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Renewing US Manufacturing:
Promoting a High-Road Strategy
          Susan Helper
  Case Western Reserve University
         February 2008
Sharp Electronics in Memphis
1980: begins producing TVs, microwaves.
  – Remains open after rivals forced out due to
    skill of workers, suppliers
2002: moves all TV production to Mexico
2003: begins producing solar panels
  – Stimulated by new energy legislation
  – Skills of IBEW workers eased transition
2008: 50% of workers make solar panels
Sharp illustrates situation of US
            manufacturing
• Problems:
  – low-wage competition
• Opportunities:
  – skilled work force
  – increasing demand for sustainable products
• Solutions:
  – “high road” production recipe, in which workers,
    suppliers, and management work together to make
    innovative products
  – public policy helps manufacturers achieve key
    national goals.
We can save manufacturing in a way that also
 creates a bigger economic pie, divides it more
 fairly, and protects the environment
Agenda
• Problems
  – Manufacturing is shrinking
  – Incomes for most Americans aren’t growing
• Proposed Solutions
  – Demand Side
     • Manufacturing can contribute to meeting key national goals
  – Supply Side
     • Manufacturers can compete with “high-road” policies
     • Public policy can help
Manufacturing is shrinking
• The US lost 16% of manufacturing
  employment 2000-2003…
  – And 4% more since then
• Value-added fell 4% 2000-2006.
  – Even more if we correct for statistical
    problems
        – Cato Institute, Business Week 6/18/2007
Should we care if mfg shrinks?
• Mfg capability can help meet national goals
  – Energy, infrastructure, defense
• Manufacturing can provide a career ladder for
  ordinary Americans
  – 14 million jobs
  – Avg weekly wage: 20% > economy-wide average
• To the extent manufacturing serves public
  purposes, it should receive public support
  – Policies should correct market failures, not provide
    unconditional subsidies
Demand-side policies
• Manufacturing can help meet national
  goals
    • Sustainable energy, infrastructure, defense
      industrial base
       – Markets fail to provide enough of these goods
Goal: Energy sustainability
• Challenge of global warming: an historic
  opportunity to re-make the economy
• Manufacturing plays a key role
  – Renewable energy
  – Energy efficiency
     • In production and in use of goods
  – Could change terms of competition away from
    wages, toward creativity in energy efficiency
Sustainability offers a big opportunity

– But requires capability for innovations large
  and small
– These capabilities are lacking
   • 90% of manufacturers report moderate to severe
     shortage of skilled production employees
   • 65% report moderate-to-severe shortage of
     scientists and engineers
   • Tooling industry lost 1/3 of employees 2000-2005
         » National Assn of Manufacturers; Center for
           Automotive Research
Supply-side policies
• Promote “high-road” manufacturing
  – High wage workers make cost-effective,
    sustainable products for consumers and
    profits for owners
    • How?
       – Skilled workers help plants introduce new products
         faster, handle more variety, and deliver “just in time”
       – Continuous improvement benefits from direct workers’
         knowledge
       – Self-management reduces need for supervisors
“High-road” production
• Works because things rarely go as planned
  – So distributed information flow, understanding of
    context is valuable
• But, many firms don’t adopt, or don’t maintain,
  due to market failures
  – Complementarities
     • Supply & demand for workers trained in problem-solving
  – Temptation to break promises for short-term gain
Public policies can help
• Triple the Manufacturing Extension
  Program (to $300 million)
  – Teach “Full Utilization Learning Lean” (FULL)
    • Learning Lean
       – Understand root causes of problems, just-in-time
    • Full Utilization
       – Product development
       – Marketing to new industries
    • Supply Chain Programs
How will the program help?
• MEP assistance 
  – More plants achieve productivity of the best
    plants
  – Firms compete on basis of fast delivery, new
    products
  – Firms understand their costs
    • Don’t underestimate hidden costs of offshoring
• US manufacturers can compete with China
Hidden costs of off-shoring
• Off-shoring reduces wages of direct labor…
     • These are usually only 5-15% of total costs
• But increases other, hard-to-measure costs:
     • Management distraction (lost focus on innovation at home)
     • Increased risk from long supply chain
• Increased “handoff costs” btw US & foreign sites
     • More difficult communication among design, engineering,
       and production hinders serendipitous discovery
     • Products must be more clearly specified
     • Quality problems take longer to solve
     • Increased time-to-market
     • Eventually, design as well as production may move
Each proposal comes with a
    revenue stream to pay for it
• MEP
  – Pays for itself in increased tax revenue
• Energy sustainability
  – Paid for by a portion of carbon auction
    revenues, end to oil and gas subsidies
• Much cheaper than smoke-stack chasing
Key features of the program
• Does not disadvantage other stakeholders
  – Doesn’t throw money at firms without quid pro quo
• Changes both production and distribution of the
  economic pie
  – Changes how inputs are mixed together, not just
    individual inputs
     • More education alone is not sufficient
     • More R and D alone is not sufficient
  – Makes workers integral to production—not disposable
Complementary policies
• Pave the high road
  – reduce costs of socially-beneficial actions thru
     • Training
     • Universal health care
     • R&D subsidies
Complementary policies (2)
• Block the low road
  – prevent undercutting of socially-responsible
    firms
    •   Protect labor and environmental rights in treaties
    •   Limit poaching by states
    •   Strengthen Consumer Product Safety Commission
    •   Subsidize only firms that commit to high wage,
        high productivity, sustainable strategies
Equity versus Efficiency?
• A fairer economy can be a larger economy
Conclusions
• The Problems
  – Manufacturing is shrinking
  – Incomes for most Americans aren’t growing
• Proposed Solutions
  – Demand Side
     • Manufacturing can contribute to meeting key national goals
  – Supply Side
     • Manufacturers can compete with “high-road” policies
     • Public policy can help

