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G                O               O                D

  THE POWER
    OF THE                                         4
  FACTORIES

  L               I                F               E
PROF. DR. HARTMUT ESSLINGER   TREND-TAG HAMBURG MAY 2008
Instead of concentrating on “brand identity”,
marketing has to shift its focus to the question
          of the consumers’ identity.
WHAT ABOUT PRODUCTS?
Designers, executives and marketeers
     could be a lot more creative
   with their concepts and designs
 because the factories in the Far East
are able to produce a lot more flexibly
    than specialist circles realize.
BRAND SHIFTS
THE WORLD’s TOP 100 BRANDS 2007: by Economics

1.    Google                  26.   Home Depot             51.   UBS                        76. Goldman Sachs
2.    GE (General Electric)   27.   SAP                    52.   Target Stores              77. T-Mobile
3.    Microsoft               28.   Gillette               53.   ING                        78. Colgate
4.    Coca Cola               29.   Mercedes               54.   Canon                      79. Subway
5.    China Mobile            30.   Oracle                 55.   Sony                       80. Chanel
6.    Marlboro                31.   HSBC                   56.   Morgan Stanley             81. IKEA
7.    Wal*Mart                32.   Tesco                  57.   Chevrolet                  82. Royal Bank of Scotland
8.    Citi                    33.   ICBC                   58.   Nissan                     83. VW Volkswagen
9.    IBM                     34.   Verizon Wireless       59.   Chase                      84. Cartier
10.   Toyota                  35.   Starbucks              60.   Motorola                   85. Hermes
11.   McDonald’s              36.   Honda                  61.   China Construction Bank    86. Best Buy
12.   Nokia                   37.   Dell                   62.   Accenture                  87. Barclays
13.   Bank of America         38.   Bank of China          63.   Nike                       88. Avon
14.   BMW                     39.   Royal Bank of Canada   64.   Harley Davidson            89. Gucci
15.   HP                      40.   Porsche                65.   Wachovia                   90. Zara
16.   Apple                   41.   Deutsche Bank          66.   Budweiser                  91. Washinton Mutual
17.   UPS                     42.   eBay                   67.   Orange                     92. Amazon
18.   Wells Fargo             43.   Yahoo                  68.   Marks & Spencer            93. BP
19.   American Express        44.   Samsung                69.   FedEx                      94. AIG
20.   Louis Vuitton           45.   Ford                   70.   AT&T / Cingular Wireless   95. ABN AMRO
21.   Disney                  46.   L’Oreal                71.   Siemens                    96. Auchan
22.   Vodafone                47.   Banco Santander        72.   State Farm                 97. Asda
23.   NTT DoCoMo              48.   Pepsi                  73.   H&M                        98. Lexus
24.   Cisco                   49.   Carrefour              74.   JP Morgan                  99. Esprit
25.   Intel                   50.   Merril Lynch           75.   TIM                        100. Rolex

                                                                                               Source: Milward Brown
THE WORLD’s TOP 100 BRANDS 2007: present or former frog clients

1.    Google                  26.   Home Depot             51.   UBS                        76. Goldman Sachs
2.    GE (General Electric)   27.   SAP                    52.   Target Stores              77. T-Mobile
3.    Microsoft               28.   Gillette               53.   ING                        78. Colgate
4.    Coca Cola               29.   Mercedes               54.   Canon                      79. Subway
5.    China Mobile            30.   Oracle                 55.   Sony                       80. Chanel
6.    Marlboro                31.   HSBC                   56.   Morgan Stanley             81. IKEA
7.    Wal*Mart                32.   Tesco                  57.   Chevrolet                  82. Royal Bank of Scotland
8.    Citi                    33.   ICBC                   58.   Nissan                     83. VW Volkswagen
9.    IBM                     34.   Verizon Wireless       59.   Chase                      84. Cartier
10.   Toyota                  35.   Starbucks              60.   Motorola                   85. Hermes
11.   McDonald’s              36.   Honda                  61.   China Construction Bank    86. Best Buy
12.   Nokia                   37.   Dell                   62.   Accenture                  87. Barclays
13.   Bank of America         38.   Bank of China          63.   Nike                       88. Avon
14.   BMW                     39.   Royal Bank of Canada   64.   Harley Davidson            89. Gucci
15.   HP                      40.   Porsche                65.   Wachovia                   90. Zara
16.   Apple                   41.   Deutsche Bank          66.   Budweiser                  91. Washinton Mutual
17.   UPS                     42.   eBay                   67.   Orange                     92. Amazon
18.   Wells Fargo             43.   Yahoo                  68.   Marks & Spencer            93. BP
19.   American Express        44.   Samsung                69.   FedEx                      94. AIG
20.   Louis Vuitton           45.   Ford                   70.   AT&T / Cingular Wireless   95. ABN AMRO
21.   Disney                  46.   L’Oreal                71.   Siemens                    96. Auchan
22.   Vodafone                47.   Banco Santander        72.   State Farm                 97. Asda
23.   NTT DoCoMo              48.   Pepsi                  73.   H&M                        98. Lexus
24.   Cisco                   49.   Carrefour              74.   JP Morgan                  99. Esprit
25.   Intel                   50.   Merril Lynch           75.   TIM                        100. Rolex

