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Gururaja KV
IISc, Bangalore
gururajakv@gmail.com
   Systematic stratified random sampling
   Night survey, from 2003 – 2006, seasonal,
    search for all
   Identify and record species, numbers etc.
   Secondary data on Vegetation studies, RS and
    GIS
   Opportunistic observations also included for
    overall diversity in the region
   Shannon’s index (H’ = - Σ pi ln pi),
                       (H’
   Simpson’s index (D = 1/ Σ pi2)
                        (D
   Varieties of species (Species richness)
   Abundance of species (#indviduals/man hour
                            (#indviduals/man
    search)
   Derived data (Endemics, Endemic abundance)
   Secondary source (IUCN red list)
   Percent Evergreens, rainfall, percent landuses,
                                          landuses,
    forest fragmentation data,
Sampling
           Longitude (°E)   Latitude(°N)   Altitude (m)
  sites
   1          75.0896          13.773          584

   2          75.0804         13.8532          586

   3          74.8839         13.9269          580

   4          74.7268         13.965           563

   5          75.1055         13.9735          602

   6          74.8428         13.9786          598

   7          75.1084         14.0209          559

   8          75.1245         14.0418          557

   9          75.073          14.0831          680

   10          75.04          14.058           596

   11         75.109          13.7379          696

  12…
Euphlyctis cyanophlyctis                  11       1        1
Euphlyctis hexadactylus                                     1
Hoplobatrachus tigerinus    1             1        2   1    1
Indirana beddomii                         1
Indirana semipalmatus            1        5        1       2
Fejervarya granosa                        1
Fejervarya caperata         4    1   5    2        3   3   4
Minervarya sahyadris             1
Micrixalus fuscus                                          6
Micrixalus saxicola                       2
Nyctibatrachus aliciae                    2                 3
Nyctibatrachus major                                       15
Philautus sp1                             1    2
Philautus amboli            2   6    37   6    4   3   7   8
Philautus sp2                         2   3    1   1       1
Philautus tuberohumerus         3     2   2    1
Polypedates maculatus                 1

                  List is incomplete…species wise..as well as site wise
Sub-basin          OA      ESE     MD      P       A       OF      RF        ET      E       IF      PF      EF
Nandiholé          11.14   3.31    38.12   5.52    11.33   30.56   1650.30   27.00   43.00   9.58    19.37   7.15
Haridravathiholé   13.86   2.28    28.18   5.58    18.19   31.92   1409.00   9.00    16.00   5.02    13.15   5.36
Mavinaholé         11.60   4.37    41.62   7.88    9.81    24.68   2950.40   12.10   14.60   9.96    21.26   7.83
Sharavathiholé     12.49   19.16   22.95   14.66   10.32   20.42   5041.30   48.45   84.48   8.09    18.96   6.27
Hilkunjiholé       5.57    43.27   22.46   11.56   4.18    12.96   5041.30   43.20   83.60   21.02   32.98   8.52
Hurliholé          7.56    32.78   27.91   10.74   1.97    18.17   4073.40   50.00   89.90   16.47   30.05   9.74
Nagodiholé         7.46    52.14   16.58   13.66   1.08    9.07    5689.00   86.70   43.10   24.91   28.98   10.38
Yenneholé          10.10   37.89   19.76   15.88   1.37    14.86   6531.00   39.40   80.40   14.69   25.20   10.12


                                                                                             And more…
   Back to the questions asked
   Statistical application…find out the
    relationship (among variables and between
    amphibian diversity and these variables)
   Ecology deals with “The study of spatial and temporal
    patterns of distribution and abundance of organisms,
    including causes and consequences” (Scheiner and
                                         (Scheiner
    Willig,
    Willig, 2007)

   A statistic is a estimate of the value of a parameter.
   A set of procedures and rules for reducing large masses of
    data into manageable proportions allowing us to draw
    conclusions from those data

   Limitations of statistics
    ◦ Snap shot, data

   Unlimited Ecology…
    ◦ Dynamics…feedback…complex…non linear
   Part I
    ◦ Framing a good question?
    ◦ Setting the objectives?
    ◦ Sampling design, Replication, Randomnization

   Part II
    ◦   Parameteric vs Non parametric
    ◦   Goodness of fit
    ◦   Measuring central tendency
    ◦   Hypothesis testing
    ◦   Measuring relationships

   Part III
    ◦ Measuring biodiversity
    ◦ Ordination, Multivariate analysis
    ◦ Spatial analysis
   Measurement – assignment of a number to
    something
   Data – information on species, variable,
    parameter
   Sample – Small portion of a population
   Population – all possible units of a given area
   Variable – Varies with the influence of other.
   Parameter – A measurable unit (eg.
    Temperature, pH)
   Ordinal – rank order, (1st,2nd,3rd,etc.)
   Nominal – categorized or labeled data (red,
    green, blue, male, female)
   Ratio (Interval) – indicates order as well as
    magnitude




            Bob Cosatner is greatly acknowledged for sharing his slides
   Independent Variable – controlled or
    manipulated by the researcher; causes a
    change in the dependent variable, generally
    represented on x-axis
   Dependent Variable – the variable being
    measured, represented on y-axis
   Discreet Variable – has a fixed value
   Continuous Variable - can assume any value
   Mean (average)
   Median (middle)
   Mode (most frequent)
   Variance
   standard deviation
   standard error
Sample variance is summation of square of
deviance from each data point divided by
n-1, In excel it is given by VAR(data)
   Earlier part was descriptive statistics!
   Null (H0) vs alternate hypothesis(H1)
   Null Hypothesis - Statistical hypotheses
    usually assume no relationship between
    variables. Eg. there is no association between
    eye color and eyesight.

