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Drie june 2011

DRIE Central Luncheon, June 2011
Presenter: Michael Dudley, Research Associate, Institute of Urban Studies, University of Winnipeg

How many recent natural disasters that have befallen
metropolitan areas in the past several years (forest fires, floods and earthquakes) aren't so much "natural" but are instead the result of (or
exacerbated by) poor planning decisions in the past, such as building on flood plains and other vulnerable locations, but that our "psychology of
previous investment" prevents us from altering our building patterns? As well, our rigid, centralized "big pipes" approach to city building,
infrastructure and commodities makes our cities vulnerable to shocks and
system breakdowns, such as those associated with energy prices and availability. The presentation will argue for the incorporation of resilience principles in urban planning, which in many ways will mean a return to historical practices and forms.

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Drie june 2011

  1. 1. Planning for ResilienceDisaster Recovery InformationExchange, June 23rd 2011
  2. 2. The Evolving Nature of DisasterPlanning and Crisis: a ProblematicRelationshipA New Narrative: From Sustainability toResilienceA “New Urban Operating System”Planning for Resilience
  3. 3. Sascha Grant, flickrExtreme weather / Climate change RaeA, flickr
  4. 4. Technological failures / Limits of technology Inhabitat.com Americablog
  5. 5. Pt. 1: The Evolving Nature of Disaster
  6. 6. Japan Prepared for Disaster – but not toRespond?“Japan’s Full — and Perplexing — Recovery Needs” by Edward J.Blakeley Reputation for disaster preparedness Unable to respond effectively Strongly hierarchical, insular and conformist society …Decentralized, spontaneous response Lack of flexibility and adaptability
  7. 7. Creativity+Timothy Hamilton [flickr] Nature of disaster risk must be continually beredefined with changes to urbanization and socio- economic conditions (Mitchell 1999) Bekbek 75, flickr
  8. 8. The Evolving Nature of Disaster Increasingly urban: uncontrolled, inappropriate and conventional Governance: Incommensurate with growing demands Political Economy: Economic crisis, decline of the State
  9. 9. Seven Attributes of CrisisSituations (Alterman 2002) High degree of uncertainty and dependence on exogenous variables High degree of change High magnitude of risks and perceived threats System wide and complex anticipated impacts
  10. 10. Seven Attributes of CrisisSituations (Alterman 2002) Low degree of knowledge and understanding; existing solutions inadequate Challenge to the “symbolic” level [goals, norms and values]; low degree of goal consensus Urgency; high cost to delay
  11. 11. Pt 2: Urban planning and crisis: A problematic relationship
  12. 12. Urban Planning
  13. 13. (Hayden & Warr)
  14. 14. Rational Process Planning Assess Alternative Plan Scenarios Select the Preferred Alternative Implement the Plan Monitor, Evaluate and Revise the Implementation Identify New Problems and Begin the Process again
  15. 15. Five questions of urban planning What is the justification of planning? What values are incorporated within planning? What ethical dilemmas do planners face? How can planning be effective within a mixed economy? Style of planning: what do planners do?
  16. 16. Who Does Planning? City and County Planners City Council members Board of Supervisors Redevelopment Agencies Federal Department of Housing and Urban Development Local Non-profit Organizations International Organizations Community Activists Community Business Leaders
  17. 17. Where does Planning Occur in theDevelopment Process? Home & Community Development Neighborhood Revitalization Planning Economic Development Planning Response to Economic, Political and External Activities. Land Use Decision Making General Overall Change in Local and World Activities.
  18. 18. Assumptions of Rational PlanningOnly Facts Exist No values (subjective belief systems) All variables exist within an interconnected and closed system (no unforeseeable variables)A Rational-Deductive sequence of events If ‘A’ happens, then ‘B’ will follow No need for political strategies Not suited for crisis or unforeseen events
  19. 19. What is the Justification ofPlanning? It is possible to rationally plan for the future by analyzing and integrating as many variables as possible Planning is primarily technical, professional and apolitical There is a unitary public interest; The goals of planning are universally shared
  20. 20. What is the Justification of Planning?To Serve the “Public Interest” (or “Public Good”) -- this is the Legal justification for PlanningSocial Equity = Fair access and distribution of public goods -- this is the Principal moral justification guiding public/governmental actions
  21. 21. Ethical Dilemmas in Planning Planning is inherently distributional Planning is inherently political Planning as a profession cannot adopt a cohesive political philosophy, but planners as individuals do
  22. 22. Dominant ParadigmComprehensive / Rational model of problem solvingSense of scientific “detachment” and unaffectedobjectivityNon-politicalEfficiency: e.g., circulation of people andcommoditiesNormative middle-class aspirations
