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1SOURCE: Stats SA 2017
1. Aged 15 to 65 | 2. NCR data at 31 March 2017
ENVIRONMENT & MARKET CONTEXT
25 MILLION
CREDIT ACTIVE
CONSUMERS
9.7 MILLION (~40%) NON-PERFORMING CREDIT
CONSUMERS2
TRANSACTION CAPITAL’S CONSUMER CREDIT REHABILITATION INDEX
• No longer-term effects signalling any meaningful improvement
• Retail credit extension has tightened
• Gradual deleveraging of the consumer will prevail
OUTLOOK ON SA’s CONSUMER
• Increased number & size of NPL portfolios available to acquire from clients
preferring immediate recovery from their NPLs
• Consumers’ disposable income stressed, negatively affecting their ability to
repay debt
• Increased cost & extended time to collect
• Stable regulatory environment
MACRO-& SOCIO-ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
CREDIT REHABILITATION IS A CRUCIAL ELEMENT
IN GROWING AN INCLUSIVE ECONOMY
CHALLENGING CONSUMER CREDIT ENVIRONMENT
• TCRS algorithm to score propensity to repay debt
• Empirically based sample of >5 million SA consumers in credit default
• National rehabilitation prospects:
• ▼ by 1.1% (Q2 17 vs. Q2 16)
• ▼ by 0.9% (Q3 17 vs. Q3 16)
• ▲ by 0.4% (Q3 17 vs. Q2 17)
• Rehabilitation allows:
• Consumers to access credit & re-enter consumer market
• Lenders to maintain cleaner B/S to continue extending credit at affordable costs
IN SOUTH AFRICA, OF THE 35 MILLION ADULTS1 THERE ARE:
OVER 11 MILLION SOUTH AFRICANS DESCRIBED
AS “OVER-INDEBTED” (UP FROM 5 MILLION IN 2014)
HOUSEHOLD DEBT TO INCOME REMAINS HIGH AT 72.6%
(DEBT GROWTH < INCOME GROWTH)
ELEVATED LEVELS OF UNEMPLOYMENT
AT 27.7%
ESCALATING COSTS OF HOUSEHOLD ESSENTIALS
OVER THE MEDIUM-TERM
Launched in June 2017
% CHANGE IN REHABILITATION PROSPECT FOR Q3 2017
Limpopo
-7.0%
Gauteng
-2.8%
Mpumalanga
-7.7%North West
-6.1%
Free State
-6.2%
KZN
-8.7%
Eastern Cape
-7.8%
Western Cape
-4.6%
Northern Cape
-5.7%
COMPARES
YEAR ON YEAR
Q3 2017 with Q3 2016
2
TCRS MARKET POSITIONING
DATA, ANALYTICS & SCALABLE TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM
CREDIT
BUREAU
DATA
OTHER DATA SOURCES
such as the
Department of Home Affairs
& the Deeds Office
PRINCIPAL
PORTFOLIOS ACQUIRED
Data sourced
from MDU
for maximised
ContactAbility
Transactional Data
enriched with collection
& ContactAbility results
ANALYTICS
TECHNOLOGY TO ACHIEVE SCALE
• Dialer enhances scale of ContactAbility
› Enabled over any omni-channel
› ~27 million outbound calls per month
› ~5 million voice interactions per month
› ~560 000 payments received per month
• Workforce management enables
› Flexible work-hour scheduling
› ▲ talk time
› ▲ activations
› ▼ staff turnover
› ▼ cost of collection
› Johannesburg (>1 000 call centre seats)
› Cape Town (>250 call centre seats)
› Durban (>600 call centre seats)
Predictive & layered voice analytics to determine:
• Optimised campaign
• Propensity to pay
• Right time to call
• Right day to pay
• Dynamic matter prioritisation
• Veracity of Promise to Pay
MASTER DATA UNIVERSE
(MDU)
TCRS MAINTAINS
PROPRIETARY DATA ON
MOST OF SOUTH AFRICA’S
DISTRESSED CONSUMERS
DATA SOURCES
INCLUDE:

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SA Consumer Credit Environment Outlook

  • 1. 1SOURCE: Stats SA 2017 1. Aged 15 to 65 | 2. NCR data at 31 March 2017 ENVIRONMENT & MARKET CONTEXT 25 MILLION CREDIT ACTIVE CONSUMERS 9.7 MILLION (~40%) NON-PERFORMING CREDIT CONSUMERS2 TRANSACTION CAPITAL’S CONSUMER CREDIT REHABILITATION INDEX • No longer-term effects signalling any meaningful improvement • Retail credit extension has tightened • Gradual deleveraging of the consumer will prevail OUTLOOK ON SA’s CONSUMER • Increased number & size of NPL portfolios available to acquire from clients preferring immediate recovery from their NPLs • Consumers’ disposable income stressed, negatively affecting their ability to repay debt • Increased cost & extended time to collect • Stable regulatory environment MACRO-& SOCIO-ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT CREDIT REHABILITATION IS A CRUCIAL ELEMENT IN GROWING AN INCLUSIVE ECONOMY CHALLENGING CONSUMER CREDIT ENVIRONMENT • TCRS algorithm to score propensity to repay debt • Empirically based sample of >5 million SA consumers in credit default • National rehabilitation prospects: • ▼ by 1.1% (Q2 17 vs. Q2 16) • ▼ by 0.9% (Q3 17 vs. Q3 16) • ▲ by 0.4% (Q3 17 vs. Q2 17) • Rehabilitation allows: • Consumers to access credit & re-enter consumer market • Lenders to maintain cleaner B/S to continue extending credit at affordable costs IN SOUTH AFRICA, OF THE 35 MILLION ADULTS1 THERE ARE: OVER 11 MILLION SOUTH AFRICANS DESCRIBED AS “OVER-INDEBTED” (UP FROM 5 MILLION IN 2014) HOUSEHOLD DEBT TO INCOME REMAINS HIGH AT 72.6% (DEBT GROWTH < INCOME GROWTH) ELEVATED LEVELS OF UNEMPLOYMENT AT 27.7% ESCALATING COSTS OF HOUSEHOLD ESSENTIALS OVER THE MEDIUM-TERM Launched in June 2017 % CHANGE IN REHABILITATION PROSPECT FOR Q3 2017 Limpopo -7.0% Gauteng -2.8% Mpumalanga -7.7%North West -6.1% Free State -6.2% KZN -8.7% Eastern Cape -7.8% Western Cape -4.6% Northern Cape -5.7% COMPARES YEAR ON YEAR Q3 2017 with Q3 2016
  • 2. 2 TCRS MARKET POSITIONING DATA, ANALYTICS & SCALABLE TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM CREDIT BUREAU DATA OTHER DATA SOURCES such as the Department of Home Affairs & the Deeds Office PRINCIPAL PORTFOLIOS ACQUIRED Data sourced from MDU for maximised ContactAbility Transactional Data enriched with collection & ContactAbility results ANALYTICS TECHNOLOGY TO ACHIEVE SCALE • Dialer enhances scale of ContactAbility › Enabled over any omni-channel › ~27 million outbound calls per month › ~5 million voice interactions per month › ~560 000 payments received per month • Workforce management enables › Flexible work-hour scheduling › ▲ talk time › ▲ activations › ▼ staff turnover › ▼ cost of collection › Johannesburg (>1 000 call centre seats) › Cape Town (>250 call centre seats) › Durban (>600 call centre seats) Predictive & layered voice analytics to determine: • Optimised campaign • Propensity to pay • Right time to call • Right day to pay • Dynamic matter prioritisation • Veracity of Promise to Pay MASTER DATA UNIVERSE (MDU) TCRS MAINTAINS PROPRIETARY DATA ON MOST OF SOUTH AFRICA’S DISTRESSED CONSUMERS DATA SOURCES INCLUDE: