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Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 1
Transit!
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 2
What is at Stake?
Thanks to Projjal Dutta, NYMTA
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 3
Transportation
50%
Residential
11%
Oil Refining
6%Electricity
(local)Generation
7%
Industrial/
Commercial
26%
Source: BAAQMD
Transportation is 40-50% of our CO2
Problem
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 4
Which travel choices are “Green?”
Thanks to Projjal Dutta, NYMTA
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 5
What we
already
know…
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 6
Transit Planning 101 (in under 18 minutes)
 Travel time
 Cost
 Reliability
 Dignity
What influences
your decision?
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 7
Successful transit operation must offer its passengers
dignity
Making transit work
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 8
Most Transit in New England
Spreads investment out, serving all areas equally
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 9
Coverage vs. Productivity
Low Ridership
- but really important for the people
who use it
“Mobility for people who
need it!”
“Get cars off the road!”
High Ridership
- but no service in many places
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 10
Politics-Based Transit
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 11
Rule 1: Transit Follows Density
• As density
increases, so
does
potential
market
• Density
allows for
increases in
frequency
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 12
Rule 2: Ridership Follows Frequency
• Frequencies
every 12
minutes or
better start to
attract
“choice
riders”
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 13
Rule 3: Ridership Follows Travel Time
• If it’s faster to
take the bus
or train,
people will
use it in
droves
• True for
buses as well
as rail
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 14
Moral
If we want
sustainable
communities,
we must
invest in fast,
efficient
transit. This
is geometry,
not ideology.
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 15
Street Capacity and Geometry
Cars on a street
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 16
Street Capacity and Geometry
People in Cars
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 17
Street Capacity and Geometry
People on a bus
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 18
Accommodating growth with transit
910
10,000
16,200
6,750
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
Auto Regular
bus
Semi-
rapid bus
Light rail
Personsperlaneperhour
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 19
Accommodating growth with transit
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Six lanes for all
traffic
Four lanes plus
semi-rapid bus
Persons/hour
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 20
Time for Pretty Pictures of Trains
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 21
Now the Streetcars
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 22
Tallaght, Germany
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 23
Lyon, France
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 24
Strasbourg, France
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 25
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 26
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 27
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 28
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 29
Ah, the “Affordable” BRT
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 30
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 31
Istanbul, Turkey
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 32
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 33
One important consideration:
$
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 34
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 35
3 Points:
•Keep it simple
•Make it legible
•Stop focusing on park & ride
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 36
Quito, Ecuador
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 37
L.A.’s Rapid Bus
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 38
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 39
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 40
Dignity
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 41
Coverage vs. Productivity
Low Ridership
- but really important for the people
who use it
“Mobility for people who
need it!”
“Get cars off the road!”
High Ridership
- but no service in many places
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 42
2. Legibility (What good is a stop without
info?)
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 43
Info
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 44
Nothing fancy
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 45
• Transit oriented development (TOD)
3. Stop thinking park & ride
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 46
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 47
Stop thinking park & ride
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 48
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 49
Ridership trends “Before” TOD and
parking management
Ridership trends “After” TOD and
parking management
Stop thinking park & ride
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 50
Reinventing Transit
• Is transit system expansion the answer?
• FTA thinks so. They fund projected NEW riders…
not making it better for existing riders
• Why must transit agencies compete against each
other for a shrinking pie? Do DOTs compete for
road money?
• Why shouldn’t transit compete against highway
projects for solving air quality, mobility and CO2
problems?
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 51
12.80
13.20
13.60
14.00
14.40
14.80
1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
DegreesCelsius
Source: GISS
GlobalAverage Temperature at Earth's Surface
(Land-Ocean Index), 1880-2003
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 52
Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009
Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 53
Jason Schrieber, Principal
NelsonNygaard
Transportation Planning for Livable Communities
jschrieber@nelsonnygaard.com
617-521-9403
www.nelsonnygaard.com
Boston Office:
10 High Street, Suite 903
Boston, MA 02110

