemented in the summer of 2008 99 percent of all valuations being attributable to and 2009, signal that such Chinese business acquisitions in the space. policies are now comparable to the EU or North America. At the same time, issues of regulatory Outbound M&A activity into the US reciprocity are unlikely to arise in the near future Chinese acquisitions overseas tend to be focused as the major antitrust regimes are aware of the on assets located in North America. Since huge adverse impact such a charge would have 2003, roughly one-quarter and one-third of on future M&A flows. 4
  • 7. The future • Only true merger and acquisition deals will Outbound Energy, Mining & Utilities transactions, be collated. Transactions to be included will primarily focusing on Australian assets, are likely usually involve a controlling stake in a company to continue into 2010. However, such transactions being transferred between two different are not going to get easier with time, with large parties. Where the stake acquired is less than Chinese bids for foreign assets in this space are 30 percent (10 percent in Asia-Pacific), the deal likely to be met with increasing resistance. will only be included if its value is greater than US$100 million. Chinese bidders will start returning to bid for • Transactions such as restructurings were assets in the Financial Services sector. While it is shareholders’ interests in total remain the largely accepted that some Chinese bidders made same will not be collated. Mergermarket does have undertaken poorly planned investments into not track property deals, Letters of intent, Western financial institutions in the past, pending Memorandums of understandings, Head of financial sector reforms in the EU and North agreement and Non-binding agreements. America will no doubt create lucrative investment • All US$ symbols refer to US dollars unless opportunities. otherwise stated. • The report includes deals from the below From a country perspective, China's vigorous locations: investment into US businesses is expected to - Mainland China (China); continue over the next 12 months with buyers - Hong Kong; eyeing assets in a bid to boost their technological - Taiwan; prowess. The most notable example of such a - Macau. trend was undoubtedly Lenvovo’s US$1.75 billion • According to mergermarket and for the acquisition of IBM’s personal computer division, purposes of this report, an outbound announced at the end of 2004. Anecdotal transaction is defined as a deal in which the evidence suggests that the jury is still out on the bidder is predominantly located in Mainland deal, with Lenovo recently reporting better-than- China, Hong Kong, Macau or Taiwan and the expected first quarter 2009 results after a difficult target business is predominantly located in any period following the acquisition. other country aside from mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau or Taiwan. Overall, the prognosis for Chinese outbound • For the purposes of this report, regional splits M&A activity is fundamentally strong, despite are defined as follows: significant operational and political barriers to - Germanic – Germany, Switzerland and deal flow continuing to hamper transactions. Austria; Looking forward, it is increasingly likely that - Iberia – Spain and Portugal; outbound values and volumes will eventually - Australasia – Australia and New Zealand; overcome such obstacles, ultimately resulting in - Benelux – The Netherlands, Belgium and the expansion of this particular market. - Luxembourg. • Any mention to the term ‘2003-Q3 2009’ Methodology throughout the report indicates that the • Historical data includes all mergermarket- period in question runs from 01/01/2003 to recorded transactions for the period 30/09/2009. Similarly, any mention to the 01/01/2003 to 30/09/2009. term ‘Q1-Q3 2009’ indicates that the period in • Transactions with a deal value of greater than question runs from 01/01/2009 to 30/09/2009. US$5 million are included. If the consideration • All data quoted is proprietary mergermarket is undisclosed, mergermarket will include deals data unless otherwise stated. on the basis of a reported or estimated value of over US$5 million. If the value is not disclosed, mergermarket will record a transaction if the target’s turnover is greater than US$10 million. The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A 5
