SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 33
Baixar para ler offline
Going Global:
                         Opportunities for the Atlanta Region




Metropolitan Policy Program                  GCI Export Roundtable - Atlanta, GA / March 19, 2013
at BROOKINGS
                                                                                                    1
The U.S. Economy Has Grown Very Few Jobs in the Sector That Drives Prosperity




                          =
      Tradable
                                                           Local Jobs
     Sector Job



Source: Ezell, Stephen and Robert Atkinson, 2012, “Fifty Ways to Leaver Your
Competitiveness Woes Behind,” ITIF.
                                                                                    2
The U.S. Economy Has Grown Very Few Jobs in the Sector That Drives Prosperity




                                                                                       2%
                          =                                                            incremental job growth in the
                                                                                       U.S. between 1990-2008 from
                                                                                       tradable sectors
      Tradable
                                                           Local Jobs
     Sector Job



Source: Ezell, Stephen and Robert Atkinson, 2012, “Fifty Ways to Leaver Your   Source: Michael Spence, “The Evolving Structure of the American Economy and the
Competitiveness Woes Behind,” ITIF.                                            Employment Challenge,” Council on Foreign Relations, 2011.
                                                                                                                                                                 2
The New Reality: Growth Markets Are Increasingly Located Outside of the U.S.

                             Global GDP

                                                                     29%
                                                                     BIC Countries




                                                                    18.3%
                                                                    US



                                       2016
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010; UN Department of
Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
                                                                                                     3
The New Reality: Growth Markets Are Increasingly Located Outside of the U.S.

                             Global GDP

                                                                     29%

                                                                                                     $ 21 trillion
                                                                     BIC Countries



                                                                                                     global middle class consumption in 2000

                                                                    18.3%
                                                                    US



                                       2016
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010; UN Department of
Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
                                                                                                                                               3
The New Reality: Growth Markets Are Increasingly Located Outside of the U.S.

                             Global GDP

                                                                     29%

                                                                                                     $ 31 trillion
                                                                     BIC Countries



                                                                                                     global middle class consumption in 2020

                                                                    18.3%
                                                                    US



                                       2016
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010; UN Department of
Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
                                                                                                                                               3
The New Reality: Growth Markets Are Increasingly Located Outside of the U.S.

                                                                  1. Macau, Macau             11. Jakarta, Indonesia
                                                                  2. Perth, Australia         12. Zhongshan, China
                                                                  3. Riyadh, Saudi Arabia     13. Delhi, India
                                                                  4. Xiamen, China            14. Jeddah-Mecca, Saudi Arabia
        Top 20 Global
       Metros, Economic                                           5. Changsha, China          15. Shenzhen, China
         Performance                                              6. Fuzhou, China            16. Ningbo, China
                    (2011-2012)                                   7. San Juan, Puerto Rico    17. Zhuhai, China
                                                                  8. Hangzhou, China          18. Wulumuqi, China
                                                                  9. Wuhan, China             19. Kunming, China
                                                                  10. Hefei, China            20. Dongying, China


Source: Istrate, Emilia and Carey Anne Nadeau, 2012, “Global MetroMonitor 2012,” Brookings.
                                                                                                                               4
1 2 3


     Exports will be a key driver
 1   of the next economy




                                    5
Leaders Will Harness the Potential of Global Trade
                          Global Exports Value                                                                         Exports Share of U.S. GDP Growth
                                   (2009-2011, trillions)                                                                                                 (2010-2011)

                                                                          $17.8
                                              $14.9
                       $12.4

                                                                                                                                                               46%




                        2009                    2010                       2011
Source: International Monetary Fund, Direction of Trade Statistics (December 2012), Emilia Istrate and Nick Marchio, “Export Nation 2012,” Brookings, 2012.
                                                                                                                                                                        6
The U.S. Has a $194 Billion Trade Surplus in Services
                                                                       U.S. Balance of Trade by Services Sector, 2011
                                                                                                    (billions)


                                       Financial
                         Software Licenses
                                           Travel
                             Other Business
                         Industrial Licenses
                                     Education
                Management Consulting
                            Passenger Fares
                      Telecommunications
              Research & Development
                                   Computing
                        Freight & Port Use
                                     Insurance
                                                    -$40        -$30        -$20         -$10         $0         $10   $20   $30   $40   $50   $60



Source: Economics and Statistics Administration, 2011, “U.S. Trade in Private Services,” Washington, DC
                                                                                                                                                     7
Going Global Pays Off for Small and Medium Enterprises

                                               U.S. Manufacturing Firms Revenue Growth
                                                                                            (2005-2009)



                                                                                    37%




                                                                                                             -7%

                                                                                 Exporting                 Non-
                                                                                                         Exporting



Source: U.S. International Trade Commission, 2010, “Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises: Characteristics and Performance,” Washington,
                                                                                                                                        8
The U.S. Is an Under-Exporter

                   Exports Share of GDP                              30%           29%                22%
                                           2011



                                                       13%
                                                             China            Canada          India


                                                                             15%             15%




                                                                     Japan         European Union
                                United States

Source: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011
                                                                                                            9
The U.S. Is an Under-Exporter




        1% of all U.S. firms export
                                                           42%
                                                             of surveyed middle-market
                                                             U.S. firms operate entirely
                                                             within the U.S.



