This document outlines a framework for achieving global disaster resilience through comprehensive integration of knowledge from past disasters. It discusses establishing disaster-resilient communities by implementing best policies and practices. These include closing knowledge gaps, identifying weaknesses, and gaining a deeper understanding of disasters to implement countermeasures that prevent recurrences when the continuums of people, communities, and recurring hazards intersect. Emerging technologies, probabilistic hazard forecasts, risk reduction through development standards, and international cooperation in emergency response and recovery are key components of the framework.

1. A FRAMEWORK FOR THE END GAME
OF DISASTER RESILIENCE:
LEARNING FROM GLOBAL DISASTER
LABORATORIES

2. A FRAMEWORK FOR A
COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-
DISCIPLINARY INTEGRATION
OF KNOWLEDGE FOR
GLOBAL DISASTER
RESILIENCE
IN THE 21ST CENTURY

3. 1. SCOPE
FROM VULNERABLE CONTINUUMS
TO
POSSIBILITY OF A DISASTER
TO
DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
THROUGH IMPLEMENTATION OF
“THE BEST POLICIES AND BEST
PRACTICES” FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

4. 2. DISASTER RESILIENCE
POLICIES
MUST CLOSE PRIOR KNOWLEDGE
DIVIDES AND GAPS, AND
IDENTIFY WEAK LINKS IN THE
PEOPLE/COMMUNITY
CONTINUUMS

5. 3. FROM A DISASTER TO
DISASTER RESILIENCE
A DEEPER UNDERSTANDING OF PAST
DISASTERS LEADS TO “COUNTER
MEASURES” THAT PREVENT
RECURRENCES

6. A DISASTER is ---
--- the set of failures that occur when
the continuums of: 1) people, 2)
community (i.e., a set of habitats,
livelihoods, and social constructs),
and 3) recurring events (e.g., floods,
earthquakes, ...,) intersect at a point in
space and time, when and where the
people and community are not ready.

7. THE DYNAMIC CONTINUUMS
• PEOPLE ( 7 Billion and
counting)
• COMMUNITIES
• RECURRING EVENTS
(AKA Natural Hazards), which are
proof of a DYNAMIC EARTH)

8. THE PEOPLE CONTINUUM
• 7 + BILLION
(DISTRIBUTED
THROUGHOUT
THE WORLD)

9. LIKE A CHAIN: EACH CONTINUUM
HAS WEAK LINKS TO IMPROVE

10. WEAK LINKS IN THE
COMMUNITY
• IGNORANCE
• APATHY
• DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES
• LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

11. THE PEOPLE = INNOVATION
200 NATIONS AND 7+
BILLION PEOPLE
NORTH
AMERICA
CARIBBEAN
BASIN
SUB-SAHARA
AFRICA
MEDITER-
RANEAN
ISLAND
NATIONS
ASIA
SOUTH
AMERICA
EUROPE

12. THE RECURRING - EVENTS
(HAZARDS) CONTINUUM
• FLOODS
• SEVERE
WINDSTORMS
• EARTHQUAKES
• DROUGHTS
• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
• ETC.

13. THE COMMUNITY CONTINUUM:
(SOCIAL CONSTRUCTS TO BENEFIT THE PEOPLE)
• GOVERNMENT
• DWELLINGS
• SCHOOLS
• HEALTH CARE
FACILITIES
• BUSINESSES
• INFRA-
STRUCTURE
• ETC

14. INTERSECTION OF THESE
CONTINUUMS IS INEVITABLE
SOME INTERSECTIONS WILL
CAUSE A DISASTER,
AND SOME WON’T,
WHICH IS THE GOAL

15. YOUR
COMMUNITYDATA BASES
AND INFORMATION
HAZARDS:
GROUND SHAKING
GROUND FAILURE
SURFACE FAULTING
TECTONIC DEFORMATION
TSUNAMI RUN UP
AFTERSHOCKS
•FLOODS
•SEVERE WIND
STORMS
•EARTHQUAKES
…ETC
A DISASTER
CAUSES
FAILURES IN POLICIES
FAILURES IN PRACTICES
COUNTER MEASURES
• BEST POLICIES
•BEST PRACTICES
DISASTER RESILIENCE