  • 8. China outbound M&A overview Lawrence Chia, Head of Deloitte China M&A Services & Global Chinese Services Group Co-Chairman remains optimistic on Chinese outbound M&A prospects, suggesting that strong home-grown deal drivers could overcome Chinese businesses’ concerns of overseas regulatory obstacles in the foreseeable future 6
  • 9. M&A trends of outbound cross-border M&A activity from China 30 25,000 25 20,000 20 Deal value (US$m) 15,000 Deal volume 15 10,000 10 5,000 5 0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2003 2003 2003 2003 2004 2004 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 Deal volume Deal value (US$m) Source: mergermarket Outbound M&A activity from China has being conducted, Chinese outbound M&A flows increased significantly in recent times, coinciding remained relatively resilient, with the volume of with the rapid development of the wider cross-border acquisitions falling 28 percent over economy and the increasing presence of China the H2 2008-H1 2009 period compared to the on the world stage. Indeed, between 2003 same timeframe a year previously. In contrast, and the end of Q3 2009, Chinese businesses global M&A volumes dropped by 36 percent. Chia undertook 437 outbound acquisitions, worth believes that this relative robustness is attributable a total of US$116.8 billion – with the bulk of to the fact that the wider Chinese economy these (some 241 transactions worth US$75.3 remained somewhat insulated to the fall out from billion) having taken place over the past the financial crisis, perhaps due to the massive two-and-three-quarter years. government capital injection that followed the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008. More recently, Lawrence Chia, Head of Deloitte China M&A Services & Global Chinese Services At the same time, Chia points out that factors Group Co-Chairman, notes that outbound Chinese other than opportunistic bottom-fishing have M&A deal flow has risen rapidly over the first also driven outbound cross-border deal-making. three quarters of the year, with Chinese purchases State-sanctioned acquisitions are one such driver, overseas having numbered 61 deals worth US$21.2 with Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) billion, the majority of them coming to market in being offered large loans or credit agreements Q3 2009. Some 26 deals worth US$8.9 billion were at preferential rates in order to purchase foreign announced over this period, with the numbers assets (China Development Bank’s [CDB] recent significantly boosted by the US$2.6 billion debt- US$30 billion loan to China National Petroleum inclusive buy of Felix Resources, the Australian Corp to enhance its acquisition war-chest is just one miner, by Yanzhou Coal, its Chinese counterpart. example). Such support, Chia believes, comes as the authorities look to diversify the country’s US$2.13 While the global credit crisis resulted in a large trillion of foreign exchange reserves, around 65 decline in the number of M&A transactions percent of which is currently invested in low-yielding The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A 7
  • 10. Deal size split by volume dollar-denominated securities according to UBS. 90 9 6 At the same time, Chia also notes that Chinese 80 11 9 SOEs are conducting outbound M&A acquisitions 70 as they look to grow their business in order to 9 13 4 14 prevent takeover bids from larger domestic rivals. 60 7 7 “Buying assets overseas is a sign of strength”, he 4 Deal volume 4 50 4 6 says. “In addition, such businesses do not have to 40 4 2 8 25 36 35 return cash to any stakeholders and are therefore 6 30 23 in a position to finance such acquisitions”. 18 2 21 20 3 11 9 13 9 It is interesting to note that over the whole period, 12 11 10 4 16 16 Hong Kong accounted for the largest proportion 4 9 12 0 4 8 8 of outbound acquisitions by bidder country, 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1-Q3 2009 brokering 217 deals compared to 174 outbound Not disclosed <US$15m US$15m - US$100m US$101m - US$250m US$251m - US$500m >US$500m purchases by Chinese businesses and 37 by Source: mergermarket Taiwanese companies. However, in terms of deal valuations, Chinese acquirers have spent US$85.1 Sector split of cross-border M&A activity billion buying overseas, in contrast to the US$28 from China 2003-Q3 2009: volume billion and US$3.7 billion invested by Hong Kong 2% 2% 1% 1% and Taiwanese firms respectively. 