  23. 23. Rational Process PlanningBasic Steps: Identify a Problem Identify a Goal Collect Background Data Identify a Means of Assessing Alternative Plan Scenarios Identify Alternative Plan Scenarios
  24. 24. Pruitt-Igoe
  25. 25. “Wicked Problems”(Rittel & Webber 1973)Goals and objectives, as well as means to achieve them, are often uncertain “wicked problems” concerned primarily with public issues broadly defined groups/clients diverse interests
  26. 26. “Wicked Problems”(Rittel & Webber 1973) There is no definitive problem formulation Every problem is unique Every problem a symptom of another problem Problems can be explained in numerous ways; each explanation leads to different approaches
  27. 27. “Wicked Problems”(Rittel & Webber 1973) No stopping rule Solutions not right or wrong, but better or worse No ultimate test of solutions Every attempt counts Planner has no right to be wrong
  28. 28. Source: parmo [flickr.com]
  29. 29. Postmodern response:• Discontinuity• Complexity• Contingency• Diversity
  30. 30. Pt. 3: A new narrative: From“Sustainability” to “Resilience”
  31. 31. Resilience(Summarized in Dudley 2010) self-organization flexibility and adaptation through redundancy distribution of resources the development of learning capacity loosening of interconnections
  32. 32. Resilience vs. SustainabilityAndrew McMurray, “The Rhetoric of Resilience”Alternatives 36: 2 1010, p. 22.“Resilience implies action: to be resilient. Resilience implies an inner toughness: the strength, as its etymology tells us, to jump back to a previous state. Sustainability, by contrast, suggests a defensive posture, a desire to stay the same, to resist change without the…ability to push back against change and win out. Resilience also connotes a measure of risk, while sustainability suggests that systems are set: they simply need to be cared for and so carried forward...”
  33. 33. Coast guard News [flickr] Adrian DP [flickr] ChrisGoldNY [flickr]
  34. 34. Renewable EnergyBelfinger berger [flickr] ThinkGeoEnergy [flickr] BoyReale [flickr]
  35. 35. Dispersed Utilities Gadjo Sevilla [flickr]
  36. 36. Local Agriculture Edibleoffice [flickr]
  37. 37. Local/Regional Economies Leo Reynolds [flickr]
  38. 38. Hierarchy of Sustainable TransportationPayton Chung [flickr] ACTransit [flickr]
  39. 39. Ecolabs [flickr]
  40. 40. “A Paradise Built in Hell”Solnit, 2009 Spirit of cooperation under crisis and disaster situations “Disaster utopias” Over-reaction by panicked authorities Contrast: “Slow-motion disaster” of everyday life
  41. 41. Ron Sombilon [flickr]
  42. 42. William Hutton Jr. [flickr]
  43. 43. Charlie Essars [flickr]
  44. 44. Building with Natural ProcessesHough, “Cities and Natural Process” 2004 Process-oriented: dynamism, change over time, rather than frozen Economy of means Connectedness – regional – watershed, bioregion Awareness of natural processes Diversity Development as environmental enhancement Make life-sustaining processes visible
  45. 45. Resurgence 241 March April 2007 p. 6
  46. 46. Pt. 4: A New “Urban Operating System”(Chris Turner, author of The Geography of Hope)
  47. 47. Faceless b [flickr]
  48. 48. Faceless b [flickr]
  49. 49. Faceless b [flickr]
  50. 50. Faceless b [flickr]
  51. 51. Planning for Resilience Anticipate discontinuity Self-organization Increased learning capacity Adaptive strategies: Improvization and invention Loosening of interconnections Contingency: Procedures must always be open to change Renewed narrative of community, cooperation and common purpose Anticipate generosity and mutuality
  52. 52. Faceless b [flickr]
  53. 53. Michael Dudleym.dudley@uwinnipeg.ca
  54. 54. SourcesAllmendinger, Philip (2002). Planning theory. New York : Palgrave, 2002.Allmendinger, Philip (2001). Planning in postmodern times. New York : Routledge,.Alterman, R. (2002). Planning in the Face of Crisis: Land and Housing Policies in Israel. London: Routledge.Boyer, M. Christine. (1986, c1983). Dreaming the rational city : the myth of American city planning. Cambridge, Mass. : MIT Press,Campbell, Scott & Fainstein, Susan (Eds). (2003). Readings in planning theory 2nd ed. Malden, MA : Blackwell Pub.Dudley, M. (2010). “Resilience.” In N. Cohen, (Ed). Green Society: Green Politics. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE.Hayden, D. & Warr, J. (2004). A Field Guide to Sprawl. New York: W.W. Norton & Co.Jepson, Edward J., Jr. (2001). Sustainability and Planning: Diverse Concepts and Close Associations. Journal of Planning Literature 15 (4). pp. 499-510.Mandelbaum, Seymour J. Mazza, Luigi & Burchell, Robert W. (Eds) (1996). Explorations in planning. New Brunswick, N.J. : Center for Urban Policy Research, Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey.McDonald, Geoffrey. (1996). Planning as sustainable development. Journal of Planning Education & Research 15. Pp. 225-236.Mitchell, J.K. (1999). Crucibles of Hazard: Mega-Cities and Disaster in Transition. Tokyo: UNU Press.Ritel, H. & M. Webber. (1973) “Dilemmas in a General Theory of Planning.” Policy Sciences 4, p. 155-169.Sandercock, Leonie. (1998). Towards cosmopolis : planning for multicultural cities. Toronto : J. Wiley.Stein Jay M. (Ed) (2004). Classic readings in urban planning, 2nd ed.Chicago, Ill. : American Planning Association.