SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 15
Download to read offline
CFO Global Insights
                                 What CFOs around the world are
                                 thinking and doing
                                 Third Quarter 2010 Deloitte CFO Surveys:
                                 North America, United Kingdom, Ireland, Spain,
                                 Belgium, Netherlands, Switzerland, Middle East,
                                 Australia, South Korea




Deloitte’s CFO Global Insights
December 2010
About Deloitte’s Global CFO Program                                    Contacts
The Global CFO Program aims to position Deloitte to be the
preeminent advisor to the CFO. Recognizing that the CFO's role         Paul Robinson
has evolved rapidly over the last few years, the Program focuses       Managing Director,
on building relationships and eminence and has successfully            Global CFO Program
captured the attention of the CFO community through surveys,           416-874-3317
forums and executive development programs. The Program has
also produced a rich library of intellectual property, newsletters     probinson@deloitte.ca
and podcasts used to deliver key insights to CFOs in many
different countries.                                                   Dave Walker
                                                                       Program Manager,
About Deloitte’s CFO Surveys                                           Global CFO Program
Seventeen Deloitte member firms have launched CFO Surveys in           514-390-1732
recent years. The objective of the surveys is to collect CFOs’
opinions on a range of areas including economic outlook, financial     davewalker@deloitte.ca
markets, business trends, their organizations, and CFO careers.
The focus of each member firm’s survey may vary.

The composition of the respondent group may vary between             For additional copies of this
surveys. For example, more than 70% of respondents for the
North American CFO Survey are from companies with more than
                                                                     report, please email
US$1 billion in annual revenue and 75% are listed companies.         GlobalCFOProgram@deloitte.com
The respondent group from other surveys may have a different
composition. Please refer to the reports from individual CFO
surveys for details on their participants.

About Deloitte’s CFO Global Insights
The goal of the Deloitte CFO Global Insights report is to provide
highlights of recent CFO survey results from Deloitte member
firms. This issue includes the results of the third quarter 2010
CFO Surveys from the following Deloitte member firms:

•     North America: The tide is turning toward pessimism, but
      not for everyone
•     United Kingdom: Cost control is still king
•     Ireland: Uncertainty rises
•     Belgium: Optimism confirmed by good results
•     Netherlands: Change in funding preferences
•     Switzerland: More appetite for risk
•     Spain: Insufficient measures to combat stagnation
•     Middle East: Resilience for growth
•     Australia: The long haul to recovery
•     South Korea: Optimism in a time of ambiguity



    Contents
    Summary                                                 1
    North America                                           2
    United Kingdom                                          3
    Ireland                                                 4
    Belgium                                                 5
    Netherlands                                             6
    Switzerland                                             7
    Spain                                                   8
    Middle East                                             9
    Australia                                              10
    South Korea                                            11
    Deloitte CFO Surveys                                   12




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                       Deloitte CFO Global Insights   i
CFO Global Insights
Summary for Third Quarter 2010
CFO sentiments in the third quarter generally reflect the current          Gauge of CFO Sentiment*
state of their countries’ economies and opinions about the pace
of recovery. The uncertainty in the global economy has
contributed to the tide turning toward pessimism in North




                                                                               Optimistic
America and the UK, while other countries in the Eurozone and                                        Switzerland
Australia have a generally positive financial outlook.                                               Netherlands
                                                                                                     Belgium
CFOs surveyed in Ireland and South Korea appeared more                                               Middle East
cautious in the outlook for their companies. However, recent                                         Australia
developments around the financial bailout for Ireland and the
tense political situation in the Korean peninsula may portend
increasing pessimism for both these countries.




                                                                               Cautious
In North America, the UK, and other areas where optimism
                                                                                                     Ireland
persists, CFOs report improved access to capital and reduced                                         South Korea
concerns about debt and liquidity. There is an increased
appetite for risk; increased gearing is anticipated in the next year
by UK and Australian CFOs due to positive views on arranging
new credit or issuing debt. The ability to service debt has also
improved for many. Not surprisingly, CFOs in Ireland and Spain
raise concerns about the availability of new credit and difficulty in
obtaining funding.




                                                                               Pessimistic
                                                                                                     North America
Despite a continued focus on cost control, many CFOs are                                             United Kingdom
considering strategies to grow revenues. There is also a desire
to increase their involvement in the strategic decisions of their
companies.
                                                                        *At the time of respective CFO Surveys in the period




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                        Deloitte CFO Global Insights                    1
North America
The tide is turning toward pessimism, but not for everyone
One clear message from our second quarter survey was that,             Highlights from the 3rd Quarter North
despite considerable uncertainty, CFOs were predominantly
optimistic about their companies’ prospects. Although still
                                             .                         American CFO Survey:
present, that sentiment is not as strong as it was in our previous
                                                                       •   Nearly half of CFOs are more optimistic this quarter
survey. The primary reason: much more somber assessments of
                                                                           about their company’s prospects, but pessimism is
what’s happening in companies’ external business
                                                                           growing.
environments.
                                                                       •   Unemployment concerns rose sharply, topping the list of
Sobering global economic conditions                                        economic concerns.

Since the last survey, sluggish consumer spending, declining           •   Sales and earnings expectations are even more
effects of government stimulus, and stagnant job markets in the            optimistic than last quarter, but variability is rising.
                                                                                                                 ability
U.S. and across most of North America, have contri
                                               contributed to a        •   Costs are still a heavy focus, but revenue
slowing economic recovery and volatile equities markets
                                                 markets.                  growth/protection is gaining focus.
Sovereign debt crises and a weakening euro have changed the            •   Competition appears to be heating up with increased
economic landscape in Europe, and China’s tightening of                    challenges around pricing trends, new competitive tactics
monetary policy has raised further fears that global economic              and M&A.
growth will slow.
                                                                       •   Government is still a major focus with changing
                                                                           regulatory requirements topping career and industry
Coming to grips with slowdown implications                                 concerns.
CFOs are clearly concerned about these developments
                                           developments.
                                                                       •   CFOs are not very concerned about debt and liquidity.
                                                                            FOs
Unemployment, which wasn’t at the top of many lists of concerns
last quarter, jumped to the top of this quarter’s concerns
                                                  concerns.
Contributing to this sentiment is increasing unemployment
                             nt
approaching double digits and a decline in housing prices.             Still optimistic, but for how much longer?
                                                                       Despite rising worries about the economy, companies in this
Worries about the impact of unemployment and housing prices
                                                                       survey are still projecting growth on the whole. Year-over-year
                                                                                                                 whole
on consumer spending are reflected in companies’ increasing
                                                                       sales are expected to increase roughly 11% on average, with
focus on revenues. Companies’ concerns about ra    raising and
                                                                       earnings increasing almost 20%. But there is increasing
maintaining demand jumped this quarter, with revenue growth
                                                                       variability across companies. While these numbers are fairly
getting a larger share of their strategic focus. Competition for
                                               .
                                                                       optimistic even when adjusted for volatility, they mask the fact
                                                                                                          r
revenues also seems to be heating up, with growing concerns
                                                                       that many companies still have a long way to go before
about pricing trends, new competitive tactics, M&A, and the
                                                                       returning to their pre-recession trends.
success of new initiatives.

With the slowdown of global economies has come increased               The blurry road ahead
fear of a volatile or prolonged recovery. The good news is that        Variability in companies’ outlooks obscures the picture of what
CFOs don’t consider a W or “double-dip” recovery a likely
                                      dip”                             to expect next. Whom should we believe – those whose
scenario in their business planning (only 9% do) The “less-
                                               do).                    optimism is still rising, or those who are becoming more
good” news is that they don’t generally expect the faster              pessimistic?
recoveries associated with a “V” or a “U,” either More than half
                                           either.
expect a “bathtub” shaped recovery (a “U” with a wider bottom)
                                                        bottom).       As employment and economic recovery sputter, pessimism
One in ten expects an “L” recovery.                                    seems to be gaining more momentum than optimism does. Are does
                                                                       these just the first people to reach the top of the rollercoaster
                                                                                                                           rollerco
All eyes are still on government, both because of the effects          and see the decline ahead?
policy will ultimately have on the broader economy, but also
because of the effects it will have on competitive environments        An equally strong argument might be made for why a
within and across industries.                                          substantial portion of companies will not only survive but thrive
                                                                       during a period of cheap capital, effective austerity measures
Little concern about debt and liquidity                                and substantial long-term growth opportunities (both organic
                                                                                             term         opportunit
                                                                       and inorganic). Could this be a retrenchment and
CFOs – at least those of very large companies – are not overly
                      se
                                                                       strengthening period that leads to bigger and better things for
concerned about debt and liquidity. Fewer than one  one-third place
                                                                       some companies?
capital availability and cost in their top three economic concerns
                                                           concerns.
Only one in ten CFOs names sourcing capital a top three                Based on this survey, we could well be seeing a bifurcation of
company challenge. Fewer than half of CFOs indicate they have          the business environment, where large, healthy companies
debt-reduction strategies that rely most heavily on cash reserves
      reduction                                                        (like the majority of those involved in this survey) have superior
and operating cash flows (rather than asset sales and equity           capital access and costs that provide substantial competitive
offerings).                                                            advantage.




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                                Deloitte CFO Global Insights    2
United Kingdom
Cost control is still king
The 2010 third quarter Deloitte CFO Survey, published on 11th          Highlights from the 3rd Quarter UK CFO
                                                                        ighlights
October 2010, shows that CFOs believe their businesses are
facing elevated levels of economic uncertainty. Their optimism         Survey
about the financial outlook for their own business dropped in the
                                                                       •   Optimism has declined for the third consecutive quarter.
                                                                                                                           quarter
third quarter to the lowest level since 2009 spring.
                                                                           CFOs believe their business face elevated levels of
While the economic outlook is uncertain, credit conditions have            economic uncertainty.
continued to improve. CFOs now see the cost of new credit as           •   The credit and financial crisis for the larger UK
being lower than at any time since the CFO Survey started in the           corporates seems to be over. Corporate credit
third quarter of 2007. Perceptions of credit availability rose             availability rose at the fastest pace since the Survey
                                                                                                 he
sharply in the third quarter. For the first time, more CFOs have
             e                                                             started in the third quarter of 2007.
rated credit as being “available” than “hard to obtain”.
                                                                       •   Debt capital is seen as cheap and increasingly attractive.
                                                                                                                          attractive
CFOs think that excessive leverage in the corporate sector as a            CFOs are increasingly willing to contemplate raising
whole has been largely eliminated. With interest rates seen as             gearing.
being at very low levels and credit increasingly available, CFOs
                    vels                                               •   CFOs are positive about revenues, margins and cash
expect to increase their demand for credit over the next year.             flow, but are cautious about hiring and discretionary
                                                                                       e
                                                                           spending.
Over the last year, the UK has seen an economic recovery,
which, by historical standards, has been fairly robust.                •   For a majority of CFOs, cost control remains the top
                                                                            or
Nonetheless, CFOs have remained cautious about the
                                          utious                           priority.
sustainability of the recovery. As a result, CFOs have maintained
a strong focus on controlling costs. This remained CFOs’ top
priority in the third quarter. Cash flow is a lesser concern than a
year ago, a change which reflects improved c     credit availability
and stronger corporate cash flow. Expansionary strategies,
including introducing new services and expanding by acquisition,
feature as prominent priorities and testify to a continued search
by the corporate sector for growth opportunitie
                                      opportunities.

Despite all the uncertainties, CFOs are positive on the outlook
for corporate revenues and profit margins over the next 12
months. CFOs also see capital expenditure rising over the next
year. But, with cost control at the fore, the balance of opinion is
that hiring and discretionary spending will shrink over the next
year.

So, overall, the good news from this quarter’s CFO Survey is
that large UK corporates are finding it easier to raise capital.
CFOs are positive on the outlook for corporate revenues an  and
profits; many are looking for growth opportunities. Yet one of the
dominant features of this Survey during the recession persists a
year into the recovery - in an environment of uncertainty cost
control is king.




