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The Future and Aging

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The opening keynote address for the 2015 annual N4A conference, for the national Area Agencies on Aging, by Glen Hiemstra, Founder and CEO of Futurist.com, with a focus on financial, mobility and housing needs of seniors, along with future technology and health breakthroughs.

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The Future and Aging

  1. 1. glen hiemstra
  2. 2. “If you don’t go far enough back in memory or far enough ahead in hope, your present will be impoverished.” Edward Lindaman
  3. 3. what is your image of the future? probable? possible? preferred?
  4. 4. the future creates the present…
  5. 5. not a mystery
  6. 6. ✦ older younger diverse ✦ everything becoming intelligent ✦ health innovation and longevity ✦ income gap economics, working and saving ✦ living and moving around ✦ shaping the future
  7. 7. 27  Florida’s  by  2025   States  where  at  least  20%  of   The  popula:on  will  be  elderly
  8. 8. ◆ 2020 Census will show that 50% of people under age 30 in U.S. are minorities ◆ 2060 Census will show for first time that the older population age 65 and over outnumber those 18 and under
  9. 9. Marc Prensky originated 
 “digital native” term digital natives digital immigrants in charge retiring over the next decade
  10. 10. people of the screen... will not accept old limitations
  11. 11. internet of everything In the next 20 years PC’s will be replaced by millions of tiny intelligent systems embedded in our clothes, jewelry, cars, furniture, and walls. They will recognize voice commands and carry out simple wishes. They will cost less than a penny, less than scrap paper, so companies which do not put chips [intelligence] in all their products will be at a severe disadvantage.
 Michio Kaku, 1998
  12. 12. what is internet of everything? platform for devices to communicate with the world around them and to integrate human, natural and built worlds
  13. 13. From Harbor Research Infographic
  14. 14. when things are smart
  15. 15. nano | bio | info | cogno | robo | space 3D | connectivity | convergence
  16. 16. health innovation and longevity... ✦ access expanded ✦ enhancing brain focus and understanding ✦ diagnosis through genome ✦ rejuvenation therapy research ✦ systems pharmacology ✦ 4P disruption: personalized, predictive, preventive, participatory
  17. 17. Geneticist Richard Cawthon and colleagues at the University of Utah found shorter telomeres are associated with shorter lives. Among people older than 60, those with shorter telomeres were three times more likely to die from heart disease and eight times more likely to die from infectious disease. http://learn.genetics.utah.edu/content/chromosomes/telomeres/ https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2015/01/telomere- extension-turns-back-aging-clock-in-cultured-cells.html Now we have found a way to lengthen human telomeres by as much as 1,000 nucleotides, turning back the internal clock in these cells by the equivalent of many years of human life,” said Helen Blau, PhD, professor of microbiology and immunology at Stanford and director of the university’s Baxter Laboratory for Stem Cell Biology.
  18. 18. global knowledge value economy
  19. 19. disintermediation, dematerialization, disruption and lessons of the “marketplace”…
  20. 20. $50 Billion $20 BillionUBER dematerialized economy
  21. 21. income gap economics
  22. 22. “In only four countries surveyed —South Korea, the U.S., Germany and Britain— do more than 1/3 of the public say that the primary responsibility for the economic well-being of people aged 65 & over rests with the elderly themselves.” - Pew Research Center
  23. 23. aging in america Photo  Credit:  Dreams:me
  24. 24. end of retirement
  25. 25. Measures of labor force participation rate of people aged 65 and over continue trending up and 58% who work, work full time Primary reasons: •Sense of value •intellectual challenges •economic necessity
  26. 26. The average balance of 401k savings for people approaching 65 is $73K median and $203K mean.
  27. 27. hAp://www.forbes.com/sites/edwardsiedle/2013/03/20/the-­‐greatest-­‐re:rement-­‐crisis-­‐in-­‐american-­‐history/
  28. 28. “Aging  is  the  adults’  version   of  the  birds  and  the  bees;   we  need  to  talk  about  it.”     -­‐Rob  Lowe   Social  Innovation  Summit  2014
  29. 29. senior mobility issues
  30. 30. Danielson Grove Kirkland WA Chapin Architects ✦ housing for donut hole - middle class ✦ cluster housing ✦ dementia friendly neighborhoods ✦ training market staff ✦ infrastructure fixes ✦ neighbor to neighbor support ✦ children day-care on site ✦ attention to bullying in group housing
  31. 31. what is your image of the future?
  32. 32. The future is not something that just happens to us The future is something we do
  33. 33. www.futurist.com glen@futurist.com twitter.com/glenhiemstra linkedin.com/glenhiemstra thank you for your time for more information