                                             Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, “U.S. Middle Market Firms and the Global Marketplace: Should I
Source: International Trade Administration
                                             Stay or Should I Go,” 2013.
                                                                                                                                                   10
The U.S. Is an Under-Exporter




        1% of all U.S. firms export
                                                           4%of surveyed middle-market
                                                             U.S. firms are currently
                                                             expanding overseas



                                             Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, “U.S. Middle Market Firms and the Global Marketplace: Should I
Source: International Trade Administration
                                             Stay or Should I Go,” 2013.
                                                                                                                                                   10
The U.S. Is an Under-Exporter


• Companies fear exporting

• Companies lack awareness of global opportunities and services

• Inadequate pipeline of export ready companies

• Export services vary in quality and are often fragmented

• State and federal efforts often lack sustained vision and commitment

                                                                         11
1 2 3

     The Atlanta region must act
 2   on the export moment to
     prosper in the next economy




                                   12
The Atlanta Region Is a Major Exporter, But Lags In Intensity and Growth

    Export Volume
    (billions, 2010)
                                                    $20.0
                                                             (13th)


    Export Intensity
    (2010)
                                                       8.0%
                                                               (77th)


    Export Growth
    (2003-2008)
                                                       6.7%
                                                               (60th)


    Export Growth
    (2009-2010)
                                                   10.8%
                                                               (49th)

Sources: Emilia Istrate and Nick Marchio, “Export Nation 2012,” Brookings
                                                                               13
The Atlanta Region Is a Major Exporter, But Lags In Intensity and Growth

    Export Volume
    (billions, 2010)
                                                    $20.0                   Services Share
                                                             (13th)                            53%
                                                                            of Exports
                                                                            (2010)
    Export Intensity
    (2010)
                                                       8.0%
                                                               (77th)


    Export Growth
    (2003-2008)
                                                       6.7%                 Services Share
                                                               (60th)                          67%
                                                                            of Export Growth
                                                                            (2003-2010)
    Export Growth
    (2009-2010)
                                                   10.8%
                                                               (49th)

Sources: Emilia Istrate and Nick Marchio, “Export Nation 2012,” Brookings
                                                                                                     13
Metro Areas Hold the Bulk of the Assets That Will Drive Exports

                                                                             Top 100 Metros
                                                                             Share of U.S. Totals




                                                                                                      78%       82%
                                                                     74%         75%           75%
                     66%                      65%




                 Population                  Goods                 College      Services        GDP   Patents   Air Freight
                                             Exports               Degrees      Exports


Source: Brookings analysis of US Census Bureau, BLS, BEA, NIH and NSF data
                                                                                                                              14
Metro Areas Play a Unique Role In Boosting Exports
                                   Open new markets through free trade agreements
                                   Finance exports through Ex-Im and SBA
                   Federal               3 on-the-ground expertise in foreign markets
                                   Provide
                                   Produce export data to inform state and regional efforts




                                                                                              15
Metro Areas Play a Unique Role In Boosting Exports
                                   Open new markets through free trade agreements
                                   Finance exports through Ex-Im and SBA
                   Federal         Provide on-the-ground expertise in foreign markets
                                   Produce export data to inform state and regional efforts


                                    Organize and facilitate trade missions

                     State              3
                                    Support and coordinate metro-level efforts

                                    Prioritize exports in state economic strategy




                                                                                              15
Metro Areas Play a Unique Role In Boosting Exports
                                   Open new markets through free trade agreements
                                   Finance exports through Ex-Im and SBA
                   Federal         Provide on-the-ground expertise in foreign markets
                                   Produce export data to inform state and regional efforts


                                    Organize and facilitate trade missions

                     State          Support and coordinate metro-level efforts

                                    Prioritize exports in state economic strategy


                                    Increase the number of export-ready firms through direct
                                   relationships
                     Metro              3
                                    Coordinate federal, state, and local programs

                                    Catalyze cultural shift by mainstreaming exports and trade
                                                                                                 15
1 2 3

