Technology Economics: Propylene via Propane Dehydrogenation, Part 2

Propylene
via Propane
Dehydrogenation,
Part 2

#TEC006B
Technology Economics
Propylene Production via Propane Dehydrogenation, Part 2
2013

Abstract
Propylene has established itself as a major member of the global olefins business, second only to ethylene. Globally, the greatest
volume of propylene is generated as a by-product in steam crackers and through the fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) process.
With ethane prices falling in the USA due to the exploration of shale gas reserves, the low price of ethylene produced from this raw
material has given ethane-fed steam crackers in North America a feedstock advantage. Such a change has put naphtha-fed steam
crackers at a disadvantage, with many of them shutting down or revamping to use ethane as feedstock. Nevertheless, the
propylene output rates from ethane-fed crackers are negligible. This, along with the rise in propylene demand, has resulted in a
tight propylene market.
For this reason, new and novel lower-cost chemical processes for on-purpose propylene production technologies are of high
interest to the petrochemical marketplace. Such processes include: Metathesis, Propane Dehydrogenation (PDH), Methanol-toOlefins/Methanol-to-Propylene (MTO/MTP), High Severity FCC, and Olefins Cracking. Among those, MTO/MTP and PDH stand out
due to the use of low-cost raw materials. In the US, some major companies, including Dow Chemical and Enterprise Products, are
building PDH plants to take advantage of shale gas, the fastest growing source of gas in the country. In Middle East, the propane
output is expected to be capable of supplying not only domestic needs, but also the demand from China, where many PDH
projects are scheduled to go on stream within the next few years.
In this study, the production of propylene through the dehydrogenation of propane is reviewed. Included in the analysis is an
overview of the technology and economics of a method similar to the Lummus CATOFIN® process, the technology selected by
Enterprise Products to produce propylene on Texas Gulf Coast. Both the capital investment and the operating costs are presented
for a plant constructed on the US Gulf Coast and in China. Process consumptions were validated through a comparison with
publicly available information about Petrologistics’ PDH unit, located in Texas and based on CATOFIN technology.
The economic analysis presented in this report is based on a plant fully integrated with a petrochemical complex and capable of
producing 590 kta of polymer grade propylene. The estimated CAPEX for such a plant on the US Gulf Coast is USD 493 million.
While China presented the lowest CAPEX, the USA presented the most advantageous operational margins, due to the rise of shale
gas and reduction in propane prices. The more competitive raw material justifies Enterprise Products choice for a new PDH plant
in Texas. Although China still depends on imported propane from Middle East, being subjected to shortages of supply, the
historical operational margins are high enough to explain the number of PDH planned projects in the country. The attractiveness
of propane dehydrogenation is proven by the calculated internal rate of return above 30% in the United States.

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1

Contents
About this Study .............................................................................................................................................................. 8
Object of Study.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................8
Analysis Performed ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................8
Construction Scenarios ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................8
Location Basis ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................9

Design Conditions......................................................................................................................................................................................................................9

Study Background ........................................................................................................................................................ 10
About Propylene ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................10
Introduction.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
Applications.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10

Manufacturing Alternatives ..............................................................................................................................................................................................11
Licensor(s) & Historical Aspects......................................................................................................................................................................................13

Technical Analysis......................................................................................................................................................... 14
Chemistry.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................14
Raw Material ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................14
Technology Overview...........................................................................................................................................................................................................16
Detailed Process Description & Conceptual Flow Diagram.......................................................................................................................17
Area 100: Reaction and Catalyst Regeneration.......................................................................................................................................................17
Area 200: Product Recovery ................................................................................................................................................................................................17
Key Consumptions ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 18
Technical Assumptions ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 18
Labor Requirements.................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 18

ISBL Major Equipment List.................................................................................................................................................................................................21
OSBL Major Equipment List ..............................................................................................................................................................................................23
Other Process Remarks ........................................................................................................................................................................................................24
Technology Advances.............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 24
Reactor Operating Cycle......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 24
PDH-Integration Alternatives...............................................................................................................................................................................................25

Economic Analysis ........................................................................................................................................................ 26
General Assumptions............................................................................................................................................................................................................26
2

Project Implementation Schedule...............................................................................................................................................................................27
Capital Expenditures..............................................................................................................................................................................................................27
Fixed Investment......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 27
Working Capital............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 30
Other Capital Expenses ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................31
Total Capital Expenses ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 31

Operational Expenditures ..................................................................................................................................................................................................31
Manufacturing Costs................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 31
Historical Analysis........................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 32

Economic Datasheet .............................................................................................................................................................................................................32

Regional Comparison & Economic Discussion.................................................................................................... 35
Regional Comparison............................................................................................................................................................................................................35
Capital Expenses.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 35
Operational Expenses............................................................................................................................................................................................................... 35
Economic Datasheet................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 35

Economic Discussion ............................................................................................................................................................................................................36

References....................................................................................................................................................................... 38
Acronyms, Legends & Observations....................................................................................................................... 39
Technology Economics Methodology................................................................................................................... 40
Introduction.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................40
Workflow........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................40
Capital & Operating Cost Estimates ............................................................................................................................................................................42
ISBL Investment............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 42
OSBL Investment ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 42
Working Capital............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 43
Start-up Expenses ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 43
Manufacturing Costs................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 44

Contingencies ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................44
Accuracy of Economic Estimates..................................................................................................................................................................................45
Location Factor..........................................................................................................................................................................................................................45

Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties............................................................................................... 47
Appendix B. Utilities Consumption Breakdown ................................................................................................. 52
Appendix C. Carbon Footprint ................................................................................................................................. 53
3

Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing................................................................................................... 54
Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses................................................................................................................. 64
Direct Costs Breakdown ......................................................................................................................................................................................................64
Indirect Costs Breakdown ..................................................................................................................................................................................................65

Appendix F. Economic Assumptions...................................................................................................................... 66
Capital Expenditures..............................................................................................................................................................................................................66
Construction Location Factors ...........................................................................................................................................................................................66
Working Capital............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 66

Operational Expenses ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................67
Fixed Costs ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 67
Depreciation................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 67
EBITDA Margins Comparison...............................................................................................................................................................................................67

Appendix G. Released Publications ........................................................................................................................ 68
Appendix H. Technology Economics Form Submitted by Client ................................................................. 69