2% 3% 6% Energy, Mining & Utilities The Q2 2009 US$8.8 billion acquisition of Addax 29% Industrials TMT by Sinopec highlights the prominence of the 7% Consumer large-cap deal in the China outbound space. Financial Services Business Services Despite the austere economic climate, over Transportation the first three quarters of 2009, 11 percent of Pharma, Medical & Biotech Agriculture acquisitions were valued at more than US$500 12% Leisure Construction million, a four-percentage point rise over FY2008 Real Estate figures. However, at the other end of the scale, 19% small-cap deal flow – those transactions valued at less than US$15 million – also jumped five 16% percentage points over the same time period. Source: mergermarket However, while Chia acknowledges that recent Sector split of cross-border M&A activity outbound transactions have increasingly fallen from China 2003-Q3 2009: value into the large-cap space, he does not believe that 1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 0% <1% mega-cap (US$1 billion+) transactions will really 4% take off, explaining that Chinese bidders now 6% Energy, Mining & Utilities realize that such deals are simply too unwieldy and Financial Services difficult to manage effectively – especially when TMT 7% Industrials looking at acquisitions in the Energy, Mining & Consumer Business Services Utilities space. Construction Pharma, Medical & Biotech 13% Real Estate Sector splits Transportation Energy, Mining & Utilities transactions Leisure 66% Agriculture unsurprisingly dominated Chinese acquisitions over the 2003-Q3 2009 period, accounting for 29 percent of all outbound transactions by volume and 66 percent by value. Other industries Source: mergermarket which attracted notable investment include the 8
  • 11. Industrials sector, which had a 19 percent share in Sector split of cross-border M&A activity terms of volume, but just 6 percent by value, while from China Q1-Q3 2009: volume the TMT space witnessed 16 percent of overall 2% 2% deal volumes and 7 percent of values. 6% 8% Energy, Mining & Utilities Looking at outbound M&A activity over 2009 Industrials TMT alone, it is clear just how much importance China Consumer 41% ascribes to securing raw materials in order to fuel Financial Services Business Services 10% its booming manufacturing base. The proportion Leisure Agriculture of Energy, Mining & Utilities-focused acquisitions abroad over the three quarters of 2009 alone makes up some 41 percent of the total number of deals – a rise of 12 percentage points compared 15% to similar figures for the past six-and-three- quarter-year period. Furthermore, the country 16% spent some US$19.5 billion acquiring such foreign Source: mergermarket assets, accounting for a massive 93 percent of the total spent overseas in the first three quarters of Sector split of cross-border M&A activity the year. from China Q1-Q3 2009: value 1% <1% 1% 2% <1% Looking forward, Chia suggests that the 2% <1% dominance of Energy, Mining & Utilities transactions is likely to continue into 2010. Energy, Mining & Utilities Financial Services However, he does not believe that such TMT Industrials transactions are going to get easier with time, Business Services saying that, “Large Chinese bids for foreign assets Consumer Leisure in this space are likely to meet with increasing Agriculture resistance. Chinese bidders will progressively need to learn how to divorce any political undertones from their offers if they want their bids to succeed”. 93% At the same time, Chia feels that Chinese bidders Source: mergermarket will start returning to bid for assets in the Financial Services sector. “While some market commentators believe that entities such as the state sovereign wealth fund China Investment Corporation (CIC) burnt their fingers last time Large Chinese bids for foreign assets in they invested in western financial institutions, the imminent swathe of reforms that are about to the Energy, Mining & Utilities space are impact European and North American banks will no doubt create lucrative investment opportunities likely to meet with increasing resistance and they are making these investments for the in the future strategic long-term”. Lawrence Chia Head of Deloitte China M&A Services & Global Chinese Services Group Co-Chairman Another potential driver of outbound Financial Services transactions derives from the fact that state-owned Chinese banks are increasingly creating partnerships abroad in order to support future deal financings between prospective The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A 9
