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Role / Persona Modes & Mode Chains Planners needing to create new forecasts based on previous forecasts and newly identified causal factors will follow the Comparison-driven Synthesis chain (Analyze-Compare-Synthesize): this involves analyzing their previous forecasts and comparing them to accuracy baselines and the expected impact of known causal and correlating factors such as seasonal events or weather, then creating (synthesizing) new forecasts that Planner / Analyst reflect insights realized from these activities. Comparative Analyze Compare Synthesize Synthesis Planners working to improve forecasting accuracy will follow the Strategic Insight chain (Analyze – Comprehend – Evaluate), when they review previous forecasts to understand their accuracy and identify possible sources of error: analyzing cumulative and historical accuracy and error rates to understand the factors affecting those forecasts, then evaluating the relevance and usefulness of newly identified causal factors by retrospectively including them in previous forecasts. Strategic Analyze Comprehend Evaluate Insight Planning Managers will follow the Strategic Oversight chain (Monitor – Analyze – Evaluate) when assessing the performance of Planners: monitoring the accuracy of forecasts made by individual analysts and the team, analyzing forecasts for patterns and trends in variance and accuracy, and evaluating the effectiveness of analysts, and forecasting methods. Planning Manager Strategic Monitor Analyze Evaluate Oversight

Publicada em: Tecnologia, Educação

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