                          No change    Change
        Change detected   Reject (1)   Accept
        No change         Accept       Reject (II)
        detected
1400
     Tree      Tree      1200
    height1   height 2   1000
     (cm)      (cm)      800
1    1014       864      600
2     684       636      400
3     810       708      200
4     990       786        0
5     840       600             0   2            4         6           8   10
6     978      1320
                                        Tree height1   Tree height 2
7    1002       750
8    1110       594
9    800        750
   Distribution free analysis
   Comparison between observed data vs
    expected data
   Generally for qualitative data and categorical
    data
   Chi square = sum (O-E)2/E
   At df 8, 818.1, p<0.001
   Null hypothesis rejected
   There is a difference between observed vs
    expected value in tree height
   Relationship between dependent and
    independent variables
   Quantification of relationships
   Pearsons correlation coefficient (r)

   Simple scatter plot will explain
                         1400
   r=0.255, R=0.0652    1200
                                     y = 0.4161x + 398.28
                                          R² = 0.0652
                         1000

                         800

                         600

                         400

                         200

                           0

                                0   200     400         600   800   1000   1200
Treeheight1
                                                                 Treeheight2



   t=1.562, p>0.05                                 1800
                                                    1600
                                                    1400
                                                    1200
                                                    1000




                                                Y
                                                    800
                                                    600
                                                    400
                                                    200
                          Treeheight1 Treeheight2     0
             N                      9           9            1    2    3          4   5   6          7   8   9
             Min                  684         594
             Max                 1110        1320
             Sum                 8228        7008        1300
             Mean             914.222     778.667        1200
             Std. error       45.3719     73.9174        1100
             Variance         18527.4       49174        1000
             Stand. dev       136.116     221.752
                                                     Y
                                                           900
             Median               978         750
                                                           800
             25 prcntil           805         618
                                                           700
             75 prcntil          1008         825
                                                           600


                                                                           Treeheig




                                                                                          Treeheig
   F= var between groups/var within group
   Compares the variance of 2 or more groups
   With following Assumptions:
    ◦ Groups relatively equal.
    ◦ Standard deviations similar. (Homogeneity of
      variance)
    ◦ Data normally distributed.
    ◦ Sampling should be randomized.
    ◦ Independence of errors.
•   42 species, 7 families
•   27 endemic to Western Ghats (64%)
•   12 vulnerable
•   17 near threatened
•   Nandiholé
    Nandiholé least richness, abundance
•   Yenneholé
    Yenneholé highest
Su b-ba sin           Rich n ess A bu nd. En dem ic En .A bu Non -en d. Non .A bu Sim pson Sh a nn on
Na n di                  10        36        4         12         6        24      5 .4 5 6     1 .9 6 3
Ha r idr a v a th i      14        49        6         28         8        21      8 .7 4 7     2 .3 5 6
Ma v in h ole            14        48        8         28         6        20      7 .6 2 9     2 .2 9 8
Sh a r a v a th i        14        33        9         27         5         6      7 .3 1 6     2 .2 9 8
Hilku n ji               20        48        11        31         9        17      1 0.1 2 8    2 .6 5 3
Na g odi                 18        59        11        45         7        14      7 .5 4 8     2 .4 3 6
Hu r li                  15        38        9         26         6        12      1 1 .1 00    2 .5 4 4
Yen n e                  22        66        13        35         9        31      1 3 .2 9 9   2 .8 07
Correlation coefficient (r) at significance level (P<0.05) between endemic species richness and
abundance with habitat, land-use, fragmentation and landscape metrics.

                                                         Richness   Abundance
                           Habitat variables
                           Tree endemism (%)              0.513
                           Evergreenness (%)              0.544
                           Stream flow (%)                0.817       0.607
                           Canopy (%)                     0.643       0.58
                           Rainfall (mm)                  0.892        0.7
                           Land-use
                           Evergreen–semievergreen (%)    0.853       0.617
                           Moist deciduous (%)            -0.737      -0.735
                           Agriculture (%)                -0.734      -0.585
                           Open land (%)                  -0.783      -0.659
                           Forest fragmentation index
                           Interior (%)                   0.635
                           Patch (%)                      -0.709      -0.577
                           Landscape pattern metrics
                           Shape index                    0.791
                           Contiguous patch (m2)          -0.809
                           Shannon’s index                0.842       0.618
                           Total edge (m)                 0.832       0.551
                           Edge density (#/area)          0.715
Correlation coefficient (r) at significance level (P<0.05) among the environmental descriptors.