                                                                                               Source: Milward Brown
THE WORLD’s TOP 100 BRANDS 2007: electronic products & e/retail

1.    Google                  26.   Home Depot         51.   UBS                        76. Goldman Sachs
2.    GE (General Electric)   27.   SAP                52.   Target Stores              77. T-Mobile
3.    Microsoft               28.   Gillette           53.   ING                        78. Colgate
4.    Coca Cola               29.   Mercedes           54.   Canon                      79. Subway
5.    China Mobile            30.   Oracle             55.   Sony                       80. Chanel
6.    Marlboro                31.   HSBC               56.   Morgan Stanley             81. IKEA
7.    Wal*Mart                32.   Tesco              57.   Chevrolet                  82. Royal Bank of Scotland
8.    Citi                    33.   ICBC               58.   Nissan                     83. VW Volkswagen
9.    IBM                     34.   Verizon Wireless   59.   Chase                      84. Cartier
10.   Toyota                  35.   Starbucks          60.   Motorola                   85. Hermes
11.   McDonald’s              36.   Honda              61.   China Construction Bank    86. Best Buy
12.   Nokia                   37.   Dell               62.   Accenture                  87. Barclays
13.   Bank of America         38.   Bank of China      63.   Nike                       88. Avon
14.   BMW                     39.   Royal Bank of Canada
                                                       64.   Harley Davidson            89. Gucci
15.   HP                      40.   Porsche            65.   Wachovia                   90. Zara
16.   Apple                   41.   Deutsche Bank      66.   Budweiser                  91. Washinton Mutual
17.   UPS                     42.   eBay               67.   Orange                     92. Amazon
18.   Wells Fargo             43.   Yahoo              68.   Marks & Spencer            93. BP
19.   American Express        44.   Samsung            69.   FedEx                      94. AIG
20.   Louis Vuitton           45.   Ford               70.   AT&T / Cingular Wireless   95. ABN AMRO
21.   Disney                  46.   L’Oreal            71.   Siemens                    96. Auchan
22.   Vodafone                47.   Banco Santander 72.      State Farm                 97. Asda
23.   NTT DoCoMo              48.   Pepsi              73.   H&M                        98. Lexus
24.   Cisco                   49.   Carrefour          74.   JP Morgan                  99. Esprit
25.   Intel                   50.   Merril Lynch       75.   TIM                        100. Rolex

                                                                                            Source: Milward Brown
THE WORLD’s TOP 100 BRANDS 2007: with own core factories

1.    Google                  26.   Home Depot         51.   UBS                        76. Goldman Sachs
2.    GE (General Electric)   27.   SAP                52.   Target Stores              77. T-Mobile
3.    Microsoft               28.   Gillette           53.   ING                        78. Colgate
4.    Coca Cola               29.   Mercedes           54.   Canon                      79. Subway
5.    China Mobile            30.   Oracle             55.   Sony                       80. Chanel
6.    Marlboro                31.   HSBC               56.   Morgan Stanley             81. IKEA
7.    Wal*Mart                32.   Tesco              57.   Chevrolet                  82. Royal Bank of Scotland
8.    Citi                    33.   ICBC               58.   Nissan                     83. VW Volkswagen
9.    IBM                     34.   Verizon Wireless   59.   Chase                      84. Cartier
10.   Toyota                  35.   Starbucks          60.   Motorola                   85. Hermes
11.   McDonald’s              36.   Honda              61.   China Construction Bank    86. Best Buy
12.   Nokia                   37.   Dell               62.   Accenture                  87. Barclays
13.   Bank of America         38.   Bank of China      63.   Nike                       88. Avon
14.   BMW                     39.   Royal Bank of Canada
                                                       64.   Harley Davidson            89. Gucci
15.   HP                      40.   Porsche            65.   Wachovia                   90. Zara
16.   Apple                   41.   Deutsche Bank      66.   Budweiser                  91. Washinton Mutual
17.   UPS                     42.   eBay               67.   Orange                     92. Amazon
18.   Wells Fargo             43.   Yahoo              68.   Marks & Spencer            93. BP
19.   American Express        44.   Samsung            69.   FedEx                      94. AIG
20.   Louis Vuitton           45.   Ford               70.   AT&T / Cingular Wireless   95. ABN AMRO
21.   Disney                  46.   L’Oreal            71.   Siemens                    96. Auchan
22.   Vodafone                47.   Banco Santander 72.      State Farm                 97. Asda
23.   NTT DoCoMo              48.   Pepsi              73.   H&M                        98. Lexus
24.   Cisco                   49.   Carrefour          74.   JP Morgan                  99. Esprit
25.   Intel                   50.   Merril Lynch       75.   TIM                        100. Rolex

                                                                                            Source: Milward Brown
Brand owners and OEMs
          have damaged their business
   by giving away their original competences
              for short-term gains.




A BIRTHRIGHT FOR A LENTIL SOUP
OEMs design Me-Too products
  with limited profits because the real opportunity
     for Innovation and Marketing is neglected
    in favor of “safe designs” which are defined
            by fears and muted requests.

 Then they are downgraded by acceptance testing.




A BIRTHRIGHT FOR A LENTIL SOUP
Most designs forwarded
           by Brand owners to ODMs
     also don’t have “Factory-Smartness”:
           neither anymore in design
            nor in business acumen
         (e.g. 60 – 40% procurement).




