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GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 29, NO. 12, 10.1029/2001GL013760, 2002




InSAR observations of the 1995 Fogo, Cape Verde, eruption:
Implications for the effects of collapse events upon island volcanoes
Falk Amelung
Hawaii Institute of Geophysics and Planetology/SOEST, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, USA

Simon Day
Benfield Greig Hazard Research Centre, University College London, London, UK
Received 9 July 2001; accepted 6 September 2001; published 29 June 2002.

[1] Fogo volcano, Cape Verde Islands, erupted in April 1995                2. The 1995 Eruption
after 43 years of dormancy. About 46 106 m3 of lava erupted
                                                                              [5] On 2 April 1995 a basaltic eruption started on the SW
during 7.5 weeks from vents on the SW flank of Pico do Fogo
                                                                           flank of Pico do Fogo $300 m above Cha das Caldeiras.
into Cha das Caldeiras. Interferograms obtained from 1993 – 1998           Several vents formed along a $1.7 km WSW radial fissure and
ERS SAR data show ground deformation due to the feeder dike                along a secondary fissure further west (Figure 1). After 2 days,
but lack evidence for any volcano-wide deformation related to              activity was restricted to one vent on the WSW fissure. The
volume changes of a shallow magma reservoir. This suggests that            eruptive style evolved from Hawaiian to Strombolian with lava
Fogo is fed from a relatively deep, mantle-lithospheric source             fountains feeding voluminous aa flows. By April 22 the
(>16.5 km depth), consistent with petrological data. This supports         character of lava changed to pahoehoe until the eruptive
the concept that Cha das Caldeiras is the fill of a collapse scar          activity ceased by May 26. The eruption produced a 4.7 km2
created by a giant landslide, and not a collapse caldera overlying         lava flow in Cha das Caldeiras destroying one of the most
a central, shallow magma chamber. The disturbance of the                   fertile agricultural grounds in Cape Verde and displacing 2000
                                                                           inhabitants.
magmatic system by giant landslides may explain why some
oceanic island volcanoes with high magma supply rates currently
lack well-developed shallow reservoirs.      INDEX TERMS: 8414             3. Observational Data
Volcanology: Eruption mechanisms; 8419 Volcanology: Eruption
monitoring (7280); 8494 Volcanology: Instruments and                          [6] We have used Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images
techniques; 1206 Geodesy and Gravity: Crustal movements—                   of the ERS satellites acquired at different times to form
                                                                           interferograms. The interferogram represents ground displace-
interplate (8155)
                                                                           ments in radar line-of-sight direction (LOS displacement) that
                                                                           may have occurred during the time between the acquisitions.
                                                                           One cycle of phase (1 fringe) represents 2.8 cm LOS displace-
1. Introduction                                                            ment (e.g., Massonnet and Feigl [1998]; Zebker et al. [2000];
   [2] Fogo volcano is the active expression of the $50Ma old              Amelung et al. [2000a, 2000b]). The radar is more sensible to
Cape Verde mantle hot spot, located $700 km off West Africa                vertical than to horizontal displacements (incidence angle 23°
(Figure 1). The Cape Verde Islands ride atop the African plate SWS         from vertical). Because of Fogo’s steep slopes (20° – 28°) the E
with a velocity of $0.9 cm/yr but do not form a linear island chain.       flank can only be observed from ascending orbits (radar
Fogo volcano (the island has the same name) is the 4th largest of          looking E) and the W flank only from descending orbits (radar
the Cape Verde Islands. The submarine part of Fogo overlaps the            looking W).
adjacent edifice of Brava. No historic eruptions have been reported           [7] An interferogram obtained from 23 June 1993 and 3 Nov
on Brava although it is seismically more active [Heleno da Silva           1995 SAR images shows the ground deformation associated with
and Fonseca, 1999].                                                        the 1995 eruption (Figure 2a). Interferometric coherence is main-
   [3] The most prominent structure of Fogo is a 9 km NS-                  tained on recent lava flows in Cha das Caldeiras and on the E flank
elongated plain at $1700 m elevation (Figure 1). We refer to               of Fogo. A 3 – 4 Nov 1995 interferogram was used for the topo-
this plain by its local geographic name ‘‘Cha das Caldeiras’’ (we          graphic correction. We selected this combination of interferograms
do not abbreviate it to ‘‘caldera’’ because this is generally              out of all possible three- and four-pass combinations because it
associated with a vertical collapse structure). It is bounded to           showed minimum atmospheric disturbances (Bperp: 66 m; for the
the N, W and S by the up to 1000 m-high Monte Amarelo                      topography pair: 135 m).
escarpment. Pico do Fogo, the active cone and highest elevation               [8] In the area SW of the main vent several fringes start from
of the island (2829 m above sea level, $7000 m above the                   two different locations consistent with a two-segment dike
ocean floor) is located in the E.                                          (Figure 2a). The maximum observed LOS displacements are
   [4] Fogo erupted between 1500 (the arrival of the first                 7 cm (2.5 fringes) NW of, and 10 cm (3.5 fringes) SW of the
settlers) and 1750 many times from the summit of Pico do                   eruptive fissures. No measurements are available in the immediate
Fogo. Since then, eruptions occurred from fissures on its lower            vicinity of the fissure because of loss of coherence due to new
flanks and within Cha das Caldeiras. Historic eruptions occurred           lava. A phase signature on Fogo’s lower E flank is probably an
in 1769, 1785, 1799, 1816 (questionable), 1847, 1853, 1857, and            atmospheric artifact (N of the Espigao escarpment, Figure 2a), but
1951.                                                                      a unique identification as such using the pair-wise image logic
                                                                           [Massonnet and Feigl, 1998] is not possible with the available
                                                                           images. At Pico do Fogo’s upper E-flank 2 – 3 fringes arriving
                                                                           from the south terminate abruptly, perhaps because of local
Copyright 2002 by the American Geophysical Union.                          ground cracking (Figure 2a). We also obtained interferograms
0094-8276/02/2001GL013760$05.00                                            for a 3-year post-eruptive period starting 5 June 1995. They do not

                                                                   47 - 1
47 - 2                           AMELUNG AND DAY: THE 1995 FOGO, CAPE VERDE ERUPTION

                                                                           evidence for the co-eruptive, seaward displacement of Fogo’s
                                                                           eastern flank proposed by Day et al. [1999]. Note that a NW-
                                                                           dipping secondary dike is consistent with the seismicity [Heleno da
                                                                           Silva et al., 1999].

