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Betting System Rules - Betting School
                      Online




Horse racing methods get a bad press because there is so much junk being sold. Methods that promise
huge profits but in real life they are just trash.

Systems vendors and builders fall into three main camps.

1. Scammers: Harsh words but I think deserved. These are people who have no interest in betting
methods but they have discovered that there are a lot of hungry buyers who would like to make money
from betting.

They spend all of their time crafting the sales message that will suck in the unsuspecting punter.

They know that however bad the method is that only a small percentage will ask for a refund.

2. Idiots: These are people who have found what they think is a winning method but in reality it turns
out to be just some coincedental wins.
These people dont realise the problems caused by making a method fit the data available. The thing is
that given any set of data the determined person can find a set of rules that could be applied to that
data that will find enough winners to make a winning method.

Hindsight is 20 20.

3. The Professional: There are of course people who know about researching trends, who realise that a
trend found in one set of data needs to be fully tested on another different set of data before it can be
considered safe. If you are to buy a betting method then these are the people you should be following.

Here's my step by step plan for creating a reliable horse racing system

1. look at lots of past data to find an sign of winners. Something that looks to be common to a lot of
successes that could maybe become the basis of a system.

2. Hone that idea by adding known sensible filters, things like days since last run (recent runs indicate
that the horse is likely to fit), course and /or distance winners (have proven they can win in that race
type) etc.

If you have a filter that says the horse must have run between 1 to 4 days ago or 10 to 20 days ago (IE
but not 5 to 9) then you are just making your method fit the data.

3. And this is the critical step. Try your completed system on fresh data. This is how you know you are on
to something real. But if you then tweak it a bit so it looks good on both sets of data then you are back-
fitting again.


The Betting School website is your one stop resource for all things related to UK
betting. For horse racing systems goto http://www.betting-school.com/horse-racing-
system/

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Betting system rules betting school online

  • 1. Betting System Rules - Betting School Online Horse racing methods get a bad press because there is so much junk being sold. Methods that promise huge profits but in real life they are just trash. Systems vendors and builders fall into three main camps. 1. Scammers: Harsh words but I think deserved. These are people who have no interest in betting methods but they have discovered that there are a lot of hungry buyers who would like to make money from betting. They spend all of their time crafting the sales message that will suck in the unsuspecting punter. They know that however bad the method is that only a small percentage will ask for a refund. 2. Idiots: These are people who have found what they think is a winning method but in reality it turns out to be just some coincedental wins.
  • 2. These people dont realise the problems caused by making a method fit the data available. The thing is that given any set of data the determined person can find a set of rules that could be applied to that data that will find enough winners to make a winning method. Hindsight is 20 20. 3. The Professional: There are of course people who know about researching trends, who realise that a trend found in one set of data needs to be fully tested on another different set of data before it can be considered safe. If you are to buy a betting method then these are the people you should be following. Here's my step by step plan for creating a reliable horse racing system 1. look at lots of past data to find an sign of winners. Something that looks to be common to a lot of successes that could maybe become the basis of a system. 2. Hone that idea by adding known sensible filters, things like days since last run (recent runs indicate that the horse is likely to fit), course and /or distance winners (have proven they can win in that race type) etc. If you have a filter that says the horse must have run between 1 to 4 days ago or 10 to 20 days ago (IE but not 5 to 9) then you are just making your method fit the data. 3. And this is the critical step. Try your completed system on fresh data. This is how you know you are on to something real. But if you then tweak it a bit so it looks good on both sets of data then you are back- fitting again. The Betting School website is your one stop resource for all things related to UK betting. For horse racing systems goto http://www.betting-school.com/horse-racing- system/