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WHAT IS ARTIFICIAL
 INTELLIGENCE?

CONTRADICTIONS
   “Infinity is infinity but infinity doesn’t adequately
    contain itself.”

   Russell’s Paradox of “class of all classes which are
    not members of themselves

   Illustrated: Barber of Seville
     Each man in town either shaves himself, or goes to the
      barber
     The barber shaves only those who do not shave
      themselves
     Who shaves the barber?
GÖDEL'S INCOMPLETENESS THEOREMS
   Proved that the systems of mathematical logic are
    flawed.

 No matter how large you make your set of axioms,
  in arithmetic there will always be statements that
  are true, but cannot be proven so.
 Another way of saying this, for us technology
  managers: No matter how much data you have,
  even infinitely many data bits, you cannot prove all
  true statements.
FROM ESOTERIC TO CONCRETE -     DISRUPTIVE
        INNOVATION IN MATHEMATICS
   Alan Turing – The Halting Problem
       For mathematicians, how do you know if the problem
        you are working on is inherently unsolvable (Hilbert’s
        Second Problem), or extraordinarily difficult (Fermat’s
        Last Theorem)?

    In conceiving an answer, Turing turned to something more
    basic: uncomputability. What are the limits of
    computation? The machine he constructed, The Turing
    Machine, was the conceptual creation of what we today
    call the computer.
WHY DOES THIS MATTER?
   Every single one of us will have our lives inexorably
    and profoundly changed over the coming decades
    by AI.

   It is important because it tells us what AI is NOT.
     Internet ≠ TV, only better
     AI ≠ human intelligence, only better (perfect memory)


   Establishes a respect for the AI technology, but a
    deep and abiding admiration for the natural
    technology of the human mind.
FROM IDEA TO INNOVATION
   Innovation = Commercialization of Ideas. AI
    developed only as an idea until the hardware could
    catch up. Now, with the situations somewhat
    reversed, funding is pouring into AI research.

   DARPA’s CALO project in 2003



   Trapit and SIRI
VOICE RECOGNITION-CHALLENGES
 speaker dependence,
 continuity of speech,
       difficulty of identifying word boundaries - as in "youth in
        Asia" and "euthanasia.”
   vocabulary size
         Large vocabularies cause difficulties in maintaining
        accuracy, but small vocabularies restrict the speaker.
APPLE
 >50,000    employees and with annual revenue
  approaching $100 billion grow 60% a year
 Multi-focused structure in which product,
  function, and geography are emphasized all at
  once
 Better alignment between functional and
  divisional goals
 Simplicity is key.
 It is deceptively straightforward with none of the
  dotted-line or matrixed responsibilities popular
  elsewhere in the corporate world
 A corporate dictator who makes every critical decision
  (Steve Jobs)
APPLE
 A cutting-edge startup rather than the consumer-
  electronics behemoth
 The attention to detail, the secrecy, the constant feedback
  -- into processes
 Passion    for innovation and an uncompromising
  commitment to bringing great products to market.
 Smart technology also needs to be beautiful technology
HOW APPLE WORKS
   Accountability from top on down
     a series of weekly meetings
     never any confusion as to who is responsible for what.
     The "DRI" or directly responsible individual.

 Ability to move nimbly
 Ability to focus on just a few things at a time

 Still a startup at heart
     Most notably by putting small teams on crucial projects
     Do-more-with-less mentality
HOW APPLE MANAGE
 Value-driven business-model innovation
 Smart technology (ipad, phone)
 Voice recognition is a disruptive
  technology, but they apply it as a sustaining
  innovation
 Acquired SIRI (2010)
   ability to correlate data
   ability to interpret meaning

 If   improved upon,...
LESSONS FROM APPLE
   Network Innovation

   In pursuit of Simplicity

   Fail Wisely

   Not All Innovation is Equal

   Innovation Doesn't Generate Growth. Management Does
GOOGLE’S VOICE RECOGNITION
 Application

   Simultaneous subtitle   in video

 Perspective

   Translation
   A supercar in Knight Rider
     and Green Hornet
   Searching by oral inputs
GOOGLE’S CHALLENGES
 Challenges

   Vocabulary
   Accent
   Automatic skip
   Translation
MICROSOFT VOICE RECOGNITION
 Windows  Speech Recognition
  empowers users to interact with
  their computers by voice.

 Itwas designed for people who
  want to significantly limit their
  use of the mouse and keyboard
  while increasing their productivity.
MICROSOFT VOICE RECOGNITION
 Schools-Teachers  can use speech recognitions to
  improve student’s second language.
 Offices- People send email and do their projects
  efficiency by speech recognition.
 Research Center- Scientists improve
  productivity by speech recognition.
 Military-Commanders can control any
  equipments easily and safety by speech
  recognition.
MICROSOFT-FEATURES
Commanding       "Say what you see" control applications and tasks,
                 such as formatting and saving documents; opening and
                 switching between applications; and opening, copying,
                 and deleting files; and browse the Internet by saying
                 the names of links.