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                              Deloitte CFO Global Insights       3
Ireland
Uncertainty rises

Dark clouds                                                           Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Ireland CFO
The key challenges to the Irish economy are well documented at        Survey:
this stage – the budget deficit and the cost of bailing out banks.
Some clarity is being brought to the scale of these challenges        •   Market risk is the biggest concern: 58% of respondents
and, over the coming months, the measures that will be put in             identify market risk as their most worrying risk.
                                                                                                             worr
place to redress them will be revealed by Government. The most        •   Expectations of revenue and turnover still broadly
significant event in the coming quarter will be the announcement          positive: almost 60% of CFOs are anticipating increases
of the Budget 2011, in addition to a four year austerity plan to          in turnover over the next six months, while 30% are
bring the country’s finances back into order. The budget, which           projecting no change.
is being signaled as one of the toughest in years, will now seek
to exceed its initial €3bn deficit reduction target with figures of   •   Cost and availability of credit: the cost of credit remains
€4bn to €5bn being quoted.                                                on an upward trend, with 50% of CFOs expecting market
                                                                          interest rates to increase over the next 6 months.
                                                                                                                       months
Competitiveness is also a key challenge but also one of the           •   Selective recruitment and high skills availability: over half
                                                                            elective
enablers of a return to growth. The Annual Competitiveness                of respondents indicated that their companies are
Report 2010, prepared by the National Competitiveness Council             currently recruiting; however, in many cases this is for
                                                                                                             man
in July had some positive messages but gains have to be                   very specific roles, rather than large scale increases in
maintained and interest and exchange rates pose additional                staff numbers.
threats.
                                                                      As for profit, a significant proportion (61%) of CFOs surveyed
While the Government has been able to raise bonds on the
                                                                      anticipates some continuing improvements in profitability,
international market, these have been at substantially higher
                                                                      again continuing the positive trends of previous quarters. Only
costs with ratings agencies again downgrading Ireland’s ratings
               ngs
                                                                      9% of respondents are anticipating a decrease in profitability.
status. With the Government not needing to return to the bond
market until Spring 2011, budget measures over the next few
months are critical to ensure a stable supply of funds.               Cost and availability of credit continues to
                                                                      clog up the system
... with a silver lining?                                             We have consistently highlighted in our surveys that the high
It’s not all doom and gloom out there though. Our topical
   s                                                                  cost and lack of availability of credit is hindering business in
questions this month show that in terms of competitiveness, the       the Irish market, particularly smaller companies, and this
Irish labour market is at last starting to readjust to expected       quarter is no exception. While the Deloitte UK CFO Survey for
norms with 88% of CFOs stating that salary expectations are           Quarter 3 has shown a dramatic rise in credit availability and a
average or low. The survey results also indicate that CFOs
              ow.                                                     reduction in cost in the UK, our survey reports that Irish
                                                                                                                 rep
believe that the quality of available resources is also high.         companies continue to be challenged by the availability of new
Standard and Poor’s have further highlighted this perception by       credit and that there is widespread difficulty in obtaining
stating that Ireland’s economy will recover more quickly than         funding, be it from banks, equity release or bonds.
several other European countries as our competitiveness
                       an                                             Respondents rated domestic banks as the most challenging
improves due to the flexible labour market. Also, the agency          source of credit with 54% of CFOs considering that it is still
does not detect ‘reform fatigue’ in Ireland’s politicians, and        very hard or somewhat hard to obtain credit domestically.
believes that concerns about fiscal and political risks to the
country are exaggerated.                                              Market risk is the key worry
Alongside this, 24% of CFOs are now looking to reverse some of
      side                                                            Market risk has emerged as the key concern facing CFOs with
the cost reduction measures implemented during the initial            58% ranking it as their highest concern. Respondents cited
                                                                                                                    Responden
stages of this recession. CFOs are also still confident in their      fears of a double dip, deterioration in customer confidence,
own company’s ability to return to growth in the short term with      lack of credit, the impact of Budget 2011, and confidence in the
over 40% stating that their company has already done so.              Irish economy as just some of the key market risks companies
                                                                      are currently managing. Strategic, operational and financial
                                                                      risks were significantly less of a priority for CFOs.
Expectations of revenue and turnover still
broadly positive                                                      What to expect from next quarter will be a key milestone in our
                                                                      country’s economic landscape. The budget that will be
Almost 60% of CFOs are anticipating increases in turnover over
                                                                      announced in December 2010 will have significant implications
the next six months, while 30% are projecting no change.
                                                                      for all of our economic futures. Our survey will have a budget
                                                                                           ic
Another positive finding is a fall in the number of CFOs
                                                                      focus with topical questions covering some of the key issues
predicting a decrease in turnover. These figures continue the
                                                                      surrounding Budget 2011 and will contain key insights from
trend in previous quarters with a broadly positive outlook for
                                                                      CFOs on the impact of the budget on their companies and the
growth in turnover, perhaps reflecting the high percentage of the
                                                                      economy.
respondents whose businesses trade internationally. However,
                                        e
analysis of the underlying data indicates that no CFO expects
significant turnover growth in the next six months, demonstrating
that optimism is being tempered by continuing uncertain
economic conditions and the expectation tha Budget 2011 could
                                             that
have a negative impact on consumer confidence and spending
power in the domestic market.



© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                              Deloitte CFO Global Insights         4
Spain
Insufficient measures to combat stagnation

Fragile economic recovery                                              Highlights from the CFO survey for the
CFOs have not changed their views on Spain’s economic                  period March 2010 - September 2010:
situation, since 84% of them continue to believe that it is poor or
very poor. In addition, macroeconomic indicators point to a delay      •   84% of CFOs consider Spain’s economic situation to be
in economic recovery. The survey conducted in March 2010                   bad or very bad, while 61% expect recovery to begin in
showed that 84% of CFOs expected recovery to take place                    2012.
before 2012 (during second half 2010 and 2011), but now, 61%
                          nd                                           •   Three quarters of the respondents believe that the
believe that Spain’s recovery will occur in 2012 or later.                 Spanish economy will remain in a stage of stagnation or
                                                                           recession for the next 12 months despite a recovery in
Moreover, from a global perspective, 76% of CFOs expect the                the global economy.
Spanish economy to be in a stage of stagnation or recession for
the next 12 months, while almost all respondents anticipate that       •   40% of respondents indicated that the yields on
                                                                                                                  yield
the global economy will begin to recover.                                  sovereign bonds are at high or very high levels.
                                                                                                            ry
                                                                       •   CFOs considered government reform in the labor market
Inadequate or inappropriate measures                                       to be "adequate but insufficient", and would like to see
Almost half of all respondents consider measures taken by the              more market flexibility.
government in response to the Spanish economic situation as            •   Most respondents feel that the fiscal policy measures are
"appropriate but not sufficient”, while 45% believe that they “are
                        ficient”,                                          inadequate and call for reducing the tax burden.
                                                                                                                     burd
not appropriate."                                                      •   In the area of public expenditure, it is necessary to
CFOs believe it is necessary to have greater labor market                  deepen the cut in current operating expenses and to
flexibility, increased training, and reform in the education system.       increase investment in productivity.
They also propose reducing the tax burden, increasing control of       •   With respect to the financial system, initiatives to
current expenditure at all levels of government, and increasing
  urrent                                                                   enhance liquidity and access to finance are considered
investment in infrastructure.                                              necessary to complete the process of sector reform.

Regarding the financial system, Financial Directors propose            •   Default risk is perceived to be the greatest risk to
measures to facilitate access to financing and improved flow of            operations of companies in the coming months. The
                                                                                                   ies                          T
liquidity, to increase control and transparency, and to complete
                                      nsparency,                           financial position of the public sector is one of the
the process of financial sector reform.                                    greatest concerns.
                                                                       •   Expectations of the ability to repay debt in the next three
                                                                                                            pay
The Public Sector financial position increases                             years have improved.
the risk of default                                                    •   The demands on the CFO and the challenges that
                                                                             he
                                                                           financial departments face are mainly related to business
Most respondents did not see signs of decline in major risk
                                                                           strategy and operational priorities, as well as liquidity and
factors affecting the operations of their companies
                                          companies.
                                                                           obtaining funding.
Specific risks are still concentrated in the areas of access to
capital, economic recovery, falling demand, and consumer
        ,
confidence and default. This last factor is the main concern in        Challenges of the Finance Function
                                                                            enges
financial management, with many respondents citing the difficult       As operations and results become stabilized, financial
financial situation in the Public Sector as one of the reasons for
       ial                                                             departments must confront the challenge of participating in the
the risk.                                                              decision-making process.

Confidence in debt repayment ability                                   Thus, according to respondents and in line with the risks
                                                                       identified, the main challenges facing Financial Directors are
                                                                                              allenges
Most respondents felt that their ability to repay debt will increase
                                                                       encouraging and influencing decisions on business strategy
in the next three years. This will be driven by anticipated cash
                                                                       and operational priorities, and seeking financing while
flow generated from disposal of assets, companies and
                                                                       maintaining an acceptable cost of capital.
businesses.




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                               Deloitte CFO Global Insights         5
Belgium
Optimism confirmed by good results

Higher confidence and good actuals                                      Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Belgium
                                                                                     om
Financial optimism decreased somewhat as compared to the                CFO Survey:
previous survey, but remains strong. Belgian CFOs almost
unanimously expect sluggish but albeit sustained recovery of the        •   The growing optimism the survey has reported since the
economy. More than 80% of CFOs report the actual financial
                                             he                             first quarter of 2010 remains strong and has translated
results of their organizations are on budget. As in the previous            into good financial results. More than 80% of CFOs
quarter, 40% of CFOs report having outperformed their company               report the actual financial results of their organizations
                                                                                                                         organizati
budgets. The proportion of CFOs expecting declining cash flows              are on budget. 40% have exceeded expectations.
continues to shrink quarter by quarter.                                 •   The demand for product and services started to
                                                                            accelerate last quarter for a third of the surveyed
The growing optimism the survey has reported since the first
        rowing                                                              organizations. For the first time since the launch of the
quarter of 2010 has translated in good company results
                                                   results.                 survey, expectations related to the timing of demand
                                                                                                                           de
Demand for products and services have started to accelerate in              acceleration have not been pushed backwards in time.
the third quarter for 1/3 of the surveyed organisations For the
                                          organisations.
first time since the launch of the survey the expectations on the
              ce                                                        •   The financial repair which started slowly in the beginning
timing of accelerated demand for products and services did not              of this year has further strengthened. Contrary to what
move backwards. At present, the majority of CFO’s expect the                CFOs expected in the 2009 editions of the CFO survey,
acceleration in demand before or in the second half of 2011.                credit is widely available and bank borrowing is a very
                                                                                                         d
                                                                            attractive source of financing.
Financial repair accelerates                                            •   The outlook for corporate financing in the coming years is
Contrary to CFO expectations as reported in the 2009 editions of            positive, with a majority of CFOs expecting a stable and
this study, the financial repair that had started slowly in the             relatively low cost of capital, and an increasing availability
beginning of this year is further strengthening Credit conditions
                                   strengthening.                           of equity capital.
have continued to improve faster than initially anticipated.            •   Expansion and growth are high on the agenda of the
                                                                            surveyed CFOs, with 35% of CFO’s considering an
CFOs now see the cost of new credit as being lower than at any              acquisition or merger. Although expectations on M&A
time since the CFO survey started. For the first time since the             activity have been bullish for 18 months already, cheap
launch of the survey, more CFOs have rated bank borrowing as                financing and strong cash positions might finally boost
                                                                                                                       fina
being “cheap” rather than “costly”.                                         transactions.
The credit crunch seems to have come to an end as well:                 •   CFO confidence in domestic politics has plummeted in
perceptions of credit availability rose sharply in the third quarter
                                                             quarter.       the last quarter, with the political standstill seen as a
With interest seen as being at very low levels and credit                   missed opportunity. 80% see room for government to
increasingly available, corporate demand for credit is starting to          stimulate the economy. Two third of surveyed CFOs
rise. The attractiveness of bank borrowing is still at its highest
                         s                                                  report the political uncertainty will impact their business
level since the start of the survey.                                        negatively.
                                                                        •   Coming out of the recession, the role of the CFOs shifts
Optimization of corporate financing                                         from operator and steward (guiding their organisations
The downturn period witnessed significant changes in the                    through the turbulence) towards strategist and catalyst
balance sheets with corporates running higher levels of cash                roles, influencing the company’s overall direction and
                                                                                                                ove
and liquid reserves and relying more on equity and corporate
                     nd                                                     instilling a financial mindset to execution and risk-taking
                                                                                                                            risk
bonds finance. As a consequence of better credit conditions, the            throughout the business.
attractiveness of bank borrowings as a source for corporate
financing augmented.                                                    That might change. More than half of the CFOs expect their
                                                                        organization to be engaged in corporate activity in the next 12
The general outlook for the future cost of capital stays is             months. Expansion and growth are high on the agenda of the
                                                                                                   owth
optimistic. Half of the CFO’s expect a limited increase in              surveyed CFOs: 40% are considering an acquisition or merger,
the Cost of capital (WACC) over the next 5 years, due to                while 10% are looking into strategic alliances.
an augmentation of the long term interest rates Both debt
                                           rates.                       Debt is cheap and with better than expected company results,
and equity are expected to be available in the future.                  many organisations are building up strong cash positions.
                                                                                                                         posi
                                                                        CFOs that are considering corporate activity report they plan to
                                                                        finance their transactions by means of existing debt facility,
M&A                                                                     new bank loans or existing cash or operating cash flow.
M&A expectations have been bullish for the past 18 months, and
                                  llish
remain strong. In the third quarter, also expectations on private       Going forward
equity activity marked a significant increase. Until now, these
                                             .
bullish expectations have not yet translated into a very active         So overall, the good news from this quarter’s survey is that
                                                                                                                        surve
M&A market.                                                             CFO confidence remains strong and that actual results are
                                                                        overall in line – or even better – than expected. Many CFO’s
                                                                                                                 expected
                                                                        are looking for growth opportunities, and the necessary
                                                                        financing is again available and attractive.
                                                                                                           attractive




