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Chaos Theory

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LIS 404: Principles of Management

Management Theory Presentation: Chaos theory as a management theory for libraries

Chaos Theory

  1. 1. Chaos Theory Julie Goldman
  2. 2. The Butterfly Effect
  3. 3. Jurassic Park The mathematician Ian Malcolm specialized in 'Chaos Theory'. He predicted through his theory that the island will quickly proceed to behave in "unpredictable fashion" and that it was "an accident waiting to happen". The mathematician Ian Malcolm specialized in 'Chaos Theory'. He predicted through his theory that the island will quickly proceed to behave in "unpredictable fashion" and that it was "an accident waiting to happen".
  4. 4. Biology
  5. 5. Survival
  6. 6. Chaos Theory you've never heard of chaos theory? non-linear equations? strange attractors?
  7. 7. Overview Scientific Management Frederick Winslow Taylor closed system Systems Theory Ludwig von Bertalanffy organization as organism open system
  8. 8. Edward Lorenz environment is not predictable computer program to simulate weather small changes drastic changes
  9. 9. What is Chaos Theory? complicated nonlinear dynamic systems nonlinear: change in one variable doesn’t produce the same change or reaction in related variables dynamic: anything that moves, changes or evolves in time external and internal “disturbances” may significantly alter the behavior and structure of the systems. They may appear irregular and unpredictable, yet maintain an underlying patterns that has a “hidden” recognizable form. external and internal “disturbances” may significantly alter the behavior and structure of the systems. They may appear irregular and unpredictable, yet maintain an underlying patterns that has a “hidden” recognizable form.
  10. 10. Main Points complex systems have underlying order simple systems produce complex behavior
  11. 11. Chaos systems appear chaotic and disorderly management must know how to control the work patterns when the organization is thrown off equilibrium and existing in a state of chaos
  12. 12. Change most people hate change they think it... must be dealt with and managed when in fact they should... influence the processes behind it
  13. 13. But... the world is constantly changing organizations can not plan for the future organizations can not predict the forces they will have to deal with can this management theory of chaos provide guidance to help them survive?
  14. 14. How to Deal discover nature and source of change understand what is going on in the world and the logic driving such forces influence processes that produce change initiating small changes can produce larger effects and big changes
  15. 15. Self-Organization people spontaneously reorganize into something complex and unexpected systems within the organization will self- organize by modifying their structures to adapt, survive, grow, and develop spontaneously create order from chaos
  16. 16. Issues forces that can’t be controlled self-organization doesn’t always work scientific managers of today must study their own organizations in order to learn the most effective processes to make changes happen scientific managers of today must study their own organizations in order to learn the most effective processes to make changes happen
  17. 17. Chaos in Libraries organizations function like organisms they will only survive if they adapt to environmental change spontaneously self-organize into something complex and unexpected
  18. 18. Libraries complex, nonlinear systems underlying order of: well-developed employee culture established rules policies procedures
  19. 19. Libraries internal and external processes leads to chaos within the organization must change and evolve to meet the changing needs of the community
  20. 20. Technology
  21. 21. Oh no...
  22. 22. Public Libraries electronic vs print listen to patrons assistance troubleshoot licensing and cost
  23. 23. Use Chaos to deal with change: acquire information flexible work arrangements diverse staff pursue learning and innovation
  24. 24. Management Plan remain calm, encouraging, flexible understand the big-picture communication with stakeholders employees patrons government/town/funding source
  25. 25. Manage Change profession must change and evolve to meet changing needs of the community commitment to core values maintain clear mission ability to be flexible open boundaries with environment understand driving forces
  26. 26. This is Life

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