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Challenges to Solar as a Leading Solution to Climate and Energy Problems,[object Object],George Washington University Solar Institute |  April 19, 2010,[object Object],John LushetskyProgram ManagerSolar Energy Technologies ProgramU.S. Department of Energy,[object Object]
Challenges to Solar,[object Object],Costs,[object Object],Hardware,[object Object],Installation and other soft costs,[object Object],Access to land, transmission, and financing,[object Object],Grid Integration,[object Object],2,[object Object]
SETP is focused on enabling high penetration of solar energy technologies,[object Object], Slide 3,[object Object],3,[object Object]
Solar Vision Study,[object Object],Goals of the study,[object Object],Evaluate the technical, economic, and environmental feasibility of meeting 10-20% of electricity demand from solar energy technologies by 2030; and,[object Object],Identify technology Research, Development, Demonstration, Deployment (RD3) and Policy options that could be employed to help achieve this vision.,[object Object],Scope of Study,[object Object],Includes PV (central and distributed), CSP, and Solar Water Heating/Cooling.,[object Object],Committee Members and Working Group,[object Object],Over 100 participants from Industry, National Labs, and DOE,[object Object],Scheduled for release in mid-2010,[object Object]
Residential PV: LCOE Targets,[object Object],2015,[object Object],[object Object]
Without the ITC, PV is broadly competitive under all conditions except that with the most expensive financing and worst insolation. 2030,[object Object],[object Object]
Standard financial assumptions overestimate LCOE due to combination of tax effects and higher cost of capital than in the market.* No state, local or utility incentives are included.  The range in residential PV LCOE is due to different insolation and financing conditions.  For a complete list of assumptions, see DOE Solar Cost Targets (2009 – 2030), in process. ,[object Object],‡ The electricity rate range represents one standard deviation below and above the mean U.S. residential electricity prices. ,[object Object],$ The system is located in Phoenix, AZ and financed with a real cost of capital of 7.0%.  The capital recovery factor does not take into account the ITC or financing tax preferences.,[object Object]
Utility PV: LCOE Targets,[object Object],2015,[object Object],[object Object]
With the 10% ITC, PV is equal to or below the CA MPR and competitive with high wholesale electricity rates under the best insolation and financing conditions 2030,[object Object],[object Object]
Standard financial assumptions yield LCOE estimates that are  towards the high end of the program’s range due to excluding the 10% ITC and depreciation* Assumes IOU or IPP ownership of PV, and thus the LCOE includes the taxes paid on electricity generated. Includes 5-year MACRS but not state or local incentives.  The range in utility PV LCOE is due to different insolation and financing conditions.  For a complete list of assumptions, see DOE Solar Cost Targets (2009 – 2030), in process. ,[object Object],‡ The electricity rate range represents one standard deviation below and above the mean U.S. wholesale electricity prices. ,[object Object],§ The 2009 CA MPR includes adjustments by utility for the time of delivery profile of solar (low case: SDG&E, mid case: PG&E, high case: SCE). ,[object Object]
Historical  and Projected PV Learning Curve,[object Object]
Reaching Grid Parity Targets will require advances in all system components,[object Object]
Solar Instructor Training Network$27M over 5 years ,[object Object], Slide 9,[object Object],Kennebec Valley Community College,[object Object],Supporting the training for up to 1400 instructors, resulting in a projected capacity to train up to 170,000 students ,[object Object],Midwest Renewable Energy Association,[object Object],Hudson Valley Community College,[object Object],California Community Colleges Board of Governors, California Energy Commission, California Centers for Sustainable Energy, the Labor Management Cooperation Committee,[object Object],Salt Lake Community College; Solar Energy International; Utah Solar Energy Association,[object Object],Pennsylvania State University,[object Object],North Carolina Solar Center at NCSU,[object Object],Activities: ,[object Object],[object Object]
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Lushetsky - Solar Vision Forum

Notas do Editor

  1. In Northeast, Hudson Valley will cover only PV and Kennebec Valley will cover only SHC