The latest 5G market trends by Ericsson. A presentation that was delivered to the postgraduate students of the M.Sc. course on Digital culture, IoT and smart cities of the University of Piraeus in Greece on July 14, 2020.
5G: made for innovation - presentation for University of Piraeus Msc students
1. 5G:
Made for innovation
Ericsson for University of Piraeus
Program for Master of Science in Digital Culture,
Smart Cities, IoT & Advanced Digital Technologies
14.07.2020Maria Boura
Director, Government & Industry
Relations & Innovation
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Agenda
— Market trends
— What is 5G?
— 5G use cases: industries & consumers
— 5G in Greece
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5Gisalreadyhere:84operators-36countries
Source:GSA July 2020,
databy endofJune2020
• 84 operators in 36
countries have
commercially launched
one or more 3GPP
compliant 5G services.
• 388 operators globally are
investing in 5G networks
in the form of tests, trials,
pilots, planned and actual
deployments.
• 317 announced devices
(excluding prototypes)
from 86 manufacturers –
135 devices
commercially available.
• 16 announced form
factors.
17.73 million 5G subscriptions in 2019
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2.8b5G subscriptions in 2025
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report, June 2020
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5xincrease of total mobile data traffic by 2025
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report, June 2020
45%
X5
2G/3G/4G Traffic
5G Traffic
2019 2025
164 EB/m
33 EB/m
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5.2 bCellular IoT connections by 2025 (3.5x)
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report, June 2020
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Agenda
−Market trends
−What is 5G?
−5G use cases: industries & consumers
−5G in Greece
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Whatis5G?Whatis5G?
https://youtu.be/wgqEhALXJAc
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4th industrialrevolution–poweredby5G
LOW COST, LOW ENERGY
SMALL DATA VOLUMES
MASSIVE NUMBERS
Massive IoT
SMART
AGRICULTURE
SMART
METER
SMART
LOGISTICS
SMART
CITIES
FLEET
MANAGEMENT
ULTRA RELIABLE
VERY LOW LATENCY
VERY HIGH AVAILABILITY
TRAFFIC
SAFETY &
CONTROL
REMOTE
MANUFACTURING
INDUSTRIAL
APPLICATION &
CONTROL
Critical IoT
SMART
GRID
REMOTE
SURGERY
AUTONOMOUS
CAR (AD)CONNECTED
CAR
HOME
ENTERPRISE VR/AR
Enhanced MBB
MORE CAPACITY, HIGHER SPEED, LOWER LATENCY
3D CAMERA/4K
SCREEN
SMARTPHONES
10X
Battery Life
10-100X
Connected Devices
5X
Lower Latency
10-100X
End-user Data Rates
1000X
Mobile Data Volumes
Fixed Wireless Access
FIBER SUBSTITUTE
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5G is a critical national infrastructure
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Agenda
−Market trends
−What is 5G?
−5G use cases: industries & consumers
−5G in Greece
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97 commercial 5G agreements
Ericsson first with commercial 5G live
networks in 5 continents
South East Asia,
Oceania & India
-------------------
Optus
Telstra
True
45
Live
Live
networks
*As of July 2020
Live
Middle East & Africa
-----------------------
Batelco
Etisalat
Mobily
MTN
Ooredoo
STC
Telma
Zain
Live
North America
----------------
AT&T
GCI
Rogers
T-Mobile
US Cellular
Verizon
Live
Europe
----------------------------------------------
DiGi Romania
Elisa
Eir
Magyar Telekom
O2 UK
Orange Romania
Polkomtel
Swisscom
Live
Telenor Norway
Telia Norway
Telia Sweden
TIM Italy
Vodafone Germany
Vodafone Ireland
Vodafone Spain
Vodafone UK
VodafoneZiggo
North East Asia
-------------------------------------
China Mobile
China Telecom
China Unicom
Chunghwa Telecom
Far EasTone
KDDI
KT
LGU+
SK Telecom
SmarTone
SoftBank
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Ericssondriving5G–usecaseexamples
