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Priori%zing	
Humanitarian	Projects	
Preliminary	Approach:	January	3,	2016
Inherent	Complexity	of	Priori%zing	Humanitarian	Projects	
Basics:	
•  Water	
•  Food	
Projects:	
•  Electricity	
•  Water	
•  Waste	Management	
•  Food	Produc9on	
•  Transporta9on	
•  Housing	
Na9on’s	Characteris9cs:	
•  Poverty	
•  Economic	Inequality	
Measures:	
•  Per	Capita	GDP	
•  Health	Outcomes	
•  Socioeconomic	Status	
•  Poli9cal	Stability
Priori%zing	Criteria	
•  Energy	–	Independence	from	fossil	fuels	
•  Poverty	
•  Poverty	and	Economic	Inequality	
•  Economic	Inequality	
•  Analy%c	Hierarchy	Process
Finite	Amount	Energy	from	Fossil	Fuel
World	Popula%on	Correlates	with	Oil	Produc%on
Humanity’s	Highest	Priority
Na%ons	in	Poverty	(Par%al	List)	
Per	Capita	GDP Gini	Inequality
Country $/Person	(2015) Measure
	Qatar 140,649$												 41.1%
Singapore 82,763$														 46.4%
	Norway 64,856$														 26.8%
	Hong	Kong 55,084$														 53.7%
	United	States 54,629$														 45.0%
	Germany 45,802$														 27.0%
	Canada 44,057$														 32.1%
Taiwan 43,600$														 33.8%
	United	Kingdom 39,762$														 32.4%
	Malaysia 25,639$														 46.2%
	Russia 25,636$														 42.0%
	South	Africa 13,387$														 62.5%
	China 13,217$														 46.9%
	Dominican	Republic 12,678$														 45.7%
	Jordan 12,259$														 39.7%
	Sri	Lanka 10,131$														 49.0%
	Indonesia 9,947$																 41.0%
	Mongolia 9,816$																 36.5%
	El	Salvador 8,078$																 46.9%
	Fiji 8,063$																 42.8%
	Guatemala 7,592$																 55.1%
	Morocco 7,489$																 40.9%
	Swaziland 6,955$																 50.4%
	Guyana 6,810$																 44.6%
	Philippines 6,800$																 46.0%
	India 5,637$																 33.6%
	Vietnam 5,508$																 37.6%
	Laos 5,017$																 36.7%
	Pakistan 4,788$																 29.6%
	Honduras 4,779$																 57.7%
	Cambodia 3,164$																 37.9%
	Papua	New	Guinea 2,750$																 50.9%
	Afghanistan 2,025$																 27.8%
	Haiti 1,772$																 59.2%
	Guinea 1,304$																 39.4%
	Niger 953$																				 34.0%
	Central	African	Republic 628$																				 61.3%
Income,	Socioeconomic	Status,	and	Health:	Exploring	the	Rela9onships;	J.A.	Auerbach	&	B.K.	
Krimgold;	Na9onal	Policy	Associa9on;	2001,	Washington,	DC.	{Page30}.	
