This is a talk being given at the Royal College of Art in London on Monday 28th Nov. As part of the 'Intersections' lecture series it aims to highlight how bringing together different perspectives from around the world can help us see things differently and hopefully uncover new challenges and opportunities. For more details of the event see https://www.rca.ac.uk/news-and-events/events/intersections-lecture-series-dr-tim-jones-understanding-uncertainty-gaining-global-perspective/
11.
Future
Agenda
The
Future
Agenda
is
the
world’s
largest
open
foresight
program.
Run
as
a
global
NFP
dialogue
across
all
con2nents,
it
accesses
mul2ple
views
of
the
next
decade
so
we
can
all
be
beSer
informed
and
so
s2mulate
innova2on.
14.
Hal3ng
Alzheimer's
Stopping
mental
degrada2on
from
Alzheimer’s
makes
quality
ageing
more
possible
by
improving
cogni2on
and
slowing
the
rate
of
decline
15.
Lease
Everything
Rising
sustainability
impera2ves
and
increasing
cost
of
ownership
shiZ
the
balance
from
ownership
to
access
and
we
prefer
to
rent
than
buy
16.
Solar
Sunrise
Increasing
governmental
focus
on
energy
security
and
climate
change
drives
the
uptake
of
large-‐scale
solar
as
the
leading
renewable
supply
17.
Mega
City
States
Increasing
compe22on
between
ci2es
over-‐rides
na2onal
priori2es
as
mayors
lead
bold
ini2a2ves
to
place
their
ci2es
at
the
forefront
of
the
global
stage
18.
Drone
Wars
Intelligent
UAVs
choose
their
vic2ms
themselves
as
the
race
for
more
focused
military
influence
leads
to
the
prolifera2on
of
assassina2on
tools
19.
Outcomes
Vodafone
curated
the
‘mobile’
filter
view
while
many
other
organisa2ons
around
the
world
variously
used
the
insights
and
pla`orm
to
iden2fy
new
innova2on
opportuni2es,
challenge
strategic
assump2ons
and
develop
thought-‐leadership
20.
Future
Agenda
2.0
The
first
Future
Agenda
programme
engaged
a
wide
range
of
views
in
25
countries.
Future
Agenda
2.0
doubled
the
face-‐to-‐face
interac2on
and
significantly
raised
online
sharing,
debate
and
discussion.
Future
Agenda
1.0
1
HOST
16
TOPICS
25
COUNTRIES
50
WORKSHOPS
1500
ORGANISATIONS
Future
Agenda
2.0
50
HOSTS
24
TOPICS
35
COUNTRIES
120
WORKSHOPS
5000
ORGANISATIONS
22.
Future
Agenda
2.0
Topics
Ci2es
Educa2on
Learning
Transport
Collabora2on
Energy
Loyalty
Travel
Company
Faith
Payments
Water
Connec2vity
Food
Privacy
Wealth
Currency
Government
Resources
Work
Ageing
Data
Health
Trade
23.
Imbalanced
Popula3on
Growth
A
growing
popula2on
adds
another
billion
people
but
it
is
also
rapidly
ageing:
a
child
born
next
year
will
live
6
months
longer
than
one
born
today.
While
migra2on
helps
to
rebalance,
increasing
dependency
ra2os
challenge
many.
24.
Key
Resource
Constraints
Economic,
physical
and
poli2cal
shortages
of
key
resources
increase
and
drive
increasing
tension
between
and
within
countries.
As
we
exceed
the
Earth’s
natural
thresholds,
food
and
water
receive
as
much
focus
as
oil
and
gas.
25.
ShiSing
Power
and
Influence
The
centre
of
gravity
of
economic
power
con2nues
shiZing
eastwards,
back
to
where
it
was
200
years
ago.
Recent
superpowers
seek
to
moderate
the
pace
of
change
but
the
reali2es
of
popula2on
and
resource
loca2ons
are
immoveable.
26.
The
Changing
Nature
of
Privacy
As
privacy
is
a
public
issue,
more
interna2onal
frameworks
seek
to
govern
the
Internet,
protect
the
vulnerable
and
secure
personal
data:
The
balance
between
protec2on,
security,
privacy
and
public
good
is
increasingly
poli2cal.
27.
Autonomous
Vehicles
The
shiZ
to
fully
autonomous
transport
is
an
evolu2on
via
truck
platoons
on
highways
and
small
urban
delivery
pods.
Connected
cars
create
the
network
and
test
the
technologies
for
the
eventual
revolu2onary
driverless
experience.
28.
