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Social Power and Influence In The NBA
Noah Gift
Professor UC Davis GSM: Machine Learning, Computing
Founder: Pragmatic AI Labs
Author
Brett Favre Breaks Our Internet
==+
#gitpro
Social Media Has Hidden Power
Could we use Machine Learning to play Social Media
Moneyball?...Yes we can…
Conor McGregor July, 2014
58 Retweets
146 Likes
Conor McGregor March, 2018
3,228 Retweets
23,601 Likes
16,000 % Increase in
Engagement over 4 Years
#gitpro
New Contributors Feed into ML Social Power Feedback Loop
Find Social
Handles
Find Signals
to Predict
Pageviews
#gitpro
Takeaways From Experience
 There are lot of hidden power in Social
Network signals
 Possible to grow a platform without buying
any traditional advertising
 Who really has the power…celebrities or
social platforms…cracks are emerging?
 More to discover….
#gitpro
Network News
Editor/Engineer
Lead Systems
Administrator Lead Editorial
Engineer Python Developer
Lead Python
Developer
Director
Engineering CTO & GM Consultant
School & Work
Full-time
Worked on
Avatar Movie
Wrote Best Selling
OS X App
Wrote O’Reilly
Book on Python
School & Work
Full-time
Pearson
Book on AI
What Can Social Media Predict about the NBA?
 True Valuation of NBA Teams?
 True Player Performance?
 Attendance at games?
 Endorsement deals?
 Player Salary?
#gitpro
Collecting Data Sources is Always Painful
Arena Attendance
Local Engagement & Willingness
to Pay
Social Power,
Influence and
Performance NBA
Global Popularity Global Engagement & Influence
NBA Datasets
On The Court Performance
Salary
Pay for Performance
Census Data
Population Density & Real
Estate Values
Endorsements
Brand Value
#gitpro
NBA Teams
 True Valuation of NBA Teams?
 True Player Performance?
 Attendance at games?
 Endorsement deals?
#gitpro
Biggest Drivers of NBA Team Valuation?
#gitpro
Three Types of NBA Teams
#gitpro
Team Valuation Conclusions
#gitpro
What About NBA Players?
 Are fans or owners better able to
recognize talent?
 If a player wants to make the
highest salary, do they focus on
their team or scoring?
 What is the relationship between
social media and endorsements?
#gitpro
NBA Player Social Power and Performance
#gitpro
Points/Game Predicts NBA Salary
#gitpro
Do NBA Fans Value Team Play Over Points?
#gitpro
What about NBA Endorsements?
#gitpro
NBA Player Conclusions
 If players want to make the most money in Salary, they
should switch to teams that let them score
 Many NBA Players Don’t Have Social Media Handles
 Fan Social Engagement is a better predictor of true
performance metrics than salary (Smarter than owners).
#gitpro
Questions?
 How to learn more about Social Power in the NBA
- Connect on LinkedIn
- Read IBM Developerworks Article
- Fork my social power on Kaggle
- Buy my book on Pragmatic AI
#gitpro

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Social power and_influence_in_the_nba_gitpro

  • 1. Social Power and Influence In The NBA Noah Gift Professor UC Davis GSM: Machine Learning, Computing Founder: Pragmatic AI Labs Author
  • 2. Brett Favre Breaks Our Internet ==+ #gitpro
  • 3. Social Media Has Hidden Power Could we use Machine Learning to play Social Media Moneyball?...Yes we can… Conor McGregor July, 2014 58 Retweets 146 Likes Conor McGregor March, 2018 3,228 Retweets 23,601 Likes 16,000 % Increase in Engagement over 4 Years #gitpro
  • 4. New Contributors Feed into ML Social Power Feedback Loop Find Social Handles Find Signals to Predict Pageviews #gitpro
  • 5. Takeaways From Experience  There are lot of hidden power in Social Network signals  Possible to grow a platform without buying any traditional advertising  Who really has the power…celebrities or social platforms…cracks are emerging?  More to discover…. #gitpro
  • 6. Network News Editor/Engineer Lead Systems Administrator Lead Editorial Engineer Python Developer Lead Python Developer Director Engineering CTO & GM Consultant School & Work Full-time Worked on Avatar Movie Wrote Best Selling OS X App Wrote O’Reilly Book on Python School & Work Full-time Pearson Book on AI
  • 7. What Can Social Media Predict about the NBA?  True Valuation of NBA Teams?  True Player Performance?  Attendance at games?  Endorsement deals?  Player Salary? #gitpro
  • 8. Collecting Data Sources is Always Painful Arena Attendance Local Engagement & Willingness to Pay Social Power, Influence and Performance NBA Global Popularity Global Engagement & Influence NBA Datasets On The Court Performance Salary Pay for Performance Census Data Population Density & Real Estate Values Endorsements Brand Value #gitpro
  • 9. NBA Teams  True Valuation of NBA Teams?  True Player Performance?  Attendance at games?  Endorsement deals? #gitpro
  • 10. Biggest Drivers of NBA Team Valuation? #gitpro
  • 11. Three Types of NBA Teams #gitpro
  • 13. What About NBA Players?  Are fans or owners better able to recognize talent?  If a player wants to make the highest salary, do they focus on their team or scoring?  What is the relationship between social media and endorsements? #gitpro
  • 14. NBA Player Social Power and Performance #gitpro
  • 15. Points/Game Predicts NBA Salary #gitpro
  • 16. Do NBA Fans Value Team Play Over Points? #gitpro
  • 17. What about NBA Endorsements? #gitpro
  • 18. NBA Player Conclusions  If players want to make the most money in Salary, they should switch to teams that let them score  Many NBA Players Don’t Have Social Media Handles  Fan Social Engagement is a better predictor of true performance metrics than salary (Smarter than owners). #gitpro
  • 19. Questions?  How to learn more about Social Power in the NBA - Connect on LinkedIn - Read IBM Developerworks Article - Fork my social power on Kaggle - Buy my book on Pragmatic AI #gitpro

Notas do Editor

  1. A single post completely blows up our platform Millions of Pageviews in an hour
  2. We partnered with rising stars in sports social media
  3. Use Mechanical Turk to Find Social Handles Predict Pageviews
  4. Company failed, but I kept thinking about the problem
  5. Took a couple of months to collect all of the data
  6. Population Density Real Estate Prices
  7. Points aren’t are predictive as Wins Attributed to Player yet, pay more
  8. It likes like they do
  9. It likes like they do