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Eyewall replacement cycle                                                                                                         1



    Eyewall replacement cycle
    Eyewall replacement cycles, also called concentric eyewall cycles, naturally occur in intense tropical cyclones,
    generally with winds greater than 185 km/h (115 mph), or major hurricanes (Category 3 or above). When tropical
    cyclones reach this intensity, and the eyewall contracts or is already sufficiently small, some of the outer rainbands
    may strengthen and organize into a ring of thunderstorms—an outer eyewall—that slowly moves inward and robs
    the inner eyewall of its needed moisture and angular momentum. Since the strongest winds are in a cyclone's
    eyewall, the tropical cyclone usually weakens during this phase, as the inner wall is "choked" by the outer wall.
    Eventually the outer eyewall replaces the inner one completely, and the storm may re-intensify.
    The discovery of this process was partially responsible for the end of the U.S. government's hurricane modification
    experiment Project Stormfury. This project set out to seed clouds outside the eyewall, causing a new eyewall to form
    and weakening the storm. When it was discovered that this was a natural process due to hurricane dynamics, the
    project was quickly abandoned.[]
    Almost every intense hurricane undergoes at least one of these cycles during its existence. Recent studies have
    shown that nearly half of all tropical cyclones, and nearly all cyclones with sustained winds over 204 kilometres per
    hour (127 mph; 110 kn), undergo eyewall replacement cycles.[] Hurricane Allen in 1980 went through repeated
    eyewall replacement cycles, fluctuating between Category 5 and Category 3 status on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane
    Scale several times. Hurricane Juliette (2001) was a rare documented case of triple eyewalls.[] Typhoon June (1975)
    was the first reported case of triple eyewalls.[] The reconnaissance flight that observed the triple concentric eyewalls
    also recorded that this was the strongest typhoon up to that point.[1]


    History
    The first tropical system to be observed with concentric eyewalls was
    Typhoon Sarah by Fortner in 1956, which he described as "an eye
    within an eye".[] The storm was observed by a reconnaissance aircraft
    to have an inner eyewall at 6 kilometres (3.7 mi) and an outer eyewall
    at 28 kilometres (17 mi). During a subsequent flight 8 hours later, the
    inner eyewall had disappeared, the outer eyewall had reduced to 16
    kilometres (9.9 mi) and the maximum sustained winds and hurricane
    intensity had decreased.[] The next hurricane observed to have
    concentric eyewalls was Hurricane Donna in 1960.[] Radar from
                                                                                1966 photo of the crew and personnel of Project
    reconnaissance aircraft showed an inner eye that varied from 10 miles
                                                                                                  Stormfury.
    (16 km) at low altitude to 13 miles (21 km) near the tropopause. In
    between the two eyewalls was an area of clear skies that extended
    vertically from 3,000 feet (910 m) to 25,000 feet (7,600 m). The low-level clouds at around 3,000 feet (910 m) were
    described as stratocumulus with concentric horizontal rolls. The inner eyewall was reported to reach heights near
    45,000 feet (14,000 m) while the inner eyewall only extended to 30,000 feet (9,100 m). 12 hours after identifying a
    concentric eyewalls, the inner eyewall had dissipated.[]

    Hurricane Beulah in 1967 was the first tropical cyclone to have its eyewall replacement cycle observed from
    beginning to end.[] Previous observations of concentric eyewalls were from aircraft-based platforms. Beulah was
    observed from the Puerto Rico land-based radar for 34 hours during which time a double eyewall formed and
    dissipated. It was noted that Beulah reached maximum intensity immediately prior to undergoing the eyewall
    replacement cycle, and that it was "probably more than a coincidence."[] Previous eyewall replacement cycles had
    been observed to decrease the intensity of the storm,[] but at this time the dynamics of why it occurred was not
    known.[citation needed]
Eyewall replacement cycle                                                                                                       2


    As early as 1946 it was known that the introduction of carbon dioxide ice or silver iodide into clouds that contained
    supercooled water would convert the liquid water into ice. Today this is known as the Bergeron–Findeisen process.
    It was thought that scientists could manipulate the size of the snow or ice particles to be either larger or smaller than
    the original liquid water, and would either result in increased or decreased precipitation. By increasing the rate of
    precipitation, the seeded cloud would result in dissipation of the storm.[] By early 1960, the working theory was that
    the eyewall of a hurricane was inertially unstable and that the clouds had a large amount of supercooled water.
    Therefore, seeding the storm outside the eyewall would release more latent heat and cause the eyewall to expand.
    The expansion of the eyewall would be accompanied with a decrease in the maximum wind speed though
    conservation of angular momentum.[]


    Project Stormfury
    Project Stormfury was an attempt to weaken tropical cyclones by flying aircraft into them and seeding with silver
    iodide. The project was run by the United States Government from 1962 to 1983.[]
    The hypothesis was that the silver iodide would cause supercooled water in the storm to freeze, disrupting the inner
    structure of the hurricane. This led to the seeding of several Atlantic hurricanes. However, it was later shown that
    this hypothesis was incorrect.[] In reality, it was determined most hurricanes do not contain enough supercooled
    water for cloud seeding to be effective. Additionally, researchers found that unseeded hurricanes often undergo the
    same structural changes that were expected from seeded hurricanes. This finding called Stormfury's successes into
    question, as the changes reported now had a natural explanation.[]
    The last experimental flight was flown in 1971, due to a lack of candidate storms and a changeover in NOAA's fleet.
    More than a decade after the last modification experiment, Project Stormfury was officially canceled. Although a
    failure in its goal of reducing the destructiveness of hurricanes, Project Stormfury was not without merit. The
    observational data and storm lifecycle research generated by Stormfury helped improve meteorologists' ability to
    forecast the movement and intensity of future hurricanes.[]


    Secondary eyewall formation
    Secondary eyewalls were once considered a rare phenomenon. Since
    the advent of reconnaissance airplanes and microwave satellite data, it
    has been observed that over half of all major tropical cyclones develop
    at least one secondary eyewall.[][] There have been many hypotheses
    that attempt to explain the formation of secondary eyewalls. The
    reason why hurricanes develop secondary eyewalls is not well
    understood.[]


    Identification
    Qualitatively identifying secondary eyewalls is easy for a hurricane
    analyst to do. It involves looking at satellite or RADAR imagery and           Imagery from Tropical Rainfall Measuring
    seeing if there are two concentric rings of enhanced convection. The           Mission shows the beginning of an eyewall
    outer eyewall is generally almost circular and concentric with the inner        replacement cycle in Hurricane Frances.

    eyewall. Quantitative analysis is more difficult since there exists no
    objective definition of what a secondary eyewall is. Kossin et al.. specified that the outer ring had to be visibly
    separated from the inner eye with at least 75% closed with a moat region clear of clouds.[]
Eyewall replacement cycle                                                                                                      3


    While secondary eyewalls have been seen as a tropical cyclone is
    nearing land, none have been observed while the eye is not over the
    ocean. July offers the best background environmental conditions for
    development of a secondary eyewall. Changes in the intensity of strong
    hurricanes such as Katrina, Ophelia, and Rita occurred simultaneously
    with eyewall replacement cycles and comprised interactions between
    the eyewalls, rainbands and outside environments.[][] Eyewall
    replacement cycles, such as occurred in Katrina as it approached the
    Gulf Coast of the United States, can greatly increase the size of tropical
    cyclones while simultaneously decreasing in strength.[2]

    During the period from 1997–2006, 45 eyewall replacement cycles
    were observed in the tropical North Atlantic Ocean, 12 in the Eastern
    North Pacific and 2 in the Western North Pacific. 12% of all Atlantic
    storms and 5% of storm in the Pacific underwent eyewall replacement
    during this time period. In the North Atlantic, 70% of major hurricanes     Typhoon Chanchu at peak intensity, during an
    had at least one eyewall replacement, compared to 33% of all storms.                eyewall replacement cycle
    In the Pacific, 33% of major hurricanes and 16% of all hurricanes had
    an eyewall replacement cycle. Stronger storms have a higher probability of forming a secondary eyewall, with 60%
    of category 5 hurricanes underwent an eyewall replacement cycle within 12 hours.[]

    During the years 1969-1971, 93 storms reached tropical storm strength or greater in the Pacific Ocean. 8 of the 15
    that reached super typhoon strength (65 m/s), 11 of the 49 storms that reached typhoon strength (33 m/s), and none
    of the 29 tropical storms (<33 m/s) developed concentric eyewalls. The authors note that because the reconnaissance
    aircraft were not specifically looking for double eyewall features, these numbers are likely underestimates.[]
    During the years 1949-1983, 1268 typhoons were observed in the Western Pacific. 76 of these had concentric
    eyewalls. Of all the typhoons that underwent eyewall replacement, around 60% did so only once; 40% had more than
    one eyewall replacement cycle, with two of the typhoons each experiencing five eyewall replacements. The number
    of storms with eyewall replacement cycles was strongly correlated with the strength of the storm. Stronger typhoons
    were much more likely to have concentric eyewalls. There were no cases of double eyewalls where the maximum
    sustained wind was less than 45 m/s or the minimum pressure was higher than 970 hPa. More than three-quarters of
    the typhoons that had pressures lower than 870 hPa developed the double eyewall feature. The majority of Western
    and Central Pacific typhoons that experience double eyewalls do so in the vicinity of Guam.[]


    Early formation hypotheses
    Since eyewall replacement cycles were discovered to be natural, there has been a strong interest in trying to identify
    what causes them. There have been many hypotheses put forth that are now abandoned. In 1980, Hurricane Allen
    crossed the mountainous region of Haiti and simultaneously developed a secondary eyewall. Hawkins noted this and
    hypothesized that the secondary eyewall may have been caused by topographic forcing.[] Willoughby suggested that
    a resonance between the inertial period and asymmetric friction may be the cause of secondary eyewalls.[3] Later
    modeling studies and observations have shown that outer eyewalls may develop in areas uninfluenced by land
    processes.
    There have been many hypotheses suggesting a link between synoptic scale features and secondary eyewall
    replacement. It has been observed that radially inward traveling wave-like disturbances have preceded the rapid
    development of tropical disturbances to tropical cyclones. It has been hypothesized that this synoptic scale internal
    forcing could lead to a secondary eyewall.[] Rapid deepening of the tropical low in connection with synoptic scale
    forcing has been observed in multiple storms,[] but has been shown to not be a necessary condition for the formation
Eyewall replacement cycle                                                                                                     4


    of a secondary eyewall.[] The wind-induced surface heat exchange (WISHE) is a positive feedback mechanism
    between the ocean and atmosphere in which a stronger ocean-to-atmosphere heat flux results in a stronger
    atmospheric circulation, which results in a strong heat flux.[] WISHE has been proposed as a method of generating
    secondary eyewalls.[] Later work has shown that while WISHE is a necessary condition to amplify disturbances, it is
    not needed to generate them.[]


    Vortex Rossby wave hypothesis
    In the vortex Rossby wave hypothesis, the waves travel radially outward from the inner vortex. The waves amplify
    angular momentum at a radius that is dependent on the radial velocity matching that of the outside flow. At this
    point, the two are phase-locked and allow the coalescence of the waves to form a secondary eyewall.[][]


    β-skirt axisymmetrization hypothesis
    In a fluid system, β (beta) is the spatial, usually horizontal, change in the environmental vertical vorticity. β is
    maximized in the eyewall of a tropical cyclone. The β-skirt axisymmetrization (BSA) assumes that a tropical cyclone
    about develop a secondary eye will have a decreasing, but non-negative β that extends from the eyewall to
    approximately 50 kilometres (31 mi) to 100 kilometres (62 mi) from the eyewall. In this region, there is a small, but
    important β. This area is called the β-skirt. Outward of the skirt, β is effectively zero.[]
    Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is the amount of energy a parcel of air would have if lifted a certain
    distance vertically through the atmosphere. The higher the CAPE, the more likely there will be convection. If areas
    of high CAPE exist in the β-skirt, the deep convection that forms would act as a source of vorticity and turbulence
    kinetic energy. This small-scale energy will upscale into a jet around the storm. The low-level jet focuses the
    stochastic energy a nearly axisymmetric ring around the eye. Once this low-level jet forms, a positive feedback cycle
    such as WISHE can amplify the initial perturbations into a secondary eyewall.[][]


    Death of the inner eyewall
    After the secondary eyewall totally surrounds the inner
    eyewall, it begins to affect the tropical cyclone
    dynamics. Hurricanes are fueled by the high ocean
    temperature. Sea surface temperatures immediately
    underneath a tropical cyclone can be several degrees
    cooler than those at the periphery of a storm, and
    therefore cyclones are dependent upon receiving the
    energy from the ocean from the inward spiraling winds.
    When an outer eyewall is formed, the moisture and
    angular momentum necessary for the maintenance of the inner eyewall is now being used to sustain the outer
    eyewall, causing the inner eye to weaken and dissipate leaving the tropical cyclone with one eye that is larger in
    diameter than the previous eye.
    In the moat region between the inner and outer eyewall, observations by dropsondes have shown high temperatures
    and dewpoint depressions. The eyewall contracts because of inertial instability.[] Contraction of the eyewall occurs if
    the area of convection occurs outside the radius of maximum winds. After the outer eyewall forms, subsidence
    increases rapidly in the moat region.[]
    Once the inner eyewall dissipates, the storm weakens; the central pressure increases and the maximum sustained
    windspeed decreases. Usually the new eyewall will contract and intensify the storm such that it is stronger than
    before the start of the eyewall replacement cycle. Rapid changes in the intensity of tropical cyclones is a typical
    characteristic of eyewall replacement cycles.[] Compared to the processes involved with the formation of the
Eyewall replacement cycle                                                                                                     5


    secondary eyewall, the death of the inner eyewall is fairly well understood.
    Some tropical cyclones with extremely large outer eyewalls do not experience the contraction of the outer eye and
    subsequent dissipation of the inner eye. Typhoon Winnie (1997) developed an outer eyewall with a diameter of 200
    kilometres (120 mi) that did not dissipate until it reached the shoreline.[] The time required for the eyewall to
    collapse is inversely related to the diameter of the eyewall which is mostly because inward directed wind decreases
    asymptotically to zero with distance from the radius of maximum winds, but also due to the distance required to
    collapse the eyewall.[]
    Throughout the entire vertical layer of the moat, there is dry descending air. The dynamics of the moat region are
    similar to the eye, while the outer eyewall takes on the dynamics of the primary eyewall. The vertical structure of the
    eye has two layers. The largest layer is that from the top of the tropopause to a capping layer around 700 hPa which
    is described by descending warm air. Below the capping layer, the air is moist and has convection with the presence
    of stratocumulus clouds. The moat gradually takes on the characteristics of the eye, upon which the inner eyewall
    can only dissipate in strength as the majority of the inflow is now being used to maintain the outer eyewall. The
    inner eye is eventually evaporated as it is warmed by the surrounding dry air in the moat and eye. Models and
    observations show that once the outer eyewall completely surrounds the inner eye, it takes less than 12 hours for the
    complete dissipation of the inner eyewall. The inner eyewall feeds mostly upon the moist air in the lower portion of
    the eye before evaporating.[]


    Evolution into an annular hurricane
    Annular hurricanes have a single eyewall that is larger and circularly symmetric. Observations show that an eyewall
    replacement cycle can lead to the development of an annular hurricane. While some hurricanes develop into annular
    hurricanes without an eyewall replacement, it has been hypothesized that the dynamics leading to the formation of a
    secondary eyewall may be similar to those needed for development of an annular eye.[] Hurricane Daniel (2006) was
    an example where a storm had an eyewall replacement cycle and then turned into an annular hurricane.[] Annular
    hurricanes have been simulated that have gone through the life cycle of an eyewall replacement. The simulations
    show that the major rainbands will grow such that the arms will overlap, and then it spiral into itself to form a
    concentric eyewall. The inner eyewall dissipates, leaving a hurricane with a singular large eye with no rainbands.[]


    References

    Further reading

    Books
    • Paul V. Kislow (2008). Hurricanes: background, history and bibliography. Nova Publishers. p. 50.
      ISBN 1-59454-727-0.
    • Kshudiram Saha (2009). Tropical Circulation Systems and Monsoons. Springer. p. 76. ISBN 3-642-03372-5.


    Web pages
    • "Satellite examples of eyewall replacement cycles" (http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/?s=eyewall+
      replacement+cycle). CIMSS Satellite Blog. Retrieved 28 August 2010.
    • Jeff Haby. "Answers: How hurricanes replace their eyewalls" (http://www.theweatherprediction.com/
      habyhints2/412/). Haby's Weather Forecasting Hints. Retrieved 19 November 2009.
    • Chris Cappella (31 August 2004). "Answers: How hurricanes replace their eyewalls" (http://www.usatoday.
      com/weather/resources/askjack/2003-11-15-eyewall-replacement_x.htm). USA Today. Retrieved 19 November
      2009.
Eyewall replacement cycle                                                                                             6


    • R.L. Deal (20 April 2006). "Eye Wall Replacement In Tropical Cyclones" (http://casil.met.fsu.edu/~rdeal/
      documents/Deal_Met3300.pdf) (PDF). MET3300 Project. The Florida State University. Retrieved 19 November
      2009.
    • "Eyewall Replacement Cycles" (http://www.meted.ucar.edu/tropical/textbook/ch10/tropcyclone_10_4_5_3.
      html). (Requires free registration). University Corporation for Atmospheric Research. 2007. Retrieved 19
      November 2009.
    • J.P. Kossin and D.S. Nolan. "Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity Change Related to Eyewall Replacement
      Cycles and Annular Storm Formation, Utilizing Objective Interpretation of Satellite Data and Model Analyses"
      (http://www.onr.navy.mil/sci_tech/32/reports/docs/07/mmkossin.pdf) (PDF). Retrieved 19 November
      2009.
    • Jon Hamilton (1 March 2007). "Why Katrina Became a Monster and Rita Fizzled" (http://www.npr.org/
      templates/story/story.php?storyId=7672274). All Things Considered. National Public Radio. Retrieved 19
      November 2009.