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Helper renewing us-manufacturing

  • 1. Renewing US Manufacturing: Promoting a High-Road Strategy Susan Helper Case Western Reserve University February 2008
  • 2. Sharp Electronics in Memphis 1980: begins producing TVs, microwaves. – Remains open after rivals forced out due to skill of workers, suppliers 2002: moves all TV production to Mexico 2003: begins producing solar panels – Stimulated by new energy legislation – Skills of IBEW workers eased transition 2008: 50% of workers make solar panels
  • 3. Sharp illustrates situation of US manufacturing • Problems: – low-wage competition • Opportunities: – skilled work force – increasing demand for sustainable products • Solutions: – “high road” production recipe, in which workers, suppliers, and management work together to make innovative products – public policy helps manufacturers achieve key national goals.
  • 4. We can save manufacturing in a way that also creates a bigger economic pie, divides it more fairly, and protects the environment
  • 5. Agenda • Problems – Manufacturing is shrinking – Incomes for most Americans aren’t growing • Proposed Solutions – Demand Side • Manufacturing can contribute to meeting key national goals – Supply Side • Manufacturers can compete with “high-road” policies • Public policy can help
  • 6. Manufacturing is shrinking • The US lost 16% of manufacturing employment 2000-2003… – And 4% more since then • Value-added fell 4% 2000-2006. – Even more if we correct for statistical problems – Cato Institute, Business Week 6/18/2007
  • 7. Should we care if mfg shrinks? • Mfg capability can help meet national goals – Energy, infrastructure, defense • Manufacturing can provide a career ladder for ordinary Americans – 14 million jobs – Avg weekly wage: 20% > economy-wide average • To the extent manufacturing serves public purposes, it should receive public support – Policies should correct market failures, not provide unconditional subsidies
  • 8. Demand-side policies • Manufacturing can help meet national goals • Sustainable energy, infrastructure, defense industrial base – Markets fail to provide enough of these goods
  • 9. Goal: Energy sustainability • Challenge of global warming: an historic opportunity to re-make the economy • Manufacturing plays a key role – Renewable energy – Energy efficiency • In production and in use of goods – Could change terms of competition away from wages, toward creativity in energy efficiency
  • 10. Sustainability offers a big opportunity – But requires capability for innovations large and small – These capabilities are lacking • 90% of manufacturers report moderate to severe shortage of skilled production employees • 65% report moderate-to-severe shortage of scientists and engineers • Tooling industry lost 1/3 of employees 2000-2005 » National Assn of Manufacturers; Center for Automotive Research
  • 11. Supply-side policies • Promote “high-road” manufacturing – High wage workers make cost-effective, sustainable products for consumers and profits for owners • How? – Skilled workers help plants introduce new products faster, handle more variety, and deliver “just in time” – Continuous improvement benefits from direct workers’ knowledge – Self-management reduces need for supervisors
  • 12. “High-road” production • Works because things rarely go as planned – So distributed information flow, understanding of context is valuable • But, many firms don’t adopt, or don’t maintain, due to market failures – Complementarities • Supply & demand for workers trained in problem-solving – Temptation to break promises for short-term gain
  • 13. Public policies can help • Triple the Manufacturing Extension Program (to $300 million) – Teach “Full Utilization Learning Lean” (FULL) • Learning Lean – Understand root causes of problems, just-in-time • Full Utilization – Product development – Marketing to new industries • Supply Chain Programs
  • 14. How will the program help? • MEP assistance  – More plants achieve productivity of the best plants – Firms compete on basis of fast delivery, new products – Firms understand their costs • Don’t underestimate hidden costs of offshoring • US manufacturers can compete with China
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Hidden costs of off-shoring • Off-shoring reduces wages of direct labor… • These are usually only 5-15% of total costs • But increases other, hard-to-measure costs: • Management distraction (lost focus on innovation at home) • Increased risk from long supply chain • Increased “handoff costs” btw US & foreign sites • More difficult communication among design, engineering, and production hinders serendipitous discovery • Products must be more clearly specified • Quality problems take longer to solve • Increased time-to-market • Eventually, design as well as production may move
  • 18. Each proposal comes with a revenue stream to pay for it • MEP – Pays for itself in increased tax revenue • Energy sustainability – Paid for by a portion of carbon auction revenues, end to oil and gas subsidies • Much cheaper than smoke-stack chasing
  • 19. Key features of the program • Does not disadvantage other stakeholders – Doesn’t throw money at firms without quid pro quo • Changes both production and distribution of the economic pie – Changes how inputs are mixed together, not just individual inputs • More education alone is not sufficient • More R and D alone is not sufficient – Makes workers integral to production—not disposable
  • 20. Complementary policies • Pave the high road – reduce costs of socially-beneficial actions thru • Training • Universal health care • R&D subsidies
  • 21. Complementary policies (2) • Block the low road – prevent undercutting of socially-responsible firms • Protect labor and environmental rights in treaties • Limit poaching by states • Strengthen Consumer Product Safety Commission • Subsidize only firms that commit to high wage, high productivity, sustainable strategies
  • 22. Equity versus Efficiency? • A fairer economy can be a larger economy
  • 23. Conclusions • The Problems – Manufacturing is shrinking – Incomes for most Americans aren’t growing • Proposed Solutions – Demand Side • Manufacturing can contribute to meeting key national goals – Supply Side • Manufacturers can compete with “high-road” policies • Public policy can help

Editor's Notes

  1. Sharp Electronics solar plant in Memphis—just like the
  2. Sharp Electronics solar plant in Memphis
  3. Start with Sharp electronics story : high road, sustainability, public policy