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exitcreative - clay parker jones




exitcreative.net/blog   @clayparkerjones
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
exitcreative - clay parker jones




The Experimentation Imperative
                           Why you have to experiment, not just do.
Caveats:

                                           1. I am not a scientist


                                           2. I don’t have all the answers


                                           3. I am not a crook*


* though 90% of these images are lifted
exitcreative - clay parker jones
Weather modification is fascinating.
I’d kill for a beer.
Silver Iodide
NOT from a Bond movie.
“




“...how can we use this?”
Operation POPEYE - 1967-’72
Irving Langmuir and Vincent Schaefer
117              153




Bigger eye = slower winds
Hurricanes have multiple eyewalls...
If you make a second, larger eyewall...
The inner one will die
YAY!




And then you win.
Hurricane Debbie - 1969



                          figure 1: hurricane debbie path




                                                   Newfoundland:
                                                   Our bad.



                                        Victory!

                                                   Seeding!




                          figure 2: hurricane strength


                            1       2         3         4     5
But this was a bad idea from the start.
In re: chaos
Ross Hoffman, 2006

Controlling Hurricanes Through
Optimal Perturbations
★   The atmosphere is chaotic
★   Extreme sensitivity to small changes or “perturbations”
★   A series of “just right” perturbations may control the weather
$1.8 BILLION
                                     6 DEATHS




figure 1: hurricane strength


  1       2       3       4    5
ORI G INA L
                   PATH




What if you could change something?
ORI G INA L
                         PATH

              T E MP
              O NLY




What if you could change something?
ORI G INA L
                             PATH

                  T E MP
                  O NLY


           TE M P &
            WIND




What if you could change something?
Which wings?
exitcreative - clay parker jones
How is this
translating
into digital?
New and
better
banners?
Banner             Birth Control
Ineffectiveness   Effectiveness
Bigger=better?
Surprises?
Fun, but one-off
BIG
ideas?
Re-mixable excellence
Business
solutions?
Crazy awesome, who takes you here?
Things that
defy the
system?
Behavioral + multiplatform = interesting
[TYPICAL]

    $0.16/VISITOR                   $433/VISITOR




DOM AINAT ION, EFFIE AWARDS, 2009
exitcreative - clay parker jones
Hypothesis:


Digital marketing
can be a good for
both companies
and consumers.
Human
         Behaviors




                     Digital
Brands
                     Things
Human
         Behaviors




                     Digital
Brands
                     Things
We’re selfish with knowledge
Sad.
Experimentation!
Causal relationships
among variables.
Maybe: Research
Maybe: Testing
Maybe: Campaigns
Ripe topics:

               1. Digital Anonymity


               2. Fan Causes


               3. Brands + Services


               4. Competition & Rewards
Digital Anonymity
What about the “normal” web?
People follow:
Directions
Other People
Fan Causes
Moustachette: http://moustachette.com
Hey, it worked!
                         FB FANS:
                         1,189


                  TRAILER VIEWS: 18,000

                  ILLINOIS FILM FESTIVAL
 TWITTER
                  PHILLY FILM FESTIVAL
 FOLLOWERS:
 6,811
Fans + Causes =
Awesome
Brands + Services
Mobile App Spreadsheet: http://bit.ly/1QW7tO
Scanning 200+ branded and unbranded applications on iTunes to judge affinity,
desirability, and rating. Adds more texture to the “downloads” stat.
Ratings Concentration, Android



                       RATED
                       4 AND ABOVE

 ALL RATINGS
Ratings Concentration, iPhone
                         RATED 4 AND ABOVE




 ALL RATINGS
Odosketch: http://sketch.odopod.com
Sketch by the numbers



                        TOTAL USERS:
                        16,000

 TOTAL
 SKETCHES:
 65,000




                        AVERAGE TIME: 4:10
                        3-4 PAGES VISITED
Sketch by the numbers



                        TOTAL USERS:
                        16,000

 TOTAL
 SKETCHES:                    NOT EASILY
 65,000                       REPEATED




                        AVERAGE TIME: 4:10
                        3-4 PAGES VISITED
“Draw Your Soul”: http://bit.ly/3EcPBZ
People follow directions, provided easy tools.
Possible to do the
same under a
different name?
...Is brand equity
online good for
service adoption?
Competition and
Rewards
Swoopo: http://swoopo.com
The crack cocaine of e-commerce sites.
LadyData: http://donq.com
People like to
compete
Work Time!
Ground rules:

                1. An actual hypothesis


                2. Think longitudinal v. episodic


                3. Isolates variables/causes
We’ll build two of
them to start, and
share the data.
exitcreative - clay parker jones




exitcreative.net/blog   @clayparkerjones
exitcreative - clay parker jones

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The Experimentation Imperative