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THE EUROPEAN
    ENVIRONMENT
	        STATE AND OUTLOOK 2010

    CONSUMPTION AND THE ENVIRONMENT
What is the SOER 2010?

The European environment — state and outlook 2010 (SOER 2010) is aimed primarily at policymakers,
in Europe and beyond, involved with framing and implementing policies that could support environmental
improvements in Europe. The information also helps European citizens to better understand, care for and
improve Europe's environment.

The SOER 2010 'umbrella' includes four key assessments:
1.	 a set of 13 Europe‑wide thematic assessments of key environmental themes;
2.	 an exploratory assessment of global megatrends relevant for the European environment;
3.	 a set of 38 country assessments of the environment in individual European countries;
4.	 a synthesis — an integrated assessment based on the above assessments and other EEA activities.



SOER 2010 assessments

          Thematic                                               Country
        assessments                                            assessments

 Understanding                 SOER 2010                  Country profiles
 climate change               — Synthesis —
 Mitigating                                               National and
 climate change                                           regional stories

 Adapting to                                              Common
 climate change                                           environmental themes

                                                          Climate change
 Biodiversity
                                                          mitigation

 Land use                                                 Land use

                                                          Nature protection
 Soil
                                                          and biodiversity

 Marine and
                                                          Waste
 coastal environment

 Consumption                    Assessment of
                                                          Freshwater
 and environment              global megatrends

 Material resources          Social
                                                          Air pollution
 and waste                   megatrends

 Water resources:            Technological                Each of the above
 quantity and flows          megatrends                   are assessed by
                                                          each EEA member
                             Economic                     country (32) and
 Freshwater quality
                             megatrends                   EEA cooperating
                                                          country (6)
                             Environmental
 Air pollution
                             megatrends

 Urban environment           Political
                             megatrends


All SOER 2010 outputs are available on the SOER 2010 website: www.eea.europa.eu/soer. The website
also provides key facts and messages, summaries in non‑technical language and audio‑visuals, as well as
media, launch and event information.
THE EUROPEAN
    ENVIRONMENT
	        STATE AND OUTLOOK 2010

    CONSUMPTION AND THE ENVIRONMENT
Cover design: EEA/Rosendahl-Schultz Grafisk
Layout: EEA/Pia Schmidt




Copyright notice
© EEA, Copenhagen, 2010
Reproduction is authorised, provided the source is acknowledged, save where otherwise stated.

Information about the European Union is available on the Internet. It can be accessed through the Europa
server (www.europa.eu).

Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2010

ISBN 978-92-9213-154-8
doi:10.2800/58407




Acknowledgements

This assessment was prepared by a team of Lars Fogh      ETC/SCP (Carolin Baedeker, WI; Ioannis Bakas,
Mortensen and Almut Reichel (both EEA); David            CRI; José Acosta Fernandez, WI; Sandra Kolberg,
Watson, Mikkel Stenbæk Hansen and Kate Power             WI; Andrius Plepys, IIIEE; Jozsef Szlezak, REC;
(all ETC/SCP lead partner CRI).                          Jola Welfens, WI; Carol Wilson, EA; Dominic Wittmer,
                                                         WI).
Many inputs were received from other staff at the
EEA (Mikael Skou Andersen, Anca-Diana Barbu,             We would like to thank the numerous experts from the
Birgit Georgi, Dorota Jarosinska, Peder Jensen,          EEA member countries, the European Commission, and
Jock Martin, Peter Kristensen, Jan-Erik Petersen,        the EEA's Scientific Committee who provided valuable
Stefan Speck, Ronan Uhel, Gerald Vollmer) and            comments during the consultation process.




European Environment Agency
Kongens Nytorv 6
1050 Copenhagen K
Denmark
Tel.: +45 33 36 71 00
Fax: +45 33 36 71 99
Web: eea.europa.eu
Enquiries: eea.europa.eu/enquiries
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




Consumption and the environment



Summary �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 4
       �
1	   Introduction ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 6
                   �
1.1	 Why do we need to address consumption?.             ...................................................................... 6
1.2	 The policy challenge: some first reflections...................................................................... 7
2	     Consumption patterns in Europe and their worldwide environmental
	      pressures and impacts���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 9
2.1	   Trends in consumption expenditure. ............................................................................... 9
                                             .
2.2	   Current European consumption patterns have high environmental impacts. ......................... 9
                                                                                                   .
2.3	   The unseen trade in environmental pressures................................................................ 11
                                                           .
2.4	   Environmental pressures caused by different consumption categories. .............................. 12
                                                                                            .
2.5	   Low-pressure households — a good example of more environmentally
	      sustainable consumption?. .......................................................................................... 17
                                .
3	     Understanding what shapes current and potential future consumption������������������ 18
3.1	   Economic influences on consumption............................................................................ 18
3.2	   Demographic influences on consumption....................................................................... 19
3.3	   Technology and innovation as drivers of consumption.             ..................................................... 20
3.4	   Urbanisation and the role of infrastructure..................................................................... 21
3.5	   Social and cultural influences on consumption behaviour................................................. 21
3.6	   Types of consumers.................................................................................................... 22
4	     Food and drink�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 24
4.1	   Trends in consumption................................................................................................ 24
4.2	   Life-cycle environmental impacts of food and drink......................................................... 24
4.3	   Food and drink outlooks and scenarios.......................................................................... 27
4.4	   Responses . ............................................................................................................... 28
5	     Housing ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 30
                 �
5.1	   Trends in consumption................................................................................................ 30
5.2	   Life-cycle environmental impacts of housing.................................................................. 32
5.3	   Housing outlooks and scenarios. .................................................................................. 33
                                               .
5.4	   Responses . ............................................................................................................... 33
6	     Mobility ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 36
6.1	   Trends in mobility demand and modal split.................................................................... 36
6.2	   Life‑cycle environmental impacts of mobility.................................................................. 37
6.3	   Mobility outlooks and scenarios.................................................................................... 39
6.4	   Responses. ............................................................................................................... 39
                   .
7	     Tourism ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 41
                 �
7.1	   Trends in consumption................................................................................................ 41
7.2	   Life‑cycle environmental impacts of tourism. ................................................................. 41
                                                                .
7.3	   Tourism outlooks and scenarios.         ................................................................................... 42
7.4	   Responses . ............................................................................................................... 43
8	     Concluding reflections: consumption, environmental priorities and policies����������� 45
8.1	   Consumption and current environmental policies............................................................ 45
8.2	   Consumption and management of natural capital and ecosystem services.            ......................... 46
8.3	   Consumption and integration of environmental considerations across policy domains. ......... 47 .
8.4	   The role of consumption in greening the economy.......................................................... 47
8.5	   The triangle of change — the role of different actors on the road to greening the economy..... 49
References���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 51




                                                                   The European environment | State and outlook 2010                      3
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




    Summary




        The consumption of goods and services in EEA member countries is a major driver of global
        resource use — and associated environmental impacts. Growth in global trade is resulting in an
        increasing share of environmental pressures and impacts from European consumption taking place
        beyond Europe. Food and drink, housing, mobility and tourism are responsible for a large part
        of the pressures and impacts caused by consumption in the EU. Achieving significant reductions
        in environmental pressures and impacts will require changing private and public consumption
        patterns, to supplement gains achieved through better technology and improved production
        processes.




    Drivers and pressures                                            caused by total national consumption can be allocated
                                                                     to eating and drinking, housing and infrastructure,
    Consumption is shaped by an array of complex,                    and mobility. These three broad consumption areas are
    interrelated factors such as demographics, income and            estimated to have contributed approximately two-thirds
    prices, technology, trade, policies and infrastructure,          of consumption-related material use, greenhouse gas
    as well as social, cultural and psychological factors.           emissions, acidifying emissions and ozone precursor
    Production activities across economic sectors, including         emissions.
    extractive industries, agriculture, energy, transport and
    manufacturing, are directly responsible for the majority         The reasons for these high shares are that food and drink,
    of the environmental impacts caused by the economy.              housing and mobility are the areas which Europeans
    However, it is private and public consumption that are           spend most on and at the same time the areas with the
    the fundamental causal factors and drivers of change in          highest pressures per euro spent. Tourism is a fourth area
    production activities.                                           causing high and growing environmental impacts, both
                                                                     within the EU and elsewhere.
    Consumption leads to the direct creation of environmental
    pressures from the use of products and services, for             A major reason why consumption negatively affects
    example, through driving a car or heating a house with           the environment and causes an over-use of resources is
    fossil fuels. Of greater magnitude, however, are the             because the costs to society of environmental and resource
    indirect pressures that are created along the production         degradation are not fully reflected in the prices of goods
    chains of the goods and services consumed, including, for        and services. Thus, many goods are relatively cheap
    example, food, clothing, furniture or electricity. Both direct   even though they cause major harm to the environment,
    and indirect pressures result in environmental impacts, in       ecosystems or human health.
    particular, global warming, biodiversity degradation, soil
    sealing and air and water pollution. Since an increasing
    share of the final and intermediate goods consumed in            The need for sophisticated policy
    Europe is imported, a growing proportion of impacts              packages
    caused by our consumption takes place in other parts
    of the world. The average environmental footprint (an            A culture of high and continuously growing levels of
    indicator of pressures from consumption) per person              consumption, generally associated with well-being and
    in EEA member countries is about double the available            success, has evolved in western European countries for
    biocapacity (an indicator of land which is biologically          decades, and EU-12 Member States and the western
    productive) of those countries.                                  Balkan countries are rapidly catching up.

    An EEA analysis of nine EU Member States (representing           Large differences in environmental pressures from
    268 million of the EU's total 501 million people) has            consumption, even between households with equal
    found that the majority of key environmental pressures           income levels, indicate a considerable potential for more



4   The European environment | State and outlook 2010
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




sustainable consumption patterns through shifting choices     regulatory and voluntary instruments, providing
towards more sustainable alternatives. Examples include:      sustainable infrastructure, technological support,
shifting from car use to collective transport, cycling and    consumer education and information, and green public
walking; and choosing high quality and eco-labelled           procurement (the purchase of goods, services and public
products and energy-efficient housing solutions. Secondly,    works by governments). A critical element of such policy
additional income could be channelled towards products        packages could be provided by ecological tax reform,
and services with relatively low environmental pressures      where the burden of taxation is shifted from labour to
such as communication, education and sustainable leisure      environmentally damaging activities.
activities.
                                                              The framework conditions should enable business and
Europe will be better equipped to achieve sustainable         consumers/citizens to act sustainably, and business and
consumption patterns by developing and implementing           citizens need to take action by adopting more sustainable
sophisticated policy packages. These would include            consumption and production patterns.