A BIRTHRIGHT FOR A LENTIL SOUP
Result:
           both conceptual improvements
 and potential cost-savings by meaningful innovation
               are close to impossible.




A BIRTHRIGHT FOR A LENTIL SOUP
The power center in the Industrial
   Consumer Technology Business
     has shifted to the Customer(s)
and to the Factories (ODMs and ECMs).

 The OEMs & Brands are lost between.
   OEM = Original Equipment Manufacturer / Brand Owner
ODM = Original Design Manufacturer / Design & Product Owner
  ECM = Electronic Contract Manufacturer / Process Owner




         THE SEISMIC SHIFT
The Power is with the Factories.
            Akio Morita




THE FORGOTTEN TRUTH
FACTORY SHIFTS
SOME OF THE WORLD’s TOP ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURERS



      Hon Hai / Foxconn
   Flextronics / Solectron
                   Compal
                  Inventec
                   Quanta
                     Mitec
                   Wistron
                     Arima
                     Clevo
                      NEC
                        ….
SOME OF THE WORLD’s TOP ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURERS



      Hon Hai / Foxconn
   Flextronics / Solectron
                   Compal
                  Inventec
                   Quanta HP
                     Mitec Dell
                   Wistron Apple
                     Arima
                     Clevo
                        ….
SOME OF THE WORLD’s TOP ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURERS



      Hon Hai / Foxconn
   Flextronics / Solectron
                   Compal
                  Inventec
                   Quanta HP
                     Mitec Dell
                   Wistron Apple
                     Arima
                     Clevo
                      NEC
                        ….
SOME OF THE WORLD’s TOP ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURERS



      Hon Hai / Foxconn
   Flextronics / Solectron
                   Compal
                  Inventec
                   Quanta HP
                     Mitec Dell
                   Wistron Apple
                     Arima
                     Clevo
                      NEC
                        ….
S/he who controls
  innovation and design,
     controls identity.




THE STARTING POINT
PROCESS SHIFTS
PRODUCTS ARE VERY COMPLEX
SONY was the first Consumer-Electronics company and brand with a fully
integrated Value and Supply Chain from Marketing to Design, from Innovation
to R&D, from Production to Logistics and from Brand Building to inspired
Customer Relationships. SONY was back then the “PERFECT COMPANY”.



                                 SONY
                                   Brand
     CUSTOMERS                   Marketing
                                                          SUPPLIERS
      RETAILERS                                           Components
                             Advanced Research
   DISTRIBUTORS                                           Sub-Assembly
                                   Design
   ASSOCIATIONS                                           Service
                                    R&D
                                 Production
                                  Logistics




        1975-85: THE SONY MODEL
APPLE was the first Consumer-High-Tech company with a design focus.
It shared Value and Supply Chain with world-class Partner-ODMs (e.g. SONY,
SAMSUNG, CANON, TOSHIBA ..). APPLE is very Brand and experience
driven and has liberated Brand, Design and Marketing from the “SCM BS”



                               APPLE                    ODM
                                  Brand                 R&D (with APPLE)
    CUSTOMERS                   Marketing               Production
      RETAILERS             Advanced Research           Logistics
   DISTRIBUTORS                  Design                 Components
                              R&D (with ODM)            Sub-Assembly
                                                        Service




              1984+: APPLE MODEL
DELL was the first High-Tech company without a factory – basically buying
generic products and components in Asia and then offering PCs “to order”.
DELL pioneered the “cost-down” and “efficiency-up” methodology. Software
enabled inter-corporate automation of simple but time-consuming processes.



                                 DELL                    ODMs
                                  Brand                  R&D
    CUSTOMERS                    (Design)                Production
     CORPORATE                   Marketing               Logistics
     CONSUMERS                    Selling                Components
                                                         Sub-Assembly
                                                         Service




          1990+: THE DELL MODEL
TARGET STORES & BEST BUY were the first MASS RETAILERS with a
customer-facing strategy by defining what the customers need an want – and
only then define and decide what they buy from a BRAND or OEM and sell.
They use the Supply Chain for “Trading Up” and “Conditioning of the Value”.



                                  OEM                     ODMs
                                  Brand                   R&D?
      CUSTOMERS
                                  Design                  Production
      RETAILERS                   R&D?                    Logistics
     Target, Best Buy..          Marketing                Components
     Amazon, CostCo..             Selling                 Sub-Assembly
                                                          Service




         2000+: THE RETAIL MODEL
PRODUCT LIFECYCLE MANAGEMENT




(OLD) INTEGRATED PLM MODEL
FRACTIONED PRODUCT LIFECYCLE MANAGEMENT




(NEW) OUTSOURCED PLM MODEL
A STRATEGIC GIVE-AWAY
As short-term economics
               – and not sustainable strategy –
so far are driving PLM in the consumer electronics industry,
          we are facing extremely boring products,
       dead-end marketing and profits way too small
                    for all players involved.




            2006+: THE CURSE
Due to the internet,
    we have totally informed consumers,
              who don’t pay more
if there isn’t “extra value” in the product …

…or a very satisfying customer experience.




   2006+: THE CURSE
This current business model
    is extremely wasteful,
 both in regards to economics
          and ecology.