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                                Deloitte CFO Global Insights          6
Netherlands
Change in funding preferences

Financial outlook                                                   Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Switzerland
Financial optimism among CFOs recovered this third quarter,         CFO Survey:
returning to the level of 2010 Q1. The cash flow outlook of CFOs
for the next 12 months increased, although the expected             •   CFO optimism about their financial prospects has
increase is relatively modest.                                          recovered from a dip in Q2.
                                                                    •   80% of the CFOs expect their company’s cash flow to
                                                                                            pect
Optimism of CFO’s, about the financial prospects for their              increase over the next 12 months.
company, has recovered this quarter since the level dropped
significantly in Q2. Remarkable is the break between the Dutch      •   Corporate debt is perceived as the most attractive source
and the UK figures. Dutch CFO’s are far more optimistic about           of funding.
their prospects.                                                    •   For the first time, since this survey started, bank
                                                                        borrowing is favoured over equity as a funding source.
CFO optimism about their free cash flow expectations has also
recovered in comparison to last quarter. 80% of CFOs expect         •   60% of the CFOs expect to arrange new funding over the
their free cash flow to increase over the next 12 months. 55%           next 12 months.
expect an increase of 1% - 10%.                                     •   Three-quarters of the CFOs will refinance (parts of)
                                                                              quarters
                                                                        current debt positions over the next three years.
Risk                                                                •   The level of risk appetite remains unchanged for the
The risk appetite remains at the same level for the fourth              fourth consecutive quarter; one-quarter of CFOs consider
                                                                                                         quarter
consecutive quarter. Given the current market circumstances,
                    .                                                   now a good time to take more risk on the balance sheet.
CFOs have no interest in taking more risk on their balance sheet    •   The outlook for M&A remains high over the next 12
                                                                         he
than one year ago. About one-quarter of CFOs consider now to
                                quarter                                 months, but expectations slightly dropped since the last
be a good time for more risk taking on the balance sheet The
                                      n             sheet.              quarter.
others appear to be awaiting better times.

Almost half of the CFOs continued to reduce their balance sheet
risks over the last twelve months. The number of CFOs who
raised their balance sheet risk over the past year has decreased
substantially. Risk control remains a priority.

Funding
According to the CFOs, funding has become less costly in
comparison to the last quarter. Almost half of the CFOs
consider funding to be easily available. This is due in part to
interest rates remaining low and some banks lowering their
                     ing
surcharge.

The attractiveness of equity as a favourable source of funding
dropped below bank borrowing for the first time since this survey
started. Corporate debt remains the favoured source of funding.
60% of the CFOs are likely to issue debt over the next twelve
              FOs
months. Refinancing of current debt positions does contribute to
this, because three-quarters of CFOs expect to refinance (parts
                     quarters
of) current debt positions over the next three years.

M&A
The outlook of CFOs for mergers and acquisitions is still very
                     s
positive, but expectations about its growth are slightly down in
comparison to the last quarters. The CFOs’ expectations for
Private Equity activity also decreased slightly
                                        slightly.

CFOs’ valuations of equity in general and of their own company
                                    ral
have also not changed much since last quarter Most CFOs rate
                                         quarter.
equity in general and equity of their own company as
undervalued.

Dutch corporate activity is still low with a moderate number of
deals and low transaction values on average However, private
                                        average.
equity activity increased since last quarter according to market
figures.




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                          Deloitte CFO Global Insights       7
Switzerland
More appetite for risk
Stable economic outlook and cautious                                   Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Switzerland
                                                                                    om
financial prospects                                                    CFO Survey:
The last survey, conducted in June 2010, reported a decline in
                                                                       •   Economic optimism among CFOs is broadly unchanged
confidence amongst CFOs. Various macroeconomic events
                                                                           in the third quarter. 65% judge the economic outlook for
influenced the mood of the CFOs and led to deterioration in
                                                                           Switzerland over the next 12 months to be positive.
                                                                                                                     positive
levels of optimism.
                                                                       •   Financial optimism regarding their own business has
Increasing concern about growth across the industrial world has            risen slightly.
led to a new wave of pessimism during the last three months
                                                     months.
                                                                       •   Growth is currently CFOs’ top priority but some defensive
Despite this increasingly negative sentiment Swiss CFOs are
                                                                           strategies such as cost, cash flow and risk management
optimistic about their future prospects.
                                                                           are still considered to be very important.
                                                                                                           important
After a drop in optimism in Q2, the CFOs’ opinion of the Swiss
                               2,                                      •   Exchange rate risk is seen as a high-impact
                                                                                                           high
economy has stabilised and a majority is positive about                    macroeconomic risk.
economic development in the next 12 months Asked about the
                                        months.
                                                                       •   Credit conditions continue to be seen as very attractive.
                                                                                                                            attractive
probability of a “double dip”, an average of only 20% believes
                                                                           CFO sentiment about credit availability is at its highest
this to be a realistic scenario.
                                                                           level since the CFO survey began. 62% describe credit
Financial confidence rebounded after the steep decline last                as cheap.
quarter. The level of confidence amongst CFOs is consistent            •   The process of deleveraging seems to be over. Risk
                                                                             he                                    over
with the cautious mood in financial markets and the concerns               appetite has risen and CFOs on balance plan to raise
about renewed global economic weakness that would also affect              leverage for the first time this year.
Switzerland.

One of this quarter’s special questions concerned the most
         his
important issues on CFOs’ agendas for the next 12 months It is
                                                       months.         Raising credit demand
interesting that “growth” was voted top, showing that many             CFOs are becoming much less “anti” debt. 38% expect their
                                                                                                               debt
believe in a continued recovery. However, the fact that more           demand for new credit to increase over the next year. Only
                                                                                                                          year
defensive priorities (cost, cash flow and risk control) are also
                   s                                                   18% anticipate a decrease in demand. 98% expect their ability
                                                                                                                                  abil
considered crucial shows that CFOs are hedging their strategies        to service their debt-levels to increase or stay the same over
                                                                                             levels
against a potential downside.                                          the next three years.
Responses to the question about current high
                                          high-impact risks            The last three quarters have been a period of volatility. CFOs
                                                                                                                      volatility
showed that macro – not financial – risks dominate the min of
                                                         minds         have now found new optimism after the decline in confidence
CFOs. In particular, a strong Swiss Franc is still seen as a big       last quarter. What emerges from this quarter’s survey is that
                                                                                                              quart
threat to their own businesses.                                        they are looking for opportunities such as growth and at the
                                                                       same time hedging against a possible setback because of
Attractive credit conditions and increasing                            continued uncertainties on a macroeconomic level
appetite for risk
Enthusiasm for bank borrowing and corporate bonds as a source
of finance is at a high, stable level. Credit conditions are further
improving and a majority rate credit as available and cheap.

The corporate sector in Switzerland is seen as correctly
leveraged by 86% of CFOs. Corporates have further de    de-risked
their balance sheets but to a much lesser extent than in the last
three quarters. The process of deleveraging seems to be over over.
Instead, an increased appetite to risk can be observed and a
shift in attitude towards higher gearing which is a clear sign of
rising optimism.




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                              Deloitte CFO Global Insights        8
The Middle East
Resilience for growth
The results of the third quarter survey indicate that despite the   Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Middle East
rising geopolitical tensions, the region is moving forward with
plans for growth and optimism remains high. GDP growth is           CFO Survey:
expected to continue and increase into 2011 supported by
                                                                    •   Optimism among Middle East CFOs edged down
strong spending from the regions’ governments in terms of
                                                                        slightly; however, this is considerably higher than the
infrastructure development, underpinned by resilient oil prices
                                                                        sentiments of CFOs in western countries.
which have increased over the past year into the $80 range.
                                                                    •   78% of CFOs expect demand for their companies’
CFO optimism remains high                                               products to accelerate by the end of 2011.
                                                                    •   CFOs are now significantly less risk averse than any
Middle East CFOs are very optimistic compared to CFOs in the            time in the past year. A net balance of 43% think now is
West. Optimism among Middle East CFOs edged down                        a good time to take greater risk onto their balance
slightly, with respondents reporting greater optimism dropping          sheets, compared to 36% in Q1 2010 and 27% in Q3
from 55% in Q1 2010 to 52% in Q3 2010. However, this is                 2009
quite high compared to the general level of optimism among
CFOs of western countries such as the UK and North America.         •   Companies are not planning to reduce spending and
                                                                        investment as aggressively as they did in the previous
More than three quarters of CFOs expect demand for their                quarters.
companies’ products to accelerate by the end of 2011.               •   CFOs have become much more positive about current
                                                                        debt levels and their debt repayment ability.
Strategies aimed at cost control have
                                                                    •   Despite a slight fall, Bank borrowing continues to be the
reduced in importance                                                   most attractive source of financing for CFOs.
CFOs have become markedly less risk averse over the last            •   A majority of the CFOs are planning to take on more
year. A net balance of 43% think now is a good time to take             debt. Two thirds of CFOs plan to raise financial leverage
greater risk onto their balance sheets, compared to 36% in Q1           over the next 12 months and are likely to issue debt or
2010 and 27% in Q3 2009.                                                arrange new facilities over the next 12 months.

Companies are not planning to reduce spending and                   •   The majority of CFOs are positive on M&A and private
investment as aggressively as they did in the previous quarters.        equity activity in the next 12 months, but this majority
73% of the respondents plan to reduce discretionary spending            has shrunk since last year.
in the latest survey, compared to 90% in the Q1 survey. Only        •   Market risk and operational risks are of the highest
58% now plan to reduce capital spending, compared to 67% in             concern for CFOs. These risks are largely managed by
the Q1 survey.                                                          Chief Risk Officers who report to CEOs.

Confidence in debt repayment ability
                                                                    fallen in the last year from 51% to 42%. In contrast, there are
CFOs have become much more positive about debt levels.              now more CFOs who think equities and government bonds
Only a net balance of 29% of CFOs now think Middle Eastern          are overvalued.
companies are overleveraged compared to 42% in Q1 2010. A
net of 70% of CFOs expect their ability to service their            The majority of CFOs are positive on M&A and private equity
companies’ debt to improve over the next three years, with the      activity in the next 12 months, but this majority is smaller
same percentage believing the availability of debt capital will     compared to one year ago. 61% of CFOs now expect M&A
increase over the next 5 years.                                     activity to increase in the next 12 months, compared to 71%
                                                                    one year ago. The proportion of CFOs expecting private
Despite a slight fall, Bank borrowing continues to be the most      equity activity to increase in the next 12 months fell sharply
attractive source of financing for CFOs. A net balance of 41%       from 70% to 49%. Almost a quarter of the respondents are
rate bank borrowing as attractive, compared to 28% for equity       considering M&A activity over the next 12 months, with 23%
issuance and 26% for corporate bond issuance. There has also        considering a strategic alliance and 21% considering a joint
been a sharp rise in the attractiveness of corporate bond           venture.
issuance, from net 10% to net 26%.
                                                                    Understanding Risk in the Region
A majority of the CFOs are planning to take on more debt. Two
thirds of CFOs plan to raise financial leverage over the next 12    Risk categories which currently concern CFOs the most are
months, and are likely to issue debt or arrange new facilities      market risks (39%), followed by operational, strategic, and
over the next 12 months. A net of 35% of CFOs expect an             financial risks.
increase in debt on their balance sheets over the next three
years.                                                              52% of the survey respondents indicated that risk
                                                                    management is led by Chief Risk Officers who report to
Market outlook – Increase in M&A activity                           CEOs, while 37% report that CFOs have this responsibility.
expected
A large proportion of CFOs consider commercial real estate to
be overvalued. However, the balance taking this view has




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                           Deloitte CFO Global Insights        9
Australia
The long haul to recovery?
               o