                                                             The European environment | State and outlook 2010            5
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




    1	 Introduction




        …the sheer weight of the combined aspirations and lifestyles of 500 million Europeans is just too great. Never mind
        the legitimate desires of many other billions on our planet to share those lifestyles .... We will need to change the
        behaviour of European consumers. To work on people's awareness, and to influence their habits.
        Janez Potočnik, European Commissioner for Environment (March 2010)


        …the major cause of the continued deterioration of the global environment is the unsustainable pattern of consumption
        and production...
        UN Agenda 21, Chapter 4 (1992)




    1.1	     Why do we need to address                                Although an increasing global population is a factor
             consumption?                                             in rising pressures, it is consumption and production
                                                                      patterns in developed countries, with developing
    Demand for natural resources worldwide has increased              countries catching up rapidly, that are the key drivers of
    tremendously over recent decades. The main drivers have           global environmental problems. This was recognised in
    been growth in population, wealth and consumption,                Agenda 21 in 1992 and again at the Johannesburg World
    with high population growth mainly in developing                  Summit on Sustainable Development in 2002, where
    countries and highest levels of wealth and consumption in         governments agreed a Plan of Implementation strongly
    developed countries.                                              focused on sustainable consumption and production
                                                                      (SCP) and a commitment to develop a 10-year framework
    This demand is causing major, irreversible impacts on             of programmes on SCP (UNCSD, 2002).
    global ecosystems and ecosystem services: 130 000 km2 of
    tropical rainforest are being cleared each year. In addition,     Consumption leads to direct environmental pressures
    since 1960 a third of the world's farmland has been               from the use of products and services, for example,
    abandoned, exhausted as a result of overexploitation and          through driving a car or heating a house with fossil fuels.
    soil degradation (EEA, 2010a).                                    Of greater interest and magnitude, however, are the
                                                                      indirect pressures created along the production chains
    Moreover, emissions and wastes emitted during the                 of goods and services, including, for example, food and
    processing and conversion of resources into goods and             other consumer goods, but also energy services. Since
    services have caused further damage to the natural                an increasing share of the final and intermediate goods
    environment and human health. Nitrogen pollution,                 consumed in Europe is imported, a growing proportion of
    ground-level ozone and particulate pollution are on the           impacts caused by our consumption takes place in other
    increase, as is the prevalence of synthetic chemicals in the      parts of the world.
    environment (EEA, 2010a), with negative impacts on the
    environment and health.                                           A consumption-based perspective for assessing and
                                                                      responding to environmental pressures highlights various
    If one isolates different activities in the economy, it is        leverage points for reducing them. Complementary
    production activities across sectors, such as mining,             actions to reduce environmental pressures throughout the
    agriculture, and manufacturing, that are directly                 life cycle from resource extraction and production through
    responsible for the majority of the environmental                 consumption to final use are shown in Figure 1.1.
    pressures caused by economic development. However,
    private and public consumption of goods and services              The uppermost set of actions — responses aimed directly
    is the fundamental causal factor and driver of change in          at improving production processes and technologies,
    production activities and the resulting flows of resources        and substituting environmentally-intensive material
    and wastes from and to the environment.                           and energy inputs with greener alternatives — have



6   The European environment | State and outlook 2010
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




Figure 1.1	          Complementary actions to reduce the environmental pressures along the life
                     cycle of products and services



                                                         Production
                                                   Improving the eco-efficiency
                                               of production of goods and services




                    End-of-life                                                               Products/services
            Improving the eco-efficiency                                                     Improving products
          of waste management including                                                 and services using eco-design
                reuse and recycling                                                          and other measures




                                                          Consumption
                                                   Reducing consumption levels
                                                   and/or changing consumption
                                                 patterns away from eco-intensive
                                                        goods and services




received most attention over recent decades. Such actions           The term consumption as used in this assessment covers
have resulted in clear reductions in the intensity of               private (household) and public (government) final
environmental pressures (emissions per unit of economic             consumption of goods and services and investments
output) from European industry. Some progress has also              in infrastructure (1), whether domestically produced or
been made in the end-of-life stage through improving                wholly or partially supplied through imports. In terms
waste management (see the SOER 2010 material resources              of value, private consumption was 2.6 times greater than
and waste assessment (EEA, 2010b)).                                 public consumption across the EU‑27 at the beginning
                                                                    of 2010 (Eurostat, 2010a, 2010b). The main focus in this
This assessment focuses on the two other stages in the life         assessment is accordingly on private consumption, with
cycle: products/services and consumption.                           public consumption addressed to a lesser extent.

Improved design can provide products with lower
impacts, including lower waste generation during their              1.2	       The policy challenge: some first
production, when they are in use and at the end of their                       reflections
useful lives. However, it is increasingly recognised that
environmental problems such as climate change cannot                There is a huge, largely unused potential for encouraging
be solved through technological improvements alone (see,            environmentally less intensive consumption patterns
inter alia, Swedish EPA, 2010).                                     by households. This is illustrated by a recent report that
                                                                    found that the annual greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
Actions influencing private and public consumption                  caused directly and indirectly by equal-income Swiss
are also necessary as these can have knock-on effects               households range from 5 to 17 tonnes of carbon dioxide
upstream, potentially reducing pressures created during             (CO2) per person, purely as a result of differing patterns
production. Such actions include those aimed specifically           of consumption (Girod and de Haan, 2009). Encouraging
at encouraging demand for less pressure-intensive                   greener procurement by government and business can
products but also actions aimed at encouraging broader              also pay significant environmental dividends and may be
lifestyle changes.                                                  more easily achievable than shifting private consumption



(1)	 More formally called 'fixed capital formation' and including investments in machinery, transport systems, sewage and water
     services etc.




                                                                   The European environment | State and outlook 2010              7
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




    patterns as it does not involve millions of citizens. Green    The Europe 2020 Strategy for Smart, Sustainable and
    procurement by government and business can also play an        Inclusive Growth includes a flagship initiative on
    exemplary role and encourage more widespread adoption          Resource-efficient Europe which aims to support the shift
    of sustainable purchasing amongst citizens.                    towards a resource-efficient and low-carbon economy
                                                                   (EC, 2010). Achieving this will require major technological
    The broad private consumption areas of housing, food           improvements, but also changes in consumption —
    and drink, and mobility are given special attention as         moving towards goods and services that are more
    they have been identified by a number of studies as being      resource-efficient.
    responsible for a large part of the pressures caused by
    consumption in the EU (JRC/IPTS, 2006; ETC/SCP, 2009).         This will not be easy. Environmentally harmful
    Although it overlaps with the other consumption areas,         consumption patterns are institutionalised, economically,
    tourism has also been identified as an important contributor   politically, technically and socially, and consequently
    to environmental pressures, especially water shortages,        seem normal and inevitable to most Europeans.
    land-use changes in vulnerable areas and consequently          They also help define the aspirations for public
    considerable impacts on biodiversity (Nijdam and Wilting,      spending and consumption by the growing consumer
    2003; EEA, 2009a,b; EEA, 2006), and GHG emissions from         class in developing countries, that could amount to
    air travel.                                                    1.2 billion people in 2030 (see EEA, 2010c).

    Changes in consumption behaviour are needed to                 The promotion of more sustainable consumption patterns
    complement technological improvements as targeting             in the future may be achieved most effectively through
    consumption can tackle issues that production- and             the development of sophisticated tailored policy packages
    technology-focussed policies cannot. Firstly, environmental    that provide a framework that enables consumers,
    gains made through technical efficiency are often partially    retailers and producers to act more sustainably. Such
    or wholly offset by resulting increases in consumption due     packages would include well-chosen mixtures of economic
    to lower costs of production and/or use and more money         incentives, provision of information to consumers through
    thereby becoming available for spending on other/more          awareness-raising, labelling and other means, investments
    goods and services — the so‑called rebound effect (Box 3.1;    in improved infrastructure, technology support, voluntary
    Hertwich, 2008). Secondly, global environmental pressures      agreements and where necessary regulation to achieve
    that take place overseas but are caused by European            objectives as effectively as possible.
    consumption are beyond the reach of current European
    production-related policies. The most direct way to reduce     In the following sections, the global environmental
    these pressures may therefore be to influence which types      pressures resulting from European consumption and
    of imported goods are being purchased.                         key individual consumption areas are assessed on the
                                                                   macro scale. The differing environmental profiles of
    The potential for reducing global environmental impacts        households and their underlying behavioural causes
    through influencing consumption is yet to be exploited.        are then reviewed to assess the potential for reducing
    The EU Sustainable Development Strategy (European              consumption-related environmental pressures.
    Council, 2006) has identified the promotion of sustainable
    consumption and production as one of seven key                 The complex nature of consumption and the underlying
    challenges and stipulated respective objectives and targets.   factors that shape it now and in the future are briefly
    More specifically, the EU Action Plan on Sustainable           investigated. The environmental pressures related to
    Consumption and Production and Sustainable Industrial          four areas of consumption with high environmental
    Policies (EC, 2008) includes elements that aim directly at     pressures — food, housing, mobility and tourism — and
    influencing consumer behaviour and promoting greener           the responses used to tackle them are examined. The final
    public procurement, but its main focus lies in cleaner and     section provides concluding reflections on consumption,
    leaner production and better products. The planned review      environmental priorities and the role various actors —
    of the Action Plan in 2012 may provide an opportunity to       public authorities, business, and citizens — can play to
    expand and strengthen the consumption elements.                achieve desired change.




8   The European environment | State and outlook 2010
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




2	 Consumption patterns in Europe and their
   worldwide environmental pressures and
   impacts


2.1	      Trends in consumption                                for measuring the global pressures caused by European
          expenditure                                          consumption are less mature and significantly more
                                                               uncertain, due in part to data scarcity in many of Europe's
Consumption, as used in this report, covers both               trading partners.
private and public consumption of goods and services
produced domestically and imported, and investments            Various methods for estimating global pressures caused
in infrastructure. Private consumption in Europe is            by European consumption are under development.
significantly higher than public consumption, ranging          These include the input-output analyses of single regions
from 2–3 times higher in the EU‑15 and EFTA (2)                or multiregional economic and environment accounts
countries to 4–6 times in Turkey and the Western Balkans       (for an overview, see Minx et al., 2009); methods using
(World Bank, 2009). However, public consumption                national inventory tables combined with life-cycle impact
remains an important element of national consumption,          data for key imported and exported goods; hybrids of
and is also arguably more directly responsive to               input‑output methods and life-cycle-analysis (LCA)
government policy.                                             process data; and resource accounting methods developed
                                                               to estimate national ecological, carbon, land and water
Average private consumption expenditure per person (3)         footprints. A description and evaluation of methods can
rose by 35 % in the EU‑27 between 1990 and 2007, with          be found in Lutter et al. (2008). The EEA is currently
the greatest growth, 75 %, in the 12 countries that have       implementing a simplified accounting method that
joined the EU since 2004 (EU‑12). Growth has also been         addresses, inter alia, the relationship between production
rapid in the West Balkans and Turkey, rising by 130 %          and consumption patterns and their impacts on
and 54 % respectively in the same period (World Bank,          ecosystems, both within and outside Europe (footprint).
2009). Nonetheless, private consumption expenditure            The Joint Research Centre (JRC) is also developing
in the EU‑15 and EFTA still exceeds expenditure in the         methods for estimating the impacts of European
other regions by a factor of 2–2.7.                            consumption using combinations of national inventory
                                                               and trade flow data as well as life-cycle inventories of
Private consumption in EEA member countries is                 representative imported and exported goods.
dominated by housing, transport and food and drink,
with the share of food and drink reducing as incomes           The Ecological Footprint (EF) is currently one of
increase. The fastest growing private consumption              the few consumption-based indicators that can be
categories in the EU are communication, recreation             benchmarked against sustainability thresholds. It has
and culture (Eurostat, 2009). Health and social services,      been methodologically criticised (Best et al., 2008; Van
education services, and public administration and              den Bergh and Verbruggen, 1999; Fiala, 2008; Lenzen and
defence services together consume nearly 90 % of public        Murray, 2001; Wiedmann and Lenzen, 2007) and is under
expenditure.                                                   a continuous process of improvement to strengthen some
                                                               methodological weaknesses such as its limited scope,
                                                               excluding key impacts such as toxicity, non‑renewable
2.2	      Current European consumption                         resource use, eutrophication and ecosystem degradation,
          patterns have high                                   and its lack of ability to allow for improvements in land
          environmental impacts                                productivity (Kitzes et al., 2009a; Kitzes et al., 2009b).
                                                               Nevertheless, the benchmarking option gives it a role
Many of the key environmental pressures created directly       in communicating over-consumption (Wiedmann
within Europe during the extraction of resources and           and Barrett, 2010) and for measuring environmental
the production and use of goods and services are closely       sustainability if used in combination with other
monitored and well documented, for example through the         indicators (Best et al., 2008). The EEA's simplified
collation of national emissions inventories. Methodologies     accounting method, focused on ecosystems, seeks to

(2)	 Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and Liechtenstein.
(3)	 Standardised in terms of purchasing power parity.




