Lakini & The Betrockers

THE BUNDESLIGA-NEWSLETTER
Lakini & The Betrockers
2nd Round
14.08.


The Bundesliga-Newsletter

Finally Bundesliga is back again! And .......
The new season promises to be even more exiciting than last season. 6 or 7 clubs are going to chase Bay-
ern München, like every year the team, that is undoubtedly the topfavourite.
And here are the previews of the 2nd round.

Bayer Leverkusen vs. TSG Hoffenheim 1899
Saturday, 15.08. 15:30cet
Last season these two teams guaranteed highspeed-football and lost of goals - at least in
the first half of the season. A good example were their two encounters last season. 5:2 and
4:1 were the results - both in favour of Leverkusen. And even though Leverkusen has a new
coach and plays slightly different now, I believe in another game with lots of goals and in
the end a win of Leverkusen.
Both teams are missing an important forward, Helmes for Bayer, Demba Ba for Hoffenheim.
A possible replacement for Demba Ba could have been Prince Taggoe, but the forward has
been fired - the player is obviously having serious heartproblems - however, Hoffenheim
needed quite a lot of time to find that out...the UEFA will decide.
I expect a fast game, with lots of chances on both sides and a minimum of 3 or 4
ver 3.00
BET: o
goals. Even though I am tempted to go on Leverkusen, I will stay away from a bet on
/10
CLE 6 a winner.
PINNA
@2.01

VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg
Its understable that many people out there took a bet on Freiburg - the newly promoted
team of Robin Dutt made a great impression against the “mighty” HSV and were the domi-
nating team. But that was a completely different game. This is sth different now. Its VfB
Stuttgart, away, a Baden-Württemberg-Derby and in my opinion, Freiburg will get to know
now what it means to play against a - possible - Championsleague-Participant.
Stuttgart again with their two new signings Hleb and Pogrebnyak, more over, their german
internationals Tasci, Hitzlsperger and Cacao didnt belong to the worst players in that awful
game against Aserbaidjan.
Freiburg with problems on the goalkeeper-position. Regular keeper Pouplin is
definetely out, his replacement Salz is doubtful - replacement would be U23-keeper
RT -1
STU TTGA Baumann, who of course never played on Bundesliga-Level yet.
BET: NA CLE 8
/10 Stuttgart simply is too good for Freiburg and will have a rather easy win.
PIN
@1.971

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1.FC Nürnberg
hard to believe, but Frankfurt has that small historical chance, to make it on top of the
table with a win against Nürnberg even if it might be only for a few hours. Why? Cause only
two teams that won last saturday are playing that afternoon, the other one is Dortmund.
So this alone is motivation for Frankfurt. But there is a big difference to the game with
Bremen. In Bremen, Frankfurt was big underdog. They were able to react and to defend
and they did a very good job by doing that. In this game, Nürnberg actually only has to
copy Frankfurt 7 days ago...Nürnberg is the outsider, they can concentrate on defending
and on counterattacks, while Frankfurt has to make the play. I believe, Frankfurt will have
huge problems with this, but I think the season is still too early to rate this game and
those two teams.
Frankfurt gets back Amanatidis, who only played the 1st half in Bremen (and scored
ET,,,,
NO B 2 goals). Nürnberg without any problems. These Are My Twisted Words



.......me too
Some of you might remember my passion for German Football from Bettingadvice or my other projects.
Yes, I disappeared a little bit from the screens, but I missed to work and write and share my ideas about
Bundesliga with other people. And I hope you appreciate the work - and hopefuly it pays out too.

1.FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg
If Köln continues to play like in Dortmund - uff, they could already plan for the 2nd league.
That was a desaster, but lets not forget, they missed several important players and few of
them, like Lukas Podolski, are back now and surely will strenghten the team. Novakovic
is not yet fit enough to play 90minutes, but he might be an option during the game. Still
not available, most probably, will be defender Geromel, which leads to a big problem in
my opinion: Kevin McKenna and Mohamad in defence accompanied by the backs Brecko
and Wome - against the strong offensive players of Wolfsburg? Against Grafite, Misimovic,
Dzeko? Hard to believe that this will work, even though Köln has strong centralmidfielders
like Petit, Pezzoni or Maniche.
Wolfsburg was dominating against Stuttgart and the way, Misimovic and Grafite scored the
goals were promising. Wolfsburg wont win any game this season, they will often fail bu rg -1
- it doesnt look for now that Köln will be a place for that surprise... BET: Wolfs /10
CLE 5
PINNA
@2.45

