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Jeff Williams
Deep Value Investing.
FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS ONLY
Managing Partner
Jeff.williams@terebellumig.com
March 2015
TEREBELLUM!
INVESTMENT GROUP!
Helping Others Reach for the Stars
© 2015 Terebellum Investment Group, LLC281-898-1486
20
Jeff Williams
CO-FOUNDER, PRINCIPAL, MANAGING PARTNER
FINRA Series 3 (Commodity Futures Examination) and
Series 34 (Retail Off-Exchange Forex Examination) examination qualified
IT services project manager for 12 years
Managed some of my employer’s largest projects with teams
of 25 people and $1 million+ labor costs
Specialized in rescuing failing projects from other service providers
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 2
21
Wes Cooper
CO-FOUNDER, PRINCIPAL, MANAGING PARTNER
FINRA Series 3 (Commodity Futures Examination) and
Series 34 (Retail Off-Exchange Forex Examination) examination qualified
Studied Economics at the University of Missouri
Actively traded since 1989 (27 years) through all market conditions
Finished 6th in a 3-month national trading contest hosted by Technical
Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine. Results were published
in the November 1995 issue.
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 3
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC
S&P 500 Index
JANUARY 1, 2009 – FEBRUARY 28, 2015
5TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 4
5
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC
Greece is
drowning
in Eurodebt.
2TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 5
Changes in the
United States
3TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 6
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC
Greece is
drowning
in Eurodebt.
Quantitative Easing Has Ended
4TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 7
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC 6TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 8
The U.S has historic levels of debt
TERREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC 7TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
The price of oil
has plummeted.
It’s down 50%
from historic
highs a
year
ago
9
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC
International
Changes
810TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC 9TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
Oil bust + sanctions over Ukraine =
Russian instability
11
10TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 12
Greece is
Drowning
in Euro debt
Greece is
drowning
in Eurodebt.
11TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
The Swiss manipulated
their currency for three years, until…
EUR/CHF
Euro Swiss Franc Exchange Rate
August 4, 2014 – January 10, 2015
13
Greece is
drowning
in Eurodebt.
11TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
EUR/CHF
Euro Swiss Franc Exchange Rate
November 4, 2014 – March 10, 2015
…they changed policy in January 2015
14
Greece is
drowning
in Eurodebt.
Do not be lured
by safe havens
Do not ignore
the fundamental changes
in the world
16TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 15
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC
Why us?
816TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC 817TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
Risk Management…Adaptability…Experience
24TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 18
FOCUS
32TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
Futures as a risk management tool
19
We focus on
risk management
Futures have historically
outperformed
equities during
crisis
25TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 20
Performance History
NEGATIVE CORRELATION
PERIOD EVENT
S&P 500
Index
Barclay
BTOP 50
DIFFERENCE
4th Quarter 1987 Black Monday Global Stock Market Crash -22.53% 16.88% 39.41%
4th Quarter 2008 Banking Crises -21.95% 9.14% 31.08%
3rd Quarter 2002 WorldCom Scandal -17.28% 9.41% 26.69%
3rd Quarter 2001 Attack on World Trade Center & Pentagon -14.68% 4.12% 18.79%
3rd Quarter 1990 Iraq invades Kuwait -13.75% 11.22% 24.97%
2nd Quarter 2002 Continuing Aftermath of Technology Bubble -13.39% 8.52% 21.92%
1st Quarter 2001 Bear Market in U.S. Technology -11.86% 5.97% 17.83%
An index of managed futures and commodities outperformed the S&P 500 Index after
the seven most volatile periods of the stock market in the last 25 years.
Source: CME Group. Lintner Revisited: A Quantitative Analysis of Managed Futures. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged market-weighted barometer of U.S. stock
market performance; as index of leading companies and industries, it dominated by large-capitalization companies. The Barclay BTOP 50 Index seeks to replicate the
overall composition of the managed futures industry in trading style and market exposure.
26TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 21
Futures Exchanges Traded
AMERICAS Symbol Exchanges
Atlanta ICE Intercontinental Exchange
Chicago CBOT, CME Chicago Board of Trade, Chicago Mercantile Exchange
Kansas City KCBT Kansas City Board of Trade
Minneapolis MGE Minneapolis Grain Exchange
Montreal ME Montreal Exchange
New York City NYSE et al. Comex, EuroNext, New York Board of Trade, NYMEX
Toronto TMX Toronto Stock Exchange
Winnipeg ICE Winnipeg Commodity Exchange
EUROPE
London LIFFE et al. Eurex, London Metal Exchange, LIFFE