$7,500	(1990)	=	$13,619	(2015)
Na%ons	in	Poverty	with	Economic	Inequality	
Per	Capita	GDP Gini	Inequality
Country $/Person	(2015) Measure
	Qatar 140,649$												 41.1%
Singapore 82,763$														 46.4%
	Norway 64,856$														 26.8%
	Hong	Kong 55,084$														 53.7%
	United	States 54,629$														 45.0%
	Germany 45,802$														 27.0%
	Canada 44,057$														 32.1%
Taiwan 43,600$														 33.8%
	United	Kingdom 39,762$														 32.4%
	Malaysia 25,639$														 46.2%
	Russia 25,636$														 42.0%
	South	Africa 13,387$														 62.5%
	China 13,217$														 46.9%
	Dominican	Republic 12,678$														 45.7%
	Jordan 12,259$														 39.7%
	Sri	Lanka 10,131$														 49.0%
	Indonesia 9,947$																 41.0%
	Mongolia 9,816$																 36.5%
	El	Salvador 8,078$																 46.9%
	Fiji 8,063$																 42.8%
	Guatemala 7,592$																 55.1%
	Morocco 7,489$																 40.9%
	Swaziland 6,955$																 50.4%
	Guyana 6,810$																 44.6%
	Philippines 6,800$																 46.0%
	India 5,637$																 33.6%
	Vietnam 5,508$																 37.6%
	Laos 5,017$																 36.7%
	Pakistan 4,788$																 29.6%
	Honduras 4,779$																 57.7%
	Cambodia 3,164$																 37.9%
	Papua	New	Guinea 2,750$																 50.9%
	Afghanistan 2,025$																 27.8%
	Haiti 1,772$																 59.2%
	Guinea 1,304$																 39.4%
	Niger 953$																				 34.0%
	Central	African	Republic 628$																				 61.3%
Lorentz	Curve	
Gini	>	40%	generally	relates	to:	
•  Poor	Health	outcomes	
•  Social	Instability	
•  Poten%al	Poli%cal	Instability	
Gini>40%	+	Poverty	=	Cri%cal	Mass
Na%ons	with	Economic	Inequality	
Lorentz	Curve	
Gini	>	40%	generally	relates	to:	
•  Poor	Health	outcomes	
•  Social	Instability	
•  Poten%al	Poli%cal	Instability	
Gini>40%	Implies	Need	for		Jobs	and	Tax	Reform	
Per	Capita	GDP Gini
	Norway 64,856$														 26.8%
	Germany 45,802$														 27.0%
	Afghanistan 2,025$																 27.8%
	Pakistan 4,788$																 29.6%
	Canada 44,057$														 32.1%
	United	Kingdom 39,762$														 32.4%
	India 5,637$																 33.6%
Taiwan 43,600$														 33.8%
	Niger 953$																				 34.0%
	Mongolia 9,816$																 36.5%
	Laos 5,017$																 36.7%
	Vietnam 5,508$																 37.6%
	Cambodia 3,164$																 37.9%
	Guinea 1,304$																 39.4%
	Jordan 12,259$														 39.7%
	Morocco 7,489$																 40.9%
	Indonesia 9,947$																 41.0%
	Qatar 140,649$												 41.1%
	Russia 25,636$														 42.0%
	Fiji 8,063$																 42.8%
	Guyana 6,810$																 44.6%
	United	States 54,629$														 45.0%
	Dominican	Republic 12,678$														 45.7%
	Philippines 6,800$																 46.0%
	Malaysia 25,639$														 46.2%
Singapore 82,763$														 46.4%
	China 13,217$														 46.9%
	El	Salvador 8,078$																 46.9%
	Sri	Lanka 10,131$														 49.0%
	Swaziland 6,955$																 50.4%
	Papua	New	Guinea 2,750$																 50.9%
	Hong	Kong 55,084$														 53.7%
	Guatemala 7,592$																 55.1%
	Honduras 4,779$																 57.7%
	Haiti 1,772$																 59.2%
	Central	African	Republic 628$																				 61.3%
	South	Africa 13,387$														 62.5%
Analy%c	Hierarchic	Process	(AHP)	
Electricity	 Water	 Waste	Mgt.	