                                                              The European environment | State and outlook 2010              9
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




     Figure 2.1	            Development of ecological footprint and available biocapacity per capita in
                            EEA member countries

     Global hectares per person                                               Global hectares per person

     5                                                                        5




     4                                                                        4




     3                                                                        3




     2                                                                        2




     1                                                                        1




     0                                                                        0
                                                                             61

                                                                                   65


                                                                                           70


                                                                                                  75


                                                                                                         80


                                                                                                                85


                                                                                                                       90


                                                                                                                              95


                                                                                                                                      00


                                                                                                                                             05
      61

           65


                  70


                        75


                               80


                                     85


                                            90


                                                   95


                                                          00


                                                                05




                                                                            19

                                                                                  19


                                                                                         19


                                                                                                19


                                                                                                       19


                                                                                                              19


                                                                                                                      19


                                                                                                                             19


                                                                                                                                    20


                                                                                                                                           20
     19

          19


                19


                       19


                             19


                                    19


                                          19


                                                 19


                                                        20


                                                               20




                Ecological footprint (gha/per person)                                Carbon footprint (gha/per person)
                Biocapacity (gha/per person)                                         Food, fiber, timber and built footprint (gha/per person)

     Source:	   Global Footprint Network, 2009a.


     strengthen footprint calculations for Europe and make                   than double both the average global biocapacity of
     them more operational for EU environment and sectoral                   1.8 global ha/person and the available biocapacity
     policies, currently a major weakness of the EF work.                    within the territory of the EEA member countries of
                                                                             2.1 global ha/person.
     The EF translates a few of the global pressures caused
     directly and indirectly by a country's consumption into                 This suggests that current European consumption and
     direct and virtual land use worldwide (4). A nation or a                production patterns could not be transferred to the rest
     region's footprint can be benchmarked against the area of               of the world without overstretching global ecosystem
     land, or biocapacity available nationally and globally per              services. Moreover, Europe's footprint continues to rise
     person, giving a useful indication of the extent to which its           while the available biocapacity per person both in Europe
     consumption is environmentally sustainable (Wackernagel                 and globally is shrinking due to population growth and
     and Rees, 1996). The biocapacity of a given piece of land is            the degradation of ecosystems.
     a function of its physical area, a factor that takes account
     of the type of land cover, and a yield factor varying                   Economic growth in Europe and other OECD countries
     according to local conditions.                                          has brought significant social gains. However, these
                                                                             have come hand in hand with a high demand for natural
     The global average EF was estimated at 2.6 global ha per                resources. Under current development pathways no
     person in 2006 compared to an average available global                  country has so far managed to maintain sufficient levels of
     biocapacity of 1.8 global ha/person (Global Footprint                   human development while keeping resource consumption
     Network, 2009a). In other words we are already using                    within ecological limits (see Figure 2.2).
     more of the world's resources than can be renewed —
     termed global overshoot. Environmental degradation                      Achieving a high level of human development without
     due to over-use of natural resources is likely to lead to               exceeding ecological limits requires the development
     serious consequences for human well-being and health                    of alternative ways of providing for social, health and
     (Millenium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005; EEA, 2010).                      educational needs that are less resource-intensive and
                                                                             less environmentally damaging. It should be noted
     By 2006, the EF of the average resident of EEA member                   that well-being is not necessarily linked to material
     countries — 4.5 global ha/person — was already more                     wealth once basic needs are covered. In recognition of


     (4)	 This includes direct land use in the country for urban areas and roads, land used indirectly globally for the production of food, fiber,
          timber, energy consumed in the country, and finally 'virtual' land in the form of average forest that would be required to absorb CO2
          emissions from the country's use of fossil fuels thus avoiding accumulation in the atmosphere.




10   The European environment | State and outlook 2010
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




Figure 2.2 	          Human Development Index and ecological footprint

                                                                                                                                                    Ecological footprint
                                                                                                                                           (global hectares per person)



            African countries                                                                                                                                 12         12




                                                                                         UNDP threshold for high human development
            Asian countries

            European countries

                                                                                                                                                                         10
            Latin American and Caribbean countries                                                                                                            10
            North American countries

            Oceanian countries
                                                                                                                                                                         8
                                                                                                                                                                 8



                                                                                                                                                                         6
                                                                                                                                                                 6


              World average biocapacity per person in 1961
              (This must also include the needs of wild species)                                                                                                         4
                                                                                                                                                                 4


             World average biocapacity per person in 2006
                                                                                                                                                                         2
                                                                                                                                                                     2
                                                                                                                                     High human development
                                                                                                                                     within the Earth's limits


                                                                                                                                                                         0

    0.2                          0.4                          0.6                                                   0.8                                          1.0

                                         United Nations Human Development Index
0
Note: 	    Both HDI and EF data refer to 2006.

Source: 	 Global Footprint Network, 2009b.




this, the European Commission is committed to taking                  caused by consumption in EU Member States are directly
leadership in developing and making use of alternative                emitted by households for heating, cooking and the
and complementary indicators to gross domestic product                use of private cars. The majority are emitted during the
(GDP) as a measure of social progress (EC, 2009).                     production of consumed goods and services, including
                                                                      electricity.

2.3	      The unseen trade in                                         Moreover, in the global economy, where goods are
          environmental pressures                                     increasingly produced and traded worldwide, a significant
                                                                      share of the environmental pressures associated with a
Only a relative minor part of environmental pressures                 European country's consumption are felt outside national
caused by a country's consumption are emitted directly by             borders, not only in other EU Member States but also
consumers. For example, only 10–30 % of CO2-emissions                 elsewhere in the world. Although indirectly caused by



(5)	 'Embodied' pressures refers to pressures which have taken place along the full production chain of a product from material
     extraction to sale to the consumer.




                                                                    The European environment | State and outlook 2010                                                         11
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




     European consumption, these pressures are less visible to            Similarly, while direct material resource use in Europe
     European policy makers.                                              has stabilised, there are indications that indirect resource
                                                                          use and associated pressures caused by European
     Multiregional input/output models can be used to estimate            consumption are on the increase (EEA, 2005). The
     environmental pressures embodied in trade between                    total material consumption (TMC) for Germany, that
     global regions and individual countries. For EU Member               includes direct and indirect material extraction caused
     States on average, 40 % of total CO2 emissions caused by             by consumption, fell during the first half of the 1990s
     national consumption were found to be embodied in goods              but has been rising since then, increasing from 69 to
     imported from both within the EU and from the rest of                74 tonnes per person between 1996 and 2004 (Schulz and
     the world (Figure 2.3). The figure rises to over 50 % for            Bringezu, 2008). Austria showed a 5 % increase in direct
     some smaller countries including Austria, Belgium, the               and indirect material use — measured as Raw Material
     Netherlands, Denmark and Sweden. Peters and Hertwich                 Consumption (RMC), excluding unused extraction and
     (2008) estimate that typically half of embedded CO2 in               waste — caused by consumption between 1995 and 2005
     imports to EU Member States are associated with goods                (Schaffartzik et al., 2008).
     coming from outside Europe.
                                                                          This 'virtual' trade of environmental pressures is not
     Due to increasing international trade the shares of                  necessarily a problem. It merely demonstrates that
     non‑domestic emissions in the carbon footprints of                   a different set of measures can be used to reduce
     EU Member States are likely to be on the increase. In the            consumption-caused emissions than may have been
     cases where imports are sourced increasingly in countries            adopted to tackle emissions from domestic industry.
     with typically less eco-efficient industrial production
     processes and more impact‑intensive energy mixes than
     EU Member States (Rørmose et al., 2009) increasing trade             2.4	      Environmental pressures
     might push up carbon footprints of EU countries.                               caused by different
                                                                                    consumption categories
     Helm et al. (2007), for example, estimated that the GHG
     emissions associated with consumption in the United                  The EEA has estimated the environmental pressures
     Kingdom increased by 19 % between 1990 and 2003.                     caused by consumption in nine EU Member States (6)




     Figure 2.3	           CO2 emissions caused by consumption in 26 EU Member States, 2004

     CO2 emissions (tonnes per person)

     18
     16
     14
     12
     10
      8
      6
      4
      2
      0
                                   ria




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                                    ce


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           Emissions in other countries (embodied in imports for domestic consumption)

           Domestic emissions (from households and from national production of goods for domestic consumption)

     Note:	     CO2 emissions in other countries include emissions in other EU Member States resulting from internal EU trade.

     Source:	   Davis and Cadeira, 2010.



     (6)	 Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal and Sweden.




12   The European environment | State and outlook 2010
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




    Box 2.1	 Consumption and chemicals

    There is growing concern about the potential human health and environmental impacts of chemicals in consumer
    products, in particular persistent and bio-accumulative organic compounds, endocrine-disrupting chemicals and heavy
    metals used in plastics, lubricants, textiles, cosmetics, dyestuffs, flame retardants, wood preservatives, electronic
    goods, and food packaging. Exposure to these chemicals is thought to be linked with declining sperm counts, genital
    malformations, impaired neural development and sexual behaviour, obesity, and cancer. Many of these chemicals leach
    easily from the products and can be found in the environment — in ambient (urban) air, indoor dust, wastewater,
    sludge — in some cases at levels high enough to be of health concern (Fisher et al., 2006). Some are highly persistent
    in the environment where they may undergo further transformation. For example, it has recently been shown that
    the flame retardant polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDE) exposed to wastewater treatment can generate dioxins
    (Betts, 2009 — orig. Steen et al., 2009). Widely-used plasticisers such as phthalates and bisphenol A; perfluorinated
    chemicals used in a variety of commercial applications as water, oil, soil and grease repellents; and brominated flame
    retardants are most often discussed in this context due to their suspected health effects and ubiquitous presence in
    the environment. A matter of particular concern is exposure to a mixture of low levels of chemical compounds that
    may exert synergistic effects, especially in unborn and very young, vulnerable children (ULSOP, 2009).




representing 268 out of Europe's 501 million people                  more important, for example tourism for degradation
(Eurostat, 2010) and allocated them to final consumption             of coastal habitats, chemicals in consumer products
categories. The estimates were made using a single                   for health impacts and eco-toxicological impacts (see
region input-output model.                                           Box 2.1).

The majority of four key environmental pressures                     Pressures caused directly and indirectly along the
caused by private and public consumption (7) can be                  production chain of consumed goods and services plus
allocated to the consumption of food and drink, housing              direct pressures created during private consumption can
and infrastructure, and mobility. These three broad                  be allocated to 12 broad categories of private household
consumption areas are estimated to have contributed                  consumption as defined under the Classification of
68 % of GHG emissions, 73 % of acidifying emissions,                 Individual Consumption according to Purpose (COICOP)
69 % of tropospheric ozone precursor emissions and 64 %              nomenclature used by Eurostat. When pressures caused
of the direct and indirect material input caused globally            by private consumption are allocated to these 12 main
by consumption in 2005 in the nine countries (EEA                    areas, food, housing and mobility dominate, followed by
and ETC/SCP, 2010; ETC/SCP, 2009). The same critical                 furnishings and household equipment (Figure 2.4).
consumption areas have been identified in other key
studies (for example, JRC/IPTS, 2006).                               The dominance of the first three is partly due to their also
                                                                     being the three private consumption categories in the EU‑27
It should be noted that the single region methodology                with highest expenditure (Eurostat, 2009a). However, food
used for these calculations assumes that imported goods              and mobility, and to a lesser extent housing, are also the
are produced with the same resource inputs and emissions             areas of private expenditure with the greatest pressures
per unit output as those produced domestically. For                  for each euro spent (Figure 2.5). These three areas are
example, agricultural products imported to Sweden are                addressed in more detail in Chapters 4–6 of this assessment.
assumed to have emitted the same volume of GHGs as if                Chapter 5 on housing also covers furnishings and
they had been produced in Sweden. This assumption will               household equipment. A fourth area, tourism is considered
considerably underestimate GHGs embedded in imports                  in Chapter 7 because of its fast growing contribution to
from countries with less efficient production processes              environmental pressures from consumption. The pressures
(see Rørmose et al., 2009, for Denmark) and thus affect              caused by public consumption, meanwhile, can be partially
estimates for consumption-based footprints of countries.             tackled through green public procurement. This is looked at
However, the share of pressures allocated to different               in more detail in Chapter 8.
consumption categories is expected to be much less
affected.                                                            Decoupling environmental pressures from growth in
                                                                     private consumption can be achieved by reducing the
For other environmental pressure categories not covered              pressure intensities within individual consumption
by these analyses, for example, land degradation, other              categories — through improvements in housing energy
consumption areas might also be as relevant or even                  efficiency, switching transport expenditure from private



(7)	 Including fixed capital formation — investments in machinery, roads, water and sewage networks and other infrastructure.