    Journal articles
    • Willoughby, H. E. (1979). "Forced Secondary Circulations in Hurricanes". J. Geophys. Res. 84 (C6): 3173–3183.
      Bibcode 1979JGR....84.3173W (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1979JGR....84.3173W). doi:
      10.1029/JC084iC06p03173 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/JC084iC06p03173).
    • Kossin, J.P.; Schubert, W.H; Montgomery, M.T. (2000). "Unstable Interactions between a Hurricane's Primary
      Eyewall and a Secondary Ring of Enhanced Vorticity". J. Atmos. Sci. 57 (24): 3893–3917. Bibcode
      2000JAtS...57.3893K (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2000JAtS...57.3893K). doi:
      10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<3893:UIBAHS>2.0.CO;2 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/
      1520-0469(2001)058<3893:UIBAHS>2.0.CO;2).
    • Sitkowski, M.; Barnes, G.M. (2009). "Low-Level Thermodynamic, Kinematic, and Reflectivity Fields of
      Hurricane Guillermo (1997) during Rapid Intensification". Mon. Wea. Rev. 137 (2): 645–663. Bibcode
      2009MWRv..137..645S (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009MWRv..137..645S). doi:
      10.1175/2008MWR2531.1 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008MWR2531.1).
    • Zhang, Qing-hong; Kuo, Ying-hwa; Chen, Shou-jun (2005). "Interaction between concentric eye-walls in super
      typhoon Winnie (1997)". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 131 (612): 3183–3204. Bibcode
      2005QJRMS.131.3183Z (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2005QJRMS.131.3183Z). doi: 10.1256/qj.04.33
      (http://dx.doi.org/10.1256/qj.04.33).
    • Emanuel, K (2003). "Tropical Cyclones". Annu Rev Earth Planet Sci 31 (1): 75. Bibcode 2003AREPS..31...75E
      (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2003AREPS..31...75E). doi: 10.1146/annurev.earth.31.100901.141259
      (http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.earth.31.100901.141259).
    • Oda, M.; Nakanishi, M.; Naito, G. (2006). "Interaction of an Asymmetric Double Vortex and Trochoidal Motion
      of a Tropical Cyclone with the Concentric Eyewall Structure". J. Atmos. Sci. 63 (3): 1069–1081. Bibcode
      2006JAtS...63.1069O (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2006JAtS...63.1069O). doi: 10.1175/JAS3670.1 (http:/
      /dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS3670.1).
    • Zhao, K.; Lee, W.-C.; Jou, B. J.-D. (2008). "Single Doppler radar observation of the concentric eyewall in
      Typhoon Saomai, 2006, near landfall". Geophys. Res. Lett. 35 (7): L07807. Bibcode 2008GeoRL..3507807Z
      (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008GeoRL..3507807Z). doi: 10.1029/2007GL032773 (http://dx.doi.org/
      10.1029/2007GL032773).
    • Kuo, H.C.; Schubert, W.H.; Tsai, C.L.; Kuo, Y.F. (2008). "Vortex Interactions and Barotropic Aspects of
      Concentric Eyewall Formation". Mon. Wea. Rev. 136 (12): 5183–5198. Bibcode 2008MWRv..136.5183K (http://
      adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008MWRv..136.5183K). doi: 10.1175/2008MWR2378.1 (http://dx.doi.org/10.
      1175/2008MWR2378.1).
Eyewall replacement cycle                                                                                                7


    • Rozoff, C.M.; Kossin, J.P.; Schubert, W.H.; Mulero, P.J. (2009). "Internal Control of Hurricane Intensity
      Variability: The Dual Nature of Potential Vorticity Mixing". J. Atmos. Sci. 66: 133–147. Bibcode
      2009JAtS...66..133R (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009JAtS...66..133R). doi: 10.1175/2008JAS2717.1
      (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008JAS2717.1).
    • Zhu, T.; Zhang, D.L.; Weng, F. (2004). "Numerical Simulation of Hurricane Bonnie (1998). Part I: Eyewall
      Evolution and Intensity Changes". Mon. Wea. Rev. 132: 225–241. Bibcode 2004MWRv..132..225Z (http://
      adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2004MWRv..132..225Z). doi:
      10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<0225:NSOHBP>2.0.CO;2 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/
      1520-0493(2004)132<0225:NSOHBP>2.0.CO;2).
    • Nong, S.; Emanuel, K. (2003). "A numerical study of the genesis of concentric eyewalls in hurricanes". Quarterly
      Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 129 (595): 3323–3338. Bibcode 2003QJRMS.129.3323N (http://
      adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2003QJRMS.129.3323N). doi: 10.1256/qj.01.132 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1256/qj.
      01.132).
    • Kuo, H.C.; Lin, L.Y.; Chang, C.P.; Williams, R.T. (2004). "The Formation of Concentric Vorticity Structures in
      Typhoons". J. Atmos. Sci. 61 (22): 2722–2734. Bibcode 2004JAtS...61.2722K (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/
      2004JAtS...61.2722K). doi: 10.1175/JAS3286.1 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS3286.1).
    • Terwey, W.D.; Montgomery, M.T. (2008). "Secondary eyewall formation in two idealized, full-physics modeled
      hurricanes". J. Geophys. Res. 113: D12112. Bibcode 2008JGRD..11312112T (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/
      2008JGRD..11312112T). doi: 10.1029/2007JD008897 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007JD008897).
    • Maclay, K.S.; DeMaria, M.; Vonder Haar, T.H. (2008). "Tropical Cyclone Inner-Core Kinetic Energy Evolution".
      Mon. Wea. Rev. 136 (12): 4882–4898. Bibcode 2008MWRv..136.4882M (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/
      2008MWRv..136.4882M). doi: 10.1175/2008MWR2268.1 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008MWR2268.1).
Article Sources and Contributors                                                                                                                                                               8



    Article Sources and Contributors
    Eyewall replacement cycle  Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?oldid=520479418  Contributors: Anthony Appleyard, Cherkash, Chris the speller, Debresser, Earth100, Favonian,
    Headbomb, Hellbus, Hmains, Hurricanehink, Jason Rees, Jersey emt, Juliancolton, LilHelpa, Miller17CU94, Mortense, Müdigkeit, Nathan Johnson, Rjwilmsi, Soapthgr8, Victor Diovanni, Xeno,
    15 anonymous edits