2006+: THE CURSE
Polarization

     prize-driven “Commodity Products”
and experience-driven “New Luxury Products”




      2007+: STATUS QUO
Power Loss

       Brands/OEMs who gave
   their technical Know-How away,
now they are basically “Brand Retailers”.




    2007+: STATUS QUO
Power Gain

Factories/ODMs who gained prowess
 in innovation, design and process,
         now they hold the key
      to competitive advantages.




  2007+: STATUS QUO
Outsourcing, Energy and Ecology

      Energy and logistic costs
 as well as recycle needs increase
  - and public awareness requires
     more sustainable products.




 2007+: STATUS QUO
High-paying Jobs are lost.

 As the qualified “specialty worker” jobs are
being moved abroad, the new available jobs
  are lower-paying “service worker” jobs.

 The Middle-Class is getting impoverished.




      2007+: STATUS QUO
Dreamcom is a small Swiss Start-Up which wants to revolutionize the market
of Notebook Computers by putting ergonomics and usability above “cheap”.
In order to achieve this ambitious goal, Dreamcom and frog implemented a
collaborative partnership with Wistron in Taiwan and P.R. China,



                             DREAMCOM
                                    Brand
     CUSTOMERS                    Marketing
                                                         WISTRON
      RETAILERS                                          Design
                               Conceptual Design
   DISTRIBUTORS                                          Engineering
                                  Operations
                                                         Components
                                   Service
                                                         Assembly
                                                         Service




   2008+: THE DREAMCOM MODEL
ALL NOTEBOOKS ARE EQUAL
ALL NOTEBOOKS ARE EQUALLY WRONG
…WIRKLICHKEIT




     Image: Patrick van Hecke
…WIRKLICHER
…WIRKLICHKEIT




     Image: Patrick van Hecke
       Image: Richard Ellenson
THE COST OF BAD ERGONOMICS


   “Notebooks sind fuer staendiges Arbeiten
am zugewiesenen Arbeitsplatz nicht zugelassen.”

  “Notebooks are not legal for permanent work
             on an assigned job.”

     Verordnung über Sicherheit und Gesundheitsschutz
             bei der Arbeit an Bildschirmgeräten
        (Bildschirmarbeitsverordnung - BildscharbV)

  GUIDELINE OF THE EUROPEAN COUNCIL BRUSSELS 90/270
                      29 May1990
WISTRON, Taipei & Kunshan
WISTRON, Taipei & Kunshan
FINAL PRODUCT
AN INNOVATIVE,
SWISS-CHINESE
NOTEBOOK-COMPUTER
DESIGN SHIFTS
Convergent Design

           Customers will value
non-physical experiences over “products”,
    and human-driven digital usability
      will become a market driver.




2008+: THE NEXT TRENDS
TANGO communicator for children with cerebral palsy
                              www.blink-twice.com
Social Network Design

      By education, people will become
        design and innovation literate,
and require products “just the way they want it”.
                        .




  2008+: THE NEXT TRENDS
Re-Use replaces Re-Cycling

     Early-Stage product strategies
   replace the current waste process.
          Products will be modular
and will synchronize component lifecycles.




2008+: THE NEXT TRENDS
LongTerm Phone
> Base frame for modular components
> Display, interface as clips
> Sensors for food and pollutants
> Power crank
Design Re-Cycling

        Well-proven “Design Classics”
will be “re-designed” for modern technology.
  This re-connects good industrial history
          with a more cultural future.




 2008+: THE NEXT TRENDS
Hommage to Ettore Sottsas “Valentine PC”
  University of Applied Arts, Vienna – ID2
            www.creativeDNAaustria.com
Open Source Design

Patents and Intellectual Property rights
           will be re-defined.
    Sharing of ideas and concepts
leads to a “new industrial rice culture”.




2008+: THE NEXT TRENDS
MONEY BUYS – EMOTION SELLS
SOURCING SHIFTS
H   I      G   H

  OUT
SOURCING       &
   !

T   E      C   H
A FEW DESIGN FOR MANY
PROGRESS IS TOP-DOWN
FROG DESIGN: TRIBON
H      I       G   H

      HOME
    SOURCING       &
        !

L      O       V   E
MANY DESIGN FOR A FEW
PROGRESS IS BOTTOM-UP
H      I       G   H

     GREEN
    SOURCING       &
       !

L      I       F   E
> Hybrids: TOYOTA PRIUS…
> Fuel Cells: liberation from Big Oil
> Solar & Wind Energy: dropping the “grid”
> Communication: Internet vs. Telco-Monopolies
> Traffic Management: Smart Flow vs. Traffic Jams
> Waste Management: Recycling vs. Waste




BEATING OUT THE MONOPOLIES
LEARN WARE
NATURAL WARE
DATOO WEAR
POWER SHIFTS
THOMAS
            JEFFERSON
“All men are created equally free and independent;
           they are endowed by their Creator
with certain inalienable rights, that among these are
      life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.quot;




         OUR BIRTH RIGHT
> Starting early in Schools (end the waste of talents)
> Honing expert skills and apply holistically (teams)
> The end of “Creative Egotism” (benefits over style)
> Usability and social integration (humanize industry)




        CREATIVE EDUCATION
> Sustainability (ecology, culture, economics)
> Humanistic Business (profitability beyond money)
> Science & Technology (focus on balance)
> Industrial Modularity (apply components like food)




       CREATIVE EDUCATION
Brand owners and OEMs
           are becoming virtual entities
     with mostly cultural and emotional assets.

