1. MEADE HARRIS
GLOBAL CCS INSTITUTE
Advanced Workshop for CO2 Storage
August 26-27, 2014
DF IPN ESIA Ticomán Auditorium
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2. CCS IS VITAL
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Importance of
CCS
acknowledged
CCS identified as an essential
technology in limiting
temperature increase to 2°C
International Energy Agency
Wide adoption of CCS part of the scenario that achieves
450 ppm atmospheric stabilization level for CO2
World Energy Council
Availability of CCS is critical for
producing 450 ppm
Energy Modeling Forum
27 Study
CCS is an important
technology in the long
run…deployment to drive
down costs is desirable
UK Committee on Climate
Change
Commercial demonstration of CCS essential
for deployment in the 2030 timeframe
European Commission
CCS to be cost effective when transformational
technologies emerge
US Climate Action Report 2014
3. CSLF STRESSES IMPORTANCE OF CCS AND OF COLLABORATION
‘We…are convinced that the research and
development, demonstration and global
deployment of {CCS} must be accelerated…
We are committed to taking necessary
actions internationally and collaboratively to
promote the further development and
deployment of CCS.’
‘We believe that the increasing number of
{such} collaborations reflects the growing
global recognition of the criticality of CCS…’
Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum,
extract from the Communique following
the 5th Meeting of the CSLF Ministers,
November 2013
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TECHNOLOGY
UNDERSTANDING
AND ACCEPTANCE
POLICY AND
MARKETS
Business case
for CCS
Collaboration and aligning three pillars of the business case for CCS
4. LARGE-SCALE CCS PROJECTS BY PROJECT LIFECYCLE AND YEAR
22 projects in operation or under construction – 8 more than in 2011
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5. CO2 CAPTURE CAPACITY BY ACTUAL OR EXPECTED YEAR OF OPERATION
CCS is a reality with 40 Mtpa of CO2 that can be captured by active projects
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6. Large-scale CCS projects in key markets by project lifecycle
North America continues to dominate the projects landscape; China
increasing in importance; project progress has stalled in Europe
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7. LARGE-SCALE CCS PROJECTS PROCEEDING TO ‘OPERATE’ AND
‘EXECUTE’ SINCE 2011
Majority of projects in operation, construction or close to FID use or intend to use CO2 for EOR
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8. LARGE-SCALE CCS PROJECTS PROCEEDING TO ‘OPERATE’ AND
‘EXECUTE’ SINCE 2011
Century Plant
Coffeyville
Kemper
Uthmaniyah
FutureGen 2.0
Sinop…
Chemical
production
Iron and steel
production
Syngas
Fertiliser
production
Oil refining
Natural gas
processing
CCS projects in the power and industrial sectors and projects utilising dedicated geologic storage options
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becoming more important
Air Products
Enid Fertilizer
Great …
Lost Cabin
Lula
Shute Creek
Sleipner
In Salah*
Snøhvit
Val Verde
ACTL Agrium
ACTL Sturgeon
Boundar…
Abu Dhabi
Gorgon
Illinois Industrial
Quest
Don Valley
HECA
Lake Charles
TCEP
Medicine
Bow
Petra
Nova
PetroChina
Jilin
ROAD
Sinopec Qilu
Spectra
Yanchang
2015
EOR
Dedicated Geological
Power
generation
Hydrogen
production
= 1Mtpa of CO2 (areas of circle are proportional to capacity)
Coal-to-liquids
Pre-2014 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 * Injection currently suspended
9. TECHNOLOGY
ASSESSMENT
Individual components are well understood.
Many aspects are already technically mature.
Safe storage demonstrated by projects for over a decade.
Pilot and larger scale test facilities are important contributors to knowledge.
Confidence that the remaining technical challenges can be met over time.
OPPORTUNITIES
Integrated operation at large scale in power and industrial processes is key:
o initial CCS demonstrations in power plants – starting in 2014 in Americas
o positive perception of CCS as a ‘proven’ technology, building public confidence through
large-scale projects in new applications
o learning by doing cost savings
o more early mover projects will confirm effectiveness, establish best practices.
R&D (collaboration) to advance technologies is a ‘game changer’.
The ‘rocks’ are also important – identification of viable storage sites.
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10. POLICY AND MARKETS
ASSESSMENT
International policy discussions consistently acknowledge importance of CCS but…
Industry highlights that national climate and energy policies do not provide long term clarity to
support widespread adoption of CCS projects.
CCS is often not treated equivalently to other low carbon technologies.
National regulations have advanced but critical uncertainties remain:
o in the US, for example, impact of recent EPA proposals
o more broadly, addressing long-term liability issues
Existing CCS funding programs for large-scale projects mostly exhausted.
OPPORTUNITIES
Re-invigorated policy incentives ( and regulation) to maintain momentum.
Continued development of low-carbon future roadmaps for CCS.
Post Kyoto 2020 agreement for decision in 2015.