            1         2          3          4          5          6          7          8          9         10         11         12         13        14        15         16
  2     0 .9 8 5
  3     0 .8 1 2   0 .8 5 5
  4     0 .6 7 5   0 .7 0 4   0 .6 2 8
  5     0 .7 9 1   0 .8 2 4   0 .9 7 3   0 .7 4 9
  6     0 .8 5 8   0 .8 7 8   0 .9 6 5   0 .7 7 1   0 .9 9 2
  7      -0 .6      -0 .7      -0 .8     -0 . 8 1   -0 .8 3     -0 .8
  8      -0 .6 7    -0 .7     -0 .9 2               -0 .8 9    -0 .8 6    0 .6 8 9
  9      -0 .7     -0 .7 3    -0 .8 7    -0 . 7 8   -0 .9 3    -0 .9 2    0 .7 5 5   0 .8 4 5
 10     0 .7 0 1   0 .6 9 5   0 .8 0 6   0 .5 9 6   0 .8 4 1   0 .8 4 7   -0 .5 4    -0 .8 7    -0 .9 4
 11     0 .7 3 6   0 .7 0 6   0 .7 9 9   0 .5 2 6   0 .8 2 8   0 .8 4 9               -0 .8     -0 .8 9    0 .9 6 2
 12      -0 .6 7   -0 .6 9    -0 .8 6    -0 . 6 4    -0 .9     -0 .8 8    0 .6 5 2   0 .8 9 1   0 .9 7 6   -0 .9 8    -0 .9 3
 13     0 .8 7 3    0 .9      0 .9 0 7   0 .7 6 2   0 .9 2 5   0 .9 5 2   -0 .7 6     -0 .7     -0 .8 2    0 .7 1 1   0 .7 6 5   -0 .7 5
 14      -0 .8 7   -0 .8 9    -0 .9 1    -0 . 7 6   -0 .9 2    -0 .9 4    0 .7 8 2   0 .6 9     0 .7 6 1   -0 .6 3    -0 .6 8    0 .6 8 7   -0 .9 8
 15     0 .8 3 1   0 .8 6 4   0 .9 2 3   0 .7 5 4   0 .9 3 4   0 .9 4 4   -0 .8 2    -0 .7 2    -0 .7 7    0 .6 3     0 .6 6 5    -0 .7     0.9 6 5   -0 .9 9
 16     0 .8 1 2   0 .8 5 8   0 .8 9 6   0 .7 2 2   0 .9 0 7   0 .9 2 1    -0 .8     -0 .6 8    -0 .7 5    0 .6 1 4   0 .6 6 1   -0 .6 7    0.9 7 7   -0 .9 7   0 .9 6 9
 17     0 .9 3 5   0 .9 4 3   0 .9 0 6   0 .7 7     0 .9 1 7   0 .9 5 6   -0 .7 1    -0 .7 2    -0 .8 4    0 .7 7     0 .8 1 4   -0 .7 9    0.9 7 8   -0 .9 6   0 .9 4 1   0 .9 2 1




      1. Tree endemism; 2. Evergreenness; 3. Stream flow; 4. Canopy; 5. Rainfall; 6. Evergreen-semievergreen; 7. Moistdeciduous; 8.
      Agriculture; 9. Open land; 10. Interior; 11. Perforated; 12. Patch; 13. Shape index; 14. Contiguous patch; 15. Shannon’s index;
      16. Total edge; 17. Edge density
Agriculture field
                                                                  1.6




                                                                                                                Total edge forest
                                                                  1.0



                                                                            4                     Evergreenness
                                           Patch forest
                                                                                             Shannon’s patch index
                                                 Open field                             Tree endemism
                                                                  0.3             Landscape shape index
                                                                                                        5
Axis 2




                  2
                               1                                                                  7         8
         -1.6           -1.0                              -0.3                  0.3                             1.0                        1.6
                                                                                 Rain fall                           Evergreen-Semi-evergreen
                           3                                                                 Stream flow
                                                                  -0.3                                           6
                                              Contiguous forest


                                                                                      Interior forest



                                                                  -1.0




                                                                  -1.6
Vector scaling: 2.50                                               Axis 1


   1. Nandihole, 2. Haridravathi, 3. Mavinhole, 4. Sharavathi, 5. Hilkunji, 6. Hurli, 7. Nagodi and 8. Yenneh
   More importantly why to
    measure? ……
   Two unique features
    ◦ Species richness: Varieties in
      an area
    ◦ Species abundance/evenness:
      Relative number of individuals
      of species per unit area, how
      evenly they are
    ◦ Species diversity: Combination
      of richness and evenness
  Alpha (α) – Number of species in
    a given habitat or natural
    community
  Beta (β) – Degree of variation in
    diversity from patch to patch
 Gamma and Epsilon (γ and ε) –
   Species richness of a range of
   habitats in a geographical area
   (Island)/region. Consequence of
   Alpha and Beta diversity
  α and γ scalar, only magnitude, β
    vector both scalar and vector             ©Van dyke, 2003