     The Atlanta region can launch
 3   an export plan to reposition the
     region for global success




                                        16
Join the Metropolitan Export Initiative
                                              Metropolitan Export Initiative

                                          Data: Export Nation 2010 & 2012

                                          In Depth: Four pilot metros
                                                Portland, Los Angeles,
                                                Minneapolis-St. Paul, Syracuse


                                          Scale Up: Metropolitan Export Exchange

                                               Charleston, Chicago, Columbus,
                                               Des Moines, Louisville/Lexington,
                                               San Antonio, San Diego, Tampa Bay

                                          Resources: brookings.edu/metro/mei

                                                                                   17
Metropolitan Export Planning   Goal: Double exports in the next five years


                                 Target industries: computers and
                                 electronics, clean technology & innovation

Portland

                                 Strategies:

                                 1. Leverage primary exporters in computer and
                                    electronics

                                 2. Catalyze under-exporters in manufacturing

                                 3. Improve the export pipeline for small
                                    business

                                 4. “We Build Green Cities” - brand and market
                                    Greater Portlandʼs global edge
                                                                                 18
Metropolitan Export Planning   Goal: Double exports in the next five years


                                 Target industries: computers and
                                 electronics, clean technology & innovation

Portland




                                                                City of
                                                                Portland
                                                                Mayor’s Office




                                                                                18
Metropolitan Export Planning




Portland




                                 Export Plan Co-Chairs




                                                         19
The 10 Steps Guide and MEI Website Help Metros Deliver Export Plans




                                                                      20
1. Go Metro to Go Global               6. Develop a Customized Export Plan



2. Organize for Success                7. Prepare for Implementation



3. Produce a Data-Driven Market Scan   8. Identify and Promote Policy Priorities



4. Capture Local Market Insight        9. Track and Publicize Progress


                                       10. Mainstream Exports Into Economic
5. Champion Exports Now
                                           Development

                                                                                   21
Go Metro to Go Global                  Developing the Export Plan
1. Go Metro to Go Global               6. Develop a Customized Export Plan
2. Organize for Success                7. Prepare for Implementation
5. Champion Exports Now                8. Identify and Promote Policy Priorities

                                       10. Mainstream Exports Into Economic
                                           Development

Market Assessment

3. Produce a Data-Driven Market Scan   Track and Publicize Progress

4. Capture Local Market Insight        9. Track and Publicize Progress



                                                                                   21
Metropolitan Export Planning                Metropolitan
                                              Atlanta




                                            Export Plan

                 Atlanta
                               Build on Metropolitan Atlantaʼs Strengths


                                Goals                    Strategies


                                Target industries        Network

                                                                           22
Exports Should Be Part of a Larger Global Engagement Strategy



                                        Innovative U.S. Products
                                        & Services



                                         GLOBAL
            Freight & Infrastructure   ENGAGEMENT                     Skills to Support
                                                                      Innovation




                                                           Immigrant Talent/
                       Exports & FDI                       Cultural Fluency
                                                                                          23
Going Global:
                         Opportunities for the Atlanta Region




Metropolitan Policy Program                 GCI Export Roundtable - Atlanta, GA / March 19, 2013
at BROOKINGS
                                                                                                   24

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Prese...
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Prese...Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Prese...
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Prese...Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program
 
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19Uri Goren
 
Capital flows management in emerging countries: Some lessons from the recent ...
Capital flows management in emerging countries: Some lessons from the recent ...Capital flows management in emerging countries: Some lessons from the recent ...
Capital flows management in emerging countries: Some lessons from the recent ...Mahmoud Sami Nabi
 
BRICS Strategies 3.0
BRICS Strategies 3.0BRICS Strategies 3.0
BRICS Strategies 3.0IJBBR
 
Mc kinsey vietnam macro (taking vietnam's economy to the next level)_feb 2012
Mc kinsey vietnam macro (taking vietnam's economy to the next level)_feb 2012Mc kinsey vietnam macro (taking vietnam's economy to the next level)_feb 2012
Mc kinsey vietnam macro (taking vietnam's economy to the next level)_feb 2012Le Hung
 
Vieslekcija: Globālās ekonomikas tendences
Vieslekcija: Globālās ekonomikas tendencesVieslekcija: Globālās ekonomikas tendences
Vieslekcija: Globālās ekonomikas tendencesLatvijas Banka
 
Globālās ekonomikas tendences
Globālās ekonomikas tendencesGlobālās ekonomikas tendences
Globālās ekonomikas tendencesLatvijas Banka
 
Internet Marketing Trends for Latin America
Internet Marketing Trends for Latin AmericaInternet Marketing Trends for Latin America
Internet Marketing Trends for Latin AmericaIvonne Kinser
 

Mais procurados (11)

Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Prese...
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Prese...Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Prese...
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Prese...
 