                                                                   The European environment | State and outlook 2010                13
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




     Figure 2.4 	            Direct and indirect global pressures caused by private (household)
                             consumption distributed by consumption (COICOP) category, in selected
                             EU Member States, 2005


                             Greenhouse gas emissions                                       Acidifying emissions
                                      1.3 %                                                       1.1 %
                              1.6 %           0.7 %                                                    0.6 %
                                                                                         1.3 %
                          1.7 %                  0.2 %                                1.2 %                0.4 %
                      1.8 %                        0.2 %                            1.4 %                     0.1 %
                     4.1 %                                                        6.4 %                          14.3 %

                  11.6 %
                                                           35.2 %                9.4 %


                                                                                                                          21.4 %



                 17.2 %


                                                                                         42.3 %
                                          24.5 %


                     Tropospheric ozone precursor emissions                                    Material use
                                                                                                1.5 %
                                      1.0 %                                               1.8 %      0.8 %
                             1.5 %         0.7 %
                          1.5 %                0.2 %                                  1.8 %              0.4 %
                       1.6 %                      0.1 %                            2.1 %                   0.2 %
                     3.5 %                                                        5.7 %
                                                      23.7 %                                                      19.3 %
                    11.1 %


                                                                              16.6 %


                 17.4 %                                                                                               21.7 %



                                                  37.6 %
                                                                                             28.2 %


        Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels                Restaurants and hotels                  Health

        Transport                                                       Recreation and culture                  Communication

        Food and non-alcoholic beverages                                Miscellaneous goods and services        Tobacco and narcotics

        Furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance        Clothing and footwear                   Education

     Notes: 	   The input/output analysis of NAMEA tables gave estimates of pressures created along the production chains of finally
                consumed products from 36 individual economic sectors. These were then allocated to the 12 COICOP household
                consumption areas using a simplified transformation matrix developed by the EEA- ETC/SCP. The pressures allocated to
                these categories do not include pressures created by public (government) consumption or caused by gross capital formation
                — the building of roads, water and sewage networks serving households.

     Source: 	 EEA and ETC/SCP, 2010.




     cars to public transport, or a shift from spending on               categories such as education, communication, or
     quantity to quality in food, furniture, clothing, etc.              recreation and culture — except recreation activities
                                                                         involving intensive use of transport.
     However, the large differences in environmental pressure
     intensities found between private expenditure categories            Consumption trends appear to have moved modestly
     (Figure 2.5) highlights a second potential for reducing             in the right direction over recent years. Two of the less
     or decoupling environmental pressures from growth in                pressure-intensive categories, communication, and
     consumption: that of channelling additional expenditure             recreation and culture, were the two fastest-growing
     of growing incomes towards low pressure consumption                 private expenditure categories in the EU‑27 Member States



14   The European environment | State and outlook 2010
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




Figure 2.5	                   Relative environmental pressure intensities — indexed pressure caused per
                              euro of spending — of private consumption categories in nine EU Member
                              States *, 2005


Pressure intensity relative to average across all consumption categories

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

0.0
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           Greenhouse gases          Acidifying emissions     Tropospheric ozone precursors             Material consumption


Note:	        * Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal and Sweden.

Source: 	 EEA and ETC/SCP, 2010.




between 1995 and 2006, increasing by 10.2 % and 4.4 %                 can lead to overestimates of the levels of decoupling
respectively per year (Eurostat, 2009). However, evidence             of pressures from growth in consumption, and results
from the EEA's NAMEA-based analysis suggests that                     may therefore differ from findings in other studies (for
gains made through such shifts in consumption spending                example, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency,
are relatively modest compared to gains made from                     2007).
improving eco-efficiencies within individual consumption
categories (Figure 2.6). Similar results were found by                More rapid decoupling of GHG emissions and material
Baicocchi and Minx (2010) for the United Kingdom                      consumption from consumption expenditure is required
between 1992 and 2004.                                                if absolute pressures are to be reduced significantly in the
                                                                      foreseeable future. This will require more eco‑efficient
Where decoupling of global GHG emissions and material                 production of goods, fewer toxic products, more
use from growth in consumption was achieved, it resulted,             resource‑efficient appliances, buildings and transport
in most cases, primarily from eco-efficiency improvements             systems, but also widespread fundamental changes in the
in production chains, energy efficiency improvements, or              type of goods and services we buy.
shifts in fuel use. Shifts in spending from more intensive
to less intensive consumption categories, for example,                Last but not least, current consumption patterns do not
from mobility to communication, have contributed                      only impact the environment, they can also have negative
to decoupling to a limited extent. As noted earlier,                  impacts on health, as concerns about obesity illustrates
assumptions concerning pressures embodied in imports                  (Box 2.2).



                                                                     The European environment | State and outlook 2010                              15
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




     Figure 2.6	            Changes in GHG emissions (1995–2005) and material use (2000–2005) caused
                            by national consumption and contributing factors in selected EU Member States

     Globally induced GHG emissions (tonnes CO2-equivalent per person)
       3
      2
      1
      0
     –1
     –2
     –3
     –4
     –5
     –6
               Changes in GHG emissions      Contribution from growth in      Contribution from changes in     Contribution from changes in
                     1995–2005                      consumption                domestic consumption-mix               eco-efficiency

     Globally induced direct material input (tonnes per person)
       3

       2

       1

       0

     –1

     –2

     –3

     –4        Changes in material use    Contribution from growth in Contribution from changes in Contribution from changes in
                    2000–2005                    consumption           domestic consumption-mix           eco-efficiency

                Austria    Denmark         France      Germany        Italy       Netherlands       Portugal        Sweden

     Note: 	      The left-hand set of bars in each graph show how per-person pressures have developed over the given time interval. The
                  next set of bars indicate how the pressures would have developed over the same period if they were linked to economic
                  growth only. The two sets of bars can be compared to see if decoupling has occurred. For example, the Netherlands showed
                  strongest decoupling in GHG emissions 1995–2005, while Italy showed very little decoupling.
                  The right-hand two pairs of bars demonstrate the extent to which shifts in consumption patterns and improvements in eco-
                  efficiency in the provision of goods and services have contributed to the observed decoupling.

     Source: 	 EEA and ETC/SCP, 2010.




           Box 2.2	 Health impacts of unsustainable consumption patterns: obesity

           Current consumption patterns of a large part of the European population, especially in terms of food and mobility, are
           linked to several health risks, with overweight and obesity issues being of greatest concern because they are linked to
           serious health problems including cardiovascular disease, diabetes, some types of cancer and reduced life expectancy.
           Although overweight has many and complex determinants, increasing calorie intake, coupled with a more sedentary
           lifestyle, is the root of the problem. More than 53 % of the EU population are estimated to be overweight (IASO,
           2008), and the numbers are increasing (WHO, 2008).
           Excessive intake of high-energy food, often cheaper, heavily advertised and more easily available than more healthy
           food, plays an important role. Although not all healthy food has low environmental impacts and vice versa, several
           dietary recommendations, such as a higher proportion of cereals, potatoes, vegetables and fruit in diets, and less
           meat, are beneficial both to human health and to the environment (Figure 4.2). Higher calorie intakes combined
           with sedentary lifestyles do not only have adverse health effects but also mean that more food has to be produced,
           resulting in higher life-cycle environmental impacts than diets based on recommended healthy calorie intakes.
           Insufficient physical activity is another very relevant factor for overweight, obesity, and their related health problems.
           In addition to individual behaviour/life style-related choices, physical activity depends on many conditions, including
           mobility patterns, access to walkable neighbourhoods, safe green areas, as well as infrastructure, promoting physical
           activity. Overweight people report that they walk less (Eurostat, 2006) and tend to live in low-density areas and
           with a higher dependency on car-based transport, although the nature of this association is highly complex (Scottish
           Government, 2008; Eid et al., 2007).




16   The European environment | State and outlook 2010
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




2.5	     Low-pressure households                               Figure 2.7	           Key differences between
         — a good example of more                                                    equal income low and high
         environmentally sustainable                                                 GHG emitting households in
                                                                                     Switzerland
         consumption?
The potential for reducing environmental pressures             Relative to median GHG emitting household
                                                               (median greenhouse gas household = 1)
through behavioural change can to a certain extent be
identified by analysing differences in the behaviour           3
of households within a single community or country.
A number of such studies have been carried out in
                                                               3
Europe, for example, Girod and de Haan (2009);
Lähteenoja et al. (2008); Brand and Boardman
(2008); Vringer and Blok (1995) and OFEV (2006). All           2
these studies found large differences between the
environmental pressures caused by households.                  2

For example, Brand and Boardman (2008) found that
                                                               1
10 % of United Kingdom households were responsible
for 43 % of total GHG emissions from mobility. Kotakorpi
et al. (2008) found nearly a factor 10 difference in direct    1
and indirect material use caused by the most and least
impactful of 26 households studied in Finland.
                                                               0
                                                                    1     2     3     4       5   6     7     8     9    10
A larger-scale Swiss study of 14 000 households found
                                                                                     Household decile groups from lowest to
that even after adjusting for income differences,                               highest greenhouse gas emitting households
GHG emissions per person varied by a factor of 4,
ranging between 60 % and 170 % of the value for the                       Household GHG emissions
mean household (Figure 2.7). Vringer and Blok (1995)                      Living space (m2)
also found large differences in energy use between Dutch                  Renewable heating ('green heating')
households of the same income level.                                      Car use (pkm)
                                                                          Single family house

The Finnish and the Swiss studies show that households         Note: 	    The households are grouped according to their
that cause low environmental pressures tend to live in                    emission of greenhouse gases. The 10 % of
                                                                          households with highest GHG emissions (group 10)
urban areas, use public transport rather than private cars,               also had the highest car use, the highest share of
use renewable energy for heating, have smaller living                     single family houses, the largest living space per
                                                                          person and the lowest use of green heating (district
space per person, live in apartments rather than single                   heating or renewables).
family houses, and eat less meat and more organic food.
                                                               Source:	   Girod and de Haan, 2009.
Importantly, low-emitting households spend more on
leisure activities and are willing to pay more for quality
rather than quantity in the goods they buy. The fact that      The types of consumption behaviour shown by
the low-emitting households tend to lie in urban areas         low‑pressure households in these studies could provide
does not mean that urban households on average are             a good example for helping shape future consumption
lower emitters than rural ones. Rather the infrastructure      patterns. The potential for reductions in pressures caused
in urban areas more readily allows for reduced carbon          by consumption would be even higher than indicated
lifestyles by engaged citizens.                                by the variations between current households when
                                                               combined with technological advances such as improved
Some of the characteristics of low-emitting households         efficiency of the housing stock, increasing share of
in the studies — use of public transport, living in            renewable electricity and improved fuel efficiency of
apartments, green heating, etc. — are only available in        vehicles.
dense urban areas where this kind of infrastructure is
economically viable. However, a study of the behaviour         Such findings showing large variations in behaviour
and GHG emissions of urban households in the city of           across society demonstrate the need for focussed policies
York, United Kingdom, showed that while those living           tailor-made for different social groups. A first stage in
in city centres made least use of cars, they were also the     tailoring responses to enable greener consumption will
households with the highest emissions related to air           be to gain an understanding of the key factors shaping
travel (Haq and Owen, 2009).                                   consumption behaviour. These are examined in Chapter 3.




