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Owen Gaffney
@owengaffney
Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research
Stockholm Resilience Centre
PROJECT DRAWDOWN10 April 2019
IEA’s World Energy Outlook solar cell growth predictions
Wind and solar are
doubling every 3-4 years
Exponential Climate Action Roadmap, Falk and Gaffney 2018
Because it is the
key ECOMOMIC
driver of the
sector – Better
and cheaper
Why is Moore’s Law so important?
1. A short-term
economic driver
2. Applies at all scales
3. Focuses on what is
achievable
4. Simple to
communicate
5. Requires a different
type of thinking
Rockström, Gaffney, Rogelj, Meinshausen, Nakicenovic, Schellnhuber. Science 24 March 2017
The Carbon Law “Halving emissions”
– a simple rule of thumb for all, guiding decadal pathways
Exponential Climate Action Roadmap, Falk and Gaffney 2018
Powered by
Project
Drawdown
Data.
Over 350
companies signed
up for high
ambition targets
Exponential Climate Action Roadmap, Falk and Gaffney 2018
Long-term structural
economic change
2020
Tipping Point?
Policies
800 million
Customers
300 million on
”Ant Forest”
Where next?
• Halving emissions every decade is
achievable, desirable and essential
• The markets are the most powerful
force in the known universe…and
they are on our side
• Need exponential leadership
Owen Gaffney
@owengaffney
Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research
Stockholm Resilience Centre
PROJECT DRAWDOWN10 April 2019
ExponentialRoadmap.FutureEarth.org

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Exponential Climate Action Roadmap

Notas do Editor

  1. Not a law of nature or physics or of the land But a very useful rule of thumb and a business driver that works at all scales.