The document discusses using ecosystem service valuation and economic instruments to support scaling up sustainable land management (SLM) strategies. It provides examples from Jordan of valuing services from sustainable pasture management, including increased forage production, groundwater recharge, sediment stabilization, and carbon sequestration. A cost-benefit analysis found the total economic benefits of restoring 100,000 hectares of pastoral lands through a traditional management system exceeded costs by $24-32 million over 25 years. Economic instruments like payments for ecosystem services could help mobilize finance for implementation of SLM practices.
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Day 2 IUCN The case for using ecosystem service valuation and economic instruments to support the scaling up of SLM strategies
1. The case for using ecosystem service
valuation and economic instruments
to support the scaling up of SLM
strategies.
Vanja Westerberg
IUCN Global Economics Programme
Workshop on alignment and implementation of National Action
Plans with the UNCCD 10 year strategy, Dubai 18-20 June 2014
2. • Why do we need to value ecosystem goods and services
resulting from SLM?
• The case for using ecosystem valuation to support decision
making over land uses.
• Example of sustainable pasture management from Jordan.
• The case for using ecosystem valuation to identify and
mobilize resources for SLM.
• The role of regulatory and economic instruments to help
mobilize finance for implementation of the 10 year strategic
plan
Outline
3. • Reversing land degradation as a national
development priority.
• Benefits to SLM and landscape restoration are
found:
• On-site
• Off-site
Economics of Land Degradation
5. • Off-site benefits of SLM
Private level of investment in SLM < Social
optimal level of investment in SLM
• Off-site costs of Land degradation:
Actual level of land degradation > social optimal
rate
Explaining the economic rationale
behind Land Degradation
6. • Rate at which topsoil degrades, through agricultural
cultivation or grazing > rates at which it regenerates.
• Since SLM has a positive impact on soils, SLM
implies saving soil for future use.
• Alternatively, farmers may choose to continue to
work the soil intensively at the expense of less soil
available in the future.
The economic rationale behind LD
Farm level economics:
8. On-site costs of land degradation may be defined in
terms of
The loss in the long-run net profitability of farming
systems.
9. • Farming households ignore the gains in future
production or income generation
• E.g. due to insecure tenure, lack of understanding of benefits
of SLM, or high private discount rates.
• Any off-site, or external costs or benefits are ignored.
2 CUES
Hence, land degradation is an
economic problem if
10. As for the off-site costs and benefits…
Economists would like to see them:
1) Recognised, valued
2) And accounted for
11. Economic values from
pasture restoration
Direct Use Value
Increased supply of:
Medicinal plants
Fodder
Valued
using
-Avoided
costs
-Stated
preference
Indirect Use Value
Improved:
Carbon sequestration
Sediment stabilisation
Ground water
infiltration
Dry season water
baseflow
Annual water yield
Valued using
-Social cost of
carbon
-Avoided
costs
-Production
function
approaches
-InVEST
-ArcSWOT
-AquaCrop
Biophysical
data
processing
tool
Benefits
12. Cost Benefit Analysis of SLM strategies in Sudan
(Geradef), Mali (Mopti) and Jordan (Zarqa river
basin)
• ELD initiative
The case for Ecosystem Valuation
•One way to do that
• Ecosystem service valuation
13. An Economic Valuation of
Large-scale rangeland restoration
through the HIMA system within the
Zarqa river basin in Jordan.
Vanja Westerberg
Under the ELD initiative
14.
15. Rationale
The case for revisiting the
ancient Hima-restoration
principle
o Involving carefully managed
grazing protocols
o « Costs » or necessary efforts
visible.
o Benefits, multiple, but not as
visible
Benefits needs to be translated into a terminology that everybody
(or most people) can relate to $
16. • We study the value of enhanced:
• Rangeland productivity
• Infiltration of rainfall to groundwater aquifers
• Stabilisation and trapping of sediments
• Carbon sequestration and storage
An economic valuation ecosystem goods and
services associated with HIMA restoration
17. o Define the location
o Bani Hashem Hima
o Within the larger
Zarqa river basin.
Step 1: Where?
19. Step 2: Define the baseline scenario
What would happen over a 25 year time horizon if there is
no changes in current rangeland practices?
Rangeland productivity rapidly declining – halving of edible
dry matter per ha in 20 years (MoA 2009)
High livestock numbers compared to carrying capacity of
land (as long as feed subsidy persist)
20.