                                                              The European environment | State and outlook 2010                  17
Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment




     3	 Understanding what shapes current and
        potential future consumption



     Private consumption is shaped by an array of complex               non‑renewable resources in response to global increases
     and interrelated factors, including demographics; income           in demand, and rising food prices (see Chapter 4). These
     and prices; trade, globalisation and technologies; supply          resource price increases were alleviated by the economic
     of goods and services and how they are marketed;                   downturn but could well reappear when a period of stable
     information and transparency on products and services;             economic growth returns.
     policies; housing and infrastructure, as well as social and
     psychological factors such as habits, culture and taste            Rather than growth being a driver of future consumption
     (Mont and Power, 2010; Power and Mont, 2010).                      patterns, the potential for growth may in future depend to
                                                                        an increasing extent on how we consume. The economic
     Some of those factors are very well understood by policy           system is increasingly being recognised as being bounded
     makers — in particular income and prices, while others,            by the limits of the ecological system and is heavily
     such as habits and culture, are typically less understood.         dependent on the services that ecosystems deliver to the
     Future trends in European consumption, and the resulting           economy (TEEB, 2008).
     environmental impacts, will depend on how these many
     factors develop. Policies at all levels, not only those directed   The household savings rate is a key influence on the
     at consumption, also influence consumption behaviour.              extent to which income is translated into material
     These are dealt with in Chapter 8.                                 consumption; the savings rate in the EU rose by nearly
                                                                        3 percentage‑points during late 2008 and 2009, and
     To develop effective policy responses to limit negative            started to fall again as consumer confidence increased
     environmental pressures and impacts from private                   in the last quarter of 2009 (EC, 2010b). In the longer
     consumption, there is a need for a better understanding of         term, the ageing population could lead to a fall in the
     the many complex factors that shape people's consumption           household savings rate, as older people tend to save less
     behaviour (PSI, 2006). This chapter provides an overview of        than people of working age.
     the main factors, including how they relate to one another,
     as well as some possible future developments.                      The relevance of prices for consumer decisions means
                                                                        that, generally, consumers demand more of any product
                                                                        if the price goes down and less if the price increases. The
     3.1	      Economic influences on                                   degree of change in demand resulting from a variation
               consumption                                              in price depends on the price elasticity of that particular
                                                                        product or service. For example, price elasticities for basic
     The most important factor influencing consumption                  food items such as bread, milk and eggs are lower than for
     patterns is the level of disposable income at the individual       restaurant meals, as going to a restaurant is much easier to
     household level (OECD, 2008a). The growth path                     avoid than purchasing basic food.
     hypothesis, implying an ever-growing GDP, can be
     identified as one of the driving forces behind consumption         However, the effects of resource use on the environment
     dynamics. Recent baseline projections published by the EC          and society, such as costs of cleaning up pollution or
     — which take into account the current economic downturn            climate change mitigation, are in many cases not included
     — assume that GDP in the EU‑27 will grow again between             in the prices of goods and services. Instead the costs
     2010 and 2020 but that this would not compensate GDP               associated with negative effects are paid for by the wider
     losses from the downturn compared to earlier projections           society. This lack of internalisation of external effects —
     (EC, 2010a). However, economic forecasts are very                  the costs to society of environmental degradation — in the
     uncertain (see also EEA, 2010b) and recent developments            prices of products and services is a market failure driving
     show that steady growth cannot be taken for granted.               consumption patterns based on high resource use.

     Immediately before the financial and fiscal crises began           Economic instruments, such as taxes, can be applied
     in 2008, other major global economic trends had been               to overcome such market failures to ensure that prices
     making their mark on European consumption patterns.                include economic, social and environmental costs (see also
     These included steeply rising prices of oil, steel and other       Chapter 8). Carrying out such adjustments is one of the



18   The European environment | State and outlook 2010
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Consumption and environment

