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茂木耕作の環境場の特徴と相互作用

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観測船みらい船内セミナー Moteki151119 mr1504seminar

  1. 1. もてきこうさく 環境場の特徴 相互作用 の と Someones changed MOTEKI Qoosaku
  2. 2. もてきこうさく 環境場の特徴 相互作用 の と Someones changed MOTEKI Qoosaku
  3. 3. 39 年齢 age My feeling is 18 till I die
  4. 4. 軽め 性格 personality “super” optimist
  5. 5. NHK educational TV program NHK Eテレ web ビデオ
  6. 6. 1976.6.6 京都生まれ Born in Kyoto
  7. 7. 1978-1994 新潟育ち Brought up Niigata
  8. 8. 1994-2000 北大経由 via Hokkaido Univ.
  9. 9. 2001-2003 名大で学位取得 Getting Ph. D at Nagoya Univ.
  10. 10. ドロップゾンデdropsonde The book showing my passion
  11. 11. 2004 京大防災研ポスドク Working at Kyoto Univ.
  12. 12. 妻とオメデタ婚 (現JAMSTEC) shotgun marriage
  13. 13. 2005- JAMSTEC
  14. 14. 8才 10才 1才
  15. 15. 上田博先生 Supervisor Prof. Uyeda Hiroshi
  16. 16. 山田広幸さん Superior Yamada Hiroyuki san
  17. 17. その観測、 一体どれほどの 価値があるのか?The value of the observations
  18. 18. 観測する価値のある場所は? Where should we add?
  19. 19. 観測追加の根拠 重要な現象の発生源 マッデン・ジュリアン振動 (MJO) 台風 The origin of the generation should be.
  20. 20. 観測の無い場所 観測追加の根拠 The lack of observation should be.
  21. 21. 誤差が大きい場所 誤差小 誤差大 観測追加の根拠 Large errors should be.
  22. 22. 高層気象観測 気象レーダー TRITON 観測船みらい 観測用 航空機 Then, we do.
  23. 23. 追加前の東西風の誤差分布 ● 既存の高層気象観測点 誤差小 誤差大 (m/s) distribution of error of U before adding
  24. 24. ● MISMO観測 ● 既存の高層気象観測点 誤差小 誤差大 (m/s) 観測追加による誤差軽減 error reduction by additional observations
  25. 25. 僕らの想いはどこまで届くのか? How long can our wishes reach up?
  26. 26. 観測追加による精度向上率は? Improvement rate by the additional observations?
  27. 27. 精度悪化 精度向上 3点追加で2万km!! 20,000 km by only three additional stations
  28. 28. みらいの相互作用 interaction for the future
  29. 29. みらいの今 current status around us 2015/11/20 13SMT
  30. 30. 注目の要素 components to be chased 2015/11/20 13SMT
  31. 31. もてさくの勝手な予想(期待) motesaku’s guess (expectation) weakening developing going away approaching to us 2015/11/20 13SMT
  32. 32. ブリッジの天気図の見方 weather chart at the bridge
  33. 33. もてきこうさく 環境場の特徴 相互作用 の と YOU will change MOTEKI Qoosaku
  34. 34. Usualobjective analysis by operational centers new analysis forecast observations analysis
  35. 35. ALERAreanalysis dataset with 4D analysis error spread ≒ error new analysis forecast observations analysis
  36. 36. The first 5 days of MISMO2006 Improvement within a limited area
  37. 37. The 5 days before the weak MJO Extending at 15 m/s
  38. 38. The 5 days during the weak MJO Great improvement!! > 5 %
  39. 39. もてさくの勝手な予想(期待) just my guess (expectation) weakening developing going away approaching to us 2015/11/20 01SMT
  40. 40. モテサクのミカタ motesaku’s view tropics < 1012 hPa subtropics > 1012 hPa subtropics > 1012 hPa 2015/11/20 01SMT
  41. 41. 2015/11/29 07SMT
  • motesaku

    Dec. 26, 2015

茂木耕作の環境場の特徴と相互作用

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