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Australian cattle industry projections  mid year update Tim McRae – Economist, International Markets and Economic Services 10th August 2009
A tumultuous past 12 months ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Changes from January projections ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic growth, 2009 a shocker…but things to improve
A$ plummets…but then bounces back
Returns* from co-products fall Potential return
But producers have seen a fall in costs
Australian saleyard cattle prices have improved in the past 3 months - EYCI
Lower costs boost farm cash incomes
Not a bad past 12 months…especially in northern Australia
Good past 3 months…but much more needed in southern Australia
Australian cattle herd to expand towards  30 million head
Record proportion of female cattle to underpin herd growth
Australian herd continues to move north
Australian cattle turnoff to recover in 2010
Australian beef and veal production to steadily rise
Australian cattle on feed numbers to slowly recover
Beef exports to expand from 2010 onwards
Australian beef exports to Japan to increase 3% in 2010
Export prices to Japan fail to benefit from lower A$ in first half of 2009
Grainfed exports and prices to Japan
Australian beef exports to Korea to face increase competition
US to increase Korea presence in 2010
Australian beef exports to US to recover 13% in 2010
US cattle herd declining, with production falling
Australian exports to Indonesia a highlight…
Restrained exports to Russia … 2008 was “out of the box”
Australian beef exports to China and Hong Kong to record levels
Australian beef exports to Middle East to consolidate growth
Australian beef consumption to decline
Australian live cattle export to register steady growth
Indonesia will continue to underpin cattle shipments
Beef and cattle industry overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Meat & Livestock Australia - Cattle Projections_100809