Hannover 96 vs. FSV Mainz 05
Hannover is already under big pressure. Not mainly cause they lost against Berlin, its more
their loss to Trier in the cup and an athmosphere that has been bad throughout 2009 so
far, and that started with firing former sportschef Hochstätter. He has been replaced by a
friend of Hecking, Jörg Schmadtke, both worked together in Aachen. The game in Berlin
wasnt that bad - they had good chances to win the game, but Hertha was more lucky in
the end.
Mainz with new coach Tuchel is currently on some wave of enthusiasm. All people love
that guy, although he sit just in 1 game on the bench of Mainz. He reminds so much of
Jürgen Klopp, that people forget about that detail. A homematch as a start is always some-
thing nice, the real bundesliga Tuchel will get to know in Hannover now - against a team,
that is under pressure already and knows, that they have to win those games
t...
against the newly promoted teams, if they want to stay in the league. No Be

Schalke 04 vs. VfL Bochum
Sunday, 15.08. 17:30cet
Typical Magath. His team won, 2:1, in Nürnberg. Something you should be happy about.
But not so Magath. He saw too many details that made him really angry, in all parts of
his team....The coach is a perfectionist. He really wants to improve a team, thats why he
came to Schalke. More work than in Gelsenkirchen he couldnt find. Schalke really played
the most unattractive football of all last season and no wonder they couldnt qualify for
anything in the end.
Schalke/Magath will be a successful combination. Maybe not this season, but in the next
years for sure. Against Bochum they do not have to fear a lot. How easy it can be to score
against Bochum has been demonstrated by Gladbach last sunday, even though only in the
first half. In the 2nd half Bochum came back - sth that wont be possible against Schalke.
-1
They have the best defence in the league and Magath surely wont change that c halke
part. And players like Kuranyi and Farfan will benefit from his ideas a lot - already BET: S CLE 6
/10
PINNA
in the game against Bochum, whereI expect a rather easy win of the team from @1.909
Gelsenkirchen.



TOPMATCH OF THE WEEK: HAMBURG VS. DORTMUND
The statistic-experts counted 24 shots on the goal of Köln-Keeper Mondragon, Kicker-
Sportsmagazine 12 goalchances... Sitting in front of the tv, you actually had the feeling as
if Dortmund attacked for 90minutes and shot like 100 times on the goal of 1.FC Köln, who
always somehow blocked the ball, Mondragon caught it, there was the post, the bar or in
the end simply a lot of inability of the Dortmun-forwards to get the ball into the net. Yeah
- thats i...cause in the end, Dortmund needed an owngoal of poor Köln-Defender Marvin
Matip to win the game.
Dortmund played well, controlled Köln over the whole match and should have won much
higher. In that case, we wouldnt see the current odds anyway. At the moment, the offer is
Dortmund +1/2 @1.820 at the moment, already went down. The people out there already
realized, that Hamburg goes totally overrated into that game.
The problem of Hamburg is obvious in my opinion.

ND DNB Huub Stevens played a very defensive style with them, sometimes Raphael van

RTMU der Vaart was the most offensive player of Stevens.
: DO
10
E 5/
BET .61 P
INNACL Then Martin Jol took over. Although he planned to play an offensively orientated
@2 football, he soon realized, that it wont be possible, the players had the old system in their
heads, Jol only modified it here and there, he played more or less the same style as Stevens
before.
Who is Bruno Labbadia?
Now Labbadia comes.

