Squares looks at a team's profile and notice splits, most notably home/road and ride them. Dumb dumbs. Sharps do just the opposite. Joe Duffy, CEO of http://offshoreinsiders.com tells you the sharp way to bet splits

1. Handicapping Splits
OffshoreInsiders.com

2. What are splits?
How a pitcher or team does in a subcategory, the most
popular being home/road dichotomy
Most common usage is home/away stats

3. Sharp versus square usage
•Prevailing theory if one or both teams substantially better at home than
road, go with home team
o False, such stats rarely hold up
o Fool’s Gold is going with home underdogs if their home winning
percentage much better than road teams away winning percentage
o Road favorite is almost always sharp bet
o “Louder” the statement, the stronger it is

4. Why do anti-splits do so well?
•Very rarely, especially in pro sports, is a team truly Jekyll and Hyde
•Splits regress to the mean
•SU stats overrated anyway, though even points per game margin splits
don’t hold up
•Use oddsmakers knowledge against them
o Counterintuitive odds; follow the “message

5. Don’t outsmart yourself
Think outside the box
 Zig while square zag
 If your capper advises you to ride splits,
run like hell