These are defined by their unique and differentiating
     innovation and design processes they must
    invent by working better with the factories.




       2010+: POWER SHIFTS
Market value and success
            will be defined by the ability
        to anticipate, project and manage
the fulfillment of their customer’s expectations,
                 needs and dreams.




     2010+: POWER SHIFTS
New business strategies
will be defined by non-materialistic fantasies.

      Creativity and cultural inspiration
are the core of the new market advantages.




    2010+: POWER SHIFTS
High-mix & low volume products
which combine mass-produced high-tech modules
 with local creativity and affinity-driven concepts,
     will bring high-paying specialty jobs back




      2010+: POWER SHIFTS
Values define Identity.

Design has to abandon “dying in beauty”
and will have to create holistic statements
 of inspiring interactivity and story telling.




  2010+: POWER SHIFTS
“If a story is not about the hearer he will not listen.
And here I make a rule – a great and interesting story
is about everyone or it will not last.”
                             John Steinbeck (East of Eden)




    A NOBEL PRIZE FOR DESIGN
G      O           O      D

      FORM
    FOLLOWS               4
    EMOTION

L      I           F      E
       h@frogdesign.com

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The Power of Factories

  • 1. G O O D THE POWER OF THE 4 FACTORIES L I F E PROF. DR. HARTMUT ESSLINGER TREND-TAG HAMBURG MAY 2008
  • 2. Instead of concentrating on “brand identity”, marketing has to shift its focus to the question of the consumers’ identity.
  • 4. Designers, executives and marketeers could be a lot more creative with their concepts and designs because the factories in the Far East are able to produce a lot more flexibly than specialist circles realize.
  • 6. THE WORLD’s TOP 100 BRANDS 2007: by Economics 1. Google 26. Home Depot 51. UBS 76. Goldman Sachs 2. GE (General Electric) 27. SAP 52. Target Stores 77. T-Mobile 3. Microsoft 28. Gillette 53. ING 78. Colgate 4. Coca Cola 29. Mercedes 54. Canon 79. Subway 5. China Mobile 30. Oracle 55. Sony 80. Chanel 6. Marlboro 31. HSBC 56. Morgan Stanley 81. IKEA 7. Wal*Mart 32. Tesco 57. Chevrolet 82. Royal Bank of Scotland 8. Citi 33. ICBC 58. Nissan 83. VW Volkswagen 9. IBM 34. Verizon Wireless 59. Chase 84. Cartier 10. Toyota 35. Starbucks 60. Motorola 85. Hermes 11. McDonald’s 36. Honda 61. China Construction Bank 86. Best Buy 12. Nokia 37. Dell 62. Accenture 87. Barclays 13. Bank of America 38. Bank of China 63. Nike 88. Avon 14. BMW 39. Royal Bank of Canada 64. Harley Davidson 89. Gucci 15. HP 40. Porsche 65. Wachovia 90. Zara 16. Apple 41. Deutsche Bank 66. Budweiser 91. Washinton Mutual 17. UPS 42. eBay 67. Orange 92. Amazon 18. Wells Fargo 43. Yahoo 68. Marks & Spencer 93. BP 19. American Express 44. Samsung 69. FedEx 94. AIG 20. Louis Vuitton 45. Ford 70. AT&T / Cingular Wireless 95. ABN AMRO 21. Disney 46. L’Oreal 71. Siemens 96. Auchan 22. Vodafone 47. Banco Santander 72. State Farm 97. Asda 23. NTT DoCoMo 48. Pepsi 73. H&M 98. Lexus 24. Cisco 49. Carrefour 74. JP Morgan 99. Esprit 25. Intel 50. Merril Lynch 75. TIM 100. Rolex Source: Milward Brown
  • 7. THE WORLD’s TOP 100 BRANDS 2007: present or former frog clients 1. Google 26. Home Depot 51. UBS 76. Goldman Sachs 2. GE (General Electric) 27. SAP 52. Target Stores 77. T-Mobile 3. Microsoft 28. Gillette 53. ING 78. Colgate 4. Coca Cola 29. Mercedes 54. Canon 79. Subway 5. China Mobile 30. Oracle 55. Sony 80. Chanel 6. Marlboro 31. HSBC 56. Morgan Stanley 81. IKEA 7. Wal*Mart 32. Tesco 57. Chevrolet 82. Royal Bank of Scotland 8. Citi 33. ICBC 58. Nissan 83. VW Volkswagen 9. IBM 34. Verizon Wireless 59. Chase 84. Cartier 10. Toyota 35. Starbucks 60. Motorola 85. Hermes 11. McDonald’s 36. Honda 61. China Construction Bank 86. Best Buy 12. Nokia 37. Dell 62. Accenture 87. Barclays 13. Bank of America 38. Bank of China 63. Nike 88. Avon 14. BMW 39. Royal Bank of Canada 64. Harley Davidson 89. Gucci 15. HP 40. Porsche 65. Wachovia 90. Zara 16. Apple 41. Deutsche Bank 66. Budweiser 91. Washinton Mutual 17. UPS 42. eBay 67. Orange 92. Amazon 18. Wells Fargo 43. Yahoo 68. Marks & Spencer 93. BP 19. American Express 44. Samsung 69. FedEx 94. AIG 20. Louis Vuitton 45. Ford 70. AT&T / Cingular Wireless 95. ABN AMRO 21. Disney 46. L’Oreal 71. Siemens 96. Auchan 22. Vodafone 47. Banco Santander 72. State Farm 97. Asda 23. NTT DoCoMo 48. Pepsi 73. H&M 98. Lexus 24. Cisco 49. Carrefour 74. JP Morgan 99. Esprit 25. Intel 50. Merril Lynch 75. TIM 100. Rolex Source: Milward Brown