4

List of Tables
Table 1 – Construction Scenarios Assumptions (Based on Degree of Integration) ......................................................................................9
Table 2 – Location & Pricing Basis ....................................................................................................................................................................................................9
Table 3 – General Design Assumptions .......................................................................................................................................................................................9
Table 4 – Major Propylene Consumers......................................................................................................................................................................................10
Table 5 - Raw Materials & Utilities Consumption (per ton of product)................................................................................................................18
Table 6 – Design & Simulation Assumptions.........................................................................................................................................................................18
Table 7 – Labor Requirements for a Typical Plant..............................................................................................................................................................18
Table 8 – Main Streams Operating Conditions and Composition..........................................................................................................................21
Table 9 – Inside Battery Limits Major Equipment List......................................................................................................................................................21
Table 10 - Outside Battery Limits Major Equipment List ...............................................................................................................................................23
Table 11 – Base Case General Assumptions...........................................................................................................................................................................26
Table 12 - Bare Equipment Cost per Area (USD Thousands)......................................................................................................................................27
Table 13 – Total Fixed Investment Breakdown (USD Thousands) ..........................................................................................................................27
Table 14 – Working Capital (USD Million) ................................................................................................................................................................................30
Table 15 – Other Capital Expenses (USD Million) ...............................................................................................................................................................31
Table 16 – CAPEX (USD Million)......................................................................................................................................................................................................31
Table 17 – Manufacturing Fixed Cost (USD/ton) ................................................................................................................................................................31
Table 18 – Manufacturing Variable Cost (USD/ton)..........................................................................................................................................................32
Table 19 – OPEX (USD/ton)................................................................................................................................................................................................................32
Table 20 – Technology Economics Datasheet: Propylene via Propane Dehydrogenation on the US Gulf Coast...............34
Table 21 – Technology Economics Datasheet: Propylene via Propane Dehydrogenation in China ............................................37
Table 22 – Project Contingency......................................................................................................................................................................................................44
Table 23 – Criteria Description.........................................................................................................................................................................................................44
Table 24 – Accuracy of Economic Estimates .........................................................................................................................................................................45
Table 25 – Detailed Material Balance & Streams Properties........................................................................................................................................47
Table 26 – Utilities Consumption Breakdown ......................................................................................................................................................................52
Table 27 – Assumptions for CO2e Emissions Calculation.............................................................................................................................................53
Table 28 – CO2e Emissions (ton/ton prod.)............................................................................................................................................................................53
Table 29 - Compressors ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................54
Table 30 – Drivers......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................54
Table 31 – Heat Exchangers ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................55
Table 32 – Pumps......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................59
5

Table 33 – Columns.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................60
Table 34 – Utilities Supply...................................................................................................................................................................................................................61
Table 35 – Vessels & Tanks..................................................................................................................................................................................................................61
Table 36 – Indirect Costs Breakdown for the Base Case (USD Thousands) ......................................................................................................65
Table 37 – Detailed Construction Location Factor............................................................................................................................................................66
Table 38 – Working Capital Assumptions (Base Case) ....................................................................................................................................................66
Table 39 – Other Capital Expenses Assumptions (Base Case) ...................................................................................................................................66
Table 40 – Other Fixed Cost Assumptions ..............................................................................................................................................................................67
Table 41 – Depreciation Value & Assumptions ....................................................................................................................................................................67

6

List of Figures
Figure 1 – Construction Scenarios Assumptions (Based on Degree of Integrations) ..................................................................................8
Figure 2 – Propylene from Multiple Sources .........................................................................................................................................................................12
Figure 3 – Propane Dehydrogenation Reaction Network............................................................................................................................................14
Figure 4 – US Natural Gas Production History and Forecast (Trillion Cubic Feet)........................................................................................15
Figure 5 – Process Block Flow Diagram.....................................................................................................................................................................................16
Figure 6 – Inside Battery Limits Conceptual Process Flow Diagram.....................................................................................................................19
Figure 7 – Typical Operating Cycle for a Eight Reactor System................................................................................................................................24
Figure 8 – Project Implementation Schedule.......................................................................................................................................................................26
Figure 9 – Total Direct Cost of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands) ......................................................................................29
Figure 10 – Total Fixed Investment of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands) ....................................................................29
Figure 11 – Total Fixed Investment Validation (USD Million).....................................................................................................................................30
Figure 12 – OPEX and Product Sales History (USD/ton) ................................................................................................................................................33
Figure 13 – EBITDA Margin & IP Indicators History Comparison..............................................................................................................................33
Figure 14 – CAPEX per Location (USD Million).....................................................................................................................................................................35
Figure 15 – Operating Costs Breakdown per Location (USD/ton) .........................................................................................................................36
Figure 16 – Methodology Flowchart...........................................................................................................................................................................................41
Figure 17 – Location Factor Composition...............................................................................................................................................................................46
Figure 18 – ISBL Direct Costs Breakdown by Equipment Type (Base Case).....................................................................................................64
Figure 19 – OSBL Direct Costs by Equipment Type (Base Case) ..............................................................................................................................64
Figure 20 – Historical EBITDA Margins Regional Comparison ...................................................................................................................................67

7

About this Study
This study follows the same pattern as all Technology
Economics studies developed by Intratec and is based on
the same rigorous methodology and well-defined structure
(chapters, type of tables and charts, flow sheets, etc.).

Analysis Performed

This chapter summarizes the set of information that served
as input to develop the current technology evaluation. All
required data were provided through the filling of the
Technology Economics Form available at Intratec’s website.

The economic analysis is based on the construction of a
plant inside a petrochemical complex, in which propane
feedstock is locally provided and propylene product is
consumed by a nearby polypropylene unit. Therefore, no
storage for product or raw material is required. Additionally,
the petrochemical complex supplies most utilities.

Construction Scenarios

You may check the original form in the “Appendix H.
Technology Economics Form Submitted by Client”.

Since the Outside Battery Limits (OSBL) requirements–
storage and utilities supply facilities – significantly impact
the capital cost estimates for a new venture, they may play a
decisive role in the decision as to whether or not to invest.
Thus, in this study three distinct OSBL configurations are
compared. Those scenarios are summarized in Figure 1 and
Table 1

Object of Study
This assignment assesses the economic feasibility of an
industrial unit for propylene production via propane
dehydrogenation, implementing technology similar to the
CB&I Lummus CATOFIN process.
The current assessment is based on economic data
gathered on Q1 2012 and a chemical plant’s nominal
capacity of 590 kta (thousand metric tons per year).

Figure 1 – Construction Scenarios Assumptions (Based on Degree of Integrations)
Fully Integrated
Petrochemical Complex

Products Storage

Products Consumer

Products Consumer

ISBL Unit

ISBL Unit

ISBL Unit

Raw Materials
Storage

Raw Materials
Storage

Raw Materials
Provider

Grassroots unit

8

Partially Integrated
Petrochemical Complex

Intratec | About this Study

Non-Integrated

Unit is part of a petrochemical complex

Most infrastructure is already installed

Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us

Table 1 – Construction Scenarios Assumptions (Based on Degree of Integration)

Storage Capacity

(Base Case for Evaluation)

Feedstock & Chemicals

20 days of operation


Not included

End-products & By-products


Not included

Not included

Utility Facilities Included

All required

All required

Only refrigeration unit

Control room, labs, gate house,
Support & Auxiliary Facilities

maintenance shops,

(Area 900)

warehouses, offices, change
house, cafeteria, parking lot

Control room, labs,
maintenance shops,

Control room and labs

warehouses


Location Basis

Table 2 – Location & Pricing Basis

Regional specific conditions influence both construction
and operating costs. This study compares the economic
performance of two identical plants operating in different
locations: the US Gulf Coast and China.
The assumptions that distinguish the two regions analyzed
in this study are provided in Table 2.

Design Conditions
The process analysis is based on rigorous simulation models
developed on Aspentech Aspen Plus and Hysys, which
support the design of the chemical process, equipment and
OSBL facilities.
The design assumptions employed are depicted in Table 3.

Table 3 – General Design Assumptions

Cooling water range

11 °C

Steam (High Pressure)

39 bar abs

Refrigerant (Propylene)

24 °C

-45 °C

Wet Bulb Air Temperature

25 °C


Intratec | About this Study

Cooling water temperature

9

Study Background
About Propylene
Introduction
Propylene is an unsaturated organic compound having the
chemical formula C3H6. It has one double bond, is the
second simplest member of the alkene class of
hydrocarbons, and is also second in natural abundance.