Distribution based
 Parametric – Assumes normal distribution, eg. log-normal, etc.
 Non-parametric – Distribution free, Shannon’s, Simpson’s, etc.
30
                                            Community 1
                                            Community 2
            25
                                            Community 3
            20
# species




            15

            10

            5

            0

                 1   3   5   6     8 9 11 14 15 16 42
                                 # individuals
100


             10                        Broken Stick Model
Abundance
 Relative




               1


             0.1


                                                  Log-Normal Series
            0.01

                                             Log Series
                    Geometric Series
            0.001

                             10            20          30         40
                                       Species rank
3000
                 100
                                                                                 Urban
                2500                                                             Rural
                 10                         Broken Stick Model                   Scrub
                2000
    Abundance
   Abundance
Relative




                   1
                1500
                 0.1
                1000
                                                       Log-Normal Series
                 500
                0.01

                       0 Geometric Series
                0.001
                             1     2
                                  10
                                        3        4
                                                20
                                                      5     6
                                                            30
                                                                 7    8 9
                                                                       40
                                                                            10
                                            Species rank
                                                  Species rank
   Margalef’s diversity index
                                      Species          # individuals
    ◦ DMg = (S-1)/ln N                House crow       4
   Menhinick’s index                 Jungle crow      12
    ◦ DMn = S/√N                      Common myna      8
      Where S is # of species        Jungle myna      2
       recorded, N is total # of      House sparrow    5
       individuals of all S species   Pied bush chat   2
    ◦ DMg=1.702                       Little egret     1
    ◦ DMn=1.201                       S=7              N = 34

                                      ln N = 3.526     √N = 5.831
   Heterogeneity Indices
    ◦ Consider both evenness and richness
    ◦ Species abundance models only consider evenness
   No assumptions made about species
    abundance distributions
    ◦ Cause of distribution
    ◦ Shape of curve
   Non-parametric
    ◦ Free of assumptions of normality
   Information Theory
    ◦ Diversity (or information) of a natural system is
      similar to info in a code or message
    ◦ Example: Shannon-Wiener
   Species Dominance Measures
    ◦ Weighted towards abundance of the commonest
      species
    ◦ Total species richness is down weighted relative to
      evenness
    ◦ Example: Simpson, McIntosh
◦ Probability of 2 individuals being conspecifics, if
  drawn randomly from an infinitely large community
◦ Summarized by letter D or1/D
◦ D decreases with increasing diversity
  Can go from 1 – 30+
  Probability that two species are conspecifics  with 
   diversity
◦ 1/D increases with increasing diversity
  0.0 < 1/D < 10+
   Heavily weighted towards most abundant
    species
    ◦ Less sensitive to changes in species richness
    ◦ Once richness > 10, underlying species
      abundance is important in determining the
      index value
    ◦ Inappropriate for some models
      Log Series & Geometric
   Calculate n (individual abundance) and N
    (total abundance)
   Calculate D
    ◦ D = S pi2
    ◦ pi = proportion of individuals found in the ith
      species
   Calculate 1/D
    ◦ Increases with increasing diversity
Species                   Site 1   Site 2
Pedostibes tuberculosus   5        16
Philautus neelanethrus    5        2
Philautus amboli          5        1
Duttaphrynus              5        1
melanostictus
Species                   Site 1   Site 2
Pedostibes tuberculosus   .25      .8
Philautus neelanethrus    .25      .1
Philautus amboli          .25      .05
Duttaphrynus              .25      .05
melanostictus
                   Site 1, D= .25, 1/D=4
                   Site 2, D=.655, 1/D=1.53
   Claude Shannon and Warren Weaver in 1949
    ◦ Developed a general model of communication and
      information theory
    ◦ Initially developed to separate noise from
      information carrying signals
    ◦ Subsequently, mathematician Norbert Wiener
      contributed to the model as part of his work in
      developing cybernetic technology
   Assumptions
    ◦ All individuals are randomly sampled
    ◦ Population is indefinitely large, or effectively infinite
    ◦ All species in the community are represented
   Equation
    ◦ H’ = -S pi ln pi
      pi = proportion of individuals found in the ith species
      Unknowable, estimated using ni / N
         Flawed estimation, need more sophisticated equation
          (2.18 in Magurran)
    ◦ Error
      Mostly from inadequate sampling
      Flawed estimate of pi is negligible in most instances
       from this simple estimate
Species                   Site 1   Site 2
Pedostibes tuberculosus   5        16
Philautus neelanethrus    5        2
Philautus amboli          5        1
Duttaphrynus              5        1
melanostictus
Species                   Site 1   Site 2
Pedostibes tuberculosus   .25      .8
Philautus neelanethrus    .25      .1
Philautus amboli          .25      .05
Duttaphrynus              .25      .05
melanostictus
                   Site 1, H’= 1.39
                   Site 2, H’=.71
   Jaccard Index
    ◦ Cj=j/(a+b-j), j is common to both a and b
      community, a species in community a, b
      species in community in b,
    Bray-Curtis dissimilarity
      S = (b+c)/(2a+b+c),
      ‘b’, ‘c’ are unique species ‘a’ is common to both
D=b+c/2a+b+c
               HIL HAR NAN NAG MAV HUR SHA
HAR               0.5
NAN               0.5 0.57
NAG             0.83 0.71 0.57
MAV             0.75 0.66 0.67 0.67
HUR             0.53 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.65
SHA             0.68 0.74 0.62 0.62 0.68 0.68
YEN             0.62 0.64 0.57  0.5 0.63 0.46 0.49