Capacity development scope is significant – all can learn from what has worked, building
capacity in developing countries is critical for longer-term deployment.
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11. UNDERSTANDING AND ACCEPTANCE
ASSESSMENT
Stakeholder relationship management accepted as critical to project delivery.
Global awareness and understanding of CCS context is low.
Focus of CCS communication is on risks and challenges not value and benefits.
Perception of CCS as experimental, not cost competitive and associated with fossil fuel
instead of role in low-carbon energy.
Building a trusting relationship with key stakeholders is critical for projects.
OPPORTUNITIES
Successful global large-scale integrated projects is critical to establish public and political
confidence in CCS.
CCS projects are demonstrating improved sharing and use of best practice.
Encourage public advocacy of CCS from trusted groups – academics and NGOs.
Improve access to education materials and experts.
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I like to start off just by mentioning how important CCS is seen as a key mitigation technology by all of these bodies.
EC is from “Policy Framework for Climate and Energy in the period from 2020 to 2030”. January 2014
IEA is from World Energy Outlook 2013, November 2013
UK Committee on Climate Change is an independent statutory body established under the Climate Change Act (2008) to advise UK government on setting and meeting carbon budgets, comments are from Part 2 of the Fourth Carbon Budget Review report December 2013
WEC scenarios released in October 2013
On January 1, 2014, the Department of State submitted the 2014 U.S. Climate Action Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
CSLF Communique is dated 7 November 2013, Ministerial was held in Washington DC.
There are 22 projects in operation or under construction, with 34 projects in development
2/3 of the 22 active projects are in North America .
The US has 9 projects and Canada has 5- I will talk a bit more about this later.
Those 22 projects = 40 MM tonnes/yr CO2 removal, which is equivalent to eliminating emissions from 8 million cars.
Most of these CCS projects are in industrial processes where separating CO2 out is inherent to the process
There are no CCS-power plants operating yet - 2 scheduled to come on line 2014- BD and Kemper – which I will talk about a little bit later on
US has projects moving into operation
Canada has a strong position of projects in execution, coming on stream in 2014-16
China has progressed projects with at least 2 being in a position to consider a FID in 2014
The UK, even though project progress has not been as fast as first envisaged, maintains a healthy project balance
Mainland Europe has seen a sharp reduction in projects – a key impact has been the sharp fall in the carbon price since EEPR projects announced. ROAD is the most advanced project in Europe and is seeking options to reduce the ‘financial gap’
It is important to Note that most of the operational projects are CO2-EOR and for processes where CO2 separation is part of the production process or in processes resulting in high concentrations for capture.
I really like this slide as it shows the amount of CO2 the project will capture, what type of project it is and when it should be online.
Projects in construction include Quest (Canada), Boundary Dam (Canada), Petra Nova (US), Kemper County (US), Illinois Industrial CCS (US), Emirates Steel Industries (Abu Dhabi), Gorgon (Australia) and Uthmaniyah (Saudi Arabia)
Projects that could take FID during 2014 include The Texxas Clean Energy project- which Saha here will talk to us in detail about tomorrow,
Lake Charles and Sargas Texas Point Comfort (US), Yanchang and Sinopec Qilu (China) and ROAD (Holland)
CCS is NOT an unproven or experimental technology – as many opponents assert
Has a long history in certain applications – have 9 operational projects (though mainly in gas processing)
Plus we have learnt a lot from R&D and pilot test plants across the globe over the last decade
Critical that a successful global CCS demonstration effort is undertaken in new applications (e.g. power) to solidify CCS as an environmentally friendly technology – cornerstone to deployment of CCS longer term
And need to make sure storage sites are available – new sites can take 10 years or more to mature.
CCS is acknowledged as important in international discussions
But policy initiatives have not supported the scale of projects needed for CCS to play its part in climate change mitigation
Must work on three key areas
Strong commitments to action on climate change and market based mechanisms to attract private financing – incentivize longer term deployment . (Post Kyoto 2020 agreement is critical.)
Boost short–term financial support – incentivize the immediate demonstration effort
Remove remaining key regulatory impediments (e.g. post closure issues)
It is important the CCS is not disadvantaged compared to other low-carbon technologies
The Institute works globally on capacity development, working together with the World Bank, APEC, the ADB & CLSF.
But we also have our own dedicated capacity development programmes, and for example, here in the Americas region we are working with stakeholders in Mexico, Trinidad & Tobago, Brazil & Venezuela.
Public attitudes towards CCS are an important factor
Research shows varying degrees of understanding and acceptance of CCS by the public across countries – generally low (few exceptions, e.g. Alberta, Canada)
Some projects have faced strong public opposition – often (but not always) linked to onshore storage
Projects have improved efforts at public engagement, there are more support materials and best practice knowledge sharing is occurring
Broader communication on benefits of CCS in moving to a low-carbon economy is needed – role for all of us, important advocacy activity for the Institute.