  • 12. Geographic split of outbound cross-border M&A activity Chinese acquirers and local sellers. Chia cites from China 2003-Q3 2009: volume Industrial and Commercial Bank of China’s (ICBC) <1% <1% 20 percent stake buy in South Africa’s Standard 2% 2% 2% <1% North America Bank for US$5.4 billion in early 2007 as a good 2% 2% South East Asia Australasia example of such a practice, with future Chinese 3% 24% South Asia buyers looking to make purchases in Africa being 3% UK & Ireland 3% Germanic able to secure local deal financing terms off the 3% Central & South America back of this relationship. Japan Africa 4% Central & Eastern Europe North Asia Other sectors that Chia believes will see a rise in Central Asia outbound deal flow over 2010 and beyond include 5% 16% Benelux Nordic the Agriculture and Renewable Energy, both of France which are likely to witness increased activity as 6% Italy Middle East Chinese firms search for suitable businesses to 8% Iberia sate their rising appetite for both clean energy and South Eastern Europe Source: mergermarket 14% agricultural produce. Geographic split of outbound cross-border M&A activity Country splits from China 2003-Q3 2009: value North America-based businesses have been 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% the preferred target of Chinese acquirers over 1% <1% the 2003-Q3 2009 period, with some 106 2%1% North America 2% 2% UK & Ireland acquisitions, accounting for 24 percent of the 4% 28% South East Asia Australasia total, being announced. Meanwhile, South East 4% Africa Asian and Australasian businesses have also Central & Eastern Europe Nordic found favor with the Chinese buyers, accounting 8% Central Asia South Asia for 16 percent and 14 percent of outbound France acquisitions by volume respectively. Central & South America Middle East 8% North Asia Germanic Chia remarked that acquisitions of Australian Italy Energy, Mining & Utilities assets are likely to Japan 20% Benelux continue unabated in the near future. This is 8% South Eastern Europe Iberia chiefly because Australian commodities, such as 9% coal, are of superior quality while transportation Source: mergermarket costs involved with shipping aggregates from Geographic split of outbound cross-border M&A activity Australia to China are lower than from Canada from China Q1-Q3 2009: volume and South America. 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% Chia further claims that the country’s love affair 3% North America with US businesses will continue over the next 3% 33% Australasia 12 months with buyers eyeing assets in a bid South East Asia 3% Japan to boost their technological prowess. At the Central & South America UK & Ireland same time, Chinese buys in the US may also be 5% Nordic encouraged by the state as it looks to diversify Benelux Africa its massive US dollar reserves away from currency 10% South Asia Central Asia holdings into less volatile assets. North Asia Central & Eastern Europe North America also ranks as the top recipient of outbound M&A investments from China by 31% value, with Chinese bidders spending some Source: mergermarket US$32.2 billion (28 percent of the total) over the 10
  • 13. 2003-Q3 2009 period. Acquirers also splashed Geographic split of outbound cross-border M&A activity out a further US$23.5 billion and US$10.5 billion from China Q1-Q3 2009: value <1% buying UK & Ireland as well as South East Asian 1% <1% <1% <1% assets respectively. 4% <1% 4% While Chinese acquisitions of African assets have North America Australasia received many column inches in the world’s Central Asia financial press of late, Chia doesn’t expect this to 20% UK & Ireland South East Asia translate into a sustained trend over the longer North Asia Japan term. “There are profitable M&A opportunities Central & Eastern Europe in Africa but doing a deal there is difficult due South Asia Africa to the lack of infrastructure”, he explained. Following the failure of CNPC’s US$460 million 70% bid for the Verenex Energy, the Canadian-listed Oil & Gas Exploration company with interests in Libya, in September 2009, Chia also points out Source: mergermarket that political intransigence plays an important role. CNPC walked away from the deal after Private equity M&A trends of outbound cross-border Libya’s National Oil Company – who had the M&A activity from China right of first refusal – purchased the business 1,000 7 itself and is currently negotiating a lower 900 valuation for the business. 