                                                                           5. Depth of the Magma Reservoir
                                                                              [12] The InSAR data show no ground deformation other than
                                                                           that due to the dike and we now discuss the significance of this
                                                                           observation. Volcanoes with shallow magma reservoirs within the
                                                                           volcanic edifice generally show gradual inflation prior to eruptions,
                                                                           significant deflation during, and rapid inflation immediately after
                                                                           eruptions. Pre-eruptive inflation is caused by the intrusion of
                                                                           magma into the reservoir, co-eruptive deflation by the transfer of
                                                                           the erupting magma out of the reservoir, and post-eruptive inflation
                                                                           by replenishment of the reservoir from below. This cycle has been
                                                                           observed at Krafla, Iceland, at Mauna Loa and Kilauea, Hawaii
                                                                           [e.g., Dvorak and Dzurisin, 1997], and at Cerro Azul, Galapagos
                                                                           [Amelung, in preparation]. At Fogo, the lack of both, co-eruptive
                                                                           deflation and of post-eruptive inflation (in interferograms starting
                                                                           as early as 6 days after the end of the eruption) suggests that no
                                                                           shallow magma chamber was involved in the 1995 eruption.
                                                                              [13] We now derive a minimum depth of the magma reservoir
                                                                           assuming that the associated ground deformation can be modeled
                                                                           by a point source of dilation in an elastic halfspace (Mogi’s
                                                                           model). The surface displacement, uz, depends on the volume
                                                                           change of the magma chamber, ÁVch, and on the source depth, d:
                                                                           uz = (1 À v)ÁVch/p/d2 (above the source). v is Poisson’s ratio (we
                                                                           assume v = 0.25). With an estimate of ÁVch and an upper limit for
                                                                           uz we thus can derive a minimum d. By differencing pre- and post-
Figure 1. Shaded relief map of Fogo volcano. The 1995 eruption             eruptive digital elevation models (derived from 6 Oct – 10 Nov
occurred from a two-segment fissure on the lower flank of Pico do          1993 and 3 – 4 Nov 1995 interferograms) we obtain an eruptive
Fogo and inside Cha das Caldeiras. Insets show the locations of the        volume of 46 106 m3, roughly consistent with field estimates
islands off the coast of Africa. The area of Figure 2a is indicated.       [Torres et al., 1997]. Assuming that ÁVch is 70% of the eruptive
                                                                           volume (because of lava vesicularity, ash, and because some of the
                                                                           voided reservoir space may be filled by bulk expansion of the
show any ground deformation except subsidence of the newly
                                                                           residing magma and exsolved gases Johnson et al. [2000]), plus
emplaced lava flow.
                                                                           the intrusive volume (2.5 106 m3), we find ÁVch = 35 106 m3.
                                                                           Less than 3 cm of volcano-wide subsidence may have gone
4. Modeling the Data                                                       undetected by the interferogram, uz < 3 cm. The reservoir depth
                                                                           thus is d > 16.5 km, consistent with 32 ± 10 km depth inferred
   [9] To model the observed LOS displacements, we assume that             from petrology [Munha et al., 1997].
ground deformation was caused by the intrusion of a two-segment
dike, described by uniform elastic dislocations. The data consist of
828 LOS displacements obtained by sampling the unwrapped                   6. Implications for Volcano Structure
interferogram on a uniform grid. We use a non-linear simulated
                                                                             [14] Summit calderas of basaltic shield volcanoes form by
annealing inversion algorithm to find the model that minimizes the
                                                                           collapse of the caldera floor into previously evacuated magma
summed difference between model prediction and data [Cervelli
et al., 2001]. In the inversion we constrain the geometry of the two
dislocations such that their upper edges coincide with the surface
traces of the eruptive fissures and invert for their geometry, open-
ing, and location. In the best-fitting model the (length, down-dip
width, dip, opening) are (3.2 km, 2 km, 65° NW, 0.25 m) for the
primary, and (1.8 km, 1.4 km, 55°S, 0.36 m) for the secondary
dislocation (Figures 2b – 2d). The primary dislocation accounts
for 65% of the total dike volume of 2.5 106 m3.
   [10] A problem of this model is that the lower edges of the
dislocations are not connected. This can be fixed by constraining
the dislocations to be vertical in the inversion. In this case the best-
fitting model is geologically more plausible (the dislocation open-
ings are 0.5 m and 0.25 m, respectively), but the fit to the data is
poorer than in the first case (RMS error of 12.1 mm versus
10.6 mm). A stable result of the inversions is the down-dip width
of the dislocation of 2 km.
   [ 11] We conclude that the InSAR observations are well                  Figure 2. (a) June 1993 – Nov. 1995 interferogram of Fogo
explained by a two-segment feeder dike emplaced at $2 km depth.            volcano. (b) unwrapped phase, (c) best-fitting model, (d) difference
We are unable to infer details about the geometry because of the           between data and model predictions. (e) profile. Surface projection
relatively small signal and because of model simplifications (elastic      of best-fitting dislocation model is also shown (red lines denote
effects of the topography are neglected). The data do not show             dislocation upper edges).
AMELUNG AND DAY: THE 1995 FOGO, CAPE VERDE ERUPTION                                                          47 - 3

                                                                              is in contrast to other oceanic island volcanoes and we now
                                                                              consider why this difference may arise. We use ‘‘shallow’’ to
                                                                              describe magma reservoirs within the volcanic edifice or upper
                                                                              crust in contrast to ‘‘deep’’ reservoirs within the lower crust or
                                                                              lithospheric mantle.