Panorama
PanoramaPanorama
Panorama
 
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19
 
Capital flows management in emerging countries: Some lessons from the recent ...
Capital flows management in emerging countries: Some lessons from the recent ...Capital flows management in emerging countries: Some lessons from the recent ...
Capital flows management in emerging countries: Some lessons from the recent ...
 
BRICS Strategies 3.0
BRICS Strategies 3.0BRICS Strategies 3.0
BRICS Strategies 3.0
 
Mc kinsey vietnam macro (taking vietnam's economy to the next level)_feb 2012
Mc kinsey vietnam macro (taking vietnam's economy to the next level)_feb 2012Mc kinsey vietnam macro (taking vietnam's economy to the next level)_feb 2012
Mc kinsey vietnam macro (taking vietnam's economy to the next level)_feb 2012
 
Six revolutions and their significance
Six revolutions and their significanceSix revolutions and their significance
Six revolutions and their significance
 
Vieslekcija: Globālās ekonomikas tendences
Vieslekcija: Globālās ekonomikas tendencesVieslekcija: Globālās ekonomikas tendences
Vieslekcija: Globālās ekonomikas tendences
 
Globālās ekonomikas tendences
Globālās ekonomikas tendencesGlobālās ekonomikas tendences
Globālās ekonomikas tendences
 
Peru relations with china at present
Peru relations with china at presentPeru relations with china at present
Peru relations with china at present
 
Internet Marketing Trends for Latin America
Internet Marketing Trends for Latin AmericaInternet Marketing Trends for Latin America
Internet Marketing Trends for Latin America
 

Semelhante a Atlanta Region Opportunities in Global Trade

"Red" marketing for a Fidelity China fund
"Red" marketing for a Fidelity China fund"Red" marketing for a Fidelity China fund
"Red" marketing for a Fidelity China fundsinocismblog
 
Global trends april 2013 cavusgil
Global trends april 2013 cavusgilGlobal trends april 2013 cavusgil
Global trends april 2013 cavusgilobdogan
 
The BRICs: propping up the global economy
The BRICs: propping up the global economyThe BRICs: propping up the global economy
The BRICs: propping up the global economyGrant Thornton
 
The New Global Normal: What it means for Canadian competitiveness
The New Global Normal: What it means for Canadian competitivenessThe New Global Normal: What it means for Canadian competitiveness
The New Global Normal: What it means for Canadian competitiveness4Front
 
"Megatrends for the Future" by Oliver Riebartsch
"Megatrends for the Future" by Oliver Riebartsch"Megatrends for the Future" by Oliver Riebartsch
"Megatrends for the Future" by Oliver RiebartschDubai Quality Group
 
Meeting the Needs of a Rising Asia
Meeting the Needs of a Rising AsiaMeeting the Needs of a Rising Asia
Meeting the Needs of a Rising AsiaSIS International
 
The Impact of the Internet on SME Businesses
The Impact of the Internet on SME BusinessesThe Impact of the Internet on SME Businesses
The Impact of the Internet on SME Businessesbusinessesinhypergrowth
 
Sure fire Socio-demographics
Sure fire Socio-demographicsSure fire Socio-demographics
Sure fire Socio-demographicsChris Middleton
 
How China is becoming the center of the world
How China is becoming the center of the worldHow China is becoming the center of the world
How China is becoming the center of the worldEnriqueIbanez
 
Global Opportunities: Positioning for Success
Global Opportunities: Positioning for SuccessGlobal Opportunities: Positioning for Success
Global Opportunities: Positioning for SuccessCabot Wealth Management
 
Can china save the world 2012 cambridge upload
Can china save the world 2012 cambridge uploadCan china save the world 2012 cambridge upload
Can china save the world 2012 cambridge uploadMoTanweer
 
Emerging economies: the re-emergence of brand eminence?
Emerging economies: the re-emergence of brand eminence?Emerging economies: the re-emergence of brand eminence?
Emerging economies: the re-emergence of brand eminence?Drthomasbrand Limited
 
Emerging Markets: Leading The Way To Recovery in 2010
Emerging Markets: Leading The Way To Recovery in 2010Emerging Markets: Leading The Way To Recovery in 2010
Emerging Markets: Leading The Way To Recovery in 2010Grant Thornton APAC
 
Global Findings: 2010 Edelman goodpurpose® Study
Global Findings: 2010 Edelman goodpurpose® StudyGlobal Findings: 2010 Edelman goodpurpose® Study
Global Findings: 2010 Edelman goodpurpose® StudyEdelman
 