Propylene 2D structure
Propylene is produced primarily as a by-product of
petroleum refining and of ethylene production by steam
cracking of hydrocarbon feedstocks. Also, it can be
produced in an on-purpose reaction (for example, in
propane dehydrogenation, metathesis or syngas-to-olefins
plants). It is a major industrial chemical intermediate that
serves as one of the building blocks for an array of chemical
and plastic products, and was also the first petrochemical
employed on an industrial scale.
Commercial propylene is a colorless, low-boiling,
flammable, and highly volatile gas. Propylene is traded
commercially in three grades:
Polymer Grade (PG): min. 99.5% of purity.

While CG propylene is used extensively for most chemical
derivatives (e.g., oxo-alcohols, acrylonitrile, etc.), PG
propylene is used in polypropylene and propylene oxide
manufacture.
PG propylene contains minimal levels of impurities, such as
carbonyl sulfide, that can poison catalysts.
Thermal & Motor Gasoline Uses
Propylene has a calorific value of 45.813 kJ/kg, and RG
propylene can be used as fuel if more valuable uses are
unavailable locally (i.e., propane – propene splitting to
chemical-grade purity). RG propylene can also be blended
into LPG for commercial sale.
Also, propylene is used as a motor gasoline component for
octane enhancement via dimerization – formation of
polygasoline or alkylation.
Chemical Uses
The principal chemical uses of propylene are in the
manufacture of polypropylene, acrylonitrile, oxo-alcohols,
propylene oxide, butanal, cumene, and propene oligomers.
Other uses include acrylic acid derivatives and ethylene –
propene rubbers.
Global propylene demand is dominated by polypropylene
production, which accounts for about two-thirds of total
propylene demand.

Chemical Grade (CG): 90-96% of purity.
Refinery Grade (RG): 50-70% of purity.

Intratec | Study Background

Applications

10

The three commercial grades of propylene are used for
different applications. RG propylene is obtained from
refinery processes. The main uses of refinery propylene are
in liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) for thermal use or as an
octane-enhancing component in motor gasoline. It can
also be used in some chemical syntheses (e.g., cumene or
isopropanol). The most significant market for RG propylene
is the conversion to PG or CG propylene for use in the
production of polypropylene, acrylonitrile, oxo-alcohols and
propylene oxide.

Table 4 – Major Propylene Consumers
Polypropylene

Mechanical parts, containers, fibers, films

Acrylonitrile

Acrylic fibers, ABS polymers

Propylene oxide

Propylene glycol, antifreeze,
polyurethane

Oxo-alcohols

Coatings, plasticizers

Cumene

Polycarbonates, phenolic resins

Acrylic acid

Coatings, adhesives, super absorbent
polymers


Propylene is commercially generated as a co-product, either
in an olefins plant or a crude oil refinery’s fluid catalytic
cracking (FCC) unit, or produced in an on-purpose reaction
(for example, in propane dehydrogenation, metathesis or
syngas-to-olefins plants).
Globally, the largest volume of propylene is produced in
NGL (Natural Gas Liquids) or naphtha steam crackers, which
generates ethylene as well. In fact, the production of
propylene from such a plant is so important that the name
“olefins plant” is often applied to this kind of manufacturing
facility (as opposed to “ethylene plant”). In an olefins plant,
propylene is generated by the pyrolysis of the incoming
feed, followed by purification. Except where ethane is used
as the feedstock, propylene is typically produced at levels
ranging from 40 to 60 wt% of the ethylene produced. The
exact yield of propylene produced in a pyrolysis furnace is a
function of the feedstock and the operating severity of the
pyrolysis.
The pyrolysis furnace operation usually is dictated by
computer optimization, where an economic optimum for
the plant is based on feedstock price, yield structures,
energy considerations, and market conditions for the
multitude of products obtained from the furnace. Thus,
propylene produced by steam cracking varies according to
economic conditions.
In an olefins plant purification area, also called separation
train, propylene is obtained by distillation of a mixed C3
stream, i.e., propane, propylene, and minor components, in
a C3-splitter tower. It is produced as the overhead
distillation product, and the bottoms are a propaneenriched stream. The size of the C3-splitter depends on the
purity of the propylene product.
The propylene produced in refineries also originates from
other cracking processes. However, these processes can be
compared to only a limited extent with the steam cracker
for ethylene production because they use completely
different feedstocks and have different production
objectives.
Refinery cracking processes operate either purely thermally
or thermally – catalytically. By far the most important
process for propene production is the fluid- catalytic
cracking (FCC) process, in which the powdery catalyst flows
as a fluidized bed through the reaction and regeneration

areas. This process converts heavy gas oil preferentially into
gasoline and light gas oil.
The propylene yielded from olefins plants and FCC units is
typically considered a co-product in these processes, which
are primarily driven by ethylene and motor gasoline
production, respectively. Currently, the markets have
evolved to the point where modes of by-product
production can no longer satisfy the demand for propylene.
A trend toward less severe cracking conditions, and thus to
increase propylene production, has been observed in steam
cracker plants using liquid feedstock. As a result, new and
novel lower-cost chemical processes for on-purpose
propylene production technologies are of high interest to
the petrochemical marketplace. Such processes include:
Olefin Metathesis. Also known as disproportionation,
metathesis is a reversible reaction between ethylene
and butenes in which double bonds are broken and
then reformed to form propylene. Propylene yields of
about 90 wt% are achieved. This option may also be
used when there is no butene feedstock. In this case,
part of the ethylene feeds an ethylene-dimerization
unit that converts ethylene into butene.
Propane Dehydrogenation. A catalytic process that
converts propane into propylene and hydrogen (byproduct). The yield of propylene from propane is
about 85 wt%. The reaction by-products (mainly
hydrogen) are usually used as fuel for the propane
dehydrogenation reaction. As a result, propylene
tends to be the only product, unless local demand
exists for the hydrogen by-product.
Methanol-to-Olefins/Methanol-to-Propylene. A
group of technologies that first converts synthesis gas
(syngas) to methanol, and then converts the methanol
to ethylene and/or propylene. The process also
produces water as by-product. Synthesis gas is
produced from the reformation of natural gas or by the
steam-induced reformation of petroleum products
such as naphtha, or by gasification of coal. A large
amount of methanol is required to make a world-scale
ethylene and/or propylene plant.
High Severity FCC. Refers to a group of technologies
that use traditional FCC technology under severe
conditions (higher catalyst-to-oil ratios, higher steam
injection rates, higher temperatures, etc.) in order to
maximize the amount of propylene and other light
products. A high severity FCC unit is usually fed with


Manufacturing Alternatives

11

gas oils (paraffins) and residues, and produces about
20-25 wt% propylene on feedstock together with
greater volumes of motor gasoline and distillate byproducts.

These on-purpose methods are becoming increasingly
significant, as the shift to lighter steam cracker feedstocks
with relatively lower propylene yields and reduced motor
gasoline demand in certain areas has created an imbalance
of supply and demand for propylene.

Olefins Cracking. Includes a broad range of
technologies that catalytically convert large olefins
molecules (C4-C8) into mostly propylene and small
amounts of ethylene. This technology will best be
employed as an auxiliary unit to an FCC unit or steam
cracker to enhance propylene yields.