                                                                                 [17] Shallow magma reservoirs exist at Kilauea and Mauna Loa
                                                                              in Hawaii [Dvorak and Dzurisin, 1997] and at the western
                                                                              Galapagos volcanoes [Amelung et al., 2000a]. Piton de la Four-
                                                                              naise lacks a well-developed shallow reservoir [Sigmundsson et al.,
                                                                              1999], but probably has small magma pockets 1 – 2 km beneath the
                                                                              summit [Lenat and Bachelery, 1990]. An intrusive complex is
                                                                                          ´            `
                                                                              evidence for an ancient shallow reservoir [Lenat et al., 2001]. For
                                                                                                                             ´
                                                                              the Canary Islands petrological data indicate that the Las Canadas
                                                                              volcano on Tenerife had large, shallow reservoirs prior to, and
                                                                              between collapses [Marti et al., 1994]. The successor Teide
                                                                              volcano has at most a small shallow reservoir [Ablay and Marti,
                                                                              2000]. La Palma and El Hierro volcanoes presently lack shallow
Figure 3. Structural cartoon of Fogo volcano. The Bordeira                    reservoirs [Kluegel et al., 1997]; El Hierro had a shallow reservoir
escarpement (up to 1000 m high) was created by a giant landslide              prior to the El Golfo I collapse [Carracedo et al., 1999].
and a new volcano was build on the landslide scarp.                              [18] Shallow magma chambers can only develop and persist if
                                                                              magma is supplied at rates sufficient to inhibit reservoir freezing
                                                                              [Clague and Dixon, 2000]. Magma supply rates of Fogo, Piton de
                                                                              la Fournaise, La Palma and El Hierro, which lack shallow
chambers. Modern examples are found at volcanoes in the Gal-                  reservoirs, are of the same order or greater than for the Galapagos
apagos Islands. Cha das Caldeiras was previously interpreted to be            volcanoes which have shallow reservoirs (but substantially less
a collapse caldera and the Bordeira escarpment as a caldera-                  than for Kilauea and Mauna Loa, Table 1). This suggests that other
bounding fault [Machado, 1965]. In an alternative hypothesis,                 parameters than the magma supply rate also control the presence of
the Bordeira escarpement was formed by a lateral, large-scale                 shallow reservoirs.
gravitational collapse of the ancient volcano [Day et al., 1999]                 [19] We propose that giant, lateral collapses are responsible for
and Cha das Caldeiras and Pico do Fogo are new eruptive features              the present-day lack of shallow reservoirs at high-magma-supply
build since the collapse.                                                     oceanic island volcanoes. These catastrophic mass-wasting events
  [15] The lack of a shallow magma chamber inferred from the                  may remove shallow reservoirs and completely disturb the thermal
interferograms argues against Cha das Caldeira being a central                and mechanical equilibrium of the volcano. Decompression-trig-
collapse caldera and favors the giant landslide hypothesis. A                 gered eruptions and the absence of isolating rock mass lead to
cartoon of Fogo volcano and the processes during the 1995                     evacuation and freezing of the reservoir. After the collapse event
eruption is shown in Figure 3. Magma rose from a deep source                  shallow reservoirs will be reestablished with a time delay depend-
(>16.5 km) to $2 km depth where the feeder dike was emplaced;                 ing on the magma supply rate (Figure 4). They will persist until the
perhaps at the subsurface landslide scar which may act as a gravity           next lateral collapse occurs. The absence of shallow reservoirs at
and stress trap for buoyant magma. Note that the horseshoe-shaped             Fogo, Piton de la Fournaise and at the W Canary volcanoes may
seaward-oriented structure encompassed by the Bordeira escarp-                therefore simply reflect the fact that the time elapsed since the last
ment in the W and the Espigao escarpment in the S (Figure 1)                  collapse has been insufficient for shallow reservoirs to establish
resembles the landslide-created Enclos-Grand Pentes structure of              themself. The shallow magma pockets at Piton de la Fournaise
Piton de la Fournaise on Reunion Island [Labazuy, 1996].                      would eventually develop into a larger reservoir. At Kilauea and
                                                                              Mauna Loa (with high magma supply rates) reestablishment of
7. Effects of Lateral Collapses of Oceanic Island                             shallow reservoirs would be much more rapid. The presence of
Volcanoes on the Depth of Magma Reservoirs                                    shallow reservoirs at the W Galapagos volcanoes is consistent with
                                                                              the lack of giant landslides. Only Cerro Azul volcano had a recent
  [16] Our interpretation of the interferograms leads to the con-             giant landslide [Naumann and Geist, 2000]. This volcano has also
clusion that Fogo currently lacks a shallow magma reservoir. This             the deepest reservoir [at $5 km depth, Amelung et al., 2000b],



Table 1. Magma Supply Rates of Oceanic Island Volcanoes
            Volcano                      Magma supply          Time period                           Reference                           Shallow magma
                                        rate [106 m3yrÀ1]        covered                                                                    reservoir
Mauna Loa                                      28                4000 yr                       Lipman [1995]                                   yes
Kilauea                                     90 – 115             4000 yr                       Lipman [1995]                                   yes
Piton de la Fournaise                          10                 80 yr                  Lenat and Bachelery [1990]
                                                                                          ´           `                                        no
Cerro Azul, Sierra Negra, Alcedo             0.5 – 1           growth rate       Naumann and Geist [2000] and references therein               yes
El Hierro                                  0.12 – 0.36         growth rate                    Carracedo [1999]                                 no
Fogo                                         >1.7a,b            337 yra,b                       this studya,b                                  no
La Palma                                    >0.52c,d            521 yrc,d                       this studyc,d                                  no
   a
     Assuming that since 1664 50 km2 of subareal edifice [see map of Torres et al., 1997] was covered by 9 m thick lava flows, dike volume 2.5 106 m3yrÀ1
for each of the 11 eruptions (as in 1995).
   b
     Minimum estimate because 6 flows entered the ocean, because of repeated coverage of same ground, and because eruptions with widely spaced vents
had greater dike volumes.
   c
     Assuming that since 1480 25 km2 of subareal edifice was covered by 9 m thick lava [Carracedo et al., 1999]; dike volumes for each of the 7 eruptions
as for Fogo.
   d
     Minimum estimate because 6 flows entered ocean, and because of significant volumes of scoria cones and 1585 cryptodome.
47 - 4                              AMELUNG AND DAY: THE 1995 FOGO, CAPE VERDE ERUPTION

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                                                                                    Res., 94(1 – 4), 1 – 19, 1999.
                                                                                 Carracedo, J. C., S. J. Day, H. Guillou, and F. J. Perez Torrado, Giant
                                                                                    Quaternary landslides in the evolution of La Palma and El Hierro, Canary
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                                                                                 Cervelli, P., M. H. Murray, P. Segall, Y. Aoki, and T. Kato, Estimating
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                                                                                 Clague, D. A., and J. E. Dixon, Extrinsic controls on the evolution of
                                                                                    Hawaiian ocean island volcanoes, G-Cubed, 1, 2000.