Madrid MEFF Madrid Futures Exchange
Milan FTSI Milan Futures Exchange
Paris MIF Euronext
Stockholm OMX Stockholm Options Market
Zurich SMI Swiss Market Index
ASIA / AUSTRALIA
Busan KOSPI Korea Exchange
Hong Kong HKFE Hong Kong Exchange
Mumbai BSE Bombay Stock Exchange
Singapore SGX Singapore International Monetary Exchange (SIMEX)
Sydney ASX, SFE Australia Securities Exchange; Sydney Futures Exchange
Tokyo TIFFE, TSE Tokyo Financial Exchange, Tokyo Stock Exchange
DIVERSIFICATION OPPORTUNITIES
33TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 22
Futures Contracts Traded
SECTOR FUTURES CONTRACTS
Currencies
Aust. Dollar, Braz. Real, British Pound, Can. Dollar, Euro Dollar, Euro FX, Japanese Yen, Korean Won,
Malaysian Ringgit, Mex. Peso, NZ Dollar, Russian Ruble, S. African Rand, Swiss Franc, U.S. $ Index, Thai
Baht, Turkish Lira
Interest Rates
Aust. 90-Day, 3-Yr. 10-Yr.Govt. Bonds; Can. 10-Year Bonds, 3-Month Euribor; Euro: Bobl, Bund, Schatze;
Eurodollar; Jap. Govt. 20-Yr. Bond; Long Gilt; Short Sterling: U.S. T-bonds: 30-Year, Ultrabond; US T-notes:
2-3-5-10 Years
Indices and Stocks
CAC 40, DAX, DJIA, EURO Stoxx, FTSI MIB Index, Hang Seng, MSCI Singapore Index, MSCI Taiwan,
NASDAQ 100, Nikkei, Nikkei 225, Emini S&P 500, S&P 500, Topix, VIX
International Indices
Amsterdam Exchanges Index; FTSI MIB (Italy), IBEX 35 Index (Spain), OMX 30 Index (Sweden), S&P
CNX Nifty Index (India), S&P TSE Index (Canada), KOSPI Index (South Korea), NIKKEI (Japan)
Grains, Oilseeds Canola, Corn, Oats, Rough Rice, Soybean Meal, Soybean Oil, Soybeans, Wheat, Wheat Spring
Energy Coal, Brent Crude Oil, WTI Crude Oil, ICE Gas-Oil, Gasoline RBOB, Heating Oil, Henry Hub Nat. Gas
Food and Fiber Cocoa, Coffee, Coffee C, Coffee Robusta, Cotton, Milk, Orange Juice, Sugar #11, White Sugar #5
Metals High Grade Aluminum, Copper, Gold, Lead, Nickel, Palladium, Platinum, Silver, Tin, Zinc
Livestock and Meat Live Cattle, Feeder Cattle, Lean Hogs
Wood and Rubber Lumber, Rubber
DIVERSIFICATION OPPORTUNITIES
34TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 23
We focus on
risk management
27TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
Shorter timeframes =
higher liquidity
24
We focus on
risk management
28TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
Our road
to risk management
is paved with discipline
25
Risk Analysis
BENCHMARK COMAPARISON - SINCE FUND INCEPITION
Risk Analysis S&P 500 Index EAFE
Terebellum
Fund
Ending VAMI $1,089.87 $993.12 $1,792.92
Maximum Drawdown 3.45% 10.15% 14.27%
Peak to Valley Nov 14 – Jan 15 Jun 14 – Dec 14 Nov 14 – Dec 14
Recovery 1 Month Ongoing 2 months
Sharpe Ratio 0.92 -0.02 1.07
Sortino Ratio 0.09 -0.97 2.77
Calmar Ratio 2.40 -0.06 5.01
Standard Deviation 2.61% 2.99% 19.44%
Downside Deviation 1.73% 2.37% 6.69%
Mean Return 0.70% -0.01% 5.59%
Positive Periods 8 (61.54%) 6 (46.15%) 7 (53.85%)
Negative Periods 5 38.46%) 6 (46.15%) 6 (46.15%)
Source: PortfolioAnalyst. VAMI is an index that tracks the monthly performance of a hypothetical $1000 investment. EAFA is the MSCI EAF (ETF) - Morgan Stanley Capital
International /Europe, Australasia, Far East. See Disclosure pages for definitions of risk analysis terms. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
29
Data as of March 11, 2015, from Fund inception March 2014
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 26
Risk Analysis
BENCHMARK COMAPARISON – JANUARY 1 – MARCH 11, 2015
Risk Analysis S&P 500 Index EAFE
Terebellum
Fund
Ending VAMI $990.94 $1,030.24 $1,323.27
Maximum Drawdown 3.64% 4.18% 8.98%
Peak to Valley March 3-11 Feb 2 - Mar 10 Feb 20 – Mar 3 5
Recovery Ongoing Ongoing 6 Days
Sharpe Ratio -2.33 1.30 4.17
Sortino Ratio -3.11 1.20 7.31
Calmar Ratio -1.80 5.94 78.55
Standard Deviation 0.87% 0.96% 2.78%
Downside Deviation 0.62% 0.69% 1.53%
Mean Return -0.01% 0.07% 0615%
Positive Periods 23 (46.94%) 30 (61.22%) 29 (59.18%)
Negative Periods 26 (53.06%) 19 (38.78%) 20 (40.82%)
Source: PortfolioAnalyst. VAMI is an index that tracks the monthly performance of a hypothetical $1000 investment. EAFA is the MSCI EAF (ETF) - Morgan Stanley Capital
International /Europe, Australasia, Far East. See Disclosure pages for definitions of risk analysis terms. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
30TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 27
Adaptability
35TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 28
MARKET
BEHAVIOR
37
We trade for
range and trend.
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 29
Why limit yourself
to choosing from this bunch?
MARKET
BEHAVIOR
36
We trade for
range and trend. We invest in
“fresh apples”
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 30
MARKET
BEHAVIOR
36
We trade for
range and trend.
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 31
Multi-strategy = best of the best
SYSTEMATIC
70%
DISCRETIONARY
30%
38TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 32
Our trading systems are
70% systematic and 30% discretionary
Experience
42TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 33
34
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
Wes has traded for more
than 27 years in all markets
34
35
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6
Pockets of Predictability
Greece is
drowning
in Eurodebt.
14TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 36
Positive Expectations
Greece is
drowning
in Eurodebt.
14TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 37
Risk Management, Adaptability, Experience|
Produce Results
Source: PortfolioAnalyst. VAMI is an index that tracks the monthly performance of a hypothetical $1000 investment. EAFA is the MSCI EAF (ETF) - Morgan Stanley Capital
International /Europe, Australasia, Far East. See Disclosure pages for definitions of risk analysis terms. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
S&P 500 Credit Suisse Hedge
Fund Index
Vanguard REIT Index
Admiral Shares
Terebellum
13.80%
4.84%
29.35%
61.00%
RATE OF RETURN COMPARISON – 2014
41
Terebellum will
seek to fund a
Charitable Donation
account which will
give 5% of the
firm’s excess net
profits each
quarter.
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 38
Fund Terms
And Summary
42TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 39
Fund Terms
FUND FACTS
Minimum Investment $1,000,000
Management Fee 2.00% annually
Incentive Allocation 25% charged annually (Only on High Water Mark)
Redemptions Quarterly withdrawals with 60 days notice
Liquidity 90 Days
High Water Mark Yes (Losses must be fully recovered before performance incentive fee earned)
Reports Audited quarterly
43TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 40
Service Providers
SERVICE PROVIDERS
Administrator Opus Fund Services
San Francisco, CA
Auditor Kaplan & Company
Northbrook, IL
Compliance Administrator National Regulatory Services
Chicago, IL
Prime Broker Wells Fargo Prime
San Francisco, CA
EXPERIENCED TEAM
44TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 41
Partner Reporting Schedule
MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUALLY
Performance
Results
Investment
Appraisal Report
Investment
Update
Tax Return
K-1
Audited Financial
Statements
Partner
Meeting
REGULAR REPORTING
Audited financials and partner K‐1s are completed and sent to limited partners generally before April 15th. Partner one-on-one meetings with the investment team are
always available and encouraged in person/ and or phone.
45TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 42
35TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
Terebellum Investment Group, LLC is for accredited investors who are both aware of,
and able to sustain, the financial risks involved in exposure to equities investing.
An accredited investor is an individual with a net worth, or joint net worth with the
person's spouse, that exceeds $1 million (excluding primary residence) at the time of
the purchase, or an individual income in excess of $250,000, or in excess of $300,000
with his or her spouse, in each of the two most recent years, and who has a reasonable
expectation of an income in excess of $250,000 individually, or in excess of $300,000
with his or her spouse in the current year.
Accredited Investors Only
43
Disclosure
RISK DISCLOSURE
The Fund’s historical performance is net of all fees and expenses. Current year returns are preliminary and subject to change due to any revisions from the year‐end audit. Net returns have been calculated after all
costs and expenses, including any incentive performance fee. A partner’s net return may vary from other partners’ net returns due to timing of capital additions and withdrawals in the Funds.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve risk, including the loss of principal. Investors should be aware that the referenced benchmarked indexes may have a different
composition, volatility, risk, investment philosophy, holding times, and/or other investment‐related factors that may affect the benchmark indexes ultimate performance results. Therefore, an investor's individual returns
may vary significantly from the benchmark's performance. The Funds have the ability to use margin, leverage, options, shorts and other strategies that are not used by or reflected by the indexes provided for
comparison purposes.
This and/or the accompanying information was prepared by or obtained from sources which TERREBELUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC believes to be reliable but does not guarantee its accuracy. This report contains
only summary information about the fund and should be read in conjunction with the more detailed information contained in the confidential private placement memorandums for the fund. This document may only be
distributed to persons who are accredited investors as defined by U.S. securities laws. It is intended solely for the use of the person to whom it is given and may not be reproduced or distributed to any other person.
The fund has not, and will not, be registered under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and may only be offered in private placement transactions.
Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the strategy carefully before investing. Aggressive growth stocks may be more susceptible to earnings disappointments, and the
market may not favor aggressive growth-style investing. Investments in small and/or midsize companies increase the risk of greater price fluctuations. Stock prices may fall or fail to rise over time for several reasons,
including general financial market conditions and factors related to a specific issuer or industry. Investors can lose money by investing in the strategy. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and
there can be no assurance that any specific investment will either be suitable or profitable for a client's investment portfolio. The Funds may be subject to greater price volatility than less concentrated portfolios. An
investment in the Fund involves a high degree of risk. An investor may lose all or a significant portion of its investment.
This presentation does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient hereof and should not be construed as legal, tax or investment advice. Investors should
carefully review the Memorandum and Fund definitive documents and consult with independent legal, tax and business advisors concerning any potential investment in the Fund. This transmission is confidential and
may not be redistributed without the express written consent of TERREBELUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any security or investment
product. Any such offer or solicitation may only be made by means of delivery of an approved confidential offering memorandum.
It is the Policy of TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC to keep confidential non-public personal information pertaining to each current and former client and or investor (i.e., information and records pertaining to
personal background, investment objectives, financial situation, investment holdings, account numbers, account balances and the like) unless the TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC is: Previously authorized to
disclose information to individuals and/or entities not affiliated with the investment advisor, including, but not limited to the client's and or investor 's other professional advisors and/or service providers (i.e., attorneys,
accountants, insurance agents, broker/dealers, investment advisors, account custodians,); or, Required to do so by judicial or regulatory process; or, otherwise permitted to do so in accordance with the parameters of
Regulation S-P. The disclosure of such information contained in any document completed by the client and or investor for processing and/or transmittal by the investment advisor, investment manager or related entity
in order to facilitate the commencement, continuation, or termination of any business relationship between the client, investor and/or non-affiliated third party service provider (i.e., broker/dealer, investment advisor,
account custodian, insurance company, and the like), including information contained in any document completed and/or executed by the client and/or investor for the investment advisor/investment manager or
related entity (i.e., advisory agreement, client and/or investor information form, and the like), shall be deemed as having been automatically authorized by the client and/or investor with respect to the corresponding
non-affiliated third party service provider.