  • 1. THE EUROPEAN ENVIRONMENT STATE AND OUTLOOK 2010 CONSUMPTION AND THE ENVIRONMENT
  • 2. What is the SOER 2010? The European environment — state and outlook 2010 (SOER 2010) is aimed primarily at policymakers, in Europe and beyond, involved with framing and implementing policies that could support environmental improvements in Europe. The information also helps European citizens to better understand, care for and improve Europe's environment. The SOER 2010 'umbrella' includes four key assessments: 1. a set of 13 Europe‑wide thematic assessments of key environmental themes; 2. an exploratory assessment of global megatrends relevant for the European environment; 3. a set of 38 country assessments of the environment in individual European countries; 4. a synthesis — an integrated assessment based on the above assessments and other EEA activities. SOER 2010 assessments Thematic Country assessments assessments Understanding SOER 2010 Country profiles climate change — Synthesis — Mitigating National and climate change regional stories Adapting to Common climate change environmental themes Climate change Biodiversity mitigation Land use Land use Nature protection Soil and biodiversity Marine and Waste coastal environment Consumption Assessment of Freshwater and environment global megatrends Material resources Social Air pollution and waste megatrends Water resources: Technological Each of the above quantity and flows megatrends are assessed by each EEA member Economic country (32) and Freshwater quality megatrends EEA cooperating country (6) Environmental Air pollution megatrends Urban environment Political megatrends All SOER 2010 outputs are available on the SOER 2010 website: www.eea.europa.eu/soer. The website also provides key facts and messages, summaries in non‑technical language and audio‑visuals, as well as media, launch and event information.
  • 3. THE EUROPEAN ENVIRONMENT STATE AND OUTLOOK 2010 CONSUMPTION AND THE ENVIRONMENT
  • 4. Cover design: EEA/Rosendahl-Schultz Grafisk Layout: EEA/Pia Schmidt Copyright notice © EEA, Copenhagen, 2010 Reproduction is authorised, provided the source is acknowledged, save where otherwise stated. Information about the European Union is available on the Internet. It can be accessed through the Europa server (www.europa.eu). Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2010 ISBN 978-92-9213-154-8 doi:10.2800/58407 Acknowledgements This assessment was prepared by a team of Lars Fogh ETC/SCP (Carolin Baedeker, WI; Ioannis Bakas, Mortensen and Almut Reichel (both EEA); David CRI; José Acosta Fernandez, WI; Sandra Kolberg, Watson, Mikkel Stenbæk Hansen and Kate Power WI; Andrius Plepys, IIIEE; Jozsef Szlezak, REC; (all ETC/SCP lead partner CRI). Jola Welfens, WI; Carol Wilson, EA; Dominic Wittmer, WI). Many inputs were received from other staff at the EEA (Mikael Skou Andersen, Anca-Diana Barbu, We would like to thank the numerous experts from the Birgit Georgi, Dorota Jarosinska, Peder Jensen, EEA member countries, the European Commission, and Jock Martin, Peter Kristensen, Jan-Erik Petersen, the EEA's Scientific Committee who provided valuable Stefan Speck, Ronan Uhel, Gerald Vollmer) and comments during the consultation process. European Environment Agency Kongens Nytorv 6 1050 Copenhagen K Denmark Tel.: +45 33 36 71 00 Fax: +45 33 36 71 99 Web: eea.europa.eu Enquiries: eea.europa.eu/enquiries
  • 5. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment Consumption and the environment Summary �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 4 � 1 Introduction ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 6 � 1.1 Why do we need to address consumption?. ...................................................................... 6 1.2 The policy challenge: some first reflections...................................................................... 7 2 Consumption patterns in Europe and their worldwide environmental pressures and impacts���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 9 2.1 Trends in consumption expenditure. ............................................................................... 9 . 2.2 Current European consumption patterns have high environmental impacts. ......................... 9 . 2.3 The unseen trade in environmental pressures................................................................ 11 . 2.4 Environmental pressures caused by different consumption categories. .............................. 12 . 2.5 Low-pressure households — a good example of more environmentally sustainable consumption?. .......................................................................................... 17 . 3 Understanding what shapes current and potential future consumption������������������ 18 3.1 Economic influences on consumption............................................................................ 18 3.2 Demographic influences on consumption....................................................................... 19 3.3 Technology and innovation as drivers of consumption. ..................................................... 20 3.4 Urbanisation and the role of infrastructure..................................................................... 21 3.5 Social and cultural influences on consumption behaviour................................................. 21 3.6 Types of consumers.................................................................................................... 22 4 Food and drink�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 24 4.1 Trends in consumption................................................................................................ 24 4.2 Life-cycle environmental impacts of food and drink......................................................... 24 4.3 Food and drink outlooks and scenarios.......................................................................... 27 4.4 Responses . ............................................................................................................... 28 5 Housing ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 30 � 5.1 Trends in consumption................................................................................................ 30 5.2 Life-cycle environmental impacts of housing.................................................................. 32 5.3 Housing outlooks and scenarios. .................................................................................. 33 . 5.4 Responses . ............................................................................................................... 33 6 Mobility ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 36 6.1 Trends in mobility demand and modal split.................................................................... 36 6.2 Life‑cycle environmental impacts of mobility.................................................................. 37 6.3 Mobility outlooks and scenarios.................................................................................... 39 6.4 Responses. ............................................................................................................... 39 . 7 Tourism ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 41 � 7.1 Trends in consumption................................................................................................ 41 7.2 Life‑cycle environmental impacts of tourism. ................................................................. 41 . 7.3 Tourism outlooks and scenarios. ................................................................................... 42 7.4 Responses . ............................................................................................................... 43 8 Concluding reflections: consumption, environmental priorities and policies����������� 45 8.1 Consumption and current environmental policies............................................................ 45 8.2 Consumption and management of natural capital and ecosystem services. ......................... 46 8.3 Consumption and integration of environmental considerations across policy domains. ......... 47 . 8.4 The role of consumption in greening the economy.......................................................... 47 8.5 The triangle of change — the role of different actors on the road to greening the economy..... 49 References���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 51 The European environment | State and outlook 2010 3
  • 6. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment Summary The consumption of goods and services in EEA member countries is a major driver of global resource use — and associated environmental impacts. Growth in global trade is resulting in an increasing share of environmental pressures and impacts from European consumption taking place beyond Europe. Food and drink, housing, mobility and tourism are responsible for a large part of the pressures and impacts caused by consumption in the EU. Achieving significant reductions in environmental pressures and impacts will require changing private and public consumption patterns, to supplement gains achieved through better technology and improved production processes. Drivers and pressures caused by total national consumption can be allocated to eating and drinking, housing and infrastructure, Consumption is shaped by an array of complex, and mobility. These three broad consumption areas are interrelated factors such as demographics, income and estimated to have contributed approximately two-thirds prices, technology, trade, policies and infrastructure, of consumption-related material use, greenhouse gas as well as social, cultural and psychological factors. emissions, acidifying emissions and ozone precursor Production activities across economic sectors, including emissions. extractive industries, agriculture, energy, transport and manufacturing, are directly responsible for the majority The reasons for these high shares are that food and drink, of the environmental impacts caused by the economy. housing and mobility are the areas which Europeans However, it is private and public consumption that are spend most on and at the same time the areas with the the fundamental causal factors and drivers of change in highest pressures per euro spent. Tourism is a fourth area production activities. causing high and growing environmental impacts, both within the EU and elsewhere. Consumption leads to the direct creation of environmental pressures from the use of products and services, for A major reason why consumption negatively affects example, through driving a car or heating a house with the environment and causes an over-use of resources is fossil fuels. Of greater magnitude, however, are the because the costs to society of environmental and resource indirect pressures that are created along the production degradation are not fully reflected in the prices of goods chains of the goods and services consumed, including, for and services. Thus, many goods are relatively cheap example, food, clothing, furniture or electricity. Both direct even though they cause major harm to the environment, and indirect pressures result in environmental impacts, in ecosystems or human health. particular, global warming, biodiversity degradation, soil sealing and air and water pollution. Since an increasing share of the final and intermediate goods consumed in The need for sophisticated policy Europe is imported, a growing proportion of impacts packages caused by our consumption takes place in other parts of the world. The average environmental footprint (an A culture of high and continuously growing levels of indicator of pressures from consumption) per person consumption, generally associated with well-being and in EEA member countries is about double the available success, has evolved in western European countries for biocapacity (an indicator of land which is biologically decades, and EU-12 Member States and the western productive) of those countries. Balkan countries are rapidly catching up. An EEA analysis of nine EU Member States (representing Large differences in environmental pressures from 268 million of the EU's total 501 million people) has consumption, even between households with equal found that the majority of key environmental pressures income levels, indicate a considerable potential for more 4 The European environment | State and outlook 2010
  • 7. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment sustainable consumption patterns through shifting choices regulatory and voluntary instruments, providing towards more sustainable alternatives. Examples include: sustainable infrastructure, technological support, shifting from car use to collective transport, cycling and consumer education and information, and green public walking; and choosing high quality and eco-labelled procurement (the purchase of goods, services and public products and energy-efficient housing solutions. Secondly, works by governments). A critical element of such policy additional income could be channelled towards products packages could be provided by ecological tax reform, and services with relatively low environmental pressures where the burden of taxation is shifted from labour to such as communication, education and sustainable leisure environmentally damaging activities. activities. The framework conditions should enable business and Europe will be better equipped to achieve sustainable consumers/citizens to act sustainably, and business and consumption patterns by developing and implementing citizens need to take action by adopting more sustainable sophisticated policy packages. These would include consumption and production patterns. The European environment | State and outlook 2010 5
  • 8. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment 1 Introduction …the sheer weight of the combined aspirations and lifestyles of 500 million Europeans is just too great. Never mind the legitimate desires of many other billions on our planet to share those lifestyles .... We will need to change the behaviour of European consumers. To work on people's awareness, and to influence their habits. Janez Potočnik, European Commissioner for Environment (March 2010) …the major cause of the continued deterioration of the global environment is the unsustainable pattern of consumption and production... UN Agenda 21, Chapter 4 (1992) 1.1 Why do we need to address Although an increasing global population is a factor consumption? in rising pressures, it is consumption and production patterns in developed countries, with developing Demand for natural resources worldwide has increased countries catching up rapidly, that are the key drivers of tremendously over recent decades. The main drivers have global environmental problems. This was recognised in been growth in population, wealth and consumption, Agenda 21 in 1992 and again at the Johannesburg World with high population growth mainly in developing Summit on Sustainable Development in 2002, where countries and highest levels of wealth and consumption in governments agreed a Plan of Implementation strongly developed countries. focused on sustainable consumption and production (SCP) and a commitment to develop a 10-year framework This demand is causing major, irreversible impacts on of programmes on SCP (UNCSD, 2002). global ecosystems and ecosystem services: 130 000 km2 of tropical rainforest are being cleared each year. In addition, Consumption leads to direct environmental pressures since 1960 a third of the world's farmland has been from the use of products and services, for example, abandoned, exhausted as a result of overexploitation and through driving a car or heating a house with fossil fuels. soil degradation (EEA, 2010a). Of greater interest and magnitude, however, are the indirect pressures created along the production chains Moreover, emissions and wastes emitted during the of goods and services, including, for example, food and processing and conversion of resources into goods and other consumer goods, but also energy services. Since services have caused further damage to the natural an increasing share of the final and intermediate goods environment and human health. Nitrogen pollution, consumed in Europe is imported, a growing proportion of ground-level ozone and particulate pollution are on the impacts caused by our consumption takes place in other increase, as is the prevalence of synthetic chemicals in the parts of the world. environment (EEA, 2010a), with negative impacts on the environment and health. A consumption-based perspective for assessing and responding to environmental pressures highlights various If one isolates different activities in the economy, it is leverage points for reducing them. Complementary production activities across sectors, such as mining, actions to reduce environmental pressures throughout the agriculture, and manufacturing, that are directly life cycle from resource extraction and production through responsible for the majority of the environmental consumption to final use are shown in Figure 1.1. pressures caused by economic development. However, private and public consumption of goods and services The uppermost set of actions — responses aimed directly is the fundamental causal factor and driver of change in at improving production processes and technologies, production activities and the resulting flows of resources and substituting environmentally-intensive material and wastes from and to the environment. and energy inputs with greener alternatives — have 6 The European environment | State and outlook 2010
  • 9. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment Figure 1.1 Complementary actions to reduce the environmental pressures along the life cycle of products and services Production Improving the eco-efficiency of production of goods and services End-of-life Products/services Improving the eco-efficiency Improving products of waste management including and services using eco-design reuse and recycling and other measures Consumption Reducing consumption levels and/or changing consumption patterns away from eco-intensive goods and services received most attention over recent decades. Such actions The term consumption as used in this assessment covers have resulted in clear reductions in the intensity of private (household) and public (government) final environmental pressures (emissions per unit of economic consumption of goods and services and investments output) from European industry. Some progress has also in infrastructure (1), whether domestically produced or been made in the end-of-life stage through improving wholly or partially supplied through imports. In terms waste management (see the SOER 2010 material resources of value, private consumption was 2.6 times greater than and waste assessment (EEA, 2010b)). public consumption across the EU‑27 at the beginning of 2010 (Eurostat, 2010a, 2010b). The main focus in this This assessment focuses on the two other stages in the life assessment is accordingly on private consumption, with cycle: products/services and consumption. public consumption addressed to a lesser extent. Improved design can provide products with lower impacts, including lower waste generation during their 1.2 The policy challenge: some first production, when they are in use and at the end of their reflections useful lives. However, it is increasingly recognised that environmental problems such as climate change cannot There is a huge, largely unused potential for encouraging be solved through technological improvements alone (see, environmentally less intensive consumption patterns inter alia, Swedish EPA, 2010). by households. This is illustrated by a recent report that found that the annual greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions Actions influencing private and public consumption caused directly and indirectly by equal-income Swiss are also necessary as these can have knock-on effects households range from 5 to 17 tonnes of carbon dioxide upstream, potentially reducing pressures created during (CO2) per person, purely as a result of differing patterns production. Such actions include those aimed specifically of consumption (Girod and de Haan, 2009). Encouraging at encouraging demand for less pressure-intensive greener procurement by government and business can products but also actions aimed at encouraging broader also pay significant environmental dividends and may be lifestyle changes. more easily achievable than shifting private consumption (1) More formally called 'fixed capital formation' and including investments in machinery, transport systems, sewage and water services etc. The European environment | State and outlook 2010 7