Emerging Actors in Development Finance: A Closer Look at Brazil's Growth, Inf...
Emerging Actors in Development Finance: A Closer Look at Brazil's Growth, Inf...Emerging Actors in Development Finance: A Closer Look at Brazil's Growth, Inf...
Emerging Actors in Development Finance: A Closer Look at Brazil's Growth, Inf...World Resources Institute (WRI)
 
Job Creation and America's Future - Dr. Susan Lund
Job Creation and America's Future - Dr. Susan LundJob Creation and America's Future - Dr. Susan Lund
Job Creation and America's Future - Dr. Susan LundPAPartners
 
Debunking the myths of china
Debunking the myths of china Debunking the myths of china
Debunking the myths of china MoTanweer
 
The India Growth Story
The India Growth StoryThe India Growth Story
The India Growth StorySreyans Jain
 

Semelhante a Atlanta Region Opportunities in Global Trade (20)

"Red" marketing for a Fidelity China fund
"Red" marketing for a Fidelity China fund"Red" marketing for a Fidelity China fund
"Red" marketing for a Fidelity China fund
 
Global trends april 2013 cavusgil
Global trends april 2013 cavusgilGlobal trends april 2013 cavusgil
Global trends april 2013 cavusgil
 
The BRICs: propping up the global economy
The BRICs: propping up the global economyThe BRICs: propping up the global economy
The BRICs: propping up the global economy
 
Mckinsey Quaterly
Mckinsey QuaterlyMckinsey Quaterly
Mckinsey Quaterly
 
The New Global Normal: What it means for Canadian competitiveness
The New Global Normal: What it means for Canadian competitivenessThe New Global Normal: What it means for Canadian competitiveness
The New Global Normal: What it means for Canadian competitiveness
 
"Megatrends for the Future" by Oliver Riebartsch
"Megatrends for the Future" by Oliver Riebartsch"Megatrends for the Future" by Oliver Riebartsch
"Megatrends for the Future" by Oliver Riebartsch
 
Meeting the Needs of a Rising Asia
Meeting the Needs of a Rising AsiaMeeting the Needs of a Rising Asia
Meeting the Needs of a Rising Asia
 
The Impact of the Internet on SME Businesses
The Impact of the Internet on SME BusinessesThe Impact of the Internet on SME Businesses
The Impact of the Internet on SME Businesses
 
Sure fire Socio-demographics
Sure fire Socio-demographicsSure fire Socio-demographics
Sure fire Socio-demographics
 
How China is becoming the center of the world
How China is becoming the center of the worldHow China is becoming the center of the world
How China is becoming the center of the world
 
Global Opportunities: Positioning for Success
Global Opportunities: Positioning for SuccessGlobal Opportunities: Positioning for Success
Global Opportunities: Positioning for Success
 
Can china save the world 2012 cambridge upload
Can china save the world 2012 cambridge uploadCan china save the world 2012 cambridge upload
Can china save the world 2012 cambridge upload
 
Emerging economies: the re-emergence of brand eminence?
Emerging economies: the re-emergence of brand eminence?Emerging economies: the re-emergence of brand eminence?
Emerging economies: the re-emergence of brand eminence?
 
Emerging Markets: Leading The Way To Recovery in 2010
Emerging Markets: Leading The Way To Recovery in 2010Emerging Markets: Leading The Way To Recovery in 2010
Emerging Markets: Leading The Way To Recovery in 2010
 
Global Findings: 2010 Edelman goodpurpose® Study
Global Findings: 2010 Edelman goodpurpose® StudyGlobal Findings: 2010 Edelman goodpurpose® Study
Global Findings: 2010 Edelman goodpurpose® Study
 
Emerging Actors in Development Finance: A Closer Look at Brazil's Growth, Inf...
Emerging Actors in Development Finance: A Closer Look at Brazil's Growth, Inf...Emerging Actors in Development Finance: A Closer Look at Brazil's Growth, Inf...
Emerging Actors in Development Finance: A Closer Look at Brazil's Growth, Inf...
 