Figure 2 – Propylene from Multiple Sources

Naphtha
NGL

Steam Cracker

Gas Oil

Refinery FCC Unit

RG Propylene

Propane

PDH

Ethylene/
Butenes

Metathesis

Methanol

MTO/MTP


Gas Oil

12

High Severity FCC

C4 to C8
Olefins


Olefins Cracking

CG/PG Propylene

Licensor(s) & Historical Aspects
The continuous rise in petroleum prices, in addition to the
increase in world demand for propylene, has led the
chemical industry to innovate in the development of
production routes utilizing sources other than oil. In this
context, the recent success of shale gas exploitation in the
US is playing a key role in the shift to natural gas as a source
of feed to olefins production. This occurs because, in
addition to methane, natural gas comprises C2-C4 paraffins,
such as propane, which is more frequently being used in
the production of propylene by a dehydrogenation process.

world’s largest propane dehydrogenation units based on
CATOFIN technology (about 650 kta). The construction of a
750 kta CATOFIN unit has also been announced by
Enterprise Products and is planned to go on stream in the
next few years.
China built its first unit PDH in mid-2010, but has at least 9
plants planned. It has been confirmed that three of such
units will rely on CATOFIN technology. The first of the three
is intended to go on stream in late 2012, while the
remaining are scheduled to go on stream in 2014 and 2015.
Capacities vary between 500 and 600 kta.

In this context, commercial interest in propane
dehydrogenation (PDH) has been increasing. Numerous
plants dedicated to the process are currently under
construction outside the United States and some are
planned for construction in the US. There are already five
licensed technologies:
CATOFIN® from Lummus Technology;
Oleflex™ from UOP;
Fluidized Bed Dehydrogenation (FBD) from
Snamprogetti/Yarsintez;
STAR process® from Krupp Uhde; and
PDH from Linde/BASF.

The CATOFIN process is now owned by Süd-Chemie and,
after it was purchased from Air Products & Chemicals, was
exclusively licensed by Lummus Technology. Licensed
capacities range from 250 kta to 750 kta. At present, there
are 14 CATOFIN operating units and a total of 20 licensees
worldwide.
Major projects have been conducted, specifically in the USA.
For instance, in Texas, Petrologistics operates one of the


The CATOFIN® process for propylene production is an
extension of the CATADIENE process, originally developed
in the 1960s and 1970s by Houdry for the dehydrogenation
of n-butane to butadiene. The technology was first
employed to produce isobutylene from isobutane in the
1980s, with the expectation that it would supply the growth
demand of isobutylene. Isobutylene is a raw material for
MTBE, an oxygenate compound that, at the time, was in
increasing demand following a U.S. amendment that
allowed the increase of oxygen content in the gasoline
pool.

13

Technical Analysis
Chemistry

However, higher process temperatures increase the
propylene yield, provoking thermal cracking reactions.
Those reactions generate undesirable by-products, thus
increasing purification costs downstream. Typical thermal
cracking side reactions are shown in Figure 3.

In this technology, the dehydrogenation, an endothermic
equilibrium reaction, is carried out in the presence of heavymetal catalyst (chromium), which is manufactured by the
Houdry Group of Süd-Chemie, in Louisville, Kentucky. The
following equation shows the propane dehydrogenation
reaction:

To mitigate cracking reactions, dehydrogenation reaction
occurs in conditions such as temperature ranges between
580 and 650°C, and pressures slightly below atmospheric.

Raw Material
Propane

Propylene

The feedstock to a PDH process unit is propane. Propane is
recovered from propane-rich liquefied petroleum gas (LPG)
streams from natural gas processing plants. Propane may
also be obtained in smaller amounts as a by-product of
petroleum refinery operations, such as hydrocracking and
fluidized catalytic cracking (FCC).

Hydrogen

About 86 wt% of propane is converted to propylene. The
propylene yield is favored by higher temperatures and
lower pressures.

Figure 3 – Propane Dehydrogenation Reaction Network
– CH4
cracking

CH3 – CH2 – CH3

CH2 = CH2

C2H2n+2

Dehydrogenation

CH3 – CH = CH2

Oligomerization

CH2 = CH – CH2 – CH3

Aromatization

CH3 – CH – CH2 – CH = CH2

Dehydrogenation

–
CH3

CH2 = CH – CH2 = CH3

Alkylation

Intratec | Technical Analysis

R

14

Polymerization

CnH2n
Side Chain
Aromatization

CnH(n+y)

Coking
Side reactions increase with
temperature and conversion
Coke

Source: Encyclopedia of Hydrocarbons, Volume II

As natural gas offerings in the USA are significantly
increasing due to the rising exploitation of shale gas,
propane and ethane prices are decreasing.
This changes both ethylene and propylene industrial
production by prompting new steam crackers to use
ethane as feedstock and causing existing naphtha crackers
to shut down (or to be reconfigured to crack ethane). Such
a shift to lighter feedstock in crackers reduces both ethylene
production costs and propylene output as a by-product,
since cracking ethane yields negligible amounts of
propylene as by-product in comparison with cracking
naphtha.

However, in certain regions, propylene production must
compete with the use of propane. Propane prices may be
elevated in cold countries where it is used as fuel for
transportation and for domestic heating. Therefore, PDH
units may have elevated raw material costs in Western
Europe countries during the winter due to the demand for
propane as fuel.

Figure 4 – US Natural Gas Production History and
Forecast (Trillion Cubic Feet)
Non-associated onshore

Associated with oil

Coalbed methane

Alaska

Non-associated offshore

Tight gas

Shale gas
30
History

Forecast

25
20
15
10
5
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

The large amounts of shale gas reserves in the US are
considered to be capable of supplying ethane to crackers
for many years. According to the forecast from the US
Energy Information Administration (EIA), in 2035, about half
of the natural gas production in the US will be from shale
gas. This, along with the increasing trends in both
propylene demand and propane supply, makes the PDH
process an attractive chemical route to evaluate, not only in
the US, but also in China, where feedstock propane
imported from Middle East is available at low prices,
allowing attractive margins for PDH processes.


Source: US Energy Information Administration (EIA) AOE2012

15

Technology Overview
The reactor effluent is routed through a high pressure
steam generator, feed-effluent exchanger, and trim cooler
to the compressor. The compressor discharge is cooled,
dried and routed to a low temperature separation unit to
reject light ends.

The process is separated into two different areas: the
reaction and catalyst regeneration area; and the product
recovery area.
Fresh feed is mixed with recycle feed from a propylenepropane splitter (P-P Splitter) bottoms and vaporized by
exchange with process streams. To achieve reaction
temperature, feed is then heated in the charge heater.
The reaction step is continuous and uses a cyclic reactor
operation, in which multiple reactors go through a
controlled sequence of reaction and the fixed catalyst bed
regeneration. Since regeneration is a heat-driven process
and it has been verified that temperatures decrease in the
reactors due to the endothermic reactions, ancillary heating
equipment is required. Regeneration prepares the off-line
reactors for their next reaction phase through the burning
of any carbon deposited on the catalyst and reheating the
reactor.

The low temperature area off-gas, which is hydrogen-rich, is
sent to a Pressure Swing Adsorption (PSA) unit. This unit
separates high-purity hydrogen by-product from light fuel
gas. The liquid stream from low temperature separation,
fed to distillation facilities for product recovery.
The distillation facilities mainly consist of a deethanizer and
propylene-propane splitter. The deethanizer recovers fuel
C2 and lighter hydrocarbons as the top product. Propylene
and propane are obtained as the bottom product and
follow to the P-P splitter, which produces PG propylene and
recycles propane bottom product to the reaction area.

Figure 5 – Process Block Flow Diagram

Fuel Generated

Fresh Propane

Area 100
Reaction & Catalyst
Regeneration

Area 200
Product Recovery

PG Propylene
H2 By-Product


Recovered Propane

16

C4 Hydrocarbons
By-Product


17


Table 6 – Design & Simulation Assumptions

Table 5 - Raw Materials & Utilities Consumption (per ton
of product)


Labor Requirements


Table 7 – Labor Requirements for a Typical Plant

18





Figure 6 – Inside Battery Limits Conceptual Process Flow Diagram

19


Figure 6 – Inside Battery Limits Conceptual Process Flow Diagram (Cont.)