16. MEASURES OF THE COMMUNITY
STATE-OF-RESILIENCE
Anticipatory Preparedness
Adoption and Implementation of a Modern
Engineering Building Codes & Standards
Timely Early Warning and Evacuation
Timely Emergency Response (including
Emergency Medical Services)
Cost-Effective Recovery/Reconstruction

17. THE STATE-OF-RESILIENCE
INCREASES AS ---
a) The CAPACITY of the PEOPLE is
increased, b) Physical and
organizational VULNERABILITIES in
the COMMUNITY are eliminated, and
c) Each people-community-hazard
INTERSECTION is met successfully.

18. EACH COMMUNITY MUST BE
READY FOR THE INEVITABLE
INTERSECTION THAT WILL
CHALLENGE ITS STATE OF
RESILIENCE

19. EARTHQUAKES

20. BEST POLICIES AND BEST
PRACTICES WILL
ENCOMPASS INNOVATIVE
USE OF TECHNOLOGY
AND STRATEGIC
PLANNING

21. INNOVATIVE USE OF
EMERGING
TECHNOLOGIES

22. EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR
EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE
• MEASURMENT
TECHNOLOGIES (E.G.,
GROUND SHAKING;
STRAIN)
• INFORMATION
TECHNOLOGY
(E.G., GIS)
• RISK MODELING (E.G.,
HAZUS, INSURANCE
UNDERWRITING)
• DATABASES
• DISASTER
SCENARIOS
• ZONATION OF
POTENTIAL DISASTER
AGENTS AS A TOOL
FOR POLICY
DECISIONS

23. EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR
DISASTER RESILIENCE
• AUTOMATED
CONSTRUCTION
EQUIPMEMT
• PREFABRICATION
AND
MODULARIZATION
• ADVANCED
MATERIALS (E.G.,
COMPOSITES)
• COMPUTER AIDED
DESIGN
• PERFORMANCE BASED
CODES AND STANDARDS
• ACTIVE AND PASSIVE
ENERGY DISSIPATION
DEVICES (E.G., BASE
ISOLATION)
• REAL-TIME MONITORING
AND WARNING SYSTEMS

25. EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE
USING GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE
DISASTER LABORATORIES AS A
BASIS FOR PREPARING FROM
“A” TO “Z” FOR FUTURE
EARTHQUAKES

26. EMERGENCY RESPONSE: (BASED ON
1989 LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE
• M7.1
• 63 DEAD
• COLLAPSE AND LOSS
OF FUNCTION OF KEY
TRANSPORTATION
INFRASTRUCTURE
• $ 1 BILLION INSURED
LOSS

27. EMERGENCY RESPONSE: (BASED ON 1972
MANAGUA, NICARAGUA EARTHQUAKE)
• 10,000 DEAD
• 20,000 INJURED
• 300,000 HOMELESS
• NEAR TOTAL
DISRUPTION OF THE
INDUSTRIAL
PRODUCTION
• LOSS OF CRITICAL
INFRASTRUCTURE
• POLITICAL CHAOS

28. PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS OF
GROUND SHAKING

29. PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS OF
GROUND SHAKING (MEXICO)

30. PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS OF
GROUND SHAKING (EGYPT)

31. PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS OF
GROUND SHAKING (ALGERIA)

32. PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS OF
GROUND SHAKING (TURKEY)

33. PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS OF
GROUND SHAKING (IRAN)

34. PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS OF
GROUND SHAKING (INDIA)

35. EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE
PROTECTION BY REDUCING
PHYSICAL VULNERABILITIES
(THE TYPICAL FLAWS IN
COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT)

36. PROTECTION (BASED ON JULY
2010 HAITI EARTHQUAKE)
• SEISMIC BUILDING
CODES PREVENT
BUILDING
COLLAPSE.

37. PROTECTION (BASED ON JULY
2013 YA’AN CHINA EARTHQUAKE)
• SEISMIC BUILDING
CODES PREVENT
BUILDING
COLLAPSE.

38. PROTECTION (BASED ON 1995
KOBE, JAPAN EARTHQUAKE)
• SEISMIC
STANDARDS
PREVENT LOSS OF
FUNCTION OF
CRITICAL LIFELINE
SYSTEMS.