Food	
Produc9on	
Transporta9on	 Housing	
Per	Capita	
GDP	
Health	
Outcomes	
Socioeconomic	
Status	
Poli9cal	
Stability	
Poverty	&	
Inequality	
Poverty	 Inequality	Country	Status,	Requires	
Different	Measures	of	Success	
Measures	Impacted	
Differently	By	Different	
Projects	
Projects	Tailored	to	
the	Characteris9cs	
of	the	Country	
Country	Specific	Priori9zed	Projects
Conclusion	
•  The	Approach	Presented	Incorporates	Proven	Methodologies	
•  Lorenz	Curve	Since	the	Early	1900’s	
•  Analy%c	Hierarchy	Process	(AHP),	T.	Saaty	–	1970’s	
•  Dr.	Riggs	has	Several	Published	Ar%cles	Regarding	AHP	
•  Dr.	Riggs	Taught	AHP	at	The	University	of	Alabama	in	Huntsville	
•  Drs.	Riggs	and	Oleynik	used	AHP	to	Priori%ze	US	DoD	Projects	
•  Moving	Forward	
•  Systemic	Aboriginal	Economic	Inequali%es	
•  Expand	Research	of	Drs.	Dennis	and	Riggs	
•  Incorporate	in	Project	Priori%za%on	Process	
•  Involve	Country	Experts	to	Assign	AHP	Scores	
•  Priori%ze	Energy	Deployments	in	PI,	Taiwan,	and	Singapore	
•  Priori%ze	Non-Energy	Projects	in	PI,	Taiwan,	and	Singapore

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THE UNITED STATES OF NORTH AMERICA

  • 2. Inherent Complexity of Priori%zing Humanitarian Projects Basics: •  Water •  Food Projects: •  Electricity •  Water •  Waste Management •  Food Produc9on •  Transporta9on •  Housing Na9on’s Characteris9cs: •  Poverty •  Economic Inequality Measures: •  Per Capita GDP •  Health Outcomes •  Socioeconomic Status •  Poli9cal Stability
  • 3. Priori%zing Criteria •  Energy – Independence from fossil fuels •  Poverty •  Poverty and Economic Inequality •  Economic Inequality •  Analy%c Hierarchy Process
  • 7. Na%ons in Poverty (Par%al List) Per Capita GDP Gini Inequality Country $/Person (2015) Measure Qatar 140,649$ 41.1% Singapore 82,763$ 46.4% Norway 64,856$ 26.8% Hong Kong 55,084$ 53.7% United States 54,629$ 45.0% Germany 45,802$ 27.0% Canada 44,057$ 32.1% Taiwan 43,600$ 33.8% United Kingdom 39,762$ 32.4% Malaysia 25,639$ 46.2% Russia 25,636$ 42.0% South Africa 13,387$ 62.5% China 13,217$ 46.9% Dominican Republic 12,678$ 45.7% Jordan 12,259$ 39.7% Sri Lanka 10,131$ 49.0% Indonesia 9,947$ 41.0% Mongolia 9,816$ 36.5% El Salvador 8,078$ 46.9% Fiji 8,063$ 42.8% Guatemala 7,592$ 55.1% Morocco 7,489$ 40.9% Swaziland 6,955$ 50.4% Guyana 6,810$ 44.6% Philippines 6,800$ 46.0% India 5,637$ 33.6% Vietnam 5,508$ 37.6% Laos 5,017$ 36.7% Pakistan 4,788$ 29.6% Honduras 4,779$ 57.7% Cambodia 3,164$ 37.9% Papua New Guinea 2,750$ 50.9% Afghanistan 2,025$ 27.8% Haiti 1,772$ 59.2% Guinea 1,304$ 39.4% Niger 953$ 34.0% Central African Republic 628$ 61.3% Income, Socioeconomic Status, and Health: Exploring the Rela9onships; J.A. Auerbach & B.K. Krimgold; Na9onal Policy Associa9on; 2001, Washington, DC. {Page30}. $7,500 (1990) = $13,619 (2015)