20


Information regarding utilities flow rates is provided in
“Appendix B. Utilities Consumption Breakdown.” For further
details on greenhouse gas emissions caused by this process,
see “Appendix C. Carbon Footprint.”

ISBL Major Equipment List
Table 9 shows the equipment list by area. It also presents a
brief description and the main materials used.
Find main specifications for each piece of equipment in
“Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing.”


Table 8 presents the main streams composition and
operating conditions. For a more complete material
balance, see the “Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams
Properties.”

21

22


The OSBL is divided into three main areas: storage (Area
700), energy and water facilities (Area 800), and support &
auxiliary facilities (Area 900).

Table 10 shows the list of tanks located in the storage area
and the energy facilities required in the construction of a
non-integrated unit.


OSBL Major Equipment List

23


Figure 7 – Typical Operating Cycle for a Eight Reactor System

24


25


Economic Analysis
General Assumptions
The general assumptions for the base case of this analysis
are outlined below.

Table 11 – Base Case General Assumptions

In Table 11, the IC Index stands for Intratec chemical plant
Construction Index, an indicator, published monthly by
Intratec, to scale capital costs from one time period to
another.
This index reconciles prices trends of fundamental
components of a chemical plant construction such as labor,
material and energy, providing meaningful historical and
forecast data for our readers and clients.
The assumed operating hours per year indicated does not
represent any technology limitation; rather, it is an
assumption based on usual industrial operating rates
Additionally, Table 11 discloses assumptions regarding the
project complexity, technology maturity and data reliability,
which are of major importance for attributing reasonable
contingencies for the investment and for evaluating the
overall accuracy of estimates. Definitions and figures for
both contingencies and accuracy of economic estimates
can be found in this publication in the chapter “Technology
Economics Methodology.”


Intratec | Economic Analysis

Figure 8 – Project Implementation Schedule

26


Project Implementation
Schedule

“Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses” provides a detailed
breakdown for the direct expenses, outlining the share of
each type of equipment in total.

The main objective of knowing upfront the project
implementation schedule is to enhance the estimates for
both capital initial expenses and return on investment.

After defining the total direct cost, the TFI is established by
adding field indirects, engineering costs, overhead, contract
fees and contingencies.

The implementation phase embraces the period from the
decision to invest to the start of commercial production.
This phase can be divided into five major stages: (1) Basic
Engineering, (2) Detailed Engineering, (3) Procurement, (4)
Construction, and (5) Plant Start-up.

Table 13 – Total Fixed Investment Breakdown (USD
Thousands)

The duration of each phase is detailed in Figure 8.

Capital Expenditures
Fixed Investment
Table 12 shows the bare equipment cost associated with
each area of the project.

Table 12 - Bare Equipment Cost per Area (USD
Thousands)


Fundamentally, the direct costs are the total direct material
and labor costs associated with the equipment (including
installation bulks). The total direct cost represents the total
bare equipment installed cost.


Indirect costs are defined by the American Association of
Cost Engineers (AACE) Standard Terminology as those
"costs which do not become a final part of the installation
but which are required for the orderly completion of the
installation."


Table 13 presents the breakdown of the total fixed
investment (TFI) per item (direct & indirect costs and project
contingencies). For further information about the
components of the TFI please see the chapter “Technology
Economics Methodology”.

27

The indirect project expenses are further detailed in
“Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses”
Alternative OSBL Configurations
The total fixed investment for the construction of a new
chemical plant is greatly impacted by how well it will be
able to take advantage of the infrastructure already installed
in that location.
For example, if there are nearby facilities consuming a unit’s
final product or supplying a unit’s feedstock, the need for
storage facilities significantly decreases, along with the total
fixed investment required. This is also true for support
facilities that can serve more than one plant in the same
complex, such as a parking lot, gate house, etc.
This study analyzes the total fixed investment for three
distinct scenarios regarding OSBL facilities:
Non-Integrated Plant
Plant Partially Integrated
Plant Fully Integrated
The detailed definition, as well as the assumptions used for
each scenario is presented in the chapter “About this Study”


The influence of the OSBL facilities on the capital
investment is depicted in Figure 9 and in Figure 10.

28

Figure 9 – Total Direct Cost of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands)




Figure 10 – Total Fixed Investment of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands)

29

Working Capital
Working capital, described in Table 14, is another significant
investment requirement. It is needed to meet the costs of
labor; maintenance; purchase, storage, and inventory of
field materials; and storage and sales of product(s).
Assumptions for working capital calculations are found in
“Appendix F. Economic Assumptions.”

Table 14 – Working Capital (USD Million)



Figure 11 – Total Fixed Investment Validation (USD Million)

30


Other Capital Expenses
Start-up costs should also be considered when determining
the total capital expenses. During this period, expenses are
incurred for employee training, initial commercialization
costs, manufacturing inefficiencies and unscheduled plant
modifications (adjustment of equipment, piping,
instruments, etc.).

Table 16 – CAPEX (USD Million)

Initial costs are not addressed in most studies on estimating
but can become a significant expenditure. For instance, the
initial catalyst load in reactors may be a significant cost and,
in that case, should also be included in the capital
estimates.


The purchase of technology through paid-up royalties or
licenses is considered to be part of the capital investment.

Manufacturing Costs

Other capital expenses frequently neglected are land
acquisition and site development. Although these are small
parts of the total capital expenses, they should be included.

Operational Expenditures

The manufacturing costs, also called Operational
Expenditures (OPEX), are composed of two elements: a fixed
cost and a variable cost. All figures regarding operational
costs are presented in USD per ton of product.
Table 17 shows the manufacturing fixed cost.

Table 15 – Other Capital Expenses (USD Million)

To learn more about the assumptions for manufacturing
fixed costs, see the “Appendix F. Economic Assumptions.”

Table 17 – Manufacturing Fixed Cost (USD/ton)


Total Capital Expenses
Table 16 presents a summary of the total Capital
Expenditures (CAPEX) detailed in previous sections.


Assumptions used to calculate other capital expenses are
provided in “Appendix F. Economic Assumptions.”

31

Table 18 discloses the manufacturing variable costs.

Indicators calculated for three major chemical industry
niches: basic, specialties and diversified chemicals.

Table 18 – Manufacturing Variable Cost (USD/ton)

Economic Datasheet
The Technology Economic Datasheet, presented in Table
20, is an overall evaluation of the technology's production
costs in a US Gulf Coast based plant.
The expected revenues in products sales and initial
economic indicators are presented for a short-term
assessment of its economic competitiveness.


Table 19 shows the OPEX of the presented technology.

Table 19 – OPEX (USD/ton)



Historical Analysis

32

Figure 12 depicts Sales and OPEX historic data. Figure 13
compares the project EBITDA trends with Intratec
Profitability Indicators (IP Indicators). The Basic Chemicals IP
Indicator represents basic chemicals sector profitability,
based on the weighted average EBITDA margins of major
global basic chemicals producers. On the other hand, the
Chemical Sector IP Indicator reveals the overall chemical
sector profitability through a weighted average of the IP

Figure 12 – OPEX and Product Sales History (USD/ton)




Figure 13 – EBITDA Margin & IP Indicators History Comparison

33

34


Regional Comparison & Economic Discussion
Regional Comparison
Capital Expenses
Variations in productivity, labor costs, local steel prices,
equipment imports needs, freight, taxes and duties on
imports, regional business environments and local
availability of sparing equipment were considered when
comparing capital expenses for the different regions under
consideration in this report.
Capital costs are adjusted from the base case (a plant
constructed on the US Gulf Coast) to locations of interest by
using location factors calculated according to the
aforementioned items. For further information about
location factor calculation, please examine the chapter
“Technology Economics Methodology”. In addition, the
location factors for the regions analyzed are further detailed
in “Appendix F. Economic Assumptions.”

