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June 2012   The Amplification Model of Social Media Return
                            Purchase Equivalency Calculator
The Challenge

ROI =     (gain from investment – cost of investment) / cost of investment

•   For clients that sell through channels and many others, directly measuring the
    “gain from investment” has proven problematic.
•   While we work on direct ROI calculations for clients individually, we are today
    publishing our “Amplification Model for Social Media Return.”
     – This model measures the volume of social media impressions and social media actions
       generated by marketing and provides a dollar figure for what it would cost to generate a
       similar level of activity through paid methods.
     – This calculates “Relative ROI,” which means the return on investment relative to where the
       money could otherwise be spent. It is, admittedly, not a measurement of Direct ROI, but it is
       an important component for those looking to validate spending where budgets are limited and
       where non-productive investments can be re-assigned.

•   In this case, we’re calculating “purchase equivalency,” the answer to, “How
    much would it cost us to buy this much exposure?” Given that, we use the
    formula: (value of exposure if purchased) / (cost of social media marketing)
What We Know

• Social media is great at driving vast amounts of conversation. Conversation
  that gets seen.
• One of the major reasons brands advertise is to generate positively
  sentimented impressions in front of an audience with a propensity to buy.
    – By this definition, social media marketing is every bit as valuable as advertising, as
      fans/followers and YouTube video watchers have all intentionally opted-in to brand
      messaging, making them a potentially high value target audience.
• Study after study has shown that fans are more likely to buy from a brand
  than non-fans, and also more likely to recommend that brand to friends
  than non-fans.
• Many (but certainly not all) social media campaigns have successfully
  driven traffic that converts at a high-level, often higher than those who
  visit a website through paid advertising.
Photo Credit: The Paradigm Shifter




The Amplification Model
1) Amplification Model
Calculates the value of the following:

1)   Facebook Organic Impressions
2)   Clicks on Facebook Links
3)   Twitter Impressions
4)   Clicks on Twitter Links
5)   Organic YouTube Views
6)   Blog Page Views
7)   Online Brand Mentions

     Using Data from:
        A)    Cost Per Thousand (CPM) impressions for targeted online buys ($8 CPM)
        B)    Average for cost-per-click advertising (varies by industry, used 50 cents for this model)
        C)    Average cost per view for promoted YouTube videos ($0.20 per view)
        D)    Parts of “Social Equivalent Ad Value Model” created by Tourism Ireland (http://scr.bi/KjPwEd)
1) Amplification Model: The Formula

For a given time period, calculate:

1)   Organic Facebook Impressions (Sum of Daily Total Impressions – Sum of Daily Paid Impressions) x $10.00 CPM
2)   Clicks from Facebook Posts (use tracking links) x Average Cost of PPC Clicks
3)   ((Tweets x Followers) + (Retweets + @Mentions) x .12) x $10.00 CPM
4)   Clicks from Twitter (use tracking links) x Average Cost of PPC Clicks
5)   Organic YouTube Video Views x $0.20 Per View
6)   Blog Pageviews x Average Cost of PPC Clicks
7)   Online Brand Mentions x Average Cost of PPC Clicks

For each line, you will receive a dollar value. The sum of those values are the
“purchase equivalency” for that time period.

Divide the purchase equivalency by your spend on social media marketing to get a
Relative ROI. What you’ve calculated is the cost of purchasing that same level of
activity through traditional online media.
Amplification Model, Purchase Equivalency Calculator

Facebook                                                                                               Clicks number example
                                Total Organic
          Page                  Impressions*          CPM                 Value                        # clicks        CPC            Value
          Client Page A                   15,276,282 $             10.00 $ 152,762.82                         44,803 $           0.50 $ 22,401.50
          Client Page B                       66,030 $             10.00 $      660.30                             73 $          0.50 $      36.50
                                          15,342,312                                                            44,876                      22,438                         $ 175,861.12
          *Sum of Daily Total Impressions - Sum of Daily Paid Impressions



Twitter                                                                                                                                                                                    Clicks number example
                                                                                                       Max                           Est
          Page                  Followers              Tweets              Retweets          @Mentions Impressions+ View rate^       Impressions CPM     Value                             # clicks          CPC                Value
          @ClientAccount                      34,228                 160                 668    3,141    6,657,270                12%    798,872 $ 10.00    7,988.72                                  16,895 $           0.50           8447.5



          ^Rough estimated based on: http://adspace-pioneers.blogspot.com/2009/08/popping-twitter-reach-bubble-10-reach.html
          =+(Tweets*Followers*viewrate)+(RTs*310*viewrate)+(@mentions*310*viewrate)
          310 Twitter followers based on: http://totalaccess.emarketer.com/Chart.aspx?R=116589&dsNav=Ntk:basic%7ctwitter+followers%7c1%7c,Ro:16,N:500                      $   16,436.22