39. PROTECTION
• URBAN PLANNING
FACILITATES
AVOIDANCE OF
HAZARDOUS
LOCATIONS SUCH
AS FAULT ZONES
FOR CONSTRUCT-
ION SITES

40. PROTECTION (SITE MODIFICATION
Based on 1964 Niigata Earthquake)
• ENGINEERING
TECHNIQUES
(SOIL REMED-
IATION) CAN
PREVENT/REDUCE
LOSSES FROM
LIQUEFACTION

41. EMERGENCY RESPONSE (BASED ON
1989 LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE)
• M7.1
• 63 DEAD
• FIRE IN MARINA
DISTRICT
• WIDE SPREAD LOSS
OF POWER
• 1 BILLION INSURED
LOSS

42. EMERGENCY RESPONSE (BASED ON
1995 KOBE EARTHQUAKE)
• SEARCH AND
RESCUE AFTER
THE 5:46 AM
EARTHQUAKE
HELPED SAVE
3,000 ADULTS
AGE 60 OR OLDER
TRAPPED IN
HOUSES.

43. SEARCH AND RESCUE (BASED ON 1988
SPITAK, ARMENIA EARTHQUAKE)
• INTERNATIONAL
ASSISTANCE FROM
MORE THAN 50
CONTRIES
FACILITATED
SEARCH AND
RESCUE
OPERATIONS

45. EMERGENCY RESPONSE: (BASED ON
1971 SAN FERNANDO, CA EARTHQUAKE)
• LOWERING THE
WATER LEVEL
IMMEDIATELY
AFTER THE
EARTHQUAKE
PREVENTED
FLOODING OF LOS
ANGELES.

46. EMERGENCY RESPONSE (BASED ON
1999 KOCALEI, TURKEY EARTHQUAKE)
• MASS CARE
PROVIDED A
SAFETY NET FOR
THE HOMELESS
DURING THE
EMERGENCY
RESPONSE AND
EARLY RECOVERY
PERIODS.

47. EMERGENCY RESPONSE (BASED ON
1999 KOCALEI, TURKEY EARTHQUAKE)
• A “TENT CITY”
PROVIDED
TEMPORARY
SHELTER FOR THE
HOMELESS
DURING THE
EMERGENCY
RESPONSE EARLY
RECOVERY PERIOD

49. RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION:
(BASED ON MAY 12, 2008 CHINA EARTHQUAKE)
• 88,000 DEAD
• 30,000 INJURED
• 300,000 HOMELESS
• 25 MILLION
BUILDINGS DAMAGED
• 45 MILLION PEOPLE
AFFECTED

50. EARTHQUAKE INSURANCE IS A
TOOL FOR RECOVERY
• EARTHQUAKE
INSURANCE
SPREADS THE
RISK AND SPEEDS
RECOVERY (I.E.,
“RESTORATION TO
NORMAL”)

51. INTERNATIONAL ASSISTANCE SPEEDS
RECOVERY (2010 HAITI EARTHQUAKE)
• OVER $ 1 BILLION
DOLLARS WAS
DONATED IN A
FEW WEEKS TO
HELP HAITIANS
SPEED
RESTORATION OF
SERVICES TO
NORMAL.

52. RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION:
(BASED ON MAY 12, 2008 CHINA EARTHQUAKE)
• SCHOOLS ARE
“SAFE HAVENS” SO
ANY NEEDING TO BE
REBUILT MUST BE
REBUILT TO A
HIGHER STANDARD
DURING THE
RECONSTRUCTION
PERIOD.