He wants to play fast, shortpasses, onetouch. So
from one day to another, the players, already
surprised about the change on the bench, have to
learn a totally new system. It went ok for Labbadia
in Leverkusen - but the difference was, that
Leverkusen played already a similiar football from An old bundesliga-goalgetter, who had some
the times with Skibbe. good and bad times and played in the Bun-
desliga for Hamburg, Kaiserslautern, Bay-
The reason why teams like Leverkusen or Hoffen- ern, Köln and Bremen and scored 103 goals
heim failed in the 2nd half of the season? The other in the Bundesliga and 101 in Bundesliga 2.
teams found easy ways to destroy that kind of Always been known as a fighter and a player
football with ease. And whenever a team decided who never gave up and always wanted to win
- actually the best characterics for a coach. His
to concentrated on defence than making the game, first club as a coach was Darmstadt, where
those teams had huge problems. worked two seasons and brought them into the
Regionalliga, then he took over Greuther Fürth
Noone out there in the league is surprised anymore but failed to bring them into the Bundesliga.
by Labbadias dream to copy Barcelona. Hamburg He quiickly moved to Leverkusen, and espe-
might play some good games against Bayern, cially the first half of the season was a success.
Stuttgart, Bremen - but - at least for the moment The 2nd half of the season became a desaster
it looks like that - will have huge problems against for Labbadia, the club went out of the Top6
the other teams and I wouldnt be surprised to see and didnt qualify for the European League
in the end, sth that is actually not accept-
Hamburg far away from their expectations. able for Rudi Völler and Leverkusen. How-
Then is the question, if the new sportsdirector, who ever, Labbadia lead his team into the final of
the DFB-Cup, where they lost to Bremen 0:1.
is still unknown, will count on Labbadia, who wasnt
first choice of clubchef Hoffmann either... Soon after that Hamburg. whose coach Mar-
tin Jol left the club to Ajax Amsterdam, needed
Luckily Hamburg has some weapons: The indi- a new club and was interested to sign Lab-
vidual class of some players. Petric or Trochowski badia, who played 2 years in Hamburg and
had been a popular player in that time.
can sometimes score out of nothing. Even though
Trochowski needs 56 shots til his longdistanceshots
find their way into the net, he keeps on trying..And then there is Markus Berg, the most
expensive signing in HSV-History - but didnt play in the Bundesliga yet...



But really, the way Hamburg played in
their previous three games was frustrat-
ing for all followers of Hamburg. Players
slow, offensively there was nothing.

Against newly promoted team from
Freiburg, they managed to create just 3
chances throughout the 90minutes. The
goal of Jonathan Pitroipa was noth-
ing but an accident, the ball fell down
coincidentally on his foot and Pitroipa
only knew where the goal is standing,
cause he played many years in Freiburg,
thats all, under normal circumstances,
he wouldnt even hit a giant tractor from 11meters. Moreover, players look tired and also
admitted: Yes, we are exhausted! What? Now officials blame old coach Martin Jol, who made
the plannings for this season and whose calculation was: Yes, that time is enough to make
my players fit...but Labbadia might still not be experienced enough. In fact, Hamburg looked
more tired than at the end of the last season.
Dortmund on the other hand only needs to continue to play like they did in whole 2009 so far.
They went from 13 to 6 and almost qualified for the European League. The last round decided
in favour of another club, who needed to win and did that in injury time with a goal, that
clearly was offside.
The name of the club, that “stole” the European League- 2.75
Qualification from Dortmund by an offsidegoal? HSV.... ver
BET: o ACLE
7/10
6 PINN
Dortmund can count on their captain Dede again, no big need to change anything else @2.0
in the team, so we will see argentinian striker Lucas (Barrios) again in the startingline-up,
with Nelson Valdez at his side, which means that Mohamed Zidan sits on the bench - the
man who played a very unlucky season in Hamburg and was changed with Mladen Petric
last season. Dortmund is still without their defensive midfielders Kehl and Sven Bender, how-
ever Tinga is a more than good enough replacement on that position. Hamburg probably will
have dutch international Eljero Elia in the startinglineup to replace Pitroipa. Goalkeeper Rost is
doubtful, replacement Hesl missing experience at all - it can be a risk.

A big problem for Hamburg this week might have been that 12 players went to their nation-
alteams. Bruno Labbadia almost had no chance to analyze the last game with his players. The
athmosphere in Hamburg still is optimistic.