6 800 5 700 Private equity Deal value (US$m) 600 China Outbound private equity acquisitions Deal volume 4 have numbered some 59 transactions worth 500 US$5.2 billion over the 2003-Q3 2009 period, 3 400 accounting for 13 percent of overall outbound 2 300 transactions and 4.4 percent of total valuations. 200 The vast majority of these private equity bids 1 100 originated from Hong Kong-based private 0 0 equity firms, indicating that despite its massive Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2003 2003 2003 2003 2004 2004 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 Q2 Q3 economic clout, Chinese private equity firms Deal volume Deal value (US$m) Source: mergermarket have yet to actively target companies in overseas markets. Sector split of cross-border private equity M&A activity from China 2003-Q3 2009: volume Buyouts of foreign businesses by Chinese private 4% 2% 2% equity houses have fallen off over the course of 4% 2009, with just three such deals having taken 5% Industrials 29% place in the first three quarters of this year. Technology, Media & Telecommunications (TMT) 5% Financial Services Quarterly deal flow was at its highest point in Q1 Business Services 2008 when seven transactions were undertaken – Consumer however, in terms of quarterly valuations, activity 7% Pharma, Medical & Biotech Construction peaked in Q1 2006 following the US$887 million Energy, Mining & Utilities MBO of Waco International, the South African Leisure Agriculture company engaged in commercial and industrial 12% Transportation service businesses, backed by CCMP Capital Asia, 16% the Hong Kong-based private equity firm. 14% Chinese financial investors have most targeted Source: mergermarket The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A 11
  • 14. Sector split of cross-border private equity M&A activity companies in the Industrials sector, with from China 2003-Q3 2009: value acquisitions in this particular space accounting 1% 1% for more than one-quarter (29 percent) of all 2% 4% outbound private equity activity in terms of both 8% deal volume and deal value. Industrials 29% Construction Consumer Looking at geographic breakdowns, South 10% Financial Services Asian assets attracted the lion’s share (37 Business Services Technology, Media & Telecommunications (TMT) percent) of private equity investment in terms Transportation of deal volumes over the period while North Pharma, Medical & Biotech America and South East Asia were also notable Energy, Mining & Utilities 12% Leisure destinations for Chinese cross-border private equity activity, together accounting for 28 20% percent of the market. Meanwhile, in contrast 13% outbound private equity valuations have been Source: mergermarket centered in Australasia, Africa and South East Asia, with a total of US$2.7 billion having been Geographic split of cross-border private equity M&A activity invested in them collectively. from China 2003-Q3 2009: volume 2% 2% 2% 2% Despite the rather subdued level of deal making 4% from Chinese financial investors, Chia remains 4% South Asia optimistic that home-grown – especially 5% North America South East Asia mainland-Chinese – private equity groups will 37% Australasia mature over the next 12 months, pointing North Asia UK & Ireland towards the massive amounts of capital that is Japan Central & Eastern Europe rapidly becoming available to fund deals. “The 14% Africa propensity to save in China is of the world’s Benelux Italy highest, meaning that vast amounts of capital are increasingly being made available for the country’s alternative investment community”, 14% explains Chia. “Such capital pools are only 14% going to get bigger, particularly since a lower Source: mergermarket proportion of China’s population has access to a bank account vis-à-vis other economies of Geographic split of cross-border private equity M&A activity the same size. As a result, many state-owned from China 2003-Q3 2009: value financial institutions, such as CDB, are creating 3% 3% 1% private equity funds to invest abroad, such as its 8% 19% China-Africa Fund, which will aim to raise US$5 Australasia billion to invest and support Chinese enterprises in Africa South East Asia Africa”. However, Chia concedes it is questionable North America 8% South Asia whether domestic financial investors will initially UK & Ireland want to cut their teeth on complex cross-border Italy North Asia acquisitions. 18% Benelux 10% Central & Eastern Europe 14% 16% Source: mergermarket 12
