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2050: Reimagining Our Energy Future

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We live in a world where energy generation and distributions will change in the next 30 years than in the previous 200.

Renewable energy is on the rise to directly address the climate change challenges we face. Beyond that acceleration we are starting to see some very bold plans arise where energy generation and distribution is being reimagine for the new Industrial Revolution - the Internetization of energy.

Nikolas Badminton, Lead Futurist and CEO, EXPONENTIAL MINDS
www.nikolasbadminton.com

Publicada em: Economia e finanças
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2050: Reimagining Our Energy Future

  1. 1. 2050 Nikolas Badminton Lead Futurist & CEO Reimagining Our Energy Future
  2. 2. 2050: Reimagining Our Energy Future We live in a world where energy generation and distributions will change in the next 30 years than did in the previous 200. Renewable energy is on the rise to directly address the climate change challenges we face. Beyond that acceleration we are starting to see some very bold plans arise where energy generation and distribution is being reimagine for the new Industrial Revolution - the Internetization of energy. Enjoy! Nikolas Badminton, Lead Futurist and CEO
  3. 3. 3 OUR GOAL Provide sustainable, reliable, affordable, and clean power for all Canadians?
  4. 4. Signals
  5. 5. // Revolutions
  6. 6. Communications Energy Transportation
  7. 7. 1 9 0 0 s E l e c t r i f i c a t i o n 1 9 6 0 s Pe r s o n a l c o m p u t i n g 1 9 9 0 s I n t e r n e t a n d m o b i l e 2 0 1 0 s A r t i f i c i a l I n t e l l i g e n c e
  8. 8. Digitized Communications Internet Renewable Energy Internet Automated Transportation Internet
  9. 9. 9 9.7bn people globally, with 6.95bn* living in cities. http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/news/population/2015-report.html https://www.un.org/development/desa/en/news/population/2018-revision-of-world-urbanization-prospects.html *68% 2050
  10. 10. // Climate
  11. 11. 11https://about.bnef.com/new-energy-outlook/ http://www.openculture.com/2018/08/apocalyptic-m-t-computer-program-predicts-1973-civilization-will-end-2040.html
  12. 12. http://berkeleyearth.org/2018-temperatures/# https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JObGveVUz7k 12
  13. 13. https://www.forbes.com/sites/trevornace/2019/01/29/chicago- will-be-colder-than-mount-everest-arctic-tomorrow/
  14. 14. // Energy
  15. 15. http://breakingenergy.com/2015/05/11/thin-film-solar-cell-industry-in-transition-knockout-phase-is-over-profitability-and-vertical-integration-next/http://www.vox.com/2015/6/9/8748081/us-100-percent-renewable-energy
  16. 16. “Renewable energy sources are set to represent almost 75% of the $10.2 trillion the world will invest in new power generating technology until 2040. 16https://about.bnef.com/new-energy-outlook/
  17. 17. 17 ExxonMobil , Royal Dutch Shell , Chevron , BP , and Total SA have generated a combined $44.6 billion in free cash flow in the last 12 months* *That’s a whole lot of solar panels. Or research and development. Or equity investments in promising start-ups. https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/06/04/big-oil-is-investing-billions-in-renewable-energy.aspx https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/04/30/can-exxonmobil-use-synthetic-biology-to-commercial.aspx
  18. 18. 18 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/2017/07/06/panda-power-china-building-worlds-cutest-solar-station/
  19. 19. https://www.pv-magazine.com/2019/01/28/ renewable-energy-is-the-way-of-the-future/
  20. 20. https://twitter.com/TheAusInstitute/status/ 1088202922121281537
  21. 21. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2018/09/these-dutch-microgrid-communities-can-supply-90-of-their-energy-needs/
  22. 22. https://inhabitat.com/german-scientists-double-the-efficiency-of-black-silicon-for-use-in-solar-cells/
  23. 23. http://energy.mit.edu/news/transparent-solar-cells/
  24. 24. Solar + storage - 15 megawatts of solar and 60 megawatt-hours of storage at 12 cents per kilowatt-hour, and another 90 megawatts of solar and 360 megawatt-hours of storage came in at 8 cents per kilowatt-hour.  Source: Hawaiian Electric Industries Reference: https://o.canada.com/business/markets/interactive-map-the-cost-of-electricity-city-by-city Solar
  25. 25. http://breakingenergy.com/2015/05/11/thin-film-solar-cell-industry-in-transition-knockout-phase-is-over-profitability-and-vertical-integration-next/
  26. 26. // Usage