21. Step 3: Define the future scenario
o …Against which the economic valuation is undertaken
LARGE-SCALE HIMA RESTORATION
USING ROTATIONAL PASTURES
23. o 109’093 ha suitable for HIMA restoration
o Out of a total 359’675.2 ha within the Zarqa river
basin
In TOTAL
24.
25.
26. Value of enhanced rangeland productivity
o We use the experience from Bani Hashem
27.
28. Value of enhanced rangeland productivity –
building blocks
• We have a Hima management principle.
• We know the starting value for plant biomass per
ha.
• We know the plant biomass per ha after 2 years of
protection.
• We know the maximum plant biomass per ha for
the Baadia ecosystem ~ 500 kg/ha (100-200 mm of
rain)
29. Value of enhanced rangeland productivity –
building blocks
The Noy-Meir sigmoid curve has been shown to accurately
reflect pasture growth in a managed grazing setting (Cacho
1993; Cooper and Huffaker 1997; Ritten 2013)
Growth(biomasst ) *biomasst (1
biomasst
biomass MAX
)
30. Value of enhanced rangeland productivity –
building blocks
We can predict biomass growth within a
HIMA year-by-year.
Biomass per ha in himat1 biomasst Growth(biomasst ) biomass grazedt
33. Value of increased forage availability?
70-90% of all forage is purchased
Any additional natural rangeland forage will
replace the need to purchase forage.
36. Value of enhanced rangeland productivity
o Value of additional forage from HIMA restoration (in
terms of barley equivalent) over 25 years
16.8 million JD
o 61 800 JD per 400 ha HIMA
37. The Premium Value of Natural Forage
• Natural forage is praised for its properties:
• Better quality of milk
• Better health of livestock
• We cannot purchase « natural grazing » on the market, nor
« natural forage »
• We therefore need to construct a Hypothetical Market to
elicit values for these ecosystem services
38. Using a Choice Experiment to elicit the value
of rangeland restoration
39. Using a Choice Experiment to elicit the value
of rangeland restoration
ALL FOOD FROM
NATURAL PASTURES 105 JD/month
40. o Households purchase on average 1.7 tons of fodder
per months
o Households are willing to pay a price premium of =
61.8 JD/ton (105 JD/1.7 tons) on natural forage over
‘concentrated feed’.
o True economic value of natural forage over a 25 year time
horizon
o 20.5 million JOD
Using a Choice Experiment to elicit the
value of rangeland restoration
41. o The Zarqa river basin is considered as one of the major
productive ground water basins in Jordan.
o Important to analyse the contribution of rorational pasture
HIMA systems to ground water recharge.
o We use:
o Soil and Water Assessment tool (SWAT model)
Value of enhanced aquifer recharge ?
42.
43. Value of enhanced aquifer recharge and water yield?
2013 2015 2020 2030
Hima
restoration
scenarion
Baseline/
Open
access
45. o We look at what pastoralists are Willing To Pay for water
for their flocks
Value of shallow aquifer recharge
~ 2 JD / m3
46. o Present value of water infiltration over a 25 year time
horizon.
o 2.9 million JOD
o Lower bound estimate Increasing scarcity of water, the
value goes up
Value of shallow ground-water infiltration
47. o Sediments reduce water storage capacity of dams
Value of sediment stabilisation
49. 7.6 Million Cubic Meter (MCM) over 25 years of
sediments are trapped and not deposited in King
Talal Dam as a result of HIMA restoration
Reduced sedimentation from HIMA restoration
50. ……Demand for water will not decline.
o Any lost water storage capacity will have to be
replaced !
Value of sediment stabilisation
51. = 10.9 million JOD
Value of sediment stabilisation
Avoided Dam Construction Cost of replacing 7.6
MCM of water storage:
52. FOR Soil Organic Carbon we use estimates provided by
the:
UNEP Global Environmental Facility Soil Organic Carbon
(GEFSOC) system
Al-Amadat et al., (2007)
Above ground carbon sequestration is calculated
using IPCC tier 2 guidelines.
Value of Carbon Sequestration
54. Value? Social cost of carbon
JD/ha
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
The SCC is an estimate of the economic
damages associated with a one ton
increase in carbon dioxide (CO2)
emissions.
Damages include, decreased agricultural
productivity, damage from rising sea levels
and harm to human health related to
climate change
55. Avoided social cost of carbon of Large Scale
Hima restoration
PV of carbon sequestered
t0
24
Carbon SequestrationSCCt
(1 r)t * Area
Present Value of Carbon sequestration from large-scale
HIMA restoration over a 25 year time horizon
= 6.9 million JOD
56.