Figure 14 summarizes the total Capital Expenditures
(CAPEX) for the locations under analysis.

Operational Expenses
Specific regional conditions influence prices for raw
materials, utilities and products. Such differences are thus
reflected in the operating costs. An OPEX breakdown
structure for the different locations approached in this study
is presented in Figure 15.

Economic Datasheet
The Technology Economic Datasheet, presented in Table
21, is an overall evaluation of the technology's capital
investment and production costs in the alternative location
analyzed in this study.


Intratec | Regional Comparison & Economic Discussion

Figure 14 – CAPEX per Location (USD Million)

35

Figure 15 – Operating Costs Breakdown per Location (USD/ton)



36

37


Intratec | References

References

38

Acronyms, Legends & Observations
AACE: American Association of Cost Engineers

LPG: Liquefied petroleum gas

C: Distillation, stripper, scrubber columns (e.g., C-101 would
denote a column tag)

MTO: Methanol-to-Olefins
MTP: Methanol-to-Propylene

C2, C3, ... Cn: Hydrocarbons with "n" carbon atoms
NGL: Natural gas liquids
C2=, C3=, ... Cn=: Alkenes with "n" number of carbon atoms
OCT: Olefin Conversion Technology
CAPEX: Capital expenditures
OPEX: Operational Expenditures
CC: Distillation column condenser
OSBL: Outside battery limits
CG: Chemical grade
P: Pumps (e.g., P-101 would denote a pump tag)
CK: Distillation column compressor
PDH: Propane dehydrogenation
CP: Distillation column reflux pump
PG: Polymer grade
CR: Distillation column reboiler
PP: Polypropylene
CT: Cooling tower
P-P: Propane-Propylene
CV: Distillation column accumulator drum
PSA: Pressure swing adsorption
E: Heat exchangers, heaters, coolers, condensers, reboilers
(e.g., E-101 would denote a heat exchanger tag)

R: Reactors, treaters (e.g., R-101 would denote a reactor tag)

EBIT: Earnings before Interest and Taxes

RF: Refrigerant

EBITDA: Earnings before Interests, Taxes, Depreciation and
Amortization

RG: Refinery grade

F: Furnaces, fired heaters (e.g., F-101 would denote a
furnace tag)
FCC: Fluid catalytic cracking
IC Index: Intratec Chemical Plant Construction Index
IP Indicator: Intratec Chemical Sector Profitability Indicator
ISBL: Inside battery limits
K: Compressors, blowers, fans (e.g., K-101 would denote a
compressor tag)
KPI: Key Performance Indicator
kta: thousands metric tons per year

Syngas: Synthesis gas
T: Tanks (e.g., T-101 would denote a tank tag)
TFI: Total Fixed Investment
TPC: Total process cost
V: Horizontal or vertical drums, vessels (e.g., V-101 would
denote a vessel tag)
WD: Demineralized water
X: Special equipment (e.g., X-101 would denote a special
equipment tag)
Obs.: 1 ton = 1 metric ton = 1,000 kg

Intratec | Acronyms, Legends & Observations

EIA: Energy Information Administration

SB: Steam boiler

39

Technology Economics Methodology
Intratec Technology Economics methodology
ensures a holistic, coherent and consistent
techno-economic evaluation, ensuring a clear
understanding of a specific mature chemical
process technology.

Introduction
The same general approach is used in the development of
all Technology Economics assignments. To know more
about Intratec’s methodology, see Figure 16.
While based on the same methodology, all Technology
Economics studies present uniform analyses with identical
structures, containing the same chapters and similar tables
and charts. This provides confidence to everyone interested
in Intratec’s services since they will know upfront what they
will get.

Workflow
Once the scope of the study is fully defined and
understood, Intratec conducts a comprehensive
bibliographical research in order to understand technical
aspects involved with the process analyzed.
Subsequently, the Intratec team simultaneously develops
the process description and the conceptual process flow
diagram based on:

40

Non-confidential information provided by technology
licensors

c.

Then, a cost analysis is performed targeting ISBL & OSBL
fixed capital costs, manufacturing costs, and overall working
capital associated with the examined process technology.
Equipment costs are primarily estimated using Aspen
Process Economic Analyzer (formerly Aspen Icarus)
customized models and Intratec's in-house database.
Cost correlations and, occasionally, vendor quotes of unique
and specialized equipment may also be employed. One of
the overall objectives is to establish Class 3 cost estimates 1
with a minimum design engineering effort.
Next, capital and operating costs are assembled in Microsoft
Excel spreadsheets, and an economic analysis of such
technology is performed.
Finally, two analyses are completed, examining:
a.

The total fixed investment in different construction
scenarios, based on the level of integration of the plant
with nearby facilities

b.

The capital and operating costs for a second different
plant location

Intratec's in-house database

d.

Equipment sizing specifications are defined based on
Intratec's equipment design capabilities and an extensive
use of AspenONE Engineering Software Suite that enables
the integration between the process simulation developed
and equipment design tools. Both equipment sizing and
process design are prepared in conformance with generally
accepted engineering standards.

Patent and technical literature research

b.
Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology

a.

From this simulation, material balance calculations are
performed around the process, key process indicators are
identified and main equipment listed.

Process design skills

Next, all the data collected are used to build a rigorous
steady state process simulation model in Aspen Hysys
and/or Aspen Plus, leading commercial process
flowsheeting software tools.

1

These are estimates that form the basis for budget authorization,
appropriation, and/or funding. Accuracy ranges for this class of
estimates are + 10% to + 30% on the high side, and - 10 % to - 20 %
on the low side.

Figure 16 – Methodology Flowchart

Study Understanding Validation of Project Inputs
Patent and Technical
Literature Databases

Intratec Internal Database

Non-Confidential
Information from
Technology Licensors or
Suppliers

Bibliographical Research

Technical Validation –
Process Description &
Flow Diagram

Material & Energy Balances, Key
Process Indicators, List of
Equipment & Equipment Sizing

Pricing Data Gathering: Raw
Materials, Chemicals,
Utilities and Products

Capital Cost (CAPEX)
& Operational Cost (OPEX)
Estimation

Construction Location
Factor
(http://base.intratec.us)

Economic Analysis

Analyses of
Different Construction
Scenarios and Plant Location

Project Development Phases
Information Gathering / Tools


Final Review &
Adjustments

Aspen Process Economic
Analyzer, Aspen Capital
Cost Estimator, Aspen InPlant Cost Estimator &
Intratec In-House Database


Vendor Quotes

Aspen Plus, Aspen Hysys
Aspen Exchanger Design &
Rating, KG Tower, Sulcol
and Aspen Energy Analyzer

41

Capital & Operating Cost
Estimates

Process equipment (e.g., reactors and vessels, heat
exchangers, pumps, compressors, etc.)
Process equipment spares

The cost estimate presented in the current study considers
a process technology based on a standardized design
practice, typical of a major chemical company. The specific
design standards employed can have a significant impact
on capital costs.
The basis for the capital cost estimate is that the plant is
considered to be built in a clear field with a typical large
single-line capacity. In comparing the cost estimate hereby
presented with an actual project cost or contractor's
estimate, the following must be considered:
Minor differences or details (many times, unnoticed)
between similar processes can affect cost noticeably.
The omission of process areas in the design considered
may invalidate comparisons with the estimated cost
presented.
Industrial plants may be overdesigned for particular
objectives and situations.
Rapid fluctuation of equipment or construction costs
may invalidate cost estimate.
Equipment vendors or engineering companies may
provide goods or services below profit margins during
economic downturns.
Specific locations may impose higher taxes and fees,
which can impact costs considerably.

