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Doing More with Less: Third Industrial Revolution

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Doing More with Less: Third Industrial Revolution

  1. 1. Oct 2015 www.hhs.se
  2. 2. Halloween in Nashville, 1974
  3. 3. The future is already here, it’s just not very evenly distributed. - William Gibson
  4. 4. Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
  5. 5. Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
  6. 6. USD 45 bln
  7. 7. Uber • Launched June 2010 • 330 cities in 60 countries • Limited physical assets • USD 51 bln valuation (Ericsson – USD 32 bln) “Doing more with less” through a global platform
  8. 8. People • “Net generation” • 24x7 “mobile” workforce • Knowledge via MOOCs • Sharing not owning • Sustainability Technology • Broadband access • Mobile phones • The cloud • Internet of Things • Big Data • 3D printing • Robotics/AI • VR/AR • Holography • Blockchain Open Source IP • Software • Hardware • Physibles Convergence of….. Finance • Microlending/microfinance • Crowdfunding/equity/P2P • Non-fiat cryptocurrencies • Mobile money/payments • M2M payments
  9. 9. Banking is essential, but banks are not. Bill Gates
  10. 10. In just the past few years in Stockholm… Company Founded Business Klarna 2005 E-commerce payment services MyLoan 2006 Loan broker Trustly 2008 Online payments TrustBuddy 2009 P2P lending iZettle 2010 Mobile payments FundedByMe 2011 Crowdfunding, crowd equity Kivra 2011 Digital mailbox Tink 2012 Personal finance Safello 2013 Cryptocurrency exchange KnCMiner 2013 Cryptocurrency mining equipment Toborrow 2013 P2P lending for companies Cryex 2014 Cryptocurrency clearing house
  11. 11. Stockholm #2 FinTech city in EU 2010-2014 investment ● $532 Mln 2014 investment ● $266 Mln Top 2014 Investments in Stockholm FinTech Companies (Mln) Klarna $125 iZettle $55 Trustly 29 Bima Mobile $22 KNC Miner $14 ($29)
  12. 12. Bitcoin & the Blockchain Community + Internet + Open source + CPU Teigland, Yetis, Larsson 2013 http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2263707
  13. 13. Betting on the Blockchain - Together Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Credit Suisse, Barclays, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, State Street, RBS, BBVA, UBS +
  14. 14. The automotive industry Disruptions ......the likes of which the industry hasn’t seen since the automated assembly line. http://asmarterplanet.com/blog/2015/01/auto-industry-innovation.html
  15. 15. https://www.cbinsights.com/blog/startups-drive-auto-industry-disruption/
  16. 16. New entrants
  17. 17. And new forms of ownership…crowd equity
  18. 18. If the rate of change on the outside (of an organization) exceeds the rate of change on the inside, the end is near.... -Jack Welch
  19. 19. History tends to repeat itself…. Innovation, financial crisis, industrial revolution, … Steam engine Internal combustion engine Internet Microelectronics Late 18th C Late 19th C Late 20th C Schön 2008 Third industrial revolution?
  20. 20. From factories ….
  21. 21. ...to offices…
  22. 22. …to server halls and …
  23. 23. ….. robots MX3D to 3D print steel bridge
  24. 24. .… “Third Places” and co-working spaces US: 40% of workforce freelancers
  25. 25. Hoffice – Sharing your home with local freelancers Structured working process
  26. 26. Jobs that did not exist 10 years ago  iOS/Android developer  Social media manager  UI/UX designer  Big data architect  Cloud services specialist  Digital marketing specialist  Sustainability expert  Zumba instructor  Beach body coach http://talent.linkedin.com/blog/index.php/2014/01/top-10-job-titles-that-didnt-exist-5-years-ago-infographic
  27. 27. OpenSimulator: A value creation ecosystem Academic Entrepreneur Hobbyist Large Firm Non-profit Local Public Federal Public Research Inst SME Employee Periphery Teigland, Di Gangi, & Yetis 2012 USD 5.5mln in development costs
  28. 28. And new forms of “face to face” meetings
  29. 29. No one knows everything, everyone knows something, all knowledge resides in humanity.networks. Adapted from Lévy 1997Image: Krebs
  30. 30. Community platform Hierarchicalfirm VS E.g., Ford ~ Created by employees within organizational boundaries E.g., Local Motors ~ Created by community collaborators regardless of affiliation Teigland, Di Gangi, & Yetis 2012 The Flipped Firm: New model of value creation?
  31. 31. “Local Motors is the place for people to create influential vehicles together.” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qj28q7HvfJ4 • 1000x cheaper to produce new car model • 5-22x faster production, depending on vehicle
  32. 32. Microfactories – Local and Mobile
  33. 33. Local Motors to print 3D cars in its micro-factories http://3dprint.com/79342/local-motors-reload-3d-car/
  34. 34. Increasing forces for local community
  35. 35. Dining Clothes Workspaces Cars Small machinery Living
  36. 36. But how many cars do we need?
  37. 37. http://www.inc.com/adam-vaccaro/uber-isnt-a-car-service.html Uber uses data science to predict where its riders want to go
  38. 38. La’Zooz – Decentralized transportsharing http://lazooz.org/
  39. 39. Moving into hardware: Local networks of 3D printers
  40. 40. A 3D printer workshop on Lisette’s boat RepRap community E-commerce
  41. 41. Scheveningen Harbor – The Hague
  42. 42. My first attempt at 3D printing – successful!
  43. 43. DIY Growing
  44. 44. Developing circular economies Local materials? Reduced consumption? Reduced transport? Fueled by local “money”? And by IoT?
  45. 45. What’s around the corner? 24x7 Global Internet Collaboration + Open Source + 3D Printing http://mashable.com/2013/02/13/robohand/ $60,000 $150 Available for free download on $45 Where is the firm?
  46. 46. Exploitation Improving existing value creation activities Exploration Developing new value creation activities Adapted from March 1991
  47. 47. Some questions… • What basic assumptions will no longer hold, e.g., economies of scale? • How will online and local communities interact? • What will the local and global influence be of circular economies? • Why does the firm exist?
  48. 48. Robin Teigland robin.teigland@hhs.se www.knowledgenetworking.org www.slideshare.net/eteigland www.funnovation.se @RobinTeigland If you love knowledge, set it free… If you like this presentation and would like to contribute to our research, we accept bitcoins: 14hs4JbnQLXE87GGzu84uXGaspmxmnLpwC. Thank you!!!!!

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