Confidence up but CFOs concerned about                              Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Australia
                                                                     ighlights
economic recovery                                                   CFO Survey:
The Deloitte CFO Survey has found that CFOs are more
                                                                    •   55% of CFOs are more optimistic about their financial
                                                                                                       c
optimistic about the financial prospects of their companies than
                                                                        prospects than they were three months ago (40% in Q2).
                                                                                                                            Q2)
they were three months ago (55% compared to 40% in Q2).
                                                                    •   A slow return to growth is expected by the majority of
While confidence has risen compared to last quarter, CFOs are           CFOs (64%). Fewer expect a V-shaped economic
                                                                                                        shaped
less optimistic about the overall pace of economic recovery in          recovery; more now see a ‘bathtub’ shape.
                                                                                                            shape
the medium term. A majority (64%) expect a slow and possibly
                                                                    •   9 out of the top 10 risks are seen as external and beyond
erratic return to growth. There has also been a significant
                                                                        CFOs’ control.
downward shift to 16% (from 28% last quarter) in the number of
CFOs who expect a quick or ‘V-shaped’ recovery
                                  shaped’ recovery.                 •   A third of CFOs believe tax reform should be the newly
                                                                        elected government’s top economic priority.
                                                                                                            priority
A key contributing factor to CFOs’ views about the pace of
                                                                    •   94% of CFOs expect M&A levels to increase over the
economic recovery is the sense that many of the risks to which
                                                                        next year.
their businesses are exposed are outside their direct control
                                       ide            control.
The survey revealed that 9 of the top 10 greatest risks seen by     •   43% of CFOs said it is likely they will undertake an
CFOs are external to their business. The highest nominated risk         acquisition in the next 6 months.
among CFOs was economic recovery, cited by 25% of                   •   61% of CFOs expect demand for credit to rise over the
respondents. This risk was followed by performance, regulatory          next 12 months and 49% aim to increase their level of
change, the possibility of an economic slow-down in China,
                                             down                       gearing.
increasing sovereign risk, the impact of a minority government,
and concern over increasing interest rates.                         •   Most CFOs are upbeat about their companies’ cash flow
                                                                        prospects.
Asked to name what they believed should be the top economic         •   60% of CFOs said it was not a good time to be taking
                                                                         0%
priority for the new government, a third (33%) selected tax
                  ew                                                    greater risk onto their balance sheet.
reform. CFOs identified the Mineral Resource Rent Tax,
corporate tax levels and arrangements to establish a price for      The percentage of CFOs who believe credit is costly has
carbon. Other economic priorities identified were managing the      almost returned to levels recorded in 2009. Regardless, their
                                                                                                          2009
budget by returning to surplus and reducing government debt
                                  d                                 views on arranging new credit or issuing debt continue to be
(15%) and ensuring a stable economic recovery (14%) There
                                                 (14%).             positive, and this quarter’s survey saw a marked rise in the
was also strong recognition of the need for the government to       number of CFOs who said they were likely to do so.
focus on infrastructure spending (15%).
                                                                    The future of capital: a longer term
M&A on the rise
                                                                    perspective
The optimism around M&A activity over the next year continues
this quarter with 94% expecting an increase in M&A levels What
                                                          levels.   In our Australian survey for Q3 2010, the majority of CFOs
is particularly interesting is that 43% of CFOs say that their      expect to increase their total balance sheet debt. Growing
                                                                                                                   debt
company was either ‘extremely likely’ or ‘somewhat likely’ to       financial optimism is reflected in the finding that 77% expect
undertake an acquisition in the next 6 months This response
                                         months.                    their ability to service debt to increase over the next three
indicates the possibility of a strong uplift in the level of M&A    years, 38% significantly so. Only 1% said that their capacity to
activity in the new year.                                           service debt would decline. Where CFOs suggested that they
                                                                    would reduce debt in the future, using cash reserves rather
The lack of suitable targets (41%) is one of the main hindrances    than selling assets or raising equity was the preferred option.
to undertaking an acquisition, followed by the pricing
expectations of vendors (32%). When considering acquisitions,
                                            idering
the top three priorities for CFOs were alignment with strategy
(92%), the impact on EPS (64%) and the impact on cash flows
(39%). Revenue (6%) and market share (5%) were the lowest
ranked priorities.

Financial strategies and views on funding
The expected rise in M&A is further supported with 61% of
respondents forecasting an increased demand for credit in the
next 12 months. CFOs remain upbeat about their companies’
cash flow prospects. 74% were confident that their cash flow will
increase in the coming year, further reinforcing their plans to
     ease
raise gearing levels. Since Q4 2009, there has been little change
in the percentage of CFOs who plan to reduce gearing levels
                                                          levels.
There is a growing expectation that gearing levels will increase,
potentially to fuel increasing aspirations for growth Despite
                                               growth.
these positive signs, 60% of CFOs said now is not a good time
to take greater risk onto their balance sheets
                                         sheets.



© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                           Deloitte CFO Global Insights      10
South Korea
Optimism in a time of ambiguity
CFOs of top South Korean companies are predominantly                      Highlights from the 3rd Quarter South Korea
optimistic about their companies’ prospects despite considerable
change and uncertainty on government policies and currency                Survey:
exchange rates. This is particularly evident in the impact of
                                                                          •   There is a general consensus of optimism amongst
governmental policy during the economic recession, which
                                                                              CFOs regarding their companies’ prospects but they are
resulted in more negative than positive opinion. North American
                                                                              cautious of the potential impact of government policies
CFOs had a similar negative outlook towards the impact of
                                                                              and changes in currency exchange rates.
governmental policy.
                                                                          •   The outlook for company performance is generally
Across industries, CFOs are projecting substantial growth in                  optimistic, with both revenues and earnings expected to
both revenues and earnings (16% and 23%, respectively on                      increase.
average), while costs are expected to be held to a 4-6%
                                                                          •   There is consensus amongst CFOs that their finance
increase. This substantial growth of performance would enable
                                                                              organizations need to be more involved in strategic
companies to invest more aggressively, resulting in increases in
                                                                              decisions; but over 40% of them place a larger focus on
dividends, capital spending and domestic employment (6%, 17%
                                                                              funding and liquidity management.
and 7%, respectively on average). The optimism in South Korea
is similar to North American results, but stands in contrast to           •   The changing business environment (e.g., M&A) is the
Europe, where sovereign debt turmoil is substantially disrupting              top job stress for over 60% of CFOs.
economies and capital markets.                                            •   The challenges of CFOs vary by industry; over 50% of
                                                                              CFOs in the manufacturing and construction industries
Over 50% of CFOs believe that one of their top challenges is
                                                                              believe that competition with foreign companies is their
ensuring an appropriate level of involvement in strategic
                                                                              top challenge, while over 50% of CFOs in other industries
decision-making by either participating directly or providing
                                                                              indicated that it is industry regulation/legislation.
information indirectly to decision makers; however, due to the
economic uncertainty, over 40% of CFOs place a larger
emphasis on ‘ensuring funding, liquidity, and acceptable costs of
capital’. 54% of CFOs believe debt will increase over the next
three years, but 72% also believe that the ability to service debt
will increase, resulting in an overall view that the level of debt will
be manageable.

Over 60% of CFOs believe that ‘major change initiative (e.g.,
M&A)’ is a leading cause of job stress, while about 50% of CFOs
were in agreement that ‘an insufficient support staff (e.g.,
shortage of number)’ is a concern. Additionally, there is
agreement that significant time must be devoted to support
decision-making processes, one of the key capabilities of the
‘strategist’ role.

Some CFOs from varying industries have shown different
opinions regarding their challenges. Over 50% of CFOs in the
manufacturing and construction industries indicated that ‘foreign
competition’ is their top industry challenge, while over 50% of
CFOs from other industries believe it is ‘industry
regulation/legislation’.

Consumer, retail and services industry CFOs have more
pessimistic views about their industry prospects.




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                                Deloitte CFO Global Insights     11
Deloitte CFO Surveys
About Deloitte CFO Surveys
Seventeen Deloitte member firms have launched CFO Surveys in the past few years. The objective of the surveys is to collect CFOs’
opinions on a range of areas including economic outlook, financial markets, business trends, their organizations, and CFO careers. The
focus of each member firm’s survey may vary.

Outlined below are the member firms that currently conduct CFO surveys and their frequency. Click on the country name to be directed to
latest survey results where available.

  Region                 Country                                             Frequency

 Europe, Middle East    Belgium                                             Quarterly
 and Africa
                        Denmark*                                            Bi-annual

                        Ireland                                             Quarterly

                        Israel*                                             Quarterly

                        Middle East                                         Bi-annual

                        Netherlands                                         Quarterly

                        South Africa                                        Annual

                        Spain                                               Bi-annual

                        Sweden*                                             Bi-annual

                        Switzerland                                         Quarterly

                        United Kingdom                                      Quarterly

 Americas               North America                                       Quarterly
                        (Canada, Mexico, United States)

 Asia Pacific           Australia                                           Quarterly

                        South Korea                                         Annual

                        Japan (foreign companies only)*                     Quarterly

*Contact the Global CFO Program for further information, email GlobalCFOProgram@deloitte.com




© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited                                                          Deloitte CFO Global Insights   12
This publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms,
or their related entities (collectively the “Deloitte Network”) is, by means of this publication, rendering professional
advice or services. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business,
you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte Network shall be responsible for any loss
whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication.




www.deloitte.com
Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With
a globally connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and deep local
expertise to help clients succeed wherever they operate. Deloitte's approximately 170,000 professionals are committed to becoming
the standard of excellence.

Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of
member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed
description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms.

© 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited

More Related Content

What's hot

Etude mondiale de PwC sur les priorités des chefs d'entreprise en 2012
Etude mondiale de PwC sur les priorités des chefs d'entreprise en 2012Etude mondiale de PwC sur les priorités des chefs d'entreprise en 2012
Etude mondiale de PwC sur les priorités des chefs d'entreprise en 2012PwC France
 
Global Management Pay Report Hay Group 2009
Global Management Pay Report Hay Group 2009Global Management Pay Report Hay Group 2009
Global Management Pay Report Hay Group 2009Wojciech Boczoń
 
Northstar Quarterly ending Dec 2015
Northstar Quarterly ending Dec 2015Northstar Quarterly ending Dec 2015
Northstar Quarterly ending Dec 2015Adrian Clayton
 
morgan stanley Earnings Archive 2004 4th
morgan stanley Earnings Archive 2004 4th morgan stanley Earnings Archive 2004 4th
morgan stanley Earnings Archive 2004 4th finance2
 
Banc abc botswana pillar iii disclosures final consolidated
Banc abc botswana pillar  iii  disclosures final consolidatedBanc abc botswana pillar  iii  disclosures final consolidated
Banc abc botswana pillar iii disclosures final consolidatedMarius Nel
 
Venture Capital Fundraising Q2 '06
Venture Capital Fundraising Q2 '06  Venture Capital Fundraising Q2 '06
Venture Capital Fundraising Q2 '06 mensa25
 
GSCM fact sheet 2016
GSCM fact sheet 2016GSCM fact sheet 2016
GSCM fact sheet 2016stugreenfield
 
Etude PwC sur le BFR (2013)
Etude PwC sur le BFR (2013)Etude PwC sur le BFR (2013)
Etude PwC sur le BFR (2013)PwC France
 
Business Confidence Index 8: Just the Job
Business Confidence Index 8: Just the JobBusiness Confidence Index 8: Just the Job
Business Confidence Index 8: Just the JobRegus
 
Ceo survey belgium 2012 final
Ceo survey belgium 2012 finalCeo survey belgium 2012 final
Ceo survey belgium 2012 finalvyncke
 
WHV '11AR_Final_PressQuality_Crop&Bleed
WHV '11AR_Final_PressQuality_Crop&BleedWHV '11AR_Final_PressQuality_Crop&Bleed
WHV '11AR_Final_PressQuality_Crop&BleedTlielaxu Miykel
 
Threadneedle investments. perspectivas y visión general de los mercados en 20...
Threadneedle investments. perspectivas y visión general de los mercados en 20...Threadneedle investments. perspectivas y visión general de los mercados en 20...
Threadneedle investments. perspectivas y visión general de los mercados en 20...Observatorio-Inverco
 
Farrell Advisory Closing Performance Gaps EXT LINK
Farrell Advisory Closing  Performance Gaps EXT LINKFarrell Advisory Closing  Performance Gaps EXT LINK
Farrell Advisory Closing Performance Gaps EXT LINKDavid Farrell
 

What's hot (20)

Global Report - CFO Financial Leadership Barometer
Global Report - CFO  Financial Leadership Barometer Global Report - CFO  Financial Leadership Barometer
Global Report - CFO Financial Leadership Barometer
 
Economic Outlook April 2012
Economic Outlook April 2012Economic Outlook April 2012
Economic Outlook April 2012
 