  • 10. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment patterns as it does not involve millions of citizens. Green The Europe 2020 Strategy for Smart, Sustainable and procurement by government and business can also play an Inclusive Growth includes a flagship initiative on exemplary role and encourage more widespread adoption Resource-efficient Europe which aims to support the shift of sustainable purchasing amongst citizens. towards a resource-efficient and low-carbon economy (EC, 2010). Achieving this will require major technological The broad private consumption areas of housing, food improvements, but also changes in consumption — and drink, and mobility are given special attention as moving towards goods and services that are more they have been identified by a number of studies as being resource-efficient. responsible for a large part of the pressures caused by consumption in the EU (JRC/IPTS, 2006; ETC/SCP, 2009). This will not be easy. Environmentally harmful Although it overlaps with the other consumption areas, consumption patterns are institutionalised, economically, tourism has also been identified as an important contributor politically, technically and socially, and consequently to environmental pressures, especially water shortages, seem normal and inevitable to most Europeans. land-use changes in vulnerable areas and consequently They also help define the aspirations for public considerable impacts on biodiversity (Nijdam and Wilting, spending and consumption by the growing consumer 2003; EEA, 2009a,b; EEA, 2006), and GHG emissions from class in developing countries, that could amount to air travel. 1.2 billion people in 2030 (see EEA, 2010c). Changes in consumption behaviour are needed to The promotion of more sustainable consumption patterns complement technological improvements as targeting in the future may be achieved most effectively through consumption can tackle issues that production- and the development of sophisticated tailored policy packages technology-focussed policies cannot. Firstly, environmental that provide a framework that enables consumers, gains made through technical efficiency are often partially retailers and producers to act more sustainably. Such or wholly offset by resulting increases in consumption due packages would include well-chosen mixtures of economic to lower costs of production and/or use and more money incentives, provision of information to consumers through thereby becoming available for spending on other/more awareness-raising, labelling and other means, investments goods and services — the so‑called rebound effect (Box 3.1; in improved infrastructure, technology support, voluntary Hertwich, 2008). Secondly, global environmental pressures agreements and where necessary regulation to achieve that take place overseas but are caused by European objectives as effectively as possible. consumption are beyond the reach of current European production-related policies. The most direct way to reduce In the following sections, the global environmental these pressures may therefore be to influence which types pressures resulting from European consumption and of imported goods are being purchased. key individual consumption areas are assessed on the macro scale. The differing environmental profiles of The potential for reducing global environmental impacts households and their underlying behavioural causes through influencing consumption is yet to be exploited. are then reviewed to assess the potential for reducing The EU Sustainable Development Strategy (European consumption-related environmental pressures. Council, 2006) has identified the promotion of sustainable consumption and production as one of seven key The complex nature of consumption and the underlying challenges and stipulated respective objectives and targets. factors that shape it now and in the future are briefly More specifically, the EU Action Plan on Sustainable investigated. The environmental pressures related to Consumption and Production and Sustainable Industrial four areas of consumption with high environmental Policies (EC, 2008) includes elements that aim directly at pressures — food, housing, mobility and tourism — and influencing consumer behaviour and promoting greener the responses used to tackle them are examined. The final public procurement, but its main focus lies in cleaner and section provides concluding reflections on consumption, leaner production and better products. The planned review environmental priorities and the role various actors — of the Action Plan in 2012 may provide an opportunity to public authorities, business, and citizens — can play to expand and strengthen the consumption elements. achieve desired change. 8 The European environment | State and outlook 2010
  • 11. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment 2 Consumption patterns in Europe and their worldwide environmental pressures and impacts 2.1 Trends in consumption for measuring the global pressures caused by European expenditure consumption are less mature and significantly more uncertain, due in part to data scarcity in many of Europe's Consumption, as used in this report, covers both trading partners. private and public consumption of goods and services produced domestically and imported, and investments Various methods for estimating global pressures caused in infrastructure. Private consumption in Europe is by European consumption are under development. significantly higher than public consumption, ranging These include the input-output analyses of single regions from 2–3 times higher in the EU‑15 and EFTA (2) or multiregional economic and environment accounts countries to 4–6 times in Turkey and the Western Balkans (for an overview, see Minx et al., 2009); methods using (World Bank, 2009). However, public consumption national inventory tables combined with life-cycle impact remains an important element of national consumption, data for key imported and exported goods; hybrids of and is also arguably more directly responsive to input‑output methods and life-cycle-analysis (LCA) government policy. process data; and resource accounting methods developed to estimate national ecological, carbon, land and water Average private consumption expenditure per person (3) footprints. A description and evaluation of methods can rose by 35 % in the EU‑27 between 1990 and 2007, with be found in Lutter et al. (2008). The EEA is currently the greatest growth, 75 %, in the 12 countries that have implementing a simplified accounting method that joined the EU since 2004 (EU‑12). Growth has also been addresses, inter alia, the relationship between production rapid in the West Balkans and Turkey, rising by 130 % and consumption patterns and their impacts on and 54 % respectively in the same period (World Bank, ecosystems, both within and outside Europe (footprint). 2009). Nonetheless, private consumption expenditure The Joint Research Centre (JRC) is also developing in the EU‑15 and EFTA still exceeds expenditure in the methods for estimating the impacts of European other regions by a factor of 2–2.7. consumption using combinations of national inventory and trade flow data as well as life-cycle inventories of Private consumption in EEA member countries is representative imported and exported goods. dominated by housing, transport and food and drink, with the share of food and drink reducing as incomes The Ecological Footprint (EF) is currently one of increase. The fastest growing private consumption the few consumption-based indicators that can be categories in the EU are communication, recreation benchmarked against sustainability thresholds. It has and culture (Eurostat, 2009). Health and social services, been methodologically criticised (Best et al., 2008; Van education services, and public administration and den Bergh and Verbruggen, 1999; Fiala, 2008; Lenzen and defence services together consume nearly 90 % of public Murray, 2001; Wiedmann and Lenzen, 2007) and is under expenditure. a continuous process of improvement to strengthen some methodological weaknesses such as its limited scope, excluding key impacts such as toxicity, non‑renewable 2.2 Current European consumption resource use, eutrophication and ecosystem degradation, patterns have high and its lack of ability to allow for improvements in land environmental impacts productivity (Kitzes et al., 2009a; Kitzes et al., 2009b). Nevertheless, the benchmarking option gives it a role Many of the key environmental pressures created directly in communicating over-consumption (Wiedmann within Europe during the extraction of resources and and Barrett, 2010) and for measuring environmental the production and use of goods and services are closely sustainability if used in combination with other monitored and well documented, for example through the indicators (Best et al., 2008). The EEA's simplified collation of national emissions inventories. Methodologies accounting method, focused on ecosystems, seeks to (2) Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and Liechtenstein. (3) Standardised in terms of purchasing power parity. The European environment | State and outlook 2010 9
  • 12. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment Figure 2.1 Development of ecological footprint and available biocapacity per capita in EEA member countries Global hectares per person Global hectares per person 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 61 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 61 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 Ecological footprint (gha/per person) Carbon footprint (gha/per person) Biocapacity (gha/per person) Food, fiber, timber and built footprint (gha/per person) Source: Global Footprint Network, 2009a. strengthen footprint calculations for Europe and make than double both the average global biocapacity of them more operational for EU environment and sectoral 1.8 global ha/person and the available biocapacity policies, currently a major weakness of the EF work. within the territory of the EEA member countries of 2.1 global ha/person. The EF translates a few of the global pressures caused directly and indirectly by a country's consumption into This suggests that current European consumption and direct and virtual land use worldwide (4). A nation or a production patterns could not be transferred to the rest region's footprint can be benchmarked against the area of of the world without overstretching global ecosystem land, or biocapacity available nationally and globally per services. Moreover, Europe's footprint continues to rise person, giving a useful indication of the extent to which its while the available biocapacity per person both in Europe consumption is environmentally sustainable (Wackernagel and globally is shrinking due to population growth and and Rees, 1996). The biocapacity of a given piece of land is the degradation of ecosystems. a function of its physical area, a factor that takes account of the type of land cover, and a yield factor varying Economic growth in Europe and other OECD countries according to local conditions. has brought significant social gains. However, these have come hand in hand with a high demand for natural The global average EF was estimated at 2.6 global ha per resources. Under current development pathways no person in 2006 compared to an average available global country has so far managed to maintain sufficient levels of biocapacity of 1.8 global ha/person (Global Footprint human development while keeping resource consumption Network, 2009a). In other words we are already using within ecological limits (see Figure 2.2). more of the world's resources than can be renewed — termed global overshoot. Environmental degradation Achieving a high level of human development without due to over-use of natural resources is likely to lead to exceeding ecological limits requires the development serious consequences for human well-being and health of alternative ways of providing for social, health and (Millenium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005; EEA, 2010). educational needs that are less resource-intensive and less environmentally damaging. It should be noted By 2006, the EF of the average resident of EEA member that well-being is not necessarily linked to material countries — 4.5 global ha/person — was already more wealth once basic needs are covered. In recognition of (4) This includes direct land use in the country for urban areas and roads, land used indirectly globally for the production of food, fiber, timber, energy consumed in the country, and finally 'virtual' land in the form of average forest that would be required to absorb CO2 emissions from the country's use of fossil fuels thus avoiding accumulation in the atmosphere. 10 The European environment | State and outlook 2010
  • 13. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment Figure 2.2 Human Development Index and ecological footprint Ecological footprint (global hectares per person) African countries 12 12 UNDP threshold for high human development Asian countries European countries 10 Latin American and Caribbean countries 10 North American countries Oceanian countries 8 8 6 6 World average biocapacity per person in 1961 (This must also include the needs of wild species) 4 4 World average biocapacity per person in 2006 2 2 High human development within the Earth's limits 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 United Nations Human Development Index 0 Note: Both HDI and EF data refer to 2006. Source: Global Footprint Network, 2009b. this, the European Commission is committed to taking caused by consumption in EU Member States are directly leadership in developing and making use of alternative emitted by households for heating, cooking and the and complementary indicators to gross domestic product use of private cars. The majority are emitted during the (GDP) as a measure of social progress (EC, 2009). production of consumed goods and services, including electricity. 2.3 The unseen trade in Moreover, in the global economy, where goods are environmental pressures increasingly produced and traded worldwide, a significant share of the environmental pressures associated with a Only a relative minor part of environmental pressures European country's consumption are felt outside national caused by a country's consumption are emitted directly by borders, not only in other EU Member States but also consumers. For example, only 10–30 % of CO2-emissions elsewhere in the world. Although indirectly caused by (5) 'Embodied' pressures refers to pressures which have taken place along the full production chain of a product from material extraction to sale to the consumer. The European environment | State and outlook 2010 11
  • 14. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment European consumption, these pressures are less visible to Similarly, while direct material resource use in Europe European policy makers. has stabilised, there are indications that indirect resource use and associated pressures caused by European Multiregional input/output models can be used to estimate consumption are on the increase (EEA, 2005). The environmental pressures embodied in trade between total material consumption (TMC) for Germany, that global regions and individual countries. For EU Member includes direct and indirect material extraction caused States on average, 40 % of total CO2 emissions caused by by consumption, fell during the first half of the 1990s national consumption were found to be embodied in goods but has been rising since then, increasing from 69 to imported from both within the EU and from the rest of 74 tonnes per person between 1996 and 2004 (Schulz and the world (Figure 2.3). The figure rises to over 50 % for Bringezu, 2008). Austria showed a 5 % increase in direct some smaller countries including Austria, Belgium, the and indirect material use — measured as Raw Material Netherlands, Denmark and Sweden. Peters and Hertwich Consumption (RMC), excluding unused extraction and (2008) estimate that typically half of embedded CO2 in waste — caused by consumption between 1995 and 2005 imports to EU Member States are associated with goods (Schaffartzik et al., 2008). coming from outside Europe. This 'virtual' trade of environmental pressures is not Due to increasing international trade the shares of necessarily a problem. It merely demonstrates that non‑domestic emissions in the carbon footprints of a different set of measures can be used to reduce EU Member States are likely to be on the increase. In the consumption-caused emissions than may have been cases where imports are sourced increasingly in countries adopted to tackle emissions from domestic industry. with typically less eco-efficient industrial production processes and more impact‑intensive energy mixes than EU Member States (Rørmose et al., 2009) increasing trade 2.4 Environmental pressures might push up carbon footprints of EU countries. caused by different consumption categories Helm et al. (2007), for example, estimated that the GHG emissions associated with consumption in the United The EEA has estimated the environmental pressures Kingdom increased by 19 % between 1990 and 2003. caused by consumption in nine EU Member States (6) Figure 2.3 CO2 emissions caused by consumption in 26 EU Member States, 2004 CO2 emissions (tonnes per person) 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 ria m l Sl nia Sl kia Sp a Sw n Ki den m Bu m ec Cyp a s en ic Es ark Fi ia Fr d ce re y un e Ir ry d y th ia a he ta Po ds nd at for Ro ga ru an al ec i ni i an an ai bl en ar n tv do iu al ga es an n la st a It u ua a to m pu r ge rla m e nl el La M lg lg ov ov rt ng Au G Be er Re Po be era St H Li D G et em v h d M A N te Cz ni U EU Emissions in other countries (embodied in imports for domestic consumption) Domestic emissions (from households and from national production of goods for domestic consumption) Note: CO2 emissions in other countries include emissions in other EU Member States resulting from internal EU trade. Source: Davis and Cadeira, 2010. (6) Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal and Sweden. 12 The European environment | State and outlook 2010
