H2O.ai CEO/Founder: Sri Ambati Keynote at Wells Fargo Day
Business cycle Managerial Economics
1. Business Cycle
The term business cycle is referred to the recurrent
ups and downs in the level of economic activity that
extend over a period of time. The business fluctuations
occur in aggregate variable such as national
income, employment and price level.
Business cycle is also called as “Trade Cycle”
Business Cycle-Martin Thomas
2. 4 Phases of Business Cycle
Prosperity Phase : Expansion or Boom or
Upswing of economy.
Recession Phase : from prosperity to recession
(upper turning point).
Depression Phase : Contraction or Downswing of
economy.
Recovery Phase : from depression to prosperity
(lower turning Point).
Business Cycle-Martin Thomas
3. Prosperity: Expansion & Peak
When
there
is
an
expansion
of
output, income, employment, prices and profits, there is also
a rise in the standard of living. This period is termed as
Prosperity phase.
Rise in the national output & trade
Rise in consumer and capital expenditure
Rise in the Price of raw materials and finished goods
Rise in the level of income & employment
Business Cycle-Martin Thomas
Fig.1
4. Recession & Turning Point
During a recession period, the economic activities
slow down. When demand starts falling, the
overproduction and future investment plans are also
given up. There is a steady decline in the
output, income, employment, prices and profits.
Business Cycle-Martin Thomas
5. Depression & Trough
When there is a continuous decrease of
output, income, employment, prices and
profits, there is a fall in the standard of living and
depression sets in. During the phase of Depression:
The growth rate become negative
The level of national income and expenditure
declines
Price of consumer and capital goods decline
Workers lose their job
Business Cycle-Martin Thomas
6. Recovery Phase
As the recovery gathers momentum, some firms
plan additional investment; some undertake
renovation programmes, and some undertake both.
These activities generate construction activities in
both consumer & capital goods sector. As a result
more employment is generated and wage rates
moving upward.
Business Cycle-Martin Thomas