Housing for process units
Pipes and supports within the main process units
Instruments, control systems, electrical wires and other
hardware
Foundations, structures and platforms
Insulation, paint and corrosion protection
In addition to the direct material and labor costs, the ISBL
addresses indirect costs, such as construction overheads,
including: payroll burdens, field supervision, equipment
rentals, tools, field office expenses, temporary facilities, etc.

OSBL Investment
The OSBL investment accounts for auxiliary items necessary
to the functioning of the production unit (ISBL), but which
perform a supporting and non-plant-specific role. OSBL
items considered may vary from process to process. The
OSBL investment could include the installed cost of the
following items:
Storage and packaging (storage, bagging and a
warehouse) for products, feedstocks and by-products
Steam units, cooling water and refrigeration systems


Process water treating systems and supply pumps

42

In addition, no matter how much time and effort are
devoted to accurately estimating costs, errors may occur
due to the aforementioned factors, as well as cost and labor
changes, construction problems, weather-related issues,
strikes, or other unforeseen situations. This is partially
considered in the project contingency. Finally, it must
always be remembered that an estimated project cost is not
an exact number, but rather is a projection of the probable
cost.

ISBL Investment
The ISBL investment includes the fixed capital cost of the
main processing units of the plant necessary to the
manufacturing of products. The ISBL investment includes
the installed cost of the following items:

Boiler feed water and supply pumps
Electrical supply, transformers, and switchgear
Auxiliary buildings, including all services and
equipment of: maintenance, stores warehouse,
laboratory, garages, fire station, change house,
cafeteria, medical/safety, administration, etc.
General utilities including plant air, instrument air, inert
gas, stand-by electrical generator, fire water pumps,
etc.
Pollution control, organic waste disposal, aqueous
waste treating, incinerator and flare systems

Working Capital
For the purposes of this study, 2 working capital is defined as
the funds, in addition to the fixed investment, that a
company must contribute to a project. Those funds must
be adequate to get the plant in operation and to meet
subsequent obligations.
The initial amount of working capital is regarded as an
investment item. This study uses the following
items/assumptions for working capital estimation:
Accounts receivable. Products and by-products
shipped but not paid by the customer; it represents
the extended credit given to customers (estimated as a
certain period – in days – of manufacturing expenses
plus depreciation).
Accounts payable. A credit for accounts payable such
as feedstock, catalysts, chemicals, and packaging
materials received but not paid to suppliers (estimated
as a certain period – in days – of manufacturing
expenses).
Product inventory. Products and by-products (if
applicable) in storage tanks. The total amount depends
on sales flow for each plant, which is directly related to
plant conditions of integration to the manufacturing of
product‘s derivatives (estimated as a certain period – in
days – of manufacturing expenses plus depreciation,
defined by plant integration circumstances).

Cash on hand. An adequate amount of cash on hand
to give plant management the necessary flexibility to
cover unexpected expenses (estimated as a certain
period – in days – of manufacturing expenses).

Start-up Expenses
When a process is brought on stream, there are certain onetime expenses related to this activity. From a time
standpoint, a variable undefined period exists between the
nominal end of construction and the production of quality
product in the quantity required. This period is commonly
referred to as start-up.
During the start-up period expenses are incurred for
operator and maintenance employee training, temporary
construction, auxiliary services, testing and adjustment of
equipment, piping, and instruments, etc. Our method of
estimating start-up expenses consists of four components:
Labor component. Represents costs of plant crew
training for plant start-up, estimated as a certain
number of days of total plant labor costs (operators,
supervisors, maintenance personnel and laboratory
labor).
Commercialization cost. Depends on raw materials
and products negotiation, on how integrated the plant
is with feedstock suppliers and consumer facilities, and
on the maturity of the technology. It ranges from 0.5%
to 5% of annual manufacturing expenses.
Start-up inefficiency. Takes into account those
operating runs when production cannot be
maintained or there are false starts. The start-up
inefficiency varies according to the process maturity:
5% for new and unproven processes, 2% for new and
proven processes, and 1% for existing licensed
processes, based on annual manufacturing expenses.

In-process inventory. Material contained in pipelines
and vessels, except for the material inside the storage
tanks (assumed to be 1 day of manufacturing
expenses).

Unscheduled plant modifications. A key fault that
can happen during the start-up of the plant is the risk
that the product(s) may not meet specifications
required by the market. As a result, equipment
modifications or additions may be required.

Supplies and stores. Parts inventory and minor spare
equipment (estimated as a percentage of total
maintenance materials costs for both ISBL and OSBL).

2
The accounting definition of working capital (total current assets
minus total current liabilities) is applied when considering the
entire company.


Raw material inventory. Raw materials in storage
tanks. The total amount depends on raw material
availability, which is directly related to plant conditions
of integration to raw material manufacturing
(estimated as a certain period – in days – of raw
material delivered costs, defined by plant integration
circumstances).

43

Other Capital Expenses
Prepaid Royalties. Royalty charges on portions of the
plant are usually levied for proprietary processes. A
value ranging from 0.5 to 1% of the total fixed
investment (TFI) is generally used.
Site Development. Land acquisition and site
preparation, including roads and walkways, parking,
railroad sidings, lighting, fencing, sanitary and storm
sewers, and communications.

Manufacturing Costs
Manufacturing costs do not include post-plant costs, which
are very company specific. These consist of sales, general
and administrative expenses, packaging, research and
development costs, and shipping, etc.
Operating labor and maintenance requirements have been
estimated subjectively on the basis of the number of major
equipment items and similar processes, as noted in the
literature.
Plant overhead includes all other non-maintenance (labor
and materials) and non-operating site labor costs for
services associated with the manufacture of the product.
Such overheads do not include costs to develop or market
the product.
G & A expenses represent general and administrative costs
incurred during production such as: administrative
salaries/expenses, research & development, product
distribution and sales costs.


Contingencies

44

Contingency constitutes an addition to capital cost
estimations, implemented based on previously available
data or experience to encompass uncertainties that may
incur, to some degree, cost increases. According to
recommended practice, two kinds of contingencies are
assumed and applied to TPC: process contingency and
project contingency.
Process contingency is utilized in an effort to lessen the
impact of absent technical information or the uncertainty of
that which is obtained. In that manner, the reliability of the
information gathered, its amount and the inherent
complexity of the process are decisive for its evaluation.
Errors that occur may be related to:

Uncertainty in process parameters, such as severity of
operating conditions and quantity of recycles
Addition and integration of new process steps
Estimation of costs through scaling factors
Off-the-shelf equipment
Hence, process contingency is also a function of the
maturity of the technology, and is usually a value between
5% and 25% of the direct costs.
The project contingency is largely dependent on the plant
complexity and reflects how far the conducted estimation is
from the definitive project, which includes, from the
engineering point of view, site data, drawings and sketches,
suppliers’ quotations and other specifications. In addition,
during construction some constraints are verified, such as:
Project errors or incomplete specifications
Strike, labor costs changes and problems caused by
weather

Table 22 – Project Contingency
Plant Complexity

Complex

Typical

Simple

Project Contingency

25%

20%

15%


Intratec’s definitions in relation to complexity and maturity
are the following:

Table 23 – Criteria Description

Simple

Complexity

Typical

Somewhat simple, widely known
processes
Regular process
Several unit operations, extreme

Complex

temperature or pressure, more
instrumentation

New &
Maturity

Proven
Licensed

From 1 to 2 commercial plants
3 or more commercial plants


The accuracy of estimates gives the realized range of plant
cost. The reliability of the technical information available is
of major importance.

Table 24 – Accuracy of Economic Estimates

Reliability

Accuracy

Very

Low

Moderate

High

+ 30%

+ 22%

+ 18%

+ 10%

- 20%

- 18%

- 14%

- 10%

High


The non-uniform spread of accuracy ranges (+30 to – 20 %,
rather than ±25%, e.g.) is justified by the fact that the
unavailability of complete technical information usually
results in under estimating rather than over estimating
project costs.

Location Factor
A location factor is an instantaneous, total cost factor used
for converting a base project cost from one geographic
location to another.
A properly estimated location factor is a powerful tool, both
for comparing available investment data and evaluating
which region may provide greater economic attractiveness
for a new industrial venture. Considering this, Intratec has
developed a well-structured methodology for calculating
Location Factors, and the results are presented for specific
regions’ capital costs comparison.
Intratec’s Location Factor takes into consideration the
differences in productivity, labor costs, local steel prices,
equipment imports needs, freight, taxes and duties on
imported and domestic materials, regional business
environments and local availability of sparing equipment.
For such analyses, all data were taken from international
statistical organizations and from Intratec’s database.
Calculations are performed in a comparative manner, taking
a US Gulf Coast-based plant as the reference location. The
final Location Factor is determined by four major indexes:
Business Environment, Infrastructure, Labor, and Material.
The Business Environment Factor and the Infrastructure
Factor measure the ease of new plant installation in

different countries, taking into consideration the readiness
of bureaucratic procedures and the availability and quality
of ports or roads.
Labor and material, in turn, are the fundamental
components for the construction of a plant and, for this
reason, are intrinsically related to the plant costs. This
concept is the basis for the methodology, which aims to
represent the local discrepancies in labor and material.
Productivity of workers and their hourly compensation are
important for the project but, also, the qualification of
workers is significant to estimating the need for foreign
labor.
On the other hand, local steel prices are similarly important,
since they are largely representative of the costs of
structures, piping, equipment, etc. Considering the
contribution of labor in these components, workers’
qualifications are also indicative of the amount that needs
to be imported. For both domestic and imported materials,
a Spare Factor is considered, aiming to represent the need
for spare rotors, seals and parts of rotating equipment.
The sum of the corrected TFI distribution reflects the relative
cost of the plant, this sum is multiplied by the Infrastructure
and the Business Environment Factors, yielding the Location
Factor.
For the purpose of illustrating the conducted methodology,
a block flow diagram is presented in Figure 17 in which the
four major indexes are presented, along with some of their
components.


Accuracy of Economic Estimates

45

Figure 17 – Location Factor Composition

Location Factor

Material Index
Domestic Material Index
Relative Steel Prices
Labor Index
Taxes and Freight
Rates
Spares
Imported Material
Taxes and Freight
Rates
Spares



46

Labor Index
Local Labor Index
Relative Salary
Productivity
Expats Labor

Infrastructure Factor
Ports, Roads, Airports
and Rails (Availability
and Quality)
Communication
Technologies
Warehouse
Infrastructure
Border Clearance
Local Incentives

Business Environment
Factor
Readiness of
Bureaucratic
Procedures
Legal Protection of
Investors
Taxes

47

Intratec | Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties


Mass Enthalpy

(kcal/kg)

48

Mass Heat Capacity

(kJ/kg °C)

(kJ/kg °C)

Viscosity (cP)


Mass Heat Capacity

49

50


51


52

Intratec | Appendix B. Utilities Consumption Breakdown

Appendix C. Carbon Footprint
The process’ carbon footprint can be defined as the total
amount of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions caused by the
process operation.
Although it is difficult to precisely account for the total
emissions generated by a process, it is possible to estimate
the major emissions, which can be divided into:

The assumptions for the process carbon footprint
calculation are presented in Table 27 and the results are
provided in Table 28

Table 28 – CO2e Emissions (ton/ton prod.)

Direct emissions. Emissions caused by process waste
streams combusted in flares.
Indirect emissions. The ones caused by utilities
generation or consumption, such as the emissions due
to using fuel in furnaces for heating process streams.
Fuel used in steam boilers, electricity generation, and
any other emissions in activities to support process
operation are also considered indirect emissions.
In order to estimate the direct emissions, it is necessary to
know the composition of the streams, as well as the
oxidation factor.
Estimation of indirect emissions requires specific data,
which depends on the plant location, such as the local
electric power generation profile, and on the plant
resources, such as the type of fuel used.


Equivalent carbon dioxide (CO2e) is a measure that
describes the amount of CO2 that would have the same
global warming potential of a given greenhouse gas, when
measured over a specified timescale.
All values and assumptions used in calculations are based
on data provided by the Environment Protection Agency
(EPA) Climate Leaders Program.


Intratec | Appendix C. Carbon Footprint

Table 27 – Assumptions for CO2e Emissions Calculation

53

Actual gas flow rate
Inlet (m3/h)

Design gauge
pressure Outlet (barg)

Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing


54

Design gauge pressure
(barg)
Design temperature
(deg C)

Shell design
temperature (deg C)
Shell material
Tube design gauge
pressure (barg)
Tube design


temperature (deg C)

55

Shell design
temperature (deg C)
Shell material
Tube design gauge
pressure (barg)
Tube design


temperature (deg C)

56

Design gauge
pressure (barg)
Design temperature
(deg C)
Duty (MW)
Heat transfer area
(m2)

Shell design
temperature (deg C)
Shell material
Tube design gauge
pressure (barg)
Tube design


temperature (deg C)

57

Design gauge pressure
(barg)
Design temperature
(deg C)

Material
Shell design gauge
pressure (barg)
Shell design
temperature (deg C)
Shell material
Tube design gauge
pressure (barg)
Tube design


temperature (deg C)

58

(deg C)
Liquid flow rate
(m3/h)


Design temperature

59

60


Design gauge
pressure (barg)
Design temperature

Design gauge
pressure (barg)
Design temperature
(deg C)


(deg C)

61

Table 35 – Vessels & Tanks (Cont.)

Design gauge
pressure (barg)
Design temperature
(deg C)

Design gauge
pressure (barg)
Design
temperature
(deg C)
Liquid volume


(m3)

62


Design gauge

pressure (barg)

Design temperature

(deg C)

63

Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses
Direct Costs Breakdown
Figure 18 – ISBL Direct Costs Breakdown by Equipment Type (Base Case)


Intratec | Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses

Figure 19 – OSBL Direct Costs by Equipment Type (Base Case)

64


65

Intratec | Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses

Appendix F. Economic Assumptions
Capital Expenditures

Working Capital

For a better description of working capital and other capital
expenses components, as well as the location factors
methodology, see the chapter “Technology Economics
Methodology.”

Table 38 – Working Capital Assumptions (Base Case)
Raw Materials
Inventory

Construction Location Factors

Table 37 – Detailed Construction Location Factor
Supplies and
Stores


Intratec | Appendix F. Economic Assumptions

Table 39 – Other Capital Expenses Assumptions (Base
Case)

66



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