June 2020
Industry 4.0 Mine of the Future
Remote Control
Robotics
Future
Transport Solutions
Smart Manufacturing
Agriculture
Coordinated
Industry
Communication
Industrial Internet
Connected Port
Connected Energy
Agriculture
Internet of Skills
20+ industry partners
45+ university and institute collaborations
97 commercial operator agreements
14. 2019-02-08 | | Page 14
1 year 4 years 1 year 3 years1 year 3 years 1 to 2 years1.5 years 4 years 1 year 3 years
EntertainmentAutomotive Gaming and VR eMBB Smart home (FWA)
Shopping &
Immersive Communication
Willingness
to pay
Lowest (47%) Highest (79%)
50%Consumers’Interest80%
Base: Smartphone users aged 15-65 in 22 markets
Source: Ericsson Consumer & IndustryLab, 5G Consumer Potential, 2019
Timeline to go mainstream from 5G launch
3D hologram
calling
Diorama
5G
augmented
events VR cloud
gaming
5G hot
zones
5G in car
entertainment
Virtual tactile
shopping
See through
cars with 5G
VR passenger
entertainment
5G facial recognition
payment
Sensor
enhanced
entertainment
5G TV
Home sensor
service
AR maps
AR/VR
Learning
AR window
Health
wearable
Autonomous
cars
AR windshield
VR cinema
Low latency
cloud gaming
Best seat event
experience
Gigabytes
in seconds
Connected
robot Drone
delivery
Real time
translations
5G early alarm
system
FWA
Multiplayer
AR gamingArbitrary
viewpoint video
4K 360 degree
action cam
Consumerinterestinimmersive5Gusecases
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5hQpRbHERg
5GlaunchbySKTinSouthKorea
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Internetofsenses–delivering
experiencesinsteadofdataplans
https://www.ericsson.com/en/reports-and-papers/consumerlab/reports/10-hot-consumer-trends-2030
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Consumersexpectsensationalservices
Consumers predict that, by 2030, internet services
will encompass all of our senses. Digital sound and
vision will be complemented by touch, taste, smell
and more.
43%
Visiting any place or
time period could be
possible – 43 percent
desire digital holidays
that involve all senses.
45%
Online shopping will
be a sensory
experience; 45
percent want a
full-sense digital
shopping mall.
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— Sou
10HotConsumerTrends2030
01. Yourbrain is theuserinterface
Fifty-ninepercent ofconsumersbelieve thatwe will be
ableto seemaprouteson AR glassesby simplythinking
of a destination.
Welcome to the internet of the senses.
02. Soundslikeme
Usinga microphone,67 percentbelievethey willbe able
to takeon anyone’svoicerealisticallyenoughto fooleven
familymembers.
03. Any flavoryouwant
Forty-fourpercentpredicta devicefor your mouth that
digitallyenhancesanythingyou eat,sothatany food
can tastelikeyour favoritetreat.
04. Digitalaroma
Around 6 in 10 expectto be ableto digitallyvisitforests
or the countryside,includingexperiencingall thenatural
smellsof thoseplaces.
05. Totaltouch
More than6 in 10 expectsmartphoneswith screensthat
conveythe shapeandtextureof thedigital icons and
buttons they’repressing.
06. Mergedreality
VR gameworlds arepredictedby 7 in 10 to be
indistinguishablefromphysicalrealityby 2030.
07. Verifiedas real
“Fakenews”could be finished– halfof respondents
say newsreportingservicesthatfeatureextensive
fact checks willbe popularby 2030.
08. Post-privacyconsumers
Halfof respondents are“post-privacyconsumers” –
they expectprivacyissuesto be fully resolvedso they
can safelyreapthe benefitsof a data-driven world.
09. Connectedsustainability
Internetof senses-basedserviceswillmakesociety
moreenvironmentallysustainable,accordingto 6 in 10.
10. Sensationalservices
Forty-fivepercentof consumersanticipate digitalmalls
allowingthemto use allfivesenseswhen shopping.
Source: 10 hot consumer trends 2030, Ericsson ConsumerLa
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Agenda
−Market trends
−What is 5G?