  • 15. Top 20 China outbound deals Ranking Announced Status Target company Target Target country Bidder company Bidder Seller company Seller Deal date sector location country value (US$m) 1 Feb-08 C Rio Tinto Plc (12.00 Mining United Kingdom Alcoa Inc; Aluminum China 14,000 percent stake) Corporation of China (Chinalco) 2 Jun-09 C Addax Petroleum Energy Canada Sinopec International China 8,800 Corporation Petroleum Exploration and Production Corporation 3 Oct-07 C Standard Bank Group Financial South Africa Industrial and Commercial China 5,413 Limited (20.00 percent Services Bank of China Limited stake) 4 Jul-06 C Rosneft Oil Company OAO Energy Russia BP Plc; China National China Rosneftegaz Russia 5,345 (7.58 percent stake) Petroleum Corporation; Petroliam Nasional Berhad 5 Aug-05 C PetroKazakhstan Inc Energy Canada CNPC International Limited China 3,932 6 Jul-08 C Awilco Offshore ASA Energy Norway China Oilfield Services Limited China 3,777 7 Jun-06 C OAO Udmurtneft Energy Russia China Petroleum & Chemical China TNK-BP Holding Russia 3,500 Corporation OAO 8 Mar-08 C Tuas Power Limited Energy Singapore SinoSing Power Pte Ltd China Temasek Holdings Singapore 3,103 Pte Ltd 9 May-07 C Blackstone Group Financial USA China Investment Corporation China 3,000 Holdings LLC (Minority Services Stake) 10 Jul-07 C Barclays Plc (3.10 percent Financial United Kingdom China Development Bank China 2,980 stake) Services 11 Aug-09 P Felix Resources Limited Mining Australia Yanzhou Coal Mining China 2,564 (formerly AuIron Energy Company Ltd Limited ACN) 12 Aug-04 C National Grid Transco Utilities United Kingdom Cheung Kong Infrastructure Hong Kong National Grid Plc United 2,494 plc (North England (other) Holdings Limited; Li Ka Shing Kingdom distribution network) (Overseas) Foundation; United Utilities Plc 13 Jan-06 C South Atlantic Petroleum Energy Nigeria China National Offshore Oil Hong Kong South Atlantic Nigeria 2,268 (OML 130) (45.00 percent Corporation Ltd Petroleum Ltd. stake) 14 Oct-06 C Argymak Trans Service Energy Kazakhstan CITIC Group China CITIC Canada Canada 1,910 LLP; Karazhanbasmunai, Petroleum Limited JSC; Tulpar Munai Services (formerly Nations LLP Energy Company Limited) 15 Sep-08 C Tanganyika Oil Company Energy Canada China Petroleum & Chemical China 1,813 Ltd. Corporation 16 Dec-04 C IBM Corporation (Personal Computer: USA Lenovo Group Limited Hong Kong IBM Corporation USA 1,750 Computing Division) Hardware 17 Aug-09 P ASOC (Mackay River and Energy Canada PetroChina Company Limited China Athabasca Oil Canada 1,740 Dover oil sands projects) Sands Corp (60.00 percent stake) 18 Jul-09 P Teck Resources Limited Mining Canada Fullbloom Investment China 1,508 (17.20 percent stake) Corporation 19 Apr-09 C OZ Minerals (certain assets Mining Australia China Minmetals Non-Ferrous China OZ Minerals Australia 1,386 excluding Prominent Hill Metals Co Ltd Limited (formerly and Martabe) known as Oxiana Limited) 20 Jan-05 C Marionnaud Parfumeries Consumer: France A.S.Watson & Co Ltd Hong Kong 1,181 SA Other P= pending, C= completed Source: mergermarket Top 20 China outbound deals and outlook exploration and production company, by Sinopec, China's largest The largest Chinese outbound acquisition to take place since the producer and supplier of oil products and major petrochemical beginning of 2003 saw a consortium consisting of Alcoa and products. The bid was offered at a 47 percent premium to Addax’s Chinalco, the US and Chinese aluminum producers respectively, share price one month prior to the announcement – one of the acquire a 12 percent stake in Rio Tinto, the UK-listed miner, reasons why 92.67 percent of the target’s shareholders ultimately for US$14 billion. The deal was completed in early 2008 and tendered their shares to the bid. The bid premium – considered to was conducted primarily to protect the two bidders from rising be on the high side by market commentators – also kept potential aluminum prices if rival BHP Billiton’s bid to acquire Rio Tinto rivals away from Addax as it was rumored that the Korean was successful. National Oil Company was also lining up Addax in its crosshairs. Second on the list was the US$8.8 billion inclusive of net-debt The third-largest outbound transaction emanating from China acquisition of Addax Petroleum, the Canadian oil and gas saw ICBC, the Chinese bank, snap up a 20 percent stake in South The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A 13
