What is betting against the public? How does one exploit sharp versus square info or so-called pros versus Joes? The best Joe of them all, superstar handicapper Joe Duffy has the secrets.
2. What is Contrarian Betting
ď‚·Betting against the public
ď‚·Uses basic rule of oddsmaking: odds not a prediction, but to get
balanced action
ď‚·Lines shaded to public biases
ď‚·Betting percentages reveal public biases
3. How to Calculate Contrarian Betting
• Most effective based on percentage of bets not money
• $5 bet counts same as $5,000
• Smaller bettors best for contrarian info
• Public loves favorites and overs
• Sliding scale to consider that
• 55 percent on 6.5-point dog roughly equal to 70 percent on 6.5-
point favorite
4. Public Sources of Contrarian Betting
•Sports Insights/Action Network
•Pregame
•Oddsshark
•Fanduel
•Sportsbook Review
•BetNJ
•Etc. plus…
•Covers Consensus
o Yes contest site, perfect for unskilled bettor intel
5. Making Big Comeback
•Legalization means media sites large and small making picks
•Hire entry level writers who know nothing about gambling and
post quintessential square plays
o Tailed by gamblers
o More neophyte gamblers than ever
ď‚·Best as corroborating but gaining traction as percentage of
tenderfoot cappers increase
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weapons