−5G use cases: industries & consumers
−5G in Greece
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USandAsialeadingthe5Grace
Europefollowswithdelay–Greeceisalaggard
Sources: Arthur D. Little, The race to 5G,
InCites, Europe 5G Readiness Index
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Ericsson,morethan40YearsinGreece
Globalexperiencesandlocalcompetences
28%
women
400R&D engineers
through local
partner
Selected Ericsson firsts in Greece:
1
1993: 1st mobile call in the country
2003: 1st Managed Services contract in Telecoms
2007-9: First 13 Smart Cities (Trikala one of them)
2008: 1st end-to-end IPTV solution to a fixed network
operator globally
2012: 1st Evolved Packed Core Network
2015: 1st 500mbps LTE Advanced demo
2017: 1st commercial launch of Voice over LTE and
Voice over Wi-Fi
2017: 1st industrial IoT use cases demo on the way to
5G – smart logistics
2018: 1st 5G enabled hologram-based concert in South
East Europe
2018: 1st 5G outdoor use cases, Zografou – internet of
skills, hologram calling (>12Gbps throughput;
1/10 network latency)
2019: Cloud robotics over 5G
Established
1979
200
employees
January 2020
Our customers
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EricssoninGreeceonthewayto5G
2017 2018
2019
Smart logistics
URLLC demo
The 1st holographic call
The 1st 5G enabled hologram-based concert in South East
Europe
Remote surgery
Cloud robotics – Tower of Hanoi
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AtEricssonwehaveafewideasfor5GinGreece
Illustrative example
Agro &
Livestock
management
Industry 4.0
(e.g. predictive
management,
robotics)
• Predictive
maintenance
• Load balancing
• Field operations
Immersive tourism,
entertainment &
cultural experience
Fishery management
• Hazard detection
• Public safety/
emergency response
• Smart surveillance
• Advanced logistics
• Immersive retail
Advanced mining
operations
(eg. remote
operations, robotics)
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Ambitiouspublicpoliciesandadequateregulatoryframeworkkeyto
unlockaround$5bin2030inGreece
Source:Arthur D.Littleanalysis, Analysys Mason. Note numbers donotadd updue torounding
5G addressable revenue per Industry and Use Case (2030, $US)
21%
18%
14%
12%
10%
9%
6%
Agriculture
Public
Safety
Healthcare
Media &
Entertainment
2%
Manufacturing
4%
Energy &
Utilities
4%
Automotive
Financial
Services
Public
Transport
Retail
16%
16%
13%
10%
10%
8%
6%
5%
RT Automation
4%
Autonomous
Robotics
Connected
Vehicle
Enhanced
Video
Hazard & Mnt. sensing
Smart
Surveillance
11%
Monitoring & Tracking
Remote
Operations
AR/VR
Other
$5 b $5 b
5G spectrum assignment
& clear roadmap
Remove deployment
barriers
Adopt policies for quick
build-out and uptake
Establish a favorable
regulatory environment
Key policy enablers
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5G: a race
Greece must win!
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Assembly Line
Moves semi-finished product items from
workstation to workstation till completion
Challenges:
▪ Gap between available & needed skills
▪ Multi-model production on single line
▪ Time consuming quality testing
Operations Center
Acts as a central hub, responsible for day to day
operational activities in the plant
Challenges:
▪ No Real-time and predictive capabilities
▪ Lack of integrated plant view (Digital Twin)
▪ Lack of real time remote support
Supply Management (tracking & logisitics)
Raw material and product component items are
delivered by vendors
Challenges:
▪ No Real-time tracking of inter-plant logistics
▪ Manual barcode scanning leading to time
▪ Inefficient inspection and QA
Inventory Management
Plant warehouse for just in time inventory,
spare parts & manufactured products
Challenges:
▪ No accurate & real-time inventory visibility
▪ Time consuming sorting & packing activity
▪ Misplaced goods leading to extra time
AGV monitoring & management
Forklifts or AGVs used for in material handling &
drones used for plant inspection
Challenges:
▪ Manual/In-efficient plant monitoring
▪ Prone to collisions and breakdown
▪ Poor route optimization
Collaborative Robots & Tools
Robots & tools for automated/manual
assembling the goods and items
Challenges:
▪ Maintenance problem and frequent
breakdowns
▪ Robots can perform customization
▪ Poor tool utilization, misplaced tools
Bins and Containers
Bins are used to store the small components
such bolts, nuts, screws, etc.
Challenges:
▪ No or low tracking for bins
▪ No automated process for bins refilling
▪ Lack of integration with JIT production
Source: Smartfactorylogistics, Ericsson Analysis
SmartManufacturing–Usecases
Automated Guided
Vehicles
Robots performing
various tasks
Environment stat
monitoring
Remote controlling of
autonomousvehicles
Real-time location of
assets & equipment
Positioning
Drone for exploration &
stock inspection
Tracking of items
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A graphical representation showcasing the mining process flow highlights and key challenges
Mining & Crushing
Cut through the rock and break larger rocks
down to a size suitable for transport
Challenges:
▪ Hazardous zones where workers cannot
reach
▪ No info of worker health, prone to accidents
▪ Environment compliance issues
Transportation
Carts are used to transports the ore and waste
rock through tunnels
Challenges:
▪ No position or movement tracking of carts
▪ Prone to collisions and breakdown
Operations Center
Control the operations of the mine, work force
management, emergency response.