  • 8. Na%ons in Poverty with Economic Inequality Per Capita GDP Gini Inequality Country $/Person (2015) Measure Qatar 140,649$ 41.1% Singapore 82,763$ 46.4% Norway 64,856$ 26.8% Hong Kong 55,084$ 53.7% United States 54,629$ 45.0% Germany 45,802$ 27.0% Canada 44,057$ 32.1% Taiwan 43,600$ 33.8% United Kingdom 39,762$ 32.4% Malaysia 25,639$ 46.2% Russia 25,636$ 42.0% South Africa 13,387$ 62.5% China 13,217$ 46.9% Dominican Republic 12,678$ 45.7% Jordan 12,259$ 39.7% Sri Lanka 10,131$ 49.0% Indonesia 9,947$ 41.0% Mongolia 9,816$ 36.5% El Salvador 8,078$ 46.9% Fiji 8,063$ 42.8% Guatemala 7,592$ 55.1% Morocco 7,489$ 40.9% Swaziland 6,955$ 50.4% Guyana 6,810$ 44.6% Philippines 6,800$ 46.0% India 5,637$ 33.6% Vietnam 5,508$ 37.6% Laos 5,017$ 36.7% Pakistan 4,788$ 29.6% Honduras 4,779$ 57.7% Cambodia 3,164$ 37.9% Papua New Guinea 2,750$ 50.9% Afghanistan 2,025$ 27.8% Haiti 1,772$ 59.2% Guinea 1,304$ 39.4% Niger 953$ 34.0% Central African Republic 628$ 61.3% Lorentz Curve Gini > 40% generally relates to: •  Poor Health outcomes •  Social Instability •  Poten%al Poli%cal Instability Gini>40% + Poverty = Cri%cal Mass
  • 9. Na%ons with Economic Inequality Lorentz Curve Gini > 40% generally relates to: •  Poor Health outcomes •  Social Instability •  Poten%al Poli%cal Instability Gini>40% Implies Need for Jobs and Tax Reform Per Capita GDP Gini Norway 64,856$ 26.8% Germany 45,802$ 27.0% Afghanistan 2,025$ 27.8% Pakistan 4,788$ 29.6% Canada 44,057$ 32.1% United Kingdom 39,762$ 32.4% India 5,637$ 33.6% Taiwan 43,600$ 33.8% Niger 953$ 34.0% Mongolia 9,816$ 36.5% Laos 5,017$ 36.7% Vietnam 5,508$ 37.6% Cambodia 3,164$ 37.9% Guinea 1,304$ 39.4% Jordan 12,259$ 39.7% Morocco 7,489$ 40.9% Indonesia 9,947$ 41.0% Qatar 140,649$ 41.1% Russia 25,636$ 42.0% Fiji 8,063$ 42.8% Guyana 6,810$ 44.6% United States 54,629$ 45.0% Dominican Republic 12,678$ 45.7% Philippines 6,800$ 46.0% Malaysia 25,639$ 46.2% Singapore 82,763$ 46.4% China 13,217$ 46.9% El Salvador 8,078$ 46.9% Sri Lanka 10,131$ 49.0% Swaziland 6,955$ 50.4% Papua New Guinea 2,750$ 50.9% Hong Kong 55,084$ 53.7% Guatemala 7,592$ 55.1% Honduras 4,779$ 57.7% Haiti 1,772$ 59.2% Central African Republic 628$ 61.3% South Africa 13,387$ 62.5%
  • 10. Analy%c Hierarchic Process (AHP) Electricity Water Waste Mgt. Food Produc9on Transporta9on Housing Per Capita GDP Health Outcomes Socioeconomic Status Poli9cal Stability Poverty & Inequality Poverty Inequality Country Status, Requires Different Measures of Success Measures Impacted Differently By Different Projects Projects Tailored to the Characteris9cs of the Country Country Specific Priori9zed Projects
  • 11. Conclusion •  The Approach Presented Incorporates Proven Methodologies •  Lorenz Curve Since the Early 1900’s •  Analy%c Hierarchy Process (AHP), T. Saaty – 1970’s •  Dr. Riggs has Several Published Ar%cles Regarding AHP •  Dr. Riggs Taught AHP at The University of Alabama in Huntsville •  Drs. Riggs and Oleynik used AHP to Priori%ze US DoD Projects •  Moving Forward •  Systemic Aboriginal Economic Inequali%es •  Expand Research of Drs. Dennis and Riggs •  Incorporate in Project Priori%za%on Process •  Involve Country Experts to Assign AHP Scores •  Priori%ze Energy Deployments in PI, Taiwan, and Singapore •  Priori%ze Non-Energy Projects in PI, Taiwan, and Singapore