Fairport in Fifteen January 11, 2012
Fairport in Fifteen January 11, 2012Fairport in Fifteen January 11, 2012
Fairport in Fifteen January 11, 2012
 
Etude mondiale de PwC sur les priorités des chefs d'entreprise en 2012
Etude mondiale de PwC sur les priorités des chefs d'entreprise en 2012Etude mondiale de PwC sur les priorités des chefs d'entreprise en 2012
Etude mondiale de PwC sur les priorités des chefs d'entreprise en 2012
 
Global Management Pay Report Hay Group 2009
Global Management Pay Report Hay Group 2009Global Management Pay Report Hay Group 2009
Global Management Pay Report Hay Group 2009
 
Northstar Quarterly ending Dec 2015
Northstar Quarterly ending Dec 2015Northstar Quarterly ending Dec 2015
Northstar Quarterly ending Dec 2015
 
morgan stanley Earnings Archive 2004 4th
morgan stanley Earnings Archive 2004 4th morgan stanley Earnings Archive 2004 4th
morgan stanley Earnings Archive 2004 4th
 
Banc abc botswana pillar iii disclosures final consolidated
Banc abc botswana pillar  iii  disclosures final consolidatedBanc abc botswana pillar  iii  disclosures final consolidated
Banc abc botswana pillar iii disclosures final consolidated
 
Venture Capital Fundraising Q2 '06
Venture Capital Fundraising Q2 '06  Venture Capital Fundraising Q2 '06
Venture Capital Fundraising Q2 '06
 
Principal Financial Group Investor Workshop 2015
Principal Financial Group Investor Workshop 2015Principal Financial Group Investor Workshop 2015
Principal Financial Group Investor Workshop 2015
 
GSCM fact sheet 2016
GSCM fact sheet 2016GSCM fact sheet 2016
GSCM fact sheet 2016
 
Etude PwC sur le BFR (2013)
Etude PwC sur le BFR (2013)Etude PwC sur le BFR (2013)
Etude PwC sur le BFR (2013)
 
Business Confidence Index 8: Just the Job
Business Confidence Index 8: Just the JobBusiness Confidence Index 8: Just the Job
Business Confidence Index 8: Just the Job
 
aer_0708_interesting
aer_0708_interestingaer_0708_interesting
aer_0708_interesting
 
Ceo survey belgium 2012 final
Ceo survey belgium 2012 finalCeo survey belgium 2012 final
Ceo survey belgium 2012 final
 
PwCs CEO Survey
PwCs CEO SurveyPwCs CEO Survey
PwCs CEO Survey
 
WHV '11AR_Final_PressQuality_Crop&Bleed
WHV '11AR_Final_PressQuality_Crop&BleedWHV '11AR_Final_PressQuality_Crop&Bleed
WHV '11AR_Final_PressQuality_Crop&Bleed
 
Threadneedle investments. perspectivas y visión general de los mercados en 20...
Threadneedle investments. perspectivas y visión general de los mercados en 20...Threadneedle investments. perspectivas y visión general de los mercados en 20...
Threadneedle investments. perspectivas y visión general de los mercados en 20...
 
Farrell Advisory Closing Performance Gaps EXT LINK
Farrell Advisory Closing  Performance Gaps EXT LINKFarrell Advisory Closing  Performance Gaps EXT LINK
Farrell Advisory Closing Performance Gaps EXT LINK
 
Decade Of Disruption
Decade Of DisruptionDecade Of Disruption
Decade Of Disruption
 

Similar to Deloitte CFO Global Insights

Moelis company april investor pres_vfinal (1)
Moelis  company april investor pres_vfinal (1)Moelis  company april investor pres_vfinal (1)
Moelis company april investor pres_vfinal (1)Moelis_Company
 
Deloitte cfo survey 2013 q1
Deloitte cfo survey 2013 q1Deloitte cfo survey 2013 q1
Deloitte cfo survey 2013 q1Lorraine Gannon
 
Winter 2011 Newsletter - Business Owners
Winter 2011 Newsletter - Business OwnersWinter 2011 Newsletter - Business Owners
Winter 2011 Newsletter - Business Ownersmfissel
 
Estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo - Credit Suisse Csri...
Estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo - Credit Suisse Csri...Estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo - Credit Suisse Csri...
Estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo - Credit Suisse Csri...FAIR PLAY AD / @VeronicaRRSouza
 
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q2 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q2 resultsThe Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q2 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q2 resultsDeloitte UK
 
2011 nyse euronext ceo report
2011 nyse euronext ceo report 2011 nyse euronext ceo report
2011 nyse euronext ceo report Pim Piepers
 
2012 Q3 NIFCU$ Market Commentary (Article for Credit Unions)
2012 Q3 NIFCU$ Market Commentary (Article for Credit Unions)2012 Q3 NIFCU$ Market Commentary (Article for Credit Unions)
2012 Q3 NIFCU$ Market Commentary (Article for Credit Unions)NAFCU Services Corporation
 
Deloitte SEA CFO Survey Q4 2013_Risk redefined
Deloitte SEA CFO Survey Q4 2013_Risk redefinedDeloitte SEA CFO Survey Q4 2013_Risk redefined
Deloitte SEA CFO Survey Q4 2013_Risk redefinedKarin Jork-Wellbrock
 
2010 nyse euronext ceo report by infogroup
2010 nyse euronext ceo report by infogroup2010 nyse euronext ceo report by infogroup
2010 nyse euronext ceo report by infogroupPim Piepers
 
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q3 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q3 resultsThe Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q3 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q3 resultsDeloitte UK
 
Moelis' 4Q19 Investor Presentation
Moelis' 4Q19 Investor PresentationMoelis' 4Q19 Investor Presentation
Moelis' 4Q19 Investor PresentationMoelis_Company
 
Family Business Australia Economic Update 28 August 2015 FBA format
Family Business Australia Economic Update 28 August 2015 FBA formatFamily Business Australia Economic Update 28 August 2015 FBA format
Family Business Australia Economic Update 28 August 2015 FBA formatDarryl Gobbett
 
Moelis' 3Q19 Investor Presentation
Moelis' 3Q19 Investor PresentationMoelis' 3Q19 Investor Presentation
Moelis' 3Q19 Investor PresentationMoelis_Company
 
April Commentary
April CommentaryApril Commentary
April Commentaryjeffbrownct
 
Moelis Investor Presentation
Moelis Investor PresentationMoelis Investor Presentation
Moelis Investor PresentationMoelis_Company
 
2Q09 Asset Allocation
2Q09 Asset Allocation2Q09 Asset Allocation
2Q09 Asset Allocationcoterieternal
 
Market Perspective - November 2018
Market Perspective - November 2018Market Perspective - November 2018
Market Perspective - November 2018Mark Biegel
 
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q1 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q1 resultsThe Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q1 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q1 resultsDeloitte UK
 
Saff Spring 2010 Newsletter
Saff Spring 2010 NewsletterSaff Spring 2010 Newsletter
Saff Spring 2010 Newsletterdonaldgreen5280
 
Sprung investment management commentary 4th quarter, 2013
Sprung investment management commentary   4th quarter, 2013Sprung investment management commentary   4th quarter, 2013
Sprung investment management commentary 4th quarter, 2013Robert Champion
 

Similar to Deloitte CFO Global Insights (20)

Moelis company april investor pres_vfinal (1)
Moelis  company april investor pres_vfinal (1)Moelis  company april investor pres_vfinal (1)
Moelis company april investor pres_vfinal (1)
 
Deloitte cfo survey 2013 q1
Deloitte cfo survey 2013 q1Deloitte cfo survey 2013 q1
Deloitte cfo survey 2013 q1
 
Winter 2011 Newsletter - Business Owners
Winter 2011 Newsletter - Business OwnersWinter 2011 Newsletter - Business Owners
Winter 2011 Newsletter - Business Owners
 
Estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo - Credit Suisse Csri...
Estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo - Credit Suisse Csri...Estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo - Credit Suisse Csri...
Estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo - Credit Suisse Csri...
 
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q2 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q2 resultsThe Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q2 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q2 results
 
2011 nyse euronext ceo report
2011 nyse euronext ceo report 2011 nyse euronext ceo report
2011 nyse euronext ceo report
 
2012 Q3 NIFCU$ Market Commentary (Article for Credit Unions)
2012 Q3 NIFCU$ Market Commentary (Article for Credit Unions)2012 Q3 NIFCU$ Market Commentary (Article for Credit Unions)
2012 Q3 NIFCU$ Market Commentary (Article for Credit Unions)
 
Deloitte SEA CFO Survey Q4 2013_Risk redefined
Deloitte SEA CFO Survey Q4 2013_Risk redefinedDeloitte SEA CFO Survey Q4 2013_Risk redefined
Deloitte SEA CFO Survey Q4 2013_Risk redefined
 
2010 nyse euronext ceo report by infogroup
2010 nyse euronext ceo report by infogroup2010 nyse euronext ceo report by infogroup
2010 nyse euronext ceo report by infogroup
 
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q3 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q3 resultsThe Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q3 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q3 results
 
Moelis' 4Q19 Investor Presentation
Moelis' 4Q19 Investor PresentationMoelis' 4Q19 Investor Presentation
Moelis' 4Q19 Investor Presentation
 
Family Business Australia Economic Update 28 August 2015 FBA format
Family Business Australia Economic Update 28 August 2015 FBA formatFamily Business Australia Economic Update 28 August 2015 FBA format
Family Business Australia Economic Update 28 August 2015 FBA format
 
Moelis' 3Q19 Investor Presentation
Moelis' 3Q19 Investor PresentationMoelis' 3Q19 Investor Presentation
Moelis' 3Q19 Investor Presentation
 
April Commentary
April CommentaryApril Commentary
April Commentary
 
Moelis Investor Presentation
Moelis Investor PresentationMoelis Investor Presentation
Moelis Investor Presentation
 
2Q09 Asset Allocation
2Q09 Asset Allocation2Q09 Asset Allocation
2Q09 Asset Allocation
 
Market Perspective - November 2018
Market Perspective - November 2018Market Perspective - November 2018
Market Perspective - November 2018
 
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q1 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q1 resultsThe Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q1 results
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q1 results
 
Saff Spring 2010 Newsletter
Saff Spring 2010 NewsletterSaff Spring 2010 Newsletter
Saff Spring 2010 Newsletter
 
Sprung investment management commentary 4th quarter, 2013
Sprung investment management commentary   4th quarter, 2013Sprung investment management commentary   4th quarter, 2013
Sprung investment management commentary 4th quarter, 2013
 