                                               HARIDRAVATHI
                                                       HILKUNJI
                                                     NANDIHOLE
                                                NAGODIHOLE
                                                     HURLIHOLE
                                                 YENNEHOLE
                                                 SHARAVATHI
                                                 MAVINAHOLE

                                                              0.0   0.1      0.2      0.3   0.4
                                                                          Distances
Thank you

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Ecological Statistics

  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Systematic stratified random sampling  Night survey, from 2003 – 2006, seasonal, search for all  Identify and record species, numbers etc.  Secondary data on Vegetation studies, RS and GIS  Opportunistic observations also included for overall diversity in the region  Shannon’s index (H’ = - Σ pi ln pi), (H’  Simpson’s index (D = 1/ Σ pi2) (D
  • 5. Varieties of species (Species richness)  Abundance of species (#indviduals/man hour (#indviduals/man search)  Derived data (Endemics, Endemic abundance)  Secondary source (IUCN red list)  Percent Evergreens, rainfall, percent landuses, landuses, forest fragmentation data,
  • 6. Sampling Longitude (°E) Latitude(°N) Altitude (m) sites 1 75.0896 13.773 584 2 75.0804 13.8532 586 3 74.8839 13.9269 580 4 74.7268 13.965 563 5 75.1055 13.9735 602 6 74.8428 13.9786 598 7 75.1084 14.0209 559 8 75.1245 14.0418 557 9 75.073 14.0831 680 10 75.04 14.058 596 11 75.109 13.7379 696 12…
  • 7.
  • 8. Euphlyctis cyanophlyctis 11 1 1 Euphlyctis hexadactylus 1 Hoplobatrachus tigerinus 1 1 2 1 1 Indirana beddomii 1 Indirana semipalmatus 1 5 1 2 Fejervarya granosa 1 Fejervarya caperata 4 1 5 2 3 3 4 Minervarya sahyadris 1 Micrixalus fuscus 6 Micrixalus saxicola 2 Nyctibatrachus aliciae 2 3 Nyctibatrachus major 15 Philautus sp1 1 2 Philautus amboli 2 6 37 6 4 3 7 8 Philautus sp2 2 3 1 1 1 Philautus tuberohumerus 3 2 2 1 Polypedates maculatus 1 List is incomplete…species wise..as well as site wise
  • 9. Sub-basin OA ESE MD P A OF RF ET E IF PF EF Nandiholé 11.14 3.31 38.12 5.52 11.33 30.56 1650.30 27.00 43.00 9.58 19.37 7.15 Haridravathiholé 13.86 2.28 28.18 5.58 18.19 31.92 1409.00 9.00 16.00 5.02 13.15 5.36 Mavinaholé 11.60 4.37 41.62 7.88 9.81 24.68 2950.40 12.10 14.60 9.96 21.26 7.83 Sharavathiholé 12.49 19.16 22.95 14.66 10.32 20.42 5041.30 48.45 84.48 8.09 18.96 6.27 Hilkunjiholé 5.57 43.27 22.46 11.56 4.18 12.96 5041.30 43.20 83.60 21.02 32.98 8.52 Hurliholé 7.56 32.78 27.91 10.74 1.97 18.17 4073.40 50.00 89.90 16.47 30.05 9.74 Nagodiholé 7.46 52.14 16.58 13.66 1.08 9.07 5689.00 86.70 43.10 24.91 28.98 10.38 Yenneholé 10.10 37.89 19.76 15.88 1.37 14.86 6531.00 39.40 80.40 14.69 25.20 10.12 And more…
  • 10. Back to the questions asked  Statistical application…find out the relationship (among variables and between amphibian diversity and these variables)
  • 11. Ecology deals with “The study of spatial and temporal patterns of distribution and abundance of organisms, including causes and consequences” (Scheiner and (Scheiner Willig, Willig, 2007)  A statistic is a estimate of the value of a parameter.  A set of procedures and rules for reducing large masses of data into manageable proportions allowing us to draw conclusions from those data  Limitations of statistics ◦ Snap shot, data  Unlimited Ecology… ◦ Dynamics…feedback…complex…non linear
  • 12. Part I ◦ Framing a good question? ◦ Setting the objectives? ◦ Sampling design, Replication, Randomnization  Part II ◦ Parameteric vs Non parametric ◦ Goodness of fit ◦ Measuring central tendency ◦ Hypothesis testing ◦ Measuring relationships  Part III ◦ Measuring biodiversity ◦ Ordination, Multivariate analysis ◦ Spatial analysis