                                                                                 Day, S. J., S. Heleno da Silva, and J. Fonseca, A past giant lateral collapse
                                                                                    and present-day flank instability of Fogo, Cape Verde Islands, J. Volc.
                                                                                    Geoth. Res., 94(1 – 4), 191 – 218, 1999.
                                                                                 Dvorak, J. J., and D. Dzurisin, Volcano geodesy; the search for magma
                                                                                    reservoirs and the formation of eruptive vents, Rev. Geophys., 35(3),
                                                                                    343 – 384, 1997.
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                                                                                    Fogo Volcano, Cape Verde, Volc Seism, 20, 199 – 217, 1999.
                                                                                 Heleno da Silva, S., S. Day, and J. Fonseca, Fogo Volcano, Cape Verde
Figure 4. Cycle of an oceanic island volcano with high magma                        Islands; seismicity-derived constraints on the mechanism of the 1995
supply rate.                                                                        eruption, J. Volc. Geoth. Res., 94(1 – 4), 219 – 231, 1999.
                                                                                 Johnson, D., F. Sigmundsson, and P. Delaney, Comment on ‘‘Volume of
                                                                                    magma accumulation or withdrawal estimated from surface uplift or
                                                                                    subsidence, with application to the 1960 collapse of Kilauea volcano’’
suggesting that it is in the process of migrating upwards. The lack                 by Delaney and McTigue, Bull. Volc., 61, 491 – 493, 2000.
of shallow reservoirs at Hualalai volcano, Hawaii and at the                     Kluegel, A., T. Hansteen, and H.-U. Schmincke, Rates of magma ascent
E Canary volcanoes, however, may be related to unsufficient                         and depths of magma reservoirs beneath La Palma (Canary Islands),
magma supply rate. A similar cycle may be a general feature of                      Terra Nova, 9(3), 117 – 121, 1997.
basaltic volcanoes. The lack of a shallow reservoir at Etna (with                Labazuy, P., Recurrent landslides events on the submarine flank of Piton de
relatively high magma supply rate) may be related to the collapse                   la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion Island), in Geol Soc. Spec. Pub., edited by
                                                                                    W. McGuire et. al., 295 – 306, 1996.
event that produced the Valle del Bove.                                          Lenat, J.-F., and P. Bachelery, Structure et fonctionnement de la zone cen-
                                                                                   ´                     `
                                                                                    trale du Piton de la Fournaise, in Le volcanisme de la Reunion, Mono-
                                                                                    graphie, 257 – 296, Cent. Rech. Volc., Clermont-Ferrand, 1990.
8. Conclusions                                                                   Lenat, J.-F., B. Gibert-Malengreau, and A. Galdeano, A new model for the
                                                                                   ´
                                                                                    evolution of the volcanic island of Reunion, J. Geophys. Res., 106,
  [20] The observed surface displacements associated with the                       8645 – 8663, 2001.
1995 eruption are consistent with the intrusion of a WSW oriented                Lipman, P., Declining growth of Mauna Loa during the last 100,000 years;
feeder dike system with the primary dike extending from $2 km                       in Mauna Loa revealed, AGU Monograph, 92, 45 – 80, 1995.
depth to the surface. The deeper parts of the magmatic feeder                    Machado, F., Vulcanismo das Ilhas de Cabo Verde e das outras Ilhas
system did not cause any ground deformation, suggesting that they                   Atlantidas, in Estudos, Ensaios e Documentos—Junta de Investigacoes
were already in place prior to acquisition of the first SAR image in                do Ultramar, pp. 83, 1965.
                                                                                 Marti, J., J. Mitjavila, and V. Arana, Stratigraphy, structure and geochro-
June 1993.                                                                          nology of the Las Canadas caldera (Tenerife, Canary Islands), Geological
  [21] The lack of volcano-wide deflation during, and of volcano-                   Magazine, 131, 715 – 727, 1994.
wide inflation after the eruption indicates that Fogo does not have a            Massonnet, D., and K. Feigl, Radar interferometry and its application to
shallow magma storage. Fogo volcano appears to be fed from a                        changes in the Earth’s surface, Rev. Geophys., 441 – 500, 1998.
deep (>16.5 km) source, consistent with petrologic data. This                    Munha, J., et al., Petrologia e geoquimica da erupcao de 1995 e de outras
supports the concept of Day et al. [1999] that Cha das Caldeiras                    lavas historicas na Ilha do Fogo, Cabo Verde, in International congress
                                                                                    on the volcanic eruption of 1995 in Fogo Island, Cape Verde, IICT, 1997.
is not a central collapse caldera overlying a shallow magma                      Naumann, T. R., and D. J. Geist, Physical volcanology and structural de-
chamber but the fill of a collapse scar created by a giant landslide                velopment of Cerro Azul volcano, Isabela Island, Galapagos: Implica-
                                                                                                                                              ´
of Monte Amarelo volcano.                                                           tions for the development of Galapagos-type shield volcanoes, Bull.
                                                                                                                         ´
                                                                                    Volc., 61, 497 – 514, 2000.
                                                                                 Sigmundsson, F., P. Durand, and D. Massonnet, Opening of an eruptive
  [22] Acknowledgments. F. A. was supported by the SOEST Young                      fissure and seaward displacement at Piton de la Fournaise volcano mea-
Investigator program of the University of Hawaii, by the NASA volcanol-             sured by RADARSAT satellite radar interferometry, Geophys. Res. Lett.,
ogy program (P. I. Mouginis-Mark), and by NSF. We thank the European                26, 533 – 536, 1999.
Space Agency for providing ERS data, and R. Hanssen, P. Mouginis-Mark,           Torres, P. C., et al., Carta geologica da Ilha do Fogo-Erupcoes historicas e
C. Oppenheimer, S. Rowland and reviewer JF Lenat for comments. SOEST
                                              ´                                     formacoes encaixantes, in International congress on the volcanic erup-
contribution 5862, HIGP contribution 1180.                                          tion of 1995 in Fogo Island, IICT, 1997.
                                                                                 Zebker, H., F. Amelung, and S. Jonsson, Remote sensing of surface and
                                                                                    internal volcano processes using radar interferometry, in Remote sensing
References                                                                          of active volcanism, edited by Mouginis-Mark et al., 179 – 205, AGU
Ablay, G. J., and J. Marti, Stratigraphy, structure, and volcanic evolution of      Monograph, 2000.
 the Pico Teide-Pico Viejo Formation, Tenerife, Canary Islands, J. Volc.