Accelera3ng
Displacement
Climate
change,
conflict,
resource
shortages,
inequality
and
poli2cal
elites
unable
or
unwilling
to
bring
about
necessary
change
all
trigger
unprecedented
migra2on
to
the
North.
Over
the
next
50
years,
as
many
as
1
billion
people
could
be
on
the
move.
29.
Companies
with
Purpose
As
trust
in
‘business’
declines,
structures
and
prac2ces
of
large
corpora2ons
are
under
scru2ny.
Businesses
come
under
greater
pressure
to
improve
performance
on
environmental,
social
and
governance
issues.
30.
Eco-‐Civilisa3on
Over
the
past
40
years
China
has
grown
apace,
mostly
without
concern
for
long-‐term
environmental
impacts.
However,
now
faced
with
major
challenges,
a
bright
light
of
sustainable
development
is
emerging.
32.
Selec3on
Criteria
We
have
chosen
those
areas
that
meet
three
criteria:
being
global
/
mul2
regional
in
impact,
s2ll
requiring
significant
progress
and
having
the
poten2al
to
create
new
value.
Global
or
Mul2
Regional
Impact
Poten2al
to
Create
New
Value
S2ll
Require
Significant
Progress
33.
Reducing
Air
Pollu3on
Rising
air
pollu2on
in
many
ci2es
is
already
killing
people.
It
will
become
a
visible
catalyst
for
changing
mind-‐sets
and
policies
across
health,
energy,
transporta2on
and
urban
design.
34.
Providing
Basic
Sanita3on
Poor
sanita2on
con2nues
to
impact
public
health
and
restrict
social
progress,
par2cularly
for
women.
Governments
and
donor
organisa2ons
priori2se
measurement,
educa2on
and
innova2on
in
a
bid
to
drive
change.
35.
Minimising
Food
Waste
30-‐50%
of
our
food
is
wasted
either
in
the
supply
chain
or
in
consump2on
and
could
feed
another
3
billion.
Op2mising
distribu2on
and
storage
in
developing
countries
and
enabling
beSer
consumer
informa2on
in
others
could
solve
this.
36.
Delivering
Affordable
Healthcare
The
escala2ng
cost
of
healthcare
is
further
stressed
by
the
need
to
support
the
old
and
the
chronically
ill.
Spending
20%
of
GDP
on
healthcare
is
seen
as
unsustainable
so
hard
decisions
are
taken
around
budgets
and
priori2es.
37.
Driving
the
Educa3on
Revolu3on
Broader
access
to
improved
educa2on
acts
as
a
major
catalyst
for
empowerment,
sustained
economic
growth,
overcoming
inequality
and
reducing
conflict.
We
need
an
educa2on
system
fit
for
the
digital
revolu2on.
38.
True
Value
of
Clean
Water
As
water
stress
impacts
40%
of
the
world,
we
will
have
to
pay
the
true
value
for
this
key
resource.
In
a
more
water-‐conscious
world,
the
cost
of
water
is
recognised,
full
water
footprints
are
measured
and
companies
significantly
reduce
consump2on.
39.
Suppor3ng
Working
Longer
People
are
having
to
work
for
longer
to
support
longer
re2rements.
Flexible
working
prac2ces
and
policies
are
emerging,
but
some
employers
con2nue
to
remain
ambivalent
about
older
workers.
40.
Building
Data
Marketplaces
Data
is
a
currency,
it
has
a
value
and
a
price,
and
therefore
requires
a
market
place.
An
ecosystem
for
trading
data
is
emerging
and
anything
that
is
informa2on
is
represented
in
a
new
data
marketplace.
41.
Inves3ng
in
Nature’s
Capital
In
the
Anthropocene,
humankind
is
presiding
over
the
Earth's
sixth
major
ex2nc2on.
But
as
biodiversity
declines,
nature
becomes
increasingly
valued
and
valuable.
42.
Governance
of
Machines
Automa2on
spreads
beyond
trading
and
managing
systemic
risk.
As
we
approach
technology
singularity,
autonomous
robots
and
smarter
algorithms
make
ethical
judgments
that
impact
life
or
death.
43.
More
Informa2on
and
Insights
www.futureagenda.org
hSp://tmiltd.com/products/future-‐agenda
hSp://www.slideshare.net/futureagenda2
44.
Future
Agenda
84
Brook
Street
London
W1K
5EH
+44
203
0088
141
futureagenda.org
The
world’s
leading
open
foresight
program
What
do
you
think?
Join
In
|
Add
your
views
into
the
mix
www.futureagenda.org