  • 15. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment Box 2.1 Consumption and chemicals There is growing concern about the potential human health and environmental impacts of chemicals in consumer products, in particular persistent and bio-accumulative organic compounds, endocrine-disrupting chemicals and heavy metals used in plastics, lubricants, textiles, cosmetics, dyestuffs, flame retardants, wood preservatives, electronic goods, and food packaging. Exposure to these chemicals is thought to be linked with declining sperm counts, genital malformations, impaired neural development and sexual behaviour, obesity, and cancer. Many of these chemicals leach easily from the products and can be found in the environment — in ambient (urban) air, indoor dust, wastewater, sludge — in some cases at levels high enough to be of health concern (Fisher et al., 2006). Some are highly persistent in the environment where they may undergo further transformation. For example, it has recently been shown that the flame retardant polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDE) exposed to wastewater treatment can generate dioxins (Betts, 2009 — orig. Steen et al., 2009). Widely-used plasticisers such as phthalates and bisphenol A; perfluorinated chemicals used in a variety of commercial applications as water, oil, soil and grease repellents; and brominated flame retardants are most often discussed in this context due to their suspected health effects and ubiquitous presence in the environment. A matter of particular concern is exposure to a mixture of low levels of chemical compounds that may exert synergistic effects, especially in unborn and very young, vulnerable children (ULSOP, 2009). representing 268 out of Europe's 501 million people more important, for example tourism for degradation (Eurostat, 2010) and allocated them to final consumption of coastal habitats, chemicals in consumer products categories. The estimates were made using a single for health impacts and eco-toxicological impacts (see region input-output model. Box 2.1). The majority of four key environmental pressures Pressures caused directly and indirectly along the caused by private and public consumption (7) can be production chain of consumed goods and services plus allocated to the consumption of food and drink, housing direct pressures created during private consumption can and infrastructure, and mobility. These three broad be allocated to 12 broad categories of private household consumption areas are estimated to have contributed consumption as defined under the Classification of 68 % of GHG emissions, 73 % of acidifying emissions, Individual Consumption according to Purpose (COICOP) 69 % of tropospheric ozone precursor emissions and 64 % nomenclature used by Eurostat. When pressures caused of the direct and indirect material input caused globally by private consumption are allocated to these 12 main by consumption in 2005 in the nine countries (EEA areas, food, housing and mobility dominate, followed by and ETC/SCP, 2010; ETC/SCP, 2009). The same critical furnishings and household equipment (Figure 2.4). consumption areas have been identified in other key studies (for example, JRC/IPTS, 2006). The dominance of the first three is partly due to their also being the three private consumption categories in the EU‑27 It should be noted that the single region methodology with highest expenditure (Eurostat, 2009a). However, food used for these calculations assumes that imported goods and mobility, and to a lesser extent housing, are also the are produced with the same resource inputs and emissions areas of private expenditure with the greatest pressures per unit output as those produced domestically. For for each euro spent (Figure 2.5). These three areas are example, agricultural products imported to Sweden are addressed in more detail in Chapters 4–6 of this assessment. assumed to have emitted the same volume of GHGs as if Chapter 5 on housing also covers furnishings and they had been produced in Sweden. This assumption will household equipment. A fourth area, tourism is considered considerably underestimate GHGs embedded in imports in Chapter 7 because of its fast growing contribution to from countries with less efficient production processes environmental pressures from consumption. The pressures (see Rørmose et al., 2009, for Denmark) and thus affect caused by public consumption, meanwhile, can be partially estimates for consumption-based footprints of countries. tackled through green public procurement. This is looked at However, the share of pressures allocated to different in more detail in Chapter 8. consumption categories is expected to be much less affected. Decoupling environmental pressures from growth in private consumption can be achieved by reducing the For other environmental pressure categories not covered pressure intensities within individual consumption by these analyses, for example, land degradation, other categories — through improvements in housing energy consumption areas might also be as relevant or even efficiency, switching transport expenditure from private (7) Including fixed capital formation — investments in machinery, roads, water and sewage networks and other infrastructure. The European environment | State and outlook 2010 13
  • 16. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment Figure 2.4 Direct and indirect global pressures caused by private (household) consumption distributed by consumption (COICOP) category, in selected EU Member States, 2005 Greenhouse gas emissions Acidifying emissions 1.3 % 1.1 % 1.6 % 0.7 % 0.6 % 1.3 % 1.7 % 0.2 % 1.2 % 0.4 % 1.8 % 0.2 % 1.4 % 0.1 % 4.1 % 6.4 % 14.3 % 11.6 % 35.2 % 9.4 % 21.4 % 17.2 % 42.3 % 24.5 % Tropospheric ozone precursor emissions Material use 1.5 % 1.0 % 1.8 % 0.8 % 1.5 % 0.7 % 1.5 % 0.2 % 1.8 % 0.4 % 1.6 % 0.1 % 2.1 % 0.2 % 3.5 % 5.7 % 23.7 % 19.3 % 11.1 % 16.6 % 17.4 % 21.7 % 37.6 % 28.2 % Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Restaurants and hotels Health Transport Recreation and culture Communication Food and non-alcoholic beverages Miscellaneous goods and services Tobacco and narcotics Furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance Clothing and footwear Education Notes: The input/output analysis of NAMEA tables gave estimates of pressures created along the production chains of finally consumed products from 36 individual economic sectors. These were then allocated to the 12 COICOP household consumption areas using a simplified transformation matrix developed by the EEA- ETC/SCP. The pressures allocated to these categories do not include pressures created by public (government) consumption or caused by gross capital formation — the building of roads, water and sewage networks serving households. Source: EEA and ETC/SCP, 2010. cars to public transport, or a shift from spending on categories such as education, communication, or quantity to quality in food, furniture, clothing, etc. recreation and culture — except recreation activities involving intensive use of transport. However, the large differences in environmental pressure intensities found between private expenditure categories Consumption trends appear to have moved modestly (Figure 2.5) highlights a second potential for reducing in the right direction over recent years. Two of the less or decoupling environmental pressures from growth in pressure-intensive categories, communication, and consumption: that of channelling additional expenditure recreation and culture, were the two fastest-growing of growing incomes towards low pressure consumption private expenditure categories in the EU‑27 Member States 14 The European environment | State and outlook 2010
  • 17. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment Figure 2.5 Relative environmental pressure intensities — indexed pressure caused per euro of spending — of private consumption categories in nine EU Member States *, 2005 Pressure intensity relative to average across all consumption categories 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 t s el , ls s re r lth n n us d ic s fu y or ea ge ic io io te rv od r icit ho n ltu s e es ea ot sp at at e ta w ra ho se o rc cu he tr ot H ic uc an d sg ve th en ot ec na un d fo Ed Tr d be an of pm an ou d el an m d d an ne an d m an , s ce ui er n nt an Co tio lla an eq at ng o ra cc od ce ea w au hi en ld ba is Fo , ot s cr nt o st ng ga M ai eh To Re Cl Re si m s e ou ou in h H ut s, ro ng hi is rn Fu Greenhouse gases Acidifying emissions Tropospheric ozone precursors Material consumption Note: * Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal and Sweden. Source: EEA and ETC/SCP, 2010. between 1995 and 2006, increasing by 10.2 % and 4.4 % can lead to overestimates of the levels of decoupling respectively per year (Eurostat, 2009). However, evidence of pressures from growth in consumption, and results from the EEA's NAMEA-based analysis suggests that may therefore differ from findings in other studies (for gains made through such shifts in consumption spending example, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, are relatively modest compared to gains made from 2007). improving eco-efficiencies within individual consumption categories (Figure 2.6). Similar results were found by More rapid decoupling of GHG emissions and material Baicocchi and Minx (2010) for the United Kingdom consumption from consumption expenditure is required between 1992 and 2004. if absolute pressures are to be reduced significantly in the foreseeable future. This will require more eco‑efficient Where decoupling of global GHG emissions and material production of goods, fewer toxic products, more use from growth in consumption was achieved, it resulted, resource‑efficient appliances, buildings and transport in most cases, primarily from eco-efficiency improvements systems, but also widespread fundamental changes in the in production chains, energy efficiency improvements, or type of goods and services we buy. shifts in fuel use. Shifts in spending from more intensive to less intensive consumption categories, for example, Last but not least, current consumption patterns do not from mobility to communication, have contributed only impact the environment, they can also have negative to decoupling to a limited extent. As noted earlier, impacts on health, as concerns about obesity illustrates assumptions concerning pressures embodied in imports (Box 2.2). The European environment | State and outlook 2010 15
  • 18. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment Figure 2.6 Changes in GHG emissions (1995–2005) and material use (2000–2005) caused by national consumption and contributing factors in selected EU Member States Globally induced GHG emissions (tonnes CO2-equivalent per person) 3 2 1 0 –1 –2 –3 –4 –5 –6 Changes in GHG emissions Contribution from growth in Contribution from changes in Contribution from changes in 1995–2005 consumption domestic consumption-mix eco-efficiency Globally induced direct material input (tonnes per person) 3 2 1 0 –1 –2 –3 –4 Changes in material use Contribution from growth in Contribution from changes in Contribution from changes in 2000–2005 consumption domestic consumption-mix eco-efficiency Austria Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Portugal Sweden Note: The left-hand set of bars in each graph show how per-person pressures have developed over the given time interval. The next set of bars indicate how the pressures would have developed over the same period if they were linked to economic growth only. The two sets of bars can be compared to see if decoupling has occurred. For example, the Netherlands showed strongest decoupling in GHG emissions 1995–2005, while Italy showed very little decoupling. The right-hand two pairs of bars demonstrate the extent to which shifts in consumption patterns and improvements in eco- efficiency in the provision of goods and services have contributed to the observed decoupling. Source: EEA and ETC/SCP, 2010. Box 2.2 Health impacts of unsustainable consumption patterns: obesity Current consumption patterns of a large part of the European population, especially in terms of food and mobility, are linked to several health risks, with overweight and obesity issues being of greatest concern because they are linked to serious health problems including cardiovascular disease, diabetes, some types of cancer and reduced life expectancy. Although overweight has many and complex determinants, increasing calorie intake, coupled with a more sedentary lifestyle, is the root of the problem. More than 53 % of the EU population are estimated to be overweight (IASO, 2008), and the numbers are increasing (WHO, 2008). Excessive intake of high-energy food, often cheaper, heavily advertised and more easily available than more healthy food, plays an important role. Although not all healthy food has low environmental impacts and vice versa, several dietary recommendations, such as a higher proportion of cereals, potatoes, vegetables and fruit in diets, and less meat, are beneficial both to human health and to the environment (Figure 4.2). Higher calorie intakes combined with sedentary lifestyles do not only have adverse health effects but also mean that more food has to be produced, resulting in higher life-cycle environmental impacts than diets based on recommended healthy calorie intakes. Insufficient physical activity is another very relevant factor for overweight, obesity, and their related health problems. In addition to individual behaviour/life style-related choices, physical activity depends on many conditions, including mobility patterns, access to walkable neighbourhoods, safe green areas, as well as infrastructure, promoting physical activity. Overweight people report that they walk less (Eurostat, 2006) and tend to live in low-density areas and with a higher dependency on car-based transport, although the nature of this association is highly complex (Scottish Government, 2008; Eid et al., 2007). 16 The European environment | State and outlook 2010
  • 19. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment 2.5 Low-pressure households Figure 2.7 Key differences between — a good example of more equal income low and high environmentally sustainable GHG emitting households in Switzerland consumption? The potential for reducing environmental pressures Relative to median GHG emitting household (median greenhouse gas household = 1) through behavioural change can to a certain extent be identified by analysing differences in the behaviour 3 of households within a single community or country. A number of such studies have been carried out in 3 Europe, for example, Girod and de Haan (2009); Lähteenoja et al. (2008); Brand and Boardman (2008); Vringer and Blok (1995) and OFEV (2006). All 2 these studies found large differences between the environmental pressures caused by households. 2 For example, Brand and Boardman (2008) found that 1 10 % of United Kingdom households were responsible for 43 % of total GHG emissions from mobility. Kotakorpi et al. (2008) found nearly a factor 10 difference in direct 1 and indirect material use caused by the most and least impactful of 26 households studied in Finland. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 A larger-scale Swiss study of 14 000 households found Household decile groups from lowest to that even after adjusting for income differences, highest greenhouse gas emitting households GHG emissions per person varied by a factor of 4, ranging between 60 % and 170 % of the value for the Household GHG emissions mean household (Figure 2.7). Vringer and Blok (1995) Living space (m2) also found large differences in energy use between Dutch Renewable heating ('green heating') households of the same income level. Car use (pkm) Single family house The Finnish and the Swiss studies show that households Note: The households are grouped according to their that cause low environmental pressures tend to live in emission of greenhouse gases. The 10 % of households with highest GHG emissions (group 10) urban areas, use public transport rather than private cars, also had the highest car use, the highest share of use renewable energy for heating, have smaller living single family houses, the largest living space per person and the lowest use of green heating (district space per person, live in apartments rather than single heating or renewables). family houses, and eat less meat and more organic food. Source: Girod and de Haan, 2009. Importantly, low-emitting households spend more on leisure activities and are willing to pay more for quality rather than quantity in the goods they buy. The fact that The types of consumption behaviour shown by the low-emitting households tend to lie in urban areas low‑pressure households in these studies could provide does not mean that urban households on average are a good example for helping shape future consumption lower emitters than rural ones. Rather the infrastructure patterns. The potential for reductions in pressures caused in urban areas more readily allows for reduced carbon by consumption would be even higher than indicated lifestyles by engaged citizens. by the variations between current households when combined with technological advances such as improved Some of the characteristics of low-emitting households efficiency of the housing stock, increasing share of in the studies — use of public transport, living in renewable electricity and improved fuel efficiency of apartments, green heating, etc. — are only available in vehicles. dense urban areas where this kind of infrastructure is economically viable. However, a study of the behaviour Such findings showing large variations in behaviour and GHG emissions of urban households in the city of across society demonstrate the need for focussed policies York, United Kingdom, showed that while those living tailor-made for different social groups. A first stage in in city centres made least use of cars, they were also the tailoring responses to enable greener consumption will households with the highest emissions related to air be to gain an understanding of the key factors shaping travel (Haq and Owen, 2009). consumption behaviour. These are examined in Chapter 3. The European environment | State and outlook 2010 17
  • 20. Thematic assessment | Consumption and the environment 3 Understanding what shapes current and potential future consumption Private consumption is shaped by an array of complex non‑renewable resources in response to global increases and interrelated factors, including demographics; income in demand, and rising food prices (see Chapter 4). These and prices; trade, globalisation and technologies; supply resource price increases were alleviated by the economic of goods and services and how they are marketed; downturn but could well reappear when a period of stable information and transparency on products and services; economic growth returns. policies; housing and infrastructure, as well as social and psychological factors such as habits, culture and taste Rather than growth being a driver of future consumption (Mont and Power, 2010; Power and Mont, 2010). patterns, the potential for growth may in future depend to an increasing extent on how we consume. The economic Some of those factors are very well understood by policy system is increasingly being recognised as being bounded makers — in particular income and prices, while others, by the limits of the ecological system and is heavily such as habits and culture, are typically less understood. dependent on the services that ecosystems deliver to the Future trends in European consumption, and the resulting economy (TEEB, 2008). environmental impacts, will depend on how these many factors develop. Policies at all levels, not only those directed The household savings rate is a key influence on the at consumption, also influence consumption behaviour. extent to which income is translated into material These are dealt with in Chapter 8. consumption; the savings rate in the EU rose by nearly 3 percentage‑points during late 2008 and 2009, and To develop effective policy responses to limit negative started to fall again as consumer confidence increased environmental pressures and impacts from private in the last quarter of 2009 (EC, 2010b). In the longer consumption, there is a need for a better understanding of term, the ageing population could lead to a fall in the the many complex factors that shape people's consumption household savings rate, as older people tend to save less behaviour (PSI, 2006). This chapter provides an overview of than people of working age. the main factors, including how they relate to one another, as well as some possible future developments. The relevance of prices for consumer decisions means that, generally, consumers demand more of any product if the price goes down and less if the price increases. The 3.1 Economic influences on degree of change in demand resulting from a variation consumption in price depends on the price elasticity of that particular product or service. For example, price elasticities for basic The most important factor influencing consumption food items such as bread, milk and eggs are lower than for patterns is the level of disposable income at the individual restaurant meals, as going to a restaurant is much easier to household level (OECD, 2008a). The growth path avoid than purchasing basic food. hypothesis, implying an ever-growing GDP, can be identified as one of the driving forces behind consumption However, the effects of resource use on the environment dynamics. Recent baseline projections published by the EC and society, such as costs of cleaning up pollution or — which take into account the current economic downturn climate change mitigation, are in many cases not included — assume that GDP in the EU‑27 will grow again between in the prices of goods and services. Instead the costs 2010 and 2020 but that this would not compensate GDP associated with negative effects are paid for by the wider losses from the downturn compared to earlier projections society. This lack of internalisation of external effects — (EC, 2010a). However, economic forecasts are very the costs to society of environmental degradation — in the uncertain (see also EEA, 2010b) and recent developments prices of products and services is a market failure driving show that steady growth cannot be taken for granted. consumption patterns based on high resource use. Immediately before the financial and fiscal crises began Economic instruments, such as taxes, can be applied in 2008, other major global economic trends had been to overcome such market failures to ensure that prices making their mark on European consumption patterns. include economic, social and environmental costs (see also These included steeply rising prices of oil, steel and other Chapter 8). Carrying out such adjustments is one of the 18 The European environment | State and outlook 2010