Organic YouTube Views
                                                      Cost/Promoted
          Brand                 Total organic views View               Value
          Client Account                      326,632 $           0.20 $ 65,326.40
                                                                                                                                                                    $ 65,326.40
          Used the Social Equivalent Ad Value Model for videos developed by Tourism Ireland: http://www.scribd.com/doc/85406652/A-new-simple-way-to-measure-social-media-Return-on-Investment-Social-Equivalent-Advertising-Value

Blog Pageviews
                                                      Cost per Google
          Brand                 Pageviews            click              Value
          Client Blog                         82,909 $             0.50 $ 41,454.50
                                                                                                                                                                    $ 41,454.50
          Used the Social Equivalent Ad Value Model for videos developed by Tourism Ireland: http://www.scribd.com/doc/85406652/A-new-simple-way-to-measure-social-media-Return-on-Investment-Social-Equivalent-Advertising-Value

Online Brand Mentions
                                                      Cost per Google
          Brand                 Total brand mentions click                 Value
          Client Brand
          Mentions                           120,411 $              0.50 $     60,205.50
                                                                                                                                                                    $ 60,205.50
          Used the Social Equivalent Ad Value Model for videos developed by Tourism Ireland: http://www.scribd.com/doc/85406652/A-new-simple-way-to-measure-social-media-Return-on-Investment-Social-Equivalent-Advertising-Value

                                                                                                                     Total Impressions & Actions                                              16,732,907
          Impressions                    16,141,184 193,694,212.80                                                   Monthly Value                                                                           $ 359,283.74
          Actions                            591,723         7,100,676                                               Annualized                                                              200,794,889     $ 4,311,404.93
          Actions = brand mentions, organic YouTube views, blog page view, link clicks
                                                                                                                     If client spends $150,000/month on social media ($3m annually)                          $ 1,800,000.00
                                                                                                                     ROI                                                                                     $           2.40 of value for every $1 spent




          Download the Excel spreadsheet here: http://sdrv.ms/Q5NTvw
Summary

In this model, the client would need to spend $2.40 in advertising (banner
ads, pay-per-click, etc.) to get the same results from $1.00 of social media
marketing.

This model is certainly not perfect, but we offer it as a starting point in the
hopes that our agency and others will find ways to improve it. Ultimately, we
hope that it is one of 3-4 ROI models that can be applied to social media
marketing depending on the situation and the objectives.

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Amplification Model by Ignite