Ethical Corporation China Briefing March 2010
Ethical Corporation China Briefing March 2010Ethical Corporation China Briefing March 2010
Ethical Corporation China Briefing March 2010
 
Job Creation and America's Future - Dr. Susan Lund
Job Creation and America's Future - Dr. Susan LundJob Creation and America's Future - Dr. Susan Lund
Job Creation and America's Future - Dr. Susan Lund
 
Debunking the myths of china
Debunking the myths of china Debunking the myths of china
Debunking the myths of china
 
The India Growth Story
The India Growth StoryThe India Growth Story
The India Growth Story
 

Mais de Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program

Greater Charlotte in the global economy: Benchmarking the region's global com...
Greater Charlotte in the global economy: Benchmarking the region's global com...Greater Charlotte in the global economy: Benchmarking the region's global com...
Greater Charlotte in the global economy: Benchmarking the region's global com...Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program
 
Skills and Innovation Strategies to Strengthen Advanced Manufacturing
Skills and Innovation Strategies to Strengthen Advanced ManufacturingSkills and Innovation Strategies to Strengthen Advanced Manufacturing
Skills and Innovation Strategies to Strengthen Advanced ManufacturingBrookings Metropolitan Policy Program
 
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Louisville a...
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Louisville a...Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Louisville a...
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Louisville a...Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program
 

Mais de Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program (20)

2016 09-29 gci summit v10
2016 09-29 gci summit v102016 09-29 gci summit v10
2016 09-29 gci summit v10
 
Smartest Places on Earth presentation 4.6.16
Smartest Places on Earth presentation 4.6.16Smartest Places on Earth presentation 4.6.16
Smartest Places on Earth presentation 4.6.16
 
Greater Charlotte in the global economy: Benchmarking the region's global com...
Greater Charlotte in the global economy: Benchmarking the region's global com...Greater Charlotte in the global economy: Benchmarking the region's global com...
Greater Charlotte in the global economy: Benchmarking the region's global com...
 
Rhode Island Innovates
Rhode Island InnovatesRhode Island Innovates
Rhode Island Innovates
 
Global Cities Initiative | Salt Lake City
Global Cities Initiative | Salt Lake CityGlobal Cities Initiative | Salt Lake City
Global Cities Initiative | Salt Lake City
 
Building and Sustaining Globally Competitive Regions
Building and Sustaining Globally Competitive RegionsBuilding and Sustaining Globally Competitive Regions
Building and Sustaining Globally Competitive Regions
 
Sydney: Success and Equity in a Global City - The Next Stage
Sydney: Success and Equity in a Global City - The Next StageSydney: Success and Equity in a Global City - The Next Stage
Sydney: Success and Equity in a Global City - The Next Stage
 
Advanced industries brookings 5_28_15
Advanced industries brookings 5_28_15Advanced industries brookings 5_28_15
Advanced industries brookings 5_28_15
 
Des moines
Des moinesDes moines
Des moines
 
Global Cities Initiative | Detroit
Global Cities Initiative | DetroitGlobal Cities Initiative | Detroit
Global Cities Initiative | Detroit
 
America's Advanced Industries
America's Advanced Industries America's Advanced Industries
America's Advanced Industries
 
The Diversity Explosion
The Diversity ExplosionThe Diversity Explosion
The Diversity Explosion
 
Siemens Vocational Education Strategy
Siemens Vocational Education StrategySiemens Vocational Education Strategy
Siemens Vocational Education Strategy
 
Invest in Bavaria Presentation
Invest in Bavaria PresentationInvest in Bavaria Presentation
Invest in Bavaria Presentation
 
Skills and Innovation Strategies to Strengthen Advanced Manufacturing
Skills and Innovation Strategies to Strengthen Advanced ManufacturingSkills and Innovation Strategies to Strengthen Advanced Manufacturing
Skills and Innovation Strategies to Strengthen Advanced Manufacturing
 
The Rise of Innovation Districts
The Rise of Innovation DistrictsThe Rise of Innovation Districts
The Rise of Innovation Districts
 
The Metropolitan Revolution: Council on Virginia's Future
The Metropolitan Revolution: Council on Virginia's FutureThe Metropolitan Revolution: Council on Virginia's Future
The Metropolitan Revolution: Council on Virginia's Future
 
The Rise of Innovation District - ForeCastSF
The Rise of Innovation District - ForeCastSFThe Rise of Innovation District - ForeCastSF
The Rise of Innovation District - ForeCastSF
 
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Louisville a...
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Louisville a...Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Louisville a...
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Louisville a...
 
The Rise of Innovation Districts
The Rise of Innovation DistrictsThe Rise of Innovation Districts
The Rise of Innovation Districts
 