    Image Sources, Licenses and Contributors
    File:Project Stormfury crew.jpg  Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=File:Project_Stormfury_crew.jpg  License: Public Domain  Contributors: NOAA
    File:TRMM Frances 30aug1021 utc lrg.jpg  Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=File:TRMM_Frances_30aug1021_utc_lrg.jpg  License: Public Domain  Contributors: NASA
    images produced by Hal Pierce (SSAI/NASA GSFC) and caption by Steve Lang (SSAI/NASA GSFC), NASA's Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission.
    File:Typhoon Chanchu16-05-06.jpg  Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=File:Typhoon_Chanchu16-05-06.jpg  License: Public Domain  Contributors: Jeff Schmaltz, MODIS
    Rapid Response Team, Goddard Space Flight Center
    File:Hurricane profile.svg  Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=File:Hurricane_profile.svg  License: Public Domain  Contributors: me, Jannev




    License
    Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Unported
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Eyewall replacement cycle - Wiki

  • 1. Eyewall replacement cycle 1 Eyewall replacement cycle Eyewall replacement cycles, also called concentric eyewall cycles, naturally occur in intense tropical cyclones, generally with winds greater than 185 km/h (115 mph), or major hurricanes (Category 3 or above). When tropical cyclones reach this intensity, and the eyewall contracts or is already sufficiently small, some of the outer rainbands may strengthen and organize into a ring of thunderstorms—an outer eyewall—that slowly moves inward and robs the inner eyewall of its needed moisture and angular momentum. Since the strongest winds are in a cyclone's eyewall, the tropical cyclone usually weakens during this phase, as the inner wall is "choked" by the outer wall. Eventually the outer eyewall replaces the inner one completely, and the storm may re-intensify. The discovery of this process was partially responsible for the end of the U.S. government's hurricane modification experiment Project Stormfury. This project set out to seed clouds outside the eyewall, causing a new eyewall to form and weakening the storm. When it was discovered that this was a natural process due to hurricane dynamics, the project was quickly abandoned.[] Almost every intense hurricane undergoes at least one of these cycles during its existence. Recent studies have shown that nearly half of all tropical cyclones, and nearly all cyclones with sustained winds over 204 kilometres per hour (127 mph; 110 kn), undergo eyewall replacement cycles.[] Hurricane Allen in 1980 went through repeated eyewall replacement cycles, fluctuating between Category 5 and Category 3 status on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale several times. Hurricane Juliette (2001) was a rare documented case of triple eyewalls.[] Typhoon June (1975) was the first reported case of triple eyewalls.[] The reconnaissance flight that observed the triple concentric eyewalls also recorded that this was the strongest typhoon up to that point.[1] History The first tropical system to be observed with concentric eyewalls was Typhoon Sarah by Fortner in 1956, which he described as "an eye within an eye".[] The storm was observed by a reconnaissance aircraft to have an inner eyewall at 6 kilometres (3.7 mi) and an outer eyewall at 28 kilometres (17 mi). During a subsequent flight 8 hours later, the inner eyewall had disappeared, the outer eyewall had reduced to 16 kilometres (9.9 mi) and the maximum sustained winds and hurricane intensity had decreased.[] The next hurricane observed to have concentric eyewalls was Hurricane Donna in 1960.[] Radar from 1966 photo of the crew and personnel of Project reconnaissance aircraft showed an inner eye that varied from 10 miles Stormfury. (16 km) at low altitude to 13 miles (21 km) near the tropopause. In between the two eyewalls was an area of clear skies that extended vertically from 3,000 feet (910 m) to 25,000 feet (7,600 m). The low-level clouds at around 3,000 feet (910 m) were described as stratocumulus with concentric horizontal rolls. The inner eyewall was reported to reach heights near 45,000 feet (14,000 m) while the inner eyewall only extended to 30,000 feet (9,100 m). 12 hours after identifying a concentric eyewalls, the inner eyewall had dissipated.[] Hurricane Beulah in 1967 was the first tropical cyclone to have its eyewall replacement cycle observed from beginning to end.[] Previous observations of concentric eyewalls were from aircraft-based platforms. Beulah was observed from the Puerto Rico land-based radar for 34 hours during which time a double eyewall formed and dissipated. It was noted that Beulah reached maximum intensity immediately prior to undergoing the eyewall replacement cycle, and that it was "probably more than a coincidence."[] Previous eyewall replacement cycles had been observed to decrease the intensity of the storm,[] but at this time the dynamics of why it occurred was not known.[citation needed]
  • 2. Eyewall replacement cycle 2 As early as 1946 it was known that the introduction of carbon dioxide ice or silver iodide into clouds that contained supercooled water would convert the liquid water into ice. Today this is known as the Bergeron–Findeisen process. It was thought that scientists could manipulate the size of the snow or ice particles to be either larger or smaller than the original liquid water, and would either result in increased or decreased precipitation. By increasing the rate of precipitation, the seeded cloud would result in dissipation of the storm.[] By early 1960, the working theory was that the eyewall of a hurricane was inertially unstable and that the clouds had a large amount of supercooled water. Therefore, seeding the storm outside the eyewall would release more latent heat and cause the eyewall to expand. The expansion of the eyewall would be accompanied with a decrease in the maximum wind speed though conservation of angular momentum.[] Project Stormfury Project Stormfury was an attempt to weaken tropical cyclones by flying aircraft into them and seeding with silver iodide. The project was run by the United States Government from 1962 to 1983.[] The hypothesis was that the silver iodide would cause supercooled water in the storm to freeze, disrupting the inner structure of the hurricane. This led to the seeding of several Atlantic hurricanes. However, it was later shown that this hypothesis was incorrect.[] In reality, it was determined most hurricanes do not contain enough supercooled water for cloud seeding to be effective. Additionally, researchers found that unseeded hurricanes often undergo the same structural changes that were expected from seeded hurricanes. This finding called Stormfury's successes into question, as the changes reported now had a natural explanation.