Deloitte CFO Global Insights

  • 1. CFO Global Insights What CFOs around the world are thinking and doing Third Quarter 2010 Deloitte CFO Surveys: North America, United Kingdom, Ireland, Spain, Belgium, Netherlands, Switzerland, Middle East, Australia, South Korea Deloitte’s CFO Global Insights December 2010
  • 2. About Deloitte’s Global CFO Program Contacts The Global CFO Program aims to position Deloitte to be the preeminent advisor to the CFO. Recognizing that the CFO's role Paul Robinson has evolved rapidly over the last few years, the Program focuses Managing Director, on building relationships and eminence and has successfully Global CFO Program captured the attention of the CFO community through surveys, 416-874-3317 forums and executive development programs. The Program has also produced a rich library of intellectual property, newsletters probinson@deloitte.ca and podcasts used to deliver key insights to CFOs in many different countries. Dave Walker Program Manager, About Deloitte’s CFO Surveys Global CFO Program Seventeen Deloitte member firms have launched CFO Surveys in 514-390-1732 recent years. The objective of the surveys is to collect CFOs’ opinions on a range of areas including economic outlook, financial davewalker@deloitte.ca markets, business trends, their organizations, and CFO careers. The focus of each member firm’s survey may vary. The composition of the respondent group may vary between For additional copies of this surveys. For example, more than 70% of respondents for the North American CFO Survey are from companies with more than report, please email US$1 billion in annual revenue and 75% are listed companies. GlobalCFOProgram@deloitte.com The respondent group from other surveys may have a different composition. Please refer to the reports from individual CFO surveys for details on their participants. About Deloitte’s CFO Global Insights The goal of the Deloitte CFO Global Insights report is to provide highlights of recent CFO survey results from Deloitte member firms. This issue includes the results of the third quarter 2010 CFO Surveys from the following Deloitte member firms: • North America: The tide is turning toward pessimism, but not for everyone • United Kingdom: Cost control is still king • Ireland: Uncertainty rises • Belgium: Optimism confirmed by good results • Netherlands: Change in funding preferences • Switzerland: More appetite for risk • Spain: Insufficient measures to combat stagnation • Middle East: Resilience for growth • Australia: The long haul to recovery • South Korea: Optimism in a time of ambiguity Contents Summary 1 North America 2 United Kingdom 3 Ireland 4 Belgium 5 Netherlands 6 Switzerland 7 Spain 8 Middle East 9 Australia 10 South Korea 11 Deloitte CFO Surveys 12 © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights i
  • 3. CFO Global Insights Summary for Third Quarter 2010 CFO sentiments in the third quarter generally reflect the current Gauge of CFO Sentiment* state of their countries’ economies and opinions about the pace of recovery. The uncertainty in the global economy has contributed to the tide turning toward pessimism in North Optimistic America and the UK, while other countries in the Eurozone and Switzerland Australia have a generally positive financial outlook. Netherlands Belgium CFOs surveyed in Ireland and South Korea appeared more Middle East cautious in the outlook for their companies. However, recent Australia developments around the financial bailout for Ireland and the tense political situation in the Korean peninsula may portend increasing pessimism for both these countries. Cautious In North America, the UK, and other areas where optimism Ireland persists, CFOs report improved access to capital and reduced South Korea concerns about debt and liquidity. There is an increased appetite for risk; increased gearing is anticipated in the next year by UK and Australian CFOs due to positive views on arranging new credit or issuing debt. The ability to service debt has also improved for many. Not surprisingly, CFOs in Ireland and Spain raise concerns about the availability of new credit and difficulty in obtaining funding. Pessimistic North America Despite a continued focus on cost control, many CFOs are United Kingdom considering strategies to grow revenues. There is also a desire to increase their involvement in the strategic decisions of their companies. *At the time of respective CFO Surveys in the period © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 1
  • 4. North America The tide is turning toward pessimism, but not for everyone One clear message from our second quarter survey was that, Highlights from the 3rd Quarter North despite considerable uncertainty, CFOs were predominantly optimistic about their companies’ prospects. Although still . American CFO Survey: present, that sentiment is not as strong as it was in our previous • Nearly half of CFOs are more optimistic this quarter survey. The primary reason: much more somber assessments of about their company’s prospects, but pessimism is what’s happening in companies’ external business growing. environments. • Unemployment concerns rose sharply, topping the list of Sobering global economic conditions economic concerns. Since the last survey, sluggish consumer spending, declining • Sales and earnings expectations are even more effects of government stimulus, and stagnant job markets in the optimistic than last quarter, but variability is rising. ability U.S. and across most of North America, have contri contributed to a • Costs are still a heavy focus, but revenue slowing economic recovery and volatile equities markets markets. growth/protection is gaining focus. Sovereign debt crises and a weakening euro have changed the • Competition appears to be heating up with increased economic landscape in Europe, and China’s tightening of challenges around pricing trends, new competitive tactics monetary policy has raised further fears that global economic and M&A. growth will slow. • Government is still a major focus with changing regulatory requirements topping career and industry Coming to grips with slowdown implications concerns. CFOs are clearly concerned about these developments developments. • CFOs are not very concerned about debt and liquidity. FOs Unemployment, which wasn’t at the top of many lists of concerns last quarter, jumped to the top of this quarter’s concerns concerns. Contributing to this sentiment is increasing unemployment nt approaching double digits and a decline in housing prices. Still optimistic, but for how much longer? Despite rising worries about the economy, companies in this Worries about the impact of unemployment and housing prices survey are still projecting growth on the whole. Year-over-year whole on consumer spending are reflected in companies’ increasing sales are expected to increase roughly 11% on average, with focus on revenues. Companies’ concerns about ra raising and earnings increasing almost 20%. But there is increasing maintaining demand jumped this quarter, with revenue growth variability across companies. While these numbers are fairly getting a larger share of their strategic focus. Competition for . optimistic even when adjusted for volatility, they mask the fact r revenues also seems to be heating up, with growing concerns that many companies still have a long way to go before about pricing trends, new competitive tactics, M&A, and the returning to their pre-recession trends. success of new initiatives. With the slowdown of global economies has come increased The blurry road ahead fear of a volatile or prolonged recovery. The good news is that Variability in companies’ outlooks obscures the picture of what CFOs don’t consider a W or “double-dip” recovery a likely dip” to expect next. Whom should we believe – those whose scenario in their business planning (only 9% do) The “less- do). optimism is still rising, or those who are becoming more good” news is that they don’t generally expect the faster pessimistic? recoveries associated with a “V” or a “U,” either More than half either. expect a “bathtub” shaped recovery (a “U” with a wider bottom) bottom). As employment and economic recovery sputter, pessimism One in ten expects an “L” recovery. seems to be gaining more momentum than optimism does. Are does these just the first people to reach the top of the rollercoaster rollerco All eyes are still on government, both because of the effects and see the decline ahead? policy will ultimately have on the broader economy, but also because of the effects it will have on competitive environments An equally strong argument might be made for why a within and across industries. substantial portion of companies will not only survive but thrive during a period of cheap capital, effective austerity measures Little concern about debt and liquidity and substantial long-term growth opportunities (both organic term opportunit and inorganic). Could this be a retrenchment and CFOs – at least those of very large companies – are not overly se strengthening period that leads to bigger and better things for concerned about debt and liquidity. Fewer than one one-third place some companies? capital availability and cost in their top three economic concerns concerns. Only one in ten CFOs names sourcing capital a top three Based on this survey, we could well be seeing a bifurcation of company challenge. Fewer than half of CFOs indicate they have the business environment, where large, healthy companies debt-reduction strategies that rely most heavily on cash reserves reduction (like the majority of those involved in this survey) have superior and operating cash flows (rather than asset sales and equity capital access and costs that provide substantial competitive offerings). advantage. © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 2
  • 5. United Kingdom Cost control is still king The 2010 third quarter Deloitte CFO Survey, published on 11th Highlights from the 3rd Quarter UK CFO ighlights October 2010, shows that CFOs believe their businesses are facing elevated levels of economic uncertainty. Their optimism Survey about the financial outlook for their own business dropped in the • Optimism has declined for the third consecutive quarter. quarter third quarter to the lowest level since 2009 spring. CFOs believe their business face elevated levels of While the economic outlook is uncertain, credit conditions have economic uncertainty. continued to improve. CFOs now see the cost of new credit as • The credit and financial crisis for the larger UK being lower than at any time since the CFO Survey started in the corporates seems to be over. Corporate credit third quarter of 2007. Perceptions of credit availability rose availability rose at the fastest pace since the Survey he sharply in the third quarter. For the first time, more CFOs have e started in the third quarter of 2007. rated credit as being “available” than “hard to obtain”. • Debt capital is seen as cheap and increasingly attractive. attractive CFOs think that excessive leverage in the corporate sector as a CFOs are increasingly willing to contemplate raising whole has been largely eliminated. With interest rates seen as gearing. being at very low levels and credit increasingly available, CFOs vels • CFOs are positive about revenues, margins and cash expect to increase their demand for credit over the next year. flow, but are cautious about hiring and discretionary e spending. Over the last year, the UK has seen an economic recovery, which, by historical standards, has been fairly robust. • For a majority of CFOs, cost control remains the top or Nonetheless, CFOs have remained cautious about the utious priority. sustainability of the recovery. As a result, CFOs have maintained a strong focus on controlling costs. This remained CFOs’ top priority in the third quarter. Cash flow is a lesser concern than a year ago, a change which reflects improved c credit availability and stronger corporate cash flow. Expansionary strategies, including introducing new services and expanding by acquisition, feature as prominent priorities and testify to a continued search by the corporate sector for growth opportunitie opportunities. Despite all the uncertainties, CFOs are positive on the outlook for corporate revenues and profit margins over the next 12 months. CFOs also see capital expenditure rising over the next year. But, with cost control at the fore, the balance of opinion is that hiring and discretionary spending will shrink over the next year. So, overall, the good news from this quarter’s CFO Survey is that large UK corporates are finding it easier to raise capital. CFOs are positive on the outlook for corporate revenues an and profits; many are looking for growth opportunities. Yet one of the dominant features of this Survey during the recession persists a year into the recovery - in an environment of uncertainty cost control is king. © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 3
  • 6. Ireland Uncertainty rises Dark clouds Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Ireland CFO The key challenges to the Irish economy are well documented at Survey: this stage – the budget deficit and the cost of bailing out banks. Some clarity is being brought to the scale of these challenges • Market risk is the biggest concern: 58% of respondents and, over the coming months, the measures that will be put in identify market risk as their most worrying risk. worr place to redress them will be revealed by Government. The most • Expectations of revenue and turnover still broadly significant event in the coming quarter will be the announcement positive: almost 60% of CFOs are anticipating increases of the Budget 2011, in addition to a four year austerity plan to in turnover over the next six months, while 30% are bring the country’s finances back into order. The budget, which projecting no change. is being signaled as one of the toughest in years, will now seek to exceed its initial €3bn deficit reduction target with figures of • Cost and availability of credit: the cost of credit remains €4bn to €5bn being quoted. on an upward trend, with 50% of CFOs expecting market interest rates to increase over the next 6 months. months Competitiveness is also a key challenge but also one of the • Selective recruitment and high skills availability: over half elective enablers of a return to growth. The Annual Competitiveness of respondents indicated that their companies are Report 2010, prepared by the National Competitiveness Council currently recruiting; however, in many cases this is for man in July had some positive messages but gains have to be very specific roles, rather than large scale increases in maintained and interest and exchange rates pose additional staff numbers. threats. As for profit, a significant proportion (61%) of CFOs surveyed While the Government has been able to raise bonds on the anticipates some continuing improvements in profitability, international market, these have been at substantially higher again continuing the positive trends of previous quarters. Only costs with ratings agencies again downgrading Ireland’s ratings ngs 9% of respondents are anticipating a decrease in profitability. status. With the Government not needing to return to the bond market until Spring 2011, budget measures over the next few months are critical to ensure a stable supply of funds. Cost and availability of credit continues to clog up the system ... with a silver lining? We have consistently highlighted in our surveys that the high It’s not all doom and gloom out there though. Our topical s cost and lack of availability of credit is hindering business in questions this month show that in terms of competitiveness, the the Irish market, particularly smaller companies, and this Irish labour market is at last starting to readjust to expected quarter is no exception. While the Deloitte UK CFO Survey for norms with 88% of CFOs stating that salary expectations are Quarter 3 has shown a dramatic rise in credit availability and a average or low. The survey results also indicate that CFOs ow. reduction in cost in the UK, our survey reports that Irish rep believe that the quality of available resources is also high. companies continue to be challenged by the availability of new Standard and Poor’s have further highlighted this perception by credit and that there is widespread difficulty in obtaining stating that Ireland’s economy will recover more quickly than funding, be it from banks, equity release or bonds. several other European countries as our competitiveness an Respondents rated domestic banks as the most challenging improves due to the flexible labour market. Also, the agency source of credit with 54% of CFOs considering that it is still does not detect ‘reform fatigue’ in Ireland’s politicians, and very hard or somewhat hard to obtain credit domestically. believes that concerns about fiscal and political risks to the country are exaggerated. Market risk is the key worry Alongside this, 24% of CFOs are now looking to reverse some of side Market risk has emerged as the key concern facing CFOs with the cost reduction measures implemented during the initial 58% ranking it as their highest concern. Respondents cited Responden stages of this recession. CFOs are also still confident in their fears of a double dip, deterioration in customer confidence, own company’s ability to return to growth in the short term with lack of credit, the impact of Budget 2011, and confidence in the over 40% stating that their company has already done so. Irish economy as just some of the key market risks companies are currently managing. Strategic, operational and financial risks were significantly less of a priority for CFOs. Expectations of revenue and turnover still broadly positive What to expect from next quarter will be a key milestone in our country’s economic landscape. The budget that will be Almost 60% of CFOs are anticipating increases in turnover over announced in December 2010 will have significant implications the next six months, while 30% are projecting no change. for all of our economic futures. Our survey will have a budget ic Another positive finding is a fall in the number of CFOs focus with topical questions covering some of the key issues predicting a decrease in turnover. These figures continue the surrounding Budget 2011 and will contain key insights from trend in previous quarters with a broadly positive outlook for CFOs on the impact of the budget on their companies and the growth in turnover, perhaps reflecting the high percentage of the economy. respondents whose businesses trade internationally. However, e analysis of the underlying data indicates that no CFO expects significant turnover growth in the next six months, demonstrating that optimism is being tempered by continuing uncertain economic conditions and the expectation tha Budget 2011 could that have a negative impact on consumer confidence and spending power in the domestic market. © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 4