Atlanta Region Opportunities in Global Trade

  • 1. Going Global: Opportunities for the Atlanta Region Metropolitan Policy Program GCI Export Roundtable - Atlanta, GA / March 19, 2013 at BROOKINGS 1
  • 2. The U.S. Economy Has Grown Very Few Jobs in the Sector That Drives Prosperity = Tradable Local Jobs Sector Job Source: Ezell, Stephen and Robert Atkinson, 2012, “Fifty Ways to Leaver Your Competitiveness Woes Behind,” ITIF. 2
  • 3. The U.S. Economy Has Grown Very Few Jobs in the Sector That Drives Prosperity 2% = incremental job growth in the U.S. between 1990-2008 from tradable sectors Tradable Local Jobs Sector Job Source: Ezell, Stephen and Robert Atkinson, 2012, “Fifty Ways to Leaver Your Source: Michael Spence, “The Evolving Structure of the American Economy and the Competitiveness Woes Behind,” ITIF. Employment Challenge,” Council on Foreign Relations, 2011. 2
  • 4. The New Reality: Growth Markets Are Increasingly Located Outside of the U.S. Global GDP 29% BIC Countries 18.3% US 2016 Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010; UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009 3
  • 5. The New Reality: Growth Markets Are Increasingly Located Outside of the U.S. Global GDP 29% $ 21 trillion BIC Countries global middle class consumption in 2000 18.3% US 2016 Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010; UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009 3
  • 6. The New Reality: Growth Markets Are Increasingly Located Outside of the U.S. Global GDP 29% $ 31 trillion BIC Countries global middle class consumption in 2020 18.3% US 2016 Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010; UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009 3
  • 7. The New Reality: Growth Markets Are Increasingly Located Outside of the U.S. 1. Macau, Macau 11. Jakarta, Indonesia 2. Perth, Australia 12. Zhongshan, China 3. Riyadh, Saudi Arabia 13. Delhi, India 4. Xiamen, China 14. Jeddah-Mecca, Saudi Arabia Top 20 Global Metros, Economic 5. Changsha, China 15. Shenzhen, China Performance 6. Fuzhou, China 16. Ningbo, China (2011-2012) 7. San Juan, Puerto Rico 17. Zhuhai, China 8. Hangzhou, China 18. Wulumuqi, China 9. Wuhan, China 19. Kunming, China 10. Hefei, China 20. Dongying, China Source: Istrate, Emilia and Carey Anne Nadeau, 2012, “Global MetroMonitor 2012,” Brookings. 4
  • 8. 1 2 3 Exports will be a key driver 1 of the next economy 5
  • 9. Leaders Will Harness the Potential of Global Trade Global Exports Value Exports Share of U.S. GDP Growth (2009-2011, trillions) (2010-2011) $17.8 $14.9 $12.4 46% 2009 2010 2011 Source: International Monetary Fund, Direction of Trade Statistics (December 2012), Emilia Istrate and Nick Marchio, “Export Nation 2012,” Brookings, 2012. 6
  • 10. The U.S. Has a $194 Billion Trade Surplus in Services U.S. Balance of Trade by Services Sector, 2011 (billions) Financial Software Licenses Travel Other Business Industrial Licenses Education Management Consulting Passenger Fares Telecommunications Research & Development Computing Freight & Port Use Insurance -$40 -$30 -$20 -$10 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 Source: Economics and Statistics Administration, 2011, “U.S. Trade in Private Services,” Washington, DC 7
  • 11. Going Global Pays Off for Small and Medium Enterprises U.S. Manufacturing Firms Revenue Growth (2005-2009) 37% -7% Exporting Non- Exporting Source: U.S. International Trade Commission, 2010, “Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises: Characteristics and Performance,” Washington, 8
  • 12. The U.S. Is an Under-Exporter Exports Share of GDP 30% 29% 22% 2011 13% China Canada India 15% 15% Japan European Union United States Source: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011 9
  • 13. The U.S. Is an Under-Exporter 1% of all U.S. firms export 42% of surveyed middle-market U.S. firms operate entirely within the U.S. Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, “U.S. Middle Market Firms and the Global Marketplace: Should I Source: International Trade Administration Stay or Should I Go,” 2013. 10
  • 14. The U.S. Is an Under-Exporter 1% of all U.S. firms export 4%of surveyed middle-market U.S. firms are currently expanding overseas Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, “U.S. Middle Market Firms and the Global Marketplace: Should I Source: International Trade Administration Stay or Should I Go,” 2013. 10
  • 15. The U.S. Is an Under-Exporter • Companies fear exporting • Companies lack awareness of global opportunities and services • Inadequate pipeline of export ready companies • Export services vary in quality and are often fragmented • State and federal efforts often lack sustained vision and commitment 11
  • 16. 1 2 3 The Atlanta region must act 2 on the export moment to prosper in the next economy 12