Challenges:
▪ Mines lag in digital adoption & maturity
▪ Meaningful Interpretation of collected data
Underground Mining
Underground mining is carried out
when the ores, or precious stones
are located at a distance far
beneath the ground to be
extracted with surface mining
Open-Pit Mining
Open-pit mining is a surface
mining technique of extracting
rock or minerals from the earth
by their removal from an open
pit or borrow
Source: Rtlservice.com, Ericsson Analysis
Preventive maintenance
of vehicles
Locate exact
location in case of
accident
Hazardous zones
breach alert
Environment stat
monitoring
Broadcast of
emergency messages
Proximity detection and
collision avoidance
Digital voice
communication
Real-time location of
assets & equipment
Remote controlling of
autonomousvehicles
Drone for exploration &
stock inspection
Pyro incident
prevention
Worker Health stat
monitoring
Monitor quantity of
trolleys
MiningUsecases
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Portusecases
Precise real time assets
localization Vehicle mounted Terminals
(VMT on trucks & cranes)
Video SurveillanceGroup Communication
Automated Checkpoint System
AGV: Automated Guided
Vehicles
35. ●ICNIRP recognized by WHO
●ICNIRP exposure guidelines are science-based and
include wide safety margins
●Adopted in many countries and applicable for all
radio equipment (also 5G)
●Established health effects related to heating
InternationalEMFexposurelimits
International Commission on Non-Ionizing Radiation Protection
(ICNIRP) is the major organization specifying RF exposure limits
36. WHOconclusionon
mobilephones
“A large number of studies have
been performed over the last two
decades to assess whether mobile
phones pose a potential health risk.
To date, no adverse health effects
have been established as being
caused by mobile phone use”
[Fact Sheet 193]
37. WHOconclusionon
basestations
“Considering the very low exposure
levels and research results collected
to date, there is no convincing
scientific evidence that the weak RF
signals from base stations and
wireless networks cause adverse
health effects.”
[Fact Sheet 304]
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Whatgovernmentalauthoritiessayabout5Gsafety
● “The strict and safe exposure limits for electromagnetic fields recommended at EU level apply for all
frequency bands currently envisaged for 5G” European Commission
● “Therefore, following all the existing recommendations, the deployment of 5G networks will not have
a negative effect on people’s health" European Commission
● “Contrary to some claims, there are no established health effects from the radio waves that the 5G
network uses” ARPANSA (Australia)
● “The current Canadian limits already cover the frequency ranges that will be used by 5G devices and
antenna installations” Government of Canada
● “The ICNIRP guidelines apply to frequencies up to 300 GHz and cover exposures arising from new
5G base stations as well as older technologies” Public Health England
● “With the knowledge we have today, there is no need to worry that 5G is hazardous to health”
DSA (Norway, in Norwegian)
● "The radiation safety of the 5G mobile network, as in previous networks (2G, 3G, 4G) is ensured by
the radiation legislation” STUK (Finland, in Finnish/Swedish)
● “Based on today´s knowledge of radio frequency electromagnetic fields, researchers do not see that 5G and
the specific frequencies used would pose a health risk”. The Public Health Agency of Sweden (in Swedish)
● “The currently available scientific evidence makes it extremely unlikely that there will be any adverse
effects on human or environmental health.” The Government of New Zealand
● “No health effects have been proven at levels below the ICNIRP guidelines for members of the public, as such no
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WHO:5GmobilenetworksDONOTspreadCOVID-19
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public/myth-busters
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FactsaboutRFelectromagneticexposurefrom5G
4. 5G uses advanced antennas and beamforming to improve
performance while keeping average EMF levels similar to
those of current networks , i.e. well below international limits.
3. 5G devices and base stations need to meet the same EMF
safety requirements as current equipment.
2. 5G frequency bands (< 1 GHz, 1-6 GHz, > 6 GHz) are covered
by current EMF safety standards and limits.
1. 5G uses radio waves (RF EMF) for communication like
previous generations of mobile networks, radio broadcast and
television.