  • 13. Measurement – assignment of a number to something  Data – information on species, variable, parameter  Sample – Small portion of a population  Population – all possible units of a given area  Variable – Varies with the influence of other.  Parameter – A measurable unit (eg. Temperature, pH)
  • 14. Ordinal – rank order, (1st,2nd,3rd,etc.)  Nominal – categorized or labeled data (red, green, blue, male, female)  Ratio (Interval) – indicates order as well as magnitude Bob Cosatner is greatly acknowledged for sharing his slides
  • 15. Independent Variable – controlled or manipulated by the researcher; causes a change in the dependent variable, generally represented on x-axis  Dependent Variable – the variable being measured, represented on y-axis  Discreet Variable – has a fixed value  Continuous Variable - can assume any value
  • 16. Mean (average)  Median (middle)  Mode (most frequent)
  • 17.
  • 18. Variance  standard deviation  standard error
  • 19. Sample variance is summation of square of deviance from each data point divided by n-1, In excel it is given by VAR(data)
  • 20.
  • 21. Earlier part was descriptive statistics!  Null (H0) vs alternate hypothesis(H1)  Null Hypothesis - Statistical hypotheses usually assume no relationship between variables. Eg. there is no association between eye color and eyesight. No change Change Change detected Reject (1) Accept No change Accept Reject (II) detected
  • 22.
  • 23. 1400 Tree Tree 1200 height1 height 2 1000 (cm) (cm) 800 1 1014 864 600 2 684 636 400 3 810 708 200 4 990 786 0 5 840 600 0 2 4 6 8 10 6 978 1320 Tree height1 Tree height 2 7 1002 750 8 1110 594 9 800 750
  • 24. Distribution free analysis  Comparison between observed data vs expected data  Generally for qualitative data and categorical data  Chi square = sum (O-E)2/E
  • 25. At df 8, 818.1, p<0.001  Null hypothesis rejected  There is a difference between observed vs expected value in tree height
  • 26. Relationship between dependent and independent variables  Quantification of relationships  Pearsons correlation coefficient (r)  Simple scatter plot will explain 1400  r=0.255, R=0.0652 1200 y = 0.4161x + 398.28 R² = 0.0652 1000 800 600 400 200 0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
  • 27.
  • 28. Treeheight1 Treeheight2  t=1.562, p>0.05 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 Y 800 600 400 200 Treeheight1 Treeheight2 0 N 9 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Min 684 594 Max 1110 1320 Sum 8228 7008 1300 Mean 914.222 778.667 1200 Std. error 45.3719 73.9174 1100 Variance 18527.4 49174 1000 Stand. dev 136.116 221.752 Y 900 Median 978 750 800 25 prcntil 805 618 700 75 prcntil 1008 825 600 Treeheig Treeheig
  • 29. F= var between groups/var within group  Compares the variance of 2 or more groups  With following Assumptions: ◦ Groups relatively equal. ◦ Standard deviations similar. (Homogeneity of variance) ◦ Data normally distributed. ◦ Sampling should be randomized. ◦ Independence of errors.
  • 30.
  • 31. 42 species, 7 families • 27 endemic to Western Ghats (64%) • 12 vulnerable • 17 near threatened • Nandiholé Nandiholé least richness, abundance • Yenneholé Yenneholé highest Su b-ba sin Rich n ess A bu nd. En dem ic En .A bu Non -en d. Non .A bu Sim pson Sh a nn on Na n di 10 36 4 12 6 24 5 .4 5 6 1 .9 6 3 Ha r idr a v a th i 14 49 6 28 8 21 8 .7 4 7 2 .3 5 6 Ma v in h ole 14 48 8 28 6 20 7 .6 2 9 2 .2 9 8 Sh a r a v a th i 14 33 9 27 5 6 7 .3 1 6 2 .2 9 8 Hilku n ji 20 48 11 31 9 17 1 0.1 2 8 2 .6 5 3 Na g odi 18 59 11 45 7 14 7 .5 4 8 2 .4 3 6 Hu r li 15 38 9 26 6 12 1 1 .1 00 2 .5 4 4 Yen n e 22 66 13 35 9 31 1 3 .2 9 9 2 .8 07