  • 17. The Atlanta Region Is a Major Exporter, But Lags In Intensity and Growth Export Volume (billions, 2010) $20.0 (13th) Export Intensity (2010) 8.0% (77th) Export Growth (2003-2008) 6.7% (60th) Export Growth (2009-2010) 10.8% (49th) Sources: Emilia Istrate and Nick Marchio, “Export Nation 2012,” Brookings 13
  • 18. The Atlanta Region Is a Major Exporter, But Lags In Intensity and Growth Export Volume (billions, 2010) $20.0 Services Share (13th) 53% of Exports (2010) Export Intensity (2010) 8.0% (77th) Export Growth (2003-2008) 6.7% Services Share (60th) 67% of Export Growth (2003-2010) Export Growth (2009-2010) 10.8% (49th) Sources: Emilia Istrate and Nick Marchio, “Export Nation 2012,” Brookings 13
  • 19. Metro Areas Hold the Bulk of the Assets That Will Drive Exports Top 100 Metros Share of U.S. Totals 78% 82% 74% 75% 75% 66% 65% Population Goods College Services GDP Patents Air Freight Exports Degrees Exports Source: Brookings analysis of US Census Bureau, BLS, BEA, NIH and NSF data 14
  • 20. Metro Areas Play a Unique Role In Boosting Exports Open new markets through free trade agreements Finance exports through Ex-Im and SBA Federal 3 on-the-ground expertise in foreign markets Provide Produce export data to inform state and regional efforts 15
  • 21. Metro Areas Play a Unique Role In Boosting Exports Open new markets through free trade agreements Finance exports through Ex-Im and SBA Federal Provide on-the-ground expertise in foreign markets Produce export data to inform state and regional efforts Organize and facilitate trade missions State 3 Support and coordinate metro-level efforts Prioritize exports in state economic strategy 15
  • 22. Metro Areas Play a Unique Role In Boosting Exports Open new markets through free trade agreements Finance exports through Ex-Im and SBA Federal Provide on-the-ground expertise in foreign markets Produce export data to inform state and regional efforts Organize and facilitate trade missions State Support and coordinate metro-level efforts Prioritize exports in state economic strategy Increase the number of export-ready firms through direct relationships Metro 3 Coordinate federal, state, and local programs Catalyze cultural shift by mainstreaming exports and trade 15
  • 23. 1 2 3 The Atlanta region can launch 3 an export plan to reposition the region for global success 16
  • 24. Join the Metropolitan Export Initiative Metropolitan Export Initiative Data: Export Nation 2010 & 2012 In Depth: Four pilot metros Portland, Los Angeles, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Syracuse Scale Up: Metropolitan Export Exchange Charleston, Chicago, Columbus, Des Moines, Louisville/Lexington, San Antonio, San Diego, Tampa Bay Resources: brookings.edu/metro/mei 17
  • 25. Metropolitan Export Planning Goal: Double exports in the next five years Target industries: computers and electronics, clean technology & innovation Portland Strategies: 1. Leverage primary exporters in computer and electronics 2. Catalyze under-exporters in manufacturing 3. Improve the export pipeline for small business 4. “We Build Green Cities” - brand and market Greater Portlandʼs global edge 18
  • 26. Metropolitan Export Planning Goal: Double exports in the next five years Target industries: computers and electronics, clean technology & innovation Portland City of Portland Mayor’s Office 18
  • 27. Metropolitan Export Planning Portland Export Plan Co-Chairs 19
  • 28. The 10 Steps Guide and MEI Website Help Metros Deliver Export Plans 20
  • 29. 1. Go Metro to Go Global 6. Develop a Customized Export Plan 2. Organize for Success 7. Prepare for Implementation 3. Produce a Data-Driven Market Scan 8. Identify and Promote Policy Priorities 4. Capture Local Market Insight 9. Track and Publicize Progress 10. Mainstream Exports Into Economic 5. Champion Exports Now Development 21
  • 30. Go Metro to Go Global Developing the Export Plan 1. Go Metro to Go Global 6. Develop a Customized Export Plan 2. Organize for Success 7. Prepare for Implementation 5. Champion Exports Now 8. Identify and Promote Policy Priorities 10. Mainstream Exports Into Economic Development Market Assessment 3. Produce a Data-Driven Market Scan Track and Publicize Progress 4. Capture Local Market Insight 9. Track and Publicize Progress 21
  • 31. Metropolitan Export Planning Metropolitan Atlanta Export Plan Atlanta Build on Metropolitan Atlantaʼs Strengths Goals Strategies Target industries Network 22
  • 32. Exports Should Be Part of a Larger Global Engagement Strategy Innovative U.S. Products & Services GLOBAL Freight & Infrastructure ENGAGEMENT Skills to Support Innovation Immigrant Talent/ Exports & FDI Cultural Fluency 23
  • 33. Going Global: Opportunities for the Atlanta Region Metropolitan Policy Program GCI Export Roundtable - Atlanta, GA / March 19, 2013 at BROOKINGS 24