  • 16. Africa’s Standard Bank, a deal – as mentioned the US and Europe as the Chinese regulatory earlier – which Chia believes could have been regime was not considered up to par. The recent motivated by the Chinese government’s desire to shake-ups are a response to this and now I believe help future acquirers looking to invest in Africa that the Chinese regulatory framework is now very secure better deal financing terms from friendly much in line with international best practices”. local lenders. Chia pours cold water on the idea that China’s The largest foreign buy conducted by a Hong rejection of Coca-Cola’s bid for Huiyuan Juice, as Kong bidder saw a consortium of Cheung well as the recent trade spat between China and Kong Infrastructure Holdings, the Hong Kong the US could lead to increased protectionism. infrastructure company, United Utilities, the UK “Local drivers influencing Chinese acquisitions water, electricity, and natural gas utility, and abroad are, in themselves, compelling reasons the Li Ka Shing Foundation, acquire the North for Chinese firms to buy foreign assets, England gas distribution network, from National regardless of the strict regulatory regimes in Grid Transco, the UK natural gas transmission and place overseas”. Delving further, he says, “I think distribution company, for US$2.5 billion back in a sense of perspective is required here. It must 2005. The consortium fought off competition be remembered that just prior to their bid for from private equity firm Terra Firma, strategic Huiyuan, Coca-Cola attempted to buy a similar- player Scottish and Southern Energy, as well as sized Australian soft drinks manufacturer in a Macquarie Bank and A billion Amro. deal which was ultimately rejected by Australian antitrust authorities due to concerns over the new Looking forward, Chia remains positive on entity’s market share. As a result, I do not think the outbound M&A market, especially when there is any basis for reciprocity to occur and the discussing recent revisions to China’s antitrust regimes in Washington, Ottawa and Brussels, I regime and its impact on outbound deal believe, are aware of this”. opportunities. On this particular topic, he notes that comprehensive revisions, implemented in the Chia does however admit that China’s post summer of 2008 and 2009, signal that Chinese merger integration track record is developing. business policies are now comparable to the EU or “Chinese bidders should learn how to implement North America. “Previous high-profile outbound a cross-border M&A acquisition”, he said, “they acquisitions by Chinese bidders were, more often have recognized that it is a key success factor for than not, sniffed at by regulatory agencies in cross-border M&A transactions and this applies to handling both regulatory agencies as well as target stakeholders”. Local drivers influencing Chinese acquisitions abroad are, in themselves, compelling reasons for Chinese firms to buy foreign assets, regardless of the strict regulatory regimes in place overseas Lawrence Chia Head of Deloitte China M&A Services & Global Chinese Services Group Co-Chairman 14
  • 17. China outbound M&A activity into Australia Keith Jones, Managing Partner of Deloitte's Western Australia Region & Australia Chinese Services Group Leader, highlights China’s appetite for Australian commodities as a continued driver of outbound M&A acquisitions into the country – yet warns that Australian regulatory bodies will begin to monitor such transactions closely The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A 15