 Geoth. Res., 103(1 – 4), 175 – 208, 2000.
Amelung, F., S. Jonsson, H. Zebker, and P. Segall, Widespread uplift and
                   ´
 ‘trapdoor’ faulting on Galapagos volcanoes observed with radar inter-
                               ´                                                 ÀÀÀÀÀÀ
                                                                                  ÀÀÀÀÀ
 ferometry, Nature, 407, 993 – 996, 2000a.                                         F. Amelung, Hawaii Institute of Geophysics and Planetology/SOEST,
Amelung, F., C. Oppenheimer, P. Segall, and H. Zebker, Ground deforma-           University of Hawaii, 2525 Correa Rd., Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.
 tion near Gada ’Ale Volcano, Afar, observed by Radar Interferometry,            (amelung@higp.hawaii.edu)
 Geophys. Res. Lett., 3093 – 3096(19), 27, 2000b.                                  S. Day, Benfield Greig Hazard Research Centre, University College
Carracedo, J. C., Growth, structure, instability and collapse of Canarian        London, Gower St, London, WC1E6BC, UK. (s.day@ucl.ac.uk)

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Article Fogo Glissement Caldeira

  • 1. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 29, NO. 12, 10.1029/2001GL013760, 2002 InSAR observations of the 1995 Fogo, Cape Verde, eruption: Implications for the effects of collapse events upon island volcanoes Falk Amelung Hawaii Institute of Geophysics and Planetology/SOEST, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, USA Simon Day Benfield Greig Hazard Research Centre, University College London, London, UK Received 9 July 2001; accepted 6 September 2001; published 29 June 2002. [1] Fogo volcano, Cape Verde Islands, erupted in April 1995 2. The 1995 Eruption after 43 years of dormancy. About 46 106 m3 of lava erupted [5] On 2 April 1995 a basaltic eruption started on the SW during 7.5 weeks from vents on the SW flank of Pico do Fogo flank of Pico do Fogo $300 m above Cha das Caldeiras. into Cha das Caldeiras. Interferograms obtained from 1993 – 1998 Several vents formed along a $1.7 km WSW radial fissure and ERS SAR data show ground deformation due to the feeder dike along a secondary fissure further west (Figure 1). After 2 days, but lack evidence for any volcano-wide deformation related to activity was restricted to one vent on the WSW fissure. The volume changes of a shallow magma reservoir. This suggests that eruptive style evolved from Hawaiian to Strombolian with lava Fogo is fed from a relatively deep, mantle-lithospheric source fountains feeding voluminous aa flows. By April 22 the (>16.5 km depth), consistent with petrological data. This supports character of lava changed to pahoehoe until the eruptive the concept that Cha das Caldeiras is the fill of a collapse scar activity ceased by May 26. The eruption produced a 4.7 km2 created by a giant landslide, and not a collapse caldera overlying lava flow in Cha das Caldeiras destroying one of the most a central, shallow magma chamber. The disturbance of the fertile agricultural grounds in Cape Verde and displacing 2000 inhabitants. magmatic system by giant landslides may explain why some oceanic island volcanoes with high magma supply rates currently lack well-developed shallow reservoirs. INDEX TERMS: 8414 3. Observational Data Volcanology: Eruption mechanisms; 8419 Volcanology: Eruption monitoring (7280); 8494 Volcanology: Instruments and [6] We have used Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images techniques; 1206 Geodesy and Gravity: Crustal movements— of the ERS satellites acquired at different times to form interferograms. The interferogram represents ground displace- interplate (8155) ments in radar line-of-sight direction (LOS displacement) that may have occurred during the time between the acquisitions. One cycle of phase (1 fringe) represents 2.8 cm LOS displace- 1. Introduction ment (e.g., Massonnet and Feigl [1998]; Zebker et al. [2000]; [2] Fogo volcano is the active expression of the $50Ma old Amelung et al. [2000a, 2000b]). The radar is more sensible to Cape Verde mantle hot spot, located $700 km off West Africa vertical than to horizontal displacements (incidence angle 23° (Figure 1). The Cape Verde Islands ride atop the African plate SWS from vertical). Because of Fogo’s steep slopes (20° – 28°) the E with a velocity of $0.9 cm/yr but do not form a linear island chain. flank can only be observed from ascending orbits (radar Fogo volcano (the island has the same name) is the 4th largest of looking E) and the W flank only from descending orbits (radar the Cape Verde Islands. The submarine part of Fogo overlaps the looking W). adjacent edifice of Brava. No historic eruptions have been reported [7] An interferogram obtained from 23 June 1993 and 3 Nov on Brava although it is seismically more active [Heleno da Silva 1995 SAR images shows the ground deformation associated with and Fonseca, 1999]. the 1995 eruption (Figure 2a). Interferometric coherence is main- [3] The most prominent structure of Fogo is a 9 km NS- tained on recent lava flows in Cha das Caldeiras and on the E flank elongated plain at $1700 m elevation (Figure 1). We refer to of Fogo. A 3 – 4 Nov 1995 interferogram was used for the topo- this plain by its local geographic name ‘‘Cha das Caldeiras’’ (we graphic correction. We selected this combination of interferograms do not abbreviate it to ‘‘caldera’’ because this is generally out of all possible three- and four-pass combinations because it associated with a vertical collapse structure). It is bounded to showed minimum atmospheric disturbances (Bperp: 66 m; for the the N, W and S by the up to 1000 m-high Monte Amarelo topography pair: 135 m). escarpment. Pico do Fogo, the active cone and highest elevation [8] In the area SW of the main vent several fringes start from of the island (2829 m above sea level, $7000 m above the two different locations consistent with a two-segment dike ocean floor) is located in the E. (Figure 2a). The maximum observed LOS displacements are [4] Fogo erupted between 1500 (the arrival of the first 