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Cnu Ne Summit Js

  • 1. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 1 Transit!
  • 2. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 2 What is at Stake? Thanks to Projjal Dutta, NYMTA
  • 3. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 3 Transportation 50% Residential 11% Oil Refining 6%Electricity (local)Generation 7% Industrial/ Commercial 26% Source: BAAQMD Transportation is 40-50% of our CO2 Problem
  • 4. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 4 Which travel choices are “Green?” Thanks to Projjal Dutta, NYMTA
  • 5. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 5 What we already know…
  • 6. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 6 Transit Planning 101 (in under 18 minutes)  Travel time  Cost  Reliability  Dignity What influences your decision?
  • 7. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 7 Successful transit operation must offer its passengers dignity Making transit work
  • 8. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 8 Most Transit in New England Spreads investment out, serving all areas equally
  • 9. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 9 Coverage vs. Productivity Low Ridership - but really important for the people who use it “Mobility for people who need it!” “Get cars off the road!” High Ridership - but no service in many places
  • 10. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 10 Politics-Based Transit
  • 11. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 11 Rule 1: Transit Follows Density • As density increases, so does potential market • Density allows for increases in frequency
  • 12. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 12 Rule 2: Ridership Follows Frequency • Frequencies every 12 minutes or better start to attract “choice riders”
  • 13. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 13 Rule 3: Ridership Follows Travel Time • If it’s faster to take the bus or train, people will use it in droves • True for buses as well as rail
  • 14. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 14 Moral If we want sustainable communities, we must invest in fast, efficient transit. This is geometry, not ideology.
  • 15. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 15 Street Capacity and Geometry Cars on a street
  • 16. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 16 Street Capacity and Geometry People in Cars
  • 17. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 17 Street Capacity and Geometry People on a bus
  • 18. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 18 Accommodating growth with transit 910 10,000 16,200 6,750 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 Auto Regular bus Semi- rapid bus Light rail Personsperlaneperhour
  • 19. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 19 Accommodating growth with transit 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 Six lanes for all traffic Four lanes plus semi-rapid bus Persons/hour
  • 20. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 20 Time for Pretty Pictures of Trains
  • 21. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 21 Now the Streetcars
  • 22. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 22 Tallaght, Germany
  • 23. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 23 Lyon, France
  • 24. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 24 Strasbourg, France
  • 25. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 25
  • 26. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 26
  • 27. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 27
  • 28. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 28
  • 29. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 29 Ah, the “Affordable” BRT
  • 30. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 30
  • 31. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 31 Istanbul, Turkey
  • 32. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 32
  • 33. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 33 One important consideration: $
  • 34. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 34
  • 35. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 35 3 Points: •Keep it simple •Make it legible •Stop focusing on park & ride
  • 36. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 36 Quito, Ecuador
  • 37. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 37 L.A.’s Rapid Bus
  • 38. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 38
  • 39. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 39
  • 40. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 40 Dignity
  • 41. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 41 Coverage vs. Productivity Low Ridership - but really important for the people who use it “Mobility for people who need it!” “Get cars off the road!” High Ridership - but no service in many places
  • 42. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 42 2. Legibility (What good is a stop without info?)
  • 43. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 43 Info
  • 44. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 44 Nothing fancy
  • 45. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 45 • Transit oriented development (TOD) 3. Stop thinking park & ride
  • 46. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 46
  • 47. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 47 Stop thinking park & ride
  • 48. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 48
  • 49. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 49 Ridership trends “Before” TOD and parking management Ridership trends “After” TOD and parking management Stop thinking park & ride
  • 50. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 50 Reinventing Transit • Is transit system expansion the answer? • FTA thinks so. They fund projected NEW riders… not making it better for existing riders • Why must transit agencies compete against each other for a shrinking pie? Do DOTs compete for road money? • Why shouldn’t transit compete against highway projects for solving air quality, mobility and CO2 problems?
  • 51. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 51 12.80 13.20 13.60 14.00 14.40 14.80 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 DegreesCelsius Source: GISS GlobalAverage Temperature at Earth's Surface (Land-Ocean Index), 1880-2003
  • 52. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 52
  • 53. Sustainable Urbanism Summit – CNU New England, April 3, 2009 Jason Schrieber, NelsonNygaard Consulting 53 Jason Schrieber, Principal NelsonNygaard Transportation Planning for Livable Communities jschrieber@nelsonnygaard.com 617-521-9403 www.nelsonnygaard.com Boston Office: 10 High Street, Suite 903 Boston, MA 02110

Notas do Editor

  1. Why are we talking about high capacity transit today? Because transit is an efficient way to move lots of people…
  2. Processes: Climate change could result in a series of warmer than average springs in California, reducing the snowpack where the bulk of California drinking and irrigation water is stored (Note: the share of all land in ‘constant drought,’ is expected to increase from 2% today to 10% by 2050 (Tearfund, 2006), and/or…. Events: The water supply is also threatened by sea-level rise [projected rise of 17-29 cm by 2050 (Hemming et al, 2007), which threatens to breach levees on the California Delta, salinating the water supply for millions of Californians.
  3. Forced migrants are “People who are displaced from or who feel obliged to leave their usual place of residence, because their lives, livelihoods, and welfare have been placed at serious risk as a result of adverse environmental, ecological, or climatic processes and events.” (Crisp, 2006). Prediction: 200 million climate migrants by 2050 (Myers, 2005). People of able means would migrate: History suggest would be migrants would need ‘social and financial capital;’ existing support networks in the destination zone, and sufficient resources to be able to move. (Brown, Oli, 2006)