Each individual and/or entity affiliated with the investment advisor or investment manager or related entity is aware of the aforesaid privacy policy and has acknowledged his or her or its requirement to comply with
same. In accordance with this privacy policy, each such affiliated individual and/or entity shall have access to information to the extent reasonably necessary for the performance of its service for the client and/or
investor and to comply with regulatory procedures and requirements.
47TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 44
Disclosure
NOT A SOLICITATION
This presentation has been designed for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, which may be referenced upon the site.
Such offers can only be made where lawful under applicable law. The services and information provided through this site are for personal, non-commercial use and display. TEREBELLUM
INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC does not intend to provide investment advice through this site and does not represent that the securities or services discussed are suitable for any investor. Investors
are advised not to rely on any information contained in the site in the process of making a fully informed investment decision. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC does not, and this site does
not intend to render tax or legal advice.
This presentation has been published in the United States for residents of the United States. This site in not intended for use by, or to provide any information to, investors, outside of the United
States. Investors outside of the United States are subject to securities and tax regulations within their applicable jurisdictions that are not addressed on this site. No security, investment advisory
service, or other product or service will be offered or sold in any jurisdiction in which such offer or solicitation, purchase or sale, would be contrary to the securities laws or other local laws and
regulation. U.S. investors should be advised that not all investments discussed on this site might be available in all states. News, views, opinions, recommendations and other information obtained
from sources outside of TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC are believed to be reliable, but we cannot guarantee their accuracy or completeness. All such information is subject to change at
any time without notice.
The accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information contained cannot be guaranteed. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC does not warrant, guarantee or make any representations,
or assume any liability with regard to financial results based on the use of the information.
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC is not liable for any harm caused by the transmission, through accessing the services or information here, of a computer virus, or other computer code or
programming device that might be used to access, delete, damage, disable, disrupt or otherwise impede in any manner, the operation of the site or of any user's software, hardware, data or
property.
The use of this material is at your own risk. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC believes that it offers customers a practical and usable brokerage system over the Internet. Customers accept
at their own risk that the Internet communications medium may not perform as intended despite the best efforts of Preferred, including their network service providers, the customer's Internet
service provider, and the customer. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC presents information, pricing data and customer account information that are thought to be reliable and accurate.
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC does not guarantee the timeliness, sequence or accuracy of the data or any other information available through this service. In addition, the customer
agrees to immediately notify TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC if they become aware of any loss, theft or unauthorized use of their access number(s), password(s), and/or account
number(s).
All securities business with TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC is conducted based on written agreements between the customer and TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC These
agreements are the only contractual relationship between TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC and its customers and the terms of those agreements are binding on both parties. No other
representation, whether made in person, verbally, written or on-line electronically in written, graphical or verbal communication may change the terms of those agreements.
All customer orders accepted by TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC are considered unsolicited. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC reserves the right to decline accounts and orders at
its discretion.
48TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 45
Disclosure
FOR SLIDE 18: PERFORMANCE
Maximum Drawdown is he peak-to-trough decline during a specific record period of an investment, fund or commodity. A drawdown is usually quoted as the percentage between the peak and the
trough.
Peak to Valley. A fund or money manager's largest cumulative percentage decline in net asset value. It is defined as the percentage decline from the fund's highest net asset value (peak) to the
lowest net asset value (trough) after the peak. Funds that have been in existence for long periods of time may have a number of peak-to-valley drawdowns over various time periods.
Sharpe Ratio uses standard deviation to measure a portfolio’s risk-adjusted returns. The higher a portfolio’s Sharpe Ratio, the better the portfolio’s returns have been relative to the risk it has
taken.
Sortino Raito is a modification of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from general volatility by taking into account the standard deviation of negative asset returns, called downside
deviation. The Sortino ratio subtracts the risk-free rate of return from the portfolio’s return, and then divides that by the downside deviation. A large Sortino ratio indicates there is a low probability
of a large loss.
Calmar Ratio is a comparison of the average annual compounded rate of return and the maximum drawdown risk of commodity trading advisors and hedge funds. The lower the Calmar Ratio, the
worse the investment performed on a risk-adjusted basis over the specified time period; the higher the Calmar Ratio, the better it performed. Generally speaking, the time period used is three
years, but this can be higher or lower based on the investment in question
Standard Deviation measures the volatility of the fund’s returns. Higher deviation represents higher volatility.
Downside deviation considers only returns that fall below a defined minimum acceptable return rather than arithmetic mean. R Squared values range from 0 to 100. A fund with a low R Squared
(70 or less) does not act much like the Index.
Mean Return Mea attempts to quantify the relationship between the risk of a portfolio of securities and its return. It assumes that while investors have different risk tolerances, rational investors
will always seek the maximum rate of return for every level of acceptable risk. It is the mean, or expected, return that investors try to maximize at each level of risk.
Source: Investopeida
49TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 46
51
Terebellum Capital
11531 Lawson Cypress Drive
Tomball, TX 77377
281-898-1486
Jeff Williams
Managing Partner
832-453-5010 Cell
jeff@terebellumcapitalig.com
TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 47
Executive Summary
Objective
  Terebellum Capital’s investment objective is to provide
superior absolute returns
  The Partnership seeks to diversify investment portfolios due
to the low correlation expected between the Partnership’s
performance and the equity and fixed income markets
Portfolio
Management
  Jeff Williams – Co-responsible for the firm management;
Principal of the Managing Partner with NFA; Associated Person
with the CFTC; and a Forex Associated Person of the GP
  Wesley Cooper – Co-responsible for the management of
the firm; has traded in the futures markets since 1988
Investment
Summary
  Minimum investment - $1,000,000 (Waiver available from General Partner)
  Quarterly redemptions with 30 days notice
  Managers have substantial personal assets invested in Fund
THE TEREBELLUM ADVANTAGE
4 50TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 48
17TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
4.84% Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Index
49

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Hedge Fund Pitch Book - Terebellum Investment Group

  • 1. Jeff Williams Deep Value Investing. FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS ONLY Managing Partner Jeff.williams@terebellumig.com March 2015 TEREBELLUM! INVESTMENT GROUP! Helping Others Reach for the Stars © 2015 Terebellum Investment Group, LLC281-898-1486
  • 2. 20 Jeff Williams CO-FOUNDER, PRINCIPAL, MANAGING PARTNER FINRA Series 3 (Commodity Futures Examination) and Series 34 (Retail Off-Exchange Forex Examination) examination qualified IT services project manager for 12 years Managed some of my employer’s largest projects with teams of 25 people and $1 million+ labor costs Specialized in rescuing failing projects from other service providers TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 2
  • 3. 21 Wes Cooper CO-FOUNDER, PRINCIPAL, MANAGING PARTNER FINRA Series 3 (Commodity Futures Examination) and Series 34 (Retail Off-Exchange Forex Examination) examination qualified Studied Economics at the University of Missouri Actively traded since 1989 (27 years) through all market conditions Finished 6th in a 3-month national trading contest hosted by Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine. Results were published in the November 1995 issue. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 3
  • 4. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC S&P 500 Index JANUARY 1, 2009 – FEBRUARY 28, 2015 5TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 4
  • 5. 5 TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC Greece is drowning in Eurodebt. 2TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 5
  • 6. Changes in the United States 3TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 6
  • 7. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC Greece is drowning in Eurodebt. Quantitative Easing Has Ended 4TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 7
  • 8. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC 6TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 8 The U.S has historic levels of debt
  • 9. TERREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC 7TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP The price of oil has plummeted. It’s down 50% from historic highs a year ago 9
  • 10. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC International Changes 810TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
  • 11. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC 9TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP Oil bust + sanctions over Ukraine = Russian instability 11
  • 12. 10TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 12 Greece is Drowning in Euro debt
  • 13. Greece is drowning in Eurodebt. 11TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP The Swiss manipulated their currency for three years, until… EUR/CHF Euro Swiss Franc Exchange Rate August 4, 2014 – January 10, 2015 13
  • 14. Greece is drowning in Eurodebt. 11TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP EUR/CHF Euro Swiss Franc Exchange Rate November 4, 2014 – March 10, 2015 …they changed policy in January 2015 14
  • 15. Greece is drowning in Eurodebt. Do not be lured by safe havens Do not ignore the fundamental changes in the world 16TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 15
  • 16. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC Why us? 816TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP
  • 17. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC 817TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP Risk Management…Adaptability…Experience
  • 19. 32TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP Futures as a risk management tool 19
  • 20. We focus on risk management Futures have historically outperformed equities during crisis 25TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 20