7 cm (2.5 fringes) NW of, and 10 cm (3.5 fringes) SW of the settlers) and 1750 many times from the summit of Pico do eruptive fissures. No measurements are available in the immediate Fogo. Since then, eruptions occurred from fissures on its lower vicinity of the fissure because of loss of coherence due to new flanks and within Cha das Caldeiras. Historic eruptions occurred lava. A phase signature on Fogo’s lower E flank is probably an in 1769, 1785, 1799, 1816 (questionable), 1847, 1853, 1857, and atmospheric artifact (N of the Espigao escarpment, Figure 2a), but 1951. a unique identification as such using the pair-wise image logic [Massonnet and Feigl, 1998] is not possible with the available images. At Pico do Fogo’s upper E-flank 2 – 3 fringes arriving from the south terminate abruptly, perhaps because of local Copyright 2002 by the American Geophysical Union. ground cracking (Figure 2a). We also obtained interferograms 0094-8276/02/2001GL013760$05.00 for a 3-year post-eruptive period starting 5 June 1995. They do not 47 - 1
  • 2. 47 - 2 AMELUNG AND DAY: THE 1995 FOGO, CAPE VERDE ERUPTION evidence for the co-eruptive, seaward displacement of Fogo’s eastern flank proposed by Day et al. [1999]. Note that a NW- dipping secondary dike is consistent with the seismicity [Heleno da Silva et al., 1999]. 5. Depth of the Magma Reservoir [12] The InSAR data show no ground deformation other than that due to the dike and we now discuss the significance of this observation. Volcanoes with shallow magma reservoirs within the volcanic edifice generally show gradual inflation prior to eruptions, significant deflation during, and rapid inflation immediately after eruptions. Pre-eruptive inflation is caused by the intrusion of magma into the reservoir, co-eruptive deflation by the transfer of the erupting magma out of the reservoir, and post-eruptive inflation by replenishment of the reservoir from below. This cycle has been observed at Krafla, Iceland, at Mauna Loa and Kilauea, Hawaii [e.g., Dvorak and Dzurisin, 1997], and at Cerro Azul, Galapagos [Amelung, in preparation]. At Fogo, the lack of both, co-eruptive deflation and of post-eruptive inflation (in interferograms starting as early as 6 days after the end of the eruption) suggests that no shallow magma chamber was involved in the 1995 eruption. [13] We now derive a minimum depth of the magma reservoir assuming that the associated ground deformation can be modeled by a point source of dilation in an elastic halfspace (Mogi’s model). The surface displacement, uz, depends on the volume change of the magma chamber, ÁVch, and on the source depth, d: uz = (1 À v)ÁVch/p/d2 (above the source). v is Poisson’s ratio (we assume v = 0.25). With an estimate of ÁVch and an upper limit for uz we thus can derive a minimum d. By differencing pre- and post- Figure 1. Shaded relief map of Fogo volcano. The 1995 eruption eruptive digital elevation models (derived from 6 Oct – 10 Nov occurred from a two-segment fissure on the lower flank of Pico do 1993 and 3 – 4 Nov 1995 interferograms) we obtain an eruptive Fogo and inside Cha das Caldeiras. Insets show the locations of the volume of 46 106 m3, roughly consistent with field estimates islands off the coast of Africa. The area of Figure 2a is indicated. [Torres et al., 1997]. Assuming that ÁVch is 70% of the eruptive volume (because of lava vesicularity, ash, and because some of the voided reservoir space may be filled by bulk expansion of the show any ground deformation except subsidence of the newly residing magma and exsolved gases Johnson et al. [2000]), plus emplaced lava flow. the intrusive volume (2.5 106 m3), we find ÁVch = 35 106 m3. Less than 3 cm of volcano-wide subsidence may have gone 4. Modeling the Data undetected by the interferogram, uz < 3 cm. The reservoir depth thus is d > 16.5 km, consistent with 32 ± 10 km depth inferred [9] To model the observed LOS displacements, we assume that from petrology [Munha et al., 1997]. ground deformation was caused by the intrusion of a two-segment dike, described by uniform elastic dislocations. The data consist of 828 LOS displacements obtained by sampling the unwrapped 6. Implications for Volcano Structure interferogram on a uniform grid. We use a non-linear simulated [14] Summit calderas of basaltic shield volcanoes form by annealing inversion algorithm to find the model that minimizes the collapse of the caldera floor into previously evacuated magma summed difference between model prediction and data [Cervelli et al., 2001]. In the inversion we constrain the geometry of the two dislocations such that their upper edges coincide with the surface traces of the eruptive fissures and invert for their geometry, open- ing, and location. In the best-fitting model the (length, down-dip width, dip, opening) are (3.2 km, 2 km, 65° NW, 0.25 m) for the primary, and (1.8 km, 1.4 km, 55°S, 0.36 m) for the secondary dislocation (Figures 2b – 2d). The primary dislocation accounts for 65% of the total dike volume of 2.5 106 m3. [10] A problem of this model is that the lower edges of the dislocations are not connected. This can be fixed by constraining the dislocations to be vertical in the inversion. In this case the best- fitting model is geologically more plausible (the dislocation open- ings are 0.5 m and 0.25 m, respectively), but the fit to the data is poorer than in the first case (RMS error of 12.1 mm versus 10.6 mm). A stable result of the inversions is the down-dip width of the dislocation of 2 km. [ 11] We conclude that the InSAR observations are well Figure 2. (a) June 1993 – Nov. 1995 interferogram of Fogo explained by a two-segment feeder dike emplaced at $2 km depth. volcano. (b) unwrapped phase, (c) best-fitting model, (d) difference We are unable to infer details about the geometry because of the between data and model predictions. (e) profile. Surface projection relatively small signal and because of model simplifications (elastic of best-fitting dislocation model is also shown (red lines denote effects of the topography are neglected). The data do not show dislocation upper edges).