  • 8. THE WORLD’s TOP 100 BRANDS 2007: electronic products & e/retail 1. Google 26. Home Depot 51. UBS 76. Goldman Sachs 2. GE (General Electric) 27. SAP 52. Target Stores 77. T-Mobile 3. Microsoft 28. Gillette 53. ING 78. Colgate 4. Coca Cola 29. Mercedes 54. Canon 79. Subway 5. China Mobile 30. Oracle 55. Sony 80. Chanel 6. Marlboro 31. HSBC 56. Morgan Stanley 81. IKEA 7. Wal*Mart 32. Tesco 57. Chevrolet 82. Royal Bank of Scotland 8. Citi 33. ICBC 58. Nissan 83. VW Volkswagen 9. IBM 34. Verizon Wireless 59. Chase 84. Cartier 10. Toyota 35. Starbucks 60. Motorola 85. Hermes 11. McDonald’s 36. Honda 61. China Construction Bank 86. Best Buy 12. Nokia 37. Dell 62. Accenture 87. Barclays 13. Bank of America 38. Bank of China 63. Nike 88. Avon 14. BMW 39. Royal Bank of Canada 64. Harley Davidson 89. Gucci 15. HP 40. Porsche 65. Wachovia 90. Zara 16. Apple 41. Deutsche Bank 66. Budweiser 91. Washinton Mutual 17. UPS 42. eBay 67. Orange 92. Amazon 18. Wells Fargo 43. Yahoo 68. Marks & Spencer 93. BP 19. American Express 44. Samsung 69. FedEx 94. AIG 20. Louis Vuitton 45. Ford 70. AT&T / Cingular Wireless 95. ABN AMRO 21. Disney 46. L’Oreal 71. Siemens 96. Auchan 22. Vodafone 47. Banco Santander 72. State Farm 97. Asda 23. NTT DoCoMo 48. Pepsi 73. H&M 98. Lexus 24. Cisco 49. Carrefour 74. JP Morgan 99. Esprit 25. Intel 50. Merril Lynch 75. TIM 100. Rolex Source: Milward Brown
  • 9. THE WORLD’s TOP 100 BRANDS 2007: with own core factories 1. Google 26. Home Depot 51. UBS 76. Goldman Sachs 2. GE (General Electric) 27. SAP 52. Target Stores 77. T-Mobile 3. Microsoft 28. Gillette 53. ING 78. Colgate 4. Coca Cola 29. Mercedes 54. Canon 79. Subway 5. China Mobile 30. Oracle 55. Sony 80. Chanel 6. Marlboro 31. HSBC 56. Morgan Stanley 81. IKEA 7. Wal*Mart 32. Tesco 57. Chevrolet 82. Royal Bank of Scotland 8. Citi 33. ICBC 58. Nissan 83. VW Volkswagen 9. IBM 34. Verizon Wireless 59. Chase 84. Cartier 10. Toyota 35. Starbucks 60. Motorola 85. Hermes 11. McDonald’s 36. Honda 61. China Construction Bank 86. Best Buy 12. Nokia 37. Dell 62. Accenture 87. Barclays 13. Bank of America 38. Bank of China 63. Nike 88. Avon 14. BMW 39. Royal Bank of Canada 64. Harley Davidson 89. Gucci 15. HP 40. Porsche 65. Wachovia 90. Zara 16. Apple 41. Deutsche Bank 66. Budweiser 91. Washinton Mutual 17. UPS 42. eBay 67. Orange 92. Amazon 18. Wells Fargo 43. Yahoo 68. Marks & Spencer 93. BP 19. American Express 44. Samsung 69. FedEx 94. AIG 20. Louis Vuitton 45. Ford 70. AT&T / Cingular Wireless 95. ABN AMRO 21. Disney 46. L’Oreal 71. Siemens 96. Auchan 22. Vodafone 47. Banco Santander 72. State Farm 97. Asda 23. NTT DoCoMo 48. Pepsi 73. H&M 98. Lexus 24. Cisco 49. Carrefour 74. JP Morgan 99. Esprit 25. Intel 50. Merril Lynch 75. TIM 100. Rolex Source: Milward Brown
  • 10. Brand owners and OEMs have damaged their business by giving away their original competences for short-term gains. A BIRTHRIGHT FOR A LENTIL SOUP
  • 11. OEMs design Me-Too products with limited profits because the real opportunity for Innovation and Marketing is neglected in favor of “safe designs” which are defined by fears and muted requests. Then they are downgraded by acceptance testing. A BIRTHRIGHT FOR A LENTIL SOUP
  • 12. Most designs forwarded by Brand owners to ODMs also don’t have “Factory-Smartness”: neither anymore in design nor in business acumen (e.g. 60 – 40% procurement). A BIRTHRIGHT FOR A LENTIL SOUP
  • 13. Result: both conceptual improvements and potential cost-savings by meaningful innovation are close to impossible. A BIRTHRIGHT FOR A LENTIL SOUP
  • 14. The power center in the Industrial Consumer Technology Business has shifted to the Customer(s) and to the Factories (ODMs and ECMs). The OEMs & Brands are lost between. OEM = Original Equipment Manufacturer / Brand Owner ODM = Original Design Manufacturer / Design & Product Owner ECM = Electronic Contract Manufacturer / Process Owner THE SEISMIC SHIFT
  • 15. The Power is with the Factories. Akio Morita THE FORGOTTEN TRUTH
  • 17. SOME OF THE WORLD’s TOP ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURERS Hon Hai / Foxconn Flextronics / Solectron Compal Inventec Quanta Mitec Wistron Arima Clevo NEC ….