  • 21. Performance History NEGATIVE CORRELATION PERIOD EVENT S&P 500 Index Barclay BTOP 50 DIFFERENCE 4th Quarter 1987 Black Monday Global Stock Market Crash -22.53% 16.88% 39.41% 4th Quarter 2008 Banking Crises -21.95% 9.14% 31.08% 3rd Quarter 2002 WorldCom Scandal -17.28% 9.41% 26.69% 3rd Quarter 2001 Attack on World Trade Center & Pentagon -14.68% 4.12% 18.79% 3rd Quarter 1990 Iraq invades Kuwait -13.75% 11.22% 24.97% 2nd Quarter 2002 Continuing Aftermath of Technology Bubble -13.39% 8.52% 21.92% 1st Quarter 2001 Bear Market in U.S. Technology -11.86% 5.97% 17.83% An index of managed futures and commodities outperformed the S&P 500 Index after the seven most volatile periods of the stock market in the last 25 years. Source: CME Group. Lintner Revisited: A Quantitative Analysis of Managed Futures. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged market-weighted barometer of U.S. stock market performance; as index of leading companies and industries, it dominated by large-capitalization companies. The Barclay BTOP 50 Index seeks to replicate the overall composition of the managed futures industry in trading style and market exposure. 26TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 21
  • 22. Futures Exchanges Traded AMERICAS Symbol Exchanges Atlanta ICE Intercontinental Exchange Chicago CBOT, CME Chicago Board of Trade, Chicago Mercantile Exchange Kansas City KCBT Kansas City Board of Trade Minneapolis MGE Minneapolis Grain Exchange Montreal ME Montreal Exchange New York City NYSE et al. Comex, EuroNext, New York Board of Trade, NYMEX Toronto TMX Toronto Stock Exchange Winnipeg ICE Winnipeg Commodity Exchange EUROPE London LIFFE et al. Eurex, London Metal Exchange, LIFFE Madrid MEFF Madrid Futures Exchange Milan FTSI Milan Futures Exchange Paris MIF Euronext Stockholm OMX Stockholm Options Market Zurich SMI Swiss Market Index ASIA / AUSTRALIA Busan KOSPI Korea Exchange Hong Kong HKFE Hong Kong Exchange Mumbai BSE Bombay Stock Exchange Singapore SGX Singapore International Monetary Exchange (SIMEX) Sydney ASX, SFE Australia Securities Exchange; Sydney Futures Exchange Tokyo TIFFE, TSE Tokyo Financial Exchange, Tokyo Stock Exchange DIVERSIFICATION OPPORTUNITIES 33TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 22
  • 23. Futures Contracts Traded SECTOR FUTURES CONTRACTS Currencies Aust. Dollar, Braz. Real, British Pound, Can. Dollar, Euro Dollar, Euro FX, Japanese Yen, Korean Won, Malaysian Ringgit, Mex. Peso, NZ Dollar, Russian Ruble, S. African Rand, Swiss Franc, U.S. $ Index, Thai Baht, Turkish Lira Interest Rates Aust. 90-Day, 3-Yr. 10-Yr.Govt. Bonds; Can. 10-Year Bonds, 3-Month Euribor; Euro: Bobl, Bund, Schatze; Eurodollar; Jap. Govt. 20-Yr. Bond; Long Gilt; Short Sterling: U.S. T-bonds: 30-Year, Ultrabond; US T-notes: 2-3-5-10 Years Indices and Stocks CAC 40, DAX, DJIA, EURO Stoxx, FTSI MIB Index, Hang Seng, MSCI Singapore Index, MSCI Taiwan, NASDAQ 100, Nikkei, Nikkei 225, Emini S&P 500, S&P 500, Topix, VIX International Indices Amsterdam Exchanges Index; FTSI MIB (Italy), IBEX 35 Index (Spain), OMX 30 Index (Sweden), S&P CNX Nifty Index (India), S&P TSE Index (Canada), KOSPI Index (South Korea), NIKKEI (Japan) Grains, Oilseeds Canola, Corn, Oats, Rough Rice, Soybean Meal, Soybean Oil, Soybeans, Wheat, Wheat Spring Energy Coal, Brent Crude Oil, WTI Crude Oil, ICE Gas-Oil, Gasoline RBOB, Heating Oil, Henry Hub Nat. Gas Food and Fiber Cocoa, Coffee, Coffee C, Coffee Robusta, Cotton, Milk, Orange Juice, Sugar #11, White Sugar #5 Metals High Grade Aluminum, Copper, Gold, Lead, Nickel, Palladium, Platinum, Silver, Tin, Zinc Livestock and Meat Live Cattle, Feeder Cattle, Lean Hogs Wood and Rubber Lumber, Rubber DIVERSIFICATION OPPORTUNITIES 34TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 23
  • 24. We focus on risk management 27TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP Shorter timeframes = higher liquidity 24
  • 25. We focus on risk management 28TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP Our road to risk management is paved with discipline 25
  • 26. Risk Analysis BENCHMARK COMAPARISON - SINCE FUND INCEPITION Risk Analysis S&P 500 Index EAFE Terebellum Fund Ending VAMI $1,089.87 $993.12 $1,792.92 Maximum Drawdown 3.45% 10.15% 14.27% Peak to Valley Nov 14 – Jan 15 Jun 14 – Dec 14 Nov 14 – Dec 14 Recovery 1 Month Ongoing 2 months Sharpe Ratio 0.92 -0.02 1.07 Sortino Ratio 0.09 -0.97 2.77 Calmar Ratio 2.40 -0.06 5.01 Standard Deviation 2.61% 2.99% 19.44% Downside Deviation 1.73% 2.37% 6.69% Mean Return 0.70% -0.01% 5.59% Positive Periods 8 (61.54%) 6 (46.15%) 7 (53.85%) Negative Periods 5 38.46%) 6 (46.15%) 6 (46.15%) Source: PortfolioAnalyst. VAMI is an index that tracks the monthly performance of a hypothetical $1000 investment. EAFA is the MSCI EAF (ETF) - Morgan Stanley Capital International /Europe, Australasia, Far East. See Disclosure pages for definitions of risk analysis terms. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. 29 Data as of March 11, 2015, from Fund inception March 2014 TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 26
  • 27. Risk Analysis BENCHMARK COMAPARISON – JANUARY 1 – MARCH 11, 2015 Risk Analysis S&P 500 Index EAFE Terebellum Fund Ending VAMI $990.94 $1,030.24 $1,323.27 Maximum Drawdown 3.64% 4.18% 8.98% Peak to Valley March 3-11 Feb 2 - Mar 10 Feb 20 – Mar 3 5 Recovery Ongoing Ongoing 6 Days Sharpe Ratio -2.33 1.30 4.17 Sortino Ratio -3.11 1.20 7.31 Calmar Ratio -1.80 5.94 78.55 Standard Deviation 0.87% 0.96% 2.78% Downside Deviation 0.62% 0.69% 1.53% Mean Return -0.01% 0.07% 0615% Positive Periods 23 (46.94%) 30 (61.22%) 29 (59.18%) Negative Periods 26 (53.06%) 19 (38.78%) 20 (40.82%) Source: PortfolioAnalyst. VAMI is an index that tracks the monthly performance of a hypothetical $1000 investment. EAFA is the MSCI EAF (ETF) - Morgan Stanley Capital International /Europe, Australasia, Far East. See Disclosure pages for definitions of risk analysis terms. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. 30TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 27
  • 29. MARKET BEHAVIOR 37 We trade for range and trend. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 29 Why limit yourself to choosing from this bunch?