  • 32. Correlation coefficient (r) at significance level (P<0.05) between endemic species richness and abundance with habitat, land-use, fragmentation and landscape metrics. Richness Abundance Habitat variables Tree endemism (%) 0.513 Evergreenness (%) 0.544 Stream flow (%) 0.817 0.607 Canopy (%) 0.643 0.58 Rainfall (mm) 0.892 0.7 Land-use Evergreen–semievergreen (%) 0.853 0.617 Moist deciduous (%) -0.737 -0.735 Agriculture (%) -0.734 -0.585 Open land (%) -0.783 -0.659 Forest fragmentation index Interior (%) 0.635 Patch (%) -0.709 -0.577 Landscape pattern metrics Shape index 0.791 Contiguous patch (m2) -0.809 Shannon’s index 0.842 0.618 Total edge (m) 0.832 0.551 Edge density (#/area) 0.715
  • 33. Correlation coefficient (r) at significance level (P<0.05) among the environmental descriptors. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 2 0 .9 8 5 3 0 .8 1 2 0 .8 5 5 4 0 .6 7 5 0 .7 0 4 0 .6 2 8 5 0 .7 9 1 0 .8 2 4 0 .9 7 3 0 .7 4 9 6 0 .8 5 8 0 .8 7 8 0 .9 6 5 0 .7 7 1 0 .9 9 2 7 -0 .6 -0 .7 -0 .8 -0 . 8 1 -0 .8 3 -0 .8 8 -0 .6 7 -0 .7 -0 .9 2 -0 .8 9 -0 .8 6 0 .6 8 9 9 -0 .7 -0 .7 3 -0 .8 7 -0 . 7 8 -0 .9 3 -0 .9 2 0 .7 5 5 0 .8 4 5 10 0 .7 0 1 0 .6 9 5 0 .8 0 6 0 .5 9 6 0 .8 4 1 0 .8 4 7 -0 .5 4 -0 .8 7 -0 .9 4 11 0 .7 3 6 0 .7 0 6 0 .7 9 9 0 .5 2 6 0 .8 2 8 0 .8 4 9 -0 .8 -0 .8 9 0 .9 6 2 12 -0 .6 7 -0 .6 9 -0 .8 6 -0 . 6 4 -0 .9 -0 .8 8 0 .6 5 2 0 .8 9 1 0 .9 7 6 -0 .9 8 -0 .9 3 13 0 .8 7 3 0 .9 0 .9 0 7 0 .7 6 2 0 .9 2 5 0 .9 5 2 -0 .7 6 -0 .7 -0 .8 2 0 .7 1 1 0 .7 6 5 -0 .7 5 14 -0 .8 7 -0 .8 9 -0 .9 1 -0 . 7 6 -0 .9 2 -0 .9 4 0 .7 8 2 0 .6 9 0 .7 6 1 -0 .6 3 -0 .6 8 0 .6 8 7 -0 .9 8 15 0 .8 3 1 0 .8 6 4 0 .9 2 3 0 .7 5 4 0 .9 3 4 0 .9 4 4 -0 .8 2 -0 .7 2 -0 .7 7 0 .6 3 0 .6 6 5 -0 .7 0.9 6 5 -0 .9 9 16 0 .8 1 2 0 .8 5 8 0 .8 9 6 0 .7 2 2 0 .9 0 7 0 .9 2 1 -0 .8 -0 .6 8 -0 .7 5 0 .6 1 4 0 .6 6 1 -0 .6 7 0.9 7 7 -0 .9 7 0 .9 6 9 17 0 .9 3 5 0 .9 4 3 0 .9 0 6 0 .7 7 0 .9 1 7 0 .9 5 6 -0 .7 1 -0 .7 2 -0 .8 4 0 .7 7 0 .8 1 4 -0 .7 9 0.9 7 8 -0 .9 6 0 .9 4 1 0 .9 2 1 1. Tree endemism; 2. Evergreenness; 3. Stream flow; 4. Canopy; 5. Rainfall; 6. Evergreen-semievergreen; 7. Moistdeciduous; 8. Agriculture; 9. Open land; 10. Interior; 11. Perforated; 12. Patch; 13. Shape index; 14. Contiguous patch; 15. Shannon’s index; 16. Total edge; 17. Edge density
  • 34. Agriculture field 1.6 Total edge forest 1.0 4 Evergreenness Patch forest Shannon’s patch index Open field Tree endemism 0.3 Landscape shape index 5 Axis 2 2 1 7 8 -1.6 -1.0 -0.3 0.3 1.0 1.6 Rain fall Evergreen-Semi-evergreen 3 Stream flow -0.3 6 Contiguous forest Interior forest -1.0 -1.6 Vector scaling: 2.50 Axis 1 1. Nandihole, 2. Haridravathi, 3. Mavinhole, 4. Sharavathi, 5. Hilkunji, 6. Hurli, 7. Nagodi and 8. Yenneh
  • 35.
  • 36. More importantly why to measure? ……  Two unique features ◦ Species richness: Varieties in an area ◦ Species abundance/evenness: Relative number of individuals of species per unit area, how evenly they are ◦ Species diversity: Combination of richness and evenness
  • 37.  Alpha (α) – Number of species in a given habitat or natural community  Beta (β) – Degree of variation in diversity from patch to patch  Gamma and Epsilon (γ and ε) – Species richness of a range of habitats in a geographical area (Island)/region. Consequence of Alpha and Beta diversity  α and γ scalar, only magnitude, β vector both scalar and vector ©Van dyke, 2003 Distribution based  Parametric – Assumes normal distribution, eg. log-normal, etc.  Non-parametric – Distribution free, Shannon’s, Simpson’s, etc.
  • 38. 30 Community 1 Community 2 25 Community 3 20 # species 15 10 5 0 1 3 5 6 8 9 11 14 15 16 42 # individuals
  • 39. 100 10 Broken Stick Model Abundance Relative 1 0.1 Log-Normal Series 0.01 Log Series Geometric Series 0.001 10 20 30 40 Species rank
  • 40. 3000 100 Urban 2500 Rural 10 Broken Stick Model Scrub 2000 Abundance Abundance Relative 1 1500 0.1 1000 Log-Normal Series 500 0.01 0 Geometric Series 0.001 1 2 10 3 4 20 5 6 30 7 8 9 40 10 Species rank Species rank