57. Implementation costs:
o Community workshops, participatory processes, biomass studies,
observation tower ~ 1 000 JD – 2 000 JD
Management costs:
o Biomass and stocking density studies ~ 800 JD / year for 5-10 years
o Surveilliance by community ~ 8 00 JD / year
Tentative implementation costs and
surveilliance costs:
58.
59. Benefits
Natural forage / Rangeland productivity 21.5 million JD
Groundwater percolation 2.8 million JD
Sediment control 10.1 million JD
Total Present Economic Value 32.1 million JD
Costs
Implementation, community surveillance and
biomass studies
7.3 million JD
Benefits - Costs
Total Net Present Value of HIMA restoration 24.8 million JD
NPV of Cell rotation for 100,000 ha of HIMA including
global carbon sequestration benefits (r=5%)
60. Benefits
Natural forage / Rangeland productivity 20.5 million JD
Groundwater percolation 2.8 million JD
Sediment control 9.1 million JD
Carbon sequestration 32.8 million JD
Total Present Economic Value 64.8 million JD
Costs
Community surveillance and biomass studies 7.3 million JD
Benefits - Costs
Total Net Present Value of HIMA restoration 31.7 million JD
NPV of Cell rotation for 100,000 ha of HIMA including
global carbon sequestration benefits (r=5%)
61.
62. o Costs associated with HIMA implementation and
management will be minimised if
management/land rights are delegated to the
community
o The importance of tenure security
Lessons
63. Livestock numbers within the Zarqa River Basin
are currently too high for 100% Hima restoration
Raises a question about fodder subsidies…
Make fodder subsidies conditional on SLM
practices by the community.
Other lessons
64. o The HIMA system is extremely valuable:
o To pastoral communities in terms of an increased
availability of natural forage
o Also to the Jordanian Society as a whole.
o Large-scale HIMA-restoration can provide
30-60 million JD worth of services over and above
continuing the present land use system over a 25 year
time horizon.
Lessons
65. o HIMA communities are service providers
o Could we imagine schemes whereby ‘beneficiaries’
(e.g. dam owners) help finance SLM providers?
o In general, how to create the necessary incentives
to scale-up HIMA systems, rotational grazing and
SLM practices in general?
Lessons and perspectives
66. The 10-year strategic plan..
Call for affected countries to revise their NAPs into
Strategic documents supported by biophysical and
socio-economic baseline information
And include them in integrated investment
frameworks
(Operational objective 2: Policy frameworks)
68. o Tackling policy failures
o Cross-compliance schemes
o Economic instruments
o Price based and quantity-based approaches
o Market facilitation approaches
o Regulatory approaches
Enabling policy instruments
69. o Arise when public policies have unintended adverse
consequences. Encourage over-exploitation of the
natural environment.
o E.g. subsidies for cultivation of upland crops that drive
expansion into the marginal lands, subsidies on water and
energy in irrigation schemes, tariff protection for land
degrading crops, and fertilizer subsidies.
The need to tackle policy failures
70. o Example from uplands of Ethiopia (Shifera 2000)
o Subsidies on fertilizer and seeds
o Case for cross-compliance
Subsidies on productive inputs linked to conservation
(soil stone bunds) can enable poor households to
comply with conservation requirements without the
adverse impacts on their welfare.
The need to tackle policy failures
71. o Those that engender land degradation must pay the
costs either to those directly affected or to the state,
who will act on behalf of the affected.
China’s soil erosion control fee
E-VAT in Brazil
Trading in emission allowances
Principles of economic instruments (PPP)
72. Those entities that provide benefits by lowering, for
instance, off-site impacts of land degradation should
be compensated for their efforts, either directly by
beneficiaries or indirectly by the state.
Economic instruments (BPP)
PES
Various public payment schemes
Subsidies, permanent conservation easements,
payments for set-asides, co-finance investments, etc.
The former can finance the latter
73. When number of applications to participate in PES
programme exceeds available financing?
Market facilitation approaches:
Aim to make existing markets better by enhancing
information or lower transaction costs..
The case for auction tenders.
Labels and certification schemes
Innovative financial instruments III
74. In the absence of economic instruments, insufficient
resources will be devoted to minimizing the impacts
of land degradation
But, it is also unlikely that SLM can be achieved if
tenure rights are not explicitly considered.
The classical example relating to tree-tenure…
Economic instruments
75. Clearly specified, well defined, enforceable property rights
or long term leases:
Help extend the planning horizon and vest land uses
with the benefits of investing in SLM
Help improve access to credit for SLM
The use of economics instruments hinge on property or
management rights.