  • 3. AMELUNG AND DAY: THE 1995 FOGO, CAPE VERDE ERUPTION 47 - 3 is in contrast to other oceanic island volcanoes and we now consider why this difference may arise. We use ‘‘shallow’’ to describe magma reservoirs within the volcanic edifice or upper crust in contrast to ‘‘deep’’ reservoirs within the lower crust or lithospheric mantle. [17] Shallow magma reservoirs exist at Kilauea and Mauna Loa in Hawaii [Dvorak and Dzurisin, 1997] and at the western Galapagos volcanoes [Amelung et al., 2000a]. Piton de la Four- naise lacks a well-developed shallow reservoir [Sigmundsson et al., 1999], but probably has small magma pockets 1 – 2 km beneath the summit [Lenat and Bachelery, 1990]. An intrusive complex is ´ ` evidence for an ancient shallow reservoir [Lenat et al., 2001]. For ´ the Canary Islands petrological data indicate that the Las Canadas volcano on Tenerife had large, shallow reservoirs prior to, and between collapses [Marti et al., 1994]. The successor Teide volcano has at most a small shallow reservoir [Ablay and Marti, 2000]. La Palma and El Hierro volcanoes presently lack shallow Figure 3. Structural cartoon of Fogo volcano. The Bordeira reservoirs [Kluegel et al., 1997]; El Hierro had a shallow reservoir escarpement (up to 1000 m high) was created by a giant landslide prior to the El Golfo I collapse [Carracedo et al., 1999]. and a new volcano was build on the landslide scarp. [18] Shallow magma chambers can only develop and persist if magma is supplied at rates sufficient to inhibit reservoir freezing [Clague and Dixon, 2000]. Magma supply rates of Fogo, Piton de la Fournaise, La Palma and El Hierro, which lack shallow chambers. Modern examples are found at volcanoes in the Gal- reservoirs, are of the same order or greater than for the Galapagos apagos Islands. Cha das Caldeiras was previously interpreted to be volcanoes which have shallow reservoirs (but substantially less a collapse caldera and the Bordeira escarpment as a caldera- than for Kilauea and Mauna Loa, Table 1). This suggests that other bounding fault [Machado, 1965]. In an alternative hypothesis, parameters than the magma supply rate also control the presence of the Bordeira escarpement was formed by a lateral, large-scale shallow reservoirs. gravitational collapse of the ancient volcano [Day et al., 1999] [19] We propose that giant, lateral collapses are responsible for and Cha das Caldeiras and Pico do Fogo are new eruptive features the present-day lack of shallow reservoirs at high-magma-supply build since the collapse. oceanic island volcanoes. These catastrophic mass-wasting events [15] The lack of a shallow magma chamber inferred from the may remove shallow reservoirs and completely disturb the thermal interferograms argues against Cha das Caldeira being a central and mechanical equilibrium of the volcano. Decompression-trig- collapse caldera and favors the giant landslide hypothesis. A gered eruptions and the absence of isolating rock mass lead to cartoon of Fogo volcano and the processes during the 1995 evacuation and freezing of the reservoir. After the collapse event eruption is shown in Figure 3. Magma rose from a deep source shallow reservoirs will be reestablished with a time delay depend- (>16.5 km) to $2 km depth where the feeder dike was emplaced; ing on the magma supply rate (Figure 4). They will persist until the perhaps at the subsurface landslide scar which may act as a gravity next lateral collapse occurs. The absence of shallow reservoirs at and stress trap for buoyant magma. Note that the horseshoe-shaped Fogo, Piton de la Fournaise and at the W Canary volcanoes may seaward-oriented structure encompassed by the Bordeira escarp- therefore simply reflect the fact that the time elapsed since the last ment in the W and the Espigao escarpment in the S (Figure 1) collapse has been insufficient for shallow reservoirs to establish resembles the landslide-created Enclos-Grand Pentes structure of themself. The shallow magma pockets at Piton de la Fournaise Piton de la Fournaise on Reunion Island [Labazuy, 1996]. would eventually develop into a larger reservoir. At Kilauea and Mauna Loa (with high magma supply rates) reestablishment of 7. Effects of Lateral Collapses of Oceanic Island shallow reservoirs would be much more rapid. The presence of Volcanoes on the Depth of Magma Reservoirs shallow reservoirs at the W Galapagos volcanoes is consistent with the lack of giant landslides. Only Cerro Azul volcano had a recent [16] Our interpretation of the interferograms leads to the con- giant landslide [Naumann and Geist, 2000]. This volcano has also clusion that Fogo currently lacks a shallow magma reservoir. This the deepest reservoir [at $5 km depth, Amelung et al., 2000b], Table 1. Magma Supply Rates of Oceanic Island Volcanoes Volcano Magma supply Time period Reference Shallow magma rate [106 m3yrÀ1] covered reservoir Mauna Loa 28 4000 yr Lipman [1995] yes Kilauea 90 – 115 4000 yr Lipman [1995] yes Piton de la Fournaise 10 80 yr Lenat and Bachelery [1990] ´ ` no Cerro Azul, Sierra Negra, Alcedo 0.5 – 1 growth rate Naumann and Geist [2000] and references therein yes El Hierro 0.12 – 0.36 growth rate Carracedo [1999] no Fogo >1.7a,b 337 yra,b this studya,b no La Palma >0.52c,d 521 yrc,d this studyc,d no a Assuming that since 1664 50 km2 of subareal edifice [see map of Torres et al., 1997] was covered by 9 m thick lava flows, dike volume 2.5 106 m3yrÀ1 for each of the 11 eruptions (as in 1995). b Minimum estimate because 6 flows entered the ocean, because of repeated coverage of same ground, and because eruptions with widely spaced vents had greater dike volumes. c Assuming that since 1480 25 km2 of subareal edifice was covered by 9 m thick lava [Carracedo et al., 1999]; dike volumes for each of the 7 eruptions as for Fogo. d Minimum estimate because 6 flows entered ocean, and because of significant volumes of scoria cones and 1585 cryptodome.