  • 18. SOME OF THE WORLD’s TOP ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURERS Hon Hai / Foxconn Flextronics / Solectron Compal Inventec Quanta HP Mitec Dell Wistron Apple Arima Clevo ….
  • 19. SOME OF THE WORLD’s TOP ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURERS Hon Hai / Foxconn Flextronics / Solectron Compal Inventec Quanta HP Mitec Dell Wistron Apple Arima Clevo NEC ….
  • 20. SOME OF THE WORLD’s TOP ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURERS Hon Hai / Foxconn Flextronics / Solectron Compal Inventec Quanta HP Mitec Dell Wistron Apple Arima Clevo NEC ….
  • 21.
  • 22. S/he who controls innovation and design, controls identity. THE STARTING POINT
  • 25. SONY was the first Consumer-Electronics company and brand with a fully integrated Value and Supply Chain from Marketing to Design, from Innovation to R&D, from Production to Logistics and from Brand Building to inspired Customer Relationships. SONY was back then the “PERFECT COMPANY”. SONY Brand CUSTOMERS Marketing SUPPLIERS RETAILERS Components Advanced Research DISTRIBUTORS Sub-Assembly Design ASSOCIATIONS Service R&D Production Logistics 1975-85: THE SONY MODEL
  • 26.
  • 27. APPLE was the first Consumer-High-Tech company with a design focus. It shared Value and Supply Chain with world-class Partner-ODMs (e.g. SONY, SAMSUNG, CANON, TOSHIBA ..). APPLE is very Brand and experience driven and has liberated Brand, Design and Marketing from the “SCM BS” APPLE ODM Brand R&D (with APPLE) CUSTOMERS Marketing Production RETAILERS Advanced Research Logistics DISTRIBUTORS Design Components R&D (with ODM) Sub-Assembly Service 1984+: APPLE MODEL
  • 28.
  • 29. DELL was the first High-Tech company without a factory – basically buying generic products and components in Asia and then offering PCs “to order”. DELL pioneered the “cost-down” and “efficiency-up” methodology. Software enabled inter-corporate automation of simple but time-consuming processes. DELL ODMs Brand R&D CUSTOMERS (Design) Production CORPORATE Marketing Logistics CONSUMERS Selling Components Sub-Assembly Service 1990+: THE DELL MODEL
  • 30.
  • 31. TARGET STORES & BEST BUY were the first MASS RETAILERS with a customer-facing strategy by defining what the customers need an want – and only then define and decide what they buy from a BRAND or OEM and sell. They use the Supply Chain for “Trading Up” and “Conditioning of the Value”. OEM ODMs Brand R&D? CUSTOMERS Design Production RETAILERS R&D? Logistics Target, Best Buy.. Marketing Components Amazon, CostCo.. Selling Sub-Assembly Service 2000+: THE RETAIL MODEL
  • 32.
  • 33. PRODUCT LIFECYCLE MANAGEMENT (OLD) INTEGRATED PLM MODEL
  • 34. FRACTIONED PRODUCT LIFECYCLE MANAGEMENT (NEW) OUTSOURCED PLM MODEL
  • 36. As short-term economics – and not sustainable strategy – so far are driving PLM in the consumer electronics industry, we are facing extremely boring products, dead-end marketing and profits way too small for all players involved. 2006+: THE CURSE
  • 37. Due to the internet, we have totally informed consumers, who don’t pay more if there isn’t “extra value” in the product … …or a very satisfying customer experience. 2006+: THE CURSE
  • 38. This current business model is extremely wasteful, both in regards to economics and ecology. 2006+: THE CURSE
  • 39. Polarization prize-driven “Commodity Products” and experience-driven “New Luxury Products” 2007+: STATUS QUO
  • 40. Power Loss Brands/OEMs who gave their technical Know-How away, now they are basically “Brand Retailers”. 2007+: STATUS QUO
  • 41. Power Gain Factories/ODMs who gained prowess in innovation, design and process, now they hold the key to competitive advantages. 2007+: STATUS QUO
  • 42. Outsourcing, Energy and Ecology Energy and logistic costs as well as recycle needs increase - and public awareness requires more sustainable products. 2007+: STATUS QUO
  • 43. High-paying Jobs are lost. As the qualified “specialty worker” jobs are being moved abroad, the new available jobs are lower-paying “service worker” jobs. The Middle-Class is getting impoverished. 2007+: STATUS QUO
  • 44. Dreamcom is a small Swiss Start-Up which wants to revolutionize the market of Notebook Computers by putting ergonomics and usability above “cheap”. In order to achieve this ambitious goal, Dreamcom and frog implemented a collaborative partnership with Wistron in Taiwan and P.R. China, DREAMCOM Brand CUSTOMERS Marketing WISTRON RETAILERS Design Conceptual Design DISTRIBUTORS Engineering Operations Components Service Assembly Service 2008+: THE DREAMCOM MODEL