Correction       Efficiently fix incorrectly recognized words by selecting
                 form alternatives for the dictated phrase or word or by
                 spelling the word.
Interactive      The interactive tutorial teaches people how to use
tutorial         windows speech recognition and teaches system what
                 your voice sounds like.


Personalization The system keep adapting both your speaking style and
                 accent continually improves speech recognition
                 accuracy.
PROBLEMS AND CHALLENGES
         FOR MICROSOFT
 Problems-
  1. Voice distinguish
  2. Command’s error on system
 Challenges-
  1. How to develop a new smart system
  2. Strengthen distinguish system
  3. Operating speed.
COMPARISON
   Managing Innovation
       Potentially disruptive technologies used in a sustaining
        innovation framework (ecosystem)
   Apple
       Product ecosystem- iPad
   Google
       Search ecosystem- Android
   Microsoft
       Windows ecosystem- Office Products
COMPARISON
KLINE: “SHARING THE                                       CORPORATE
                   JEWELS”
   "Strategic licensing is emerging against the backdrop of intensified efforts by
    corporate America to maximize the return on its intellectual property assets,
    which now account for 50% to 70% of the market value of all public
    companies.“



   “To judge from the results of such initiatives to date, the most powerful
    benefits are economic. No company demonstrates this better than IBM, which
    earned an astounding $1.7 billion from technology licensing in 2000 alone.
    These revenues came with a 98% profit margin and accounted for roughly
    20% of the company’s net income in that year.”



   Imagine the possibilities Artificial Intelligence applications could have in this
    regard.
THE FUTURE OF AI
   Another DARPA creation, the internet, was in a similar
    position, not too long ago.
     Tim Berners-Lee’s World Wide Web
     Netscape Browser


   AI also needs the concurrent development of enabling
    technologies, like: a semantically linked web, populated
    with a web of things, and robotics.

   Until then, this space is best doing a lot of the same as it
    is doing now until such time as the disruptive technology
    finds a model that can make it into a truly disruptive
    innovation.

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Managing Innovation: Artificial Intelligence