  27. 27. 30 There are 1000+ smart cities projects happening today, and the worldwide market is expected to grow to $3.48 trillion by 2026. http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/global-smart-cities-market-to-reach-us-3482-trillion-by-2026-apej-to-outpace-north-america-609626355.html https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/china-has-highest-number-of-smart-city-pilot-projects-report/articleshow/62998738.cms
  28. 28. 31https://www.cnet.com/au/news/googles-new-us-data-centers-will-be-powered-by-1-6-million-solar-panels/?utm_source=reddit.com
  29. 29. 32
  30. 30. // Redefinition
  31. 31. 34 "By the year 2050, electricity generating industries will no longer be charging for electricity. They will simply be trying to recover the return on capital expenditure.” Achim Steiner, Executive Director of the UN Environment Program https://www.forbes.com/sites/jeffmcmahon/2016/01/03/by-2050-utilities-will-no-longer-charge-for-electricity-un-official/#711a93a0b259
  32. 32. Digitized Communications Internet Renewable Energy Internet Automated Transportation Internet
  33. 33. Digitized Communications Internet Renewable Energy Internet Automated Transportation Internet
  34. 34. https://www.renewable-ei.org/en/activities/reports/img/20170419/REI_ASG_interim_report_EN_summary.pdf Renewable Energy Institute has proposed “Asia Super Grid” based on renewable energy. The goal is to utilize renewable energy across Asia by connecting China, South Korea, Russia, and Japan via an international power grid using solar and wind power generated in Mongolia as the main power supply.
  35. 35. https://newatlas.com/geidco-global-interconnected-energy-grid/46411/#gallery
  36. 36. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-economy-could-slip-from-top-spot-in-2020-and-keep-slipping-analysts-say-2019-01-14
  37. 37. Africa / Saudi Arabia China / Mongolia India Peru Australia Canada / USA Opportunity
  38. 38. $60bn $2.5bn $10bn $13.3bn China’s power moves $4.1bn
  39. 39. $60bn $2.5bn $10bn $13.3bn $668m H1 (down from $3.21 billion in H1 2017) Just $4.8bn (down from $29 billion in 2017 and $46 billion in 2016) China’s steep reduction in investment in Canada and the USA in 2018 $4.1bn
  40. 40. 44 Source: ‘World Urbanization Prospects’ by the United Nations, and extrapolated from 2050 to 2100 by the Global Cities Institute https://www.thegeniusworks.com/2018/08/ the-worlds-megacities-of-2100-lagos- kinshasa-dar-es-salaam-a-mind-blowing- growth-in-the-urban-populations-of-africa/
  41. 41. 45 Source: ‘World Urbanization Prospects’ by the United Nations, and extrapolated from 2050 to 2100 by the Global Cities Institute https://www.thegeniusworks.com/2018/08/ the-worlds-megacities-of-2100-lagos- kinshasa-dar-es-salaam-a-mind-blowing- growth-in-the-urban-populations-of-africa/
  42. 42. 46 Source: ‘World Urbanization Prospects’ by the United Nations, and extrapolated from 2050 to 2100 by the Global Cities Institute https://www.thegeniusworks.com/2018/08/ the-worlds-megacities-of-2100-lagos- kinshasa-dar-es-salaam-a-mind-blowing- growth-in-the-urban-populations-of-africa/
  43. 43. 47 Source: ‘World Urbanization Prospects’ by the United Nations, and extrapolated from 2050 to 2100 by the Global Cities Institute https://www.thegeniusworks.com/2018/08/ the-worlds-megacities-of-2100-lagos- kinshasa-dar-es-salaam-a-mind-blowing- growth-in-the-urban-populations-of-africa/
  44. 44. 48 Source: ‘World Urbanization Prospects’ by the United Nations, and extrapolated from 2050 to 2100 by the Global Cities Institute https://www.thegeniusworks.com/2018/08/ the-worlds-megacities-of-2100-lagos- kinshasa-dar-es-salaam-a-mind-blowing- growth-in-the-urban-populations-of-africa/
  45. 45. 49 Lagos, Nigeria 88.3m Kinshasa, DRC 83.5m Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania 73.7m Mumbai, India 67.2m Delhi, India 57.3m Khartoum, Sudan 56.6m Niamey, Niger 56.1m Dhaka, Bangladesh 54.3m Kolkata, India 52.4m Kabul, Afghanistan 50.3m // 2100 http://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/672989_62cfa13ec4ba47788f78ad660489a2fa.pdf
  46. 46. 51 How likely is, and how quickly will this future come?
  47. 47. 52 // Amara’s Law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Amara
  48. 48. 53 How can we provide sustainable, reliable, affordable, and clean power for all Canadians?
  49. 49. “We are called to be architects of the future, not its victims.” R. Buckminster Fuller
  50. 50. 2050 Nikolas Badminton Lead Futurist & CEO
  51. 51. Nikolas Badminton Lead Futurist & CEO Nikolas drives world leaders to take action in creating a better world for humanity. EXPONENTIAL MINDS provides expertise in new technologies and promotes exponential thinking with a critical, honest, and optimistic view that empowers you to plan for today, tomorrow, and for the future.
  52. 52. Nikolas Badminton Lead Futurist & CEO w: nikolasbadminton.com e: nik@nikolasbadminton.com t: @nikolasfuturist

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