Regulatory preconditions
76. Different countries, different context:
The GM SCORE-CARD approach an effective way of
exploring different mechanisms for resource
mobilization.
Resource mobilization tool-kit
79. NAPs should translate the principles of the 10-year
strategy into fundable programmes of work.
Need to increase the scope of resource mobilisation
for SLM.
Distinct and complementary roles can be played by
different different instruments and sources of
financing:
Foreign, domestic, public and private, economic and
regulatory
Conclusion
80. Many possible funding mechanisms.
Incentives should be implemented with reference to the
problem at hand.
But fundamentally important first to tackle:
Underlying policy failures (that promote land degradation)
Can free up significant resources of SLM investment
Information failures (who pays who benefits from SLM)
The case for Ecosystem Service Valuation
Concluding remarks
81. Thank you for your attention !
Question, comments and suggestions?
vanja.westerberg@iucn.org
82. The case for agroforestry?
Mopti region in Mali, our initial results point out that:
Intercropping Acacia Albida trees with millet
May increase soil moisture by 9% throughout the
growing season Which would increase millet crop
yield of about 10%
Geradef: Acacia senegal and sorghium intercropped can
increase yields by up to 28% five years after planting
trees
83. Sudan – Geradef : Demonstrating the returns to
acacia senegal and seyal agroforestry.
• The development of mechanized farming systems in
Eastern Sudan has led to a rapid expansion of crop
area…but at the expense of drastically reduced fallow
periods.
• Current farming practices (no nutrient import process +
monocropping) has led to soil nutrient mining: Sorghum
yields declined at a rate of approx. 1% per year over the
last 20 years.
• Crop and water growth model with local climate and soil
data show an agroforestry system (sorghum + Acacia
senegal) has the potential to increase sorghium yield by
28% after only 5 years of planting the trees.
Editor's Notes
Graphically speaking, the on-site benefits of SLM may be measured as the difference between the net present value of the sustainable farming system and the net present value with soil degrading practices, as illustrated in figure 1. Land degradation leads to a decrease in the net returns over time, but because SLM usually involves upfront direct costs as well as possibly changes in cropping patterns and the loss of productive area, the present value net returns to the farming system with SLM will generally be lower than without SLM for some time. Eventually however, at some future time T the present value net returns to SLM will begin to exceed returns without SLM practices
And in the first instance, bring into recognition to the societal implications of SLM or conversely land degradation.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
« Costs » or necessary efforts visible
Benefits, multiple, but not as visible - as with any sustainable land use management strategy.
We know that carefully managed grazing protocols…
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well. Follow a predator-prey model of rangeland evolution, as analyzed by Noy-Meir (1976).
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well. Follow a predator-prey model of rangeland evolution, as analyzed by Noy-Meir (1976).
We also know the past 20 year trend in rangeland productivity
HIMA IS
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
The landscape cannot be separated from the quality of forage
Respondents are WILLING TO PAY 105 JD PER MONTH TO ENSURE THAT ALL THEIR FORAGE IS DERIVED FROM NATURAL FEED.
Households are willing to pay 105 JD for 1.7 tons of forage
Developed to predict impact of land management practices on water and sediment in complex watersheds with varying soils, land use and management conditions over time.
Parameterized with soil data, weather data, digital elevation cover, land use and land data….
Show inputs
Data inputs:
The SCS curve numbers are developed to provide a consistent basis for estimating the amount of run off under varying land use and soil type. (Rallison and Miller 1981
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
On an average year: 193,000 JOD worth of water generated
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
King talal, the cost of hightening, the cost of building a second reservoir, construction of the Tannur Dam, and the Wadi Araib
– estimates within the same range.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
King talal, the cost of hightening, the cost of building a second reservoir, construction of the Tannur Dam – estimates within the same range.
Wadi Araib
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
King talal, the cost of hightening, the cost of building a second reservoir, construction of the Tannur Dam – estimates within the same range.
Wadi Araib
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
Shown to characterise rangeland biomass growth well.
If farmers over-irrigate the land leading to soil salination, then irrigation prices should be recalibrated to incentivize farmers to irrigate in socially optimal qualities.
If farmers over-irrigate the land leading to soil salination, then irrigation prices should be recalibrated to incentivize farmers to irrigate in socially optimal qualities.
If farmers over-irrigate the land leading to soil salination, then irrigation prices should be recalibrated to incentivize farmers to irrigate in socially optimal qualities.
If farmers over-irrigate the land leading to soil salination, then irrigation prices should be recalibrated to incentivize farmers to irrigate in socially optimal qualities.