The fans of course are dreaming about winning titles. But thats just one part of the dream, the
biggest dream is to see Hamburg playing attractive football - if Labbadia at least manages that
against Dortmund, even a draw or a small loss wont be a problem for him.
Yet.
I go against a win of Hamburg, cause Dortmund definetely seems to be in the better form and
their defence looks stable enough to prevent Hamburg from playing their fast combinations.
Apart of the bet on Dortmund DNB I go on an over 2.75 in this game. I believe both teams are
able to score 2 goals or more.

POSSIBLE LINEUP
HamBUrg: Rost - Demel, Boateng, Mathijsen, Aogo - Ze Roberto,
Jarolim - Elia, Trochowski - Guerrero, Petric
DOrtmUND: Weidenfeller - Owomoyela, Subotic, Santana,
Schmelzer - Tinga - Blasczykowski, Hajnal, Sahin - Lukas, Valdez



Ulli Hoeness is already changing the colour of his head into sausage-red...Another year that not all other 17 clubs
want to accept that Bayern is the only team in the world that really deserves to win all titles.
Even worse, for me the game of Bayern vs Bremen is not even interesting enough to be the match of the week. The
2nd against the 12th from last season...How boring...but thats not fair of course, cause of course this is one of the
big german classicos.

Bayern München vs. Werder Bremen
Almost one year ago. Same place. Same time. More or less same players. Bremen

BrEmEN: Wiese - Fritz, Mertesacker, Pasanen, Tosic - Frings, Borowski - Marin, Özil - Sanogo, Almeida

BayErN: Rensing - Lahm, Badstuber, Van Buyten, Pranjic - Timoshchuk - Altintitop, Baumjohann, Schwein-
steiger - Klose, Gomez
won 5:2 and already at the begin of the season showed without any harm that
the “Project Klinsmann” probably will fail - it did just a few months later.
Now Louis Van Gaal is the new coach in München and like always, Bayern have
nothing less than the ambition to win all titles that are possible. At least the
championship seems to be more than realistic, cause Bayern has without any
doubt the best players in their lineup and has - which is the biggest strenght of
the team - enough players to replace any player more or less equally.
And there is Franck Ribery. He makes the difference for Bayern. And Van Gaal will
even make him the playmaker now with all freedom on the pitch. But so far, Rib-
ery has been injured and wont be available for the whole 90minutes. The french
will start from the bench and is an option for the last 20, 25 minutes only.
The first game of Bayern this season against Hoffenheim wasnt really convincing
yet. They were rather harmless and the first goal of Olic was quite a surprise. Hof-
fenheim - at least in the 1st half, has been the dominating team and a clear goal
of Simunic has not been given by the referee which lead to a lot of discussions in
Germany about goalcameras.
Sth that has not been needed in the Weserstadium last weekend. Bremen
simply didnt manage to score more goals than Frankfurt. The same prob-
lems like always: The defence of Bremen is too weak and when a player like
ET...
NO B Naldo falls out, they cannot replace him and go down. And another time,
he is doubtful - but needed, cause his replacement Prödl is suspended
after a red card - which already leads to some changes - Tosic has to play leftde-
fender and he showed often weak perfomances on that position. The midfield
with the two former Bayern-Players Frings and Borowski along with Marin and
Özil is great - but forwards Sanogo and Almeida do not really scare anyone in
München.
Bayern most probably with Klose instead of Olic, which seems to be the better
choice home. Baumjohann has better cards then Müller to start. I stay away from
any bet myself. Too open everything and not clear enough.

Borussia M’Gladbach vs. Hertha BSC Sunday, 15.08. 15:30cet
To be honest, I am really thinking to avoid any bet on Hertha throughout the season. They
are definetely unpredictable to me, cause they 1.) Never play attractive football 2.) Never
dominate in any game 3.) Have no special players at, but 4.) Somehow always manage to
win points.
So, its very hard to predict anything in this particular game. Maybe its still too early in
the season to see it clear. The first half of Gladbach in Bochum and even worse the 2nd
half arent good indicators at all. Gladbach can be that good - but they can be that bad
too. Frontzeck as a coach never convinced anywhere - always relegated in the end.
Gladbach is a place where belongs too. Maybe a good surrounding for him, maybe it
works. About Hertha I cant find words. They have one topplayer, Kacar, and several
ET,,,, talents. They surely have to sign some more players, they are talking about bringing
NO B back Voronin...We will see.

-
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nex tter.
the wsle
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