[] The last experimental flight was flown in 1971, due to a lack of candidate storms and a changeover in NOAA's fleet. More than a decade after the last modification experiment, Project Stormfury was officially canceled. Although a failure in its goal of reducing the destructiveness of hurricanes, Project Stormfury was not without merit. The observational data and storm lifecycle research generated by Stormfury helped improve meteorologists' ability to forecast the movement and intensity of future hurricanes.[] Secondary eyewall formation Secondary eyewalls were once considered a rare phenomenon. Since the advent of reconnaissance airplanes and microwave satellite data, it has been observed that over half of all major tropical cyclones develop at least one secondary eyewall.[][] There have been many hypotheses that attempt to explain the formation of secondary eyewalls. The reason why hurricanes develop secondary eyewalls is not well understood.[] Identification Qualitatively identifying secondary eyewalls is easy for a hurricane analyst to do. It involves looking at satellite or RADAR imagery and Imagery from Tropical Rainfall Measuring seeing if there are two concentric rings of enhanced convection. The Mission shows the beginning of an eyewall outer eyewall is generally almost circular and concentric with the inner replacement cycle in Hurricane Frances. eyewall. Quantitative analysis is more difficult since there exists no objective definition of what a secondary eyewall is. Kossin et al.. specified that the outer ring had to be visibly separated from the inner eye with at least 75% closed with a moat region clear of clouds.[]
  • 3. Eyewall replacement cycle 3 While secondary eyewalls have been seen as a tropical cyclone is nearing land, none have been observed while the eye is not over the ocean. July offers the best background environmental conditions for development of a secondary eyewall. Changes in the intensity of strong hurricanes such as Katrina, Ophelia, and Rita occurred simultaneously with eyewall replacement cycles and comprised interactions between the eyewalls, rainbands and outside environments.[][] Eyewall replacement cycles, such as occurred in Katrina as it approached the Gulf Coast of the United States, can greatly increase the size of tropical cyclones while simultaneously decreasing in strength.[2] During the period from 1997–2006, 45 eyewall replacement cycles were observed in the tropical North Atlantic Ocean, 12 in the Eastern North Pacific and 2 in the Western North Pacific. 12% of all Atlantic storms and 5% of storm in the Pacific underwent eyewall replacement during this time period. In the North Atlantic, 70% of major hurricanes Typhoon Chanchu at peak intensity, during an had at least one eyewall replacement, compared to 33% of all storms. eyewall replacement cycle In the Pacific, 33% of major hurricanes and 16% of all hurricanes had an eyewall replacement cycle. Stronger storms have a higher probability of forming a secondary eyewall, with 60% of category 5 hurricanes underwent an eyewall replacement cycle within 12 hours.[] During the years 1969-1971, 93 storms reached tropical storm strength or greater in the Pacific Ocean. 8 of the 15 that reached super typhoon strength (65 m/s), 11 of the 49 storms that reached typhoon strength (33 m/s), and none of the 29 tropical storms (<33 m/s) developed concentric eyewalls. The authors note that because the reconnaissance aircraft were not specifically looking for double eyewall features, these numbers are likely underestimates.[] During the years 1949-1983, 1268 typhoons were observed in the Western Pacific. 76 of these had concentric eyewalls. Of all the typhoons that underwent eyewall replacement, around 60% did so only once; 40% had more than one eyewall replacement cycle, with two of the typhoons each experiencing five eyewall replacements. The number of storms with eyewall replacement cycles was strongly correlated with the strength of the storm. Stronger typhoons were much more likely to have concentric eyewalls. There were no cases of double eyewalls where the maximum sustained wind was less than 45 m/s or the minimum pressure was higher than 970 hPa. More than three-quarters of the typhoons that had pressures lower than 870 hPa developed the double eyewall feature. The majority of Western and Central Pacific typhoons that experience double eyewalls do so in the vicinity of Guam.[] Early formation hypotheses Since eyewall replacement cycles were discovered to be natural, there has been a strong interest in trying to identify what causes them. There have been many hypotheses put forth that are now abandoned. In 1980, Hurricane Allen crossed the mountainous region of Haiti and simultaneously developed a secondary eyewall. Hawkins noted this and hypothesized that the secondary eyewall may have been caused by topographic forcing.[] Willoughby suggested that a resonance between the inertial period and asymmetric friction may be the cause of secondary eyewalls.[3] Later modeling studies and observations have shown that outer eyewalls may develop in areas uninfluenced by land processes. There have been many hypotheses suggesting a link between synoptic scale features and secondary eyewall replacement. It has been observed that radially inward traveling wave-like disturbances have preceded the rapid development of tropical disturbances to tropical cyclones. It has been hypothesized that this synoptic scale internal forcing could lead to a secondary eyewall.[] Rapid deepening of the tropical low in connection with synoptic scale forcing has been observed in multiple storms,[] but has been shown to not be a necessary condition for the formation
  • 4. Eyewall replacement cycle 4 of a secondary eyewall.[] The wind-induced surface heat exchange (WISHE) is a positive feedback mechanism between the ocean and atmosphere in which a stronger ocean-to-atmosphere heat flux results in a stronger atmospheric circulation, which results in a strong heat flux.[] WISHE has been proposed as a method of generating secondary eyewalls.[] Later work has shown that while WISHE is a necessary condition to amplify disturbances, it is not needed to generate them.[] Vortex Rossby wave hypothesis In the vortex Rossby wave hypothesis, the waves travel radially outward from the inner vortex. The waves amplify angular momentum at a radius that is dependent on the radial velocity matching that of the outside flow. At this point, the two are phase-locked and allow the coalescence of the waves to form a secondary eyewall.[][] β-skirt axisymmetrization hypothesis In a fluid system, β (beta) is the spatial, usually horizontal, change in the environmental vertical vorticity. β is maximized in the eyewall of a tropical cyclone. The β-skirt axisymmetrization (BSA) assumes that a tropical cyclone about develop a secondary eye will have a decreasing, but non-negative β that extends from the eyewall to approximately 50 kilometres (31 mi) to 100 kilometres (62 mi) from the eyewall. In this region, there is a small, but important β. This area is called the β-skirt. Outward of the skirt, β is effectively zero.[] Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is the amount of energy a parcel of air would have if lifted a certain distance vertically through the atmosphere. The higher the CAPE, the more likely there will be convection. If areas of high CAPE exist in the β-skirt, the deep convection that forms would act as a source of vorticity and turbulence kinetic energy. This small-scale energy will upscale into a jet around the storm. The low-level jet focuses the stochastic energy a nearly axisymmetric ring around the eye. Once this low-level jet forms, a positive feedback cycle such as WISHE can amplify the initial perturbations into a secondary eyewall.[][] Death of the inner eyewall After the secondary eyewall totally surrounds the inner eyewall, it begins to affect the tropical cyclone dynamics. Hurricanes are fueled by the high ocean temperature. Sea surface temperatures immediately underneath a tropical cyclone can be several degrees cooler than those at the periphery of a storm, and therefore cyclones are dependent upon receiving the energy from the ocean from the inward spiraling winds. When an outer eyewall is formed, the moisture and angular momentum necessary for the maintenance of the inner eyewall is now being used to sustain the outer eyewall, causing the inner eye to weaken and dissipate leaving the tropical cyclone with one eye that is larger in diameter than the previous eye. In the moat region between the inner and outer eyewall, observations by dropsondes have shown high temperatures and dewpoint depressions. The eyewall contracts because of inertial instability.[] Contraction of the eyewall occurs if the area of convection occurs outside the radius of maximum winds. After the outer eyewall forms, subsidence increases rapidly in the moat region.[] Once the inner eyewall dissipates, the storm weakens; the central pressure increases and the maximum sustained windspeed decreases. Usually the new eyewall will contract and intensify the storm such that it is stronger than before the start of the eyewall replacement cycle. Rapid changes in the intensity of tropical cyclones is a typical characteristic of eyewall replacement cycles.[] Compared to the processes involved with the formation of the
  • 5. Eyewall replacement cycle 5 secondary eyewall, the death of the inner eyewall is fairly well understood. Some tropical cyclones with extremely large outer eyewalls do not experience the contraction of the outer eye and subsequent dissipation of the inner eye. Typhoon Winnie (1997) developed an outer eyewall with a diameter of 200 kilometres (120 mi) that did not dissipate until it reached the shoreline.[] The time required for the eyewall to collapse is inversely related to the diameter of the eyewall which is mostly because inward directed wind decreases asymptotically to zero with distance from the radius of maximum winds, but also due to the distance required to collapse the eyewall.[] Throughout the entire vertical layer of the moat, there is dry descending air. The dynamics of the moat region are similar to the eye, while the outer eyewall takes on the dynamics of the primary eyewall. The vertical structure of the eye has two layers. The largest layer is that from the top of the tropopause to a capping layer around 700 hPa which is described by descending warm air. Below the capping layer, the air is moist and has convection with the presence of stratocumulus clouds. The moat gradually takes on the characteristics of the eye, upon which the inner eyewall can only dissipate in strength as the majority of the inflow is now being used to maintain the outer eyewall. The inner eye is eventually evaporated as it is warmed by the surrounding dry air in the moat and eye. Models and observations show that once the outer eyewall completely surrounds the inner eye, it takes less than 12 hours for the complete dissipation of the inner eyewall. The inner eyewall feeds mostly upon the moist air in the lower portion of the eye before evaporating.[] Evolution into an annular hurricane Annular hurricanes have a single eyewall that is larger and circularly symmetric. Observations show that an eyewall replacement cycle can lead to the development of an annular hurricane. While some hurricanes develop into annular hurricanes without an eyewall replacement, it has been hypothesized that the dynamics leading to the formation of a secondary eyewall may be similar to those needed for development of an annular eye.[] Hurricane Daniel (2006) was an example where a storm had an eyewall replacement cycle and then turned into an annular hurricane.[] Annular hurricanes have been simulated that have gone through the life cycle of an eyewall replacement. The simulations show that the major rainbands will grow such that the arms will overlap, and then it spiral into itself to form a concentric eyewall. The inner eyewall dissipates, leaving a hurricane with a singular large eye with no rainbands.[] References Further reading Books • Paul V. Kislow (2008). Hurricanes: background, history and bibliography. Nova Publishers. p. 50. ISBN 1-59454-727-0. • Kshudiram Saha (2009). Tropical Circulation Systems and Monsoons. Springer. p. 76. ISBN 3-642-03372-5. Web pages • "Satellite examples of eyewall replacement cycles" (http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/?s=eyewall+ replacement+cycle). CIMSS Satellite Blog. Retrieved 28 August 2010. • Jeff Haby. "Answers: How hurricanes replace their eyewalls" (http://www.theweatherprediction.com/ habyhints2/412/). Haby's Weather Forecasting Hints. Retrieved 19 November 2009. • Chris Cappella (31 August 2004). "Answers: How hurricanes replace their eyewalls" (http://www.usatoday. com/weather/resources/askjack/2003-11-15-eyewall-replacement_x.htm). USA Today. Retrieved 19 November 2009.