  • 18. M&A trends of outbound cross-border M&A activity from China into Australia 3,500 6 3,000 5 2,500 4 Deal value (US$m) 2,000 Deal volume 3 1,500 2 1,000 1 500 0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2003 2003 2003 2003 2004 2004 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 Deal volume Deal value (US$m) Source: mergermarket Australia’s vast amount of natural resources private equity buying into Australia. Nonetheless, has underpinned a flurry of M&A transactions SOEs still dominate inbound investment activity”. undertaken by Chinese firms in a bid to The average size of acquisitions in the Australian meet the raw material demands of a rapidly market (US$195 million over the period) is just expanding economy. As a result, M&A activity over half the US$321 million mean value of all has steadily climbed from just five acquisitions, Chinese outbound M&A transactions since 2003, collectively valued at US$1.4 billion, in 2003, to However, a few large-cap Australian Mining 12 transactions, worth US$1.8 billion, in 2008. transactions conducted in the first three quarters And 2009 is shaping up to witness even greater of 2009 bolstered this figure to US$390 million, levels of deal flow with 16 transactions, worth more than 90 percent the US$433 million average a combined US$5.5 billion, having already been deal value for all Chinese outbound acquisitions announced over the first three quarters, making over the same timeframe. Australia the top foreign market by country for Chinese firms sourcing assets abroad over the On a broader level, cross-border acquirers are also period. paying comparatively more for Australian assets in recent months due to the strong recovery of Cross-border M&A from China has overwhelmingly the Australian dollar, which has risen by around targeted Australian Energy, Mining & Utilities a quarter against the Chinese Yuan since early assets, for which Chinese acquirers have a March 2009. Concurrently, unit prices for subsoil seemingly undiminished appetite. “Typically, commodities have rebounded strongly over the transactions are strategic deals carried out by same period, further heightening valuations for Chinese SOEs with an agreement for the output Australian Energy, Mining & Utilities assets. or resource being produced”, says Keith Jones, Managing Partner of Deloitte's Western Australia On this issue Jones comments, “Chinese Region & Australia Chinese Services Group Leader. acquisition activity is also being encouraged He adds, “However, of late, we have seen more by businesses’ desire to diversify their foreign 16
  • 19. exchange holdings away from US dollars and Deal size split by volume into buying into real assets in other markets. This 16 strategy also supports the state’s longer-term aims 2 of securing resources for the future growth of the 14 economy”. Moreover, rising global prices for hard 2 12 commodities and energy make assets in these 2 3 niches comparatively more attractive. 10 Deal volume 1 8 1 Looking at deal sizes, since the beginning of 2003, 4 6 6 Chinese acquisitions worth more than US$500 3 5 million have accounted for just 9 percent of all 4 1 2 1 3 buys in Australia, with fully 86 percent of deal flow 1 2 2 2 2 2 falling into the mid-market (US$5 million-US$500 1 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 million) space. 5 percent of deal valuations were 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 YTD not disclosed. Not disclosed <US$15m US$15m - US$100m US$101m - US$250m US$251m - US$500m >US$500m Source: mergermarket Sector splits Chinese acquisitions of Australian businesses have focused almost exclusively on buys in the Energy, Mining & Utilities sector. Such purchases account for more than two-thirds of the overall market by deal volume and a massive 89 percent of deal value – equating to some 39 transactions worth Chinese acquisition activity is being US$9.3 billion. This focus becomes clearer even when looking at 2009 figures alone. 82 percent encouraged by businesses’ desire to of overall Chinese purchases into Australia were diversify their foreign exchange holdings purchases of Energy, Mining & Utilities assets, accounting for 99 percent of total deal values into away from US dollars and into buying the country. into real assets in other markets However, while M&A drivers in traditional Keith Jones investment hubs in Australia may sustain deal Managing Partner of Deloitte's WA Region & Australia CSG Leader flow looking ahead, Jones comments that investor rationale may be shifting. “We anticipate Chinese acquirers to be driven by the profit imperative as well as the need for resources”, he said, adding that “we also foresee growth in a different type of investor driven by more traditional investment/ growth strategies”. Accordingly, China may increasingly deploy capital towards other national industries going forward, with Jones suggesting the Foods niche, some soft commodities such as beef and timber and, in the longer term, Real Estate, to be likely targets. The emergence of China: New frontiers in outbound M&A 17