  • 1. WHAT IS ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE?
  • 2.
  • 3. CONTRADICTIONS  “Infinity is infinity but infinity doesn’t adequately contain itself.”  Russell’s Paradox of “class of all classes which are not members of themselves  Illustrated: Barber of Seville  Each man in town either shaves himself, or goes to the barber  The barber shaves only those who do not shave themselves  Who shaves the barber?
  • 4. GÖDEL'S INCOMPLETENESS THEOREMS  Proved that the systems of mathematical logic are flawed.  No matter how large you make your set of axioms, in arithmetic there will always be statements that are true, but cannot be proven so.  Another way of saying this, for us technology managers: No matter how much data you have, even infinitely many data bits, you cannot prove all true statements.
  • 5. FROM ESOTERIC TO CONCRETE - DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION IN MATHEMATICS  Alan Turing – The Halting Problem  For mathematicians, how do you know if the problem you are working on is inherently unsolvable (Hilbert’s Second Problem), or extraordinarily difficult (Fermat’s Last Theorem)? In conceiving an answer, Turing turned to something more basic: uncomputability. What are the limits of computation? The machine he constructed, The Turing Machine, was the conceptual creation of what we today call the computer.
  • 6. WHY DOES THIS MATTER?  Every single one of us will have our lives inexorably and profoundly changed over the coming decades by AI.  It is important because it tells us what AI is NOT.  Internet ≠ TV, only better  AI ≠ human intelligence, only better (perfect memory)  Establishes a respect for the AI technology, but a deep and abiding admiration for the natural technology of the human mind.
  • 7. FROM IDEA TO INNOVATION  Innovation = Commercialization of Ideas. AI developed only as an idea until the hardware could catch up. Now, with the situations somewhat reversed, funding is pouring into AI research.  DARPA’s CALO project in 2003  Trapit and SIRI
  • 8. VOICE RECOGNITION-CHALLENGES  speaker dependence,  continuity of speech,  difficulty of identifying word boundaries - as in "youth in Asia" and "euthanasia.”  vocabulary size  Large vocabularies cause difficulties in maintaining accuracy, but small vocabularies restrict the speaker.
  • 9. APPLE  >50,000 employees and with annual revenue approaching $100 billion grow 60% a year  Multi-focused structure in which product, function, and geography are emphasized all at once  Better alignment between functional and divisional goals  Simplicity is key.  It is deceptively straightforward with none of the dotted-line or matrixed responsibilities popular elsewhere in the corporate world  A corporate dictator who makes every critical decision (Steve Jobs)
  • 10.
  • 11. APPLE  A cutting-edge startup rather than the consumer- electronics behemoth  The attention to detail, the secrecy, the constant feedback -- into processes  Passion for innovation and an uncompromising commitment to bringing great products to market.  Smart technology also needs to be beautiful technology
  • 12. HOW APPLE WORKS  Accountability from top on down  a series of weekly meetings  never any confusion as to who is responsible for what.  The "DRI" or directly responsible individual.  Ability to move nimbly  Ability to focus on just a few things at a time  Still a startup at heart  Most notably by putting small teams on crucial projects  Do-more-with-less mentality
  • 13. HOW APPLE MANAGE  Value-driven business-model innovation  Smart technology (ipad, phone)  Voice recognition is a disruptive technology, but they apply it as a sustaining innovation  Acquired SIRI (2010)  ability to correlate data  ability to interpret meaning  If improved upon,...
  • 14. LESSONS FROM APPLE  Network Innovation  In pursuit of Simplicity  Fail Wisely  Not All Innovation is Equal  Innovation Doesn't Generate Growth. Management Does
  • 15. GOOGLE’S VOICE RECOGNITION  Application  Simultaneous subtitle in video  Perspective  Translation  A supercar in Knight Rider and Green Hornet  Searching by oral inputs
  • 16. GOOGLE’S CHALLENGES  Challenges  Vocabulary  Accent  Automatic skip  Translation
  • 17. MICROSOFT VOICE RECOGNITION  Windows Speech Recognition empowers users to interact with their computers by voice.  Itwas designed for people who want to significantly limit their use of the mouse and keyboard while increasing their productivity.
  • 18. MICROSOFT VOICE RECOGNITION  Schools-Teachers can use speech recognitions to improve student’s second language.  Offices- People send email and do their projects efficiency by speech recognition.  Research Center- Scientists improve productivity by speech recognition.  Military-Commanders can control any equipments easily and safety by speech recognition.
  • 19. MICROSOFT-FEATURES Commanding "Say what you see" control applications and tasks, such as formatting and saving documents; opening and switching between applications; and opening, copying, and deleting files; and browse the Internet by saying the names of links. Correction Efficiently fix incorrectly recognized words by selecting form alternatives for the dictated phrase or word or by spelling the word. Interactive The interactive tutorial teaches people how to use tutorial windows speech recognition and teaches system what your voice sounds like. Personalization The system keep adapting both your speaking style and accent continually improves speech recognition accuracy.
  • 20. PROBLEMS AND CHALLENGES FOR MICROSOFT  Problems- 1. Voice distinguish 2. Command’s error on system  Challenges- 1. How to develop a new smart system 2. Strengthen distinguish system 3. Operating speed.
  • 21. COMPARISON  Managing Innovation  Potentially disruptive technologies used in a sustaining innovation framework (ecosystem)  Apple  Product ecosystem- iPad  Google  Search ecosystem- Android  Microsoft  Windows ecosystem- Office Products
  • 23. KLINE: “SHARING THE CORPORATE JEWELS”  "Strategic licensing is emerging against the backdrop of intensified efforts by corporate America to maximize the return on its intellectual property assets, which now account for 50% to 70% of the market value of all public companies.“  “To judge from the results of such initiatives to date, the most powerful benefits are economic. No company demonstrates this better than IBM, which earned an astounding $1.7 billion from technology licensing in 2000 alone. These revenues came with a 98% profit margin and accounted for roughly 20% of the company’s net income in that year.”  Imagine the possibilities Artificial Intelligence applications could have in this regard.
  • 24.
  • 25. THE FUTURE OF AI  Another DARPA creation, the internet, was in a similar position, not too long ago.  Tim Berners-Lee’s World Wide Web  Netscape Browser  AI also needs the concurrent development of enabling technologies, like: a semantically linked web, populated with a web of things, and robotics.  Until then, this space is best doing a lot of the same as it is doing now until such time as the disruptive technology finds a model that can make it into a truly disruptive innovation.

Notas do Editor

  1. Apple’s real skill lies in stitching together its own ideas with technologies from outside and then wrapping the results in elegant software and stylish design. Apple has consistently combined clever technology with simplicity and ease of use. The iPod was not the first digital-music player, but it was the first to make transferring and organising music, and buying it online, easy enough for almost anyone to have a go. Similarly, the iPhone is not the first mobile phone to incorporate a music-player, web browser or e-mail software. But most existing “smartphones” require you to be pretty smart to use them. The iPod was ridiculed when it was launched in 2001, but Mr Jobs stuck by his instinct. Network innovation: Apple is an orchestrator and integrator of technologies. Bring in ideas from outside but always adding its own twists.In pursuit of simplicity: Apple illustrates the importance of designing new products around the needs of the user, not the demands of the technology. Ignore focus groups : Smart companies should sometimes ignore what the market says it wants today. Fail wisely: The wider lesson is not to stigmatize failure but to tolerate it and learn from it.Not All Innovation Is Equal:Technical innovation will earn you lots of adoring fans (think Apple). Business-model innovation will earn you lots of money (think Dell).Innovate for Cash, Not CachetIf your cool new thing doesn't generate enough money to cover costs and make a profit, it isn't innovation. It's art.Don't Hoard Your GoodiesGetting to market on time and at the right price is vital. If that means licensing your idea to an outside manufacturer or marketer, do it.Innovation Doesn't Generate Growth. Management Does: Managers get rewarded for results, which come from customers.Attention Deficit Has No Place Here: Every innovation worth doing deserves your commitment.