  • 1. June 2012 The Amplification Model of Social Media Return Purchase Equivalency Calculator
  • 2. The Challenge ROI = (gain from investment – cost of investment) / cost of investment • For clients that sell through channels and many others, directly measuring the “gain from investment” has proven problematic. • While we work on direct ROI calculations for clients individually, we are today publishing our “Amplification Model for Social Media Return.” – This model measures the volume of social media impressions and social media actions generated by marketing and provides a dollar figure for what it would cost to generate a similar level of activity through paid methods. – This calculates “Relative ROI,” which means the return on investment relative to where the money could otherwise be spent. It is, admittedly, not a measurement of Direct ROI, but it is an important component for those looking to validate spending where budgets are limited and where non-productive investments can be re-assigned. • In this case, we’re calculating “purchase equivalency,” the answer to, “How much would it cost us to buy this much exposure?” Given that, we use the formula: (value of exposure if purchased) / (cost of social media marketing)
  • 3. What We Know • Social media is great at driving vast amounts of conversation. Conversation that gets seen. • One of the major reasons brands advertise is to generate positively sentimented impressions in front of an audience with a propensity to buy. – By this definition, social media marketing is every bit as valuable as advertising, as fans/followers and YouTube video watchers have all intentionally opted-in to brand messaging, making them a potentially high value target audience. • Study after study has shown that fans are more likely to buy from a brand than non-fans, and also more likely to recommend that brand to friends than non-fans. • Many (but certainly not all) social media campaigns have successfully driven traffic that converts at a high-level, often higher than those who visit a website through paid advertising.
  • 4. Photo Credit: The Paradigm Shifter The Amplification Model
  • 5. 1) Amplification Model Calculates the value of the following: 1) Facebook Organic Impressions 2) Clicks on Facebook Links 3) Twitter Impressions 4) Clicks on Twitter Links 5) Organic YouTube Views 6) Blog Page Views 7) Online Brand Mentions Using Data from: A) Cost Per Thousand (CPM) impressions for targeted online buys ($8 CPM) B) Average for cost-per-click advertising (varies by industry, used 50 cents for this model) C) Average cost per view for promoted YouTube videos ($0.20 per view) D) Parts of “Social Equivalent Ad Value Model” created by Tourism Ireland (http://scr.bi/KjPwEd)
  • 6. 1) Amplification Model: The Formula For a given time period, calculate: 1) Organic Facebook Impressions (Sum of Daily Total Impressions – Sum of Daily Paid Impressions) x $10.00 CPM 2) Clicks from Facebook Posts (use tracking links) x Average Cost of PPC Clicks 3) ((Tweets x Followers) + (Retweets + @Mentions) x .12) x $10.00 CPM 4) Clicks from Twitter (use tracking links) x Average Cost of PPC Clicks 5) Organic YouTube Video Views x $0.20 Per View 6) Blog Pageviews x Average Cost of PPC Clicks 7) Online Brand Mentions x Average Cost of PPC Clicks For each line, you will receive a dollar value. The sum of those values are the “purchase equivalency” for that time period. Divide the purchase equivalency by your spend on social media marketing to get a Relative ROI. What you’ve calculated is the cost of purchasing that same level of activity through traditional online media.
  • 7. Amplification Model, Purchase Equivalency Calculator Facebook Clicks number example Total Organic Page Impressions* CPM Value # clicks CPC Value Client Page A 15,276,282 $ 10.00 $ 152,762.82 44,803 $ 0.50 $ 22,401.50 Client Page B 66,030 $ 10.00 $ 660.30 73 $ 0.50 $ 36.50 15,342,312 44,876 22,438 $ 175,861.12 *Sum of Daily Total Impressions - Sum of Daily Paid Impressions Twitter Clicks number example Max Est Page Followers Tweets Retweets @Mentions Impressions+ View rate^ Impressions CPM Value # clicks CPC Value @ClientAccount 34,228 160 668 3,141 6,657,270 12% 798,872 $ 10.00 7,988.72 16,895 $ 0.50 8447.5 ^Rough estimated based on: http://adspace-pioneers.blogspot.com/2009/08/popping-twitter-reach-bubble-10-reach.html =+(Tweets*Followers*viewrate)+(RTs*310*viewrate)+(@mentions*310*viewrate) 310 Twitter followers based on: http://totalaccess.emarketer.com/Chart.aspx?R=116589&dsNav=Ntk:basic%7ctwitter+followers%7c1%7c,Ro:16,N:500 $ 16,436.22 Organic YouTube Views Cost/Promoted Brand Total organic views View Value Client Account 326,632 $ 0.20 $ 65,326.40 $ 65,326.40 Used the Social Equivalent Ad Value Model for videos developed by Tourism Ireland: http://www.scribd.com/doc/85406652/A-new-simple-way-to-measure-social-media-Return-on-Investment-Social-Equivalent-Advertising-Value Blog Pageviews Cost per Google Brand Pageviews click Value Client Blog 82,909 $ 0.50 $ 41,454.50 $ 41,454.50 Used the Social Equivalent Ad Value Model for videos developed by Tourism Ireland: http://www.scribd.com/doc/85406652/A-new-simple-way-to-measure-social-media-Return-on-Investment-Social-Equivalent-Advertising-Value Online Brand Mentions Cost per Google Brand Total brand mentions click Value Client Brand Mentions 120,411 $ 0.50 $ 60,205.50 $ 60,205.50 Used the Social Equivalent Ad Value Model for videos developed by Tourism Ireland: http://www.scribd.com/doc/85406652/A-new-simple-way-to-measure-social-media-Return-on-Investment-Social-Equivalent-Advertising-Value Total Impressions & Actions 16,732,907 Impressions 16,141,184 193,694,212.80 Monthly Value $ 359,283.74 Actions 591,723 7,100,676 Annualized 200,794,889 $ 4,311,404.93 Actions = brand mentions, organic YouTube views, blog page view, link clicks If client spends $150,000/month on social media ($3m annually) $ 1,800,000.00 ROI $ 2.40 of value for every $1 spent Download the Excel spreadsheet here: http://sdrv.ms/Q5NTvw
  • 8. Summary In this model, the client would need to spend $2.40 in advertising (banner ads, pay-per-click, etc.) to get the same results from $1.00 of social media marketing. This model is certainly not perfect, but we offer it as a starting point in the hopes that our agency and others will find ways to improve it. Ultimately, we hope that it is one of 3-4 ROI models that can be applied to social media marketing depending on the situation and the objectives.