Tactical asset allocation model that has produced exceptional returns in 12 years of live trading while maintaining very low drawdowns. For example, since beginning live trading on 1/2/2001, the N&P model has produced a return of 280.36% (total return) versus 77.66% (total return) for the S&P 500. Risk was reduced substantially, the N&P models ulcer index was 4.66% versus a ulcer index of 14.23% for the S&P 500, a 67% reduction in risk over the S&P 500.