This document provides college football betting picks and analysis for several games taking place in week 5 of the season. It highlights key betting trends and injuries that could impact games involving teams like Utah State, San Jose State, Mississippi State, Georgia, Michigan, Purdue, Auburn, Missouri, and others. Individual games are broken down with details on spreads, over/unders, player injuries and absences that bettors should consider when making wagers.

1. College Football Betting Info
OffshoreInsiders.com

2. Joe Duffy’s Picks
• (Records entering Friday late night)
• 39-19 football, 9-3 college
• 9 Saturday led by Wise Guy
OffshoreInsiders.com

3. Utah St. vs. San Jose State
Utah State already playing their third road game
Road teams playing their third road game in fourth game are 232-198 against the spread though just 151-
307 SU
San Jose State’s only win to Cal Poly but other three games were losses by an average of 38 points per
game, giving up 476.2
Home teams off consecutive losses of at least 38 points and playing in a winnable game (not getting a FG
or more) are 17-9 against the spread (benefits San Jose)
Utah State won six straight SU in the series, including three in San Jose
Big line move in Spartans direction as Utah State AB Kent Myers is very questionable
San Jose lost their leading rusher from last year for the season, though he also missed the previous two
games
Mississippi State vs. Georgia
Miss State 3-0 by nation’s best 30.2 points per game
Underdogs with +28 or better against the spread margin just 5-11

4. Michigan vs. Purdue
Purdue 3-0 by 25.5 points per game against the spread margin
Home underdogs with 25 or better against the spread margin just 9-16 (bet on Michigan)
o 3-11 getting a TD or more and 1-8 getting double-digits
 Average line +16.4 with average margin -28.4
Auburn vs. Missouri
Missouri 0-3 against the spread by -22 points per game against the spread margin
Auburn under all 3 by -21 points per game, second among teams with at least three games
Teams playing game No. 4 and later, total 49 or more and OU margin of -20 or less have gone over 10-4-1
(Auburn OVER)
Louisiana Monroe vs. UL Lafayette
ULL top over team in country going over 3-0 by 32.7 points per game
New Mexico vs. Tulsa
Tulsa No. 2 over team in country over all three by 30.7 points per game

5. USC vs. California
 After Stanford and double-OT game hit road for back-to-back games
o First two road games of season
o Look ahead to No. 18 Washington State
 Road favorites of 14 or more and facing an opponent ranked 18 or better next are 75-43
against the spread
o 25-10 if next game also on road 71.4 percent
 Teams in fourth game, a road game off three straight home are decent 138-118 against the
spread
 USC 10-1 against the spread in series
 Cal outscored teams in second half 57-13 (can bet live odds at MyBookie.ag
 Undefeated teams with at least three wins and HD of more than 14 are 10-4 against the
spread, though just 1-13, so USC should win, but Cal covers
 Cal new coach in Justin Wilcox
 Dog has covered all of Cal’s games by 13 or more

6. Western Kentucky vs. Ball State
Western Kentucky UNDER all three by -20.3
Teams playing game No. 4 and later, total 49 or more and OU margin of -20 or less have gone over 10-4-1 (app
Duke vs. North Carolina
Duke averages 97 snaps per game, second in the country
Syracuse vs. LSU
LSU leading rusher Derrius Guice is out
o Led conference in rushing last year
o Darrel Williams gets start. He has 159 yards on 28 carries
UMass vs. Tennessee
Tennessee off excruciating loss to Florida and UGA next week
UT LB Cortez McDowell is out. He started all 15 games the last two years

7. Texas Tech vs. Houston
Houston WR D’Eriq King is expected to make his 2017 debut
o 20 catches in 10 games last year and expected to be a significant contributor this season
Oklahoma vs. Baylor
Three key projected starters expected to make their debut for Baylor: RB Terence Williams, S Taion Sells, and C
o Williams had a team-leading 1,048 yards rushing last year with 11 TDs
o Averaged 241.8 rushing yards per game with him last year, now at 150
o Arnold started 4 games last year and was projected starter this year
o Sells started 4 games in 2015 but missed last year because of injury
Penn State vs. Iowa
Iowa RB Akrum Wadley is out
o Graduate transfer, twice rushed for 1,000 yards at Nevada
o Second on team in rushing with 36 carries for 158 yards

8. Oregon vs. Arizona State
 Oregon leading pass catcher Charles Nelson is questionable
o 15 catches for 243 yards, also a rushing TD
Florida vs. Kentucky
 All nine Florida players expected to remain suspended led by Antonio Callaway, their best weapon
o He had 89 receptions his first two years
 UF possible letdown off dramatic last-second win over Tennessee
 Florida has won 30 straight SU in the series
Biggest consensus: West Virginia (strongest of season), Oklahoma (clearly No. 2 this week). After that Indi