  • 46.
  • 47. ALL NOTEBOOKS ARE EQUALLY WRONG
  • 48.
  • 49. …WIRKLICHKEIT Image: Patrick van Hecke
  • 50. …WIRKLICHER …WIRKLICHKEIT Image: Patrick van Hecke Image: Richard Ellenson
  • 51. THE COST OF BAD ERGONOMICS “Notebooks sind fuer staendiges Arbeiten am zugewiesenen Arbeitsplatz nicht zugelassen.” “Notebooks are not legal for permanent work on an assigned job.” Verordnung über Sicherheit und Gesundheitsschutz bei der Arbeit an Bildschirmgeräten (Bildschirmarbeitsverordnung - BildscharbV) GUIDELINE OF THE EUROPEAN COUNCIL BRUSSELS 90/270 29 May1990
  • 52.
  • 54.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 60.
  • 63. Convergent Design Customers will value non-physical experiences over “products”, and human-driven digital usability will become a market driver. 2008+: THE NEXT TRENDS
  • 64. TANGO communicator for children with cerebral palsy www.blink-twice.com
  • 65. Social Network Design By education, people will become design and innovation literate, and require products “just the way they want it”. . 2008+: THE NEXT TRENDS
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68. Re-Use replaces Re-Cycling Early-Stage product strategies replace the current waste process. Products will be modular and will synchronize component lifecycles. 2008+: THE NEXT TRENDS
  • 69. LongTerm Phone > Base frame for modular components > Display, interface as clips > Sensors for food and pollutants > Power crank
  • 70. Design Re-Cycling Well-proven “Design Classics” will be “re-designed” for modern technology. This re-connects good industrial history with a more cultural future. 2008+: THE NEXT TRENDS
  • 71. Hommage to Ettore Sottsas “Valentine PC” University of Applied Arts, Vienna – ID2 www.creativeDNAaustria.com
  • 72. Open Source Design Patents and Intellectual Property rights will be re-defined. Sharing of ideas and concepts leads to a “new industrial rice culture”. 2008+: THE NEXT TRENDS
  • 73. MONEY BUYS – EMOTION SELLS
  • 75. H I G H OUT SOURCING & ! T E C H
  • 76. A FEW DESIGN FOR MANY
  • 79.
  • 80.
  • 81. H I G H HOME SOURCING & ! L O V E
  • 84.
  • 85. H I G H GREEN SOURCING & ! L I F E
  • 86. > Hybrids: TOYOTA PRIUS… > Fuel Cells: liberation from Big Oil > Solar & Wind Energy: dropping the “grid” > Communication: Internet vs. Telco-Monopolies > Traffic Management: Smart Flow vs. Traffic Jams > Waste Management: Recycling vs. Waste BEATING OUT THE MONOPOLIES
  • 90.
  • 91.
  • 92.
  • 94. THOMAS JEFFERSON “All men are created equally free and independent; they are endowed by their Creator with certain inalienable rights, that among these are life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.quot; OUR BIRTH RIGHT
  • 95. > Starting early in Schools (end the waste of talents) > Honing expert skills and apply holistically (teams) > The end of “Creative Egotism” (benefits over style) > Usability and social integration (humanize industry) CREATIVE EDUCATION
  • 96. > Sustainability (ecology, culture, economics) > Humanistic Business (profitability beyond money) > Science & Technology (focus on balance) > Industrial Modularity (apply components like food) CREATIVE EDUCATION
  • 97. Brand owners and OEMs are becoming virtual entities with mostly cultural and emotional assets. These are defined by their unique and differentiating innovation and design processes they must invent by working better with the factories. 2010+: POWER SHIFTS
  • 98. Market value and success will be defined by the ability to anticipate, project and manage the fulfillment of their customer’s expectations, needs and dreams. 2010+: POWER SHIFTS
  • 99. New business strategies will be defined by non-materialistic fantasies. Creativity and cultural inspiration are the core of the new market advantages. 2010+: POWER SHIFTS
  • 100. High-mix & low volume products which combine mass-produced high-tech modules with local creativity and affinity-driven concepts, will bring high-paying specialty jobs back 2010+: POWER SHIFTS
  • 101. Values define Identity. Design has to abandon “dying in beauty” and will have to create holistic statements of inspiring interactivity and story telling. 2010+: POWER SHIFTS
  • 102. “If a story is not about the hearer he will not listen. And here I make a rule – a great and interesting story is about everyone or it will not last.” John Steinbeck (East of Eden) A NOBEL PRIZE FOR DESIGN
  • 103. G O O D FORM FOLLOWS 4 EMOTION L I F E h@frogdesign.com