  • 6. Eyewall replacement cycle 6 • R.L. Deal (20 April 2006). "Eye Wall Replacement In Tropical Cyclones" (http://casil.met.fsu.edu/~rdeal/ documents/Deal_Met3300.pdf) (PDF). MET3300 Project. The Florida State University. Retrieved 19 November 2009. • "Eyewall Replacement Cycles" (http://www.meted.ucar.edu/tropical/textbook/ch10/tropcyclone_10_4_5_3. html). (Requires free registration). University Corporation for Atmospheric Research. 2007. Retrieved 19 November 2009. • J.P. Kossin and D.S. Nolan. "Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity Change Related to Eyewall Replacement Cycles and Annular Storm Formation, Utilizing Objective Interpretation of Satellite Data and Model Analyses" (http://www.onr.navy.mil/sci_tech/32/reports/docs/07/mmkossin.pdf) (PDF). Retrieved 19 November 2009. • Jon Hamilton (1 March 2007). "Why Katrina Became a Monster and Rita Fizzled" (http://www.npr.org/ templates/story/story.php?storyId=7672274). All Things Considered. National Public Radio. Retrieved 19 November 2009. Journal articles • Willoughby, H. E. (1979). "Forced Secondary Circulations in Hurricanes". J. Geophys. Res. 84 (C6): 3173–3183. Bibcode 1979JGR....84.3173W (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1979JGR....84.3173W). doi: 10.1029/JC084iC06p03173 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/JC084iC06p03173). • Kossin, J.P.; Schubert, W.H; Montgomery, M.T. (2000). "Unstable Interactions between a Hurricane's Primary Eyewall and a Secondary Ring of Enhanced Vorticity". J. Atmos. Sci. 57 (24): 3893–3917. Bibcode 2000JAtS...57.3893K (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2000JAtS...57.3893K). doi: 10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<3893:UIBAHS>2.0.CO;2 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/ 1520-0469(2001)058<3893:UIBAHS>2.0.CO;2). • Sitkowski, M.; Barnes, G.M. (2009). "Low-Level Thermodynamic, Kinematic, and Reflectivity Fields of Hurricane Guillermo (1997) during Rapid Intensification". Mon. Wea. Rev. 137 (2): 645–663. Bibcode 2009MWRv..137..645S (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009MWRv..137..645S). doi: 10.1175/2008MWR2531.1 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008MWR2531.1). • Zhang, Qing-hong; Kuo, Ying-hwa; Chen, Shou-jun (2005). "Interaction between concentric eye-walls in super typhoon Winnie (1997)". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 131 (612): 3183–3204. Bibcode 2005QJRMS.131.3183Z (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2005QJRMS.131.3183Z). doi: 10.1256/qj.04.33 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1256/qj.04.33). • Emanuel, K (2003). "Tropical Cyclones". Annu Rev Earth Planet Sci 31 (1): 75. Bibcode 2003AREPS..31...75E (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2003AREPS..31...75E). doi: 10.1146/annurev.earth.31.100901.141259 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.earth.31.100901.141259). • Oda, M.; Nakanishi, M.; Naito, G. (2006). "Interaction of an Asymmetric Double Vortex and Trochoidal Motion of a Tropical Cyclone with the Concentric Eyewall Structure". J. Atmos. Sci. 63 (3): 1069–1081. Bibcode 2006JAtS...63.1069O (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2006JAtS...63.1069O). doi: 10.1175/JAS3670.1 (http:/ /dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS3670.1). • Zhao, K.; Lee, W.-C.; Jou, B. J.-D. (2008). "Single Doppler radar observation of the concentric eyewall in Typhoon Saomai, 2006, near landfall". Geophys. Res. Lett. 35 (7): L07807. Bibcode 2008GeoRL..3507807Z (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008GeoRL..3507807Z). doi: 10.1029/2007GL032773 (http://dx.doi.org/ 10.1029/2007GL032773). • Kuo, H.C.; Schubert, W.H.; Tsai, C.L.; Kuo, Y.F. (2008). "Vortex Interactions and Barotropic Aspects of Concentric Eyewall Formation". Mon. Wea. Rev. 136 (12): 5183–5198. Bibcode 2008MWRv..136.5183K (http:// adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008MWRv..136.5183K). doi: 10.1175/2008MWR2378.1 (http://dx.doi.org/10. 1175/2008MWR2378.1).
  • 7. Eyewall replacement cycle 7 • Rozoff, C.M.; Kossin, J.P.; Schubert, W.H.; Mulero, P.J. (2009). "Internal Control of Hurricane Intensity Variability: The Dual Nature of Potential Vorticity Mixing". J. Atmos. Sci. 66: 133–147. Bibcode 2009JAtS...66..133R (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009JAtS...66..133R). doi: 10.1175/2008JAS2717.1 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008JAS2717.1). • Zhu, T.; Zhang, D.L.; Weng, F. (2004). "Numerical Simulation of Hurricane Bonnie (1998). Part I: Eyewall Evolution and Intensity Changes". Mon. Wea. Rev. 132: 225–241. Bibcode 2004MWRv..132..225Z (http:// adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2004MWRv..132..225Z). doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<0225:NSOHBP>2.0.CO;2 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/ 1520-0493(2004)132<0225:NSOHBP>2.0.CO;2). • Nong, S.; Emanuel, K. (2003). "A numerical study of the genesis of concentric eyewalls in hurricanes". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 129 (595): 3323–3338. Bibcode 2003QJRMS.129.3323N (http:// adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2003QJRMS.129.3323N). doi: 10.1256/qj.01.132 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1256/qj. 01.132). • Kuo, H.C.; Lin, L.Y.; Chang, C.P.; Williams, R.T. (2004). "The Formation of Concentric Vorticity Structures in Typhoons". J. Atmos. Sci. 61 (22): 2722–2734. Bibcode 2004JAtS...61.2722K (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/ 2004JAtS...61.2722K). doi: 10.1175/JAS3286.1 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS3286.1). • Terwey, W.D.; Montgomery, M.T. (2008). "Secondary eyewall formation in two idealized, full-physics modeled hurricanes". J. Geophys. Res. 113: D12112. Bibcode 2008JGRD..11312112T (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/ 2008JGRD..11312112T). doi: 10.1029/2007JD008897 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007JD008897). • Maclay, K.S.; DeMaria, M.; Vonder Haar, T.H. (2008). "Tropical Cyclone Inner-Core Kinetic Energy Evolution". Mon. Wea. Rev. 136 (12): 4882–4898. Bibcode 2008MWRv..136.4882M (http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/ 2008MWRv..136.4882M). doi: 10.1175/2008MWR2268.1 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008MWR2268.1).
  • 8. Article Sources and Contributors 8 Article Sources and Contributors Eyewall replacement cycle  Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?oldid=520479418  Contributors: Anthony Appleyard, Cherkash, Chris the speller, Debresser, Earth100, Favonian, Headbomb, Hellbus, Hmains, Hurricanehink, Jason Rees, Jersey emt, Juliancolton, LilHelpa, Miller17CU94, Mortense, Müdigkeit, Nathan Johnson, Rjwilmsi, Soapthgr8, Victor Diovanni, Xeno, 15 anonymous edits Image Sources, Licenses and Contributors File:Project Stormfury crew.jpg  Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=File:Project_Stormfury_crew.jpg  License: Public Domain  Contributors: NOAA File:TRMM Frances 30aug1021 utc lrg.jpg  Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=File:TRMM_Frances_30aug1021_utc_lrg.jpg  License: Public Domain  Contributors: NASA images produced by Hal Pierce (SSAI/NASA GSFC) and caption by Steve Lang (SSAI/NASA GSFC), NASA's Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission. File:Typhoon Chanchu16-05-06.jpg  Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=File:Typhoon_Chanchu16-05-06.jpg  License: Public Domain  Contributors: Jeff Schmaltz, MODIS Rapid Response Team, Goddard Space Flight Center File:Hurricane profile.svg  Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=File:Hurricane_profile.svg  License: Public Domain  Contributors: me, Jannev License Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Unported //creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/