  • 4. 47 - 4 AMELUNG AND DAY: THE 1995 FOGO, CAPE VERDE ERUPTION volcanoes and comparisons with Hawaiian volcanoes, J. Volc. Geoth. Res., 94(1 – 4), 1 – 19, 1999. Carracedo, J. C., S. J. Day, H. Guillou, and F. J. Perez Torrado, Giant Quaternary landslides in the evolution of La Palma and El Hierro, Canary Islands, J. Volc. Geoth. Res., 94(1 – 4), 169 – 190, 1999. Cervelli, P., M. H. Murray, P. Segall, Y. Aoki, and T. Kato, Estimating source parameters from deformation data, with an application to the March 1997 earthquake swarm off the Izu Peninsula, Japan, J. Geophys. Res., 106(B6), 11,217, 2001. Clague, D. A., and J. E. Dixon, Extrinsic controls on the evolution of Hawaiian ocean island volcanoes, G-Cubed, 1, 2000. Day, S. J., S. Heleno da Silva, and J. Fonseca, A past giant lateral collapse and present-day flank instability of Fogo, Cape Verde Islands, J. Volc. Geoth. Res., 94(1 – 4), 191 – 218, 1999. Dvorak, J. J., and D. Dzurisin, Volcano geodesy; the search for magma reservoirs and the formation of eruptive vents, Rev. Geophys., 35(3), 343 – 384, 1997. Heleno da Silva, S., and J. Fonseca, A Seimological Investigation of the Fogo Volcano, Cape Verde, Volc Seism, 20, 199 – 217, 1999. Heleno da Silva, S., S. Day, and J. Fonseca, Fogo Volcano, Cape Verde Figure 4. Cycle of an oceanic island volcano with high magma Islands; seismicity-derived constraints on the mechanism of the 1995 supply rate. eruption, J. Volc. Geoth. Res., 94(1 – 4), 219 – 231, 1999. Johnson, D., F. Sigmundsson, and P. Delaney, Comment on ‘‘Volume of magma accumulation or withdrawal estimated from surface uplift or subsidence, with application to the 1960 collapse of Kilauea volcano’’ suggesting that it is in the process of migrating upwards. The lack by Delaney and McTigue, Bull. Volc., 61, 491 – 493, 2000. of shallow reservoirs at Hualalai volcano, Hawaii and at the Kluegel, A., T. Hansteen, and H.-U. Schmincke, Rates of magma ascent E Canary volcanoes, however, may be related to unsufficient and depths of magma reservoirs beneath La Palma (Canary Islands), magma supply rate. A similar cycle may be a general feature of Terra Nova, 9(3), 117 – 121, 1997. basaltic volcanoes. The lack of a shallow reservoir at Etna (with Labazuy, P., Recurrent landslides events on the submarine flank of Piton de relatively high magma supply rate) may be related to the collapse la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion Island), in Geol Soc. Spec. Pub., edited by W. McGuire et. al., 295 – 306, 1996. event that produced the Valle del Bove. Lenat, J.-F., and P. Bachelery, Structure et fonctionnement de la zone cen- ´ ` trale du Piton de la Fournaise, in Le volcanisme de la Reunion, Mono- graphie, 257 – 296, Cent. Rech. Volc., Clermont-Ferrand, 1990. 8. Conclusions Lenat, J.-F., B. Gibert-Malengreau, and A. Galdeano, A new model for the ´ evolution of the volcanic island of Reunion, J. Geophys. Res., 106, [20] The observed surface displacements associated with the 8645 – 8663, 2001. 1995 eruption are consistent with the intrusion of a WSW oriented Lipman, P., Declining growth of Mauna Loa during the last 100,000 years; feeder dike system with the primary dike extending from $2 km in Mauna Loa revealed, AGU Monograph, 92, 45 – 80, 1995. depth to the surface. The deeper parts of the magmatic feeder Machado, F., Vulcanismo das Ilhas de Cabo Verde e das outras Ilhas system did not cause any ground deformation, suggesting that they Atlantidas, in Estudos, Ensaios e Documentos—Junta de Investigacoes were already in place prior to acquisition of the first SAR image in do Ultramar, pp. 83, 1965. Marti, J., J. Mitjavila, and V. Arana, Stratigraphy, structure and geochro- June 1993. nology of the Las Canadas caldera (Tenerife, Canary Islands), Geological [21] The lack of volcano-wide deflation during, and of volcano- Magazine, 131, 715 – 727, 1994. wide inflation after the eruption indicates that Fogo does not have a Massonnet, D., and K. Feigl, Radar interferometry and its application to shallow magma storage. Fogo volcano appears to be fed from a changes in the Earth’s surface, Rev. Geophys., 441 – 500, 1998. deep (>16.5 km) source, consistent with petrologic data. This Munha, J., et al., Petrologia e geoquimica da erupcao de 1995 e de outras supports the concept of Day et al. [1999] that Cha das Caldeiras lavas historicas na Ilha do Fogo, Cabo Verde, in International congress on the volcanic eruption of 1995 in Fogo Island, Cape Verde, IICT, 1997. is not a central collapse caldera overlying a shallow magma Naumann, T. R., and D. J. Geist, Physical volcanology and structural de- chamber but the fill of a collapse scar created by a giant landslide velopment of Cerro Azul volcano, Isabela Island, Galapagos: Implica- ´ of Monte Amarelo volcano. tions for the development of Galapagos-type shield volcanoes, Bull. ´ Volc., 61, 497 – 514, 2000. Sigmundsson, F., P. Durand, and D. Massonnet, Opening of an eruptive [22] Acknowledgments. F. A. was supported by the SOEST Young fissure and seaward displacement at Piton de la Fournaise volcano mea- Investigator program of the University of Hawaii, by the NASA volcanol- sured by RADARSAT satellite radar interferometry, Geophys. Res. Lett., ogy program (P. I. Mouginis-Mark), and by NSF. We thank the European 26, 533 – 536, 1999. Space Agency for providing ERS data, and R. Hanssen, P. Mouginis-Mark, Torres, P. C., et al., Carta geologica da Ilha do Fogo-Erupcoes historicas e C. Oppenheimer, S. Rowland and reviewer JF Lenat for comments. SOEST ´ formacoes encaixantes, in International congress on the volcanic erup- contribution 5862, HIGP contribution 1180. tion of 1995 in Fogo Island, IICT, 1997. Zebker, H., F. Amelung, and S. Jonsson, Remote sensing of surface and internal volcano processes using radar interferometry, in Remote sensing References of active volcanism, edited by Mouginis-Mark et al., 179 – 205, AGU Ablay, G. J., and J. Marti, Stratigraphy, structure, and volcanic evolution of Monograph, 2000. the Pico Teide-Pico Viejo Formation, Tenerife, Canary Islands, J. Volc. Geoth. Res., 103(1 – 4), 175 – 208, 2000. Amelung, F., S. Jonsson, H. Zebker, and P. Segall, Widespread uplift and ´ ‘trapdoor’ faulting on Galapagos volcanoes observed with radar inter- ´ ÀÀÀÀÀÀ ÀÀÀÀÀ ferometry, Nature, 407, 993 – 996, 2000a. F. Amelung, Hawaii Institute of Geophysics and Planetology/SOEST, Amelung, F., C. Oppenheimer, P. Segall, and H. Zebker, Ground deforma- University of Hawaii, 2525 Correa Rd., Honolulu, HI 96822, USA. tion near Gada ’Ale Volcano, Afar, observed by Radar Interferometry, (amelung@higp.hawaii.edu) Geophys. Res. Lett., 3093 – 3096(19), 27, 2000b. S. Day, Benfield Greig Hazard Research Centre, University College Carracedo, J. C., Growth, structure, instability and collapse of Canarian London, Gower St, London, WC1E6BC, UK. (s.day@ucl.ac.uk)