  • 30. MARKET BEHAVIOR 36 We trade for range and trend. We invest in “fresh apples” TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 30
  • 31. MARKET BEHAVIOR 36 We trade for range and trend. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 31 Multi-strategy = best of the best
  • 32. SYSTEMATIC 70% DISCRETIONARY 30% 38TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 32 Our trading systems are 70% systematic and 30% discretionary
  • 34. 34 TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP Wes has traded for more than 27 years in all markets 34
  • 35. 35 TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 35 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6 Pockets of Predictability
  • 36. Greece is drowning in Eurodebt. 14TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 36 Positive Expectations
  • 37. Greece is drowning in Eurodebt. 14TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 37 Risk Management, Adaptability, Experience| Produce Results Source: PortfolioAnalyst. VAMI is an index that tracks the monthly performance of a hypothetical $1000 investment. EAFA is the MSCI EAF (ETF) - Morgan Stanley Capital International /Europe, Australasia, Far East. See Disclosure pages for definitions of risk analysis terms. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% S&P 500 Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Index Vanguard REIT Index Admiral Shares Terebellum 13.80% 4.84% 29.35% 61.00% RATE OF RETURN COMPARISON – 2014
  • 38. 41 Terebellum will seek to fund a Charitable Donation account which will give 5% of the firm’s excess net profits each quarter. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 38
  • 39. Fund Terms And Summary 42TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 39
  • 40. Fund Terms FUND FACTS Minimum Investment $1,000,000 Management Fee 2.00% annually Incentive Allocation 25% charged annually (Only on High Water Mark) Redemptions Quarterly withdrawals with 60 days notice Liquidity 90 Days High Water Mark Yes (Losses must be fully recovered before performance incentive fee earned) Reports Audited quarterly 43TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 40
  • 41. Service Providers SERVICE PROVIDERS Administrator Opus Fund Services San Francisco, CA Auditor Kaplan & Company Northbrook, IL Compliance Administrator National Regulatory Services Chicago, IL Prime Broker Wells Fargo Prime San Francisco, CA EXPERIENCED TEAM 44TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 41
  • 42. Partner Reporting Schedule MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUALLY Performance Results Investment Appraisal Report Investment Update Tax Return K-1 Audited Financial Statements Partner Meeting REGULAR REPORTING Audited financials and partner K‐1s are completed and sent to limited partners generally before April 15th. Partner one-on-one meetings with the investment team are always available and encouraged in person/ and or phone. 45TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 42
  • 43. 35TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP Terebellum Investment Group, LLC is for accredited investors who are both aware of, and able to sustain, the financial risks involved in exposure to equities investing. An accredited investor is an individual with a net worth, or joint net worth with the person's spouse, that exceeds $1 million (excluding primary residence) at the time of the purchase, or an individual income in excess of $250,000, or in excess of $300,000 with his or her spouse, in each of the two most recent years, and who has a reasonable expectation of an income in excess of $250,000 individually, or in excess of $300,000 with his or her spouse in the current year. Accredited Investors Only 43
  • 44. Disclosure RISK DISCLOSURE The Fund’s historical performance is net of all fees and expenses. Current year returns are preliminary and subject to change due to any revisions from the year‐end audit. Net returns have been calculated after all costs and expenses, including any incentive performance fee. A partner’s net return may vary from other partners’ net returns due to timing of capital additions and withdrawals in the Funds. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve risk, including the loss of principal. Investors should be aware that the referenced benchmarked indexes may have a different composition, volatility, risk, investment philosophy, holding times, and/or other investment‐related factors that may affect the benchmark indexes ultimate performance results. Therefore, an investor's individual returns may vary significantly from the benchmark's performance. The Funds have the ability to use margin, leverage, options, shorts and other strategies that are not used by or reflected by the indexes provided for comparison purposes. This and/or the accompanying information was prepared by or obtained from sources which TERREBELUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC believes to be reliable but does not guarantee its accuracy. This report contains only summary information about the fund and should be read in conjunction with the more detailed information contained in the confidential private placement memorandums for the fund. This document may only be distributed to persons who are accredited investors as defined by U.S. securities laws. It is intended solely for the use of the person to whom it is given and may not be reproduced or distributed to any other person. The fund has not, and will not, be registered under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and may only be offered in private placement transactions. Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the strategy carefully before investing. Aggressive growth stocks may be more susceptible to earnings disappointments, and the market may not favor aggressive growth-style investing. Investments in small and/or midsize companies increase the risk of greater price fluctuations. Stock prices may fall or fail to rise over time for several reasons, including general financial market conditions and factors related to a specific issuer or industry. Investors can lose money by investing in the strategy. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will either be suitable or profitable for a client's investment portfolio. The Funds may be subject to greater price volatility than less concentrated portfolios. An investment in the Fund involves a high degree of risk. An investor may lose all or a significant portion of its investment. This presentation does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient hereof and should not be construed as legal, tax or investment advice. Investors should carefully review the Memorandum and Fund definitive documents and consult with independent legal, tax and business advisors concerning any potential investment in the Fund. This transmission is confidential and may not be redistributed without the express written consent of TERREBELUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any security or investment product. Any such offer or solicitation may only be made by means of delivery of an approved confidential offering memorandum. It is the Policy of TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC to keep confidential non-public personal information pertaining to each current and former client and or investor (i.e., information and records pertaining to personal background, investment objectives, financial situation, investment holdings, account numbers, account balances and the like) unless the TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC is: Previously authorized to disclose information to individuals and/or entities not affiliated with the investment advisor, including, but not limited to the client's and or investor 's other professional advisors and/or service providers (i.e., attorneys, accountants, insurance agents, broker/dealers, investment advisors, account custodians,); or, Required to do so by judicial or regulatory process; or, otherwise permitted to do so in accordance with the parameters of Regulation S-P. The disclosure of such information contained in any document completed by the client and or investor for processing and/or transmittal by the investment advisor, investment manager or related entity in order to facilitate the commencement, continuation, or termination of any business relationship between the client, investor and/or non-affiliated third party service provider (i.e., broker/dealer, investment advisor, account custodian, insurance company, and the like), including information contained in any document completed and/or executed by the client and/or investor for the investment advisor/investment manager or related entity (i.e., advisory agreement, client and/or investor information form, and the like), shall be deemed as having been automatically authorized by the client and/or investor with respect to the corresponding non-affiliated third party service provider. Each individual and/or entity affiliated with the investment advisor or investment manager or related entity is aware of the aforesaid privacy policy and has acknowledged his or her or its requirement to comply with same. In accordance with this privacy policy, each such affiliated individual and/or entity shall have access to information to the extent reasonably necessary for the performance of its service for the client and/or investor and to comply with regulatory procedures and requirements. 47TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 44