  • 7. Spain Insufficient measures to combat stagnation Fragile economic recovery Highlights from the CFO survey for the CFOs have not changed their views on Spain’s economic period March 2010 - September 2010: situation, since 84% of them continue to believe that it is poor or very poor. In addition, macroeconomic indicators point to a delay • 84% of CFOs consider Spain’s economic situation to be in economic recovery. The survey conducted in March 2010 bad or very bad, while 61% expect recovery to begin in showed that 84% of CFOs expected recovery to take place 2012. before 2012 (during second half 2010 and 2011), but now, 61% nd • Three quarters of the respondents believe that the believe that Spain’s recovery will occur in 2012 or later. Spanish economy will remain in a stage of stagnation or recession for the next 12 months despite a recovery in Moreover, from a global perspective, 76% of CFOs expect the the global economy. Spanish economy to be in a stage of stagnation or recession for the next 12 months, while almost all respondents anticipate that • 40% of respondents indicated that the yields on yield the global economy will begin to recover. sovereign bonds are at high or very high levels. ry • CFOs considered government reform in the labor market Inadequate or inappropriate measures to be "adequate but insufficient", and would like to see Almost half of all respondents consider measures taken by the more market flexibility. government in response to the Spanish economic situation as • Most respondents feel that the fiscal policy measures are "appropriate but not sufficient”, while 45% believe that they “are ficient”, inadequate and call for reducing the tax burden. burd not appropriate." • In the area of public expenditure, it is necessary to CFOs believe it is necessary to have greater labor market deepen the cut in current operating expenses and to flexibility, increased training, and reform in the education system. increase investment in productivity. They also propose reducing the tax burden, increasing control of • With respect to the financial system, initiatives to current expenditure at all levels of government, and increasing urrent enhance liquidity and access to finance are considered investment in infrastructure. necessary to complete the process of sector reform. Regarding the financial system, Financial Directors propose • Default risk is perceived to be the greatest risk to measures to facilitate access to financing and improved flow of operations of companies in the coming months. The ies T liquidity, to increase control and transparency, and to complete nsparency, financial position of the public sector is one of the the process of financial sector reform. greatest concerns. • Expectations of the ability to repay debt in the next three pay The Public Sector financial position increases years have improved. the risk of default • The demands on the CFO and the challenges that he financial departments face are mainly related to business Most respondents did not see signs of decline in major risk strategy and operational priorities, as well as liquidity and factors affecting the operations of their companies companies. obtaining funding. Specific risks are still concentrated in the areas of access to capital, economic recovery, falling demand, and consumer , confidence and default. This last factor is the main concern in Challenges of the Finance Function enges financial management, with many respondents citing the difficult As operations and results become stabilized, financial financial situation in the Public Sector as one of the reasons for ial departments must confront the challenge of participating in the the risk. decision-making process. Confidence in debt repayment ability Thus, according to respondents and in line with the risks identified, the main challenges facing Financial Directors are allenges Most respondents felt that their ability to repay debt will increase encouraging and influencing decisions on business strategy in the next three years. This will be driven by anticipated cash and operational priorities, and seeking financing while flow generated from disposal of assets, companies and maintaining an acceptable cost of capital. businesses. © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 5
  • 8. Belgium Optimism confirmed by good results Higher confidence and good actuals Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Belgium om Financial optimism decreased somewhat as compared to the CFO Survey: previous survey, but remains strong. Belgian CFOs almost unanimously expect sluggish but albeit sustained recovery of the • The growing optimism the survey has reported since the economy. More than 80% of CFOs report the actual financial he first quarter of 2010 remains strong and has translated results of their organizations are on budget. As in the previous into good financial results. More than 80% of CFOs quarter, 40% of CFOs report having outperformed their company report the actual financial results of their organizations organizati budgets. The proportion of CFOs expecting declining cash flows are on budget. 40% have exceeded expectations. continues to shrink quarter by quarter. • The demand for product and services started to accelerate last quarter for a third of the surveyed The growing optimism the survey has reported since the first rowing organizations. For the first time since the launch of the quarter of 2010 has translated in good company results results. survey, expectations related to the timing of demand de Demand for products and services have started to accelerate in acceleration have not been pushed backwards in time. the third quarter for 1/3 of the surveyed organisations For the organisations. first time since the launch of the survey the expectations on the ce • The financial repair which started slowly in the beginning timing of accelerated demand for products and services did not of this year has further strengthened. Contrary to what move backwards. At present, the majority of CFO’s expect the CFOs expected in the 2009 editions of the CFO survey, acceleration in demand before or in the second half of 2011. credit is widely available and bank borrowing is a very d attractive source of financing. Financial repair accelerates • The outlook for corporate financing in the coming years is Contrary to CFO expectations as reported in the 2009 editions of positive, with a majority of CFOs expecting a stable and this study, the financial repair that had started slowly in the relatively low cost of capital, and an increasing availability beginning of this year is further strengthening Credit conditions strengthening. of equity capital. have continued to improve faster than initially anticipated. • Expansion and growth are high on the agenda of the surveyed CFOs, with 35% of CFO’s considering an CFOs now see the cost of new credit as being lower than at any acquisition or merger. Although expectations on M&A time since the CFO survey started. For the first time since the activity have been bullish for 18 months already, cheap launch of the survey, more CFOs have rated bank borrowing as financing and strong cash positions might finally boost fina being “cheap” rather than “costly”. transactions. The credit crunch seems to have come to an end as well: • CFO confidence in domestic politics has plummeted in perceptions of credit availability rose sharply in the third quarter quarter. the last quarter, with the political standstill seen as a With interest seen as being at very low levels and credit missed opportunity. 80% see room for government to increasingly available, corporate demand for credit is starting to stimulate the economy. Two third of surveyed CFOs rise. The attractiveness of bank borrowing is still at its highest s report the political uncertainty will impact their business level since the start of the survey. negatively. • Coming out of the recession, the role of the CFOs shifts Optimization of corporate financing from operator and steward (guiding their organisations The downturn period witnessed significant changes in the through the turbulence) towards strategist and catalyst balance sheets with corporates running higher levels of cash roles, influencing the company’s overall direction and ove and liquid reserves and relying more on equity and corporate nd instilling a financial mindset to execution and risk-taking risk bonds finance. As a consequence of better credit conditions, the throughout the business. attractiveness of bank borrowings as a source for corporate financing augmented. That might change. More than half of the CFOs expect their organization to be engaged in corporate activity in the next 12 The general outlook for the future cost of capital stays is months. Expansion and growth are high on the agenda of the owth optimistic. Half of the CFO’s expect a limited increase in surveyed CFOs: 40% are considering an acquisition or merger, the Cost of capital (WACC) over the next 5 years, due to while 10% are looking into strategic alliances. an augmentation of the long term interest rates Both debt rates. Debt is cheap and with better than expected company results, and equity are expected to be available in the future. many organisations are building up strong cash positions. posi CFOs that are considering corporate activity report they plan to finance their transactions by means of existing debt facility, M&A new bank loans or existing cash or operating cash flow. M&A expectations have been bullish for the past 18 months, and llish remain strong. In the third quarter, also expectations on private Going forward equity activity marked a significant increase. Until now, these . bullish expectations have not yet translated into a very active So overall, the good news from this quarter’s survey is that surve M&A market. CFO confidence remains strong and that actual results are overall in line – or even better – than expected. Many CFO’s expected are looking for growth opportunities, and the necessary financing is again available and attractive. attractive © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 6
  • 9. Netherlands Change in funding preferences Financial outlook Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Switzerland Financial optimism among CFOs recovered this third quarter, CFO Survey: returning to the level of 2010 Q1. The cash flow outlook of CFOs for the next 12 months increased, although the expected • CFO optimism about their financial prospects has increase is relatively modest. recovered from a dip in Q2. • 80% of the CFOs expect their company’s cash flow to pect Optimism of CFO’s, about the financial prospects for their increase over the next 12 months. company, has recovered this quarter since the level dropped significantly in Q2. Remarkable is the break between the Dutch • Corporate debt is perceived as the most attractive source and the UK figures. Dutch CFO’s are far more optimistic about of funding. their prospects. • For the first time, since this survey started, bank borrowing is favoured over equity as a funding source. CFO optimism about their free cash flow expectations has also recovered in comparison to last quarter. 80% of CFOs expect • 60% of the CFOs expect to arrange new funding over the their free cash flow to increase over the next 12 months. 55% next 12 months. expect an increase of 1% - 10%. • Three-quarters of the CFOs will refinance (parts of) quarters current debt positions over the next three years. Risk • The level of risk appetite remains unchanged for the The risk appetite remains at the same level for the fourth fourth consecutive quarter; one-quarter of CFOs consider quarter consecutive quarter. Given the current market circumstances, . now a good time to take more risk on the balance sheet. CFOs have no interest in taking more risk on their balance sheet • The outlook for M&A remains high over the next 12 he than one year ago. About one-quarter of CFOs consider now to quarter months, but expectations slightly dropped since the last be a good time for more risk taking on the balance sheet The n sheet. quarter. others appear to be awaiting better times. Almost half of the CFOs continued to reduce their balance sheet risks over the last twelve months. The number of CFOs who raised their balance sheet risk over the past year has decreased substantially. Risk control remains a priority. Funding According to the CFOs, funding has become less costly in comparison to the last quarter. Almost half of the CFOs consider funding to be easily available. This is due in part to interest rates remaining low and some banks lowering their ing surcharge. The attractiveness of equity as a favourable source of funding dropped below bank borrowing for the first time since this survey started. Corporate debt remains the favoured source of funding. 60% of the CFOs are likely to issue debt over the next twelve FOs months. Refinancing of current debt positions does contribute to this, because three-quarters of CFOs expect to refinance (parts quarters of) current debt positions over the next three years. M&A The outlook of CFOs for mergers and acquisitions is still very s positive, but expectations about its growth are slightly down in comparison to the last quarters. The CFOs’ expectations for Private Equity activity also decreased slightly slightly. CFOs’ valuations of equity in general and of their own company ral have also not changed much since last quarter Most CFOs rate quarter. equity in general and equity of their own company as undervalued. Dutch corporate activity is still low with a moderate number of deals and low transaction values on average However, private average. equity activity increased since last quarter according to market figures. © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 7
  • 10. Switzerland More appetite for risk Stable economic outlook and cautious Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Switzerland om financial prospects CFO Survey: The last survey, conducted in June 2010, reported a decline in • Economic optimism among CFOs is broadly unchanged confidence amongst CFOs. Various macroeconomic events in the third quarter. 65% judge the economic outlook for influenced the mood of the CFOs and led to deterioration in Switzerland over the next 12 months to be positive. positive levels of optimism. • Financial optimism regarding their own business has Increasing concern about growth across the industrial world has risen slightly. led to a new wave of pessimism during the last three months months. • Growth is currently CFOs’ top priority but some defensive Despite this increasingly negative sentiment Swiss CFOs are strategies such as cost, cash flow and risk management optimistic about their future prospects. are still considered to be very important. important After a drop in optimism in Q2, the CFOs’ opinion of the Swiss 2, • Exchange rate risk is seen as a high-impact high economy has stabilised and a majority is positive about macroeconomic risk. economic development in the next 12 months Asked about the months. • Credit conditions continue to be seen as very attractive. attractive probability of a “double dip”, an average of only 20% believes CFO sentiment about credit availability is at its highest this to be a realistic scenario. level since the CFO survey began. 62% describe credit Financial confidence rebounded after the steep decline last as cheap. quarter. The level of confidence amongst CFOs is consistent • The process of deleveraging seems to be over. Risk he over with the cautious mood in financial markets and the concerns appetite has risen and CFOs on balance plan to raise about renewed global economic weakness that would also affect leverage for the first time this year. Switzerland. One of this quarter’s special questions concerned the most his important issues on CFOs’ agendas for the next 12 months It is months. Raising credit demand interesting that “growth” was voted top, showing that many CFOs are becoming much less “anti” debt. 38% expect their debt believe in a continued recovery. However, the fact that more demand for new credit to increase over the next year. Only year defensive priorities (cost, cash flow and risk control) are also s 18% anticipate a decrease in demand. 98% expect their ability abil considered crucial shows that CFOs are hedging their strategies to service their debt-levels to increase or stay the same over levels against a potential downside. the next three years. Responses to the question about current high high-impact risks The last three quarters have been a period of volatility. CFOs volatility showed that macro – not financial – risks dominate the min of minds have now found new optimism after the decline in confidence CFOs. In particular, a strong Swiss Franc is still seen as a big last quarter. What emerges from this quarter’s survey is that quart threat to their own businesses. they are looking for opportunities such as growth and at the same time hedging against a possible setback because of Attractive credit conditions and increasing continued uncertainties on a macroeconomic level appetite for risk Enthusiasm for bank borrowing and corporate bonds as a source of finance is at a high, stable level. Credit conditions are further improving and a majority rate credit as available and cheap. The corporate sector in Switzerland is seen as correctly leveraged by 86% of CFOs. Corporates have further de de-risked their balance sheets but to a much lesser extent than in the last three quarters. The process of deleveraging seems to be over over. Instead, an increased appetite to risk can be observed and a shift in attitude towards higher gearing which is a clear sign of rising optimism. © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 8