  • 41. Margalef’s diversity index Species # individuals ◦ DMg = (S-1)/ln N House crow 4  Menhinick’s index Jungle crow 12 ◦ DMn = S/√N Common myna 8  Where S is # of species Jungle myna 2 recorded, N is total # of House sparrow 5 individuals of all S species Pied bush chat 2 ◦ DMg=1.702 Little egret 1 ◦ DMn=1.201 S=7 N = 34 ln N = 3.526 √N = 5.831
  • 42. Heterogeneity Indices ◦ Consider both evenness and richness ◦ Species abundance models only consider evenness  No assumptions made about species abundance distributions ◦ Cause of distribution ◦ Shape of curve  Non-parametric ◦ Free of assumptions of normality
  • 43. Information Theory ◦ Diversity (or information) of a natural system is similar to info in a code or message ◦ Example: Shannon-Wiener  Species Dominance Measures ◦ Weighted towards abundance of the commonest species ◦ Total species richness is down weighted relative to evenness ◦ Example: Simpson, McIntosh
  • 44. ◦ Probability of 2 individuals being conspecifics, if drawn randomly from an infinitely large community ◦ Summarized by letter D or1/D ◦ D decreases with increasing diversity  Can go from 1 – 30+  Probability that two species are conspecifics  with  diversity ◦ 1/D increases with increasing diversity  0.0 < 1/D < 10+
  • 45. Heavily weighted towards most abundant species ◦ Less sensitive to changes in species richness ◦ Once richness > 10, underlying species abundance is important in determining the index value ◦ Inappropriate for some models  Log Series & Geometric
  • 46. Calculate n (individual abundance) and N (total abundance)  Calculate D ◦ D = S pi2 ◦ pi = proportion of individuals found in the ith species  Calculate 1/D ◦ Increases with increasing diversity
  • 47. Species Site 1 Site 2 Pedostibes tuberculosus 5 16 Philautus neelanethrus 5 2 Philautus amboli 5 1 Duttaphrynus 5 1 melanostictus Species Site 1 Site 2 Pedostibes tuberculosus .25 .8 Philautus neelanethrus .25 .1 Philautus amboli .25 .05 Duttaphrynus .25 .05 melanostictus Site 1, D= .25, 1/D=4 Site 2, D=.655, 1/D=1.53
  • 48. Claude Shannon and Warren Weaver in 1949 ◦ Developed a general model of communication and information theory ◦ Initially developed to separate noise from information carrying signals ◦ Subsequently, mathematician Norbert Wiener contributed to the model as part of his work in developing cybernetic technology  Assumptions ◦ All individuals are randomly sampled ◦ Population is indefinitely large, or effectively infinite ◦ All species in the community are represented
  • 49. Equation ◦ H’ = -S pi ln pi  pi = proportion of individuals found in the ith species  Unknowable, estimated using ni / N  Flawed estimation, need more sophisticated equation (2.18 in Magurran) ◦ Error  Mostly from inadequate sampling  Flawed estimate of pi is negligible in most instances from this simple estimate
  • 50. Species Site 1 Site 2 Pedostibes tuberculosus 5 16 Philautus neelanethrus 5 2 Philautus amboli 5 1 Duttaphrynus 5 1 melanostictus Species Site 1 Site 2 Pedostibes tuberculosus .25 .8 Philautus neelanethrus .25 .1 Philautus amboli .25 .05 Duttaphrynus .25 .05 melanostictus Site 1, H’= 1.39 Site 2, H’=.71
  • 51. Jaccard Index ◦ Cj=j/(a+b-j), j is common to both a and b community, a species in community a, b species in community in b,  Bray-Curtis dissimilarity S = (b+c)/(2a+b+c), ‘b’, ‘c’ are unique species ‘a’ is common to both
  • 52. D=b+c/2a+b+c HIL HAR NAN NAG MAV HUR SHA HAR 0.5 NAN 0.5 0.57 NAG 0.83 0.71 0.57 MAV 0.75 0.66 0.67 0.67 HUR 0.53 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.65 SHA 0.68 0.74 0.62 0.62 0.68 0.68 YEN 0.62 0.64 0.57 0.5 0.63 0.46 0.49 HARIDRAVATHI HILKUNJI NANDIHOLE NAGODIHOLE HURLIHOLE YENNEHOLE SHARAVATHI MAVINAHOLE 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 Distances