  • 45. Disclosure NOT A SOLICITATION This presentation has been designed for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, which may be referenced upon the site. Such offers can only be made where lawful under applicable law. The services and information provided through this site are for personal, non-commercial use and display. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC does not intend to provide investment advice through this site and does not represent that the securities or services discussed are suitable for any investor. Investors are advised not to rely on any information contained in the site in the process of making a fully informed investment decision. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC does not, and this site does not intend to render tax or legal advice. This presentation has been published in the United States for residents of the United States. This site in not intended for use by, or to provide any information to, investors, outside of the United States. Investors outside of the United States are subject to securities and tax regulations within their applicable jurisdictions that are not addressed on this site. No security, investment advisory service, or other product or service will be offered or sold in any jurisdiction in which such offer or solicitation, purchase or sale, would be contrary to the securities laws or other local laws and regulation. U.S. investors should be advised that not all investments discussed on this site might be available in all states. News, views, opinions, recommendations and other information obtained from sources outside of TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC are believed to be reliable, but we cannot guarantee their accuracy or completeness. All such information is subject to change at any time without notice. The accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information contained cannot be guaranteed. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC does not warrant, guarantee or make any representations, or assume any liability with regard to financial results based on the use of the information. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC is not liable for any harm caused by the transmission, through accessing the services or information here, of a computer virus, or other computer code or programming device that might be used to access, delete, damage, disable, disrupt or otherwise impede in any manner, the operation of the site or of any user's software, hardware, data or property. The use of this material is at your own risk. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC believes that it offers customers a practical and usable brokerage system over the Internet. Customers accept at their own risk that the Internet communications medium may not perform as intended despite the best efforts of Preferred, including their network service providers, the customer's Internet service provider, and the customer. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC presents information, pricing data and customer account information that are thought to be reliable and accurate. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC does not guarantee the timeliness, sequence or accuracy of the data or any other information available through this service. In addition, the customer agrees to immediately notify TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC if they become aware of any loss, theft or unauthorized use of their access number(s), password(s), and/or account number(s). All securities business with TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC is conducted based on written agreements between the customer and TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC These agreements are the only contractual relationship between TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC and its customers and the terms of those agreements are binding on both parties. No other representation, whether made in person, verbally, written or on-line electronically in written, graphical or verbal communication may change the terms of those agreements. All customer orders accepted by TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC are considered unsolicited. TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC reserves the right to decline accounts and orders at its discretion. 48TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 45
  • 46. Disclosure FOR SLIDE 18: PERFORMANCE Maximum Drawdown is he peak-to-trough decline during a specific record period of an investment, fund or commodity. A drawdown is usually quoted as the percentage between the peak and the trough. Peak to Valley. A fund or money manager's largest cumulative percentage decline in net asset value. It is defined as the percentage decline from the fund's highest net asset value (peak) to the lowest net asset value (trough) after the peak. Funds that have been in existence for long periods of time may have a number of peak-to-valley drawdowns over various time periods. Sharpe Ratio uses standard deviation to measure a portfolio’s risk-adjusted returns. The higher a portfolio’s Sharpe Ratio, the better the portfolio’s returns have been relative to the risk it has taken. Sortino Raito is a modification of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from general volatility by taking into account the standard deviation of negative asset returns, called downside deviation. The Sortino ratio subtracts the risk-free rate of return from the portfolio’s return, and then divides that by the downside deviation. A large Sortino ratio indicates there is a low probability of a large loss. Calmar Ratio is a comparison of the average annual compounded rate of return and the maximum drawdown risk of commodity trading advisors and hedge funds. The lower the Calmar Ratio, the worse the investment performed on a risk-adjusted basis over the specified time period; the higher the Calmar Ratio, the better it performed. Generally speaking, the time period used is three years, but this can be higher or lower based on the investment in question Standard Deviation measures the volatility of the fund’s returns. Higher deviation represents higher volatility. Downside deviation considers only returns that fall below a defined minimum acceptable return rather than arithmetic mean. R Squared values range from 0 to 100. A fund with a low R Squared (70 or less) does not act much like the Index. Mean Return Mea attempts to quantify the relationship between the risk of a portfolio of securities and its return. It assumes that while investors have different risk tolerances, rational investors will always seek the maximum rate of return for every level of acceptable risk. It is the mean, or expected, return that investors try to maximize at each level of risk. Source: Investopeida 49TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 46
  • 47. 51 Terebellum Capital 11531 Lawson Cypress Drive Tomball, TX 77377 281-898-1486 Jeff Williams Managing Partner 832-453-5010 Cell jeff@terebellumcapitalig.com TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 47
  • 48. Executive Summary Objective   Terebellum Capital’s investment objective is to provide superior absolute returns   The Partnership seeks to diversify investment portfolios due to the low correlation expected between the Partnership’s performance and the equity and fixed income markets Portfolio Management   Jeff Williams – Co-responsible for the firm management; Principal of the Managing Partner with NFA; Associated Person with the CFTC; and a Forex Associated Person of the GP   Wesley Cooper – Co-responsible for the management of the firm; has traded in the futures markets since 1988 Investment Summary   Minimum investment - $1,000,000 (Waiver available from General Partner)   Quarterly redemptions with 30 days notice   Managers have substantial personal assets invested in Fund THE TEREBELLUM ADVANTAGE 4 50TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 48
  • 49. 17TEREBELLUM INVESTMENT GROUP 4.84% Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Index 49