  • 11. The Middle East Resilience for growth The results of the third quarter survey indicate that despite the Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Middle East rising geopolitical tensions, the region is moving forward with plans for growth and optimism remains high. GDP growth is CFO Survey: expected to continue and increase into 2011 supported by • Optimism among Middle East CFOs edged down strong spending from the regions’ governments in terms of slightly; however, this is considerably higher than the infrastructure development, underpinned by resilient oil prices sentiments of CFOs in western countries. which have increased over the past year into the $80 range. • 78% of CFOs expect demand for their companies’ CFO optimism remains high products to accelerate by the end of 2011. • CFOs are now significantly less risk averse than any Middle East CFOs are very optimistic compared to CFOs in the time in the past year. A net balance of 43% think now is West. Optimism among Middle East CFOs edged down a good time to take greater risk onto their balance slightly, with respondents reporting greater optimism dropping sheets, compared to 36% in Q1 2010 and 27% in Q3 from 55% in Q1 2010 to 52% in Q3 2010. However, this is 2009 quite high compared to the general level of optimism among CFOs of western countries such as the UK and North America. • Companies are not planning to reduce spending and investment as aggressively as they did in the previous More than three quarters of CFOs expect demand for their quarters. companies’ products to accelerate by the end of 2011. • CFOs have become much more positive about current debt levels and their debt repayment ability. Strategies aimed at cost control have • Despite a slight fall, Bank borrowing continues to be the reduced in importance most attractive source of financing for CFOs. CFOs have become markedly less risk averse over the last • A majority of the CFOs are planning to take on more year. A net balance of 43% think now is a good time to take debt. Two thirds of CFOs plan to raise financial leverage greater risk onto their balance sheets, compared to 36% in Q1 over the next 12 months and are likely to issue debt or 2010 and 27% in Q3 2009. arrange new facilities over the next 12 months. Companies are not planning to reduce spending and • The majority of CFOs are positive on M&A and private investment as aggressively as they did in the previous quarters. equity activity in the next 12 months, but this majority 73% of the respondents plan to reduce discretionary spending has shrunk since last year. in the latest survey, compared to 90% in the Q1 survey. Only • Market risk and operational risks are of the highest 58% now plan to reduce capital spending, compared to 67% in concern for CFOs. These risks are largely managed by the Q1 survey. Chief Risk Officers who report to CEOs. Confidence in debt repayment ability fallen in the last year from 51% to 42%. In contrast, there are CFOs have become much more positive about debt levels. now more CFOs who think equities and government bonds Only a net balance of 29% of CFOs now think Middle Eastern are overvalued. companies are overleveraged compared to 42% in Q1 2010. A net of 70% of CFOs expect their ability to service their The majority of CFOs are positive on M&A and private equity companies’ debt to improve over the next three years, with the activity in the next 12 months, but this majority is smaller same percentage believing the availability of debt capital will compared to one year ago. 61% of CFOs now expect M&A increase over the next 5 years. activity to increase in the next 12 months, compared to 71% one year ago. The proportion of CFOs expecting private Despite a slight fall, Bank borrowing continues to be the most equity activity to increase in the next 12 months fell sharply attractive source of financing for CFOs. A net balance of 41% from 70% to 49%. Almost a quarter of the respondents are rate bank borrowing as attractive, compared to 28% for equity considering M&A activity over the next 12 months, with 23% issuance and 26% for corporate bond issuance. There has also considering a strategic alliance and 21% considering a joint been a sharp rise in the attractiveness of corporate bond venture. issuance, from net 10% to net 26%. Understanding Risk in the Region A majority of the CFOs are planning to take on more debt. Two thirds of CFOs plan to raise financial leverage over the next 12 Risk categories which currently concern CFOs the most are months, and are likely to issue debt or arrange new facilities market risks (39%), followed by operational, strategic, and over the next 12 months. A net of 35% of CFOs expect an financial risks. increase in debt on their balance sheets over the next three years. 52% of the survey respondents indicated that risk management is led by Chief Risk Officers who report to Market outlook – Increase in M&A activity CEOs, while 37% report that CFOs have this responsibility. expected A large proportion of CFOs consider commercial real estate to be overvalued. However, the balance taking this view has © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 9
  • 12. Australia The long haul to recovery? o Confidence up but CFOs concerned about Highlights from the 3rd Quarter Australia ighlights economic recovery CFO Survey: The Deloitte CFO Survey has found that CFOs are more • 55% of CFOs are more optimistic about their financial c optimistic about the financial prospects of their companies than prospects than they were three months ago (40% in Q2). Q2) they were three months ago (55% compared to 40% in Q2). • A slow return to growth is expected by the majority of While confidence has risen compared to last quarter, CFOs are CFOs (64%). Fewer expect a V-shaped economic shaped less optimistic about the overall pace of economic recovery in recovery; more now see a ‘bathtub’ shape. shape the medium term. A majority (64%) expect a slow and possibly • 9 out of the top 10 risks are seen as external and beyond erratic return to growth. There has also been a significant CFOs’ control. downward shift to 16% (from 28% last quarter) in the number of CFOs who expect a quick or ‘V-shaped’ recovery shaped’ recovery. • A third of CFOs believe tax reform should be the newly elected government’s top economic priority. priority A key contributing factor to CFOs’ views about the pace of • 94% of CFOs expect M&A levels to increase over the economic recovery is the sense that many of the risks to which next year. their businesses are exposed are outside their direct control ide control. The survey revealed that 9 of the top 10 greatest risks seen by • 43% of CFOs said it is likely they will undertake an CFOs are external to their business. The highest nominated risk acquisition in the next 6 months. among CFOs was economic recovery, cited by 25% of • 61% of CFOs expect demand for credit to rise over the respondents. This risk was followed by performance, regulatory next 12 months and 49% aim to increase their level of change, the possibility of an economic slow-down in China, down gearing. increasing sovereign risk, the impact of a minority government, and concern over increasing interest rates. • Most CFOs are upbeat about their companies’ cash flow prospects. Asked to name what they believed should be the top economic • 60% of CFOs said it was not a good time to be taking 0% priority for the new government, a third (33%) selected tax ew greater risk onto their balance sheet. reform. CFOs identified the Mineral Resource Rent Tax, corporate tax levels and arrangements to establish a price for The percentage of CFOs who believe credit is costly has carbon. Other economic priorities identified were managing the almost returned to levels recorded in 2009. Regardless, their 2009 budget by returning to surplus and reducing government debt d views on arranging new credit or issuing debt continue to be (15%) and ensuring a stable economic recovery (14%) There (14%). positive, and this quarter’s survey saw a marked rise in the was also strong recognition of the need for the government to number of CFOs who said they were likely to do so. focus on infrastructure spending (15%). The future of capital: a longer term M&A on the rise perspective The optimism around M&A activity over the next year continues this quarter with 94% expecting an increase in M&A levels What levels. In our Australian survey for Q3 2010, the majority of CFOs is particularly interesting is that 43% of CFOs say that their expect to increase their total balance sheet debt. Growing debt company was either ‘extremely likely’ or ‘somewhat likely’ to financial optimism is reflected in the finding that 77% expect undertake an acquisition in the next 6 months This response months. their ability to service debt to increase over the next three indicates the possibility of a strong uplift in the level of M&A years, 38% significantly so. Only 1% said that their capacity to activity in the new year. service debt would decline. Where CFOs suggested that they would reduce debt in the future, using cash reserves rather The lack of suitable targets (41%) is one of the main hindrances than selling assets or raising equity was the preferred option. to undertaking an acquisition, followed by the pricing expectations of vendors (32%). When considering acquisitions, idering the top three priorities for CFOs were alignment with strategy (92%), the impact on EPS (64%) and the impact on cash flows (39%). Revenue (6%) and market share (5%) were the lowest ranked priorities. Financial strategies and views on funding The expected rise in M&A is further supported with 61% of respondents forecasting an increased demand for credit in the next 12 months. CFOs remain upbeat about their companies’ cash flow prospects. 74% were confident that their cash flow will increase in the coming year, further reinforcing their plans to ease raise gearing levels. Since Q4 2009, there has been little change in the percentage of CFOs who plan to reduce gearing levels levels. There is a growing expectation that gearing levels will increase, potentially to fuel increasing aspirations for growth Despite growth. these positive signs, 60% of CFOs said now is not a good time to take greater risk onto their balance sheets sheets. © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 10
  • 13. South Korea Optimism in a time of ambiguity CFOs of top South Korean companies are predominantly Highlights from the 3rd Quarter South Korea optimistic about their companies’ prospects despite considerable change and uncertainty on government policies and currency Survey: exchange rates. This is particularly evident in the impact of • There is a general consensus of optimism amongst governmental policy during the economic recession, which CFOs regarding their companies’ prospects but they are resulted in more negative than positive opinion. North American cautious of the potential impact of government policies CFOs had a similar negative outlook towards the impact of and changes in currency exchange rates. governmental policy. • The outlook for company performance is generally Across industries, CFOs are projecting substantial growth in optimistic, with both revenues and earnings expected to both revenues and earnings (16% and 23%, respectively on increase. average), while costs are expected to be held to a 4-6% • There is consensus amongst CFOs that their finance increase. This substantial growth of performance would enable organizations need to be more involved in strategic companies to invest more aggressively, resulting in increases in decisions; but over 40% of them place a larger focus on dividends, capital spending and domestic employment (6%, 17% funding and liquidity management. and 7%, respectively on average). The optimism in South Korea is similar to North American results, but stands in contrast to • The changing business environment (e.g., M&A) is the Europe, where sovereign debt turmoil is substantially disrupting top job stress for over 60% of CFOs. economies and capital markets. • The challenges of CFOs vary by industry; over 50% of CFOs in the manufacturing and construction industries Over 50% of CFOs believe that one of their top challenges is believe that competition with foreign companies is their ensuring an appropriate level of involvement in strategic top challenge, while over 50% of CFOs in other industries decision-making by either participating directly or providing indicated that it is industry regulation/legislation. information indirectly to decision makers; however, due to the economic uncertainty, over 40% of CFOs place a larger emphasis on ‘ensuring funding, liquidity, and acceptable costs of capital’. 54% of CFOs believe debt will increase over the next three years, but 72% also believe that the ability to service debt will increase, resulting in an overall view that the level of debt will be manageable. Over 60% of CFOs believe that ‘major change initiative (e.g., M&A)’ is a leading cause of job stress, while about 50% of CFOs were in agreement that ‘an insufficient support staff (e.g., shortage of number)’ is a concern. Additionally, there is agreement that significant time must be devoted to support decision-making processes, one of the key capabilities of the ‘strategist’ role. Some CFOs from varying industries have shown different opinions regarding their challenges. Over 50% of CFOs in the manufacturing and construction industries indicated that ‘foreign competition’ is their top industry challenge, while over 50% of CFOs from other industries believe it is ‘industry regulation/legislation’. Consumer, retail and services industry CFOs have more pessimistic views about their industry prospects. © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 11
  • 14. Deloitte CFO Surveys About Deloitte CFO Surveys Seventeen Deloitte member firms have launched CFO Surveys in the past few years. The objective of the surveys is to collect CFOs’ opinions on a range of areas including economic outlook, financial markets, business trends, their organizations, and CFO careers. The focus of each member firm’s survey may vary. Outlined below are the member firms that currently conduct CFO surveys and their frequency. Click on the country name to be directed to latest survey results where available. Region Country Frequency Europe, Middle East Belgium Quarterly and Africa Denmark* Bi-annual Ireland Quarterly Israel* Quarterly Middle East Bi-annual Netherlands Quarterly South Africa Annual Spain Bi-annual Sweden* Bi-annual Switzerland Quarterly United Kingdom Quarterly Americas North America Quarterly (Canada, Mexico, United States) Asia Pacific Australia Quarterly South Korea Annual Japan (foreign companies only)* Quarterly *Contact the Global CFO Program for further information, email GlobalCFOProgram@deloitte.com © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited Deloitte CFO Global Insights 12
  • 15. This publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or their related entities (collectively the “Deloitte Network”) is, by means of this publication, rendering professional advice or services. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte Network shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication. www.deloitte.com Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and deep local expertise to help clients succeed wherever they operate. Deloitte's approximately 170,000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence. Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms. © 2010 Deloitte Global Services Limited