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Time Value of Money
Money has a time value. It can be expressed in
multiple ways:
A dollar today held in savings will grow.
A dollar received in a year is not worth as much as a dollar
received today.
FV = Initial investment (1 ) Compound ´ + r Simple ´ + r ´t
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Future Values
Future Value: Amount to which an investment will grow
after earning interest.
Let r = annual interest rate
Let t = # of years
Simple Interest Compound Interest
FV = Initial investment (1 )t
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Simple Interest: Example
Interest earned at a rate of 7% for five years on a
principal balance of $100.
Example - Simple Interest
Today Future Years
1 2 3 4 5
Interest Earned
Value 100
7
107
7
114
7
121
Value at the end of Year 5: $135
7
128
7
135
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Compound Interest: Example
Interest earned at a rate of 7% for five years on the
previous year’s balance.
Example - Compound Interest
Today Future Years
1 2 3 4 5
Interest Earned
Value 100
7
107
7.49
114.49
8.01
122.50
8.58
131.08
9.18
140.26
Value at the end of Year 5 = $140.26
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The Power of Compounding
Interest earned at a rate of 7% for the first forty years
on the $100 invested using simple and compound
interest.
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Present Value
Discount Rate:
Discount Factor:
Present Value:
1
(1 r )t DF + =
1
(1 r )t PV FV + = ´
Recall: t = number of years
r
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Present Value: Example
Always ahead of the game, Tommy, at 8 years old, believes
he will need $100,000 to pay for college. If he can invest at a
rate of 7% per year, how much money should he ask his rich
Uncle GQ to give him?
FV =$100,000 t =10 yrs r =7%
PV = FV
´ 1 = $100,000 ´ 1
»
$50,835
(1 +
r
)t (1.07)
10
Note: Ignore inflation/taxes
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Time Value of Money
(applications)
The PV formula has many applications. Given
any variables in the equation, you can solve for
the remaining variable.
1
(1 r )t PV FV + = ´
Present Values: Changing Discount Rates
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The present value of $100 to be received in 1 to 20 years at varying discount rates:
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Discount Rates
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Number of Years
PV of $100
0%
5%
10%
15%
Denote
C
C
C
:
The cash flow in year 1
The cash flow in year 2
The cash flow in year t (with any number of cash flows in between) t
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PV of Multiple Cash Flows
The present value of multiple cash flows can be calculated:
1 2
.... t
(1 )1 (1 )2 (1 ) t
C C C
r r r PV + + + = + + +
1
2
=
=
=
Recall: r = the discount rate
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Multiple Cash Flows: Example
Your auto dealer gives you the choice to pay $15,500 cash now or
make three payments: $8,000 now and $4,000 at the end of the
following two years. If your cost of money (discount rate) is 8%, which
do you prefer?
Initial Payment* 8,000.00
PV of C
PV of C
= =
= =
1 (1 .08)
1
4,000
2
+
4,000
2 (1 .08)
3,703.70
3,429.36
+
=
Total PV $15,133.06
* The initial payment occurs immediately and therefore would not be discounted.
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Perpetuities
Let C = Yearly Cash Payment
PV of Perpetuity:
Cr
PV =
What are they?
Recall: r = the discount rate
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Perpetuities: Example
In order to create an endowment, which pays $185,000 per year
forever, how much money must be set aside today if the rate of
interest is 8%?
PV = 185,000
= $2,312,500
.08 What if the first payment won’t be received until 3 years from
today?
PV = 2,312,500
=
$1,982,596 (1 + .08) 2
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Annuities
What are they?
Annuities are equally-spaced, level streams of cash flows lasting
for a limited period of time.
Why are they useful?
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Present Value of an Annuity
Let:
C = yearly cash payment
r = interest rate
t = number of years cash payment is received
= ´ é - ù ë û
1 1
r r (1 r)t PV C ´ +
The terms within the brackets are
collectively called the “annuity factor.”
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Annuities: Example
You are purchasing a home and are scheduled to make 30
annual installments of $10,000 per year. Given an interest
rate of 5%, what is the price you are paying for the house
(i.e. what is the present value)?
= é ù ë - 30
û
=
1 1
.05 .05(1 .05) $10,000
$153,724.51
PV
PV
+
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Future Value of Annuities:
Example
You plan to save $4,000 every year for 20 years and then retire.
Given a 10% rate of interest, how much will you have saved by
the time you retire?
= é - ù´ + ë û
=
$4,000 1 1 (1 .10)
20
.10 .10(1 .10) 20
$229,100
FV
FV
+
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Annuity Due
What is it?
How does it differ from an ordinary annuity?
(1 ) AnnuityDue Annuity PV = PV ´ + r
How does the future value differ from an ordinary annuity?
(1 ) AnnuityDue FV = FVAnnuity ´ + r
Recall: r = the discount rate
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Annuities Due: Example
FV FV (1 r) AD Annuity = ´ +
Example: Suppose you invest $429.59 annually at the
beginning of each year at 10% interest. After 50 years,
how much would your investment be worth?
FV = FV ´ +
r
AD Annuity
= ´
($500,000) (1.10)
$550,000
(1 )
=
AD
AD
FV
FV
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Interest Rates: EAR & APR
What is EAR?
What is APR?
How do they differ?
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EAR and APR: Example
Given a monthly rate of 1%, what is the Effective Annual
Rate(EAR)? What is the Annual Percentage Rate (APR)?
(1.01)12 1 12.68%
= ´ =
= - =
(0.01) (12) 12.00%
EAR
APR
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Inflation
What is it?
What determines inflation rates?
What is deflation?
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Inflation and Real Interest
1+nominal interest rate
Exact calculation:
1 + real interest rate= 1+inflation rate
Approximation: Real interest rate » nominal interest rate - inflation rate
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Inflation: Example
If the nominal interest rate on your interest-bearing savings
account is 2.0% and the inflation rate is 3.0%, what is the
real interest rate?
1+.02
+
+
1 real interest rate= 1+.03
1 real interest rate= 0.9903
real interest rate = -.0097 or -.97%
Approximation = .02-.03 = - .01 = -
1%
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Appendix A: Inflation
Annual U.S. Inflation Rates from 1900 - 2010
Notas do Editor
Chapter 5 Learning Objectives
1. Calculate the future value to which money invested at a given interest rate will grow.
2. Calculate the present value of a future payment.
3. Calculate present and future values of a series of cash payments.
4. Find the interest rate implied by present and future values.
5. Compare interest rates quoted over different time intervals—for example, monthly versus annual rates.
6. Understand the difference between real and nominal cash flows and between real and nominal interest rates.
Chapter 5 Outline
Interest and Future Value
Future Value
Interest: Simple vs. Compound
Present Value
Discount Rates and Present Values
Multiple Cash Flows
Level Cash Flows: Perpetuities and Annuities
Annuities Due
Effective Annual Interest Rates
Inflation and the Time Value of Money
Basic idea of this chapter: Money has a time value and it can be expressed by interest rates.
Future Value - Amount to which an investment will grow after earning interest.
Compound Interest - Interest earned on interest.
Simple Interest - Interest earned only on the original investment.
Future Value - Amount to which an investment will grow after earning interest.
Simple Interest - Interest earned only on the original investment.
Future Value - Amount to which an investment will grow after earning interest.
Compound Interest - Interest earned on interest.
Present Value – Value today of a future cash flow
Discount Rate – Interest rate used to compute present values of future cash flows
Discount Factor – Present value of a $1 future payment
Present Value – Value today of a future cash flow
Note: The present value of an entire investment can be computed by summing the present values of each individual cash flow.
The total present value of the financed transaction is $15,133.06. Therefore you would save money should you choose to make payments instead of paying it all up front in cash.
Perpetuity – A stream of level cash payments that never ends.
Annuity – Equally spaced level stream of cash flows lasting for a limited period of time
Annuity – Equally spaced level stream of cash flows lasting for a limited period of time
Annuity Factor - The present value of $1 paid every year for each of t years.
Annuity Due: Level stream of cash flows starting immediately.
Annuity Due: Level stream of cash flows starting immediately.
Effective annual interest rate: - Interest rate that is annualized using compound interest.
Annual percentage rate: Interest rate that is annualized using simple interest.
Effective annual interest rate: - Interest rate that is annualized using compound interest.
Annual percentage rate: Interest rate that is annualized using simple interest.
Inflation: The rate at which prices as a whole are increasing.
Inflation: The rate at which prices as a whole are increasing.
Nominal interest rate: The rate at which money invested grows.
Real interest rate: The rate at which the purchasing power of an investment increases.